Rabies of wild mammals in Russia at the turn of the 20th and 21st centuries

Analysis of the incidence of animal rabies in Russia (1960–2006) and assessment of the abundance of wild canids and rabies infection prevalence among them (1981–2006) have been made. The results provide evidence for the dominant role of red foxes in the spread of rabies among wild animals (91.67%), which is confirmed by a strong correlation between the abundance of this predator and the numbers of infected animals (r = 0.73). In 2004 to 2006, the prevailing incidence of animal rabies in one or another territory was determined mainly (74.7%) by the pooled population density of red and corsac foxes and wolves. Natural and economic features of the landscape determined the incidence of rabies indirectly, via changes in the numbers of wild animals (by 68.9%). A comparative analysis of the recorded and potentially possible rabies incidence rates among wolves, red and corsac foxes, and raccoon dogs over the period from 1996 and 2006 is presented.     

Epizootic characteristic of rabies today

During the 23 year period rabies was registered in the Moscow region in 163 cases among foxes, 22 cases among racoon-like dogs, 92 cases among dogs, 54 cases among cats. In 1991-2000 ten cases of rabies were registered among other wild animal other than foxes and raccoon-like dogs (hares, hedge-hogs, polecats, badgers, hamsters, martens, rats). Under today conditions the generalized epizootological pattern of rabies is characterized by the vector "natural foci-->anthropurgic foci" with wild and domestic animals playing an alternative role in the epizootic process and the circulation of the infective agent. Wild carnivorous animals maintain natural focal infection in time and space, while all domestic animals are a direct or indirect ecological impasse and took no part in the maintenance of the infection. Foxes are the main source of infection for the animals of the anthropurgic cycle: they play a special role in the development of the epizootic situation in the region as the main reservoir and source of the causative agent of rabies as a natural focal infection. Among other wild animals, raccoon-like dogs are involved into epizootic and epidemic chains. Dogs are the main objects to be infected in the anthropurgic cycles, while cats--a progressing group of risk. During the period of 25 years a decrease in the probability of natural rabies was noted.     

Environmental and human demographic features associated with epizootic raccoon rabies in Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Virginia

We assessed land use and demographic data as predictors discriminating between counties experiencing large or small first epizootics of rabies among raccoons (Procyon lotor). Monthly county reports of raccoons testing positive for rabies were obtained from rabies surveillance databases from Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Virginia (USA). Environmental and demographic data for the three states were obtained from public sources. On the basis of total reports of raccoon rabies during the first defined epizootic period, the 203 counties were dichotomized at the 75th percentile as having a large epizootic (> or = 24 rabid raccoons in the first epizootic) (51 counties) or a small epizootic or no epizootic (152 counties). A high percentage of agricultural land use [OR = 9.1, 95% CI (3.6-23.1)], high water coverage in combination with low human population density [OR = 8.8, 95% CI (2.9-27.0)], and low water coverage with high human population density [OR = 11.7, 95% CI (4.0-34.1)] were positively associated with large rabies epizootics. Counties with more than 15% of mixed forest were less likely to experience large epizootics than were counties with < or = 15% of mixed forest [OR = 0.3, 95% CI (0.1, 0.9)]. A combination of land use and human population density measures provided the best model for determining epizootic size and may be important predictors of epizootic behavior and risk of exposure to this reservoir species.     

Rabies prognosis in western Siberia and the regulatory factors of the epizootic process

In this article the regulatory factors of the epizootic process are considered and the spatial-temporal prognostication of rabies infection in the region is proposed on the basis of data on rabies morbidity among animals, the purchase of skins of carnivorous animals for 20-25 years, virological experiments on wild animals, calculation of the number of carnivores and small mammals, as meteorological observations. The study has shown that a variety of animal species serving as hosts for the virus and its population differences contribute to the stable existence of the infection. Rabies morbidity has been found to be positively linked with its preceding level, the number of wild animals, the height and hardness of the snow cover and negatively with the number of small mammals.     

Surveillance for avian influenza virus in synanthropic birds during epizootic and postepizootic periods on the south of west Siberia

Results of virologic examination of synanthropic birds procured on the south part of West Siberia during epizootic in autumn 2005 and during postepizootic period (winter 2005-2006) are presented. During epizootic period one strain belonging to H4 subtype of hemagglutinin, which was not highly pathogenic, was isolated from a magpie. During postepizootic period influenza A viruses in synanthropic species were not found.     

