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Due to increasing life expectancy and the introduction of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening, a rising number of elderly men are diagnosed with prostate cancer. Besides PSA serum levels and Gleason score, age is considered to be a key prognostic factor in terms of treatment decisions. In men older than 70 years, treatment without curative intent may deprive the frail patient of years of life. Modern radical prostatectomy techniques are associated with low perioperative morbidity, excellent clinical outcome, and documented long-term disease control. Thus, radical prostatectomy should be considered because local treatment of organ-confined prostate cancer potentially cures disease. The huge extent of PSA screening programs may lead to overdiagnosis of prostate cancer. Not every man who is diagnosed with prostate cancer will develop clinically significant disease. This has led to the concept of expectant management for screen-detected, small-volume, low-grade disease, with the intention of providing therapy for those men with disease progression. 相似文献
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BackgroundPopulation trends in PSA testing and prostate cancer incidence do not perfectly correspond. We aimed to better understand relationships between trends in PSA testing, prostate cancer incidence and mortality in Australia and factors that influence them.MethodsWe calculated and described standardised time trends in PSA tests, prostate biopsies, treatment of benign prostatic hypertrophy (BPH) and prostate cancer incidence and mortality in Australia in men aged 45–74, 75–84, and 85 + years.ResultsPSA testing increased from its introduction in 1989 to a peak in 2008 before declining in men aged 45–84 years. Prostate biopsies and cancer incidence fell from 1995 to 2000 in parallel with decrease in trans-urethral resections of the prostate (TURP) and, latterly, changes in pharmaceutical management of BPH. After 2000, changes in biopsies and incidence paralleled changes in PSA screening in men 45–84 years, while in men ≥85 years biopsy rates stabilised, and incidence fell. Prostate cancer mortality in men aged 45–74 years remained low throughout. Mortality in men 75–84 years gradually increased until mid 1990s, then gradually decreased. Mortality in men ≥ 85 years increased until mid 1990s, then stabilised.ConclusionAge specific prostate cancer incidence largely mirrors PSA testing rates. Most deviation from this pattern may be explained by less use of TURP in management of BPH and consequent less incidental cancer detection in TURP tissue specimens. Mortality from prostate cancer initially rose and then fell below what it was when PSA testing began. Its initial rise and fall may be explained by a possible initial tendency to over-attribute deaths of uncertain cause in older men with a diagnosis of prostate cancer to prostate cancer. Decreases in mortality rates were many fold smaller than the increases in incidence, suggesting substantial overdiagnosis of prostate cancer after introduction of PSA testing. 相似文献
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The degree of overdiagnosis in common cancer screening trials is uncertain due to inadequate design of trials, varying definition and methods used to estimate overdiagnosis. Therefore, we aimed to quantify the risk of overdiagnosis for the most widely implemented cancer screening programmes and assess the implications of design limitations and biases in cancer screening trials on the estimates of overdiagnosis by conducting an overview and re-analysis of systematic reviews of cancer screening. We searched PubMed and the Cochrane Library from their inception dates to November 29, 2021. Eligible studies included systematic reviews of randomised trials comparing cancer screening interventions to no screening, which reported cancer incidence for both trial arms. We extracted data on study characteristics, cancer incidence and assessed the risk of bias using the Cochrane Collaboration’s risk of bias tool. We included 19 trials described in 30 articles for review, reporting results for the following types of screening: mammography for breast cancer, chest X-ray or low-dose CT for lung cancer, alpha-foetoprotein and ultrasound for liver cancer, digital rectal examination, prostate-specific antigen, and transrectal ultrasound for prostate cancer, and CA-125 test and/or ultrasound for ovarian cancer. No trials on screening for melanoma were eligible. Only one trial (5%) had low risk in all bias domains, leading to a post-hoc meta-analysis, excluding trials with high risk of bias in critical domains, finding the extent of overdiagnosis ranged from 17% to 38% across cancer screening programmes. We conclude that there is a significant risk of overdiagnosis in the included randomised trials on cancer screening. We found that trials were generally not designed to estimate overdiagnosis and many trials had high risk of biases that may draw the estimates of overdiagnosis towards the null. In effect, the true extent of overdiagnosis due to cancer screening is likely underestimated. 相似文献
