Pointer years revisited: Does one method fit all? A clarifying discussion

The identification of pointer years is central in tree-ring studies, for example, for crossdating or describing growth responses of trees to extreme events. Various methods exist to define pointer years. To these methods, a presumably new method was recently added, i.e. the standardized growth change (SGC) method (Buras et al., 2020; 2022), which was claimed by the authors to outperform existing methods. In this Communication, we perform a concise method review and compare the SGC method with existing pointer year detection methods using simulated tree-ring data that contain diverse signal patterns. We not only provide evidence that the SGC method has already been proposed in 1994, but furthermore show that each method for pointer year detection, including SGC, has its own strengths and weaknesses. Given that each method highlights different aspects of extraordinary growth, we repeat our conclusion from Jetschke et al. (2019), namely that no method can be substituted by others completely, and thus be claimed as being ‘best’. As applies to all methods for pointer year detection, SGC is a complementary but certainly powerful method. We request the dendro-community to provide clear explanations in future studies on how the term pointer year was used to prevent unnecessary confusion and misunderstanding.     

A novel approach for the identification of pointer years

In the context of extreme event ecology, identification of pointer years has become a central aspect of tree-ring research. However, the variety of methods employed for pointer year detection since the introduction of the concept in 1979 impedes a direct comparison among studies. Moreover, most commonly used methods partly rely on arbitrarily selected thresholds, resulting in a potentially inconsistent application of those means. To overcome these discrepancies, we here introduce the “standardized growth change” method SGC, which relies on probability density functions of standardized year-to-year ring width differences and internationally accepted significance levels. To evaluate the performance of SGC, it is applied to 1000 pseudo-populations with known properties as well as to an existing Scots pine tree ring data set and compare the results derived from SGC to the four most frequently applied pointer year detection methods. Our comparative evaluation indicates SGC to supersede the other considered methods. In particular, it identified all artificially introduced pointer years in the pseudo-populations, whereas the other methods missed between 3 and 96 percent of known events. A detailed evaluation of misclassifications by the other approaches points out method-specific weaknesses. Finally, we provide technical aspects and recommendations for the application of SGC in a broader context.     

Towards the extremes: A critical analysis of pointer year detection methods

To study growth responses of trees to extreme events, analyses of so-called ‘pointer years’ are often performed. Thereby, the term pointer year refers to years in which a majority of trees shows extraordinary growth responses, like very narrow (or wide) ring widths. A wide variety of methods has been used to analyze pointer years, hampering comparisons between studies. The latter illustrates that there is a strong need to harmonize pointer year detection methods. This review contributes to that by describing and comparing the main methods (and variants thereof) found in the literature for the last two decades, both in a qualitative and quantitative way. We discuss methodological considerations and provide recommendations how to proceed with pointer year detection in future. Given that the individual methods for pointer year detection were found to highlight different aspects of extraordinary growth, the one method cannot completely substitute the other. Hence, we suggest to use multiple methods in a harmonized way to get the deepest insight into the nature of pointer years.     

