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1.
Human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1)-infected subjects treated early after infection have preserved HIV-1-specific CD4+ T-cell function. We studied the effect of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) on the frequency of HIV-1-specific CD8+ T cells in patients treated during early (n = 31) or chronic (n = 23) infection. The degree of viral suppression and time of initiation of treatment influenced the magnitude of the CD8+ T-cell response. HIV-1-specific CD8+ T cells can increase in number after HAART in subjects treated early after infection who have episodes of transient viremia.  相似文献   

2.

Background

In HIV infection, initiation of treatment is associated with improved clinical outcom and reduced rate of sexual transmission. However, difficulty in detecting infection in early stages impairs those benefits. We determined the minimum testing rate that maximizes benefits derived from early diagnosis.

Methods

We developed a mathematical model of HIV infection, diagnosis and treatment that allows studying both diagnosed and undiagnosed populations, as well as determining the impact of modifying time to diagnosis and testing rates. The model’s external consistency was assessed by estimating time to AIDS and death in absence of treatment as well as by estimating age-dependent mortality rates during treatment, and comparing them with data previously reported from CASCADE and DHCS cohorts.

Results

In our model, life expectancy of patients diagnosed before 8 years post infection is the same as HIV-negative population. After this time point, age at death is significantly dependent on diagnosis delay but initiation of treatment increases life expectancy to similar levels as HIV-negative population. Early mortality during HAART is dependent on treatment CD4 threshold until 6 years post infection and becomes dependent on diagnosis delay after 6 years post infection. By modifying testing rates, we estimate that an annual testing rate of 20% leads to diagnosis of 90% of infected individuals within the first 8.2 years of infection and that current testing rate in middle-high income settings stands close to 10%. In addition, many differences between low-income and middle-high incomes can be predicted by solely modifying the diagnosis delay.

Conclusions

To increase testing rate of undiagnosed HIV population by two-fold in middle-high income settings will minimize early mortality during initiation of treatment and global mortality rate as well as maximize life expectancy. Our results highlight the impact of achieving early diagnosis and the importance of strongly work on improving HIV testing rates.  相似文献   

3.
The effect of Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy (HAART) on binding and neutralizing antibody responses to human immunodeficiency virus type-1 (HIV-1) during primary and chronic infection was investigated. Seven patients HAART treated during primary infection, six HAART treated during chronic infection and five patients treated only with ZVD (Zidovudine) were analysed. HAART inhibited the development of anti env antibodies during primary infection. Administering HAART during primary infection usually did not substantially affect the development of weak neutralizing antibody responses against autologous virus. However, we demonstrated that very early treatment, during seroconversion, induce in some cases, a strong neutralizing antibodies against autologous virus. These results may be relevant for understanding how HAART may elicit a strong protective responses and may be useful in developing new strategies designed to achieve a long term control of the HIV infection.  相似文献   

4.
Gut-associated lymphoid tissue (GALT) harbors the majority of T lymphocytes in the body and is an important target for human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1). We analyzed longitudinal jejunal biopsy samples from HIV-1-infected patients, during both primary and chronic stages of HIV-1 infection, prior to and following the initiation of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) to determine the onset of CD4(+) T-cell depletion and the effect of HAART on the restoration of CD4(+) T cells in GALT. Severe depletion of intestinal CD4(+) T cells occurred during primary HIV-1 infection. Our results showed that the restoration of intestinal CD4(+) T cells following HAART in chronically HIV-1-infected patients was substantially delayed and incomplete. In contrast, initiation of HAART during early stages of infection resulted in near-complete restoration of intestinal CD4(+) T cells, despite the delay in comparison to peripheral blood CD4(+) T-cell recovery. DNA microarray analysis of gene expression profiles and flow-cytometric analysis of lymphocyte homing and cell proliferation markers demonstrated that cell trafficking to GALT and not local proliferation contributed to CD4(+) T-cell restoration. Evaluation of jejunal biopsy samples from long-term HIV-1-infected nonprogressors showed maintenance of normal CD4(+) T-cell levels in both GALT and peripheral blood. Our results demonstrate that near-complete restoration of mucosal immune system can be achieved by initiating HAART early in HIV-1 infection. Monitoring of the restoration and/or maintenance of CD4(+) T cells in GALT provides a more accurate assessment of the efficacy of antiviral host immune responses as well as HAART.  相似文献   

