Do mountain hare populations cycle?

We investigated the occurrence and distribution of multi-annual cycles in abundance of mountain hare populations across a wide area of their range in northern Europe. We analysed 125 time-series of mountain hare abundance indexed from hunting bag records and questionnaire responses from Scotland, Sweden, Finland and Switzerland. We also reanalysed 17 previously published time-series based on hunting bag records and snow track indices from mountain hare populations in Scotland, Norway, Sweden, Finland, Russia and Italy. Autocorrelation analysis showed that 45% of mountain hare populations showed evidence of cycles, characterised by significant negative autocorrelations at half or the whole cycle period. The amplitude and periodicity of cycles varied between and within countries. Time-series in Scotland were characterised by high-amplitude weak cycles with a mean periodicity of nine years but with a range of 4–15 years. Norwegian and Swedish time-series revealed low amplitude weak cycles with a 3–7 year period. Finnish time-series showed low amplitude cycles with a 4–11 year period. Alpine time-series were predominantly non-cyclic, while the limited number of series from Russia showed high amplitude weak cycles with an 8–11 year period. The results reveal that mountain hare populations show a wide range of population dynamics with distinct regional differences in periodicity, amplitude and density dependent structure of cycles. These findings suggest that different factors may limit or regulate mountain hare populations in different regions of Europe thus supporting the results of recent field studies.     

The concept of the taxon cycle in biogeography

Taxon cycles are sequential phases of expansion and contraction of the ranges of species, associated generally with shifts in ecological distribution. The important contribution of the taxon cycle to biogeographical analysis is its emphasis on evolutionary and ecological interactions among colonizing and resident species, which influence their extinction dynamics and establish patterns of geographical distribution. Taxon cycles were inferred originally from the distribution of species across island archipelagos, where a correlation was noted between gaps in island occupancy and the degree of phenotypic differentiation. This pattern implied that phases of colonization were followed by range contraction, while endemic Antillean species that were undifferentiated between islands suggested secondary expansion and the beginning of a new cycle. This interpretation was met with scepticism, but reconstruction of phylogenetic relationships from gene sequences has now permitted us to characterize taxon cycles in Lesser Antillean birds. The relative timing of phases of the cycle can be deduced from genetic divergence between island populations. We have found that taxon cycles have periods in the order of 10⁶ years and that cycles in different lineages occur independently of each other and independently of Pleistocene climate cycles. Individual island populations may persist for several millions of years on the larger islands of the Lesser Antilles; occasional expansion phases lead to the replacement of island populations that have disappeared, thus reducing the archipelago‐wide rate of extinction to nil. What drives taxon cycles is unknown, but we speculate that they may be caused by co‐evolution with enemy populations, and a probable mechanism would involve infrequent mutations influencing parasite virulence and avian host disease resistance. Taxon cycles undoubtedly occur on continents, but the geographical configuration of island archipelagos reveals more clearly their presence and invites their study.     

Models of plant-pathogen coevolution.

Plant populations are often genetically polymorphic for resistance to pathogens. The effectiveness of this resistance is limited because the pathogens are, in turn, polymorphic for virulence genes that can evade plant resistance. Theoretical models and intriguing preliminary data suggest that these plant-pathogen polymorphisms are maintained by continual cycles of coevolution within populations, combined with occasional immigration of new virulence and resistance genes from distant populations.     

Seasonally limited host supply generates microparasite population cycles

Cycles in biological populations have been shown to arise from enemy-victim systems, delayed density dependence, andmaternal effects. In an initial effort to model the year-to-year dynamics of natural populations of entomopathogenic nematodes and their insect hosts, we find that a simple, nonlinear, mechanistic model produces large amplitude, period two population cycles. The cycles are generated by seasonal dynamics within semi-isolated populations independently of inter-annual feedback in host population numbers, which differs from previously studied mechanisms. The microparasites compete for a fixed number of host insect larvae. Many nematodes at the beginning of the year quickly eliminate the pool of small hosts, and few nematodes are produced for the subsequent year. Conversely, initially small nematode populations do not over-exploit the host population, so the surviving hosts grow to be large and produce many nematodes that survive to the following year.     