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Incidence and survival rates were estimated for all white and black women in metropolitan Atlanta with a new diagnosis of in situ or invasive cervical carcinoma between 1975 and 1986. During this period, the average annual age-adjusted incidence (per 100,000) of in situ lesions declined from 51.4 to 25.6 among whites and from 102.2 to 34.6 among blacks. The average annual age-adjusted incidence rate of invasive cervical cancer decreased from 11.8 to 8.2 for whites and from 33.0 to 26.7 for blacks. Although the black-to-white ratio of carcinoma in situ incidence rates declined progressively over time, the excess of invasive cancer among blacks did not decrease. The five-year cumulative survival percentages by stage for whites and blacks, respectively, were 99.1 and 99.1 for in situ carcinoma, 92.2 and 80.5 for locally invasive carcinoma, 49.2 and 40.5 for regionally invasive carcinoma and 3.1 and 3.4 for cases with distant metastases. No improvements in stage at diagnosis of invasive cancer or stage-specific survival rates were observed during this period. 相似文献
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《Endocrine practice》2021,27(11):1100-1107
ObjectiveTo examine the secular trends of thyroid cancer incidence and mortality and to estimate the proportion of thyroid cancer cases potentially attributable to overdiagnosis.MethodsData on thyroid cancer cases from 1973 to 2015 were obtained from the Shanghai Cancer Registry. The average annual percent change (AAPC) was evaluated using the joinpoint regression analysis. The age, period, and birth cohort effects were assessed using an age-period-cohort model. The overdiagnosis of thyroid cancer cases was estimated based on the difference between observed and expected incidences using the rates of Nordic countries as reference.ResultsFrom 1973 to 2015, the number of thyroid cancer cases was 23 117, and 75% of the patients were women. The age-standardized rates were seven- to eightfold higher from 2013 to 2015 than from 1973 to 1977. Compared with relatively stable mortality, thyroid cancer incidence was dramatically increased from 2002 to 2015 in both sexes, with significant trends (men: AAPC = 21.84%, 95% CI: 18.77%-24.98%, P < .001; women: AAPC = 18.55%, 95% CI: 16.49%-20.64%, P < .001). The proportion of overdiagnosis has gradually increased over time, rising from 68% between 2003 and 2007 to more than 90% between 2013 and 2015. This increasing trend appeared to be similar between men and women.ConclusionAn increasing gap between thyroid cancer incidence and mortality was observed in Shanghai, and overdiagnosis has contributed substantially to the rise of incidence, which calls for an urgent update on the practice of thyroid examination. 相似文献
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The epidemiology of sex steroid hormones and their signaling and metabolic pathways in the etiology of prostate cancer 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
Platz EA Giovannucci E 《The Journal of steroid biochemistry and molecular biology》2004,92(4):237-253
The purpose of this review is to discuss the epidemiologic literature on the association of sex steroid hormones and components of their signaling and metabolic pathways with prostate cancer and to describe data evaluating racial variation in sex steroid hormone pathways as a possible explanation for the notably higher risk of prostate cancer in African-American men compared to white or Asian men. Although sex steroid hormones likely contribute to the growth and progression of prostate cancer, associations between hormones and prostate cancer risk across the range of normal levels have been difficult to reliably demonstrate epidemiologically. Methodologic issues no doubt have made the detection of these associations difficult. Of particular importance are (1) the inadequacy of measuring circulating hormones in middle age as a surrogate for the exposure in the target cells in the prostate at the relevant time in life and (2) the current inability to integrate across components of the sex steroid hormone signaling pathway to fully capture target cell androgenic and estrogenic stimulation. Although the approach of evaluating polymorphisms in genes involved in sex steroid hormone signaling or metabolism as a way to minimize some of the issues in the direct measurement of hormones is logical, the findings among these studies are somewhat difficult to reconcile as well. The problems of the changing case mix due to screening for elevated PSA, small sample sizes increasing the likelihood of false negative and false positive results, the controls and their allele frequencies not being representative of the population at risk, and lack of knowledge of the functional consequence of a polymorphism in relation