Dendrochronology and dendroclimatology of yew in Poland

This study concerns dendrochronology and dendroclimatology of yew growing in Poland. The yew (Taxus baccata L.), a long-lived, slow-growing tree, is regarded as a species threatened with extinction. The eastern boundary of its range transects Poland. The analyses were performed on 34 yew populations which are protected as parts of nature reserves, as nature monuments, or which are planned to be protected. Samples were collected using Pressler borer from a total of 774 trees yielding 1307 profiles. Classical dating techniques (including cross-dating method) were subsequently used to reconstruct 34 local chronologies. Average tree-ring width was 0.84 mm and ranged from 0.27 to 1.47 mm. For most stands, the age of the yew trees is overestimated. The studied populations most frequently are 100–200 years old, and the oldest yew trees in Poland are growing in the KS population (age estimated at 500–600 years). Average tree-ring width was found to be strongly dependent on the chronology length/tree age. The 674 pointer years calculated for the local chronologies served as a basis for determining pointer years for the entire study area. Negative years include: 1862, 1865, 1917, 1927, 1940, 1947, 1956, 1963, 1969, 1976, 1979, 1993, 1996, and 2003. Positive years are: 1884, 1914, 1916, 1965, 1977, 1988, 1997, and 2007. Analysis of weather conditions in those years demonstrated a strong relationship between tree-ring width and air temperature in winter, pre-spring, and early spring. Higher-than-average temperatures during those seasons correlate positively with yew tree-ring width. Response function analysis performed for local and regional chronologies point to a dominant role of air temperature in December of the year preceding growth and in January, February, and March of the current year (linear relationships). June precipitation is an additional factor affecting tree-ring width in some areas of northern and northwestern Poland: the higher the precipitation, the wider the tree-rings. The results obtained, particularly those concerning growth-climate relationships and dendroclimatic regionalisation, can be used in the on-going programme of yew restitution in Poland.     

Does resin tapping affect the tree-ring growth and climate sensitivity of the Chinese pine (Pinus tabuliformis) in the Loess Plateau,China?

Resin tapping could affect water and nutrient transport processes in Chinese pine trees, rendering them more vulnerable to extreme climatic events, such as drought, and affecting the ecological function of forests in semi-arid regions. This study evaluated how resin tapping affects the tree-ring growth and climate sensitivity of Chinese pine in the Loess Plateau. We compared tree-ring growth patterns between the tapped and untapped faces of tapped trees, and investigated tree-ring growth and its response to climate between tapped and untapped trees in a forest stand during the 1967–2017 period. Tapped trees showed asymmetrical growth patterns after resin tapping, with narrower rings near the tapped face and wider ones near the untapped face. Furthermore, tapped trees had inter-annual variations consistent with those of untapped trees except for the years 2000 and 2001, with significantly lower values following resin tapping, and tree-ring growth then returning to normal. The climate response analysis indicated that the tree-ring growth of both tapped and untapped trees was negatively affected by monthly mean temperatures during the early growing season (May to July) in the post-resin-tapping period. Furthermore, tree-ring growth in tapped trees also revealed significant correlation with water vapour deficit and the Palmer drought index, which indicates that tapped trees are more vulnerable to drought. Further studies based on stable isotopes (i.e. δ¹³C, δ¹⁸O, and δ¹⁵N) could improve our understanding of the physiological mechanisms that regulate the effects of resin tapping on tree-ring growth.     

Climatic effects on birch (Betula pubescens Ehrh.) growth in Fnjoskadalur valley, northern Iceland

This paper presents the results of a dendrochronological and dendroclimatological study of birch growth in northern Iceland. Two cores from 36 trees were extracted at two locations and a 110-year-long chronology was built, which is near the maximum possible chronology length for living trees in the study area, considering the growing conditions in Iceland and the history of forest management. Birch has a very good dendroclimatological potential. Pointer year analysis indicates that above-average summer temperature and above-average snowpack result in a positive pointer year (wide ring), while below-average summer temperature and a dry winter result in a negative pointer year (narrow ring). Bootstrapped response functions confirm that June and July above-average temperature positively influences tree-ring width. This climate/growth relationship is stable throughout the 1930–2002 period. Yet the influence of above-average temperature is slightly more important in June than in July. It turned out that birch tree rings are challenging to work with in dendrochronology, considering that their boundaries are difficult to distinguish. Moreover, frequent early summer frosts, insect attacks, and sheep grazing affect birch wood formation and development of tree rings in Iceland, making dendrochronological work even harder.     

