Global dynamics of cholera models with differential infectivity

A general compartmental model for cholera is formulated that incorporates two pathways of transmission, namely direct and indirect via contaminated water. Non-linear incidence, multiple stages of infection and multiple states of the pathogen are included, thus the model includes and extends cholera models in the literature. The model is analyzed by determining a basic reproduction number R₀ and proving, by using Lyapunov functions and a graph-theoretic result based on Kirchhoff’s Matrix Tree Theorem, that it determines a sharp threshold. If R₀?1, then cholera dies out; whereas if R₀>1, then the disease tends to a unique endemic equilibrium. When input and death are neglected, the model is used to determine a final size equation or inequality, and simulations illustrate how assumptions on cholera transmission affect the final size of an epidemic.     

Global dynamics of two-compartment models for cell production systems with regulatory mechanisms

We present a global stability analysis of two-compartment models of a hierarchical cell production system with a nonlinear regulatory feedback loop. The models describe cell differentiation processes with the stem cell division rate or the self-renewal fraction regulated by the number of mature cells. The two-compartment systems constitute a basic version of the multicompartment models proposed recently by Marciniak-Czochra and collaborators [25] to investigate the dynamics of the hematopoietic system. Using global stability analysis, we compare different regulatory mechanisms. For both models, we show that there exists a unique positive equilibrium that is globally asymptotically stable if and only if the respective reproduction numbers exceed one. The proof is based on constructing Lyapunov functions, which are appropriate to handle the specific nonlinearities of the model. Additionally, we propose a new model to test biological hypothesis on the regulation of the fraction of differentiating cells. We show that such regulatory mechanism is incapable of maintaining homeostasis and leads to unbounded cell growth. Potential biological implications are discussed.     

Global analysis of an epidemic model with nonmonotone incidence rate

In this paper we study an epidemic model with nonmonotonic incidence rate, which describes the psychological effect of certain serious diseases on the community when the number of infectives is getting larger. By carrying out a global analysis of the model and studying the stability of the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium, we show that either the number of infective individuals tends to zero as time evolves or the disease persists.     

Lyapunov Functions and Global Stability for SIR and SIRS Epidemiological Models with Non-Linear Transmission

Lyapunov functions for two-dimension SIR and SIRS compartmental epidemic models with non-linear transmission rate of a very general form f(S,I) constrained by a few biologically feasible conditions are constructed. Global properties of these models including these with vertical and horizontal transmission, are thereby established. It is proved that, under the constant population size assumption, the concavity of the function f(S,I) with respect to the number of the infective hosts I ensures the uniqueness and the global stability of the positive endemic equilibrium state. AMS Classification 92D30 (primary), 34D20 (secondary)     

一类具有非单调发生率SIS流行病模型的分析

该文讨论了具有非单调发生率SIS流行病模型,分别建立了带有分布时滞和离散时滞形式的感染个体的恢复时滞模型,同时分析了系统平衡态的稳定性．     

Global Properties of Infectious Disease Models with Nonlinear Incidence

We consider global properties for the classical SIR, SIRS and SEIR models of infectious diseases, including the models with the vertical transmission, assuming that the horizontal transmission is governed by an unspecified function f(S,I). We construct Lyapunov functions which enable us to find biologically realistic conditions sufficient to ensure existence and uniqueness of a globally asymptotically stable equilibrium state. This state can be either endemic, or infection-free, depending on the value of the basic reproduction number.     

Stability analysis of within-host parasite models with delays

We provide a global analysis of systems of within-host parasitic infections. The systems studied have parallel classes of different length of latently infected target cells. These systems can also be thought as systems arising from within-host parasitic systems with distributed continuous delays. We compute the basic reproduction ratio R0 for the systems under consideration. If R0< or =1 the parasite is cleared, if R0>1 and if a sufficient condition is satisfied we conclude to the global asymptotic stability (GAS) of the endemic equilibrium. For some generic class of models this condition reduces to R0>1. These results make possible to revisit some parasitic models including intracellular delays and to study their global stability.     

具有时滞的HBV病毒动力学模型稳定性分析

HBV（HePatitis B virus）是一种具有严重传染性的肝炎病毒,迄今为止,人们对它的免疫和慢性化的机制等方面还不甚了解。本文基于相关的病理知识,对应的建立了具有时滞的微分方程数学模型,系统地探讨了肝炎B病毒与宿主细胞之间的关系,利用Lyapunov函数方法研究了病毒动力学模型感染平衡点的局部稳定性和未感染平衡点全局稳定性,并利用数学模拟验证了理论分析。结果表明时滞的存在不会影响到感染平衡点的局部稳定性,但能影响平衡点到达的时间跨度,对于药物治疗的疗程和治疗时机的确定有参考意义。     

一类带有ATL反应和治愈率的传染病模型的全局稳定性研究(英文)

主要介绍一类具有饱和传染率和治愈率的ATL反应的病毒模型,通过稳定性分析,得到了地方病平衡态的全局稳定的条件.     

广义Kolmogorov模型的Lyapunov函数构造新算法及其应用

本文对广义Kolmogorov模型,给出构造Lyapunov函数的新算法,在文献1中只对其中某些特殊类型给出几种特殊的构造方法,而本文给出的是这类模型的一般新算法,应用较广泛。     

Mean-square stability of a stochastic model for bacteriophage infection with time delays

We consider the stability properties of the positive equilibrium of a stochastic model for bacteriophage infection with discrete time delay. Conditions for mean-square stability of the trivial solution of the linearized system around the equilibrium are given by the construction of suitable Lyapunov functionals. The numerical simulations of the strong solutions of the arising stochastic delay differential system suggest that, even for the original non-linear model, the longer the incubation time the more the phage and bacteria populations can coexist on a stable equilibrium in a noisy environment for very long time.     

