共查询到10条相似文献,搜索用时 78 毫秒
1.
Carbon (C) emission and uptake due to land use and land cover change (LULCC) are the most uncertain term in the global carbon budget primarily due to limited LULCC data and inadequate model capability (e.g., underrepresented agricultural managements). We take the commonly used FAOSTAT‐based global Land Use Harmonization data (LUH2) and a new high‐resolution multisource harmonized national LULCC database (YLmap) to drive a land ecosystem model (DLEM) in the conterminous United States. We found that recent cropland abandonment and forest recovery may have been overestimated in the LUH2 data derived from national statistics, causing previously reported C emissions from land use have been underestimated due to the definition of cropland and aggregated LULCC signals at coarse resolution. This overestimation leads to a strong C sink (30.3 ± 2.5 Tg C/year) in model simulations driven by LUH2 in the United States during the 1980–2016 period, while we find a moderate C source (13.6 ± 3.5 Tg C/year) when using YLmap. This divergence implies that previous C budget analyses based on the global LUH2 dataset have underestimated C emission in the United States owing to the delineation of suitable cropland and aggregated land conversion signals at coarse resolution which YLmap overcomes. Thus, to obtain more accurate quantification of LULCC‐induced C emission and better serve global C budget accounting, it is urgently needed to develop fine‐scale country‐specific LULCC data to characterize the details of land conversion. 相似文献
2.
TOBIAS KUEMMERLE PONTUS OLOFSSON OLEH CHASKOVSKYY MATTHIAS BAUMANN KATARZYNA OSTAPOWICZ CURTIS E. WOODCOCK RICHARD A. HOUGHTON PATRICK HOSTERT WILLIAM S. KEETON VOLKER C. RADELOFF 《Global Change Biology》2011,17(3):1335-1349
Land use is a critical factor in the global carbon cycle, but land‐use effects on carbon fluxes are poorly understood in many regions. One such region is Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union, where land‐use intensity decreased substantially after the collapse of socialism, and farmland abandonment and forest expansion have been widespread. Our goal was to examine how land‐use trends affected net carbon fluxes in western Ukraine (57 000 km2) and to assess the region's future carbon sequestration potential. Using satellite‐based forest disturbance and farmland abandonment rates from 1988 to 2007, historic forest resource statistics, and a carbon bookkeeping model, we reconstructed carbon fluxes from land use in the 20th century and assessed potential future carbon fluxes until 2100 for a range of forest expansion and logging scenarios. Our results suggested that the low‐point in forest cover occurred in the 1920s. Forest expansion between 1930 and 1970 turned the region from a carbon source to a sink, despite intensive logging during socialism. The collapse of the Soviet Union created a vast, but currently largely untapped carbon sequestration potential (up to~150 Tg C in our study region). Future forest expansion will likely maintain or even increase the region's current sink strength of 1.48 Tg C yr?1. This may offer substantial opportunities for offsetting industrial carbon emissions and for rural development in regions with otherwise diminishing income opportunities. Throughout Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union, millions of hectares of farmland were abandoned after the collapse of socialism; thus similar reforestation opportunities may exist in other parts of this region. 相似文献
3.
David S. Wilkie 《Human ecology: an interdisciplinary journal》1994,22(3):379-403
The rate of rain forest clearing throughout central Africa is of national and international interest because it affects both the region's contribution to global warming and impacts the sustainable productive capacity of its natural resource base. The size and inaccessibility of much of central Africa makes remote sensing imagery the most suitable data source for regional land cover mapping and land transformation monitoring. Present image availability is poor. Most regional studies have had to rely on coarse resolution AVHRR 1 km data that fails to detect the small-scale agricultural clearings that are the primary cause of land cover change throughout the region. This study demonstrates that higher spatial resolution Landsat MSS imagery, which comprises the most available, geographically comprehensive and longest time series dataset, is too coarse to map land cover in low population density areas typical of most of central Africa. Furthermore, this study cautions that the use of high resolution imagery without detailed collateral field data on population density and land use practices while generating superficially plausible results, will most probably produce highly inaccurate estimates of land cover and land transformation. Policies for future regional remote sensing surveys of central Africa should focus on acquisition of higher spatial, spectral, and radiometric resolution imagery and must be accompanied by detailed, systematic field data collection. 相似文献
4.
