共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 171 毫秒
1.
Spatial distribution patterns of adult squash bugs were determined in watermelon, Citrullus lanatus (Thunberg) Matsumura and Nakai, during 2001 and 2002. Results of analysis using Taylor's power law regression model indicated that squash bugs were aggregated in watermelon. Taylor's power law provided a good fit with r2 = 0.94. A fixed precision sequential sampling plan was developed for estimating adult squash bug density at fixed precision levels in watermelon. The plan was tested using a resampling simulation method on nine and 13 independent data sets ranging in density from 0.15 to 2.52 adult squash bugs per plant. Average estimated means obtained in 100 repeated simulation runs were within the 95% CI of the true means for all the data. Average estimated levels of precision were similar to the desired level of precision, particularly when the sampling plan was tested on data having an average mean density of 1.19 adult squash bugs per plant. Also, a sequential sampling for classifying adult squash bug density as below or above economic threshold was developed to assist in the decision-making process. The classification sampling plan is advantageous in that it requires smaller sample sizes to estimate the population status when the population density differs greatly from the action threshold. However, the plan may require excessively large sample sizes when the density is close to the threshold. Therefore, an integrated sequential sampling plan was developed using a combination of a fixed precision and classification sequential sampling plans. The integration of sampling plans can help reduce sampling requirements. 相似文献
2.
Phthorimaea operculella Zeller is an important pest of potato in Iran. Spatial distribution and fixed-precision sequential sampling for population estimation of the pest on two potato cultivars, Arinda® and Sante®, were studied in two separate potato fields during two growing seasons (2013–2014 and 2014–2015). Spatial distribution was investigated by Taylor’s power law and Iwao’s patchiness. Results showed that the spatial distribution of eggs and larvae was random. In contrast to Iwao’s patchiness, Taylor’s power law provided a highly significant relationship between variance and mean density. Therefore, fixed-precision sequential sampling plan was developed by Green’s model at two precision levels of 0.25 and 0.1. The optimum sample size on Arinda® and Sante® cultivars at precision level of 0.25 ranged from 151 to 813 and 149 to 802 leaves, respectively. At 0.1 precision level, the sample sizes varied from 5083 to 1054 and 5100 to 1050 leaves for Arinda® and Sante® cultivars, respectively. Therefore, the optimum sample sizes for the cultivars, with different resistance levels, were not significantly different. According to the calculated stop lines, the sampling must be continued until cumulative number of eggs + larvae reached to 15–16 or 96–101 individuals at precision levels of 0.25 or 0.1, respectively. The performance of the sampling plan was validated by resampling analysis using resampling for validation of sampling plans software. The sampling plant provided in this study can be used to obtain a rapid estimate of the pest density with minimal effort. 相似文献
3.
A fixed precision sequential sampling plan for estimating the density of the horse chestnut, Aesculus hippocastanum L., leafminer Cameraria ohridella Deschka & Dimic (Lepidoptera: Gracillariidae) was developed. Data were collected from 2002 to 2004 in Turin, northwestern Italy, with the aim of developing a sampling strategy for estimating populations of C. ohridella mines. Taylor's power law was used as a regression model. Sampling parameters were estimated from 216 data sets, and an additional 110 independent data sets were used to validate the fixed precision sequential sampling plan with resampling software. Covariance analysis indicated that there were not significant differences in the coefficient of Taylor's power law between heights of the foliage, months, and years. Dispersion patterns of C. ohridella were determined to be aggregated. The parameters of the Taylor's power law were used to calculate minimum sample sizes and sampling stop lines for different precision levels. Considering a mean density value of five mines per leaf, an average sample number of only 49 leaves was necessary to achieve a desired precision level of 0.25. As the precision level was increased to 0.10, the average sample size increased to 303 leaves. The sequential sampling plan should provide an effective management of C. ohridella in the urban areas, minimizing sampling time and cost, and at the same should be an effective tool to reduce insecticide applications and prevent the esthetic damage. 相似文献
4.
Eizi Yano 《Population Ecology》1983,25(2):309-320
Spatial distribution of the greenhouse whitefly population infesting tomato plants in greenhouses was analyzed. A leaf of tomato consists of 7 leaflets, each being used as a basic sampling unit. Distribution patterns between plants, between leaves and between leaflets were analyzed by the analysis of variance and the method. It was found that populations of all the developmental stages were composed of contagiously distributed colonies or individuals between leaves and between leaflets. On the other hand, they showed random distribution of colonies between plants. On leaflets, egg populations were distributed as colonies, each consisting of several eggs, while in larval and adult populations, individuals were distributed rather independently of each other. A three-stage sampling plan was developed to estimate the density at the assigned level of precision. 相似文献
5.