不同去趋势方法的新疆东天山高低海拔雪岭云杉树轮宽度年表对气候的响应

利用新疆东天山高低海拔雪岭云杉(Picea schrenkiana Fisch.et Mey.)年轮样本,采用样条函数法、负指数函数法和区域曲线法3种去趋势方法研制树轮宽度标准化年表,通过分析不同去趋势方法的新疆东天山高低海拔云杉树轮宽度标准化年表特征、年表与气候响应的关系和年表间在不同频域互相关,及其与其它资料对比发现:(1)3种去趋势法对东天山年表质量影响较小,低海拔树轮年表含有更多可靠的气候变化信息。(2)高海拔的雪岭云杉树木径向生长与6—9月平均气温均呈显著正相关,其中标准化树轮年表与7月平均气温相关系数达0.553(P0.01,n=58),夏季温度可能是东天山高海拔雪岭云杉径向生长的主要限制因子;低海拔雪岭云杉树木径向生长与春季降水显著正相关,同时与春季平均气温显著负相关,春季高温和缺水共同作用的春旱可能是影响低海拔雪岭云杉径向生长的主导因子,且负指数函数年表对气候响应更敏感。(3)区域曲线法能够保留树轮标准化年表中更多低频信息,但优势不明显。高低海拔标准化年表在低频域相关系数较大,并和历史干旱事件有很好的对应。在东天山高低海拔雪岭云杉的去趋势方法研究中,负指数函数法比样条函数法和区域曲线法更适合。     

黄土高原健康和衰退刺槐林径向生长对气候的响应

全球气候变化导致的区域森林生长衰退和死亡普遍发生,并对森林生态系统结构和组成以及主要生态系统服务功能产生重要影响,然而相关研究在国内还显偏少。根据黄土高原延安羊圈沟小流域人工刺槐林健康和衰退个体分别构建了刺槐健康和衰退树轮年表,并对人工刺槐林健康和衰退年表特征及对气候响应敏感性进行了对比分析。结果表明刺槐衰退年表质量较低,其年表统计参量,包括平均敏感度、样芯间相关系数、信噪比和样本群体代表系数均要低于刺槐健康年表。刺槐衰退年表在生活史早期（1985-2007年）与生长健康年表的波动趋势相类似,而在生活史晚期（2008-2016年）与健康年表指数出现生长分离现象,生长速率明显偏低。年表与气候要素响应分析表明刺槐生长衰退年表对气候要素响应敏感性要低于刺槐生长健康年表,但是两者均含有干旱胁迫气候信号,主要体现在与温度呈负相关关系,与降雨和干旱指数的正相关关系。年表与极端气候年份的时序叠加分析表明,生长健康和衰退年表对极端干旱年份响应敏感性均较高,表明极端干旱胁迫条件对刺槐生长健康和衰退个体均有抑制性影响;生长健康年表对极端湿润年份响应敏感性明显高于衰退年表,表明刺槐健康个体比衰退个体更能有效利用湿润年份有利条件,而具有较高的生长速率。研究揭示出黄土高原健康和衰退刺槐个体生长趋势变化及对气候响应敏感性均存在明显差异性,将为气候变化背景下人工刺槐林生长衰退和死亡预测模型建立提供科学依据,因而对黄土高原人工刺槐林生态恢复和保护及可持续经营具有科学价值。     

Changes in gender expression in korean populations of<Emphasis Type="Italic">Pinus densiflora</Emphasis> over a five-year period

Male and female cone crop patterns and gender expression inPinus densiflora were examined in three adjacent Korean populations over four to five years. Three parameters — cone ratio, sexual system, and standardized phenotypic gender — were assessed according to cone production. Both male and female cone crops and cone ratios varied by year and by site. After controlling for plant size, population differences in cone crops and cone ratios became stronger. At all three sites, the proportion of trees with differing sexual systems tended to fluctuate among years. Overall, 37% of all tagged trees changed their sexual system at least once, mostly ranging between monoecy and male. These particular trees were relatively small and exhibited slow radial growth compared with the non-sex-changing trees, suggesting a trade-off between vegetative and reproductive growth. Despite annual variations in their standardized phenotypic genders, the rankings of trees remained concordant between successive years at all sites. These results indicate that, inP. densiflora, male and female cone crops and, consequently, gender expression, may be affected by diverse factors that include plant size, trade-offs between vegetative and reproductive growth, and genetic components.     