5.
Cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTL) and highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) are known to exert strong evolutionary pressures on the virus population during human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. However, it is not known whether CTL responses continue to substantially affect viral evolution during treatment. To study the effect of immunologic pressure on viral sequences during HAART, we identified 10 targeted HIV-specific CD8+-T-cell epitopes in five treatment-naive patients, sequenced each epitope in plasma-derived viruses, and then identified evidence of immunologic pressure at these epitopes by comparing the frequency of viral variants in plasma to the frequency of the CD8+-T-cell response for each variant identified. For one of the five patients, evidence of viral evolution was found during therapy. The sequence of the CTL-targeted epitope changed from an apparent escape variant prior to the initiation of therapy, to the sequence that is best recognized by the CTL response after the initiation of therapy, and then finally to a new escape variant during continued therapy. These data show that CTL-mediated pressure can continue to affect viral evolution after the initiation of HAART, even when treatment drives the viral load below detectable levels, and suggest that antiretroviral therapy may preferentially inhibit those virus variants that escape the CTL response.  相似文献   

6.
The effects of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) on progression of hepatic fibrosis in HIV-hepatitis C virus (HCV) co-infection are not well understood. Deaths from liver diseases have risen in the post-HAART era, yet some cross-sectional studies have suggested that HAART use is associated with improved fibrosis rates. In a retrospective cohort of 533 HIV mono-infected and 127 HIV/HCV co-infected patients, followed between January 1991 and July 2005 at a university-based HIV clinic, we investigated the relationship between cumulative HAART exposure and hepatic fibrosis, as measured by the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI). We used a novel methodological approach to estimate the dose-response relationship of the effect of HAART exposure on APRI. HAART was associated with increasing APRI over time in HIV/HCV co-infected patients suggesting that they may be experiencing cumulative hepatotoxicity from antiretrovirals. The estimated median change (95% confidence interval) in APRI per one year of HAART intake was of −0.46% (−1.61% to 0.71%) in HIV mono-infected compared to 2.54% (−1.77% to 7.03%) in HIV/HCV co-infected patients. Similar results were found when the direct effect of HAART intake since the last visit was estimated on the change in APRI. HAART use associated is with increased APRI in patients with HIV/HCV co-infection. Therefore treatment for HCV infection may be required to slow the growing epidemic of end-stage liver disease in this population.  相似文献   

7.

Background and aims

HLA class I alleles, in particular HLA-B*57, constitute the most consistent host factor determining outcomes in untreated HCV- and HIV-infection. In this prospective cohort study, we analysed the impact of HLA class I alleles on all-cause mortality in patients with HIV-, HCV- and HIV/HCV- co-infection receiving HAART.

Methods

In 2003 HLA-A and B alleles were determined and patients were prospectively followed in 3-month intervals until 2013 or death. HLA-A and B alleles were determined by strand-specific oligonucleotide hybridisation and PCR in 468 Caucasian patients with HCV- (n=120), HIV- (n=186) and HIV/HCV-infection (n=162). All patients with HIV-infection were on HAART. In each patient group, HLA class I-associated survival was analysed by Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis.

Results

At recruitment the proportion of patients carrying a HLA-B*57 allele differed between HIV- (12.9%) and HCV-infection (4.2%). Kaplan Meier analysis revealed significantly increased mortality in HLA-B*57-positive patients with HIV-infection (p=0.032) and HIV/HCV-co-infection (p=0.004), which was apparently linked to non-viral infections. Cox logistic regression analysis confirmed HLA-B*57 (p=0.001), serum gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase (p=0.003), serum bilirubin (p=0.022) and CD4 counts (p=0.041) as independent predictors of death in HIV-infected patients.

Conclusion

Differences in the prevalence of HLA-B*57 at study entry between HIV- and HCV- infected patients may reflect immune selection in the absence of antiviral therapy. When patients were treated with HAART, however, HLA-B*57 was associated with increased mortality and risk to die from bacterial infections and sepsis, suggesting an ambiguous role of HLA-B*57 for survival in HIV/HCV infection depending on the circumstances.  相似文献   

8.

Background

Although women of reproductive age are the largest group of HIV-infected individuals in sub-Saharan Africa, little is known about the impact of pregnancy on response to highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in that setting. We examined the effect of incident pregnancy after HAART initiation on virologic response to HAART.