Abstract Informed spray decisions require accurate assessments of the target pest's density. Currently, no advice is provided to farmers on the best method for sampling soybean for insect pests, although spray thresholds for Helicoverpa larvae are provided. This article describes the results of a trial designed to calibrate relative sampling techniques for Helicoverpa larvae; visual inspection of plants in situ in the field, beat cloth, sweep net and D-vac sampling were compared with an absolute measure of population density. The absolute measure was derived from the bagging and removal of whole plants in the field, followed by subsequent examination in the laboratory. Analysis of the distribution of Helicoverpa larvae collected by the different samples was then used to calculate the number of samples required to determine whether the economic threshold had been reached to different levels of certainty and accuracy. Significant relationships were detected between all the relative sampling techniques and the absolute, suggesting that all could be used to estimate field populations. However, due to the high variance and therefore increased sample sizes required, or the length of time taken to collect samples, only beat-cloth sampling appeared to offer a realistic method for farmers in the field. The results also suggest that the current best practice of sampling six locations per crop provides an adequate assessment of the field populations at the currently accepted threshold level of 6 larvae m−2 . However, if the economic spray was reduced, the number of samples required to determine an accurate population estimate would increase dramatically. 相似文献
6.
Aggregative oviposition behaviour of Helicoverpa spp. (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) in contaminated chickpea crops 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Abstract Aggregative egg distribution by Helicoverpa spp. within experimental field plots of chickpea containing various contaminant plant species was documented at different stages of plant growth. More eggs were laid on contaminant faba and wheat plants than on the surrounding chickpea. The level of egg aggregation on faba and wheat plants increased with general crop growth, becoming evident before a significant disparity in growth rates between these species and the surrounding chickpea became apparent. In chickpea plots contaminated with canola, aggregative oviposition activity on the contaminant plants was observed in the early seedling stage whilst a clear height differential between the two species was evident. Total Helicoverpa egg density on contaminant plants was not correlated with height above chickpea for any of the contaminant species. It is proposed that the aggregative oviposition behaviour of Helicoverpa spp. in contaminated chickpea results from differential apparency of the contaminant plants to ovipositing moths. Differential apparency may result from several factors including growth rate and morphological differences between chickpea and the contaminants. Physiological changes in chickpea, including growth stage-related changes in acid production by the foliage, may also contribute to the greater apparency of contaminant plants in chickpea plots. The implications of differential host plant apparency for insect pest management are discussed. 相似文献
7.
The development of cost-effective and reliable sampling programs for the management of western flower thrips, Frankliniella occidentalis (Pergande), on greenhouse cucumbers is important for getting growers to adopt economic injury levels and economic thresholds. The objectives of this study were to develop two sequential sampling plans. A fixed-precision sequential sampling plan was designed for estimating F. occidentalis adult density at a fixed-precision level on cucumber flowers. Also, a sequential sampling plan for classifying thrips population levels as below or above economic thresholds was developed to assist in decision making for the timing of pesticide applications. Both sequential sampling plans were validated using a resampling simulation technique on nine independent data sets ranging in density from 1.25 to 12.95 adults per flower. With the fixed-precision sampling plan, average means obtained in 100 repeated simulation runs were within the 95% CI of the estimated mean for all data sets. Appropriate levels of precision for the different population densities were recommended based on the simulation results. With sequential sampling for classifying the population levels of thrips in terms of an economic threshold, it has the advantage of requiring smaller sample sizes to determine the population status when the population densities differ greatly from the critical density (i.e., economic threshold). However, this plan needs a great number of samples when population density is close to the critical density. In this case, use of a combination of both sampling plans is recommended. 相似文献
8.
Bligaard 《Journal of Applied Entomology》2001,125(3):155-159
A binomial (presence–absence) sampling plan has been developed based on the relationship between the proportion of cauliflower plants having visible cabbage root fly eggs ( Delia radicum L.) exposed on the soil surface around the plant stem and the mean density of eggs per plant. The Kono–Sugino's model was fitted to a total of 125 population estimates, each based on 10 plant samples collected from cauliflower fields in 1994 and 1995 (P=0.001; R2 =0.64). When the model was compared with an independent data set consisting of 39 population estimates collected in 1995, an analysis of covariance showed no significant differences between the regression lines. The efficiency of the binomial method was compared with absolute sampling in terms of relative precision and cost efficiency. The binomial method had a high coefficient of variation, RV ≈ 0.85, due to large biological error. In spite of this, binomial sampling was more cost efficient than the applied soil sampling when between 10 and 30 plants were examined for the presence of visible eggs. 相似文献
9.
