Uncertainty-based dynamic multimedia human health risk assessment for polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in a land oil exploitation area

With the increasing development of the petrochemical industry and the growing demand for oil, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) pollutions in the environment, especially in petroleum exploitation areas, are caused by the discharge of waste from the petroleum extraction process into an environmental system. This study aims to develop a new health risk assessment approach based on interval dynamic multimedia fugacity (IDMF) model and uncertainty analysis that could analyze the human exposure risk level for PAH contamination. The developed IDM health risk assessment (IDMHRA) approach is applied to assess previous, current, and future risks at a case study site in Daqing, Heilongjiang, China, from 1985 to 2020 for model validation. The human health risk assessment results show that 11 PAHs (NAP, ANT, FLA, PYR, BaA, CHR, BbF, BkF, BaP, IPY, and DBA) in the study site require further remediation efforts in terms of their unacceptable non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic risk. The results of risk source analysis reveal that soil media is the main risk pathway as compared with other exposure pathways. It can be seen that remediation process for soil contamination in the study site is urgently demanded. The assessment results demonstrate that the developed IDMHRA approach provides an effective tool for decision-makers and environmental managers to make remediation decisions in contaminated sites.     

Organochlorine contaminants in freshwater mussels; occurrence,bioaccumulation pattern,spatio-temporal distribution and human health risk assessment from the tributaries of River Ravi,Pakistan

The present study was conducted to investigate the bioavailable levels and human health risk of organochlorine contaminants (OCs), particularly organochlorine pesticides (OCPs) and polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) in freshwater mussels from northern three tributaries of River Ravi, Pakistan that provides the pioneer data for the occurrence of POPs in the freshwater mussels from Pakistan. The Σ₂₃OCPs and Σ₃₅PCBs concentrations in mussels were ranged from 189.66–2049.40 ng/g and 25.81 to 135.38 ng/g, respectively. The comparison of current bioavailable levels of OCs with maximum residual limits (MRLs) established by Food and Agricultural Organization and European Union revealed that Σendosulfan (100%), ΣDDTs (93%), HCB (87%), β-HCH (77%), endrin (77%), γ-HCH (70%), heptachlor (67%), aldrin (67%), dielrin (67%), Chlordane (70%), α-HCH (40%), and WHO-TEQ (2005) values for PCB-126, PCB-169 and Σ₈DL-PCBs were exceeding the permissible limits. The human health risk assessment revealed the occurrence of substantial lifetime carcinogenic risk for OCPs and PCBs at both 50th and 95th percentile concentrations in freshwater mussels from the tributaries of River Ravi. Therefore, the freshwater mussels are recommended to be used in environmental toxicological studies to assess the bioavailable levels of pollution in hostile environment.     

Risk Analysis Modeling of Production Costs and Occupational Health Exposure of Single‐Wall Carbon Nanotube Manufacturing

Considerable uncertainty exists about occupational risks, future environmental health and safety (EHS) standards, and associated production and compliance costs for single‐wall carbon nanotube (SWNT) manufacturing processes. We propose and illustrate the use of risk analysis Monte Carlo (MC) models to assess cost and exposure trade‐offs of the high‐pressure carbon monoxide (HiPco) SWNT manufacturing process given these uncertainties. Assumptions regarding the timing, frequency, magnitude, and expense of EHS standards are modeled as stochastic events and examined for their impact on the expected values, variances, and probability distributions of total production costs and occupational exposure. With a better understanding of associated risks, these models can help policy makers and manufacturers explore potential EHS benefits, consequences, and trade‐offs. For example, results suggest that voluntary implementation of a low level of protection (rather than none at all) can lead to reduced cost and exposure uncertainty with insignificant increases in production costs, as well as lowering total manufacturing and liability costs, depending on the assumptions made. Conversely, slower implementation rates of higher standards produce greater uncertainty in long‐term costs and exposure. More generally, the results of this study underscore three important observations: (1) Expected costs alone are insufficient for informed decision making; (2) the best level of standards, overall cost, and optimal voluntary standards are highly dependent on uncertain health effects; and (3) the resultant amount of uncertainty in total costs and exposure can be extreme.     

