Changes in clinical features of coeliac disease in adults in Edinburgh and the Lothians 1960-79.

From 1960 to 1979 there was a threefold increase in the number of cases of coeliac disease diagnosed annually in adults in Edinburgh and the Lothians. Women accounted for 80% of the increase and their mean age at diagnosis was significantly reduced. The ratio of female to male new cases changed from 1.25 in the ''60s to 2.5 in the ''70s. In the period 1975-9 56 of 102 adults with coeliac disease presented with no gastrointestinal symptoms, including 30 cases diagnosed as a result of minor biochemical or haematological abnormalities, such as red-cell macrocytosis without anaemia. Over the same period, only 13 presented with a typical malabsorption syndrome compared to 24 of 38 (63%) in the years 1960-4. During 1975-9 58 new cases had no anaemia, compared with eight (21%) in the earlier period. Hypoproteinaemia (concentration less than 60 g/l) and hypocalcaemia of less than 2.00 mmol/l (8 mg/100 ml) were also less common. Though a real increase in the incidence of coeliac disease cannot be discounted, these changes are more likely to be the result of greater awareness of the disease and a lowered threshold for investigation.     

The Incidence of Other Gastroenterological Disease following Diagnosis of Irritable Bowel Syndrome in the UK: A Cohort Study

Background

Guidelines recommend Irritable Bowel Syndrome (IBS) diagnosis and management in primary care with minimal investigations; however little evidence exists regarding risk of organic gastrointestinal conditions following diagnosis of IBS and how such risks vary over the long term. This study assesses excess incidence of coeliac disease, inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and colorectal cancer (CRC) and variation with age and time after IBS diagnosis.

Methods

IBS patients and controls were identified within the UK Clinical Practice Research Dataset. Incidence rates were calculated and stratified by age and time since IBS diagnosis with incident rate ratios generated.

Results

Fifteen years after IBS diagnosis there is a significant cumulative excess incidence of coeliac disease, IBD and CRC in IBS of 3.7% compared to 1.7% in controls. For every 10000 patient years, IBS patients experienced an additional 4 diagnoses of coeliac disease, 13 of IBD and 4 CRCs. In each condition peak excess incidence was in the 6 months following diagnosis. After one year, increased incidence of coeliac disease remained consistent without variation by age. IBD incidence fell slowly, with higher rates in those under 30. CRC incidence was increased only in patients aged 30 to 74 during the first 5 years.

Conclusion

Some IBS patients later receive organic gastrointestinal diagnoses, with the early excess incidence likely detected during diagnostic investigation at the time of IBS diagnosis. More than 5 years after IBS diagnosis there is no increased risk of CRC compared to the general population, but a small excess risk of coeliac disease and IBD persists. Overall, though our findings provide reassurance that non-specialists, especially those in primary care, are unlikely to be missing an organic condition in the majority of their patients. This suggests that current guidelines suggesting avoidance of universal referral for these patients are appropriate.     

Coeliac disease in Type 1 diabetes from 1990 to 2009: higher incidence in young children after longer diabetes duration

Diabet. Med. 29, e286-e289 (2012) ABSTRACT: Aims To determine the incidence of coeliac disease in young people with Type?1 diabetes and to examine the effect of age at diabetes onset and disease duration. Methods This was a clinic-based observational cohort study of 4379 people aged ≤?18?years (49% male) between 1990 and 2009 from Sydney, Australia. Screening for coeliac disease was performed at diagnosis and 1-2?yearly using anti-endomysial and/or anti-tissue transglutaminase immunoglobulin?A (IgA) antibodies. Coeliac disease was diagnosed by small bowel biopsy based on Marsh score ≥?III. Results Coeliac disease was confirmed by biopsy in 185; of these, 61 (33%) were endomysial or tissue transglutaminase IgA antibody-positive at diabetes diagnosis. Mean age at diabetes onset was 6.6?±?4.0 vs. 8.4?±?4.1?years in those without coeliac disease (P?相似文献   

Epidemiology of malignant pleural mesotheliomas in Croatia in the period from 1989 to 1998

Malignant pleural mesotheliomas are rare tumors. Their occurrence is often associated with the exposure to asbestos. Asbestos is widely used in various industries as well as for many types of products in everyday use. In Croatia in the period from 1989 to 1998, the rate of incidence was 0.4-1.1/100,000. The highest rate of incidence was in the Districts of Istria (2.9) and Split-Dalmatia (2.5). It is more frequent among males than among females with a ratio of 3.2:1. It rarely occurs before the age of 40 and most of the patients suffering from the disease are more than 65 years old. About 12% of mesotheliomas metastasize into regional lymph nodes and 17% of them into distant organs. The disease unavoidably leads to death and, according to the data obtained in Croatia in the period from 1989 to 1998 the mortality and incidence are very close.     

