A lonely dot on the map: Exploring the climate signal in tree-ring density and stable isotopes of clanwilliam cedar,South Africa

Clanwilliam cedar (Widdringtonia cedarbergensis; WICE), a long-lived conifer with distinct tree rings in Cape Province, South Africa, has potential to provide a unique high-resolution climate proxy for southern Africa. However, the climate signal in WICE tree-ring width (TRW) is weak and the dendroclimatic potential of other WICE tree-ring parameters therefore needs to be explored. Here, we investigate the climatic signal in various tree-ring parameters, including TRW, Minimum Density (MND), Maximum Latewood Density (MXD), Maximum Latewood Blue Intensity (MXBI), and stable carbon and oxygen isotopes (δ¹⁸O and δ¹³C) measured in WICE samples collected in 1978. MND was negatively influenced by early spring (October-November) precipitation whereas TRW was positively influenced by spring November-December precipitation. MXD was negatively influenced by autumn (April-May) temperature whereas MXBI was not influenced by temperature. Both MXD and MXBI were negatively influenced by January-March and January-May precipitation respectively. We did not find a significant climate signal in either of the stable isotope time series, which were measured on a limited number of samples. WICE can live to be at least 356 years old and the current TRW chronology extends back to 1564 CE. The development of full-length chronologies of alternative tree-ring parameters, particularly MND, would allow for an annually resolved, multi-century spring precipitation reconstruction for this region in southern Africa, where vulnerability to future climate change is high.     

High resolution radiocarbon spike confirms tree ring dating with low sample depth

Radiocarbon (¹⁴C) has been used to date carbon-rich objects in Earth science, archeology, and history since the 1940s. New methods, using spikes in ¹⁴C caused by solar proton events, can be used to annually date wood when crossdating is not possible, such as when sample size is low, samples are floating in time, or external disturbances lead to insecure dates. Here, we use a spike in radiocarbon during a solar energetic particle (SEP) event in 774/775 CE to confirm crossdating of a poorly-replicated King Billy pine (Athrotaxis selaginoides) chronology. Low sample depth between 1498 and 1523 CE (two trees) prevented confident dating of the early period of the chronology. Three core samples with strong correlation with the master chronology that likely included the 774/775 CE Miyake SEP event were identified for radiocarbon isotope analysis. We sectioned segments centered on the estimated 774/775 CE date and then isolated the holocellulose in each sample. Samples were sent to an accelerator mass spectrometry (AMS) for radiocarbon measurements. The AMS data confirmed the crossdating accuracy of the tree ring series and reinforces the applicability of this technique to anchor poorly dated tree ring series in time. In addition, we found sample processing with a microtome proved superior for holocellulose extractions and yielded more accurate ¹⁴C measurements. We recommend sampling with a microtome, processing at least three samples per year, and including sample masses greater than 100 ug C to confirm dating using radiocarbon spikes.     

A Pinus cembra L. tree-ring record for late spring to late summer temperature in the Rhaetian Alps,Italy

Ongoing climate change strongly affects high-elevation environments in the European Alps, influencing the cryosphere and the biosphere and causing widespread retreat of glaciers and changes in biomes. Nevertheless, high-elevation areas often lack long meteorological series, and global datasets cannot represent local variations well. Thus, proxy data, such as tree rings, provide information on past climatic variations from these remote sites. Although maximum latewood density (MXD) chronologies provide better temperature information than those based on tree-ring width (TRW), MXD series from the European Alps are lacking. To derive high-quality temperature information for the Rhaetian Alps, Pinus cembra L. trees sampled at approximately 2000 m a.s.l. were used to build one MXD chronology spanning from 1647 to 2015. The MXD data were significantly and highly correlated with seasonal May-September mean temperatures. The MXD chronology showed a generally positive trend since the middle of the 19^th century, interrupted by short phases of climatic deterioration in the beginning of the 20^th century and in the 1970s, conforming with the temperature trends. Our results underline the potential for using Pinus cembra L. MXD to reconstruct mean temperature variations, especially during the onset and latter part of the growing season, providing additional information on parts of the growing season not inferred from TRW. Future studies on MXD for this species will increase the availability of temporal and spatial data, allowing detailed climate reconstructions.     

