The concept of negativity in experimental carcinogenesis

The problems that arise in the interpretation of experimental data on chemical carcinogenesis are addressed. In particular, the difficulties in demonstrating negative results are shown to present problems in delineating carcinogens from noncarcinogens. The use of the virtually safe dose estimated under the assumption of low dose linearity is shown to lead to potentially anomalous results if used indiscriminately in bioassays in which no statistically significant increase in tumor occurrence is induced. It is suggested that there is a need to establish an operational definition of negativity in carcinogenesis, with the realization that this definition may be revised in light of new information. The establishment of negativity in aligning data from positive and negative experiments and in considering possible thresholds is also discussed.     

Dose response problems in carcinogenesis.

The estimation of risks from exposure to carcinogens is an important problem from the viewpoint of protection of human health. It also poses some very difficult dose-response problems. Two dose-response models may fit experimental data about equally well and yet predict responses that differ by many orders of magnitude at low doses. Mechanisms of carcinogenesis are not sufficiently understood so that the shape of the dose-response curve at low doses can be satisfactorily predicted. Mathematical theories of carcinogenesis and statistical procedures can be of use with dose-reponse problems such as this and, in addition, can lead to a better understanding of the mechanisms of carcinogenesis. In this paper, mathematical dose-response models of carcinogenesis are considered as well as various proposed dose-response procedures for estimating carcinogenic risks at low doses. Areas are suggested in which further work may be useful. These areas include experimental design problems, statistical procedures for use with time-to-occurrence data, and mathematical models that incorporate such biological features as pharmacokinetics of carcinogens, synergistic effects, DNA repair, susceptible subpopulations, and immune reactions.     

Origin of scalp far-field N18 of SSEPs in response to median nerve stimulation

To identify the origin of scalp-recorded far-field negativity of short-latency somatosensory evoked potentials to median nerve stimulation (designated N18), direct records were made from the thalamus and ventricular system during 4 stereotaxic and 3 posterior fossa operations.In the thalamus a negative potential with almost the same latency as the scalp N18 was restricted to the Vim nucleus, but there was a large positive potential in the VC nucleus and medial lemniscus. Vim negativity increased in amplitude when high frequency stimulation was given to the median nerve, indicative of a facilitation effect. In contrast, the amplitude of scalp N18 decreased at high frequency stimulus.Direct recordings made through the medulla oblongata to the mid-brain showed a negative potential with gradually increasing latency. Above the upper pons, there was stationary negativity with no latency shift. The similarity between this negative potential and N18 is shown by their having the same latency and same response to the amplitude reduction and latency prolongation produced by high frequency stimulus.Our data suggest that scalp N18 comes from brain-stem activity between the upper pons and the mid-brain rather than from the thalamus.     

Neural Correlates of Processing Negative and Sexually Arousing Pictures

Recent work has questioned whether the negativity bias is a distinct component of affective picture processing. The current study was designed to determine whether there are different neural correlates of processing positive and negative pictures using event-related brain potentials. The early posterior negativity and late positive potential were greatest in amplitude for erotic pictures. Partial Least Squares analysis revealed one latent variable that distinguished erotic pictures from neutral and positive pictures and another that differentiated negative pictures from neutral and positive pictures. The effects of orienting task on the neural correlates of processing negative and erotic pictures indicate that affective picture processing is sensitive to both stimulus-driven, and attentional or decision processes. The current data, together with other recent findings from our laboratory, lead to the suggestion that there are distinct neural correlates of processing negative and positive stimuli during affective picture processing.     

A stochastic two-stage carcinogenesis model: a new approach to computing the probability of observing tumor in animal bioassays.

A new definition of probability of observing tumor in animal bioassay is developed. It is derived from a two-stage stochastic model for carcinogenesis with time-dependent birth and death rates for cell proliferation. The model takes into account the method of collecting data on preneoplastic and neoplastic lesions. The new definition is appropriate for analyzing the presence or absence of tumors in animal bioassays.     

