Maternal selenium status during early gestation and risk for preterm birth

Background

Preterm birth occurs in 5%–13% of pregnancies. It is a leading cause of perinatal mortality and morbidity and has adverse long-term consequences for the health of the child. Because of the role selenium plays in attenuating inflammation, and because low concentrations of selenium have been found in women with preeclampsia, we hypothesized that low maternal selenium status during early gestation would increase the risk of preterm birth.

Methods

White Dutch women with a singleton pregnancy (n = 1197) were followed prospectively from 12 weeks’ gestation. Women with thyroid disease or type 1 diabetes were excluded. At delivery, 1129 women had complete birth-outcome data. Serum concentrations of selenium were measured during the 12th week of pregnancy. Deliveries were classified as preterm or term, and preterm births were subcategorized as iatrogenic, spontaneous or the result of premature rupture of the membranes.

Results

Of the 60 women (5.3%) who had a preterm birth, 21 had premature rupture of the membranes and 13 had preeclampsia. The serum selenium concentration at 12 weeks’ gestation was significantly lower among women who had a preterm birth than among those who delivered at term (mean 0.96 [standard deviation (SD) 0.14] μmol/L v. 1.02 [SD 0.13] μmol/L; t = 2.9, p = 0.001). Women were grouped by quartile of serum selenium concentration at 12 weeks’ gestation. The number of women who had a preterm birth significantly differed by quartile (χ² = 8.01, 3 degrees of freedom], p < 0.05). Women in the lowest quartile of serum selenium had twice the risk of preterm birth as women in the upper three quartiles, even after adjustment for the occurrence of preeclampsia (adjusted odds ratio 2.18, 95% confidence interval 1.25–3.77).

Interpretation

Having low serum selenium at the end of the first trimester was related to preterm birth and was independent of the mother having preeclampsia. Low maternal selenium status during early gestation may increase the risk of preterm premature rupture of the membranes, which is a major cause of preterm birth.Preterm birth occurs in 5%–13% of pregnancies and is a major public health concern worldwide.¹ Preterm birth, defined as delivery before 37 weeks’ gestation, is the leading cause of perinatal mortality and morbidity.² Short- and long-term consequences to the health of the child include cerebral palsy, respiratory distress syndrome, neurodevelopmental impairment, learning difficulties and behavioural problems.² Despite substantial efforts to explain the mechanisms involved, the incidence of preterm birth is on the rise. For example, in the United States, the incidence increased from 9.5% in 1981 to 12.7% in 2005.¹ Consequently, it is important to identify factors that may contribute to preterm birth, particularly those factors that are preventable.Maternal risk factors for preterm birth include a previous preterm delivery, black race, low socioeconomic status, poor nutrition or becoming pregnant soon after a previous delivery.¹ Risk factors for preterm birth during gestation include multiple-gestation pregnancy and an intrauterine infection that triggers an inflammatory response.^1,3 Endocrine conditions such as diabetes and dysfunction of the thyroid have also been associated with preterm birth, sometimes linked to preterm premature rupture of the membranes.^4,5The trace mineral selenium, available from food (though to a greater or lesser extent according to region), can interact with a number of these risk factors.^6–9 It has been implicated in pregnancy outcome,^9–12 and it plays a role in the immune response and the body’s resistance to infection.⁶ Enzymes containing the mineral, selenoenzymes, can attenuate the excessive inflammatory response associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes, downregulating the expression of pro-inflammatory genes.^6–8 A polymorphism in the gene encoding the selenoprotein SEPS1 has been shown to affect the risk of preeclampsia, a condition that has a strong inflammatory component that is an important cause of preterm birth.⁸ In addition, low selenium status has been identified in women with preeclampsia.¹²We hypothesized that low maternal selenium status (as measured by low serum selenium concentration early in gestation would be associated with preterm birth. Previous small studies have compared plasma selenium and plasma/erythrocyte glutathione peroxidase in mothers and their babies during both term and preterm deliveries. Although lower values have often been found in mothers who had their babies preterm than in mothers who had their babies at term, the findings were inconsistent.^13–15 We did a prospective study to assess selenium status in a large cohort of pregnant women who were followed from early gestation to delivery.     

Comparison of black–white disparities in preterm birth between Canada and the United States

Background:

A higher risk of preterm birth among black women than among white women is well established in the United States. We compared differences in preterm birth between non-Hispanic black and white women in Canada and the US, hypothesizing that disparities would be less extreme in Canada given the different historical experiences of black populations and Canada’s universal health care system.

Methods:

Using data on singleton live births in Canada and the US for 2004–2006, we estimated crude and adjusted risk ratios and risk differences in preterm birth (< 37 wk) and very preterm birth (< 32 wk) among non-Hispanic black versus non-Hispanic white women in each country. Adjusted models for the US were standardized to the covariate distribution of the Canadian cohort.

Results:

In Canada, 8.9% and 5.9% of infants born to black and white mothers, respectively, were preterm; the corresponding figures in the US were 12.7% and 8.0%. Crude risk ratios for preterm birth among black women relative to white women were 1.49 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.32 to 1.66) in Canada and 1.57 (95% CI 1.56 to 1.58) in the US (p value for heterogeneity [p_H] = 0.3). The crude risk differences for preterm birth were 2.94 (95% CI 1.91 to 3.96) in Canada and 4.63 (95% CI 4.56 to 4.70) in the US (p_H = 0.003). Adjusted risk ratios for preterm birth (p_H = 0.1) were slightly higher in Canada than in the US, whereas adjusted risk differences were similar in both countries. Similar patterns were observed for racial disparities in very preterm birth.

Interpretation:

Relative disparities in preterm birth and very preterm birth between non-Hispanic black and white women were similar in magnitude in Canada and the US. Absolute disparities were smaller in Canada, which reflects a lower overall risk of preterm birth in Canada than in the US in both black and white populations.In the United States, a higher risk of preterm birth among black women than among white women is well established.^1–3 This racial disparity is of great concern because preterm birth is a leading cause of perinatal mortality and is predictive of developmental problems and adverse health outcomes later in life.⁴ The underlying causes of the racial disparity in preterm birth in the US are not well understood, although research has suggested contributing roles for a wide range of factors, including socioeconomic disadvantage,⁵ poor neighbourhood conditions (e.g., poverty, crime),^5,6 lack of access to health care,⁷ psychosocial stress,⁸ racial discrimination⁹ and adverse health behaviours.¹⁰Rates of preterm birth have consistently been lower in Canada than in the US.^11,12 However, in contrast to the US, little is known about differences in rates by race or ethnicity in Canada. There is evidence that African-born and Caribbean-born women in the provinces of Quebec and Ontario have higher rates of preterm birth than Canadian-born women.^13–15 Although the magnitude of these differences is smaller than the disparity in preterm births between black and white women in the US,¹⁶ foreign-born black women in the US have been found to be at lower risk of preterm birth than US-born black women.^17,18In both Canada and the US, socioeconomic conditions at both individual and neighbourhood levels are important predictors of preterm birth.^19–21 Although the income gap between black and white people is markedly smaller in Canada than in the US,²² black populations in both countries have lower education levels, higher unemployment rates and a greater likelihood of living in low-quality neighbourhoods compared with white populations.²³ Canada and the US share similar social and economic influences, yet the historical experiences of black populations and the social welfare systems (e.g., universal health care) are quite different in the 2 countries. Black people constitute about 13% of the total US population, but only about 3% of the Canadian population.^24,25 The overwhelming majority of Canada’s black population are immigrants who entered the country after 1960 and their descendants, whereas more than 85% of black Americans can trace their ancestry 3 or more generations in the US, with most being descendants of slaves.²²The objectives of our study are twofold. First, using data from a new cohort linking birth registrations with information from the 2006 Canadian long-form census, we present Canada-wide estimates of differences in preterm birth rates between black and white populations. Second, we use comparable methodology to compare racial differences in preterm birth rates between Canada and the US. Given different historical experiences of black populations in the 2 countries, as well as Canada’s commitment to universal health care and its general perception as a more egalitarian society than the US,²² we hypothesized that we would observe smaller racial disparities in the rates in Canada than in the US.     