Influence of species and abiotic factors on extreme tree ring modulation:

 The influence of biotic (tree species) and abiotic factors (regional climate, altitude and stand aspect) on extreme tree-ring widths is dendroecologically investigated. Negative pointer years are observed when abrupt radial growth reductions (exceeding 40%) occurred synchronously in a given tree population. Pointer year intensity is expected to follow several theoretical models when trees are sampled along ecological gradients in various site conditions. Hypotheses are made about expected patterns of pointer year spatial distribution. They are compared with observed results obtained with Norway spruce [Picea abies (L.) Karst.] and silver fir (Abies alba Mill.) sampled in two French Alpine valleys (Tarentaise and Maurienne) with different regional climates, on two aspects and three altitude levels. Results reveal that extreme years follow expected patterns well. Thus, clear site modulations are observed in 1956 and 1986 (only trees located in Maurienne reacted). Moreover, species differences are observed, with typical cases of single species sensitivity (for spruce, occurring in 1962 and 1992). Abiotic factors such as altitude and aspect also involve clear pointer year patterns, such as narrow rings in 1976 due to summer drought that occurred especially at lower altitudes. However, some observed extreme years sometimes appear to be a combination of two (or three) of these one-factor theoretical models (e.g. 1921 with both lower altitude level and only observed in Tarentaise; 1948 involving both higher altitude and northern slopes). These results demonstrate the consistency of various tree-ring and climate relationships along ecological gradients.     

Climatic signal in growth-rings of Copaifera lucens: An endemic species of a Brazilian Atlantic forest hotspot,southeastern Brazil

In this study, we present the first tree-ring chronology for the tropical tree species Copaifera lucens and its climatic signal in southeastern Brazil. Tree-ring width series were compared with local climate indices using a drought index (Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index —SPEI), in monthly, bi-monthly and four-monthly scales. We also calculated negative pointer years over the time-span of the tree-ring width. The radial growth of C. lucens showed a positive correlation with the SPEI of the current summer and autumn in all the three analyzed time scales, while the negative pointer years matched with drier years. The species was highly sensitive to very low summer precipitation, which may lead to a 49% reduction in growth. We conclude that the long-living C. lucens has a great potential for dendrochronological studies as it shows a marked climatic signal. Our study also reinforces the importance of rainfall in regulating radial growth in tropical forests and sheds light on the local climate influence on tree growth in recent decades.     

Size-dependent responses to summer drought in Scots pine, Norway spruce and common oak

In this study, we provide a detailed analysis of tree growth and water status in relation to climate of three major species of forest trees in lower regions of Bavaria, Southern Germany: Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris), Norway spruce (Picea abies) and common oak (Quercus robur). Tree-ring chronologies and latewood δ¹³C were used to derive measures for drought reaction across trees of different dimensions: growth reduction associated with drought years, long-term growth/climate relations and stomatal control on photosynthesis. For Scots pine, growth/climate relations indicated a stronger limitation of radial growth by high summer temperatures and low summer precipitation in smaller trees in contrast to larger trees. This is corroborated by a stronger stomatal control on photosynthesis for smaller pine trees under average conditions. In dry years, however, larger pine trees exhibited stronger growth reductions. For Norway spruce, a significantly stronger correlation of tree-ring width with summer temperatures and summer precipitation was found for larger trees. Additionally, for Norway spruce there is evidence for a change in competition mode from size-asymmetric competition under conditions with sufficient soil water supply to a more size-symmetric competition under dry conditions. Smaller oak trees showed a weaker stomatal control on photosynthesis under both dry and average conditions, which is also reflected by a significantly faster recovery of tree-ring growth after extreme drought events in smaller oak trees. The observed patterns are discussed in the context of the limitation-caused matter partitioning hypothesis and possible species-specific ontogenetic modifications.     