Review of proposed mechanisms for sockeye salmon population cycles in the fraser river

Prominent and persistent cyclic fluctuations in the abundance of consecutive year-classes occur in some sockeye salmon populations throughout the species' range. We review and test a number of explanations for the existence of these cycles using qualitative biological arguments, including a consideration of the synchrony of cycles among populations. Most of the hypotheses involve mechanisms that would reinforce synchronous population fluctuations within watersheds. However, the 4-year cycles characteristic of many Fraser River sockeye populations are sometimes out of phase with each other, both among populations which migrate together as mixed stocks while vulnerable to commerical fisheries, and among populations whose juveniles share the same nursery lake habitat (Shuswap Lake). Such asynchrony suggests that the mechanism(s) causing population cycles can operate independently within reproductively isolated populations. Of the mechanisms reviewed here, only those involving genetic effects on age at maturation, or on resistance to disease or parasites, or those involving depensatory predation soon after fry emergence, appear to offer satisfactory explanations.     

Allozyme frequencies, heterozygosity and genetic distances following S1 recurrent selection in two synthetic maize populations

 Three cycles of S₁ recurrent selection for yield were carried out in two synthetic maize populations, EPS6 from humid Spain and EPS7 from arid Spain. One-hundred S₁ lines were evaluated from each cycle of selection and the ten highest-yielding S₁ lines were recombined to produce the next cycle. Changes in variability and genetic distances in two synthetic maize populations, following three cycles of recurrent selection, recombining ten S₁ lines in each cycle, were determined. Isozyme analysis was performed on 125 seedlings per cycle of selection (four cycles in each of two populations). Regressions of each allozyme frequency on cycles of selection were performed, genetic distances between populations were determined, and simple correlations between genetic distances and heterosis were calculated. The average heterozygosity per locus was also calculated for each population. Regression analysis did not reveal any common trend between EPS6 and EPS7 for changes in allele frequencies presumably due to selection. The number of polymorphic loci, the mean alleles per locus, and the mean heterozygosity did not show any reduction in variability. Finally, selection did not affect genetic distances among cycles of selection. The agronomic evaluation of the selection program, after three cycles of selection, revealed that the genetic variance was not significantly reduced for most traits, and that the heterosis among cycles of selection of both populations had not changed significantly. The conclusions based on isozyme data supported the deductions made from agronomic data. Three cycles of selection neither caused relevant changes on variability nor on genetic distance among cycles of selection of both maize synthetic populations. These data did not indicate any basis for increasing the number of S₁ lines recombined for recurrent selection. Received: 28 April 1997 / Accepted: 23 June 1997     

Population dynamics of the yew gall midge Taxomyia taxi (Inchbald) (Diptera: Cecidomyiidae)

Abstract. 1. The causes and incidence of mortality in populations of the yew gall midge Taxomyia taxi at Kingley Vale, West Sussex, are described in relation to the various life cycles of the midge.
2. Life table analysis of populations studied for 10 years indicates that the key factor in mortality is failure to achieve maximum fecundity, although in 1-year life cycles parasitism by Mesopolobus diffinis is equally important. Densities and mortality vary considerably between different life cycles, and no regulation has been firmly established.
3. Interactions between the host populations and their parasites are complex and as yet not fully analysable, but the pattern of parasitism seen may explain some of the complex life history pattern of the host. The existence of long-term cycles of host and parasite densities are predicted.     

Disease effects on reproduction can cause population cycles in seasonal environments

1. Recent studies of rodent populations have demonstrated that certain parasites can cause juveniles to delay maturation until the next reproductive season. Furthermore, a variety of parasites may share the same host, and evidence is beginning to accumulate showing nonindependent effects of different infections. 2. We investigated the consequences for host population dynamics of a disease-induced period of no reproduction, and a chronic reduction in fecundity following recovery from infection (such as may be induced by secondary infections) using a modified SIR (susceptible, infected, recovered) model. We also included a seasonally varying birth rate as recent studies have demonstrated that seasonally varying parameters can have important effects on long-term host-parasite dynamics. We investigated the model predictions using parameters derived from five different cyclic rodent populations. 3. Delayed and reduced fecundity following recovery from infection have no effect on the ability of the disease to regulate the host population in the model as they have no effect on the basic reproductive rate. However, these factors can influence the long-term dynamics including whether or not they exhibit multiyear cycles. 4. The model predicts disease-induced multiyear cycles for a wide range of realistic parameter values. Host populations that recover relatively slowly following a disease-induced population crash are more likely to show multiyear cycles. Diseases for which the period of infection is brief, but full recovery of reproductive function is relatively slow, could generate large amplitude multiyear cycles of several years in length. Chronically reduced fecundity following recovery can also induce multiyear cycles, in support of previous theoretical studies. 5. When parameterized for cowpox virus in the cyclic field vole populations (Microtus agrestis) of Kielder Forest (northern England), the model predicts that the disease must chronically reduce host fecundity by more than 70%, following recovery from infection, for it to induce multiyear cycles. When the model predicts quasi-periodic multiyear cycles it also predicts that seroprevalence and the effective date of onset of the reproductive season are delayed density-dependent, two phenomena that have been recorded in the field.     