Effects of prenatal multimicronutrient supplementation on pregnancy outcomes: a meta-analysis

Background

Reduced intake of micronutrients during pregnancy exposes women to nutritional deficiencies and may affect fetal growth. We conducted a systematic review to examine the efficacy of prenatal supplementation with multimicronutrients on pregnancy outcomes.

Methods

We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL and the Cochrane Library for relevant articles published in English up to December 2008. We also searched the bibliographies of selected articles as well as clinical trial registries. The primary outcome was low birth weight; secondary outcomes were preterm birth, small-for-gestational-age infants, birth weight and gestational age.

Results

We observed a significant reduction in the risk of low birth weight among infants born to women who received multimicronutrients during pregnancy compared with placebo (relative risk [RR] 0.81, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.73–0.91) or iron–folic acid supplementation (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.74–0.93). Birth weight was significantly higher among infants whose mothers were in the multimicronutrient group than among those whose mothers received iron–folic acid supplementation (weighted mean difference 54 g, 95% CI 36 g–72 g). There was no significant differences in the risk of preterm birth or small-for-gestational-age infants between the 3 study groups.

Interpretation

Prenatal multimicronutrient supplementation was associated with a significantly reduced risk of low birth weight and with improved birth weight when compared with iron–folic acid supplementation. There was no significant effect of multimicronutrient supplementation on the risk of preterm birth or small-for-gestational-age infants.Nutrition plays an important role in the growth and development of the fetus. Studies of the nutritional status of pregnant women during the Dutch famine revealed increased risks of infertility, abortion, fetal intrauterine growth restriction and perinatal mortality among malnourished women.¹ In many parts of the world, a similar situation exists for many pregnant women with respect to nutrition. Overall, the diet of pregnant women has been reported to be deficient in calories and micronutrients.² Both macro- and micronutrients are important for a woman to sustain pregnancy and for appropriate growth of the fetus.The exact mechanisms of how supplementation with micronutrients can affect pregnancy outcomes are not completely understood. Possible mechanisms for beneficial effects include a generalized improvement in the immune function of women, with a reduced incidence of infections and subsequent reduced incidence of preterm birth;³ improved energy metabolism and anabolic processes in the mother, with a reduced incidence of fetal intrauterine growth restriction;³ improved ability to respond to stress;³ expansion of plasma volume secondary to fluid retention, with subsequent improvements in fetal growth;⁴ improved hemoglobin levels;⁵ and increased absorption of iron related to intake of vitamin C and riboflavin, with subsequent improvement in hemoglobin levels.⁵Potential disadvantages include adverse interactions of micronutrients when supplied in combination;⁶ enhanced or reduced absorption of one nutrient by other nutrients (e.g., interaction between iron and vitamin C, and iron and zinc);⁷ deleterious effects on the fetus and the mother from overdose of any one component (e.g., vitamin A overdose);⁶ and cost.⁶Potential barriers include the lack of well-defined government policies on maternal health and nutrition.⁶ A multicomponent approach has been criticized from the standpoint that some micronutrients may be necessary, some may not be needed and some may even be harmful.² Generalized or mass supplementation with multimicronutrients may have different effects on pregnancy outcomes depending on the underlying nutritional status of the women.On the basis of a systematic review performed in 2005, the World Health Organization currently recommends iron–folic acid supplementation for all pregnant women.^8,9 The review reported that multimicronutrient supplementation during pregnancy were more efficacious than 2 or fewer micronutrients in reducing the rates of low birth weight and small-for-gestational-age births. However, when multimicronutrients were compared with iron–folic acid supplementation, no evidence of a difference was noted.⁷ Further research in this area was encouraged because information was derived from a few reports. Since then, several randomized controlled trials have evaluated the efficacy of multimicronutrients and have reported varied results. With advancement in our knowledge from recently reported trials,¹⁰ we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of the efficacy of supplementation with multimicronutrients during pregnancy in reducing the rates of low birth weight, preterm birth and small-for-gestational-age births compared with placebo or iron–folic acid supplementation.     

Gut microbiota of healthy Canadian infants: profiles by mode of delivery and infant diet at 4 months

Background:

The gut microbiota is essential to human health throughout life, yet the acquisition and development of this microbial community during infancy remains poorly understood. Meanwhile, there is increasing concern over rising rates of cesarean delivery and insufficient exclusive breastfeeding of infants in developed countries. In this article, we characterize the gut microbiota of healthy Canadian infants and describe the influence of cesarean delivery and formula feeding.

Methods:

We included a subset of 24 term infants from the Canadian Healthy Infant Longitudinal Development (CHILD) birth cohort. Mode of delivery was obtained from medical records, and mothers were asked to report on infant diet and medication use. Fecal samples were collected at 4 months of age, and we characterized the microbiota composition using high-throughput DNA sequencing.

Results:

We observed high variability in the profiles of fecal microbiota among the infants. The profiles were generally dominated by Actinobacteria (mainly the genus Bifidobacterium) and Firmicutes (with diverse representation from numerous genera). Compared with breastfed infants, formula-fed infants had increased richness of species, with overrepresentation of Clostridium difficile. Escherichia–Shigella and Bacteroides species were underrepresented in infants born by cesarean delivery. Infants born by elective cesarean delivery had particularly low bacterial richness and diversity.

Interpretation:

These findings advance our understanding of the gut microbiota in healthy infants. They also provide new evidence for the effects of delivery mode and infant diet as determinants of this essential microbial community in early life.The human body harbours trillions of microbes, known collectively as the “human microbiome.” By far the highest density of commensal bacteria is found in the digestive tract, where resident microbes outnumber host cells by at least 10 to 1. Gut bacteria play a fundamental role in human health by promoting intestinal homeostasis, stimulating development of the immune system, providing protection against pathogens, and contributing to the processing of nutrients and harvesting of energy.^1,2 The disruption of the gut microbiota has been linked to an increasing number of diseases, including inflammatory bowel disease, necrotizing enterocolitis, diabetes, obesity, cancer, allergies and asthma.¹ Despite this evidence and a growing appreciation for the integral role of the gut microbiota in lifelong health, relatively little is known about the acquisition and development of this complex microbial community during infancy.³Two of the best-studied determinants of the gut microbiota during infancy are mode of delivery and exposure to breast milk.^4,5 Cesarean delivery perturbs normal colonization of the infant gut by preventing exposure to maternal microbes, whereas breastfeeding promotes a “healthy” gut microbiota by providing selective metabolic substrates for beneficial bacteria.^3,5 Despite recommendations from the World Health Organization,⁶ the rate of cesarean delivery has continued to rise in developed countries and rates of breastfeeding decrease substantially within the first few months of life.^7,8 In Canada, more than 1 in 4 newborns are born by cesarean delivery, and less than 15% of infants are exclusively breastfed for the recommended duration of 6 months.^9,10 In some parts of the world, elective cesarean deliveries are performed by maternal request, often because of apprehension about pain during childbirth, and sometimes for patient–physician convenience.¹¹The potential long-term consequences of decisions regarding mode of delivery and infant diet are not to be underestimated. Infants born by cesarean delivery are at increased risk of asthma, obesity and type 1 diabetes,¹² whereas breastfeeding is variably protective against these and other disorders.¹³ These long-term health consequences may be partially attributable to disruption of the gut microbiota.^12,14Historically, the gut microbiota has been studied with the use of culture-based methodologies to examine individual organisms. However, up to 80% of intestinal microbes cannot be grown in culture.^3,15 New technology using culture-independent DNA sequencing enables comprehensive detection of intestinal microbes and permits simultaneous characterization of entire microbial communities. Multinational consortia have been established to characterize the “normal” adult microbiome using these exciting new methods;¹⁶ however, these methods have been underused in infant studies. Because early colonization may have long-lasting effects on health, infant studies are vital.^3,4 Among the few studies of infant gut microbiota using DNA sequencing, most were conducted in restricted populations, such as infants delivered vaginally,¹⁷ infants born by cesarean delivery who were formula-fed¹⁸ or preterm infants with necrotizing enterocolitis.¹⁹Thus, the gut microbiota is essential to human health, yet the acquisition and development of this microbial community during infancy remains poorly understood.³ In the current study, we address this gap in knowledge using new sequencing technology and detailed exposure assessments²⁰ of healthy Canadian infants selected from a national birth cohort to provide representative, comprehensive profiles of gut microbiota according to mode of delivery and infant diet.     

Association between hypertensive disorders during pregnancy and end-stage renal disease: a population-based study

Background:

Studies into the association between hypertensive disorders during pregnancy and end-stage renal disease are limited. We investigated the risk of end-stage renal disease after delivery among women with hypertensive disorders during pregnancy.

Methods:

We used insurance claims data from 1998 to 2009 to identify 26 651 women aged 19–40 years old who experienced hypertensive disorders during pregnancy; these women had no history of hypertension, diabetes, kidney disease or lupus. We also randomly selected 213 397 women without hypertensive disorders during pregnancy as a comparison cohort; the frequency was matched by age and index year of pregnancy. We compared the incidence of end-stage renal disease in the 2 cohorts. We calculated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) after controlling for demographic and clinical factors.

Results:

Women with hypertensive disorders during pregnancy had a greater risk of chronic kidney disease and end-stage renal disease, with adjusted HRs of 9.38 (95% CI 7.09–12.4) and 12.4 (95% CI 8.54–18.0), respectively, after controlling for urban status, coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure, hyperlipidemia and abruption. The HR for end-stage renal disease was 2.72 (95% CI 1.76–4.22) after we also controlled for hypertension and diabetes. Women with preeclampsia or eclampsia had a higher risk of end-stage renal disease (adjusted HR 14.0, 95% CI 9.43–20.7) than women who had gestational hypertension only (adjusted HR 9.03, 95% CI 5.20–15.7).

Interpretation:

Women with hypertensive disorders during pregnancy were at a high risk of end-stage renal disease. The risk was much greater for women who had preeclampsia or eclampsia than those who had gestational hypertension only.Hypertensive disorders during pregnancy are major causes of maternal and fetal morbidity and mortality, affecting 5%–10% of pregnancies.^1,2 Hypertensive disorders during pregnancy include gestational hypertension and preeclampsia.³ Gestational hypertension is referred to as new-onset hypertension (blood pressure > 140/90 mm Hg) without proteinuria after 20-weeks’ gestation.³ Preeclampsia is characterized by new-onset hypertension (blood pressure > 140/90 mm Hg) with proteinuria of at least 300 mg in a 24-hour urine sample after 20-weeks’ gestation.³ Gestational hypertension progresses to preeclampsia in 10%–20% of pregnant women.⁴ The risk factors associated with preeclampsia include family history of preeclampsia, first pregnancy, multiple gestation, advanced maternal age, obesity, pre-existing hypertension, renal disease and diabetes mellitus.⁵ Women with a history of hypertensive disorders during pregnancy are at higher risk of hypertension, diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular disease in later life. Hypertensive disorders during pregnancy and cardiovascular disease share several common risk factors, such as obesity, pre-existing hypertension, renal disease and insulin resistance.^6–14 Hypertensive disorders during pregnancy also increase the risk of cardiovascular disease because of long-term metabolic and vascular changes.¹⁵Hypertensive disorders during pregnancy affect the function and morphology of the kidney.¹⁶ Previous studies have reported an increased prevalence of microalbuminuria after pregnancy in women who had a hypertensive disorder during pregnancy.^17,18 In a case–control study, there was an association between biopsy-proven renal disease and a history of preeclampsia.¹⁹ However, studies about whether hypertensive disorders during pregnancy are associated with end-stage renal disease in later life are limited.²⁰ Only 1 study, performed using birth and renal registries from Norway, has reported that women with preeclampsia during their first pregnancy had a 3.2-fold higher risk of end-stage renal disease.²⁰ In the present study, we investigated the risk of end-stage renal disease among Taiwanese women who had a hypertensive disorder during pregnancy.     

Secular trends in acute dialysis after elective major surgery �� 1995 to 2009

Background:

Acute kidney injury is a serious complication of elective major surgery. Acute dialysis is used to support life in the most severe cases. We examined whether rates and outcomes of acute dialysis after elective major surgery have changed over time.

Methods:

We used data from Ontario’s universal health care databases to study all consecutive patients who had elective major surgery at 118 hospitals between 1995 and 2009. Our primary outcomes were acute dialysis within 14 days of surgery, death within 90 days of surgery and chronic dialysis for patients who did not recover kidney function.

Results:

A total of 552 672 patients underwent elective major surgery during the study period, 2231 of whom received acute dialysis. The incidence of acute dialysis increased steadily from 0.2% in 1995 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.15–0.2) to 0.6% in 2009 (95% CI 0.6–0.7). This increase was primarily in cardiac and vascular surgeries. Among patients who received acute dialysis, 937 died within 90 days of surgery (42.0%, 95% CI 40.0–44.1), with no change in 90-day survival over time. Among the 1294 patients who received acute dialysis and survived beyond 90 days, 352 required chronic dialysis (27.2%, 95% CI 24.8–29.7), with no change over time.