Incorporation of biological information in cancer risk assessment: Example — Vinyl chloride

Vinyl chloride (VC) is used as an example to demonstrate how biological information can be incorporated into quantitative risk assessment. The information included is the pharmacokinetics of VC in animals and humans and the data-generated hypothesis that VC primarily affects the initiation stage of the multistage carcinogenesis. The emphasis in this paper is on the improvement of risk assessment methodology rather than the risk assessment of VC per se.Sufficient data are available to construct physiologically-based pharmacokinetic models for both animals and humans. These models are used to calculate the metabolized dose corresponding to exposure scenarios in animals and in humans.On the basis of the data on liver angiosarcomas and carcinomas in rats, the cancer risk per unit of metabolized dose is comparable, irrespective of routes (oral or inhalation) of exposure. The tumor response from an intermittent/partial lifetime exposure is shown to be consistent with that from a lifetime exposure when VC is assumed to affect the first (initiation) stage of the multistage carcinogenic process. Furthermore, the risk estimates calculated on the basis of animal data are shown to be consistent with the human experience.     

Utilizing Cause-of-Death Information to Estimate Conditional Probabilities of Disease and Death

Conditional probabilities that do not require the assumption of independence among competing risks for identifiability are proposed for the analysis of carcinogenesis bioassay data as a reasonable adjustment for deaths or other removals due to competing risks. These conditional probabilities permit consideration of one type of tumor at a time, but in such a way that inferences are relevant to actual experimental conditions under which other diseases and causes of death are present and operating. The importance of assigning cause of death in bioassays is demonstrated by the fact that it allows the definition and identification of functions useful in the interpretation of carcinogenesis data, without requiring that a disease of interest be independent from competing risks. However, one proposed conditional probability does require sacrifice data for its identifiability.     

Negativity Bias in Dangerous Drivers

The behavioral and cognitive characteristics of dangerous drivers differ significantly from those of safe drivers. However, differences in emotional information processing have seldom been investigated. Previous studies have revealed that drivers with higher anger/anxiety trait scores are more likely to be involved in crashes and that individuals with higher anger traits exhibit stronger negativity biases when processing emotions compared with control groups. However, researchers have not explored the relationship between emotional information processing and driving behavior. In this study, we examined the emotional information processing differences between dangerous drivers and safe drivers. Thirty-eight non-professional drivers were divided into two groups according to the penalty points that they had accrued for traffic violations: 15 drivers with 6 or more points were included in the dangerous driver group, and 23 drivers with 3 or fewer points were included in the safe driver group. The emotional Stroop task was used to measure negativity biases, and both behavioral and electroencephalograph data were recorded. The behavioral results revealed stronger negativity biases in the dangerous drivers than in the safe drivers. The bias score was correlated with self-reported dangerous driving behavior. Drivers with strong negativity biases reported having been involved in mores crashes compared with the less-biased drivers. The event-related potentials (ERPs) revealed that the dangerous drivers exhibited reduced P3 components when responding to negative stimuli, suggesting decreased inhibitory control of information that is task-irrelevant but emotionally salient. The influence of negativity bias provides one possible explanation of the effects of individual differences on dangerous driving behavior and traffic crashes.     

Duffy-null promoter heterozygosity reduces DARC expression and abrogates adhesion of the P. vivax ligand required for blood-stage infection

The Duffy blood group antigen is an essential receptor for Plasmodium vivax entry into erythrocytes in a process mediated by the parasite ligand, the Duffy binding protein (DBP). Recently, individuals living in a malaria endemic region of Papua New Guinea were identified as heterozygous for a new allele conferring Duffy negativity, which results in 50% less Duffy antigen on their erythrocytes. We demonstrate that DBP adherence to erythrocytes is significantly reduced for erythrocytes from heterozygous individuals who carry one Duffy antigen negativity allele. These data provide evidence that emergence of this new allelic form of Duffy negativity is correlated with resistance against vivax malaria.     