High-elevation inter-site differences in Mount Smolikas tree-ring width data

We present the longest high-elevation tree-ring width dataset in the Mediterranean reaching back to the 6th century CE. The network includes 101 living and 92 relict Pinus heldreichii Christ trees from four differently exposed sites in the 2100–2200 m a.s.l. elevation range of Mt. Smolikas in the Pindus Mountains in Greece. Though the sites were all sampled within a distance of <1 km, inter-site correlations are surprisingly low (r_1550–2014 = 0.65–0.87), indicating site exposure might affect tree-ring formation. We here explore the consequence of exposure differences on the climate signals in an eastern Mediterranean treeline ecotone. Temporally stable growth/climate relationships reveal similar seasonal patterns among the four sites, but differences in signal strength. P. heldreichii growth at Mt. Smolikas is significantly controlled by temperature in April (r_1951–2014 = 0.33–0.50) and precipitation in June-July (r_1951–2014 = 0.23–0.42), which emphasizes the overall importance of an early growth onset and subsequent moisture conditions. The association between stem growth and April climate is strongest in the South-facing stand, supporting the significance of higher insolation rates at this thermally privileged site. Strongest summer precipitation signals are found in the NE-facing stand, where trees seem to benefit least from an early growth onset and where reduced meltwater supply may enhance the dependency on early summer precipitation. The significance of spring temperature on tree growth in all four sites constrains the emergence of a distinct summer precipitation signal in the Mt. Smolikas high elevation ecotone. Exploration of the site-specific influences on a new millennium-long tree-ring width dataset is an important step towards an improved understanding of long-term climate variability in the Eastern Mediterranean. Site-related differences in climate sensitivity in the high-elevation tree-ring network at Mt. Smolikas indicate that both temperature and precipitation during different seasons could potentially be reconstructed if distinct site exposures (S versus NE) are considered.     

Temperature sensitivity of blue intensity,maximum latewood density,and ring width data of living black spruce trees in the eastern Canadian taiga

The blue intensity (BI) technique provides opportunities to obtain surrogates to tree-ring density for reconstructing summer temperatures in high-latitude regions. In this study, we compare latewood BI (LBI) and delta BI (DBI), with the conventional X-ray maximum latewood density (MXD) and tree-ring width (TRW) data using 178 living trees of black spruce (Picea mariana (Mill.) B.S.P.), one of the most dominant species of conifers in the Northern Hemisphere, from 17 sites across the eastern Canadian taiga. The regional LBI and DBI chronologies are highly correlated to that of MXD (Pearson’s r = 0.97 and 0.92, respectively), while DBI is also similar to TRW (Pearson’s r = 0.67). Both LBI and DBI exhibit stronger responses to the May–August temperatures than TRW over larger time and spatial scales. However, only DBI is comparable to MXD data from inter-annual to decadal timescales. Low-frequency components of LBI data are likely distorted by color biases even if no obvious discoloration is present, as well as by the potentially low measurement resolution, leading to an overall weaker temperature sensitivity compared to the MXD data. Resampling experiments suggest that a minimum replication of 10 trees is needed to retain ≥90 % of the optimal temperature signal for MXD, LBI, and DBI data, and a minimum of 20 trees is required for TRW data.     