Interpretation:

The use of acute dialysis after cardiac and vascular surgery has increased substantially since 1995. Studies focusing on interventions to better prevent and treat perioperative acute kidney injury are needed.More than 230 million elective major surgeries are done annually worldwide.¹ Acute kidney injury is a serious complication of major surgery. It represents a sudden loss of kidney function that affects morbidity, mortality and health care costs.² Dialysis is used for the most severe forms of acute kidney injury. In the nonsurgical setting, the incidence of acute dialysis has steadily increased over the last 15 years, and patients are now more likely to survive to discharge from hospital.^3–5 Similarly, in the surgical setting, the incidence of acute dialysis appears to be increasing over time,^6–10 with declining inhospital mortality.^8,10,11Although previous studies have improved our understanding of the epidemiology of acute dialysis in the surgical setting, several questions remain. Many previous studies were conducted at a single centre, thereby limiting their generalizability.^6,12–14 Most multicentre studies were conducted in the nonsurgical setting and used diagnostic codes for acute kidney injury not requiring dialysis; however, these codes can be inaccurate.^15,16 In contrast, a procedure such as dialysis is easily determined. The incidence of acute dialysis after elective surgery is of particular interest given the need for surgical consent, the severe nature of the event and the potential for mitigation. The need for chronic dialysis among patients who do not recover renal function after surgery has been poorly studied, yet this condition has a major affect on patient survival and quality of life.¹⁷ For these reasons, we studied secular trends in acute dialysis after elective major surgery, focusing on incidence, 90-day mortality and need for chronic dialysis.     

Effect of ambient air pollution on the incidence of appendicitis

Background

The pathogenesis of appendicitis is unclear. We evaluated whether exposure to air pollution was associated with an increased incidence of appendicitis.

Methods

We identified 5191 adults who had been admitted to hospital with appendicitis between Apr. 1, 1999, and Dec. 31, 2006. The air pollutants studied were ozone, nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, and suspended particulate matter of less than 10 μ and less than 2.5 μ in diameter. We estimated the odds of appendicitis relative to short-term increases in concentrations of selected pollutants, alone and in combination, after controlling for temperature and relative humidity as well as the effects of age, sex and season.

Results

An increase in the interquartile range of the 5-day average of ozone was associated with appendicitis (odds ratio [OR] 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03–1.25). In summer (July–August), the effects were most pronounced for ozone (OR 1.32, 95% CI 1.10–1.57), sulfur dioxide (OR 1.30, 95% CI 1.03–1.63), nitrogen dioxide (OR 1.76, 95% CI 1.20–2.58), carbon monoxide (OR 1.35, 95% CI 1.01–1.80) and particulate matter less than 10 μ in diameter (OR 1.20, 95% CI 1.05–1.38). We observed a significant effect of the air pollutants in the summer months among men but not among women (e.g., OR for increase in the 5-day average of nitrogen dioxide 2.05, 95% CI 1.21–3.47, among men and 1.48, 95% CI 0.85–2.59, among women). The double-pollutant model of exposure to ozone and nitrogen dioxide in the summer months was associated with attenuation of the effects of ozone (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.01–1.48) and nitrogen dioxide (OR 1.48, 95% CI 0.97–2.24).

Interpretation

Our findings suggest that some cases of appendicitis may be triggered by short-term exposure to air pollution. If these findings are confirmed, measures to improve air quality may help to decrease rates of appendicitis.Appendicitis was introduced into the medical vernacular in 1886.¹ Since then, the prevailing theory of its pathogenesis implicated an obstruction of the appendiceal orifice by a fecalith or lymphoid hyperplasia.² However, this notion does not completely account for variations in incidence observed by age,^3,4 sex,^3,4 ethnic background,^3,4 family history,⁵ temporal–spatial clustering⁶ and seasonality,^3,4 nor does it completely explain the trends in incidence of appendicitis in developed and developing nations.^3,7,8The incidence of appendicitis increased dramatically in industrialized nations in the 19th century and in the early part of the 20th century.¹ Without explanation, it decreased in the middle and latter part of the 20th century.³ The decrease coincided with legislation to improve air quality. For example, after the United States Clean Air Act was passed in 1970,⁹ the incidence of appendicitis decreased by 14.6% from 1970 to 1984.³ Likewise, a 36% drop in incidence was reported in the United Kingdom between 1975 and 1994¹⁰ after legislation was passed in 1956 and 1968 to improve air quality and in the 1970s to control industrial sources of air pollution. Furthermore, appendicitis is less common in developing nations; however, as these countries become more industrialized, the incidence of appendicitis has been increasing.⁷Air pollution is known to be a risk factor for multiple conditions, to exacerbate disease states and to increase all-cause mortality.¹¹ It has a direct effect on pulmonary diseases such as asthma¹¹ and on nonpulmonary diseases including myocardial infarction, stroke and cancer.^11–13 Inflammation induced by exposure to air pollution contributes to some adverse health effects.^14–17 Similar to the effects of air pollution, a proinflammatory response has been associated with appendicitis.^18–20We conducted a case–crossover study involving a population-based cohort of patients admitted to hospital with appendicitis to determine whether short-term increases in concentrations of selected air pollutants were associated with hospital admission because of appendicitis.     

Suicide among children and adolescents in Canada: trends and sex differences, 1980�C2008

Background:

Suicide is the second leading cause of death for young Canadians (10–19 years of age) — a disturbing trend that has shown little improvement in recent years. Our objective was to examine suicide trends among Canadian children and adolescents.

Methods:

We conducted a retrospective analysis of standardized suicide rates using Statistics Canada mortality data for the period spanning from 1980 to 2008. We analyzed the data by sex and by suicide method over time for two age groups: 10–14 year olds (children) and 15–19 year olds (adolescents). We quantified annual trends by calculating the average annual percent change (AAPC).

Results:

We found an average annual decrease of 1.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] −1.5 to −0.4) in the suicide rate for children and adolescents, but stratification by age and sex showed significant variation. We saw an increase in suicide by suffocation among female children (AAPC = 8.1%, 95% CI 6.0 to 10.4) and adolescents (AAPC = 8.0%, 95% CI 6.2 to 9.8). In addition, we noted a decrease in suicides involving poisoning and firearms during the study period.

Interpretation:

Our results show that suicide rates in Canada are increasing among female children and adolescents and decreasing among male children and adolescents. Limiting access to lethal means has some potential to mitigate risk. However, suffocation, which has become the predominant method for committing suicide for these age groups, is not amenable to this type of primary prevention.Suicide was ranked as the second leading cause of death among Canadians aged 10–34 years in 2008.¹ It is recognized that suicidal behaviour and ideation is an important public health issue among children and adolescents; disturbingly, suicide is a leading cause of Canadian childhood mortality (i.e., among youths aged 10–19 years).^2,3Between 1980 and 2008, there were substantial improvements in mortality attributable to unintentional injury among 10–19 year olds, with rates decreasing from 37.7 per 100 000 to 10.7 per 100 000; suicide rates, however, showed less improvement, with only a small reduction during the same period (from 6.2 per 100 000 in 1980 to 5.2 per 100 000 in 2008).¹Previous studies that looked at suicides among Canadian adolescents and young adults (i.e., people aged 15–25 years) have reported rates as being generally stable over time, but with a marked increase in suicides by suffocation and a decrease in those involving firearms.² There is limited literature on self-inflicted injuries among children 10–14 years of age in Canada and the United States, but there appears to be a trend toward younger children starting to self-harm.^3,4 Furthermore, the trend of suicide by suffocation moving to younger ages may be partly due to cases of the “choking game” (self-strangulation without intent to cause permanent harm) that have been misclassified as suicides.^5–7Risk factors for suicidal behaviour and ideation in young people include a psychiatric diagnosis (e.g., depression), substance abuse, past suicidal behaviour, family factors and other life stressors (e.g., relationships, bullying) that have complex interactions.⁸ A suicide attempt involves specific intent, plans and availability of lethal means, such as firearms,⁹ elevated structures¹⁰ or substances.¹¹ The existence of “pro-suicide” sites on the Internet and in social media¹² may further increase risk by providing details of various ways to commit suicide, as well as evaluations ranking these methods by effectiveness, amount of pain involved and length of time to produce death.^13–15Our primary objective was to present the patterns of suicide among children and adolescents (aged 10–19 years) in Canada.     