Prevalence of hospitalized patients with sarcoidosis in Croatia

The aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence of hospitalized patients of sarcoidosis in the Republic of Croatia, its distribution in relation to sex and age as well as its geographical distribution. The data on sarcoidosis patients hospitalized in Croatia in the last six years, from 1997 to 2002, were analyzed retrospectively. The prevalence of sarcoidosis patients hospitalised in the Republic of Croatia is 4.1/100,000. The prevalence among women is 4.7 and among men 3.5 per 100,000 persons, with a ratio of 1.4:1. The disease more frequently occurs in the regions with a continental climate than in the Mediterranean zone. The ratio of sarcoidosis patients in the continental zone to the Mediterranean zone is 1.5:1. It occurs predominantly among the adults. Over the investigated period, in our country we have not registered any case of sarcoidosis among children. It occurs more frequently at a younger age and therefore 44.5% of the patients with sarcoidosis were between 20 and 39 years of age, 40.1% were between 40 and 59 years of age and 15.3% were more than 60 years old.     

Epidemiologic data of malignant melanoma in Osijek-Baranya County (Eastern Croatia) during the period of 2000-2008

During the past several decades there has been a substantial increase in the incidence of malignant melanoma worldwide. The highest incidences were reported in New Zealand and Australia. In Europe the northern countries generally have a higher incidence. The aim of this retrospective study was to provide the incidence and mortality for all patients with malignant melanoma diagnosed in Osijek-Baranya County, Eastern Croatia, during 2000-2008. In the past 30 years in the Republic of Croatia the incidence of melanoma increased by 337%. During the period of 2000-2006 in Osijek-Baranja County, the incidence of melanoma increased by 13%. The incidence of melanoma increases with age, but in past decades melanoma is more often diagnosed in people aged 25-40. The mortality between 2000 and 2008 increased by 18%. The incidence of melanoma generally increases equally in men and women. The most common localization of skin melanoma in males was trunk and in females the lower extremities. Presently, in Osijek-Baranya County melanoma is 15th on the list of malignant tumors and represent 2% of all malignant tumors. In New Zealand, Australia and European northern countries mortality is reduced, as result of earlier diagnosis and education of risk groups. Unfortunately, in Osijek-Baranya County, in a comparison with these countries, the mortality is higher although incidence is the same or lower.     

Diagnosis delay in Libyan female breast cancer

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: To study the diagnosis delay and its impact on stage of disease among women with breast cancer on Libya METHODS: 200 women, aged 22 to 75 years with breast cancer diagnosed during 2008--2009 were interviewed about the period from the first symptoms to the final histological diagnosis of breast cancer. This period (diagnosis time) was categorized into 3 periods: <3 months, 3--6 months, and >6 months. If diagnosis time was longer than 3 months, the diagnosis was considered delayed (diagnosis delay). Consultation time was the time taken to visit the general practitioner after the first symptoms. Retrospective preclinical and clinical data were collected on a form (questionnaire) during an interview with each patient and from medical records. RESULTS: The median of diagnosis time was 7.5 months. Only 30.0% of patients were diagnosed within 3 months after symptoms. 14% of patients were diagnosed within 3--6 months and 56% within a period longer than 6 months. A number of factors predicted diagnosis delay: Symptoms were not considered serious in 27% of patients. Alternative therapy (therapy not associated with cancer) was applied in 13.0% of the patients. Fear and shame prevented the visit to the doctor in 10% and 4.5% of patients, respectively. Inappropriate reassurance that the lump was benign was an important reason for prolongation of the diagnosis time. Diagnosis delay was associated with initial breast symptom(s) that did not include a lump (p < 0.0001), with women who did not report monthly self examination (p < 0.0001), with old age (p = 0.004), with illiteracy (p = 0.009), with history of benign fibrocystic disease (p = 0.029) and with women who had used oral contraceptive pills longer than 5 years (p = 0.043). At the time of diagnosis, the clinical stage distribution was as follows: 9.0% stage I, 25.5% stage II, 54.0% stage III and 11.5% stage IV.Diagnosis delay was associated with bigger tumour size (p <0.0001), with positive lymph nodes (N2, N3; p < 0.0001), with high incidence of late clinical stages (p < 0.0001), and with metastatic disease (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Diagnosis delay is very serious problem in Libya. Diagnosis delay was associated with complex interactions between several factors and with advanced stages. There is a need for improving breast cancer awareness and training of general practitioners to reduce breast cancer mortality by promoting early detection. The treatment guidelines should pay more attention to the early phases of breast cancer. Especially, guidelines for good practices in managing detectable of tumors are necessary.     