PHOTOPERIODIC ADAPTATION IN DESERT POPULATIONS OF XANTHIUM STRUMARIUM

Reproductive adaptation to photoperiod is diverse among desert populations of Xanthium. Chihuahuan Desert populations require dark periods of 9.5–10.5 hr for reproduction, and Sonoran Desert populations require 9–10.5 hr. Many Chihuahuan populations from western Texas two weeks from sowing need only 10 cycles of 11-hr nights to produce 100% flowering, but Sonoran populations from western Mexico four weeks from sowing need 18 cycles or more. Some Sonoran plants produce buds only at a cooler temperature program, 24–15 C, but Chihuahuan plants produce them more readily under the warmer program, 30–24 C. Chihuahuan plants that were germinated under 11-hr nights and four different temperature programs were induced to flower in each condition. Differences in photoperiod and ripeness-to-flower (maturity) responses were also demonstrated under natural day lengths in central Texas. Although desert populations occurring at approximately the same latitude in either the Chihuahuan or Sonoran Desert are exposed to similar day lengths, each population may be adapted to different photoperiod cues that maximize its utilization of the local growing conditions.     

The problem of persistence in economic-demographic cycles

A continuous model for population cycles developed by Frauenthal is extended to provide further insights into damping and persistence. Values of the cycle magnitude parameter γ which would yield persistent cycles are estimated for a number of populations, and a regression technique is introduced by which γ can be estimated directly from cohort fertility rates. The results imply that cycles in American and other Western fertility since the depression, if present, have been stabilizing in their effects.     

The reproductive cycle of the asteroid Coscinasterias muricata in Port Phillip Bay, Victoria, Australia

The reproductive cycles of two populations of Coscinasterias muricata from Port Phillip Bay, Victoria, Australia are described in terms of organ indices, oocyte development and progesterone levels. Both Governor's Reef and South Channel Fort populations exhibited clearly defined reproductive cycles with two spawning periods, during summer and during spring. In both populations, the pyloric caecal index and gonadal index showed inverse cycles suggesting nutrient translocation from the pyloric caeca to the gonads for gametogenesis. Physiological changes, such as decreases in pyloric caecal index, and increases in gonadal index and oocyte diameter were observed following the months of increased progesterone concentrations in the female pyloric caeca. These results indicate a role for this steroid in the reproductive cycle. The results from the Governor's Reef population suggest that the influence of progesterone on the reproductive cycle of female C. muricata is regulated by photoperiod. Results also provide evidence of a role for seawater temperature in the reproductive process of this species.     

Menstrual cycle characteristics and predictability of ovulation of Bhutia women in Sikkim, India

Although a woman's menstrual history can have significant implications for health outcomes, few studies have examined menstrual cycle variability in non-western, non-clinically based populations. This study presents menstrual cycle characteristics from Bhutia women living in Gangtok, Sikkim, India. The Bhutia are one of two indigenous populations residing in this small, northeastern state of India. A total of 1067 cycles were recorded by 200 Bhutia women over the course of 12 months. Mean cycle length in this population was similar to reported mean cycle lengths for populations in the U.S (30 days vs. 28 days). Menstrual cycles in this sample were highly variable with most women experiencing more than one short or long menstrual cycle. The frequency of irregular menstrual cycles experienced by individuals also varied significantly by season. A body mass index (BMI) above or below the WHO defined normal range was associated with higher rates of irregular cycles. Leutenizing hormone (LH) and follicle stimulating hormone (FSH) levels were also determined from urine samples collected just before mid-cycle, based on median cycle lengths. Although menstrual cycles in this sample were highly variable, median cycle length was still useful in predicting timing of the pre-ovulatory hormone surges of LH and FSH. Frequency of irregular cycles did impact the successful capture of the LH and FSH peak values.     

