共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 0 毫秒
1.
Species abundances are undoubtedly the most widely available macroecological data, but can we use them to distinguish among several models of community structure? Here we present a Bayesian analysis of species‐abundance data that yields a full joint probability distribution of each model's parameters plus a relatively parameter‐independent criterion, the posterior Bayes factor, to compare these models. We illustrate our approach by comparing three classical distributions: the zero‐sum multinomial (ZSM) distribution, based on Hubbell's neutral model, the multivariate Poisson lognormal distribution (MPLN), based on niche arguments, and the discrete broken stick (DBS) distribution, based on MacArthur's broken stick model. We give explicit formulas for the probability of observing a particular species‐abundance data set in each model, and argue that conditioning on both sample size and species count is needed to allow comparisons between the two distributions. We apply our approach to two neotropical communities (trees, fish). We find that DBS is largely inferior to ZSM and MPLN for both communities. The tree data do not allow discrimination between ZSM and MPLN, but for the fish data ZSM (neutral model) overwhelmingly outperforms MPLN (niche model), suggesting that dispersal plays a previously underestimated role in structuring tropical freshwater fish communities. We advocate this approach for identifying the relative importance of dispersal and niche‐partitioning in determining diversity of different ecological groups of species under different environmental conditions. 相似文献
2.
3.
Despite the general acknowledgment of the role of niche and stochastic process in community dynamics, the role of species relative abundances according to both perspectives may have different effects regarding coexistence patterns. In this study, we explore a minimum probabilistic stochastic model to determine the relationship of populations relative and total abundances with species chances to outcompete each other and their persistence in time (i.e., unstable coexistence). Our model is focused on the effects drift (i.e., random sampling of recruitment) under different scenarios of selection (i.e., fitness differences between species). Our results show that taking into account the stochasticity in demographic properties and conservation of individuals in closed communities (zero-sum assumption), initial population abundance can strongly influence species chances to outcompete each other, despite fitness inequalities between populations, and also, influence the period of coexistence of these species in a particular time interval. Systems carrying capacity can have an important role in species coexistence by exacerbating fitness inequalities and affecting the size of the period of coexistence. Overall, the simple stochastic formulation used in this study demonstrated that populations initial abundances could act as an equalizing mechanism, reducing fitness inequalities, which can favor species coexistence and even make less fitted species to be more likely to outcompete better-fitted species, and thus to dominate ecological communities in the absence of niche mechanisms. Although our model is restricted to a pair of interacting species, and overall conclusions are already predicted by the Neutral Theory of Biodiversity, our main objective was to derive a model that can explicitly show the functional relationship between population densities and community mono-dominance odds. Overall, our study provides a straightforward understanding of how a stochastic process (i.e., drift) may affect the expected outcome based on species selection (i.e., fitness inequalities among species) and the resulting outcome regarding unstable coexistence among species. 相似文献
4.
Intraspecific variation in habitat-forming species can have important ecological consequences at the population, community,
and ecosystem level. However, the contribution of genetic variation among individuals to these effects is seldom documented.
We quantified morphological and physiological variation among genotypes of a marine foundation species, the seagrass Zostera marina. We grew replicate shoots of eight genetically distinct Zostera individuals collected from Bodega Bay, California, in a common garden environment and then quantified shoot production and
morphology, nutrient uptake, and key photosynthetic parameters. We found that genotypes differed in shoot production, biomass,
and both root and shoot nutrient uptake rates, even when corrected for genotype-specific biomass differences. In addition,
the rank order of uptake ability differed for ammonium and nitrate, indicating that genotypes may exhibit resource partitioning
of different forms of nutrients. Our results suggest that both niche complementarity among genotypes and the sampling/selection
effect could contribute to previously observed positive effects of seagrass clonal diversity on resource utilization and biomass
production. Further, they highlight that genotypic variation in key traits of habitat-forming species could have measurable
effects on community structure and function. 相似文献
5.
6.