5.
Comparison of phenology trends by land cover class: a case study in the Great Basin, USA 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Direct impacts of human land use and indirect impacts of anthropogenic climate change may alter land cover and associated ecosystem function, affecting ecological goods and services. Considerable work has been done to identify long‐term global trends in vegetation greenness, which is associated with primary productivity, using remote sensing. Trend analysis of satellite observations is subject to error, and ecosystem change can be confused with interannual variability. However, the relative trends of land cover classes may hold clues about differential ecosystem response to environmental forcing. Our aim was to identify phenological variability and 10‐year trends for the major land cover classes in the Great Basin. This case study involved two steps: a regional, phenology‐based land cover classification and an identification of phenological variability and 10‐year trends stratified by land cover class. The analysis used a 10‐year time series of Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer satellite data to assess regional scale land cover variability and identify change. The phenology‐based regional classification was more detailed and accurate than national or global products. Phenological variability over the 10‐year period was high, with substantial shifts in timing of start of season of up to 9 weeks. The mean long‐term trends of montane land cover classes were significantly different from valley land cover classes due to a poor response of montane shrubland and pinyon‐juniper woodland to the early 1990s drought. The differential response during the 1990s suggests that valley ecosystems may be more resilient and montane ecosystems more susceptible to prolonged drought. This type of regional‐scale land cover analysis is necessary to characterize current patterns of land cover phenology, distinguish between anthropogenically driven land cover change and interannual variability, and identify ecosystems potentially susceptible to regional and global change. 相似文献
6.
Julio C. Postigo Kenneth R. Young Kelley A. Crews 《Human ecology: an interdisciplinary journal》2008,36(4):535-551
Pastoralists of the high Andes Mountains raise mixed herds of camelids and sheep. This study evaluates the land use of herdsmen
who are confronted by both socioeconomic and climate changes in Huancavelica, central Peru. Land use/ land cover change (LULCC)
was measured through satellite imagery, and pastoralists’ capacity to adapt to socioenvironmental changes was evaluated through
interviews and archival research. The most dynamic LULCCs between 1990 and 2000 were large increases in wetlands and a loss
of permanent ice. We conclude that the people’s responses to these changes will depend on availability of institutions to
manage pastures, other household resources, and perceptions of these biophysical changes. Socioenvironmental change is not
new in the study area, but current shifts will likely force this community to alter its rules of access to pastures, its economic
rationales in regards to commodities produced, and the degree of dependence on seasonal wage labor. In this scenario, households
with a greater amount of livestock will fare better in terms of assets and capital that will allow them to benefit from the
increasing presence of a market economy in a landscape undergoing climate change.
相似文献
Julio C. PostigoEmail: |
7.
Multiple Methods in the Study of Driving Forces of Land Use and Land Cover Change: A Case Study of SE Kajiado District,Kenya 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
David J. Campbell David P. Lusch Thomas A. Smucker Edna E. Wangui 《Human ecology: an interdisciplinary journal》2005,33(6):763-794
This landscape-scale study combines analysis of multitemporal satellite imagery spanning 30 years and information from field
studies extending over 25 years to assess the extent and causes of land use and land cover change in the Loitokitok area,
southeast Kajiado District, Kenya. Rain fed and irrigated agriculture, livestock herding, and wildlife and tourism have all
experienced rapid change in their structure, extent, and interactions over the past 30 years in response to a variety of economic,
cultural, political, institutional, and demographic processes. Land use patterns and processes are explored through a complementary
application of interpretation of satellite imagery and case study analysis that explicitly addresses the local–national spatial
scale over a time frame appropriate to the identification of fundamental causal processes. The results illustrate that this
combination provides an effective basis for describing and explaining patterns of land use and land cover change and their
root causes. 相似文献
8.