A 1700-year Athrotaxis selaginoides tree-ring width chronology from southeastern Australia

Few Southern Hemisphere tree-ring chronologies exceed 1000 years in length. We present a ca. 1700 years of indexed values for the long-lived conifer Athrotaxis selaginoides at Cradle Mt in southeastern Australia and compare it with the only other published millennial-plus length tree-ring chronology for Australia: the nearby Mt Read Lagarostrobos franklinii. We use simple correlation function and pointer year analyses to compare the climate responses of the two species (temperature, precipitation and growing degree days). Both chronologies show accelerated growth at their modern ends, but this growth acceleration is not synchronous, beginning approximately a quarter of a century earlier at the Cradle Mt site. This discrepancy may highlight the relevance of chronology composition and/or physiological differences in the species. Although the seasonality of the climatic responses of the two species is similar, that of A. selaginoides is generally weaker than that of L. franklinii. Somewhat paradoxically, the only pointer years in common between the chronologies are 1898 and 1908 CE. The periods from 600 to 900 CE and ∼1200–1450 CE are conspicuous for their absence of positive pointer years while no negative pointer years occur for either site from ∼1200–1350 CE. It is possible that differing patterns of pointer years can be partially explained by a peak in establishment from ∼1150–1850 CE at the Mt Read L. franklinii site compared to continuous establishment at Cradle Mt. Although statistically significant and time-stable climate responses for the A. selaginoides chronology are too weak to base a single-chronology climate reconstruction on, the long chronology will likely make an important contribution to future multi-proxy temperature reconstructions for southeastern Australia.     

Comparing Scots pine tree-ring proxies and detrending methods among sites in Jämtland,west-central Scandinavia

Scots pine tree-ring width (TRW) data from Jämtland in the Central Scandinavian Mountains has been used to reconstruct summer temperatures back to 1630 BC. However, it was recently shown that this reconstruction was of limited spatial importance. In this paper, we aim to explain this limitation in the TRW data as a temperature proxy, as well as assess the temperature information from new maximum latewood density (MXD) data. Furthermore, the effect of two standardization methods is evaluated: regional curve standardization (RCS) and a more traditional standardization, termed “non-RCS” standardization. Three TRW and two MXD sites were analyzed. Our results showed that despite the proximity to the Norwegian Sea, the MXD data is a powerful temperature proxy. Difference among sites in TRW data, especially on decadal timescales, together with a lower temperature association, suggests that other factors, such as changes in the local climate regimes, weakens the temperature signal. In general the RCS method overestimates pine growth trends in the latter half of the twentieth century, a feature not seen when using “non-RCS” standardization. This is likely due to an age-bias of older trees in most recent parts of the tree-ring chronologies. This effect will have consequences when reconstructing climate with tree-ring data. To overcome this problem, all age-classes should be represented throughout a chronology. If this is not possible, the use of “non-RCS” standardization is recommended, although this method results in a loss of low-frequency variability.     

Were medieval warm-season temperatures in Jämtland,central Scandinavian Mountains,lower than previously estimated?

Today few high-quality tree-ring based temperature reconstructions extending over the past millennium exist, and those have, in general, low replication in their early parts. Here we present a new and updated maximum latewood density (MXD) chronology extending over the last 1200 years, built from local Scots pine wood sources (living trees, drywood preserved the ground, and subfossil wood extracted from lakes) all collected within 20 km in the Scandinavian Mountains in Jämtland. The MXD data was used to reconstruct April-September mean temperatures, where 60% of the variance in observed temperatures could be explained. The reconstruction exhibited distinct multidecadal variability, with the coldest periods centred on ca. 900, 1450, 1600 and 1900 CE, and the warmest periods on ca. 1160, 1250, 1500, 1660 CE. The last part of the 20th – early part of 21st century was the warmest period throughout the whole record, and the reconstruction suggests that, on average, the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA, 950–1250 CE) was only slightly warmer than the Little Ice Age (LIA, 1450–1900 CE). In fact, compared to earlier reconstructions from the region, the new reconstruction suggested lower MCA warm-season temperatures. However, despite sufficient replication during that period, high inhomogeneity among the MXD series makes this period slightly uncertain. The unique drywood on which the chronology was built, displayed a distinct regeneration pattern, where changes in Scots pine establishment was interpreted as responses to changes in forest fire activity and climate throughout the past millennium.     