Prevalence of and factors associated with head impact during falls in older adults in long-term care

Background:

Falls cause more than 60% of head injuries in older adults. Lack of objective evidence on the circumstances of these events is a barrier to prevention. We analyzed video footage to determine the frequency of and risk factors for head impact during falls in older adults in 2 long-term care facilities.

Methods:

Over 39 months, we captured on video 227 falls involving 133 residents. We used a validated questionnaire to analyze the mechanisms of each fall. We then examined whether the probability for head impact was associated with upper-limb protective responses (hand impact) and fall direction.

Results:

Head impact occurred in 37% of falls, usually onto a vinyl or linoleum floor. Hand impact occurred in 74% of falls but had no significant effect on the probability of head impact (p = 0.3). An increased probability of head impact was associated with a forward initial fall direction, compared with backward falls (odds ratio [OR] 2.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.3–5.9) or sideways falls (OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.2–6.3). In 36% of sideways falls, residents rotated to land backwards, which reduced the probability of head impact (OR 0.2, 95% CI 0.04–0.8).

Interpretation:

Head impact was common in observed falls in older adults living in long-term care facilities, particularly in forward falls. Backward rotation during descent appeared to be protective, but hand impact was not. Attention to upper-limb strength and teaching rotational falling techniques (as in martial arts training) may reduce fall-related head injuries in older adults.Falls from standing height or lower are the cause of more than 60% of hospital admissions for traumatic brain injury in adults older than 65 years.^1–5 Traumatic brain injury accounts for 32% of hospital admissions and more than 50% of deaths from falls in older adults.^1,6–8 Furthermore, the incidence and age-adjusted rate of fall-related traumatic brain injury is increasing,^1,9 especially among people older than 80 years, among whom rates have increased threefold over the past 30 years.¹⁰ One-quarter of fall-related traumatic brain injuries in older adults occur in long-term care facilities.¹The development of improved strategies to prevent fall-related traumatic brain injuries is an important but challenging task. About 60% of residents in long-term care facilities fall at least once per year,¹¹ and falls result from complex interactions of physiologic, environmental and situational factors.^12–16 Any fall from standing height has sufficient energy to cause brain injury if direct impact occurs between the head and a rigid floor surface.^17–19 Improved understanding is needed of the factors that separate falls that result in head impact and injury from those that do not.^1,10 Falls in young adults rarely result in head impact, owing to protective responses such as use of the upper limbs to stop the fall, trunk flexion and rotation during descent.^20–23 We have limited evidence of the efficacy of protective responses to falls among older adults.In the current study, we analyzed video footage of real-life falls among older adults to estimate the prevalence of head impact from falls, and to examine the association between head impact, and biomechanical and situational factors.     

Risk of adverse outcomes among infants of immigrant women according to birth-weight curves tailored to maternal world region of origin

Background:Infants of immigrant women in Western nations generally have lower birth weights than infants of native-born women. Whether this difference is physiologic or pathological is unclear. We determined whether the use of birth-weight curves tailored to maternal world region of origin would discriminate adverse neonatal and obstetric outcomes more accurately than a single birth-weight curve based on infants of Canadian-born women.Methods:We performed a retrospective cohort study of in-hospital singleton live births (328 387 to immigrant women, 761 260 to nonimmigrant women) in Ontario between 2002 and 2012 using population health services data linked to the national immigration database. We classified infants as small for gestational age (< 10th percentile) or large for gestational age (≥ 90th percentile) using both Canadian and world region–specific birth-weight curves and compared associations with adverse neonatal and obstetric outcomes.Results:Compared with world region–specific birth-weight curves, the Canadian curve classified 20 431 (6.2%) additional newborns of immigrant women as small for gestational age, of whom 15 467 (75.7%) were of East or South Asian descent. The odds of neonatal death were lower among small-for-gestational-age infants of immigrant women than among those of nonimmigrant women based on the Canadian birth-weight curve (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.83, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.72–0.95), but higher when small for gestational age was defined by the world region–specific curves (adjusted OR 1.24, 95% CI 1.08–1.42). Conversely, the odds of some adverse outcomes were lower among large-for-gestational-age infants of immigrant women than among those of nonimmigrant women based on world region–specific birth-weight curves, but were similar based on the Canadian curve.Interpretation:World region–specific birth-weight curves seemed to be more appropriate than a single Canadian population-based curve for assessing the risk of adverse neonatal and obstetric outcomes among small- and large-for-gestational-age infants born to immigrant women, especially those from the East and South Asian regions.In many Western nations, an increasing proportion of births are to immigrant women, many from world regions where low birth weight and infant death are more frequent.^1–3 The birth-weight distribution of infants born to immigrant mothers in Canada and the United Kingdom is shifted toward lower birth-weight values than that of infants born to native-born women.^4,5 Accordingly, use of a conventional population-based birth-weight chart may not be appropriate for all immigrant groups, potentially leading to an overestimation of infants as small for gestational age (birth weight < 10th percentile) and an underestimation of infants as large for gestational age (birth weight ≥ 90th percentile). The question remains whether these differences reflect a physiologic or a pathological process.Potentially misclassifying the physiologically small, but healthy, newborn as small for gestational age may lead to unnecessary interventions and undue parental stress.⁶ To date, comparisons between a single population-based standard and customized standards, including ones that are based on ethnicity, have focused on small-for-gestational-age infants, but less attention has been paid to the potential under-classification of large infants.^7–9 Overlooking a fetus or infant who would be considered large for gestational age according to the birth-weight distribution in his mother’s country of origin, but not according to the higher cut-off of a birth-weight curve for infants of Canadian-born women, may fail to identify a higher risk of birth trauma or obstetric complications, such as perineal laceration, shoulder dystocia and postpartum hemorrhage.^10–12To date, there is no consensus regarding the minimal set of maternal characteristics that improves detection of adverse outcomes through the use of customized charts.^13–17 So far, the single characteristic that has been shown to influence the size of newborns in this way is maternal country of birth.¹⁸We conducted a study to determine whether use of world region–specific birth-weight curves would be more accurate than use of a single birth-weight curve based on infants of Canadian-born women in predicting adverse neonatal and obstetric outcomes known to be associated with small for gestational age and large for gestational age among infants born to immigrant women in Canada.     

Performance of the immunochemical fecal occult blood test in predicting lesions in the lower gastrointestinal tract

Background:

Previous studies have suggested that the immunochemical fecal occult blood test has superior specificity for detecting bleeding in the lower gastrointestinal tract even if bleeding occurs in the upper tract. We conducted a large population-based study involving asymptomatic adults in Taiwan, a population with prevalent upper gastrointestinal lesions, to confirm this claim.

Methods:

We conducted a prospective cohort study involving asymptomatic people aged 18 years or more in Taiwan recruited to undergo an immunochemical fecal occult blood test, colonoscopy and esophagogastroduodenoscopy between August 2007 and July 2009. We compared the prevalence of lesions in the lower and upper gastrointestinal tracts between patients with positive and negative fecal test results. We also identified risk factors associated with a false-positive fecal test result.

