Trends in advanced breast cancer incidence rates after implementation of a mammography screening program in a German population

BackgroundMammography screening programs (MSPs) aim to detect early-stage breast cancers in order to decrease the incidence of advanced-stage breast cancers and to reduce breast cancer mortality. We analyzed the time trends of advanced-stage breast cancer incidence rates in the target population before and after implementation of the MSP in a region of northwestern Germany.MethodsThe MSP in the Münster district started in October 2005. A total of 13,874 women with an incident invasive breast cancer (BC) was identified by the population-based epidemiological cancer registry between 2000 and 2013 in the target group 50–69 years. Multiple imputation methods were used to replace missing data on tumor stages (10.4%). The incidence rates for early-stage (UICC I) and advanced-stage (UICC II+) BC were determined, and Poisson regression analyses were performed to assess trends over time.ResultsThe incidence rates for UICC I breast cancers increased during the step-up introduction of the MSP and remained elevated thereafter. By contrast, after increasing from 2006 to 2008, the incidence rates of UICC II+ breast cancers decreased to levels below the pre-screening period. Significantly decreasing UICC II+ incidence rates were limited to the age group 55–69 years and reached levels that were significantly lower than incidence rates in the pre-screening period.DiscussionThe incidence rates of advanced-stage breast cancers decreased in the age groups from 55 years to the upper age limit for screening eligibility, but not in the adjacent age groups. The findings are consistent with MSP lead time effects and seem to indicate that the MSP lowers advanced-stage breast cancer rates in the target population.     

Small area inequalities in breast cancer mortality and screening

Despite the unfavourable epidemiological status, the Hungarian breast cancer control is a non-appropriately developed system having considerable geographical inequalities. The study objective was to describe the small-area pattern of breast cancer mortality and of frequency of mammographical examination. The influence of socio-economical status on these patterns was also studied. The standardised mortality ratios and the standardised relative frequency of mammography was determined for settlements, zipcode areas and small regions. Their correlations were analysed with education, unemployment ratio, ratio of Gypsy and German ethnic minorities, population size, smoking, distance to the nearest hospital. The South-Transdanubian Region (STR, consisting of three counties, 22 small regions, 444 zipcode areas and 643 settlements) with 1 million inhabitants was the study area. All the studied parameters had significant spatial variability at all levels of aggregation. Beyond the relatively low average mortality risk in the STR, mortality clusters and increasing time trend were identified in certain areas. The mortality and the usage of mammography were inversely correlated with the indices of deprivation. These factors explain 64.5 and 17.5% of the whole variability of local mortality risks at the level of settlements and small regions. The explanatory role of these factors was similarly high for usage of mammography as well (40.2 and 52.6% for small regions and zipcode areas). The factors having the strongest influence were the population size (in settlement level mortality model), ratio of gypsies (in small region level mortality and mammography usage models) and ratio of Germans (in mammography usage model for zipcode areas). Inserting the counties' approaches for screening organisation into the model, it revealed that the population based screening organisation applied in Tolna county has the highest influence being 4.4 times stronger than the most important socio-economic factors.Altogether,it seems that the monitoring of spatial inequalities could improve the performance of breast cancer control identifying the populations with special needs, and there is a need to explore the pathways by which the socio-economic factors can exert their profound influence on the epidemiological status. Moreover, since the results clearly demonstrated that it is possible to achieve relatively high screening participation rates in Hungarian economical and legislative circumstances, the application of this successful method should be encouraged in other areas with low performance screening system.     

Incidence of breast cancer and estimates of overdiagnosis after the initiation of a population-based mammography screening program

Background:

There has been growing interest in the overdiagnosis of breast cancer as a result of mammography screening. We report incidence rates in British Columbia before and after the initiation of population screening and provide estimates of overdiagnosis.

Methods:

We obtained the numbers of breast cancer diagnoses from the BC Cancer Registry and screening histories from the Screening Mammography Program of BC for women aged 30–89 years between 1970 and 2009. We calculated age-specific rates of invasive breast cancer and ductal carcinoma in situ. We compared these rates by age, calendar period and screening participation. We obtained 2 estimates of overdiagnosis from cumulative cancer rates among women between the ages of 40 and 89 years: the first estimate compared participants with nonparticipants; the second estimate compared observed and predicted population rates.