This study assesses the presence of a forest transition – that is, a shift from net deforestation to net reforestation – in Vietnam during the 1990s, and describes its key attributes relevant for global environmental change issues. Using Fuzzy Kappa and other indicators, we compared forest cover estimates and spatial patterns from global and national land cover maps from the early and late 1990s, and compiled other available statistics for years before and after that period. This showed that a forest transition indeed occurred in Vietnam: the forest cover dropped to 25–31% of the country area in 1991–1993, and then increased to 32–37% in 1999–2001. The reforestation occurred at a higher rate than deforestation in the previous decades, and was due in similar proportions, to natural forest regeneration and to planted forests. The carbon stock in forests followed a similar transition, decreasing to 903 (770–1307) Tg C in 1991–1993, and then increasing to 1374 (1058–1744) Tg C in 2005. However, forest density declined during the same period, with an increasing proportion of young and degraded forests. The effects on habitats measured with landscape pattern indices were contrasted: in several regions, the reforestation decreased forest fragmentation, while in others, clearing of old‐growth forests continued and/or forest fragmentation increased. This shows that a transition in forest area is not sufficient to rehabilitate the different ecosystem functions and services of forests. Other forest transitions exist in Tropical Asia and in Latin America. Knowledge about the causes, pattern and environmental impacts of the forest transition in Vietnam is therefore relevant to understand possible emerging regional trends that would have implications for global environmental change. 相似文献
9.
This paper examines change within farming systems in the Brong Ahafo Region in Ghana, and the impact of agricultural modernization and mechanization on the regional economy and local farming systems. It combines anthropological, historical, and remote sensing techniques to document changes in farming practice and land use and land cover. It argues that change is not the product of simple evolutionary sequences of responses to population pressures or adoption of modern technologies, but arises out of a complex set of factors interacting within wider regional economies, which are increasingly commodified and commercialized and subject to global market pressures. These include technical, institutional, market, movements of labor, and transport infrastructure development dimensions, which often create new opportunities for local farmers other than those envisaged in agricultural development policies. Tracing the opening up of the transition zone over the last 40–50 years through the development of state farms and mechanized synthetic agriculture, the paper examines the changing fortunes of farming systems within a radius of 30–40 km from agricultural technology hubs and the implications for models of agricultural development.
相似文献
Opoku PabiEmail: |
10.
Dietrich Schmidt-Vogt Stephen J. Leisz Ole Mertz Andreas Heinimann Thiha Thiha Peter Messerli Michael Epprecht Pham Van Cu Vu Kim Chi Martin Hardiono Truong M. Dao 《Human ecology: an interdisciplinary journal》2009,37(3):269-280
Swidden systems consisting of temporarily cultivated land and associated fallows often do not appear on land use maps or in
statistical records. This is partly due to the fact that swidden is a diverse and dynamic land use system that is difficult
to map and partly because of the practice of grouping land covers associated with swidden systems into land use or land cover
categories that are not self-evidently linked to swiddening. Additionally, in many parts of Southeast Asia swidden systems
have changed or are in the process of changing into other land use systems. This paper assesses the extent of swidden on the
basis of regional and national sources for nine countries, and determines the pattern of changes of swidden on the basis of
151 cases culled from 67 articles. Findings include (1) a majority of the cases document swidden being replaced by other forms
of agriculture or by other livelihood systems; (2) in cases where swiddening is still practiced, fallow lengths are usually,
but not always, shorter; and (3) shortened fallow length does not necessarily indicate a trend away from swidden since it
is observed that short fallow swidden is sometimes maintained along with other more intensive farming practices and not completely
abandoned. The paper concludes that there is a surprising lack of conclusive data on the extent of swidden in Southeast Asia.
In order to remedy this, methods are reviewed that may lead to more precise future assessments. 相似文献