Results:

Of the 2796 participants, 397 (14.2%) had a positive fecal test result. The sensitivity of the test for predicting lesions in the lower gastrointestinal tract was 24.3%, the specificity 89.0%, the positive predictive value 41.3%, the negative predictive value 78.7%, the positive likelihood ratio 2.22, the negative likelihood ratio 0.85 and the accuracy 73.4%. The prevalence of lesions in the lower gastrointestinal tract was higher among those with a positive fecal test result than among those with a negative result (41.3% v. 21.3%, p < 0.001). The prevalence of lesions in the upper gastrointestinal tract did not differ significantly between the two groups (20.7% v. 17.5%, p = 0.12). Almost all of the participants found to have colon cancer (27/28, 96.4%) had a positive fecal test result; in contrast, none of the three found to have esophageal or gastric cancer had a positive fecal test result (p < 0.001). Among those with a negative finding on colonoscopy, the risk factors associated with a false-positive fecal test result were use of antiplatelet drugs (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 2.46, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.21–4.98) and a low hemoglobin concentration (adjusted OR 2.65, 95% CI 1.62–4.33).

Interpretation:

The immunochemical fecal occult blood test was specific for predicting lesions in the lower gastrointestinal tract. However, the test did not adequately predict lesions in the upper gastrointestinal tract.The fecal occult blood test is a convenient tool to screen for asymptomatic gastrointestinal bleeding.¹ When the test result is positive, colonoscopy is the strategy of choice to investigate the source of bleeding.^2,3 However, 13%–42% of patients can have a positive test result but a negative colonoscopy,⁴ and it has not yet been determined whether asymptomatic patients should then undergo evaluation of the upper gastrointestinal tract.Previous studies showed that the frequency of lesions in the upper gastrointestinal tract was comparable or even higher than that of colonic lesions^5–9 and that the use of esophagogastroduodenoscopy may change clinical management.^10,11 Some studies showed that evaluation of the upper gastrointestinal tract helped to identify important lesions in symptomatic patients and those with iron deficiency anemia;^12,13 however, others concluded that esophagogastroduodenoscopy was unjustified because important findings in the upper gastrointestinal tract were rare^14–17 and sometimes irrelevant to the results of fecal occult blood testing.^18–21 This controversy is related to the heterogeneity of study populations and to the limitations of the formerly used guaiac-based fecal occult blood test,^5–20 which was not able to distinguish bleeding in the lower gastrointestinal tract from that originating in the upper tract.The guaiac-based fecal occult blood test is increasingly being replaced by the immunochemical-based test. The latter is recommended for detecting bleeding in the lower gastrointestinal tract because it reacts with human globin, a protein that is digested by enzymes in the upper gastrointestinal tract.²² With this advantage, the occurrence of a positive fecal test result and a negative finding on colonoscopy is expected to decrease.We conducted a population-based study in Taiwan to verify the performance of the immunochemical fecal occult blood test in predicting lesions in the lower gastrointestinal tract and to confirm that results are not confounded by the presence of lesions in the upper tract. In Taiwan, the incidence of colorectal cancer is rapidly increasing, and Helicobacter pylori-related lesions in the upper gastrointestinal tract remain highly prevalent.²³ Same-day bidirectional endoscopies are therefore commonly used for cancer screening.²⁴ This screening strategy provides an opportunity to evaluate the performance of the immunochemical fecal occult blood test.     

Predictors of long-term prognosis of depression

Background:

Many people with depression experience repeated episodes. Previous research into the predictors of chronic depression has focused primarily on the clinical features of the disease; however, little is known about the broader spectrum of sociodemographic and health factors inherent in its development. Our aim was to identify factors associated with a long-term negative prognosis of depression.

Methods:

We included 585 people aged 16 years and older who participated in the 2000/01 cycle of the National Population Health Survey and who reported experiencing a major depressive episode in 2000/01. The primary outcome was the course of depression until 2006/07. We grouped individuals into trajectories of depression using growth trajectory models. We included demographic, mental and physical health factors as predictors in the multivariable regression model to compare people with different trajectories.

Results:

Participants fell into two main depression trajectories: those whose depression resolved and did not recur (44.7%) and those who experienced repeated episodes (55.3%). In the multivariable model, daily smoking (OR 2.68, 95% CI 1.54–4.67), low mastery (i.e., feeling that life circumstances are beyond one’s control) (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.03–1.18) and history of depression (OR 3.5, 95% CI 1.95–6.27) were significant predictors (p < 0.05) of repeated episodes of depression.

Interpretation:

People with major depression who were current smokers or had low levels of mastery were at an increased risk of repeated episodes of depression. Future studies are needed to confirm the predictive value of these variables and to evaluate their accuracy for diagnosis and as a guide to treatment.Depression is a common and often recurrent disorder that compromises daily functioning and is associated with a decrease in quality of life.^1–3 Guidelines for the treatment of depression, such as those published by the Canadian Network for Mood and Anxiety Treatments (CANMAT)⁵ and the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) in the United Kingdom,⁴ often recommend antidepressant treatment in patients with severe symptoms and outline specific risk factors supporting long-term treatment maintenance.^4,5 However, for patients who do not meet the criteria for treatment of depression, the damaging sequelae of depression are frequently compounded without treatment.⁵ In such cases, early treatment for depression may result in an improved long-term prognosis.^6–8A small but growing number of studies have begun to characterize the long-term course of depression in terms of severity,⁹ life-time prevalence¹⁰ and patterns of recurrence.¹¹ However, a recent systematic review of the risk factors of chronic depression highlighted a need for longitudinal studies to better identify prognostic factors.¹² The capacity to distinguish long-term patterns of recurrence of depression in relation to the wide range of established clinical and nonclinical factors for depression could be highly beneficial. Our objective was to use a population-based cohort to identify and understand the baseline factors associated with a long-term negative prognosis of depression.     

A qualitative investigation of smoke-free policies on hospital property

Background:

Many hospitals have adopted smoke-free policies on their property. We examined the consequences of such polices at two Canadian tertiary acute-care hospitals.

Methods:

We conducted a qualitative study using ethnographic techniques over a six-month period. Participants (n = 186) shared their perspectives on and experiences with tobacco dependence and managing the use of tobacco, as well as their impressions of the smoke-free policy. We interviewed inpatients individually from eight wards (n = 82), key policy-makers (n = 9) and support staff (n = 14) and held 16 focus groups with health care providers and ward staff (n = 81). We also reviewed ward documents relating to tobacco dependence and looked at smoking-related activities on hospital property.

Results:

Noncompliance with the policy and exposure to secondhand smoke were ongoing concerns. Peoples’ impressions of the use of tobacco varied, including divergent opinions as to whether such use was a bad habit or an addiction. Treatment for tobacco dependence and the management of symptoms of withdrawal were offered inconsistently. Participants voiced concerns over patient safety and leaving the ward to smoke.