Hubbell's neutral model has become a major paradigm in ecology. Whereas the steady-state structure is well understood, results about the dynamical aspects of the model are scarce. Here we derive dynamical equations for the Simpson diversity index. Both mean and variance of the diversity are proven to satisfy stable linear system dynamics. We show that in the stationary limit we indeed recover previous results, and we supplement this with numerical simulations to validate the dynamical part of our analytical computations. These findings are especially relevant for experiments in microbial ecology, where the Simpson diversity index can be accurately measured as a function of time. 相似文献
7.
生物多样性的分布格局和维持机制一直是群落生态学研究的核心问题,其中的关键是物种的共存机制。长期以来,生态位分化的思想在这一研究领域占据着主导地位。然而这一理论在解释热带雨林很高的物种多样性时遇到了困难。而以Hubbell为代表提出的群落中性漂变理论则假定在同一营养级物种构成的群落中不同物种的不同个体在生态学上可看成是完全等同的;物种的多度随机游走,群落中的物种数取决于物种灭绝和物种迁入/新物种形成之间的动态平衡。在这一假定之下,该理论预言了两种统计分布。一种是集合群落在点突变形成新物种的模式下其各个物种相对多度服从对数级数分布,而受扩散限制的局域群落以及按照随机分裂为新物种模式形成的集合群落则服从零和多项式分布。与生态位理论相反,中性理论不以种间生态位差异作为研究群落结构的出发点,而是以物种间在个体水平上的对等性作为前提。该理论第一次从基本生态学过程(出生、死亡、迁移、物种分化)出发,给出了群落物种多度分布的机理性解释,同时其预测的物种多度分布格局在实际群落中也得到了广泛的印证。因此,中性理论自诞生以来便在生态学界引发了极大的反响,也包括一些反对的声音。该文重点综述了关于中性理论的假设、预测和物种形成模式等方面的最新研究进展,包括中性理论本身的发展、关于中性理论的假设和预测的合理性检验以及在集合群落尺度上物种分化模式的讨论;并指出未来发展方向可能是在生态位理论和中性理论之间架起一座桥梁,同时发展包含随机性的群落生态位模型,以及允许种间差异的近中性模型。 相似文献
8.
A new sampling formula for neutral biodiversity 总被引:6,自引:3,他引:6
Rampal S. Etienne 《Ecology letters》2005,8(3):253-260
The neutral model of biodiversity, proposed by Hubbell (The Unified Neutral Theory of Biodiversity and Biogeography, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, 2001) to explain the diversity of functionally equivalent species, has been subject of hot debate in community ecology. Whereas Hubbell studied the model mostly by simulations, recently analytical treatments have yielded expressions of the expected number of species of a particular abundance in a local community with dispersal limitation. Moreover, a formula has been offered for the joint likelihood of observing a given species‐abundance dataset in a local community with dispersal limitation, but this formula is too complicated to allow practical applications. Here, I present a much simplified expression that can be regarded as an enhanced version of the famous Ewens sampling formula. It can be used in maximum likelihood methods for quick estimation of the model parameters, using all information in the data, and for model comparison. I also show how to rapidly generate examples of species‐abundance distributions for a given set of model parameters and how to calculate Simpson's diversity index. 相似文献
9.
Zero-inflated count data arise frequently from genomics studies. Analysis of such data is often based on a mixture model which facilitates excess zeros in combination with a Poisson distribution, and various inference methods have been proposed under such a model. Those analysis procedures, however, are challenged by the presence of measurement error in count responses. In this article, we propose a new measurement error model to describe error-contaminated count data. We show that ignoring the measurement error effects in the analysis may generally lead to invalid inference results, and meanwhile, we identify situations where ignoring measurement error can still yield consistent estimators. Furthermore, we propose a Bayesian method to address the effects of measurement error under the zero-inflated Poisson model and discuss the identifiability issues. We develop a data-augmentation algorithm that is easy to implement. Simulation studies are conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed method. We apply our method to analyze the data arising from a prostate adenocarcinoma genomic study. 相似文献
10.