to other polymorphisms in that gene or without consideration of other genes involved in the same pathway may be contributory. The primary result of the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial confirms that intraprostatic dihydrotestosterone levels in the normal range indeed do contribute to the growth of prostate adenocarcinoma. However, the secondary result of higher-grade disease in cases in the finasteride arm coupled with clinical studies showing higher grade disease in non-metastatic cases with lower serum androgens, if not a pathological artifact or detection bias in the finasteride arm, possibly suggests a complex relationship between androgens and the growth versus differentiation of a prostate tumor. Finally, racial variation in components of the sex steroid hormone pathway do appear to exist, but whether the extent of the variation is adequately great such that it accounts for some of the substantial differences in prostate cancer incidence among blacks, whites, and Asians is unclear. 相似文献
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Paul F. Pinsky 《Biometrics》2001,57(2):389-395
The model that specifies that cancer incidence, I, is the convolution of the preclinical incidence, g, and the density of time in the preclinical phase, f, has frequently been utilized to model data from cancer screening trials and to estimate such quantities as sojourn time, lead time, and sensitivity. When this model is fit to the above data, the parameters of f as well as the parameter(s) governing screening sensitivity must be estimated. Previously, g was either assumed to be equal to clinical incidence or assumed to be a constant or exponential function that also had to be estimated. Here we assume that the underlying incidence, I, in the study population (in the absence of screening) is known. With I known, g then becomes a function of f, which can be solved for using (numerical) deconvolution, thus eliminating the need to estimate g or make assumptions about it. Since numerical deconvolution procedures may be highly unstable, however, we incorporate a smoothing procedure that produces a realistic g function while still closely reproducing the original incidence function I upon convolution with f. We have also added the concept of competing mortality to the convolution model. This, along with the realistic preclinical incidence function described above, results in more accurate estimates of sojourn time and lead time and allows for estimation of quantities related to overdiagnosis, which we define here. 相似文献
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Prostate cancer is the first cancer in incidence and the second in mortality for men in France. In 2000, the estimated number of newly diagnosed cases was 40,309. Crude and standardised on world population yearly incidence rates were 141.4/100,000 and 75.3/100,000, respectively. The French Society of Urology recommends individual screening for prostate cancer. Information and consent is required before screening. The Haute Autorité de Santé has published an information for men seeking for screening. Mass screening is not recommended. Screening tests consist of prostate specific antigen (PSA) dosage, rectal examination, yearly for men aged 50 to 75 or starting from 45 in case of risk factors. Currently, large studies are ongoing to estimate the benefit of mass screening on morbidity and mortality. France participates to a European study (ERSPC). Results will be available in years 2008–2010. 相似文献
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Kadmon D 《Reviews in urology》2002,4(2):87-89
With a large local tumor, when surgical extirpation results in a positive surgical margin, adjuvant radiotherapy is the routine approach for a variety of solid tumors, such as head and neck cancers, rectal cancer, lung cancer, and breast cancer. With prostate cancer, however, surgery and radiotherapy are considered as alternative single-modality treatments, and their combination is far less enthusiastically embraced. Despite a trend toward earlier clinical diagnosis of prostate cancer since the introduction of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening, modern surgical series continue to show a 15%-25% incidence of positive surgical margins. Postoperative radiotherapy, whether delivered as "adjuvant therapy" shortly after surgery or as "salvage therapy" when serum PSA becomes detectable, effectively improves local control and prolongs disease-free survival. 相似文献
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Overdiagnosis refers to the situation where a screening exam detects a disease that would have otherwise been undetected in a person's lifetime. The disease would have not have been diagnosed because the individual would have died of other causes prior to its clinical onset. Although the probability of overdiagnosis is an important quantity for understanding early detection programs it has not been rigorously studied. We analyze an idealized early detection program and derive the mathematical expression for the probability of overdiagnosis. The results are studied numerically for prostate cancer and applied to a variety of screening schedules. Our investigation indicates that the probability of overdiagnosis is remarkably high. 相似文献