用西伯利亚落叶松年轮最大密度重建和布克赛尔5—8月份平均最高温度

利用采自和布克塞尔铁布克山二号沟的西伯利亚落叶松树轮样本,研制出树轮最大密度年表(MXD)和年轮宽度年表(TRW),分析了其年表特征和气候响应特点。结果表明,该样点的落叶松树轮最大密度年表与和布克塞尔气象站5-8月份平均温度和平均最高温度度均具有很好的正相关关系,最高单相关系数为0.660。用铁布克山二号沟的最大密度差值年表序列,可较好地重建和布克塞尔地区1795-2007年来春夏季平均最高温度距平,47 a重建值对实测值的解释方差达43.5%,且方程稳定。重建结果揭示,在和布克赛尔地区,20世纪平均最高温度距平要高于20世纪以前的平均最高温度距平,20世纪前中期平均最高温度距平出现了明显的上升,并且在重建的时段的末期,5-8月份平均最高温度距平表现出上升趋势。     

Diverse climate sensitivity of Mediterranean tree-ring width and density

Understanding long-term environmental controls on the formation of tree-ring width (TRW) and maximum latewood density (MXD) is fundamental for evaluating parameter-specific growth characteristics and climate reconstruction skills. This is of particular interest for mid-latitudinal environments where future rates of climate change are expected to be most rapid. Here we present a network of 28 TRW and 21 MXD chronologies from living and relict conifers. Data cover an area from the Atlantic Ocean in the west to the Mediterranean Sea in the east and an altitudinal gradient from 1,000 to 2,500 m asl. Age trends, spatial autocorrelation functions, carry-over effects, variance changes, and climate responses were analyzed for the individual sites and two parameter-specific regional means. Variations in warm season (May–September) temperature mainly control MXD formation (r = 0.58 to 0.87 from inter-annual to decadal time-scales), whereas lower TRW sensitivity to temperature remains unstable over space and time.     

Statistical and visual crossdating in R using the dplR library

I demonstrate new functionality for the Dendrochronology Program Library in R (dplR) that allows for flexible statistical crossdating of tree-ring data. Using a well-dated ring-width file, I give examples of how dplR can be used to examine correlations between each series and a master chronology according to overlapping time periods (segments) specified by the user; examine moving correlations of suspect series; and compute cross-correlation functions to identify specific dating issues. I also show how automatically generated skeleton plots can be used to visually crossdate. Much of the terminology and approach used for crossdating in dplR will be familiar to users of COFECHA.     

The temperature sensitivity along elevational gradients is more stable in maximum latewood density than tree-ring width

Tree ring-based temperature reconstructions are preferably derived from maximum latewood density (MXD) compared to tree-ring width (TRW). Although temperature signals in MXD are less dependent on site ecology, systematic analyses of the effects of elevation and slope aspect on ring formation are still lacking. Here, we assess the climate sensitivity of MXD and TRW chronologies from six larch (Larix decidua Mill.) sites across the Simplon valley in the southwestern Swiss Alps, representing elevations from 1400 to 2150 m asl on both north- and south-facing slopes. We find decreasing temperature signals with decreasing elevation in MXD and TRW, though correlation coefficients are generally higher for MXD and on the warmer and dryer south exposed slopes. While the greatest temperature signals are found for MJJA at highest elevations with r = 0.71 for MXD and r = 0.57 for TRW (both p < 0.05 and for the 1928–2009 common period), MXD still correlates significantly positive at the lowest elevation site that is ~750 m below the treeline. Our findings indicate the suitability of MXD over TRW for temperature reconstructions when using historical wood sources of unknown origin.     