Because of the multiscalar nature of processes underlying biodiversity dynamics, macroecology has emerged as a discipline that seeks to build an understanding of this complexity by examining statistical patterns in large assemblages of species in geographic space and ecological time. Models that assume individual organisms within trophically defined assemblages are ecologically equivalent can produce many patterns identified by macroecology. Neutral models predict two important dynamical patterns that can be tested in real assemblages. First, they predict that species diversity will decline within an assemblage over time. The rate of this decay in species diversity can be predicted from estimates of migration rates from a “metacommunity” or species pool. Second, neutral models predict a divergence of species composition among local communities over time. The rate and degree of divergence among communities also depend on the migration rate. The few studies that have been done to date imply that the rate of migration in real species assemblages is much lower than that required to explain the degree of community similarity maintained in space and time. There are at least two alternative ways to extend neutral models to incorporate more biological realism. First, competitive asymmetries among species may be introduced to allow for the possibility that individuals of some species may have an advantage in replacing individuals that die. Second, environmental heterogeneity can be introduced by assuming sites available to individuals differ in quality to individuals of different species. The neutral model, because of its conceptual simplicity and rigor, should be considered as a null model for baseline comparison to actual patterns of distribution, abundance, species composition, and beta diversity.
Zusammenfassung
Wegen der multiskalaren Natur der Prozesse, die der Biodiversitätsdynamik zugrunde liegen, entstand die Makroökologie als eine Disziplin, die anstrebt ein Verständnis dieser Komplexität zu schaffen, indem sie statistische Muster in großen Vergesellschaftungen von Arten im geografischen Raum und ökologischer Zeit untersucht. Modelle, die davon ausgehen, dass individuelle Organismen innerhalb trophisch definierter Vergesellschaftungen ökologisch äquivalent sind, können viele Muster erzeugen, die durch die Makroökologie indentifiziert werden. Neutrale Modelle sagen zwei wichtige dynamische Muster vorher, die in realen Vergesellschaftungen getestet werden können. Als Erstes sagen sie vorher, dass die Artendiversität in einer Vergesellschaftung mit der Zeit abnehmen wird. Die Rate der Abnahme der Artendiversität kann über Schätzungen der Migrationsraten aus einer Metagemeinschaft bzw. einem Artenpool vorhergesagt werden. Als Zweites sagen neutrale Modelle eine Divergenz der Artenzusammensetzung zwischen den lokalen Gemeinschaften mit der Zeit vorher. Die Rate und der Grad der Divergenz zwischen den Gemeinschaften hängt ebenfalls von der Migrationsrate ab. Die wenigen Untersuchungen, die bis heute gemacht wurden, implizieren, dass die Rate der Migration in realen Artenvergesellschaftungen viel geringer als erforderlich sind, um den Grad der Gemeinschaftsähnlichkeit zu erklären, der in Raum und Zeit aufrecht erhalten wird. Es gibt mindestens zwei alternative Weisen neutrale Modelle zu erweitern, um mehr biologische Realität mit einzubeziehen. Als Erstes können Asymmetrien der Konkurrenz unter Arten einbezogen werden, um die Möglichkeit zu zulassen, dass Individuen einiger Arten einen Vorteil bei der Ersetzung von sterbenden Individuen haben. Als Zweites kann die Umweltheterogenität mit einbezogen werden, indem angenommen wird, dass sich die verfügbaren Standorte in ihrer Qualität für Individuen verschiedener Arten unterscheiden. Wegen seiner konzeptuellen Einfachheit und Starrheit sollte das neutrale Modell als Null-Modell für grundlegende Vergleiche von Verbreitung, Abundanz, Artenzusammensetzung und Betadiversität angesehen werden. 相似文献11.
12.
