Uncertainty in identifying local extinctions: the distribution of missing data and its effects on biodiversity measures

Identifying local extinctions is integral to estimating species richness and geographic range changes and informing extinction risk assessments. However, the species occurrence records underpinning these estimates are frequently compromised by a lack of recorded species absences making it impossible to distinguish between local extinction and lack of survey effort—for a rigorously compiled database of European and Asian Galliformes, approximately 40% of half-degree cells contain records from before but not after 1980. We investigate the distribution of these cells, finding differences between the Palaearctic (forests, low mean human influence index (HII), outside protected areas (PAs)) and Indo-Malaya (grassland, high mean HII, outside PAs). Such cells also occur more in less peaceful countries. We show that different interpretations of these cells can lead to large over/under-estimations of species richness and extent of occurrences, potentially misleading prioritization and extinction risk assessment schemes. To avoid mistakes, local extinctions inferred from sightings records need to account for the history of survey effort in a locality.     

中国黑戈壁植物多样性分布格局及其影响因素

我国西北地区内陆分布着近20万km~2的黑戈壁,由于其环境的特殊性,使其具有独特的生态系统,境内分布着多样的植被,蕴藏着大量特有的自然资源。但由于自然环境苛刻与交通条件不便,目前我国关于黑戈壁区系统的植被与物种多样性的研究还很缺乏。针对黑戈壁区植物多样性组成与分布特点,基于遥感及实地调查,采用DCCA排序和半变异函数模型等分析方法,对黑戈壁区植物群落组成,植物多样性特点及影响因素进行分析。研究结果表明:研究区植物以藜科和蒺藜科灌木或半灌木为主,群落物种生活型具有逐渐趋于简单甚至单一的特性,重要值0.1的植物主要有梭梭、红砂、白刺等13种;群落物种多样性呈现区域性的斑块化分布,结构性因子引起的物种多样性空间异质性占主导地位;作为极端干旱区,该区植物群落类型具有贫乏化及单一化的趋势,群落结构简单,植被覆盖度低,植物生长随环境的变化具有明显的可塑性,群落空间分异明显,群落空间演变具有明显的水分及土壤结构梯度;DCCA结果显示气候、土壤、地形是群落物种及类型变化的主要原因,海拔、坡位、土壤机械组成、降水、温度等环境因子对群落有着显著的影响,水土条件的空间异质性是戈壁植物多样性维持的关键因素。     

基于随机森林模型的国家重点保护陆生脊椎动物物种优先保护区的识别

准确可靠地识别国家重点保护陆生脊椎动物物种的优先保护区,是生物多样性保护的热点问题之一。采用随机森林(random forests)模型,基于12个环境变量,对中国263种国家重点保护陆生脊椎动物建模,并预测各个物种在背景点的适生概率,迭加计算得到国家重点保护陆生脊椎动物物种的生境适宜性指数。此外,基于对生境适宜性指数的空间自相关分析,识别和确定国家重点保护陆生脊椎动物物种优先保护区,并对优先保护区目前的被保护情况进行分析。结果表明,国家重点保护陆生脊椎动物物种的优先保护区的面积为103.16万km~2,约占我国国土面积的10.90%。优先保护区主要分布在我国的西部地区,包括西南地区的秦岭-大巴山山区、云南省与印度及缅甸的交界地区、武陵山山区、喜马拉雅山-横断山脉山区、阿尔泰山脉山区、天山山脉山区、昆仑山山脉山区;东北的大、小兴安岭、东北-华南沿海地区及长江中下游地区有少量分布。优先保护区中被保护的面积为50.40万km~2,占优先保护区总面积的48.86%,保护率偏低,未被充分保护。利用系统聚类分析,将未被保护的优先保护区划分成3种优先保护顺序,以期为相关部门的决策提供科学依据,更好地保护生物多样性。     

Patchy distributions of Spirogyra arcta do not affect growth of the submerged macrophyte Ceratophyllum demersum