Methods and Findings

We evaluated a prospective clinical cohort of adult women who initiated HAART in Johannesburg, South Africa between 1 April 2004 and 30 September 2009, and followed up until an event, death, transfer, drop-out, or administrative end of follow-up on 31 March 2010. Women over age 45 and women who were pregnant at HAART initiation were excluded from the study; final sample size for analysis was 5,494 women. Main exposure was incident pregnancy, experienced by 541 women; main outcome was virologic failure, defined as a failure to suppress virus to ≤400 copies/ml by six months or virologic rebound >400 copies/ml thereafter. We calculated adjusted hazard ratios using marginal structural Cox proportional hazards models and weighted lifetable analysis to calculate adjusted five-year risk differences. The weighted hazard ratio for the effect of pregnancy on time to virologic failure was 1.34 (95% confidence limit [CL] 1.02, 1.78). Sensitivity analyses generally confirmed these main results.

Conclusions

Incident pregnancy after HAART initiation was associated with modest increases in both relative and absolute risks of virologic failure, although uncontrolled confounding cannot be ruled out. Nonetheless, these results reinforce that family planning is an essential part of care for HIV-positive women in sub-Saharan Africa. More work is needed to confirm these findings and to explore specific etiologic pathways by which such effects may operate.  相似文献   

9.
Highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) has been used clinically in various administration schemes for several years. However, due to the development of drug resistance, evolution of viral strains, serious side effects, and poor patient compliance, the combination of drugs used in HAART fails to effectively contain virus long term in a high proportion of patients. Our group and others have suggested a change to the usual regimen of continuous HAART through structured treatment interruptions (STIs). STIs may provide similar clinical benefits as continuous treatment such as reduced viral loads and reestablishment of CD4+ T cells while allowing patients drug holidays. We explore the use of STIs using a previously published model that accurately represents CD4+ T-cell counts and viral loads during both untreated HIV-1 infection and HAART therapy. We simulate the effects of different STI regimens including weekly and monthly interruptions together with variations in treatment initiation time. We predict that differential responses to STIs as observed in conflicting clinical trial data are impacted by the duration of the interruption, stage of infection at initiation of treatment, strength of the immune system in suppressing virus, or pre-therapy CD4+ T-cell count or virus load. Our results indicate that dynamics occurring below the limit of detection (LOD) are influenced by these factors, and contribute to reemergence or suppression of virus during interruptions. Simulations predict that short-term viral suppression with varying interruptions strategies does not guarantee long-term clinical benefit.  相似文献   

10.
The massive depletion of gastrointestinal-tract CD4 T cells is a hallmark of the acute phase of HIV infection. In contrast, the depletion of the lower-respiratory-tract mucosal CD4 T cells as measured in bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) fluid is more moderate and similar to the depletion of CD4 T cells observed in peripheral blood (PB). To understand better the dynamics of disease pathogenesis and the potential for the reconstitution of CD4 T cells in the lung and PB following the administration of effective antiretroviral therapy, we studied cell-associated viral loads, CD4 T-cell frequencies, and phenotypic and functional profiles of antigen-specific CD4 T cells from BAL fluid and blood before and after the initiation of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). The major findings to emerge were the following: (i) BAL CD4 T cells are not massively depleted or preferentially infected by HIV compared to levels for PB; (ii) BAL CD4 T cells reconstitute after the initiation of HAART, and their infection frequencies decrease; (iii) BAL CD4 T-cell reconstitution appears to occur via the local proliferation of resident BAL CD4 T cells rather than redistribution; and (iv) BAL CD4 T cells are more polyfunctional than CD4 T cells in blood, and their functional profile is relatively unchanged after the initiation of HAART. Taken together, these data suggest mechanisms for mucosal CD4 T-cell depletion and interventions that might aid in the reconstitution of mucosal CD4 T cells.The assessment of the degree of memory CD4 T-cell depletion at mucosal sites during human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection is perhaps the most comprehensive way to estimate the impact of HIV on the T-cell pool. As such, the massive depletion of gastrointestinal CD4 T cells is a hallmark of HIV and simian immunodeficiency virus (SIV) infection (5, 12, 17, 19, 20, 30). This depletion occurs during the acute phase of infection and is maintained throughout the chronic phase. Mechanisms underlying this depletion have been shown to include the direct consequence of target cell infection (4, 19) and virus-induced Fas-mediated apoptosis (17). However, while it is clear that the substantial depletion of CD4 T cells occurs in the gastrointestinal (GI) tract and vaginal mucosa (31) of SIV-infected macaques and HIV-infected individuals (5, 12, 20, 30), similar depletion does not manifest at all mucosal sites, particularly the lung, in human studies (4).Highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) has significantly improved the prognosis of HIV-infected individuals (15, 16). Individuals who initiate HAART before their CD4 T-cell counts in peripheral blood (PB) fall below 350 cells/μl have significantly improved survival compared to that of individuals who initiate HAART with CD4 T-cell counts less than 350 cells/μl (15). Several studies also have shown that when HAART is initiated after CD4 T-cell counts fall below 350 cells/μl, the reconstitution of CD4 T cells in the GI tract is very poor, even after years of therapy (10, 12, 21). However, HIV-infected individuals treated with HAART during the early phase of infection may reconstitute CD4 T cells in the GI tract (18, 21). In contrast to the GI tract, little is known regarding CD4 T-cell reconstitution in the lung compartment during the course of HIV treatment. Nevertheless, the timing of HAART initiation after infection appears to be an important predictor of successful mucosal T-cell reconstitution.The massive depletion of CD4 T cells during the acute phase of infection does not occur at all mucosal sites, as CD4 T cells in bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) are relatively spared and are slowly depleted during the chronic phase of infection (4). Despite this preservation of lung CD4 T cells, diminished BAL T-cell immune responses to certain pathogens have been reported in HIV-infected subjects (14). Given that many patients worldwide have access to and will receive antiretroviral therapy, the study of mucosal responses longitudinally during the course of treatment is likely to enhance our understanding of immune restoration. In addition, the early cellular events following HAART initiation are likely to skew the immune system toward both protective (i.e., immunosurveillance) and pathological (i.e., immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome) responses. In this context, the study of the human pulmonary immune response remains an important aspect of HIV infection and treatment. To examine the dynamics of lung CD4 T-cell reconstitution, we studied the treatment of naïve HIV-infected individuals longitudinally during their course of HAART. We sampled peripheral blood and BAL T cells prior to, at 1 month, and after 1 year of HAART. From each subject and within each compartment, we examined the proliferative and functional capacity of stimulated CD4 and CD8 T cells.  相似文献   