The debate between niche-based and neutral community theories centers around the question of which forces shape predominantly ecological communities. Niche theory attributes a central role to niche differences between species, which generate a difference between the strength of intra- and interspecific interactions. Neutral theory attributes a central role to migration processes and demographic stochasticity. One possibility to bridge these two theories is to combine them in a common mathematical framework. Here we propose a mathematical model that integrates the two perspectives. From a niche-based perspective, our model can be interpreted as a Lotka-Volterra model with symmetric interactions in which we introduce immigration and demographic stochasticity. From a neutral perspective, it can be interpreted as Hubbell's local community model in which we introduce a difference between intra- and interspecific interactions. We investigate the stationary species abundance distribution and other community properties as functions of the interaction coefficient, the immigration rate and the strength of demographic stochasticity. 相似文献
13.
【背景】接合菌在自然界广泛分布,在工业、食品、医药、生物防治等方面扮演着重要的角色,部分接合菌为有害菌。西藏地区接合菌只有少数零星的报道,其系统调查研究几乎还是空白,大量潜在的物种需要分离、鉴定、认识、保藏和开发。【目的】了解西藏地区的接合菌物种多样性和生物资源现状,为该地区有害接合菌的控制和有益接合菌的开发利用奠定基础。【方法】对西藏全境7个地区19个代表县的701个样品采用平板稀释分离法得到单菌落,然后进行形态和分子(SSU、ITS和LSU r DNA)鉴定,并在此基础上进行生物多样性以及优势和稀有属种分析。【结果】得到西藏接合菌10属26种,包括5个西藏已知种和21个西藏新记录种;其中4个为中国新记录种,分别是:类变形被孢霉(Mortierella amoeboidea)、球孢高山被孢霉(M.globalpina)、灰褐毛霉(Mucor brunneogriseus)、暗色毛霉(M.fuscus)。西藏接合菌的多样性指数分析表明,不同地区间的物种数量和组成存在显著差异,排在前4位的分别是波密县、米林县、当雄县和八宿县。属种分析显示,西藏接合菌的2个优势属为被孢霉属(Mortierella)和毛霉属(Mucor);3个优势种为高山被孢霉(Mortierella alpina)、冻土毛霉(Mucor hiemalis)、匍枝根霉(Rhizopus stolonifer);常见属8个,分别是犁头霉属(Absidia)、放射毛霉属(Actinomucor)、小克银汉霉属(Cunninghamella)、根毛霉属(Rhizomucor)、根霉属(Rhizopus)、共头霉属(Syncephalastrum)、伞形霉属(Umbelopsis)和接霉属(Zygorhynchus);常见种9个,稀有种14个。【结论】西藏地区接合菌资源丰富,各地区生物多样性差异显著,稀有物种占一半以上的比例提示西藏自然环境保护的重要性。 相似文献
14.
Francesco De Bello Sébastien Lavergne Christine N. Meynard Jan Lepš Wilfried Thuiller 《植被学杂志》2010,21(5):992-1000
A methodology for partitioning of biodiversity into α, β and γ components has long been debated, resulting in different mathematical frameworks. Recently, use of the Rao quadratic entropy index has been advocated since it allows comparison of various facets of diversity (e.g. taxonomic, phylogenetic and functional) within the same mathematical framework. However, if not well implemented, the Rao index can easily yield biologically meaningless results and lead into a mathematical labyrinth. As a practical guideline for ecologists, we present a critical synthesis of diverging implementations of the index in the recent literature and a new extension of the index for measuring β‐diversity. First, we detail correct computation of the index that needs to be applied in order not to obtain negative β‐diversity values, which are ecologically unacceptable, and elucidate the main approaches to calculate the Rao quadratic entropy at different spatial scales. Then, we emphasize that, similar to other entropy measures, the Rao index often produces lower‐than‐expected β‐diversity values. To solve this, we extend a correction based on equivalent numbers, as proposed by Jost (2007), to the Rao index. We further show that this correction can be applied to additive partitioning of diversity and not only its multiplicative form. These developments around the Rao index open up an exciting avenue to develop an estimator of turnover diversity across different environmental and temporal scales, allowing meaningful comparisons of partitioning across species, phylogenetic and functional diversities within the same mathematical framework. We also propose a set of R functions, based on existing developments, which perform different key computations to apply this framework in biodiversity science. 相似文献
15.