Separating the climatic signal from tree-ring width and maximum latewood density records

We propose a technique for separating the climatic signal which is contained in two tree-ring parameters widely used in dendroclimatology. The method is based on the removal of the relationship between tree-ring width (TRW) and maximum latewood density (MXD) observed for narrow tree rings from high latitudes. The new technique is tested on data from three larch stands located along the northern timberline in Eurasia. Correlations were calculated between the temperatures of pentads (five consecutive days), TRW chronologies and MXD chronologies calculated according to the standard and proposed methods. The analysis confirms the great importance of summer temperature for tree radial growth and tree-ring formation. TRW is positively correlated with the temperature of four to eight pentads (depending on the region) at the beginning of the growth season, but MXD as obtained by the standard technique is correlated with temperature over a much longer period. For maximum density series from which the relationship between MXD and TRW has been removed (MXD′), there is a clear correlation with temperatures in the second part of the growing season. These results are consistent with the known dynamics of tree-ring growth in high latitudes and mechanisms of tree-ring formation.     

Different climate response of three tree ring proxies of Pinus sylvestris from the Eastern Carpathians,Romania

The aim of this study was to compare the climatic responses of three tree rings proxies: tree ring width (TRW), maximum latewood density (MXD), and blue intensity (BI). For this study, 20 cores of Pinus sylvestris covering the period 1886–2015 were extracted from living non-damaged trees from the Eastern Carpathian Mountains (Romania). Each chronology was compared to monthly and daily climate data. All tree ring proxies had a stronger correlation with the daily climate data compared to monthly data. The highest correlation coefficient was obtained between the MXD chronology and daily maximum temperature over the period beginning with the end of July and ending in the middle of September (r = 0.64). The optimal intervals for the temperature signature were 01 Aug – 24 Sept for the MXD chronology, 05 Aug – 25 Aug for the BI chronology, and both 16 Nov of the previous year – 16 March of the current year and 15 Apr – 05 May for the TRW chronology. The results from our study indicate that MXD can be used as a proxy indicator for summer maximum temperature, while TRW can be used as a proxy indicator for just March maximum temperature. The weak and unstable relationship between BI and maximum temperature indicates that BI is not a good proxy indicator for climate reconstructions over the analysed region.     

Stationarity of climate-growth response is only marginally influenced by the soil moisture regime in Western Siberia

Stationary (time-stable) relationships between a tree-ring proxy and climatic drivers are a prerequisite for using tree rings as paleo-climatological archives, but non-stationarity has been detected worldwide. Here we use a classical, temperature-sensitive treeline site in Western Siberia to specifically test the influence of micro-site conditions (wet versus dry) on the stationarity of climate-growth relationships in three co-existing conifer species: Larix sibirica Ledeb., Picea obovata Ledeb., and Pinus sibirica DuTour. We test two commonly used tree-ring proxies, annual tree-ring width (TRW) and maximum latewood density (MXD), using moving windows and the bootstrapped transfer function stability test (BTFS). Summer temperature is the main driver of tree growth in all three species, but non-stationarities exist in all species and both tree-ring proxies. For TRW, we found stationarity only for larch from both micro-sites, while for MXD, we found stationarity for spruce from both micro-sites, and for pine from the wet micro-site. Micro-site variability did not seem to affect stationarity in any systematic way. We highlight the necessity to systematically test the influence of different methods of stationarity tests, since BTFS was more sensitive than moving-window analysis. Taken together, our results underscore the importance of testing the assumption of stationarity for diverse micro-sites, different species and proxies at all sites prior to any tree-ring based temperature reconstruction, since even within one site results can be drastically different.     

Assessing non-linearity in European temperature-sensitive tree-ring data

We test the application of parametric, non-parametric, and semi-parametric calibration models for reconstructing summer (June–August) temperature from a set of tree-ring width and density data on the same dendro samples from 40 sites across Europe. By comparing the performance of the three calibration models on pairs” of tree-ring width (TRW) and maximum density (MXD) or maximum blue intensity (MXBI), we test whether a non-linear temperature response is more prevalent in TRW or MXD (MXBI) data, and whether it is associated with the temperature sensitivity and/or autocorrelation structure of the dendro parameters. We note that MXD (MXBI) data have a significantly stronger temperature response than TRW data as well as a lower autocorrelation that is more similar to that of the instrumental temperature data, whereas TRW exhibits a redder” variability continuum. This study shows that the use of non-parametric calibration models is more suitable for TRW data, while parametric calibration is sufficient for both MXD and MXBI data – that is, we show that TRW is by far the more non-linear proxy.     