11.
Evidence supporting the current World Health Organization recommendations of early antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation for adolescents is inconclusive. We leverage a large observational data and compare, in terms of mortality and CD4 cell count, the dynamic treatment initiation rules for human immunodeficiency virus‐infected adolescents. Our approaches extend the marginal structural model for estimating outcome distributions under dynamic treatment regimes, developed in Robins et al. (2008), to allow the causal comparisons of both specific regimes and regimes along a continuum. Furthermore, we propose strategies to address three challenges posed by the complex data set: continuous‐time measurement of the treatment initiation process; sparse measurement of longitudinal outcomes of interest, leading to incomplete data; and censoring due to dropout and death. We derive a weighting strategy for continuous‐time treatment initiation, use imputation to deal with missingness caused by sparse measurements and dropout, and define a composite outcome that incorporates both death and CD4 count as a basis for comparing treatment regimes. Our analysis suggests that immediate ART initiation leads to lower mortality and higher median values of the composite outcome, relative to other initiation rules.  相似文献   

12.
G-estimation of structural nested models (SNMs) plays an important role in estimating the effects of time-varying treatments with appropriate adjustment for time-dependent confounding. As SNMs for a failure time outcome, structural nested accelerated failure time models (SNAFTMs) and structural nested cumulative failure time models have been developed. The latter models are included in the class of structural nested mean models (SNMMs) and are not involved in artificial censoring, which induces several difficulties in g-estimation of SNAFTMs. Recently, restricted mean time lost (RMTL), which corresponds to the area under a distribution function up to a restriction time, is attracting attention in clinical trial communities as an appropriate summary measure of a failure time outcome. In this study, we propose another SNMM for a failure time outcome, which is called structural nested RMTL model (SNRMTLM) and describe randomized and observational g-estimation procedures that use different assumptions for the treatment mechanism in a randomized trial setting. We also provide methods to estimate marginal RMTLs under static treatment regimes using estimated SNRMTLMs. A simulation study evaluates finite-sample performances of the proposed methods compared with the conventional intention-to-treat and per-protocol analyses. We illustrate the proposed methods using data from a randomized controlled trial for cardiovascular disease with treatment changes. G-estimation of SNRMTLMs is a useful tool to estimate the effects of time-varying treatments on a failure time outcome.  相似文献   

13.