Reproductive characteristics of Bufo bankorensis at two elevations in Taiwan

We compared the reproductive characteristics of two populations of Bufo bankorensis in central Taiwan, one inhabiting a temperate climate (Meifong, 2100 m), the other inhabiting a subtropical climate (Wushe, 1100 m). We determined ovary status, spermatogenetic activity, fat body and liver mass cycles, and plasma 17-betaestradiol and androgen levels over a 14 month period. B. bankorensis from both populations are prolonged breeders but the temperate population exhibits breeding activity throughout the year, while the subtropical population only breeds from September to March. Their spermatogenic cycles are continuous, and their spermatogenetic activities are invariably at stage 6, in which spermatozoa are predominant in the seminiferous tubule. Both populations show monthly variations in plasma androgen and 17-betaestradiol levels, but follow different patterns. Ovary mass is larger in the temperate than in the subtropical population. The reproduction differences of two elevation toads could be reflected by adaptations to the local environmental regimes of its habitat. The reproductive patterns of these populations of Bufo bankorensis are also compared to those of sympatric and allopatric populations of five anurans studied from sites throughout Taiwan.     

Predicted and realized grain yield responses to full-sib family selection in CIMMYT maize (Zea mays L.) populations

Summary The maize (Zea mays L.) improvement program of the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) develops broad-based maize populations and, until recently, improved all of them through full-sib family selection with international testing. The purpose of this study was to estimate the genetic and genetic × environment variance components for ten of those populations and to measure expected yield improvement from full-sib selection. Mean yield ranged from 3.35–6.81 t ha^–1. For five populations the average yield in the last cycle was higher than in the initial cycles. Several populations showed no improvement or yielded less in the final cycle of selection, either because selection intensity was low or because strong selection pressure was applied simultaneously for several traits. Variation resulting from differences among family means within cycles and from interaction between families and locations within cycles were significant in all populations and cycles. Results indicate that variability among full-sib families was maintained throughout the cycles for all populations. The large _ge ² / _g ² ratio shown by most populations suggests that yield response per cycle could be maximized if the environments in which progenies are tested were subdivided and classified into similar subsets. The proportion of the predicted response realized in improved yield varied for each population.Journal Paper No. 8640, Nebraska Agric. Res. Div. Project No. 12-159. Research was supported in part by USAID/USDA/ CSRS Research Grant No. 86-CRSR-2-2789     

Life-history variation in agricultural and wild populations of Erucastrum nasturtiifolium (Brassicaceae)

In the present study we relate the variability in life-history traits (such as flowering time and lifespan) of the herbaceous biennial–perennial Erucastrum nasturtiifolium (Brassicaceae) to habitat type. We studied plant populations from arable fields and from eroded mountain habitats, such as badlands and rocky slopes. Collection sites ranged from low basin to sub-alpine regions in the NE Iberian Peninsula. Plants were grown under common garden conditions to evaluate genetic variation among and within populations. Plants were also subjected to a resource gradient to detect genetic variation in phenotypic plasticity. The populations exhibited differentiation across a number of life-history traits (mainly flowering time and lifespan) and morphological traits related to growth (basal stem diameter, plant height and number of branches). This suggests that life-history differences among populations are genetically based. Moreover, our results show that variation in flowering time and lifespan are affected by habitat type independent of other abiotic factors such as altitude or continentality. Thus, populations from arable fields started flowering in their first year and displayed annual cycles, whereas those from wild habitats generally flowered in their second year and showed biennial or even perennial cycles. Intra-population differences in flowering time were observed in only one population, and were related to nutrient availability. We suggest that early-flowering and shorter lifespan populations of E. nasturtiifolium may have been selected from late-flowering and longer lifespan populations as part of a selective process ensuring survival and future offspring amidst unpredictable and frequently disturbed environments such as exist in many agricultural habitats.     

Population cycles produced by delayed density dependence in an annual plant

In contrast to insect and animal populations, little attention has been directed to the study of cycles in plant populations. It has been argued on theoretical grounds that plants present stable dynamics. Nevertheless, there are examples where plant populations appear to exhibit oscillatory dynamics, but the oscillatory signal is variable and comes from very short time series data. Using a combination of time series, models, and empirical results, we present evidence of population cycles for Descurania sophia in a 16-year field experiment. Endogenous and exogenous causal mechanisms were studied to identify processes underlying this temporal dynamic. Our results show a 4-year cycle produced by delayed density dependence. We suggest that high nutrient levels might be responsible for the observed dynamics of D. sophia. Our results suggest that although plant population dynamics may be stabilized by direct density dependence, delayed density dependence could destabilize dynamics.     

Is Gene Flow Promoting the Reversal of Pleistocene Divergence in the Mountain Chickadee (Poecile gambeli)?