The spatial distribution of the nymphs of Scaphoideus titanus Ball (Homoptera Cicadellidae), the vector of grapevine flavescence dorée (Candidatus Phytoplasma vitis, 16Sr-V), was studied by applying Taylor's power law. Studies were conducted from 2002 to 2005, in organic and conventional vineyards of Piedmont, northern Italy. Minimum sample size and fixed precision level stop lines were calculated to develop appropriate sampling plans. Model validation was performed, using independent field data, by means of Resampling Validation of Sample Plans (RVSP) resampling software. The nymphal distribution, analyzed via Taylor's power law, was aggregated, with b = 1.49. A sample of 32 plants was adequate at low pest densities with a precision level of D0 = 0.30; but for a more accurate estimate (D0 = 0.10), the required sample size needs to be 292 plants. Green's fixed precision level stop lines seem to be more suitable for field sampling: RVSP simulations of this sampling plan showed precision levels very close to the desired levels. However, at a prefixed precision level of 0.10, sampling would become too time-consuming, whereas a precision level of 0.25 is easily achievable. How these results could influence the correct application of the compulsory control of S. titanus and Flavescence dorée in Italy is discussed. 相似文献
10.
The distribution of the egg stage of the cabbage root fly around brassica plants was studied at Wellesbourne on 0.05–0.4 ha plots during 1970 and 1971. The three generations of flies occurred at similar times in both years and the numbers of eggs collected generally decreased from the first to the third generation. Differences between generations demonstrated that each generation should be treated separately. The number of plant samples required for a given level of precision increased from the first to the third generation, indicating that experiments relying on egg counts should be planned to coincide with the first generation whenever possible. A sampling plan for the range of oviposition normally encountered during the three generations is illustrated for both one- and five-plant samples. For the same level of precision, estimates of the populations from five-plant samples required only 50% to 80% of the time of those from one-plant samples. When aestivation occurs the peak of oviposition in the second generation is difficult to determine, and designed experiments should not be undertaken. The negative binomial distribution failed to describe the clumping of the eggs for a complete generation, since a common k could not be fitted to the data. The distribution of the eggs was best described by Taylor's power law which showed that although sampling factors changed with generation, the value of the power did not. A value of 1.4 appears to be the index of aggregation characteristic of the egg stage of this species. 相似文献
11.
12.
The spatio-temporal distribution of Sahlbergella singularis Haglung, a major pest of cacao trees (Theobroma cacao) (Malvaceae), was studied for 2 yr in traditional cacao forest gardens in the humid forest area of southern Cameroon. The first objective was to analyze the dispersion of this insect on cacao trees. The second objective was to develop sampling plans based on fixed levels of precision for estimating S. singularis populations. The following models were used to analyze the data: Taylor's power law, Iwao's patchiness regression, the Nachman model, and the negative binomial distribution. Our results document that Taylor's power law was a better fit for the data than the Iwao and Nachman models. Taylor's b and Iwao's β were both significantly >1, indicating that S. singularis aggregated on specific trees. This result was further supported by the calculated common k of 1.75444. Iwao's α was significantly <0, indicating that the basic distribution component of S. singularis was the individual insect. Comparison of negative binomial (NBD) and Nachman models indicated that the NBD model was appropriate for studying S. singularis distribution. Optimal sample sizes for fixed precision levels of 0.10, 0.15, and 0.25 were estimated with Taylor's regression coefficients. Required sample sizes increased dramatically with increasing levels of precision. This is the first study on S. singularis dispersion in cacao plantations. Sampling plans, presented here, should be a tool for research on population dynamics and pest management decisions of mirid bugs on cacao. 相似文献
13.