Background

Scale-up of highly active antiretroviral treatment therapy (HAART) programs in Rwanda has been highly successful but data on adherence is limited. We examined HAART adherence in a large cohort of HIV+ Rwandan women.

Methods

The Rwanda Women''s Interassociation Study Assessment (RWISA) was a prospective cohort study that assessed effectiveness and toxicity of ART. We analyzed patient data 12±3 months after HAART initiation to determine adherence rates in HIV+ women who had initiated HAART.

Results

Of the 710 HIV+ women at baseline, 490 (87.2%) initiated HAART. Of these, 6 (1.2%) died within 12 months, 15 others (3.0%) discontinued the study and 80 others (19.0%) remained in RWISA but did not have a post-HAART initiation visit that fell within the 12±3 month time points leaving 389 subjects for analysis. Of these 389, 15 women stopped their medications without being advised to do so by their doctors. Of the remaining 374 persons who reported current HAART use 354 completed the adherence assessment. All women, 354/354, reported 100% adherence to HAART at the post-HAART visit. The high self-reported level of adherence is supported by changes in laboratory measures that are influenced by HAART. The median (interquartile range) CD4 cell count measured within 6 months prior to HAART initiation was 185 (128, 253) compared to 264 (182, 380) cells/mm3 at the post-HAART visit. Similarly, the median (interquartile range) MCV within 6 months prior to HAART initiation was 88 (83, 93) fL compared to 104 (98, 110) fL at the 12±3 month visit.

Conclusion

Self-reported adherence to antiretroviral treatment 12±3 months after initiating therapy was 100% in this cohort of HIV-infected Rwandan women. Future studies should explore country-specific factors that may be contributing to high levels of adherence to HAART in this population.  相似文献   

14.
Immediate treatment of acute human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection has been associated with subsequent control of viremia in a subset of patients after therapy cessation, but the immune responses contributing to control have not been fully defined. Here we examined neutralizing antibodies as a correlate of viremia control following treatment interruption in HIV-1-infected individuals in whom highly active antiretriviral therapy (HAART) was initiated during early seroconversion and who remained on therapy for 1 to 3 years. Immediately following treatment interruption, neutralizing antibodies were undetectable with T-cell-line adapted strains and the autologous primary HIV-1 isolate in seven of nine subjects. Env- and Gag-specific antibodies as measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay were also low or undetectable at this time. Despite this apparent poor maturation of the virus-specific B-cell response during HAART, autologous neutralizing antibodies emerged rapidly and correlated with a spontaneous downregulation in rebound viremia following treatment interruption in three subjects. Control of rebound viremia was seen in other subjects in the absence of detectable neutralizing antibodies. The results indicate that virus-specific B-cell priming occurs despite the early institution of HAART, allowing rapid secondary neutralizing-antibody production following treatment interruption in a subset of individuals. Since early HAART limits viral diversification, we hypothesize that potent neutralizing-antibody responses to autologous virus are able to mature and that in some persons these responses contribute to the control of plasma viremia after treatment cessation.  相似文献   

15.
We describe a conceptual analytic framework for aligning observational and randomized controlled trial (RCT) data. The framework allows one to (1) use observational data to estimate treatment effects comparable to their RCT counterparts, (2) properly include early events that occur soon after treatment initiation in the analysis of observational data, (3) estimate various treatment effects that are of clinical and scientific relevance while appropriately adjusting for time-varying confounders in both the RCT and observational analyses, (4) assess the generalizability of RCT findings in the more diverse populations generally found in the observational data, and (5) combine both types of data to study associations that cannot be addressed by one study or a single data set. We describe the theoretical application of this framework to the Women’s Health Initiative data to examine the relation between postmenopausal hormone therapy and coronary heart disease. The analytic framework can be tailored to specific exposure-outcome associations and data sources, and may be refined as more is learned about its strengths and limitations.  相似文献   

16.

Background

Monitoring the effectiveness of global antiretroviral therapy scale-up efforts in resource-limited settings is a global health priority, but is complicated by high rates of losses to follow-up after treatment initiation. Determining definitive outcomes of these lost patients, and the effects of losses to follow-up on estimates of survival and risk factors for death after HAART, are key to monitoring the effectiveness of global HAART scale-up efforts.