Risk Communication and the Precautionary Principle

The perception of risks for environment and health deriving from globalization processes and an uncontrolled use of modern technologies is growing everywhere. The greater the capacity of controlling living conditions, the larger is the possibility of misusing this power. In environmental and occupational health research we tend to reduce the complexity of the observed phenomena in order to facilitate conclusions. In social and political sciences complexity is an essential element of the context, which needs to be continuously considered. The Precautionary Principle is a tool for facing complexity and uncertainty in health risk management. This paper is aimed at demonstrating that this is not only a problem of technical risk assessment. Great attention should also be paid to improve risk communication. Communication between the stakeholders (experts, decision makers, political and social leaders, media, groups of interest and people involved) is possibly the best condition to be successful in health risk management. Nevertheless, this process usually runs up against severe obstacles. These are not only caused by existing conflicts of interest. Differences in values, languages, perceptions, resources to have access to information, and to express one's own point of view are other key aspects.     

Trichloroethylene in the Environment: Public Health Concerns

The Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR) prepares toxi-cological profiles for hazardous substances found at waste sites and elsewhere in the environment. In 1997 the agency updated its toxicological profile for trichloroethylene and included new and expanded information on the health effects associated with exposures to trichloroethylene. Several endpoints of concern are described in the profile. However, in this paper only results from studies reporting developmental and carcinogenic effects from trichloroethylene exposures in human and experimental animal studies are summarized and evaluated. Based on its assessment of the available studies and limitations in the reported findings, ATSDR has determined there is limited but suggestive evidence that developmental effects may be a concern for some persons exposed to TCE in drinking water. Moreover, developmental effects may be the most sensitive of all non-cancer health effects associated with trichloroethylene exposures. Significant questions remain about the likely mode(s) of action for TCE-induced carcinogenesis in humans and the basis for differences in pharmacokinetics handling of TCE across animal strains and sex. However, on the basis of animal data and the suggestive, yet inconclusive, human data available, ATSDR has determined that cancer should be an effect of concern for people exposed to TCE in the environment. ATSDR agrees that the available literature supports the premise that TCE is “reasonably anticipated to be a human carcinogen” as defined by the U.S. National Toxicology Program.     

The use of environmental media evaluation guides for screening environmental contamination

In conducting health assessments at hazardous‐waste sites, ATSDR staff must identify environmental chemical contaminants that pose a potential public health hazard. To assist health assessors in this effort, ATSDR has developed environmental media evaluation guides (EMEGs). EMEGs have been developed for water, soil, and air. The EMEG values are expressed as a range to account for the range in exposures in different segments of the population. The use of EMEGs provides health assessors with a consistent strategy for selecting environmental contaminants to be further evaluated in the health assessment process.     

Environmental Risks at Finnish Shooting Ranges—A Case Study

We studied three Finnish shooting ranges in order to define the extent of the risks associated with elevated environmental concentrations of metals and PAHs. A scoring system revealed that lead, arsenic, and antimony were the most critical contaminants. On Site 3, the concentration of lead in groundwater exceeded the drinking water standard indicating evident health risks. For the remaining two sites we calculated Acceptable Daily Doses (ADD) based on the Reasonable Maximum Exposure (RME) approach and compared them with safe exposure levels. We also used a pharmacokinetic model to determine blood lead levels (PbBs). Risks to biota were assessed using ecological benchmarks and exposure and accumulation models. Prediction of leaching was based on laboratory tests and a distribution model. The health risk assessment for lead resulted in the maximum hazard quotient (HQ) of 1.2 whereas the HQs of As and Sb remained less than 1. Some exposure scenarios produced PbB estimates exceeding 10 μ g dl^?1 but based on the uncertainty analysis we expect the health risks to remain insignificant. However, leaching of contaminants presents a risk to groundwater quality. At site 1 the ecotoxicity-based HQs demonstrate high risks to soil biota, small mammals, terrestrial plants and aquatic organisms.     