Results:

We calculated participation-based estimates of overdiagnosis to be 5.4% for invasive disease alone and 17.3% when ductal carcinoma in situ was included. The corresponding population-based estimates were −0.7% and 6.7%. Participants had higher rates of invasive cancer and ductal carcinoma in situ than nonparticipants but lower rates after screening stopped. Population incidence rates for invasive cancer increased after 1980; by 2009, they had returned to levels similar to those of the 1970s among women under 60 years of age but remained elevated among women 60–79 years old. Rates of ductal carcinoma in situ increased in all age groups.

Interpretation:

The extent of overdiagnosis of invasive cancer in our study population was modest and primarily occurred among women over the age of 60 years. However, overdiagnosis of ductal carcinoma in situ was elevated for all age groups. The estimation of overdiagnosis from observational data is complex and subject to many influences. The use of mammography screening in older women has an increased risk of overdiagnosis, which should be considered in screening decisions.There is growing interest in the overdiagnosis of breast cancer resulting from mammography screening.^1,2 It has been suggested that incidence rates after the introduction of mammography screening are higher than would be expected from the early detection of clinically significant disease alone. The clinical importance of ductal carcinoma in situ has long been unclear, and recent attention has also focused on the potential overdiagnosis of invasive cancer.^1,3,4 Furthermore, more frequent screening, wider age ranges and higher false-positive rates in much of North America may result in increased overdiagnosis⁵ in comparison with Europe, the source of most reports.The Screening Mammography Program of BC provides bilateral 2-view mammography screening to female residents of British Columbia. The program began in 1988 at a single location and progressively expanded by adding centres in larger communities and extending mobile services; by 2000, geographic coverage was effectively 100%. Women aged 40–79 years are eligible to self-refer. Since 1997, women aged 40–49 years are reminded to return annually, and those over 50 years of age are reminded to return biennially. Women outside of this age-range can undergo screening with a physician’s referral. Rates of abnormal results on screening mammography in British Columbia are comparable to the community rates seen in the United States.⁶Our primary objective for this study was to estimate the extent of overdiagnosis of breast cancer due to screening. To do this, we examined cancer rates in the following subpopulations: all women 1970–1979, and women in 2005–2009 classified by active and nonactive participation in screening. From 1970 to 1979, screening was infrequent and no organized program existed. In the period 2005–2009, screening was well established and the use of hormone replacement therapy for menopause had declined.⁷ Our secondary objective was to determine the changes in population incidence of breast cancer, both invasive and ductal carcinoma in situ, following the implementation of a population-based screening program. Thus, we report an analysis of population age-specific incidence rates in British Columbia over a 40-year period (1970–2009).     

Breast cancer detection risk in screening mammography after a false-positive result

Background: False-positives are a major concern in breast cancer screening. However, false-positives have been little evaluated as a prognostic factor for cancer detection. Our aim was to evaluate the association of false-positive results with the cancer detection risk in subsequent screening participations over a 17-year period. Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study of 762,506 women aged 45–69 years, with at least two screening participations, who underwent 2,594,146 screening mammograms from 1990 to 2006. Multilevel discrete-time hazard models were used to estimate the adjusted odds ratios (OR) of breast cancer detection in subsequent screening participations in women with false-positive results. Results: False-positives involving a fine-needle aspiration cytology or a biopsy had a higher cancer detection risk than those involving additional imaging procedures alone (OR = 2.69; 95%CI: 2.28–3.16 and OR = 1.81; 95%CI: 1.70–1.94, respectively). The risk of cancer detection increased substantially if women with cytology or biopsy had a familial history of breast cancer (OR = 4.64; 95%CI: 3.23–6.66). Other factors associated with an increased cancer detection risk were age 65–69 years (OR = 1.84; 95%CI: 1.67–2.03), non-attendance at the previous screening invitation (OR = 1.26; 95%CI: 1.11–1.43), and having undergone a previous benign biopsy outside the screening program (OR = 1.24; 95%CI: 1.13–1.35). Conclusion: Women with a false-positive test have an increased risk of cancer detection in subsequent screening participations, especially those with a false-positive result involving cytology or biopsy. Understanding the factors behind this association could provide valuable information to increase the effectiveness of breast cancer screening.     

Eicosanoids in breast cancer patients before and after mastectomy.

