Estimators Asymptotically Minimax in Wide Sense

Estimators of location are considered. Huber (1964) introduced estimators asymptotically minimax on the set ?? of all regular M-estimators, for a given contamination ε and for the set Q of all regular symmetric alternative data sources. We extend his concept by admitting arbitrary sets ?? of regular M-estimators and arbitrary sets Q or regular symmetric alternative sources, and also by replacing the singletons [ε] ? (0, 1) by arbitrary subsets ?? ? (0, 1). The resulting estimator cannot in general be evaluated explicitly. But for finite T it exists and, if ?? and Q are finite too, it may be chosen by a computer. This extra burden is justified in some cases since more than 100% relative efficiency gain against all Huber's Hk is achievable in this manner. Such gains are achieved for a nontrivial family Q by the estimator proposed in Vajda (1984), with redescending influence curve, which is shown to be asymptotically minimax in wide sense.     

Locally efficient estimation of the quality-adjusted lifetime distribution with right-censored data and covariates

Zhao and Tsiatis (1997) consider the problem of estimation of the distribution of the quality-adjusted lifetime when the chronological survival time is subject to right censoring. The quality-adjusted lifetime is typically defined as a weighted sum of the times spent in certain states up until death or some other failure time. They propose an estimator and establish the relevant asymptotics under the assumption of independent censoring. In this paper we extend the data structure with a covariate process observed until the end of follow-up and identify the optimal estimation problem. Because of the curse of dimensionality, no globally efficient nonparametric estimators, which have a good practical performance at moderate sample sizes, exist. Given a correctly specified model for the hazard of censoring conditional on the observed quality-of-life and covariate processes, we propose a closed-form one-step estimator of the distribution of the quality-adjusted lifetime whose asymptotic variance attains the efficiency bound if we can correctly specify a lower-dimensional working model for the conditional distribution of quality-adjusted lifetime given the observed quality-of-life and covariate processes. The estimator remains consistent and asymptotically normal even if this latter submodel is misspecified. The practical performance of the estimators is illustrated with a simulation study. We also extend our proposed one-step estimator to the case where treatment assignment is confounded by observed risk factors so that this estimator can be used to test a treatment effect in an observational study.     

Semiparametric analysis of zero-inflated count data

Medical and public health research often involve the analysis of count data that exhibit a substantially large proportion of zeros, such as the number of heart attacks and the number of days of missed primary activities in a given period. A zero-inflated Poisson regression model, which hypothesizes a two-point heterogeneity in the population characterized by a binary random effect, is generally used to model such data. Subjects are broadly categorized into the low-risk group leading to structural zero counts and high-risk (or normal) group so that the counts can be modeled by a Poisson regression model. The main aim is to identify the explanatory variables that have significant effects on (i) the probability that the subject is from the low-risk group by means of a logistic regression formulation; and (ii) the magnitude of the counts, given that the subject is from the high-risk group by means of a Poisson regression where the effects of the covariates are assumed to be linearly related to the natural logarithm of the mean of the counts. In this article we consider a semiparametric zero-inflated Poisson regression model that postulates a possibly nonlinear relationship between the natural logarithm of the mean of the counts and a particular covariate. A sieve maximum likelihood estimation method is proposed. Asymptotic properties of the proposed sieve maximum likelihood estimators are discussed. Under some mild conditions, the estimators are shown to be asymptotically efficient and normally distributed. Simulation studies were carried out to investigate the performance of the proposed method. For illustration purpose, the method is applied to a data set from a public health survey conducted in Indonesia where the variable of interest is the number of days of missed primary activities due to illness in a 4-week period.     

On Combination of Ratio and PPS Estimators

AGARWAL and KUMAR (1980) proposed an estimator, combining ratio and pps estimators of population mean and proved that the proposed estimator would always be better (in minimum mean square error sense) than the pps estimator or the ratio estimator under pps sampling scheme for optimum value of constant k (parameter). The optimum value of k is rarely known in practice, hence the alternative is to replace k from the sample-values. In this paper, an estimator depending on estimated optimum value of k based on sample-values, under pps sampling scheme is proposed and studied.     

相互干扰的捕食与被捕食者种群的Hassall模型定性分析

本文证明了Hassall模型的渐近稳定性、有界性、全局稳定性。解决了文献[1]对该模型的三个猜想：（1）模型在某种条件下,正平衡点（x^*,y^*）是渐近稳定的;（2）模型的一切正初始条件的解有界;（3）模型在一定条件下,正平衡点（x^*,y^*）是全局稳定的。     

On the potential for illogic with logically defined outcomes

Logically defined outcomes are commonly used in medical diagnoses and epidemiological research. When missing values in the original outcomes exist, the method of handling the missingness can have unintended consequences, even if the original outcomes are missing completely at random. In this note, we consider 2 binary original outcomes, which are missing completely at random. For estimating the prevalence of a logically defined "or" outcome, we discuss the properties of 4 estimators: the complete-case estimator, the available-case estimator, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), and a moment-based estimator. With the exception of the available-case case estimator, all the estimators are consistent. The MLE exhibits superior performance and should be generally adopted.     

渐近周期的Logistic方程

主要研究了渐近周期的Logistic方程,得到了渐近周期解的存在唯一性,全局吸引性;进一步得到渐近周期函数对加减乘除,导数,微分,复合函数运算的封闭性;渐近周期函数空间是Banach空间,并得到高维系统下的渐近周期函数空间是Banach空间．     

利用多重抽样估计稀有物种的种类数

利用矩估计和二个稳健估计方法（jackknife估计,bootstrap估计）来处理野外生态学工作者的调查数据,在假定已经发现一些稀有物种的情形下,通过统计推断得到那些未被发现的物种的种类数。利用本文所提出的方法调查水稻水稻田的昆虫群落和林地的在面植被群落的稀有种是十分有效的。     

Estimation of Finite Population Variance Using Ratio and Product Methods of Estimation

For estimating finite population variance σ_y² of a character y under our study, estimators using auxiliary information on a character x in the form of ratio, product, ratio-type or product-type estimators have been suggested, and their comparative study with the conventional unbiased estimator s_y² of σ_y² has been made in simple random sampling with replacement. A generalized estimator representing a class of estimators for the finite populations variance, has also been studied.     

具有种群动力的时滞SI模型

对一类具有幼年和成年两个生理阶段结构和时滞的Logistic种群动力的SI传染病模型进行了分析,得到了传染病最终消除和成为地方病的阈值．     

Improvement of Ratio-Type Estimators

This paper proposes a method for using multi-auxiliary information at both the design and the estimation stages of a sample survey. The proposed method is an extension of the classical multivariate method of Olkin (1958). The results of Agarwal and Kumar (1978) come out as a special case.     

A Note on Errors-in-Variables in Panel Data

This Note expands the difference estimator developed by GRILICHES and HAUSMAN (1986) to the case of many independent variables, all having errors-in-variables.     

Improvement of Ratio-Type Estimators-II

This paper generalizes the results of AGARWAL (1980) and AGARWAL and KUMAR (1985) by constructing a multivariate ratiotype estimator which, to a first order of approximation, is as efficient as the regression estimator.