Epidemiological patterns of tuberculosis in Croatia in the period 1996-2005

The last comprehensive publication on tuberculosis in Croatia and the earliest impact of war, besides the yearly routine reports, was done in 1996 in Croatian. We were, therefore, interested to explore incidence trends and to highlight the early post-war tuberculosis epidemiological patterns in the next ten years period (1996-2005). A retrospective analysis of epidemiological data on all registered tuberculosis cases in Croatia searching the databases of 21 Croatian Public Health Institutes and the National Tuberculosis Registry was made. During the study period, the total tuberculosis incidence rates in Croatia dropped from 45 to 25.8/100 000 inhabitants. The average highest age-specific rates were recorded in the age group > or = 65 years being in decrease in all age groups. Paediatric cases (0-14 years) represented 4.5% of all cases. Tuberculosis cases among males were recorded in 64% cases, and 83.6% were indigenous population. Tuberculosis was bacteriologically confirmed in 67.7% cases. A low proportion of drug resistance (3.3%) was recorded. During 1985-2005, 56 tuberculosis cases among 242 AIDS cases were reported. Tuberculosis mortality showed a decreasing trend (p < 0.001). However, tuberculosis has still had the highest mortality rates among infectious diseases in Croatia. Despite the War chain of events and tuberculosis programmatic changes, tuberculosis incidence rates in Croatia have been decreasing but they are still far away from national target, incidence rate of 10/100 000 declared in 1998 and much higher than in European Union and Western Europe. Tuberculosis among children, resistance to tuberculosis drugs and HIV prevalence, significant problems in many European countries, have not caused problems in tuberculosis control in Croatia. This favourable epidemiological situation must be kept and improved through strengthened tuberculosis control measures.     

Progression of optic neuritis to multiple sclerosis in the County of Split-Dalmatia, Croatia

The aim of this study was to determine the incidence of monosymptomatic optic neuritis (MON) and progression of MON to multiple sclerosis (MS) from the Mediterranean region of southern Europe in the County of Split-Dalmatia, Croatia during the 11 years period from 1991 to 2001. This study was made retrospectively on the 87 cases (59 female, aged 25.9 +/- 11.3 and 28 male aged 29.9 +/- 9.2) of MON, which were treated at the Department of Ophthalmology and Department of Neurology, Split, University Hospital, from January 1991 to December 2001. In each case the diagnosis was confirmed by a chart review and cases were ascribed to the data of admittance at hospital. The annual incidence of MON was 1.9 per 100,000 (95% CI, 0.4-3.5). The incidence among males was 1.2 (95% CI, 0-2.9) cases / 100,000 per year and 2.5 (95% CI, 0.1-4.9) among females. A significant seasonal variations in the incidence of MON was not found (chi2 = 6.81, p = 0.08). MS developed in 20 of 87 patients (22.9%) and median time was 25 (SE 8) months, (95% CI, 9-41) after the MON onset. After two years 12.6% of patients with MON developed MS, 20.6% after 5 years and 22.9% after 10 years. MS was slightly but not significantly more frequent in women than in men (chi2 = 0.72, p = 0.3). In conclusion, the progression of MON to MS in the County of Split-Dalmatia, Croatia was at a relatively moderate frequency.     

Type 1 diabetes in pre-school children - long-term metabolic control, associated autoimmunity and complications