J. L. Foulley D. Gianola S. Im 《TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik》1987,73(6):870-877
Summary A procedure of genetic evaluation of reproductive traits such as litter size and survival in a polytocous species under the assumption of polygenic inheritance is described. Conditional distributions of these traits are assumed to be Poisson and Bernoulli, respectively. Using the concept of generalized linear models, logarithmic (litter size) and probit (survival) functions are described as linear combinations of nuisance environmental effects and of transmitting abilities of sires or individual breeding values. The liability of survival is expressed conditionally to the logarithm of litter size. Inferences on location parameters are based on the mode of their joint posterior density assuming a prior multivariate normal distribution. A method of estimation of the dispersion parameters is also presented. The use of a truncated Poisson distribution is suggested to account for missing records on litter size.On leave from INRA, Station de Génétique Quantitative et Appliquée Centre de Recherches Zootechniques, F-78350 Jouy-en-Josas, FranceOn leave from INRA, Laboratoire de Biometrie, Centre de Recherches de Toulouse, B.P.27, F-31326 Castanet-Tolosan Cedex, France 相似文献
16.
The application of Bayesian methods to stable isotopic mixing problems, including inference of diet has the potential to revolutionise ecological research. Using simulated data we show that a recently published model MixSIR fails to correctly identify the true underlying dietary proportions more than 50% of the time and fails with increasing frequency as additional unquantified error is added. While the source of the fundamental failure remains elusive, mitigating solutions are suggested for dealing with additional unquantified variation. Moreover, MixSIR uses a formulation for a prior distribution that results in an opaque and unintuitive covariance structure. 相似文献
17.
The decline and loss of biodiversity provoked by human activities have caused ecologists and conservationists to center their attention on the design of conservation priority areas (PAs), focusing mainly on species conservation in terms of richness, rarity and/or vulnerability. However, biodiversity has multiple dimensions, evolutionary processes have recently been labeled the ‘missing component’ of conservation strategies, and increasingly more authors are suggesting that the ecological, evolutionary and historical aspects of biodiversity are key components of conservation planning. In this study we develop a prioritization system to design conservation PAs using the wild terrestrial mammals of the Iberian Peninsula as an example. We aim to contribute to the design of more suitable PAs by integrating ecological components of biodiversity (species richness, vulnerability and rarity), evolutionary aspects (accumulated genetic diversification) and historical information relevant to the study area. After selecting a set of biodiversity indicators, we applied a multi-objective technique (extended goal programming) to construct a combined index, where values in the top 90th percentile were then used to select the PAs. According to our most efficient and satisfactory results, some areas highlighted for their conservation are currently categorized as PAs, however, we found that it would be necessary to reconsider their extent, especially in northern Spain, where the historical aspects of biodiversity (the missing component) are more widely present. The need to determine PAs is unquestionable. However, it should also be a priority to move towards a model of sustainable and fair development. 相似文献
18.