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BackgroundTo examine changes in prostate cancer incidence and mortality rates, and 5-year relative survival, in relation to changes in the rate of prostate specific antigen (PSA) screening tests and the use of radical prostatectomy (RP) in the Australian population.MethodsProstate cancer stage-specific incidence rates, 5-year relative survival and mortality rates were estimated using New South Wales Cancer Registry data. PSA screening test rates and RP/Incidence ratios were estimated from Medicare Benefits Schedule claims data. We used multiple imputation to impute stage for cases with “unknown” stage at diagnosis. Annual percentage changes (APC) in rates were estimated using Joinpoint regression.ResultsTrends in the age-standardized incidence rates for localized disease largely mirrored the trends in PSA screening test rates, with a substantial ‘spike’ in the rates occurring in 1994, followed by a second ‘spike’ in 2008, and then a significant decrease from 2008 to 2015 (APC −6.7, 95% CI −8.2, −5.1). Increasing trends in incidence rates were observed for regional stage from the early 2000s, while decreasing or stable trends were observed for distant stage since 1993. The overall RP/Incidence ratio increased from 1998 to 2003 (APC 9.6, 95% CI 3.8, 15.6), then remained relatively stable to 2015. The overall 5-year relative survival for prostate cancer increased from 58.4% (95% CI: 55.0–61.7%) in 1981–1985 to 91.3% (95% CI: 90.5–92.1%) in 2011–2015. Prostate cancer mortality rates decreased from 1990 onwards (1990–2006: APC −1.7, 95% CI −2.1, −1.2; 2006–2017: APC −3.8, 95% CI −4.4, −3.1).ConclusionsOverall, there was a decrease in the incidence rate of localized prostate cancer after 2008, an increase in survival over time and a decrease in the mortality rate since the 1990s. This seems to indicate that the more conservative use of PSA screening tests in clinical practice since 2008 has not had a negative impact on population-wide prostate cancer outcomes. 相似文献
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Petra Leidinger Andreas Keller Lisa Milchram Christian Harz Martin Hart Angelika Werth Hans-Peter Lenhof Andreas Weinh?usel Bastian Keck Bernd Wullich Nicole Ludwig Eckart Meese 《PloS one》2015,10(6)
Although an increased level of the prostate-specific antigen can be an indication for prostate cancer, other reasons often lead to a high rate of false positive results. Therefore, an additional serological screening of autoantibodies in patients’ sera could improve the detection of prostate cancer. We performed protein macroarray screening with sera from 49 prostate cancer patients, 70 patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia and 28 healthy controls and compared the autoimmune response in those groups. We were able to distinguish prostate cancer patients from normal controls with an accuracy of 83.2%, patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia from normal controls with an accuracy of 86.0% and prostate cancer patients from patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia with an accuracy of 70.3%. Combining seroreactivity pattern with a PSA level of higher than 4.0 ng/ml this classification could be improved to an accuracy of 84.1%. For selected proteins we were able to confirm the differential expression by using luminex on 84 samples. We provide a minimally invasive serological method to reduce false positive results in detection of prostate cancer and according to PSA screening to distinguish men with prostate cancer from men with benign prostatic hyperplasia. 相似文献
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STEWART JUSTMAN 《Bioethics》2012,26(3):143-148
While medicine may agree in principle that cancer screening requires informed consent, such consent is not, in fact, common practice. In the case of prostate‐cancer screening this means that men in large numbers undergo PSA testing with little understanding of its liabilities – in particular, that it may or may not decrease mortality, often detects cancer of questionable significance, and may lead to unnecessary surgery. Given that prostate cancer is known to be overtreated and that family history is a risk factor, it follows that a man diagnosed with prostate cancer, even if it is of no clinical significance, automatically promotes his son into the high‐risk category; and given that those so categorized are subject to heightened medical surveillance and that the more diligently medicine searches for prostate cancer the more likely it is to find it, it follows that the sons of men diagnosed as a result of PSA testing are at risk of being overdiagnosed (and overtreated) precisely because their father was. Twenty years into the PSA revolution, its generational consequences have not been discussed in the medical literature. 相似文献