Diabet. Med. 29, 1291-1296 (2012) ABSTRACT: Aims To identify clinical characteristics and co-morbidity rates of children diagnosed with Type 1 diabetes mellitus at younger than 6?years of age. Methods Data were obtained from a retrospective chart review of 103 patients diagnosed with Type 1 diabetes at younger than 6?years (study group) and 220 patients at older than 6?years (comparison group). Measures of glycaemic control and occurrence of co-morbidities (coeliac disease, autoimmune thyroid disease, hypertension, nephropathy and retinopathy) were compared. Results The mean follow-up period was more than 8?years. For the study group, mean HbA(1c) levels ranged from 64?mmol/mol to 66?mmol/mol (8.0-8.2%) until age 10?years, and then rose to 73?mmol/mol (8.8%). The HbA(1c) levels were higher in the study than in the comparison group for comparable ages (P?=?0.003). After adjustment for duration of diabetes this difference was not significant. The overall rate of severe hypoglycaemic events was greater in the study group than in the comparison group (P?=?0.03). Kaplan-Meier diagnosis rates of celiac disease, 10?years after Type 1 diabetes diagnosis, were 14.4% and 4.2% in the study and comparison groups, respectively (P log-rank?=?0.03). There were no differences in rates of autoimmune thyroid disease, hypertension, nephropathy or retinopathy. Conclusions Children diagnosed with Type 1 diabetes before the age of 6?years were in greater risk of developing celiac disease, compared with children diagnosed after the age of 6?years. For children diagnosed with Type 1 diabetes aged under 6?years, good metabolic control was achievable until age 10?years, after which it deteriorated. Higher HbA(1c) levels observed in children diagnosed before the age of 6?years were associated with longer duration of disease.     

Time since childbirth and prognosis in primary breast cancer: population based study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether time since birth of last child was of prognostic importance in women with primary breast cancer. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study based on a population based database of breast cancer diagnoses with detailed information on tumour characteristics, treatment regimens, reproductive factors, and vital status. SETTING: Denmark. SUBJECTS: 5652 women with primary breast cancer aged 45 years or less at the time of diagnosis. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: 5 and 10 year survival; relative risk of dying. RESULTS: Women diagnosed in the first 2 years after last childbirth had a crude 5 year survival of 58.7% and 10 year survival of 46.1% compared with 78.4% and 66.0% for women whose last childbirth was more than 2 years before their diagnosis. After adjustment for age, reproductive factors, and stage of disease (tumour size, axillary nodal status, and histological grading), a diagnosis sooner than 2 years since last childbirth was significantly associated with a poor survival (relative risk 1.58, 95% confidence interval 1.24 to 2.02) compared with women who gave birth more than 5 years previously. Further analyses showed that the effect was not modified by age at diagnosis, tumour size, and nodal status. CONCLUSIONS: A diagnosis of breast cancer less than 2 years after having given birth is associated with a particularly poor survival irrespective of the stage of disease at debut. Therefore, a recent pregnancy should be regarded as a negative prognostic factor and should be considered in counselling these patients and in the decisions regarding adjuvant treatment.     

Analysis of fertility indices of cows with extended postpartum anestrus and other reproductive disorders compared to normal cows

An analysis of computerized data on the incidence and consequences of reproductive disorders was performed on 84,818 lactations in more than 100 high producing Kibbutz dairy herds during six semiannual recording periods. The average incidence of primary reproductive disorders, which included retained placenta, abnormal lochia, endometritis, postpartum anestrus, cystic ovaries, negative pregnancy examinations and repeat breeders, was 50.4%. During all recording periods we were able to observe recurrence and repeatability of these reproductive disorders and of the fertility indices consequently seen. Cows with uterine infections diagnosed and treated before Day 20 post partum had better fertility indices than those diagnosed and treated later. The conception rate to first inseminations and the overall conception rate to all inseminations of cows with postpartum anestrus was significantly lower, while the percentage of "problem cows" (not pregnant by Day 150 post partum) was significantly higher, than in normal cows. The incidence of cystic ovaries in cows with a previous diagnosis of reproductive disorders was 2 to 3 times higher when compared to cows without such a diagnosis.     

Unusually High Incidence of Paediatric Coeliac Disease in Sweden during the Period 1973 – 2013

Objective

The prevalence of coeliac disease in Sweden during the “epidemic period” (1984−1996) was one of the highest in the world. The aim of this study was to assess the coeliac disease incidence in our region over the 41-year period, and how diagnostic activity and diagnostic accuracy were affected by the introduction of antibody testing. We also looked into how patients with mild enteropathy were evaluated.

Methods

In the county of Östergötland in Sweden, 2790 paediatric patients were investigated for suspected coeliac disease between 1973 and 2013. Notes were scrutinised for data on sex, age, histopathological reports and final diagnosis. For comparative purposes this period was divided into three sub-periods (1973−1983, 1984−1996 and 1997−2013) named pre-epidemic, epidemic and post-epidemic.