Interpretation:

Policies mandating smoke-free hospital property have important consequences beyond noncompliance, including concerns over patient safety and disruptions to care. Without adequately available and accessible support for withdrawal from tobacco, patients will continue to face personal risk when they leave hospital property to smoke.Canadian cities and provinces have passed smoking bans with the goal of reducing people’s exposure to secondhand smoke in workplaces, public spaces and on the property adjacent to public buildings.^1,2 In response, Canadian health authorities and hospitals began implementing policies mandating smoke-free hospital property, with the goals of reducing the exposure of workers, patients and visitors to tobacco smoke while delivering a public health message about the dangers of smoking.^2–5 An additional anticipated outcome was the reduced use of tobacco among patients and staff. The impetuses for adopting smoke-free policies include public support for such legislation and the potential for litigation for exposure to second-hand smoke.^2,4Tobacco use is a modifiable risk factor associated with a variety of cancers, cardiovascular diseases and respiratory conditions.^6–11 Patients in hospital who use tobacco tend to have more surgical complications and exacerbations of acute and chronic health conditions than patients who do not use tobacco.^6–11 Any policy aimed at reducing exposure to tobacco in hospitals is well supported by evidence, as is the integration of interventions targetting tobacco dependence.¹² Unfortunately, most of the nearly five million Canadians who smoke will receive suboptimal treatment,¹³ as the routine provision of interventions for tobacco dependence in hospital settings is not a practice norm.^14–16 In smoke-free hospitals, two studies suggest minimal support is offered for withdrawal, ^17,18 and one reports an increased use of nicotine-replacement therapy after the implementation of the smoke-free policy.¹⁹Assessments of the effectiveness of smoke-free policies for hospital property tend to focus on noncompliance and related issues of enforcement.^17,20,21 Although evidence of noncompliance and litter on hospital property^2,17,20 implies ongoing exposure to tobacco smoke, half of the participating hospital sites in one study reported less exposure to tobacco smoke within hospital buildings and on the property.¹⁸ In addition, there is evidence to suggest some decline in smoking among staff.^18,19,21,22We sought to determine the consequences of policies mandating smoke-free hospital property in two Canadian acute-care hospitals by eliciting lived experiences of the people faced with enacting the policies: patients and health care providers. In addition, we elicited stories from hospital support staff and administrators regarding the policies.     

Influence of individual and combined healthy behaviours on successful aging

Background:

Increases in life expectancy make it important to remain healthy for as long as possible. Our objective was to examine the extent to which healthy behaviours in midlife, separately and in combination, predict successful aging.

Methods:

We used a prospective cohort design involving 5100 men and women aged 42–63 years. Participants were free of cancer, coronary artery disease and stroke when their health behaviours were assessed in 1991–1994 as part of the Whitehall II study. We defined healthy behaviours as never smoking, moderate alcohol consumption, physical activity (≥ 2.5 h/wk moderate physical activity or ≥ 1 h/wk vigorous physical activity), and eating fruits and vegetables daily. We defined successful aging, measured over a median 16.3-year follow-up, as good cognitive, physical, respiratory and cardiovascular functioning, in addition to the absence of disability, mental health problems and chronic disease (coronary artery disease, stroke, cancer and diabetes).

Results:

At the end of follow-up, 549 participants had died and 953 qualified as aging successfully. Compared with participants who engaged in no healthy behaviours, participants engaging in all 4 healthy behaviours had 3.3 times greater odds of successful aging (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.1–5.1). The association with successful aging was linear, with the odds ratio (OR) per increment of healthy behaviour being 1.3 (95% CI 1.2–1.4; population-attributable risk for 1–4 v. 0 healthy behaviours 47%). When missing data were considered in the analysis, the results were similar to those of our main analysis.

Interpretation:

Although individual healthy behaviours are moderately associated with successful aging, their combined impact is substantial. We did not investigate the mechanisms underlying these associations, but we saw clear evidence of the importance of healthy behaviours for successful aging.Increases in life expectancy make remaining free of disease and in good functional health for as long as possible an important objective for the present and future generations.¹ Most research in this domain has focused on risk factors for single health outcomes, such as mortality, chronic diseases or functioning. However, good health at older ages is a multidimensional concept, having been defined variously with reference to absence of disease and good functional status.^2–5 There is considerable research on disability outcomes at older ages,^2,6–8 but less attention has been paid to successful aging combining favourable functioning outcomes with good mental health and the absence of chronic diseases and disability.^9–13Smoking, alcohol consumption, poor diet and physical inactivity are among the top 10 leading risk factors for death and disability in intermediate- and high-income countries.¹⁴ There is increasing interest in the combined effect of these behaviours on health. Studies show that people who engage in multiple unhealthy behaviours have a higher risk of death,^15–23 chronic disease^24–30 and poor cognitive function than people who do not engage in as many unhealthy behaviours.³¹ However, whether healthy behaviours determine good functional status at older ages, combined with the absence of chronic diseases, remains unknown.Our objective was to examine the extent to which individual and combined healthy behaviours in midlife predict successful aging about 16 years later, at 60 years of age or older. We used a comprehensive definition of successful aging that included having good mental health, having good cognitive, physical and cardiorespiratory function, and being free of disability and chronic disease (coronary artery disease, stroke, diabetes and cancer).     

Visibility of the urethral meatus and risk of urinary tract infections in uncircumcised boys

Background:

Uncircumcised boys are at higher risk for urinary tract infections than circumcised boys. Whether this risk varies with the visibility of the urethral meatus is not known. Our aim was to determine whether there is a hierarchy of risk among uncircumcised boys whose urethral meatuses are visible to differing degrees.

Methods:

We conducted a prospective cross-sectional study in one pediatric emergency department. We screened 440 circumcised and uncircumcised boys. Of these, 393 boys who were not toilet trained and for whom the treating physician had requested a catheter urine culture were included in our analysis. At the time of catheter insertion, a nurse characterized the visibility of the urethral meatus (phimosis) using a 3-point scale (completely visible, partially visible or nonvisible). Our primary outcome was urinary tract infection, and our primary exposure variable was the degree of phimosis: completely visible versus partially or nonvisible urethral meatus.

Results:

Cultures grew from urine samples from 30.0% of uncircumcised boys with a completely visible meatus, and from 23.8% of those with a partially or nonvisible meatus (p = 0.4). The unadjusted odds ratio (OR) for culture growth was 0.73 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.35–1.52), and the adjusted OR was 0.41 (95% CI 0.17–0.95). Of the boys who were circumcised, 4.8% had urinary tract infections, which was significantly lower than the rate among uncircumcised boys with a completely visible urethral meatus (unadjusted OR 0.12 [95% CI 0.04–0.39], adjusted OR 0.07 [95% CI 0.02–0.26]).

Interpretation:

We did not see variation in the risk of urinary tract infection with the visibility of the urethral meatus among uncircumcised boys. Compared with circumcised boys, we saw a higher risk of urinary tract infection in uncircumcised boys, irrespective of urethral visibility.Urinary tract infections are one of the most common serious bacterial infections in young children.^1–6 Prompt diagnosis is important, because children with urinary tract infection are at risk for bacteremia⁶ and renal scarring.^1,7 Uncircumcised boys have a much higher risk of urinary tract infection than circumcised boys,^{1,3,4,6,8–12} likely as a result of heavier colonization under the foreskin with pathogenic bacteria, which leads to ascending infections.^13,14 The American Academy of Pediatrics recently suggested that circumcision status be used to select which boys should be evaluated for urinary tract infection.¹ However, whether all uncircumcised boys are at equal risk for infection, or whether the risk varies with the visibility of the urethral opening, is not known. It has been suggested that a subset of uncircumcised boys with a poorly visible urethral opening are at increased risk of urinary tract infection,^15–17 leading some experts to consider giving children with tight foreskins topical cortisone or circumcision to prevent urinary tract infections.^13,18–21We designed a study to challenge the opinion that all uncircumcised boys are at increased risk for urinary tract infections. We hypothesized a hierarchy of risk among uncircumcised boys depending on the visibility of the urethral meatus, with those with a partially or nonvisible meatus at highest risk, and those with a completely visible meatus having a level of risk similar to that of boys who have been circumcised. Our primary aim was to compare the proportions of urinary tract infections among uncircumcised boys with a completely visible meatus with those with a partially or nonvisible meatus.     