Dose-response and thresholds in mutagenicity studies: a statistical testing approach

The analysis of dose-response relationships is an important objective in toxicology, and one in which both modelling and testing approaches are used. One particular question is whether a threshold exists at low doses. The concept of a pragmatic threshold is used, i.e. low doses with biologically unimportant effects are assumed to be threshold doses. "Biologically unimportant" means, in statistical terms, a lower effect than the effect of the negative control, or at least a just-tolerable margin delta higher than the effect of the negative control. Therefore, threshold doses can be tested in terms of a one-sided hypothesis of equivalence. A new approach is proposed, assuming, at the least, that the low dose is a threshold dose, and the highest dose is superior to the negative control. By analogy to the k-fold rule commonly used in mutagenicity studies, tests on ratio-to-control are used. The a priori definition of the threshold margin is inherently needed. A further approach proposes the analysis of dose-response relationships by means of order-restricted inference (the so-called trend test). A modification of a multiple-contrast test is used, in which only those contrasts are included that are sensitive for no effects at low doses. A further modification treats the complicated, but real, problem of simultaneous existence of a threshold, a monotonic increase, and a downturn effect at high dose(s). A parametric procedure is considered, together with an extension for proportions. The important problem of a priori sample size definition is discussed. The approaches are demonstrated by means of examples based on real data.     

A survey of EPA/OPP and open literature on selected pesticide chemicals. III. Mutagenicity and carcinogenicity of benomyl and carbendazim

The known aneuploidogens, benomyl and its metabolite, carbendazim (methyl 2-benzimidazole carbamate (MBC)), were selected for the third in a series of ongoing projects with selected pesticides. Mutagenicity and carcinogenicity data submitted to the US Environmental Protection Agency's (US EPA's) Office of Pesticide Programs (OPP) as part of the registration process are examined along with data from the open literature. Mutagenicity and carcinogenicity profiles are developed to provide a complete overview and to determine whether an association can be made between benomyl- and MBC-induced mouse liver tumors and aneuploidy. Since aneuploidogens are considered to indirectly affect DNA, the framework adopted by the Agency for evaluating any mode of action (MOA) for carcinogenesis is applied to the benomyl/MBC data.Both agents displayed consistent, positive results for aneuploidy induction but mostly negative results for gene mutations. Non-linear dose responses were seen both in vitro and in vivo for aneuploidy endpoints. No evidence was found suggesting that an alternative MOA other than aneuploidy may be operative. The data show that by 14 days of benomyl treatment, events associated with liver toxicity appear to set in motion the sequence of actions that leads to neoplasms. Genetic changes (as indicated by spindle impairment leading to missegregation of chromosomes, micronucleus induction and subsequent aneuploidy in bone marrow cells) can commence within 1-24h after dosing, well within the time frame for early key events. Critical steps associated with frank tumor formation in the mouse liver include hepatotoxicity, increased liver weights, cell proliferation, hypertrophy, and other steps involving hepatocellular alteration and eventual progression to neoplasms. The analysis, however, reveals weaknesses in the data base for both agents (i.e. no studies on mouse tubulin binding, no in vivo assays of aneuploidy on the target tissue (liver), and no clear data on cell proliferation relative to dose response and time dependency). The deficiencies in defining the MOA for benomyl/MBC introduce uncertainties into the analysis; consequently, benomyl/MBC induction of aneuploidy cannot be definitively linked to mouse liver carcinogenicity at this time.     

Is racism the new sectarianism? Negativity towards immigrants and ethnic minorities in Northern Ireland from 2004 to 2015

Negativity towards ethnic minorities is a serious problem in Northern Ireland. Its history of the Troubles around religious identities makes Northern Ireland a special case in Europe. This paper examines negativity towards Muslims, Eastern Europeans and immigrants in Northern Ireland using data from the Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey and the British Social Attitudes Survey. The results from regressions show that anti-immigrant negativity is no more prevalent in Northern Ireland than elsewhere in the UK. However, levels of negativity towards Muslims and Eastern Europeans are significantly higher than in Great Britain and have increased in recent years, particularly among young adults aged 18–24 years, although older cohorts are more intolerant on average. Our regression analyses found strong positive relationships between anti-immigrant negativity, sectarianism and perceived neighbourhood segregation. Higher education, contacts with minority members and (religiously) mixed schooling are negatively related to negativity towards immigrants.     