In 19 patients with a malignant breast tumor, tumor tissue and blood were taken to determine the eicosanoid profile and platelet aggregation. Values were compared with those of patients with benign tumors (n = 4), or undergoing a mammary reduction (n = 7). Postoperatively, blood was taken as well in order to compare pre- and postoperative values. Eicosanoids were measured in peripheral blood monocytes and mammary tissue by means of HPLC; furthermore, TXA2, 6-keto-PGF1 alpha, and PGE2 were determined by RIA. Differences in pre- and postoperative values of cancer patients were seen in plasma RIA values: PGE2 and 6-k-PGF1 alpha were significantly higher preoperatively when compared with postoperatively, however, such differences were seen in the control groups as well. Compared to benign tumor or mammary reduction test material the eicosanoid profile of tissue obtained from malignant mammary tumors showed important differences. Except for PGF2 alpha, HHT and 15-HETE no detectable quantities of eicosanoids were found in the non-tumor material, whereas in the malignant tumor material substantial quantities of a number of eicosanoid metabolites were present. Statistically significant correlations could be established between patient/histopathology data and the results of the platelet aggregation assays, e.g. between menopausal status and ADP aggregation; oestrogen receptor (+/-) and collagen and arachidonic acid aggregation, inflammatory cell infiltration score and arachidonic acid aggregation and fibrosis score and ADP aggregation. The results show that eicosanoid synthesis in material from mammary cancer patients is different from that in benign mammary tissue. The implications, in particular, in relation to future prognosis of the patient, remain obscure.     

Mammographic screening and mortality from breast cancer: the Malm? mammographic screening trial.

STUDY OBJECTIVE--To determine whether mortality from breast cancer could be reduced by repeated mammographic screening. DESIGN--Birth year cohorts of city population separately randomised into study and control groups. SETTING--Screening clinic outside main hospital. PATIENTS--Women aged over 45; 21,088 invited for screening and 21,195 in control group. INTERVENTIONS--Women in the study group were invited to attend for mammographic screening at intervals of 18-24 months. Five rounds of screening were completed. Breast cancer was treated according to stage at diagnosis. END POINT--Mortality from breast cancer. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS--All women were followed up and classed at end point as alive without breast cancer, alive with breast cancer, dead from breast cancer, or dead from other causes. Cause of death was taken from national mortality registry and for patients with breast cancer was validated independently. Mean follow up was 8.8 years. Altogether 588 cases of breast cancer were diagnosed in the study group and 447 in the control group; 99 v 94 women died of all causes and 63 v 66 women died of breast cancer (no significant difference; relative risk 0.96 (95% confidence interval 0.68 to 1.35)). In the study group 29% more women aged less than 55 died of breast cancer (28 v 22; relative risk 1.29 (0.74 to 2.25)). More women in the study group died from breast cancer in the first seven years; after that the trend reversed, especially in women aged greater than or equal to 55 at entry. Overall, women in the study group aged greater than or equal to 55 had a 20% reduction in mortality from breast cancer (35 v 44; relative risk 0.79 (0.51 to 1.24)). OTHER FINDINGS--In the study group 100 (17%) cancers appeared in intervals between screenings and 107 (18%) in non-attenders; 51 of these women died from breast cancer. Cancers classed as stages II-IV comprised 33% (190/579) of cancers in the study group and 52% (231/443) in the control group. CONCLUSIONS--Invitation to mammographic screening may lead to reduced mortality from breast cancer, at least in women aged 55 or over.     

Incidence of breast cancer in Norway and Sweden during introduction of nationwide screening: prospective cohort study

Objective To determine whether any increase in the incidence of breast cancer in women detected by mammography is compensated for by a drop in the incidence after age 69, years when women are no longer invited for screening.Design Population based cohort study of incidence of breast cancer during the introduction of nationwide screening programmes.Setting Norway and Sweden.Participants All women aged above 30 years (1.4 and 2.9 million, respectively, in 2000).Main outcome measures Changes in age specific incidence rates of invasive breast cancer associated with the introduction of the screening programmes.Results As a result of screening the recorded incidence of breast cancer in women aged 50-69 years increased by 54% in Norway and 45% in Sweden. There was no corresponding decline in incidence after the age of 69 years.Conclusions Without screening one third of all invasive breast cancers in the age group 50-69 years would not have been detected in the patients'' lifetime. This level of overdiagnosis is larger than previously reported.     

The effect of the Flemish breast cancer screening program on breast cancer-specific mortality: A case-referent study