Analysis of SIR epidemic models with nonlinear incidence rate and treatment

This paper deals with the nonlinear dynamics of a susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate, vertical transmission, vaccination for the newborns of susceptible and recovered individuals, and the capacity of treatment. It is assumed that the treatment rate is proportional to the number of infectives when it is below the capacity and constant when the number of infectives reaches the capacity. Under some conditions, it is shown that there exists a backward bifurcation from an endemic equilibrium, which implies that the disease-free equilibrium coexists with an endemic equilibrium. In such a case, reducing the basic reproduction number less than unity is not enough to control and eradicate the disease, extra measures are needed to ensure that the solutions approach the disease-free equilibrium. When the basic reproduction number is greater than unity, the model can have multiple endemic equilibria due to the effect of treatment, vaccination and other parameters. The existence and stability of the endemic equilibria of the model are analyzed and sufficient conditions on the existence and stability of a limit cycle are obtained. Numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the analytical results.     

Dynamical behavior of a hepatitis B virus transmission model with vaccination

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a globally health problem. In 2005, the WHO Western Pacific Regional Office set a goal of reducing chronic HBV infection rate to less than 2% among children five years of age by 2012, as an interim milestone towards the final goal of less than 1%. Many countries made some plans (such as free HBV vaccination program for all neonates in China now) to control the transmission HBV. We develop a model to explore the impact of vaccination and other controlling measures of HBV infection. The model has simple dynamical behavior which has a globally asymptotically stable disease-free equilibrium when the basic reproduction number R₀≤1, and a globally asymptotically stable endemic equilibrium when R₀>1. Numerical simulation results show that the vaccination is a very effective measure to control the infection and they also give some useful comments on controlling the transmission of HBV.     

Global dynamics of an epidemiological model with age of infection and disease relapse

In this paper, an epidemiological model with age of infection and disease relapse is investigated. The basic reproduction number for the model is identified, and it is shown to be a sharp threshold to completely determine the global dynamics of the model. By analysing the corresponding characteristic equations, the local stability of a disease-free steady state and an endemic steady state of the model is established. By means of suitable Lyapunov functionals and LaSalle's invariance principle, it is verified that if the basic reproduction number is less than unity, the disease-free steady state is globally asymptotically stable, and hence the disease dies out; if the basic reproduction number is greater than unity, the endemic steady state is globally asymptotically stable and the disease becomes endemic.     

Persistence and permanence in a metapopulation model with space-limited recruitment

In this paper we analyze a metapopulation model with space-limited recruitment. The model describes the population dynamics of sessile adult and planktonic larvae in a common larval pool. We introduce the basic reproduction number of each species which is the expected number of future larvae reproduced by one larva. We consider the conditions for the persistence of the multi-species and multi-habitats model and the permanence of the single-species model. Subsequently, we consider the conditions for the existence of the non-trivial steady state of the single-species model and its global stability, and the permanence of the two species and two habitats model.     

多比例时滞细胞神经网络的指数周期性与稳定性

研究了一类具多比例时滞细胞神经网络的全局指数周期性与稳定性.通过变换y(t)=x(e~t)将具多比例时滞的细胞神经网络变换成具常时滞变系数的细胞神经网络,利用一些分析技巧与构造合适的Lyapunov泛函,得到系统的周期解存在唯一且全局指数周期的时滞依赖的充分条件,判断方法简单易验证.并给出了两个例子及其数值仿真结果以支持所得结论.     

Global dynamics of an SEIR epidemic model with saturating contact rate

Heesterbeek and Metz [J. Math. Biol. 31 (1993) 529] derived an expression for the saturating contact rate of individual contacts in an epidemiological model. In this paper, the SEIR model with this saturating contact rate is studied. The basic reproduction number R0 is proved to be a sharp threshold which completely determines the global dynamics and the outcome of the disease. If R0 < or =1, the disease-free equilibrium is globally stable and the disease always dies out. If R0 > 1, there exists a unique endemic equilibrium which is globally stable and the disease persists at an endemic equilibrium state if it initially exists. The contribution of the saturating contact rate to the basic reproduction number and the level of the endemic equilibrium is also analyzed.     

Modelling diseases with relapse and nonlinear incidence of infection: a multi-group epidemic model

In this paper, we introduce a basic reproduction number for a multi-group SIR model with general relapse distribution and nonlinear incidence rate. We find that basic reproduction number plays the role of a key threshold in establishing the global dynamics of the model. By means of appropriate Lyapunov functionals, a subtle grouping technique in estimating the derivatives of Lyapunov functionals guided by graph-theoretical approach and LaSalle invariance principle, it is proven that if it is less than or equal to one, the disease-free equilibrium is globally stable and the disease dies out; whereas if it is larger than one, some sufficient condition is obtained in ensuring that there is a unique endemic equilibrium which is globally stable and thus the disease persists in the population. Furthermore, our results suggest that general relapse distribution are not the reason of sustained oscillations. Biologically, our model might be realistic for sexually transmitted diseases, such as Herpes, Condyloma acuminatum, etc.     

具常数投放率功能反应为／x的食饵-捕食系统的定性分析

本文研究一类具有常数投放率的食饵-捕食系统的定性行为,得到了正平衡点全局渐近稳定以及在正平衡点周围存在唯一极限环的充分条件．利用数值模拟检验了结论．