Epizootic situation and prospectives of rabies control among wild animals in the South of Western Siberia

The analysis of the epizootic situation in rabies in the south of Western Siberia during the period of 1990-1999 was carried out on the basis of the analysis of statistical data, field observations and virological investigations. Foxes were found to be the principle virus host and in the steppe areas they probably shared this role with corsac foxes. No data on other orders of mammals taking part in the virus circulation were obtained. The foxes population structure of the territory of the above-mentioned region were studied. The epizootic process was shown to have a cyclic character which corresponds to the models, proposed by foreign researchers for Western Europe. The effectiveness of different methods used for the control of rabies among wild animals was considered. As shown by this study, due to the population ecology of foxes and corsac foxes on the above-mentioned territory the best effect should be expected from measures aimed at frequency limitation of these animals, and not from vaccinal prophylaxis. As an alternative, the possibility of non-interference in the circulation of the virus within the limits of the natural focus in combination with timely measures for the protection of domestic and agricultural animals, as well as humans, from infection was considered.     

Bats (Chiroptera,Vespertillionidae) from the Cis-Urals and South Urals (Republic of Bashkortostan)

New and previously published data on the distribution of 12 bat species in the Cis-Urals and South Urals (Republic of Bashkortostan) are summarized. Data on their subspecies status are given. There is a need to clarify the taxonomic status of the pipistrelle bats Pipistrellus pipistrellus/pygmaeus. In terms of composition, the bat fauna of the Republic of Bashkortostan is a variant of the Central European fauna. It was revealed that the territory in question marks the eastern limits of distribution of Nyctalus leisleri and P. pipistrellus/pygmaeus. An important feature of the territory of Bashkortostan is the presence of places of mass wintering of bats of natural origin: more than 980 karst caves used by bats not only in winter, but also during the period of activity. According to the results of captures in 14 caves, data on the frequency and relative abundance of sedentary bat species in the Republic of Bashkortostan are given.     

Land use associations and changes in population indices of urban raccoons during a rabies epizootic

Land use associations and changes in population indices were assessed for an urban population of raccoons (Procyon lotor) in Baltimore, Maryland (USA), from January 1984 to December 1987. Records were examined for 1,458 raccoons trapped alive and removed dead from city streets during, and after, the peak of a rabies epizootic. The distribution of raccoons was associated with single-unit residential areas primarily along the northern and western perimeter of the city. Beginning in March 1985 an ending in May 1987, an epizootic of raccoon rabies spread through Baltimore, ultimately resulting in the identification of 95 rabid raccoons. Within the study interval, annual numbers of trapped raccoons remained stable from 1984 to 1986, before showing a marked decline in 1987. The number of raccoons removed as vehicle mortalities (road-kills) varied little from 1984-1985 but declined in the last 2 yr of study. Numbers of other road-killed species did not decrease concurrently, suggesting a specific decrease in the urban raccoon population. The rabies epizootic, in conjunction with the increased city and private control, appears to have contributed to a decline in the number of raccoons in Baltimore.     

Presence of rabies neutralizing antibodies in wild carnivores following an outbreak of bovine rabies.

In an outbreak of bovine rabies in Argentina, a study was made of vampire bats (Desmodus rotundus) and wild carnivores. Rabies antibody rates of high prevalence were found in the bats, foxes (Dusicyon gymnocercus) and skunks (Conepatus chinga). The outbreak was part of an extensive continuing epizootic of vampire transmitted bovine rabies which may have also involved other vectors in the area of this study. Consumption of dead and dying bats by the carnivores is the suggested means of passage of rabies virus from vampire bats to foxes and skunks. Given optimum conditions it is conceivable that some outbreaks in carnivores may begin in this way.     

Current rabies epizootiology

Situation in rabies in the Russian Federation (RF) remains to be tense and is characterized by important specific features. Central Russia and the Moscow region have essential differences in the epizootic situation, the epizootological structure of rabies and other indices as compared with the Russian Federation. In the course of the last 25 years the ecological stereotype of rabies has undergone considerable transformations, becoming natural focal infection with the circulation of the infective agent among wild carnivores, which is now particularly obvious in the Moscow region. In 1998 a sharp rise in rabies morbidity occurred in Central Russia: peak values exceeded average annual values 2 times for the RF, 4 times for Central Russia and more than 10 times for the Moscow region. The situation in rabies in the Moscow region permits to use it as a model in the study of today rabies.     