May–June drought reconstruction over the past 821 years on the south-central Tibetan Plateau derived from tree-ring width series

Knowledge of drought variability and their possible mechanisms during the past hundred years is still limited in the mountainous region of south-central Tibetan Plateau (TP). In this study, a long-term tree-ring width chronology dating back to 1190 CE was combined using 328 increment cores from the Nagqu region. Based on the relationships between this tree-ring width chronology and climate data, we reconstructed May–June self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI) for the past 821 years (1190–2010 CE). Additional comparisons with other available precipitation or drought reconstructions were conducted. We further investigated the influence of the South Asian summer monsoon (SASM) on the drought variability in our study region. Results indicated that our tree-ring width chronology contained stable drought signal in the early summer season (May–June). During the past 821 years, the longest dry and wet periods lasted for 116 and 90 years, respectively, based on a 21-year Fast Fourier transform filter. Specifically, longer than ten years’ dry periods prevailed during 1211–1245 CE, 1280–1358, 1421–1471, 1500–1571, 1580–1598, 1650–1691, 1782–1807 and 1867–1982; while wet intervals occurred in 1190–1210 CE, 1246–1279, 1359–1420, 1472–1499, 1599–1649, 1692–1781, 1808–1866 and 1983–2010. Generally consistent dry and wet intervals across the southern TP were found by comparisons with other available datasets during their common periods. Interestingly, we detected an unstable influence of the SASM on the May–June drought variability in our study region, at least for the past three and a half centuries. This study therefore gives a new perspective of drought variability as well as their relationships with the SASM over a long-term period on the south-central TP.     

On the palaeoclimatic potential of a millennium-long oak ring width chronology from Slovakia

Although Slovakia is largely forested and rich in historical buildings, it is one of the few European countries without a millennium-long tree-ring chronology. In this study, we gather all available oak ring width data from Slovakia, establish a new composite chronology and assess its climate sensitivity. The nation-wide oak network includes 276 samples from historical buildings and 1028 modern series from material that was randomly collected at sawmills and wood submission sites across Slovakia. The final composite oak record covers the period from CE 967–2013, reflects a distinct hydroclimatic signal from late spring to early summer, and is highly correlated with other oak chronologies from surrounding countries. Although this study reveals a high degree of growth coherency and climate sensitivity inherent to the new Slovakian oak ring width chronology, changes in sample size at the transition from modern to relict material and further back in time limit any applicability to palaeoclimatic analysis.     

Developing tree ring chronologies from New Zealand matai (Prumnopitys taxifolia (D.Don) Laub.) for archaeological dating: Stable isotope dendrochronology

Aotearoa New Zealand has a rich cultural heritage but dating wooden objects using classic dendrochronology is challenging due to a paucity of master tree-ring width chronologies for species commonly identified in the archaeological record. This paper explores the potential for using a stable isotopic approach to dendrochronology for matai (Prumnopitys taxifolia (D.Don) Laub.). A total of six annual stable oxygen isotope (δ¹⁸O) series for matai growing in the Pureora Forest Reserve, were analysed and their oxygen isotopes found to exhibit a level of coherence that enabled cross-dating. A provisional chronology covering the period 1930–2018 CE was developed and tested against a sample of matai from the Kauaeranga Valley (200 km to the north of Pureora) and a sample of miro (Prumnopitys ferruginea (D.Don) Laub.). Miro is another species common in the cultural archive, but also difficult to date using ring-width dendrochronology. Both the Kaueranga matai and Pureora miro samples cross matched against the site chronology at the correct position, but with weaker dating statistics (Student’s t: 4.26 and 4.11 respectively) compared to the results obtained for two (non-2019) sampled Pureora matai analysed in this study (Student's t: 6.80 and 5.66). These results nevertheless demonstrate the presence of a regional-scale dating signal which may be developed for future use as a precision dating tool.