美国、加拿大环境和健康风险管理方法

对目前美国和加拿大多个部门使用的风险评价与风险管理方法进行了全面回顾和综合分析,论述各种不同方法的特征,深入探讨各种管理方法的基础、利弊、使用经验,辨识环境、人类健康和职业健康风险综合方法中应该包含的要素,阐述风险管理目标的确定方法,以期为中国的环境风险管理提供经验。     

Source analysis and health risk-assessment of ambient volatile organic compounds in automobile manufacturing processes

Abstract

The sources and process-specific emission of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) from an automobile manufacturing plant in Beijing, China were explored and monitored to assess the health risk from VOCs to workers of the automobile manufacturing plant. Eleven VOCs were detected in the air samples collected from the 12 working posts of five workshops of the automobile manufacturing plant using a meteorological chromatographic analytical method. The health risks exposed to VOCs were assessed using the probabilistic risk-assessment method, and the sensitivity and uncertainty analysis were conducted using the Monte Carlo simulation method. The results showed that VOCs mainly originated from the use and volatilization of chemical raw materials. The total carcinogenic risks were large owing to the high concentrations of benzene and ethylbenzene in various processes, suggesting a definite risk. The total non-carcinogenic risk in the paint shop was the highest, and the topcoat post, mixing paint post and basecoat post contributed to more than 70% of the total risk of this workshop. Exposure duration and concentration of VOCs had a greater impact on the health risk. These research findings may provide scientific basis for policy toward improving the health status of workers in automobile manufacturing enterprise in China.     

Assessment of Human Health and Ecological Risks Posed by the Uses of Steel-Industry Slags in the Environment

Steel-industry slag, a co-product of iron and steel production, is produced and sold for use in a wide range of applications. A comprehensive study of the potential human health risks associated with the environmental applications (e.g., fill, roadbase, landscaping) of iron- and steel-making slag was performed using characterization data for 73 samples of slag collected from blast furnaces, basic oxygen furnaces, and electric arc furnaces. Characterization data were compared to regulatory health-based “screening” benchmarks to determine constituents of interest. Antimony, beryllium, cadmium, trivalent and hexavalent chromium, manganese, thallium, and vanadium were measured above screening levels and were assessed in an application-specific exposure assessment using standard U.S. Environmental Protection Agency risk assessment methods. A stochastic analysis was conducted to evaluate the variability and uncertainty in the inhalation exposure and risk estimates, and the oral bioaccessibility of certain metals in the slag was quantified. The risk assessment found no significant hazards to human health as a result of the environmental applications of steel-industry slag. However, site-specific ecological risk assessment may be required for slag applications in and around small water bodies with limited dilution volume, because high pH and aluminum were found to leach at levels that may be harmful to aquatic life     

Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis of Public Health Risk Assessment from Contaminated Soil

Recently, there has been a growing trend toward using stochastic (probabilistic) methods in ecological and public health risk assessment. These methods are favored because they overcome the problem of compounded conservatism and allow the systematic consideration of uncertainty and variability typically encountered in risk assessment. This article demonstrates a new methodology for the analysis of uncertainty in risk assessment using the first-order reliability method (FORM). The reliability method is formulated such that the probability that incremental lifetime cancer risk exceeds a predefined threshold level is calculated. Furthermore, the stochastic sensitivity of this probability with respect to the random variables is provided. The emphasis is on exploring the different types of probabilistic sensitivity obtained through the reliability analysis. The method is applied to a case study given by Thompson et al. (1992) on cancer risk resulting from dermal contact with benzo(a)pyrene (BaP)-contaminated soils. The reliability results matched those of the Monte Carlo simulation method. On average, the Monte Carlo simulation method required about 35 times as many function evaluations as that of FORM to calculate the probability of exceeding the target risk level. The analysis emphasizes the significant impact that the uncertainty in cancer potency factor has on the probabilistic modeling results compared with other parameters.     

Assessment of Carcinogenic Risk and Non-Carcinogenic Health Hazard from Exposure to Toxicants in Water from the Southwestern Coastal River System in Ghana

This study evaluated cancer risk and non-cancer human health hazard from exposure to the toxicants such as As, Cu, Pb, Zn, Mn, and CN in water from a southwestern river system in Ghana that drains through gold mining areas, using 108 water samples collected with random sampling techniques and analyzed in accordance with standard methods of chemical analysis outlined by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA). The concentrations of Cu and Zn were within World Health Organization and USEPA guideline values; Mn, free cyanide, As, and Pb values in most cases either exceeded USEPA and WHO values or both. The concentrations of the toxicants were used as input parameters in the cancer and non-cancer study that was conducted in line with USEPA risk assessment guidelines. The results of As cancer health risk revealed higher risk cases in two locations (Potroase and Dominase); non-cancer health risk for As was higher in 10 of the 14 locations, with other metals being of health concern at few locations in the study area. In conclusion, the findings of this study hold several policy implications as residents of mining communities still depend on these water bodies as their source of drinking water.     