Mounting levels of insecticide resistance within Australian Helicoverpa spp. populations have resulted in the adoption of non-chemical IPM control practices such as trap cropping with chickpea, Cicer arietinum (L.). However, a new leaf blight disease affecting chickpea in Australia has the potential to limit its use as a trap crop. Therefore this paper evaluates the potential of a variety of winter-active legume crops for use as an alternative spring trap crop to chickpea as part of an effort to improve the area-wide management strategy for Helicoverpa spp. in central Queensland's cotton production region. The densities of Helicoverpa eggs and larvae were compared over three seasons on replicated plantings of chickpea, Cicer arietinum (L.), field pea Pisum sativum (L), vetch, Vicia sativa (L.) and faba bean, Vicia faba (L.). Of these treatments, field pea was found to harbour the highest densities of eggs. A partial life table study of the fate of eggs oviposited on field pea and chickpea suggested that large proportions of the eggs laid on field pea suffered mortality due to dislodgment from the plants after oviposition. Plantings of field pea as a replacement trap crop for chickpea under commercial conditions confirmed the high level of attractiveness of this crop to ovipositing moths. The use of field pea as a trap crop as part of an area-wide management programme for Helicoverpa spp. is discussed. 相似文献
14.
Effect of Azospirillum-mediated plant growth promotion on the development of bacterial diseases on fresh-market and cherry tomato 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
AIMS: Plant growth-promoting (PGP) activity of two Azospirillum strains and their effects on foliar and vascular bacterial diseases were evaluated on fresh market and cherry tomato. METHODS AND RESULTS: Tomato seeds were inoculated with A. brasilense Sp7 or Azospirillum sp. BNM-65. Four-week-old plants were challenge-inoculated with Clavibacter michiganensis subsp. michiganensis (bacterial canker) or with Xanthomonas campestris pv. vesicatoria (bacterial spot). Azospirillum-induced PGP was greater on cherry than on fresh-market tomato. Cherry tomato was more resistant to bacterial canker but more susceptible to bacterial spot than the fresh-market tomato. Canker severity was not affected by Azospirillum seed treatments. However, leaf- and plant-death were delayed on Azospirillum-treated plants compared with nontreated controls. Azospirillum increased the bacterial spot severity on cherry but not on fresh-market tomato. CONCLUSIONS: PGP was observed on both tomato genotypes, although growth effects were larger on cherry tomato. Also, Azospirillum treatments may alter tomato susceptibility to bacterial diseases. SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY: The interaction between PGP rhizobacteria like Azospirillum spp., not known to induce systemic resistance, with plant pathogens distantly located is frequently overlooked. This work demonstrates the importance of this kind of evaluation. 相似文献
15.
Spatial distribution and sampling plans for Thrips palmi (Thysanoptera: Thripidae) infesting fall potato in Korea 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The spatial distribution of adult and immature Thrips palmi Karny on fall potato, Solanum tuberosum L., on Cheju Island, Korea, was studied over a 2-yr period by visually inspecting potato leaves. The majority of thrips collected from the leaves were observed in the top one-third of the plant. The within-field spatial patterns of adults and immature thrips were aggregated. The slopes and intercepts of Taylor's power law did not differ among adults and immature thrips. A fixed-precision-level sampling plan was developed using the parameters from Taylor's power law and was tested with resampling simulations using eight independent data sets. Over a wide range of densities, the simulation demonstrated that actual sampling precision (d = SEM/mean) values at d = 0.25 averaged < 0.24 in all cases. A binomial sampling plan for estimating mean density was developed using an empirical model evaluated at tally thresholds (the minimum number of insects present before a leaf is considered infested) of one, three, five, and eight thrips per leaf. Increasing sampling size had little effect on the precision of the estimated mean regardless of tally threshold (T). However, increasing T had a dramatic effect on precision. The best tally threshold for estimating thrips density based on the applicable density ranges and the precision of the model was T = 5. A binomial sampling plan with a tally threshold of five and a fixed sample size of 30 leaves should be an effective replacement for enumerative counts when thrips average < 10 per leaf. 相似文献
16.