Short-term resin tapping activities had a minor influence on physiological responses recorded in the tree-ring isotopes of Chinese pine (Pinus tabuliformis)

Resin tapping might affect tree-ring growth, but details on the physiological responses of trees to resin tapping are still lacking, particularly for long-term responses. This study aimed to explore the physiological processes underlying resin-tapping of Chinese pine (Pinus tabuliformis) by using tree-ring stable isotopes. We compared tree-ring earlywood and latewood stable carbon (δ¹³C) and oxygen (δ¹⁸O) isotopes in the pre-resin tapping and post-resin tapping period for tapped trees and compared their values between tapped and untapped trees and their responses to climate variables in a forest stand from 1984 to 2017. Furthermore, we used a dual isotope model to distinguish between the effects of the photosynthetic assimilation rate and stomatal conductance. Results indicated that tapped and untapped trees showed similar inter-annual variation for two isotopes, while the absolute values of tapped trees were slightly (P > 0.05) lower than tapped trees in the two years following resin tapping. Climate response analysis indicated that resin tapping had no significant effect on climatic sensitivity for either stable isotope. Earlywood stable isotopes were mainly influenced by temperature, relative humidity, and Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) from May to July, while latewood isotopes were mainly influence by relative humidity form July to August and PDSI from July to September. The conceptual model results indicated that resin tapping lead to a slight, but not significant, decrease in the intrinsic water-use efficiency caused by increased stomatal conductance for the first two to three years following resin tapping. We conclude that tree-ring physiological responses could be less affected by short-term resin tapping activities.     

Long-term radial growth and climate-growth relationships of Quercus petraea (Matt.) Liebl. and Quercus cerris L. in a xeric low elevation site from Hungary

Sessile oak (Quercus petraea [Matt.] Liebl.) and Turkey oak (Quercus cerris L.) dominated mixed forests are common in low montane and hilly regions in Hungary. Here, we aimed to describe the long-term pattern and climatic responses of the radial growth of Q. petraea and Q. cerris in a xeric low-elevation forest, using retrospective tree-ring analysis for the period 1910–2019. We performed separate analyses with time series of full tree-ring (TRW), earlywood (EW) and latewood (LW) widths. Our results showed that the radial growth of the two species was largely synchronous over time, but became transiently divergent for a 20-year period after a drought in 1968, due to the greater-than-expected growth of Q. cerris and the supressed growth of Q. petraea. Precipitation was the major growth-limiting factor for both species, with a strong positive influence on LW particularly during the current early growing season (March-June), on EW in the previous late summer (August-September) and in the current early spring (March), and on all tree-ring traits in the previous December. The radial growth of both species was negatively related to temperature in the spring (May) and late summer (August) of both current and previous years. The climate-growth relationships showed general instability over time: the most striking temporal change was a gradual shift of positive correlations with precipitation and SPEI during the growing season from spring (March-May) to summer (June-August) since the 1980s over the analysed period. The two species had similarly low growth resistance to droughts in four studied pointer years (1968, 1993, 2002 and 2012), but Q. cerris exhibited a greater capacity to recover over the four post-drought years, and thus higher growth resilience, particularly after the drought of 1968. Our results contribute to the better understanding of the role of climate variability and droughts in the growth of the two co-existing species in transitional locations between closed forests and forest-steppes.     

Different climate responses of spruce and pine growth in Northern European Russia

We report new data on tree-ring growth in northern European Russia, a region with a hitherto relatively sparse tree-ring network. We explore its associations with climate variability. Areas, sampling locations and trees were selected for representativeness rather than climate sensitivity. Using tree rings from 651 conifers from six widely dispersed areas we show strong intercorrelation between trees within each major conifer species within and between areas. Regional composite tree-ring series for spruce and pine contain a major fraction of decadal and multidecadal variability. The most likely driver of this common variability is interannual to multidecadal climate variability. Gridded monthly instrumental climate data for the period 1902–2008, particularly mean temperature and total precipitation, were tested as predictors of each local species-specific tree-ring site chronology. The most consistent pattern emerged for spruce at all but the southernmost area. Cool and moist summers the year before growth were consistent drivers of spruce ring growth throughout the period, with no change in recent decades. Self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index for prior summer was also a strong and consistent driver of spruce ring growth. For pine, there was a weaker but similarly stable association between larger rings and warm, moist conditions, in this case in the current summer. These associations were also identified at multidecadal time scales, particularly for spruce. On the other hand, the specific role of moisture variability in determining interannual to multidecadal variability in tree growth in this high latitude region raises questions about the relative vulnerability of spruce and pine there under global warming.     