A simple model for the spatial spread and control of rabies

A simple mathematical model for the spatial spread of rabies is presented. It models the dynamics of the front of an epizootic wave. We show how the model can be used to estimate the minimum width (in kilometers) of a break, that is, a region in which a control scheme is employed in order to stop the spatial progression of the rabies wave front. A simple expression is derived for the surviving fox population, after the passage of the epizootic, in terms of measurable parameters of the model.     

Landscape-Genetic Analysis of Population Structure in the Texas Gray Fox Oral Rabies Vaccination Zone

ABSTRACT In west-central Texas, USA, abatement efforts for the gray fox (Urocyon cinereoargenteus) rabies epizootic illustrate the difficulties inherent in large-scale management of wildlife disease. The rabies epizootic has been managed through a cooperative oral rabies vaccination program (ORV) since 1996. Millions of edible baits containing a rabies vaccine have been distributed annually in a 16-km to 24-km zone around the perimeter of the epizootic, which encompasses a geographic area >4 × 10⁵ km². The ORV program successfully halted expansion of the epizootic into metropolitan areas but has not achieved the ultimate goal of eradication. Rabies activity in gray fox continues to occur periodically outside the ORV zone, preventing ORV zone contraction and dissipation of the epizootic. We employed a landscape-genetic approach to assess gray fox population structure and dispersal in the affected area, with the aim of assisting rabies management efforts. No unique genetic clusters or population boundaries were detected. Instead, foxes were weakly structured over the entire region in an isolation by distance pattern. Local subpopulations appeared to be genetically non-independent over distances >30 km, implying that long-distance movements or dispersal may have been common in the region. We concluded that gray foxes in west-central Texas have a high potential for long-distance rabies virus trafficking. Thus, a 16-km to 24-km ORV zone may be too narrow to contain the fox rabies epizootic. Continued expansion of the ORV zone, although costly, may be critical to the long-term goal of eliminating the Texas fox rabies virus variant from the United States.     

Frequency dynamics of foxes as a factor of epizootic risk of rabies

During the period preceding the year 1998 when the peak values of the rabies incidence were registered in the Moscow region, a noticeable increase in fox frequency and the density of their population occurred, especially in 3 endemic areas of the north-western zone. Considering the fact that this zone was endemic for rabies, an increased density of the fox population was, most probably, the critical factor of the epizootological risk and the main cause of the emergency situation in rabies in 1998. The data obtained in this investigation may serve as a real basis for the prediction of the epizootic situation.     

The Phylogeography and Spatiotemporal Spread of South-Central Skunk Rabies Virus

The south-central skunk rabies virus (SCSK) is the most broadly distributed terrestrial viral lineage in North America. Skunk rabies has not been efficiently targeted by oral vaccination campaigns and represents a natural system of pathogen invasion, yielding insights to rabies emergence. In the present study we reconstructed spatiotemporal spread of SCSK in the whole territory of its circulation using a combination of Bayesian methods. The analysis based on 241 glycoprotein gene sequences demonstrated that SCSK is much more divergent phylogenetically than was appreciated previously. According to our analyses the SCSK originated in the territory of Texas ~170 years ago, and spread geographically during the following decades. The wavefront velocity in the northward direction was significantly greater than in the eastward and westward directions. Rivers (except the Mississippi River and Rio Grande River) did not constitute significant barriers for epizootic spread, in contrast to deserts and mountains. The mean dispersal rate of skunk rabies was lower than that of the raccoon and fox rabies. Viral lineages circulate in their areas with limited evidence of geographic spread during decades. However, spatiotemporal reconstruction shows that after a long period of stability the dispersal rate and wavefront velocity of SCSK are increasing. Our results indicate that there is a need to develop control measures for SCSK, and suggest how such measure can be implemented most efficiently. Our approach can be extrapolated to other rabies reservoirs and used as a tool for investigation of epizootic patterns and planning interventions towards disease elimination.     