Enumerative and binomial sequential sampling plans for the multicolored Asian lady beetle (Coleoptera: Coccinellidae) in wine grapes 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
To develop a practical integrated pest management (IPM) system for the multicolored Asian lady beetle, Harmonia axyridis (Pallas) (Coleoptera: Coccinellidae), in wine grapes, we assessed the spatial distribution of H. axyridis and developed eight sampling plans to estimate adult density or infestation level in grape clusters. We used 49 data sets collected from commercial vineyards in 2004 and 2005, in Minnesota and Wisconsin. Enumerative plans were developed using two precision levels (0.10 and 0.25); the six binomial plans reflected six unique action thresholds (3, 7, 12, 18, 22, and 31% of cluster samples infested with at least one H. axyridis). The spatial distribution of H. axyridis in wine grapes was aggregated, independent of cultivar and year, but it was more randomly distributed as mean density declined. The average sample number (ASN) for each sampling plan was determined using resampling software. For research purposes, an enumerative plan with a precision level of 0.10 (SE/X) resulted in a mean ASN of 546 clusters. For IPM applications, the enumerative plan with a precision level of 0.25 resulted in a mean ASN of 180 clusters. In contrast, the binomial plans resulted in much lower ASNs and provided high probabilities of arriving at correct "treat or no-treat" decisions, making these plans more efficient for IPM applications. For a tally threshold of one adult per cluster, the operating characteristic curves for the six action thresholds provided binomial sequential sampling plans with mean ASNs of only 19-26 clusters, and probabilities of making correct decisions between 83 and 96%. The benefits of the binomial sampling plans are discussed within the context of improving IPM programs for wine grapes. 相似文献
17.
Sequential sampling programs for the management of Oriental tobacco budworm, Helicoverpa assulta (Guenee), on red hot peppers were developed using the data of damaged pepper fruits by H. assulta. Taylor's power law indicated that the damaged pepper fruits were distributed randomly in hot pepper fields. A fixed-precision-level sequential sampling plan for classifying fruit damage density levels at a critical density of 2 damaged fruits per plant was developed to assist in decision making. The sequential classification sampling plan was evaluated using the operating characteristic (OC) and the average sample size (ASN) curves. The OC and ASN curves indicated that this sampling plan was robust and properly classified the population density. A resampling simulation demonstrated that average actual sampling precision value at D = 0.25 was ≤ 0.25. With sequential sampling for classifying the damaged fruit levels in terms of a critical density, sample size was fixed to 18 plants. The fixed-precision-level sequential sampling plan developed in this study should greatly enhance the monitoring efficacy and provide practical solutions suitable for reliable decision-making process in the management of H. assulta. 相似文献
18.
19.
From 1993 to 1995 data sets were collected from four citrus groves in Valencia, Spain, to determine the distribution patterns of eggs and nymphs of Aleurothrixus floccosus (Maskell), Dialeurodes citri (Ashmead), and Parabemisia myricae (Kuwana) on leaves, and to develop reliable sampling plans for estimating densities of immature whiteflies. A. floccosus showed higher aggregation than the other two species. The dispersion index b from the Taylor power law did not vary between different developing stages for A. floccosus and D. citri, reaching overall values of 1.70 and 1.53, respectively. In P. myricae, b was 1.60 for eggs and N1, and 1.46 for the remaining nymphs. The minimum number of leaves to estimate the population density with a coefficient of variation of 0.25 for densities above 10 immature whiteflies per leaf was 40 for D. citri and P. myricae, and 250 for A. floccosus. Binomial sampling programs for the three species were rejected for pest management purposes due to the high sample sizes required. The enumerative procedure of counting the number of insects per leaf appears to be the most suitable method for D. citri and P. myricae. For A. floccosus an index of occupation (from 0 to 10) linearly related to the proportion of the leaf undersurface occupied by this insect was found to be reliable and time-saving. Examining 150 leaves with this index achieves the desired relative variation level of 0.25 for most population densities usually found in commercial groves. 相似文献
20.
The spatial distribution of the citrus mealybug, Planococcus citri (Risso) (Homoptera: Pseudococcidae), was studied in citrus groves in northeastern Spain. Constant precision sampling plans were designed for all developmental stages of citrus mealybug under the fruit calyx, for late stages on fruit, and for females on trunks and main branches; more than 66, 286, and 101 data sets, respectively, were collected from nine commercial fields during 1992-1998. Dispersion parameters were determined using Taylor's power law, giving aggregated spatial patterns for citrus mealybug populations in three locations of the tree sampled. A significant relationship between the number of insects per organ and the percentage of occupied organs was established using either Wilson and Room's binomial model or Kono and Sugino's empirical formula. Constant precision (E = 0.25) sampling plans (i.e., enumerative plans) for estimating mean densities were developed using Green's equation and the two binomial models. For making management decisions, enumerative counts may be less labor-intensive than binomial sampling. Therefore, we recommend enumerative sampling plans for the use in an integrated pest management program in citrus. Required sample sizes for the range of population densities near current management thresholds, in the three plant locations calyx, fruit, and trunk were 50, 110-330, and 30, respectively. Binomial sampling, especially the empirical model, required a higher sample size to achieve equivalent levels of precision. 相似文献