The Pleistocene glacial cycles left a genetic legacy on taxa throughout the world; however, the persistence of genetic lineages that diverged during these cycles is dependent upon levels of gene flow and introgression. The consequences of secondary contact among taxa may reveal new insights into the history of the Pleistocene’s genetic legacy. Here, we use phylogeographic methods, using 20 nuclear loci from regional populations, to infer the consequences of secondary contact following divergence in the Mountain Chickadee (Poecile gambeli). Analysis of nuclear data identified two geographically-structured genetic groups, largely concordant with results from a previous mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) study. Additionally, the estimated multilocus divergence times indicate a Pleistocene divergence, and are highly concordant with mtDNA. The previous mtDNA study showed a paucity of sympatry between clades, while nuclear patterns of gene flow show highly varied patterns between populations. The observed pattern of gene flow, from coalescent-based analyses, indicates southern populations in both clades exhibit little gene flow within or between clades, while northern populations are experiencing higher gene flow within and between clades. If this pattern were to persist, it is possible the historical legacy of Pleistocene divergence may be preserved in the southern populations only, and the northern populations would become a genetically diverse hybrid species.     

Vole population cycles in northern and southern Europe: is there a need for different explanations for single pattern?

1. Students of population cycles in small rodents in Fennoscandia have accumulated support for the predation hypothesis, which states that the gradient in cycle length and amplitude running from southern to northern Fennoscandia reflects the relative influence of specialist and generalist predators on vole dynamics, itself modulated by the presence of snow cover. The hypothesized role of snow cover is to isolate linked specialist predators, primarily the least weasel, Mustela n. nivalis L. and their prey, primarily field voles Microtus agrestis L., from the stabilizing influence of generalist predators. 2. The predation hypothesis does not readily account for the high amplitude and regular 3-year cycles of common voles documented in agricultural areas of western, central and eastern Europe. Such cycles are rarely mentioned in the literature pertaining to Fennoscandian cycles. 3. We consider new data on population cycles and demographic patterns of common voles Microtus arvalis Pallas in south-west France. We show that the patterns are wholly consistent with five of six patterns that characterize rodent cycles in Fennoscandia and that are satisfactorily explained by the predation hypothesis. They include the: (a) existence of cycle; (b) the occurrence of long-term changes in relative abundance and type of dynamics; (c) geographical synchrony over large areas; (d) interspecific synchrony; and (e) voles are large in the increase and peak phase and small in decline and low phase, namely. There is a striking similarity between the patterns shown by common vole populations in south-west France and those from Fennoscandian cyclic rodent populations, although the former are not consistent with a geographical extension of the latitudinal gradient south of Fennoscandia. 4. It is possible that the dominant interaction leading to multiannual rodent oscillations is different in different regions. We argue, however, that advocates of the predation hypothesis should embrace the challenge of developing a widely applicable explanation to population cycles, including justifying any limits to its applicability on ecological and not geographical grounds.     

Temporal dynamics of grouse populations at the southern edge of their distribution

Studies of grouse conducted at northern latitudes have shown that tetraonids frequently exhibit cyclic fluctuations in abundance but little is known about the dynamics of grouse species at the southerly edge of their range. Hunting statistics from four species of grouse based on 30 yr of data collected from 210 hunting areas were examined from the Dolomitic Alps in the province of Trentino. These data were summed to represent 18 time series from discrete mountain groups. Analyses identified cycles of ca 5 yr in the minority of rock ptarmigan Lagopus mutus and hazel grouse Bonasa bonasia populations. These cycles only showed significant negative autocorrelation at half the cycle period and were classified as phase-forgetting quasi-cycles. Cycles were not found in time series of black grouse Tetrao terix or capereaillie Tetrao urogallus. Correcting time series for hunting effort or hunting restrictions tended to increase the proportion of populations that exhibited cycles but no difference in the strength of second order density dependence, A linear first order density-dependent autoregressive model described the dynamics of most of the populations with the exception of a proportion of rock ptarmigan and black grouse populations where a non linear first order model provided the best tit. We compare the findings with studies conducted in Finland and suggest possible reasons for the reduced tendency to cycle in the populations of southern Europe.     

Comparative bionomics of four populations of Meccus longipennis (Hemiptera: Reduviidae: Triatominae) under laboratory conditions

The values of biological parameters related to the life cycles of four populations of Meccus longipennis (Reduviidae: Triatominae) were evaluated. Cohorts of each of the four studied populations from different geographical areas of Mexico were maintained under similar laboratory conditions and then compared. The population from El Saucito de Araujo was different from the other three studied populations, which could help explain the secondary importance of M. longipennis in the state of Chihuahua. This paper also supports the proposition that biological traits are important criteria for determining relationships between populations.