Results

Coeliac disease diagnosis was received by 1,030 patients. The peak incidence rate, 301 cases/100,000 in 1994 for the age group 0−1.9 years is the highest figure ever reported. The other age groups, 2−4.9, 5−14.9, and 15−17.9 years, also had high incidence rates. After the 1984−1996 “epidemic period” the incidence decreased for the youngest group but continued to increase for the other groups. The cumulative incidence at 18 years-of-age for children born during the epidemic reached 14 cases/1000 births, the highest figure hitherto reported. Diagnostic activity differed significantly between the three sub-periods (p<0.001) increasing gradually from 1984 and reaching a peak value of 0.87 in 2012. Cases of mild enteropathy were more frequently regarded as non-coeliac disease cases, decreasing significantly in the “post-epidemic” period (p<0.001).

Conclusions

The incidence rate and cumulative incidence of coeliac disease were possibly the highest ever reported. Changes in diagnostic activity and accuracy could not be attributed to the introduction of new antibody tests, possibly because of other changes e.g. variations in the symptoms at presentation and improved knowledge of the disease among parents and health professionals.     

Quality of screening for diabetic retinopathy in the Rijeka region of Croatia

The aim of this study was to compare the quality of screening for diabetic retinopathy in cities of Rijeka and Zagreb, Croatia. Review of a random sample of 500 diabetic patient records and prospective ophthalmologic survey of 466 randomly selected diabetic patients in a secondary level diabetologic service in Rijeka (coastal region of Croatia). The main outcome measures were proportion of diabetic patient records with notes on ophthalmologic examination; rate of diabetic patients involved with screening for diabetic retinopathy; comparison with rates in Zagreb (Croatian capital). A total of 67% patients visited the ophthalmologist at least once after diagnosed with diabetes, and notes on ophthalmologic examination were found in only 28% patient records. Fifty percent of patients underwent an ophthalmologic examination within two years. Only one third of patients diagnosed with DM in last two years visited the ophthalmologist within this time, and 14% of patients older than 50 years never visited the ophthalmologist. Model of screening for diabetic retinopathy in Croatia works better in Zagreb than in Rijeka region, and needs certain improvements. The authors suggested modern methods of screening, the incorporation of the mechanisms of quality control, the obligatory reporting of newly diagnosed diabetic patients to the national registry, and the direct referral from diabetologist to ophthalmologist.     

Screening of coeliac disease in undetected adults and patients diagnosed with irritable bowel syndrome in Riyadh,Saudi Arabia

The present study is to determine the prevalence and implication of coeliac disease (CD) among adult Saudis and compared to those with diagnosed irritable bowel syndrome. This prospective study was conducted among 980 adults. Out of that, 482 subjects (staff and students of Riyadh Health Science College) were designated as control cohorts for undetected coeliac disease. Furthermore, another contingent of 498 subjects diagnosed with irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) at Prince Salman Hospital and Al-Iman General Hospital also constituted a segment of the overall initial 1020 subjects. Both cases and control were tested for serological markers of coeliac disease (tissues transglutaminase (tTGAs) and endomysial autoantibody (EMAs) and were confirmed by histopathology test. All the positive for cases of coeliac disease were screened for iron deficiency anaemia, Vitamin D deficiency, and osteoporosis and weight assessment. The percentage of coeliac disease in control subjects and patients diagnosed with irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) were found to be 1.9% and 9.6% respectively, about 38% of the total coeliac disease patients are among females of middle age (20–39-years) and 16% of the males in the same age range. Whereas, 20% and 25% of all coeliac disease cases with ages of 40–59 were remarked as females and males respectively. The identical nature and overlap of symptoms of the two conditions could possibly result in misdiagnosis of coeliac diseases or over-diagnosis of irritable bowel syndrome. The findings of the study might also give considerable implications of the disease in the nutritional level which is noticeable.     

Cervical cancer in Croatia: state of the art and possibilities for prevention

In Croatia, there are about 355 incident cases and about 100 deaths from cervical cancer every year. The aim of this study is to present the trends of cervical cancer incidence and mortality and to propose preventive strategies for cervical cancer in Croatia. Age-standardised and age-specific cervical cancer incidence rates were calculated for the period 1985-2004. For cervical cancer mortality data, the WHO Mortality Database was used. After an early decrease of cervical cancer incidence and mortality following the introduction of opportunistic screening in Croatia, no further decrease has been observed since the 1990s. An increase in incidence over the last 20 years was observed in the age-groups 40-44 and 45-49 years. To reduce cervical cancer rates, an organised cervical cancer screening programme is essential. In addition, HPV vaccination should be introduced in the school vaccination programme to achieve further reductions in cervical cancer incidence in the future.     