Robert K. Colwell Anne Chao Nicholas J. Gotelli Shang-Yi Lin Chang Xuan Mao Robin L. Chazdon John T. Longino 《Journal of Plant Ecology》2012,5(1):3
Aims In ecology and conservation biology, the number of species counted in a biodiversity study is a key metric but is usually a biased underestimate of total species richness because many rare species are not detected. Moreover, comparing species richness among sites or samples is a statistical challenge because the observed number of species is sensitive to the number of individuals counted or the area sampled. For individual-based data, we treat a single, empirical sample of species abundances from an investigator-defined species assemblage or community as a reference point for two estimation objectives under two sampling models: estimating the expected number of species (and its unconditional variance) in a random sample of (i) a smaller number of individuals (multinomial model) or a smaller area sampled (Poisson model) and (ii) a larger number of individuals or a larger area sampled. For sample-based incidence (presence–absence) data, under a Bernoulli product model, we treat a single set of species incidence frequencies as the reference point to estimate richness for smaller and larger numbers of sampling units.Methods The first objective is a problem in interpolation that we address with classical rarefaction (multinomial model) and Coleman rarefaction (Poisson model) for individual-based data and with sample-based rarefaction (Bernoulli product model) for incidence frequencies. The second is a problem in extrapolation that we address with sampling-theoretic predictors for the number of species in a larger sample (multinomial model), a larger area (Poisson model) or a larger number of sampling units (Bernoulli product model), based on an estimate of asymptotic species richness. Although published methods exist for many of these objectives, we bring them together here with some new estimators under a unified statistical and notational framework. This novel integration of mathematically distinct approaches allowed us to link interpolated (rarefaction) curves and extrapolated curves to plot a unified species accumulation curve for empirical examples. We provide new, unconditional variance estimators for classical, individual-based rarefaction and for Coleman rarefaction, long missing from the toolkit of biodiversity measurement. We illustrate these methods with datasets for tropical beetles, tropical trees and tropical ants.Important findings Surprisingly, for all datasets we examined, the interpolation (rarefaction) curve and the extrapolation curve meet smoothly at the reference sample, yielding a single curve. Moreover, curves representing 95% confidence intervals for interpolated and extrapolated richness estimates also meet smoothly, allowing rigorous statistical comparison of samples not only for rarefaction but also for extrapolated richness values. The confidence intervals widen as the extrapolation moves further beyond the reference sample, but the method gives reasonable results for extrapolations up to about double or triple the original abundance or area of the reference sample. We found that the multinomial and Poisson models produced indistinguishable results, in units of estimated species, for all estimators and datasets. For sample-based abundance data, which allows the comparison of all three models, the Bernoulli product model generally yields lower richness estimates for rarefied data than either the multinomial or the Poisson models because of the ubiquity of non-random spatial distributions in nature. 相似文献
19.
莱州湾及黄河口水域渔业生物多样性及其保护研究 总被引:63,自引:0,他引:63
莱州湾是黄渤海渔业生物的主要产卵场、栖息地和渤海多种渔业的传统渔场。不同时期按季节进行的多试捕调查结果表明:莱州湾渔业生物的资源量、优势度和多样性指数发生了显著的变化。1959、1982、1992~1993和1998年的平均单位网次渔获量分别为258、117、77.5和8.5kg/h,渔业资源呈现持续衰退的趋势。80年代以来带鱼、小黄鱼等大型底于类为黄鲫、Ti鱼等小型中上层鱼类所替代,渔业生物群落 相似文献
20.
Collembolans are known indicators of soil disturbance, used in several soil biodiversity monitoring programmes. As for other groups of soil microarthropods, taxonomic determination of Collembola species requires a huge effort and expert knowledge. In this study, we evaluated whether identification of Collembola species to the morphotype level, using an eco-morphological index which classifies individuals based on their adaptation to the soil, can be used as a surrogate of species richness in extensive monitoring schemes. The same evaluation was performed for higher taxa surrogates, using taxonomic categories at the genus and family levels. Additionally, sampling effort for perennial crops and forest systems was determined. Species data were collected from 35 sites sampled within different projects with the same number of samples (16 per site). Results showed that, on average, 8–12 samples are enough to have a good estimate of species richness for this type of systems, averaging 80–90%, but varying considerably with site habitat heterogeneity and local Collembola species pool. GLM models (using species richness as response variable) fitted for family, genus or morphotype levels (explanatory variables) were all significant (p < 0.05) but only the latter two had a pseudo R2 higher than 0.75. This indicates that when a rapid, cost-effective assessment of Collembola richness in different sites is required, this eco-morphological trait approach, as well as the determination to the genus level, could be used. 相似文献