Toxicological screening of chemical emissions from municipal solid waste landfills. application of a predictive framework to a state‐of‐the‐art facility

A screening‐level risk assessment was used to identify chemicals of potential health concern emitted during the normal operation of an hypothetical state‐of‐the‐art municipal solid waste landfill. Data on the amount of contaminants (carcinogens, non‐carcinogenic systemic toxicants, odorous compounds, and particulate‐bound metals) were obtained from existing facilities and used to estimate ground‐level air concentrations of airborne chemicals at the point of maximum impact (property line) and at year 20 (year of maximum emissions from the landfill). Concentrations of leachate components present in the corresponding underlying aquifer were also estimated. Intakes of chemicals experienced by a series of human receptors were then computed using either single‐media or multi‐media algorithms. Carcinogens of concern were selected as those contributing to a lifetime excess cancer risk (LECR) greater than 10^‐6; for non‐carcinogenic systemic toxicants and odorous volatiles an Exposure Ratio (ER=intake or concentration/RfD, RfC, odor threshold) greater than 0.1 was used as cut‐off. The results obtained identified a final set of air emission components (n = 25) constituted mainly of carcinogenic and odorous substances whereas 2 leachate components were retained. Additional analysis using more refined risk‐based approaches are necessary to verify the relevance of these projections.     

区域生态风险评价的关键问题与展望

区域生态风险评价具有多风险因子、多风险受体、多评价终点、强调不确定性因素以及空间异质性的特点,它与传统的生态风险评价在风险源、胁迫因子和评价尺度上具有明显区别。尝试建立了一个基于陆地生态系统的区域生态风险评价框架,同时针对目前区域生态风险评价的研究现状,指出不确定性分析、尺度外推难、评价指标不统一、评价标准不统一、风险因子筛选及优先排序、区域内污染物复合、水生过渡到陆生生态系统风险评价、特殊的人为因素等是目前区域生态风险评价存在的关键问题及难点所在,并提出解决这些问题可能所需的工具、手段和理论方法突破。最后指出区域生态风险观测与数据采集加工、区域生态风险指标体系的统一与整合、区域生态风险评价方法论、区域生态风险的空间分布特征与表达以及区域生态风险评价反馈与管理机制5个方面是区域生态风险评价未来的研究重点。     

Human health risk assessment and sources analysis of nitrate in shallow groundwater of the Liujiang basin,China

High levels of nitrates in groundwater pose a risk to human health. Hence, groundwater-human health risk assessment and sources analysis are essential. The article aims to assess risk level and identify sources of nitrate in shallow groundwater of the Liujiang basin by using a human health risk assessment (HHRA) model, Factor analysis (FA) and GIS spatial analysis. The results indicated that the most serious pollution was distributed in southern region of the basin; about 60% of the samples exceeded the recommended limit of nitrate as per the World Health Organization limit. Moreover, ingants' health risk were greater than those of adults and children, and about 56% of the groundwater samples will put the infants at risk of health. FA was used to identify various underlying natural and anthropogenic processes that created these distinct risk levels. The FA results can be categorized by two major factors: (1) Organic fertilizers and sewage discharge contamination in central region. (2) Blocking effect of granite and redox conditions in southern parts. This study demonstrates that the great variation of nitrate risk levels in the basin should be attributed to both natural and anthropogenic processes.     

Meta-modeling-based health risk assessment of naphthalene-contaminated groundwater at a coal-fired power plant

Numerical simulation-based health risk assessment for contaminated groundwater is computationally costly. This study presents a meta-model-based statistical framework to create a series of rapid response for capturing the relations between remediation strategies (pumping rates at the wells) and remediation performance (contaminant concentrations). The meta-model is used to predict the naphthalene concentrations in groundwater under the assumption that remedial action would be implemented in 3, 5, 7, and 10 years of remediation, respectively. The simulation results from the meta-model are used as the input parameters for health risk assessment. This meta-analysis approach is applied to a naphthalene-contaminated aquifer located in a power plant in Anhui province, China. Results reveal that the exceeding level of the peak excess lifetime cancer risk is much greater than that of naphthalene concentration as compared with their environmental standards. It is also demonstrated that the proposed framework is particularly suitable to instant health risk assessment, which brings a bridge to assist in mathematically designing optimal groundwater remediation systems.     