Prognosis in Early Adult Life of Coeliac Children Treated with a Gluten-free Diet

Long-term follow up of 57 young adults with coeliac disease diagnosed in childhood showed that 13 had relapsed clinically and had resumed a gluten-free diet Of the remainder, who were taking a normal diet and were apparently normal, 19 had low serum folate levels and 11 low serum iron levels. Pregnancy was found particularly likely to provoke an overt relapse.Only six patients were found to be stunted in height, while the menarche had occurred within the average range. The study also confirmed the very low present-daymortality rate of coeliac disease in childhood, which at the Hospital for Sick Children in London has been 0·4% between 1951 and 1968. In view of the finding that childhood coeliac disease usually persists, even though not causing symptoms, it is suggested that the use of a gluten-free diet should be lifelong.     

The incidence of optic neuritis in Split-Dalmatia county, Croatia

The aim of the study was to determine the incidence of monosymptomatic optic neuritis (MON) in residents of Split-Dalmatia County, Croatia. The 127 cases (83 female, aged 26.2+/-9.9 and 44 male aged 26.9+/-11.2) with MON presented between January 1985 and December 2001 were analyzed from hospital data. The annual incidence was 1.6 per 100,000 (95% CI, 0-3). The incidence among females was 2.2 (95% CI, 0-4.6) cases / 100,000 per year and 1.1 (95% CI, 0-3) among males. The difference in incidence rates for women vs. men was not significant (chi2=0.41; p=0.52), although it is more likely that a true difference exists. The peak incidence in both sexes observed in the group 20-29 years of age was 4.2 (95% CI, 0-10). The highest incidence of MON was found in spring (46 cases). In summary, the incidence of MON in Split-Dalmatia County during the 17 years period is relatively low.     

Predictive value for coeliac disease of antibodies to gliadin,endomysium, and jejunum in patients attending for jejunal biopsy.

OBJECTIVE--To investigate the extent to which the detection of antibodies to gliadin, endomysium, and jejunum predicts the eventual diagnosis of coeliac disease according to the revised ESPGAN diagnostic criteria in a group of patients in whom there is a high suspicion of coeliac disease. DESIGN--Clinical assessment and laboratory analysis of patients with suspected coeliac disease. SETTING--Gastroenterology department of teaching hospital. PATIENTS--96 adults with suspected coeliac disease attending for jejunal biopsy. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Diagnosis of coeliac disease with the revised criteria of the European Society of Paediatric Gastroenterology and Nutrition in patients with and without antibodies associated with coeliac disease. RESULTS--28 patients had a clinical diagnosis of coeliac disease, seven of other gastrointestinal diseases, and 12 of miscellaneous diseases; 49 had no diagnosis. Gliadin IgA detected by ELISA was found in all patients with coeliac disease and none of those without, giving a sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and predictive efficiency of 100% for diagnosing coeliac disease within the group. Endomysial IgA was found in 25 (89%) patients with coeliac disease and jejunal IgA in 21 (75%); neither IgA was found in patients without coeliac disease. CONCLUSION--Detection of gliadin IgA by ELISA and to a lesser extent the endomysial IgA should allow better selection of patients for jejunal biopsy and thus make diagnosing coeliac disease simpler and more efficient.     

Cervical cancer after multiple negative cytologic tests in long-term members of a prepaid health plan

OBJECTIVE: To estimate squamous cell cervical cancer incidence within 3.5 years of 1, 2 and > or = 3 consecutive, normal cytologic tests. STUDY DESIGN: Data were from a case-control study of cervical cancer screening efficacy. Long-term members of a prepaid health plan diagnosed with cancer from 1983 to 1995 (the cases) were grouped by number of prior conventional cytologic tests and by time from the last negative screening test to the diagnosis date. Women from the population at risk were estimated by multiplying the timated by multiplying the proportions of women without cancer (the matched controls) in each screening category by the numbers of long-term of the numbers of long-term female members enrolled from male members enrolled from 1983 to 1995. RESULTS: Of an estimated 6,802,641 woman-years of observation, 129 cases were diagnosed within 3.5 years of > or = 21 negative screening test. After > or = 3 consecutive negative tests, incidence per 100,000 woman-years grouped by time from the last negative screening test were: 1.43 (26/1,813,552) 0-18 months later, 4.24 (17/400,584) 19-30 months later and 4.73 (10/211,217) 31- 42 months later. CONCLUSION: The first 18 months after the last negative screening Pap test in women with > or = 3 prior negative tests, cancer incidence increases to an estimated 4-5 per 100,000 woman-years in each of the subsequent 2 years.