Methodology/Principal Findings

A cohort study comparing clinical outcomes and risk factors for death after HAART initiation as reported before and after tracing of patients lost to follow-up was conducted in Botswana''s National Antiretroviral Therapy Program. 410 HIV-infected adults consecutively presenting for HAART were evaluated. The main outcome measures were death or loss to follow-up within the first year after HAART initiation. Of 68 patients initially categorized as lost, over half (58.8%) were confirmed dead after tracing. Patient tracing resulted in reporting of significantly lower survival rates when death was used as the outcome and losses to follow-up were censored [1-year Kaplan Meier survival estimate 0.92 (95% confidence interval, 0.88–0.94 before tracing and 0.83 (95% confidence interval, 0.79–0.86) after tracing, log rank P<0.001]. In addition, a significantly increased risk of death after HAART among men [adjusted hazard ratio 1.74 (95% confidence interval, 1.05–2.87)] would have been missed had patients not been traced [adjusted hazard ratio 1.41 (95% confidence interval, 0.65–3.05)].

Conclusions/Significance

Due to high rates of death among patients lost to follow-up after HAART, survival rates may be inaccurate and important risk factors for death may be missed if patients are not actively traced. Patient tracing and uniform reporting of outcomes after HAART are needed to enable accurate monitoring of global HAART scale-up efforts.  相似文献   

17.
The incidence of (EBV-related) malignancies in HIV-infected subjects has declined since the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). To investigate the effect of HAART on EBV infection, we performed a longitudinal analysis of the T cell response to both a latent and a lytic Ag and EBV viral load in 10 subjects from early in HIV infection up to 5 years after HAART. All individuals responded to HAART by a decline in HIV viral load, a restoration of total CD4+ T cell numbers, and a decline in T cell immune activation. Despite this, EBV load remained unaltered, even after 5 years of therapy, although a decline in both CD4+ and CD8+ T cells specific for the lytic EBV protein BZLF1 suggested a decreased EBV reactivation rate. In contrast, latent EBV Ag EBNA1-specific CD4+ and CD8+ T cell responses were restored after 5 years of treatment to levels comparable to healthy individuals. In two individuals who were treated by HAART late during HIV progression, a lymphoma developed shortly after initiation of HAART, despite restoration of EBV-specific CD4+ and CD8+ T cells. In conclusion, long-term HAART does not alter the EBV DNA load, but does lead to a restoration of EBNA1-specific T cell responses, which might allow better control of EBV-infected cells when applied early enough during HIV infection.  相似文献   

18.
Encouraging results in the treatment of HIV-1 infection have been achieved in the last few years, after introduction of the triple therapy approach. The initial hope that the immune system might control the infection after highly active antiviral therapy (HAART) has however not been fulfilled, as the reappearance of virus has been observed after discontinuation of HAART. The early phase of the infection determines the ultimate outcome, as it is this period when immune cells that are able to control the infection start to proliferate. Unfortunately, HIV-1 replicates more efficiently in proliferating CD4 T cells, resulting in the self-elimination of the immune cells capable of dealing with the virus within the first months of infection.  相似文献   

19.
BACKGROUND: Assumptions about survival of HIV-infected children in Africa without antiretroviral therapy need to be updated to inform ongoing UNAIDS modelling of paediatric HIV epidemics among children. Improved estimates of infant survival by timing of HIV-infection (perinatally or postnatally) are thus needed. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: A pooled analysis was conducted of individual data of all available intervention cohorts and randomized trials on prevention of HIV mother-to-child transmission in Africa. Studies were right-censored at the time of infant antiretroviral initiation. Overall mortality rate per 1000 child-years of follow-up was calculated by selected maternal and infant characteristics. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate survival curves by child's HIV infection status and timing of HIV infection. Individual data from 12 studies were pooled, with 12,112 children of HIV-infected women. Mortality rates per 1,000 child-years follow-up were 39.3 and 381.6 for HIV-uninfected and infected children respectively. One year after acquisition of HIV infection, an estimated 26% postnatally and 52% perinatally infected children would have died; and 4% uninfected children by age 1 year. Mortality was independently associated with maternal death (adjusted hazard ratio 2.2, 95%CI 1.6-3.0), maternal CD4<350 cells/ml (1.4, 1.1-1.7), postnatal (3.1, 2.1-4.1) or peri-partum HIV-infection (12.4, 10.1-15.3). CONCLUSIONS/RESULTS: These results update previous work and inform future UNAIDS modelling by providing survival estimates for HIV-infected untreated African children by timing of infection. We highlight the urgent need for the prevention of peri-partum and postnatal transmission and timely assessment of HIV infection in infants to initiate antiretroviral care and support for HIV-infected children.  相似文献   

20.
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