Spatial heterogeneity is common in aquatic conditions, but few studies have examined the effects of heterogeneous distributions of biological factors on aquatic plants. Spirogyra (Spirogyra arcta) coexists with many submerged macrophytes, such as Ceratophyllum demersum, but no study has examined the effects of heterogeneous distributions of spirogyra on the growth of submerged plants. We grew the submerged plant C. demersum in three homogeneous, aquatic conditions (0, 50 and 100% of the water surface in the container was evenly covered by spirogyra, referred to as ‘control’, ‘50%’ and ‘100%’, respectively) and two patchy conditions (the left half of the water surface in the container was not covered by spirogyra and 50% and 100% of the water surface in the right half of the container was evenly covered by spirogyra, referred to as ‘50%‐patchy’ and ‘100%‐patchy’, respectively). Compared with the control, the 100% treatment greatly decreased the biomass and number of ramets of C. demersum, but the 50% treatment did not. Growth of C. demersum in the left half of the container did not differ significantly between the control and the two heterogeneous treatments (50%‐patchy and 100%‐patchy). In addition, growth of C. demersum in the right half of the container did not differ between the 100% and the 100%‐patchy treatment or between the 50% and the 50%‐patchy treatment. Our results suggest that C. demersum can tolerate shading by spirogyra to a certain extent and that heterogeneous distributions of spirogyra do not affect its growth.     

种群生存力分析:准确性和保护应用

目前已提出了五类估计濒危物种绝灭风险的种群生存力分析模型 ,即 :分析模型、单种群确定性模型、单种群随机模型、异质种群模型和显空间模型。模型的选择取决于物种的生活史特征和可用的数据。与用于保护实践的其他方法相比 ,种群生存力分析 (PVA)是相对准确的量化工具。然而 ,一些濒危物种种群统计学数据质量差和种群动态的有关假说模糊不清可能影响到模型预测的准确性 ,因此 ,要谨慎地使用PVA。在西方国家 ,PVA在濒危物种保护计划和管理中应用越来越广泛。它主要用于 :( 1)预测濒危物种未来的种群大小 ;( 2 )估计一定时间内物种的绝灭风险 ;( 3 )评估一套保护措施 ,确定哪个能使种群的存活时间最长 ;( 4)探索不同假说对小种群动态的影响 ;( 5 )指导濒危动物野外数据的搜集工作。我国的濒危物种很多 ,然而开展PVA研究的濒危物种却很少。应大力发展适合于模拟我国特有濒危物种及其保护问题的PVA模型     

旅游干扰对九寨沟冷杉林下植物种类组成及多样性的影响

为揭示旅游活动对自然保护区生态环境的影响,作者选择九寨沟原始森林与草海两个景点,分别调查了每个景点内旅游干扰地段与未干扰地段岷江冷杉(Abiesfargesiivar.faxoniana)林林下植物种类组成的数量特征(重要值、频度、密度、盖度和高度)及物种多样性,分析了干扰对林下植物种类组成与物种多样性的影响及其差异性。结果表明:(1)旅游干扰显著改变了林下植物物种组成:耐荫喜湿的乡土植物局部消失,而喜旱耐扰动的植物种群扩大,外来和伴人植物种群侵入。(2)在原始森林景点,较重的旅游干扰明显降低了灌木与苔藓植物的频度和盖度,显著抑制了灌木与苔藓植物发育(高度、密度降低);在草海景点,较轻度的干扰只抑制了苔藓植物盖度,而灌木与草本植物没有受到显著影响,表明苔藓对旅游干扰强度更为敏感,同时也表明群落物种组成可以比频度、高度、盖度和密度更好地表达群落受干扰程度。综合分析表明,九寨沟旅游干扰与世界自然遗产保护目标即生物多样性保护有明显冲突,需要进一步强化管理,限制旅游干扰活动。