Effect of nasal balloon autoinflation in children with otitis media with effusion in primary care: an open randomized controlled trial

Background:Otitis media with effusion is a common problem that lacks an evidence-based nonsurgical treatment option. We assessed the clinical effectiveness of treatment with a nasal balloon device in a primary care setting.Methods:We conducted an open, pragmatic randomized controlled trial set in 43 family practices in the United Kingdom. Children aged 4–11 years with a recent history of ear symptoms and otitis media with effusion in 1 or both ears, confirmed by tympanometry, were allocated to receive either autoinflation 3 times daily for 1–3 months plus usual care or usual care alone. Clearance of middle-ear fluid at 1 and 3 months was assessed by experts masked to allocation.Results:Of 320 children enrolled, those receiving autoinflation were more likely than controls to have normal tympanograms at 1 month (47.3% [62/131] v. 35.6% [47/132]; adjusted relative risk [RR] 1.36, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.99 to 1.88) and at 3 months (49.6% [62/125] v. 38.3% [46/120]; adjusted RR 1.37, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.83; number needed to treat = 9). Autoinflation produced greater improvements in ear-related quality of life (adjusted between-group difference in change from baseline in OMQ-14 [an ear-related measure of quality of life] score −0.42, 95% CI −0.63 to −0.22). Compliance was 89% at 1 month and 80% at 3 months. Adverse events were mild, infrequent and comparable between groups.Interpretation:Autoinflation in children aged 4–11 years with otitis media with effusion is feasible in primary care and effective both in clearing effusions and improving symptoms and ear-related child and parent quality of life. Trial registration: ISRCTN, No. 55208702.Otitis media with effusion, also known as glue ear, is an accumulation of fluid in the middle ear, without symptoms or signs of an acute ear infection. It is often associated with viral infection.^1–3 The prevalence rises to 46% in children aged 4–5 years,⁴ when hearing difficulty, other ear-related symptoms and broader developmental concerns often bring the condition to medical attention.^3,5,6 Middle-ear fluid is associated with conductive hearing losses of about 15–45 dB HL.⁷ Resolution is clinically unpredictable,^8–10 with about a third of cases showing recurrence.¹¹ In the United Kingdom, about 200 000 children with the condition are seen annually in primary care.^12,13 Research suggests some children seen in primary care are as badly affected as those seen in hospital.^7,9,14,15 In the United States, there were 2.2 million diagnosed episodes in 2004, costing an estimated $4.0 billion.¹⁶ Rates of ventilation tube surgery show variability between countries,^17–19 with a declining trend in the UK.²⁰Initial clinical management consists of reasonable temporizing or delay before considering surgery.¹³ Unfortunately, all available medical treatments for otitis media with effusion such as antibiotics, antihistamines, decongestants and intranasal steroids are ineffective and have unwanted effects, and therefore cannot be recommended.^21–23 Not only are antibiotics ineffective, but resistance to them poses a major threat to public health.^24,25 Although surgery is effective for a carefully selected minority,^13,26,27 a simple low-cost, nonsurgical treatment option could benefit a much larger group of symptomatic children, with the purpose of addressing legitimate clinical concerns without incurring excessive delays.Autoinflation using a nasal balloon device is a low-cost intervention with the potential to be used more widely in primary care, but current evidence of its effectiveness is limited to several small hospital-based trials²⁸ that found a higher rate of tympanometric resolution of ear fluid at 1 month.^29–31 Evidence of feasibility and effectiveness of autoinflation to inform wider clinical use is lacking.^13,28 Thus we report here the findings of a large pragmatic trial of the clinical effectiveness of nasal balloon autoinflation in a spectrum of children with clinically confirmed otitis media with effusion identified from primary care.     

Prospective validation of the ABCD2 score for patients in the emergency department with transient ischemic attack

Background:

The ABCD2 score (Age, Blood pressure, Clinical features, Duration of symptoms and Diabetes) is used to identify patients having a transient ischemic attack who are at high risk for imminent stroke. However, despite its widespread implementation, the ABCD2 score has not yet been prospectively validated. We assessed the accuracy of the ABCD2 score for predicting stroke at 7 (primary outcome) and 90 days.

Methods:

This prospective cohort study enrolled adults from eight Canadian emergency departments who had received a diagnosis of transient ischemic attack. Physicians completed data forms with the ABCD2 score before disposition. The outcome criterion, stroke, was established by a treating neurologist or by an Adjudication Committee. We calculated the sensitivity and specificity for predicting stroke 7 and 90 days after visiting the emergency department using the original “high-risk” cutpoint of an ABCD2 score of more than 5, and the American Heart Association recommendation of a score of more than 2.

Results:

We enrolled 2056 patients (mean age 68.0 yr, 1046 (50.9%) women) who had a rate of stroke of 1.8% at 7 days and 3.2% at 90 days. An ABCD2 score of more than 5 had a sensitivity of 31.6% (95% confidence interval [CI] 19.1–47.5) for stroke at 7 days and 29.2% (95% CI 19.6–41.2) for stroke at 90 days. An ABCD2 score of more than 2 resulted in sensitivity of 94.7% (95% CI 82.7–98.5) for stroke at 7 days with a specificity of 12.5% (95% CI 11.2–14.1). The accuracy of the ABCD2 score as calculated by either the enrolling physician (area under the curve 0.56; 95% CI 0.47–0.65) or the coordinating centre (area under the curve 0.65; 95% CI 0.57–0.73) was poor.

Interpretation:

This multicentre prospective study involving patients in emergency departments with transient ischemic attack found the ABCD2 score to be inaccurate, at any cut-point, as a predictor of imminent stroke. Furthermore, the ABCD2 score of more than 2 that is recommended by the American Heart Association is nonspecific.There are approximately 100 visits to the emergency department per 100 000 population for transient ischemic attack each year.¹ Although often considered benign, transient ischemic attack carries a risk of imminent stroke. Studies have shown that the risk of stroke is 0.2%–10% within 7 days of the first transient ischemic attack, and this risk increases to 1.2%–12% at 90 days.^2–9 Stroke continues to be the leading cause of disability among adults and the third-leading cause of death in North America.^10,11 Identifying people with transient ischemic attack who are at high risk of stroke is an opportunity to prevent stroke.^3,4 However, urgent investigation of all transient ischemic attacks would require substantial resources. Three studies have attempted to develop clinical decision rules (i.e., scores) for assessing whether a patient with transient ischemic attack is at high risk of stroke.^9,12,13 Combined, these studies led to the development of the ABCD2 (Age, Blood pressure, Clinical features, Duration of symptoms and Diabetes) score. However, despite its widespread implementation, the ABCD2 score has not yet been prospectively validated.^12,14–18 This essential step in the development of rules for making clinical predictions has recently been requested.^14,19–21The objective of this study was to externally validate the ABCD2 score as a tool for identifying patients seen in the emergency department with transient ischemic attack who are at high risk of stroke within 7 (primary outcome) and 90 days (one of the secondary outcomes).