Evaluation of selected plant growth regulators and fungicide residues in fruits for dietary risk assessment

A total of 96 samples of fresh fruits were collected to investigate the residues of selected plant growth regulators and fungicides. The analyses utilized ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography coupled with tandem mass spectrometry after a modified QuEChERS method. The results were evaluated according to maximum residue limits (MRLs) by the Chinese regulation. All blueberries, litchis, and watermelons were pesticide-free, and only one (1%) fruit sample contained pesticide residues above MRLs. Concerning the most frequently detected pesticide residues, carbendazim was found in 20% of the samples analyzed. Data obtained were then used to estimate the potential health risks associated with the exposures to these pesticides. The short-term risks were below 3.25% and the long-term risks were also very low, ranging from 0.0005% for dimethomorph to 0.4302% for prochloraz.     

Adequacy Conditions for Reporting Uncertainty in Chemical Risk Assessments

Uncertainty may influence decision-making. A prerequisite for a decision to be well founded is thus that scientific experts inform decision-makers about all decision relevant uncertainty. A set of conditions is provided for adequate characterization of scientific uncertainty for the purposes of regulatory decision-making. These conditions require specification of (1) the character and degree of uncertainty about the assessment variables, (2) the possibility of reducing the uncertainty, and (3) the degree of agreement among experts. Furthermore, it is required that (4) the information covered by the previous conditions is presented in a clear and comprehensible way. The point of departure is that characterizing scientific uncertainty conceptually means specifying all potentially important possibilities that are consistent with the state of scientific knowledge. The conditions are intended to be applied to human health risk assessment of chemicals. However, the basic approach, to consider potentially important possibilities, should be useful also to environmental, and site-specific risk assessment.     

Concentration of arsenic in groundwater,vegetables, human hair and nails in mining site in the Northern Thai Nguyen province,Vietnam: human exposure and risks assessment

This study was aimed to examine the risk of chronic arsenic (As) exposure for the residents living in Nui Phao, Thai Nguyen in the northern Vietnam. Groundwater, vegetables, human hair, and nail samples were collected from volunteers living in Nui Phao. The results revealed that 75% of the groundwater samples had As exceeding the World Health Organization (WHO) drinking water guideline of 10 µg L^?1. The result of As concentration for most of the vegetable samples was greater than the WHO/FAO safe (0.1?mg kg^?1). The result of hair and nail samples in this study showed that 3.5 and 20% of the samples had As concentration exceeding the level of As toxicity in hair and nails, respectively. The result of health risks indicated that the potential health risk of As contamination is greater for groundwater than vegetables. The total hazard quotient (HQ) value through vegetables ingestion and drinking water exceeded 1.0 suggesting potential health risk for local residents. The calculation of potential carcinogenic risk through both consumption of vegetables and drinking water was low cancer risk in adults. Other food sources and the exposure pathways are needed to exactly assess health risks in this area.     

Emission sources and probabilistic health risk of volatile organic compounds emitted from production areas in a petrochemical refinery in Hainan,China

Abstract

The emission sources and health risks of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) were analyzed and evaluated in a typical petrochemical refinery in Hainan, China. The sources and levels of 9 VOCs in five production areas were identified and qualified, and the probabilistic risk assessment method was employed to obtain more reasonable and scientific outcomes specifically realized by inhalation risk model and Monte Carlo simulation. Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis were also conducted to determine the influential factors in the risk evaluation process. The results indicated that for the refinery benzene, toluene, ethyl benzene, and xylene were the primary pollutants in these production areas, where the aromatic hydrocarbon extraction device (AHED) and xylene fractionation device areas are main contributors. In terms of non-carcinogenic risk, the largest hazard index existed in AHED area. The non-carcinogenic risk values for all production areas were not more than 1. The risk value of substances such as benzene still exceed the carcinogenic risk value of 10^?6, indicating these substances existed potential carcinogenic risk to workers. Meanwhile, the findings can help to accumulate basic data for VOCs research in different installations of refineries, and provide evidence for VOCs pollution prevention and control.