The potential for using Larix decidua ring widths in reconstructions of larch budmoth (Zeiraphera diniana) outbreak history: dendrochronological estimates compared with insect surveys

In the Alps, larch (Larix decidua Mill.) forests show periodic discolouration due to larch budmoth (LBM) outbreaks (Zeiraphera diniana Guénée, Lepidoptera: Tortricidae). Tree defoliation causes severe reductions in radial growth, visible in tree rings. This paper aims at reconstructing LBM outbreak history, and critically examining the potential for using dendrochronological data by comparing tree-ring estimates with insect surveys. The occurrence of LBM outbreaks was investigated using 249 cores from larch growing near the timberline in three regions of the French Alps (Briançonnais, Maurienne, and Tarentaise). Years with an abrupt decrease in radial growth (-40%) were considered as negative pointer years reflecting the potential impact of LBM. The comparison with three non-host conifers (Norway spruce, stone and mountain pines) permitted us to distinguish growth reductions in larch due to climatic effects from those due to defoliation by LBM. The dendrochronological data were matched with information reporting conspicuous discolouration in old forestry reports or recovered from systematic field observations. Twenty-two outbreaks are discernible within the period 1800-1983. A peak reduction in larch growth occurred at intervals of 8.86ǃ.01 years in the following years: 1801, 1811, 1820, 1830, 1838, 1846, 1857, 1867, 1875, 1884, 1892, 1901, 1909, 1918, 1926, 1936, 1945, 1953, 1963, 1972, 1980, and 1987. Our objective method based on ring measurements and comparison with non-host trees was compared with qualitative techniques based on the visual detection of conspicuous latewood anomalies. Larch in the Briançonnais (which experiences a continental climate) are infested first, whereas the Tarentaise region exhibits a much weaker impact of LBM. Complete tree recovery was observable 3 years after outbreak peaks.     

A 1700-year Athrotaxis selaginoides tree-ring width chronology from southeastern Australia

Few Southern Hemisphere tree-ring chronologies exceed 1000 years in length. We present a ca. 1700 years of indexed values for the long-lived conifer Athrotaxis selaginoides at Cradle Mt in southeastern Australia and compare it with the only other published millennial-plus length tree-ring chronology for Australia: the nearby Mt Read Lagarostrobos franklinii. We use simple correlation function and pointer year analyses to compare the climate responses of the two species (temperature, precipitation and growing degree days). Both chronologies show accelerated growth at their modern ends, but this growth acceleration is not synchronous, beginning approximately a quarter of a century earlier at the Cradle Mt site. This discrepancy may highlight the relevance of chronology composition and/or physiological differences in the species. Although the seasonality of the climatic responses of the two species is similar, that of A. selaginoides is generally weaker than that of L. franklinii. Somewhat paradoxically, the only pointer years in common between the chronologies are 1898 and 1908 CE. The periods from 600 to 900 CE and ∼1200–1450 CE are conspicuous for their absence of positive pointer years while no negative pointer years occur for either site from ∼1200–1350 CE. It is possible that differing patterns of pointer years can be partially explained by a peak in establishment from ∼1150–1850 CE at the Mt Read L. franklinii site compared to continuous establishment at Cradle Mt. Although statistically significant and time-stable climate responses for the A. selaginoides chronology are too weak to base a single-chronology climate reconstruction on, the long chronology will likely make an important contribution to future multi-proxy temperature reconstructions for southeastern Australia.     