Morbidity and prophylaxis of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in the Republic of Bashkortostan

The brief retrospective analysis of morbidity, epizootological data and preventive measures with respect to haemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) during the whole period of its registration on the territory of the Republic of Bashkortostan along with the structure of HFRS morbidity during epidemic seasons of 1998 and 1999 is presented. The main causes of decreased HFRS morbidity in 1998, its rise in 1999 as well as prognosis for the year 2000 were detected. The level of HFRS morbidity among the population was found to be directly related to the number of rodents and their infection rate. The basic strategy of epidemic control interventions has been proposed.     

Differential permeability of rivers to raccoon gene flow corresponds to rabies incidence in Ontario, Canada

The correlation of landscape features with genetic discontinuities reveals barriers to dispersal that can contribute to understanding present and future spread of wildlife diseases. This knowledge can then be used for targeting control efforts. The impact of natural barriers on raccoon dispersal was assessed through genetic analysis of samples from two regions, Niagara ( N  = 666) and St. Lawrence ( N  = 802). These areas are transected by major rivers and are at the northern front of a raccoon rabies epizootic. Genetic clusters were identified in each region using Bayesian clustering algorithms. In the Niagara region, two clusters were identified corresponding to either side of the Niagara River. For the St. Lawrence region, spatially congruent clusters were not identified, despite the presence of the intervening St. Lawrence River. These genetic data are consistent with raccoon rabies incidence data where rabies has been detected across the St. Lawrence River in Ontario while no cases have been detected in Ontario across the Niagara River. This is despite expectations of rabies incidence in Niagara before the St. Lawrence based on the progression of rabies from New York. The results from the two regions suggest different permeabilities to raccoons between New York and Ontario that may be attributed to the rivers. However, other factors have also been explored that could contribute to this difference between these study sites including the shape of the landscape and resource distribution.     

Population genetics of hereditary diseases in the child population of the Republic of Bashkortostan, Chuvashia, and Udmurtia

The results of integrated study of the genetic structure and prevalence of monogenic hereditary diseases (MHDs) in the child population of three republics of Russia are summarized. Eight raions (districts) of the Republic of Bashkortostan and six districts of each Republic of Chuvashia and Republic of Udmurtia has been surveyed. The total population surveyed was 782184 people, with children accounting for 24.67% of them (192992 children). The loads of autosomal dominant (AD), autosomal recessive (AR), and X-linked MHDs have been calculated separately for urban and rural populations; differences between individual populations in the MHD load have been found. The differentiation of subpopulations with respect to MHD prevalence is explained by differences in the degree of subdivision. The MHD spectrum in the child population of the three republics comprises 222 disease entities, including 121 AD, 83 AR, and 18 X-linked diseases. Group of highly prevalent MHDs in regional child populations have been determined. The mean fitness of MHD patients in Bashkortostan has been calculated; it is 0.87, 0.04 and 0.16 for AD, AR, and X-linked diseases, respectively. Analysis has demonstrated that the prevalence rates of MHDs in the child populations of the republics of Chuvashia, Udmurtia, and Bashkortostan are 1, 1.2, and 1.4%, respectively.     

Rabies and Canine Distemper Virus Epidemics in the Red Fox Population of Northern Italy (2006–2010)

Since 2006 the red fox (Vulpes vulpes) population in north-eastern Italy has experienced an epidemic of canine distemper virus (CDV). Additionally, in 2008, after a thirteen-year absence from Italy, fox rabies was re-introduced in the Udine province at the national border with Slovenia. Disease intervention strategies are being developed and implemented to control rabies in this area and minimise risk to human health. Here we present empirical data and the epidemiological picture relating to these epidemics in the period 2006–2010. Of important significance for epidemiological studies of wild animals, basic mathematical models are developed to exploit information collected from the surveillance program on dead and/or living animals in order to assess the incidence of infection. These models are also used to estimate the rate of transmission of both diseases and the rate of vaccination, while correcting for a bias in early collection of CDV samples. We found that the rate of rabies transmission was roughly twice that of CDV, with an estimated effective contact between infected and susceptible fox leading to a new infection occurring once every 3 days for rabies, and once a week for CDV. We also inferred that during the early stage of the CDV epidemic, a bias in the monitoring protocol resulted in a positive sample being almost 10 times more likely to be collected than a negative sample. We estimated the rate of intake of oral vaccine at 0.006 per day, allowing us to estimate that roughly 68% of the foxes would be immunised. This was confirmed by field observations. Finally we discuss the implications for the eco-epidemiological dynamics of both epidemics in relation to control measures.