Mismatch negativity as a characteristic of the distinguishing locating capacity of the human auditory system

Mismatch negativity has been studied under the conditions of dichotic stimulation by deviant stimuli that either changed their azimuth from zero to 4.5°, 13.5°, and 22.5° or moved with small velocities from the head midline to one of the ears. The reference stimuli were located along the head midline. Our experiments have shown that both a discontinuous increase in the azimuth and an increase in the velocity of moving stimuli are accompanied by an increase in the amplitude of mismatch negativity. This process is more pronounced in the cases of (1) an instantaneous change in the deviant azimuth compared to its movement, (2) a longer duration of the deviant sound, (3) action of the deviant in the right hemisphere, and (4) the frontal derivation. The correlations of changes in the mismatch negativity with psychophysical data on the resolution of the human auditory system are considered.     

International Commission for Protection against Environmental Mutagens and Carcinogens. ICPEMC publication No. 13. The need for biological risk assessment in reaching decisions about carcinogens

The prudent assumption that carcinogen bioassays in rodents predict for human carcinogenicity is examined. It is suggested that in certain cases, as for example the induction of tumors against a high incidence in controls, or in situations in which high dose toxicity may be a critical factor in the induction of cancer, the probability that animal bioassays predict for humans may be low. The term 'biological risk assessment' is introduced to describe that part of risk assessment concerned with the relevance of specific animal results to the induction of human cancer. Biological risk assessment, which is almost entirely dependent on an understanding of carcinogenesis mechanisms, is an important addition to present mathematical modeling used to predict the effects of animal carcinogens that have been demonstrated after high dose exposure, to the effects of the much smaller doses to which humans are perceived to be exposed. Evidence for the conclusions reached by biological risk assessment may sometimes be supported by a careful review of human epidemiological data.     

Model of accelerated carcinogenesis based on proliferative stress and inflammation for doses relevant to radiotherapy

Recent findings demonstrate that accelerated carcinogenesis following liver regeneration is associated with chronic inflammation-induced double-strand DNA breaks in cells, which escaped apoptosis due to proliferative stress. In this work, proliferative stress and inflammation-based carcinogenesis at large dose were included in a cancer induction model considering fractionation. At large dose, tissue injury due to irradiation could be so severe that under the regenerative proliferative stress induced by cell loss, the genomic unstable cells generated during irradiation and/or inflammation escape senescence or apoptosis and reenter the cell cycle, triggering enhanced carcinogenesis. This acceleration—modeled to be proportional to the number of repopulated cells—is only significant, however, when tissue injury is severe and thus proportional to the cell loss in the tissue. The general solutions to the resulting differential equations for carcinoma induction were computed. In case of full repopulation or acute low-dose irradiation, the acceleration term disappears from the equation describing cancer induction. The acceleration term is affecting the dose–response curve for carcinogenesis only at large doses. An example for bladder cancer is shown. An existing model for cancer induction after fractionated radiotherapy which is based on cell mutations was extended here by including the effects of inflammation and proliferative stress, and an additional model parameter was established which describes acceleration. The new acceleration parameter affects the dose–response model only at large dose and is only effective when the tissue is not capable of fully repopulating between dose fractions.     