BackgroundBreast cancer screening programs were introduced in many countries worldwide following randomized controlled trials in the 1980s showing a reduction in breast cancer-specific mortality. However, their effectiveness remains debated and estimates vary. A breast cancer screening program was introduced in 2001 in Flanders, Belgium where high levels of opportunistic screening practices are observed. The effectiveness of this program was estimated by measuring its effect on breast cancer-specific mortality.MethodsWe performed a case-referent study to investigate the effect of participation in the Flemish population-based mammography screening program (PMSP) on breast cancer-specific mortality from 2005 to 2017. A multiple logistic regression model assessed the association between breast cancer-specific death and screening program participation status in the four years prior to (pseudo)diagnosis (yes/no), with adjustment for potential confounders (individual socio-economic position and calendar year of diagnosis) and stratified for age. In addition, we performed different sensitivity analyses.ResultsWe identified 1571 cases and randomly selected 6284 referents. After adjustment, women who participated in PMSP had a 51 % lower risk of breast cancer-specific mortality compared to those who did not (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] =0.49, 95 % CI: 0.44–0.55). Sensitivity analyses did not markedly change the estimated associations. Correction for self-selection bias reduced the effect size, but the estimate remained significant.ConclusionOur results indicate that in a context of high opportunistic screening rates, participation in breast cancer screening program substantially reduces breast cancer-specific mortality. For policy, these results should be balanced against the potential harms of screening, including overdiagnosis and overtreatment.     

Attending the breast screening programme after breast cancer treatment: A population-based study

IntroductionIn the Netherlands, breast cancer patients are treated and followed at least 5 years after diagnosis. Furthermore, all women aged 50–74 are invited biennially for mammography by the nationwide screening programme. The relation between the outpatient follow-up (follow-up visits in the outpatient clinic for 5 years after treatment) and the screening programme is not well established and attending the screening programme as well as outpatient follow-up is considered undesirable. This study evaluates potential factors influencing women to attend the screening programme during their outpatient follow-up (overlap) and the (re-)attendance to the screening programme after 5 years of outpatient follow-up.MethodsData of breast cancer patients aged 50–74 years, treated for primary breast cancer between 1996 and 2007 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry and linked to the National Breast Cancer Screening Programme in the Northern region. Cox regression analyses were used to study women (re-)attending the screening programme over time, possible overlap with the outpatient follow-up and factors influencing this.ResultsIn total 11 227 breast cancer patients were included, of whom 19% attended the screening programme after breast cancer treatment, 4.4% within 5 years and 15.4% after more than 5 years. Factors that independently influenced attendance within 5 years as well as more than 5 years after treatment were: interval tumours (HR 0.77; 95%CI 0.61–0.97 and HR 0.69; 95%CI 0.53–0.88, ref: screen-detected tumours), receiving adjuvant radiotherapy (HR 0.65; 95%CI 0.47–0.90 and HR 0.66; 95%CI 0.47–0.93; ref: none) and diagnosis of in situ tumours (HR 1.67; 95%CI 1.25–2.23 and HR 1.39; 95%CI 1.05–1.85; ref: stage I tumours). Non-screen related tumours (HR 0.41; 95%CI 0.29–0.58) and recent diagnosis (HR 0.89 per year; 95%CI 0.86–0.92) were only associated with attendance within 5 years after treatment.ConclusionThe interrelation between outpatient follow-up and screening should be improved to avoid overlap and low attendance to the screening programme after outpatient follow-up. Breast cancer patients should be informed that attending the screening programme during the outpatient follow-up is not necessary.     

Breast cancer following breast reduction surgery in Sweden

Women undergoing breast reduction surgery have been reported to be at low subsequent risk of breast cancer, especially when the surgery is performed after age 40. To evaluate the age and time-related patterns of cancer risk following surgical removal of breast tissue, we identified 31,910 women who underwent breast reduction surgery from 1965 to 1993 in Sweden using hospital discharge register data. There were 19,975 women (63 percent) under age 40 at surgery. Linkages with Swedish registries for cancer, death, and emigration were based on unique national registration numbers assigned to each Swedish resident. Cancer incidence was contrasted with that expected in the general population based on age- and calendar year-specific data from the nationwide cancer registry. Overall, 161 incident breast cancers were identified during 238,765 person-years of observation (mean, 7.5 years) compared with 223.9 expected (standardized incidence ratio = 0.72; 95 percent confidence interval = 0.61 to 0.84). The reduction in risk of breast cancer was most pronounced for women whose operations were performed after age 50 (SIR = 0.57) and for those followed for more than 5 years (SIR = 0.68). Among women operated on before age 40, risk was nonsignificantly elevated within the first 5 years after surgery (SIR = 1.47; 95 percent CI = 0.89 to 2.30) but tended to be reduced thereafter (SIR = 0.80; 95 percent CI = 0.55 to 1.13). The magnitude of the reduction in risk thus appears directly related to age at surgery. Women followed for an average of 7.5 years after bilateral breast reduction surgery, were at a statistically significant 28 percent decreased risk of breast cancer. The current study is thus consistent with a protective effect following partial removal of breast glandular tissue.