Effect of climate on tree growth in the Pampa biome of Southeastern South America: First tree-ring chronologies from Uruguay

Tree-ring research in the highland tropics and subtropics represents a major frontier for understanding climate-growth relationships. Nonetheless, there are many lowland regions – including the South American Pampa biome – with scarce tree ring data. We present the first two tree-ring chronologies for Scutia buxifolia in subtropical Southeastern South America (SESA), using 54 series from 29 trees in two sites in northern and southern Uruguay. We cross-dated annual rings and compared tree growth from 1950 to 2012 with regional climate variability, including rainfall, temperature and the Palmer Drought Severity Index – PDSI, the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). Overall, ring width variability was highly responsive to climate signals linked to water availability. For example, tree growth was positively correlated with accumulated rainfall in the summer-fall prior to ring formation for both chronologies. Summer climate conditions were key for tree growth, as shown by a negative effect of hot summer temperatures and a positive correlation with PDSI in late austral summer. The El Niño phase in late spring/early summer favored an increase in rainfall and annual tree growth, while the La Niña phase was associated with less rainfall and reduced tree growth. Extratropical climate factors such as SAM had an equally relevant effect on tree growth, whereby the positive phase of SAM had a negative effect over radial growth. These findings demonstrate the potential for dendroclimatic research and climate reconstruction in a region with scarce tree-ring data. They also improve the understanding of how climate variability may affect woody growth in native forests – an extremely limited ecosystem in the Pampa biome.     

Drought as an Inciting Mortality Factor in Scots Pine Stands of the Valais, Switzerland

During the 20th century, high mortality rates of Scots pine (Pinus silvestris L.) have been observed over large areas in the Rhône valley (Valais, Switzerland) and in other dry valleys of the European Alps. In this study, we evaluated drought as a possible inciting factor of Scots pine decline in the Valais. Averaged tree-ring widths, standardized tree-ring series, and estimated annual mortality risks were related to a drought index. Correlations between drought indices and standardized tree-ring series from 11 sites showed a moderate association. Several drought years and drought periods could be detected since 1864 that coincided with decreased growth. Although single, extreme drought years had generally a short-term, reversible effect on tree growth, multi-year drought initiated prolonged growth decreases that increased a tree’s long-term risk of death. Tree death occurred generally several years or even decades after the drought. In conclusion, drought has a limiting effect on tree growth and acts as a bottleneck event in triggering Scots pine decline in the Valais.     

Does Soil Organic Layer Thickness Affect Climate–Growth Relationships in the Black Spruce Boreal Ecosystem?

The observed long-term decrease in the regional fire activity of Eastern Canada results in excessive accumulation of organic layer on the forest floor of coniferous forests, which may affect climate–growth relationships in canopy trees. To test this hypothesis, we related tree-ring chronologies of black spruce (Picea mariana (Mill.) B.S.P.) to soil organic layer (SOL) depth at the stand scale in the lowland forests of Quebec’s Clay Belt. Late-winter and early-spring temperatures and temperature at the end of the previous year’s growing season were the major monthly level environmental controls of spruce growth. The effect of SOL on climate–growth relationships was moderate and reversed the association between tree growth and summer aridity from a negative to a positive relationship: trees growing on thin organic layers were thus negatively affected by drought, whereas it was the opposite for sites with deep (>20–30 cm) organic layers. This indicates the development of wetter conditions on sites with thicker SOL. Deep SOL were also associated with an increased frequency of negative growth anomalies (pointer years) in tree-ring chronologies. Our results emphasize the presence of nonlinear growth responses to SOL accumulation, suggesting 20–30 cm as a provisional threshold with respect to the effects of SOL on the climate–growth relationship. Given the current climatic conditions characterized by generally low-fire activity and a trend toward accumulation of SOL, the importance of SOL effects in the black spruce ecosystem is expected to increase in the future.