Temporal analysis of a dose-response relationship: leukemia mortality in atomic bomb survivors

A data analysis that incorporates time dependencies is demonstrated for the dose response of leukemia mortality in the atomic bomb survivors. The time dependencies are initially left unspecified and the data on leukemia mortality--up to the end of 1978--are used to infer them. Several findings based on T65 revised doses (T65DR) are obtained. First, it is shown that the fits to the data of time-dependent L (linear in gamma dose)-Q (quadratic in gamma dose)-L (linear in neutron dose), L-L, and Q-L dose-response models are significantly improved (P less than 0.001) by using the corresponding time-dependent dose-response models. Second, it is shown that the increased risk of leukemia mortality due to gamma irradiation decreases in time while the increased risk due to neutron exposure decreases more slowly, if at all, in time. Consequently, relative biological effectiveness (RBE) of neutrons is shown to increase in time (P = 0.002) and the current definition of RBE as a time-independent quantity is therefore challenged. It is demonstrated with time-dependent models that the L-L model has a poor fit (P = 0.01) to the data for the first 7 years of study, but has an adequate fit for the remaining 21 years. In contrast the Q-L model has an adequate fit for the entire follow-up period (P greater than 0.30).     

Amplification of the c-myc oncogene in radiation-induced rat skin tumors as a function of linear energy transfer and dose.

The c-myc oncogene was previously shown to be amplified in large, later-stage carcinomas of the rat skin induced by 0.8-MeV electrons. In a panel of 70 tumors induced by neon ions (45 keV/microns), c-myc amplification was rare, and in contrast to the data for tumors induced by low-linear-energy transfer (LET) (0.3 keV/microns) radiation, showed no correlation with tumor size, growth period, or time, but was associated with radiation dose. The tissue specificity for c-myc amplification seen in tumors induced by electrons was not seen in tumors induced by neon ions. These results suggest that quite distinct molecular mechanisms operate even in late stages of carcinogenesis that depend on the LET of the inducing radiation. Furthermore, the results suggest that c-myc amplification observed in tumors induced by low-LET radiation is not a general property of rat skin carcinomas, but is linked mechanistically to the inducing radiation, even though it is not detectable until many months after exposure and tumor appearance.     

Probability of response models and DNA repair: a statistical-biological approach

This paper develops a simple statistical model, the weighted hazard model, which incorporates the toxicological idea of DNA repair and its role in chemical carcinogenesis. We restrict attention to a small segment of DNA that migrates in and out of the high risk states; it is shown that random hazard functions play an important role in the distributional properties of the time to first detectable tumor. Included in the many shapes of the weighted hazard model is one that has a shape in the low dose region similar to that of the probit model, a model that many toxicologists favor. The analyses of two data sets are presented and interpreted, and suggestions for further research are given.     

Pathogenesis of human cancer]

The multistep aspects of carcinogenesis including initiation and promotion problems in both human and experimental hepatocarcinogenesis are discussed, especially in terms of oncogene and antioncogene changes. It is shown that the H-ras activation may be an event occurring in relatively late phase of carcinogenesis in the mouse systems, and that hepatitis B integration frequently causes host chromosomal rearrangement possibly leading to inactivation of cancer suppressor genes. In addition, significance of endogenously-produced nitrosamines in hepatocarcinogenesis is pointed out.     

Climate change and human skin cancer.

As part of an inventory of potential interactions between effects of ozone depletion and climate change, a possible effect of ambient temperature on sun-induced skin cancers was suggested. Mouse experiments had shown that increased room temperature enhanced ultraviolet (UV) radiation-induced carcinogenesis; the effective UV dose was increased by 3-7% per degrees C. The present investigation was aimed at studying a possible temperature effect on human skin cancer. Existing data on the incidence of human skin cancer were analyzed, as available from two special surveys of non-melanoma skin cancer in the United States. The incidence of non-melanoma skin cancer in the ten regions surveyed not only correlated significantly with the ambient UV dose but also with the average daily maximum temperature in summer. For squamous cell carcinoma the incidence was higher by 5.5% (SE 1.6%) per degrees C and for basal cell carcinoma by 2.9% (SE 1.4%) per degrees C. These values correspond to an increase of the effective UV dose by about 2% per degrees C. Although the precise nature of this correlation with temperature requires further studies, it can be concluded that the temperature rises coming with climate change can indeed amplify the induction of non-melanoma skin cancers by UV radiation in human populations.