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Current data have demonstrated that the incidence and mortality induced by prostate cancer increases with age. Natural history of prostate cancer extends on 10 to 15 years. As shown by randomized trials on screening, PSA measurements lead to early detection of localised cancer and explain the decrease number of metastatic disease which remains frequent in the elderly. However, patients with bone metastasis present painful symptomatology and a poor quality of life. This disease is hormone-sensitive during 18 to 24 months, before it becomes androgen-resistant. Considering epidemiologic and life expectancy data, we can expect an increasing number of patients with an hormonal blocking and it is important to develop alternative treatments to improve the prognosis of this disease which remains poor at the metastatic stage. 相似文献
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BACKGROUND: Concern over the cost of screening for asymptomatic prostate cancer by means of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing has played an important role in PSA screening policy. However, little is known about the true costs of current PSA screening in Canada and how costs may change in the future. METHODS: The authors performed a cost identification study from the perspective of provincial ministries of health. They used data from published reports, hospital discharge data, claims data from several provinces, a laboratory survey, a national survey of knowledge, attitudes and beliefs about screening, a provincial cancer registry and expert opinion to estimate current first-year screening costs. Using demographic data from Statistics Canada and various scenarios regarding changes in screening patterns, the authors derived estimates of the future costs of PSA screening. RESULTS: In 1995 PSA screening cost an estimated $45 million (range $40 million to $84 million). Treatment accounted for over 61% of total costs, whereas screening, diagnosis and staging accounted for 35%. Screening all eligible men in Canada in 1995 would have cost $317 million (range $356 million to $691 million), more than the costs of all prostate cancer care in that year. Annual recurrent screening for all eligible men in 2005 would cost $219 million (range $208 million to $412 million). Projections from existing trends suggest that annual costs of PSA screening in 2000 are likely to increase from the estimated $45 million to approximately $66 million (range $59 million to $126 million). INTERPRETATION: PSA screening is costly, but even universal screening would consume a smaller share of national health expenditures than previous studies have suggested. Costs attributable to PSA screening may increase in the future owing to changes in utilization patterns and demographic shifts. 相似文献
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Prostate cancer is the second most frequently diagnosed cancer among men worldwide, with the estimated sixth leading cause of cancer death. Despite major advancements in clinical biology and imaging, digital rectal examination (DRE), prostate-specific antigen (PSA), and biopsies indication remain the keystone for screening. Several kits are used to detect genomic changes and non-coding RNAs in the sample. However, its indication remains controversial for screening purposes. There is an urged need for non-invasive biomarkers to implement precision medicine. Recent research shows that miRNAs have an important role in the diagnostic, prognostic, and therapeutic agents as non-invasive biomarkers. Though prostate cancer data remains controversial in other cancer types, such as breast cancer, miR-21 expression is upregulated. Here, we reported a prolonged revision of miRNAs as prostate cancer prognostic, diagnostic, and predictive tools, including data on androgen receptor (AR) signaling, epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) process, and cancer stem cells (CSCs) regulation. The combined utilization of miRNAs with other tests will help patients and clinicians to select the most appropriate personalized treatment and to avoid overdiagnosis and unnecessary biopsies. Future clinical applications of our reported novel miRNAs have a substantial role in the primary diagnosis of prostate cancer to help treatment decisions. 相似文献
18.
Kues AB 《Journal of biosocial science》2008,40(4):481-503
The US Army's 1988 Anthropometric Survey (ANSUR) data set is analysed in order to estimate the secular trend of their physical stature and body mass index while controlling for ethnic composition as well as place of birth of their parents. Separate analysis for blacks and whites stratified by gender is presented. The stature of the American population remained constant during most of the period considered, and no substantial ethnic or spatial effects were found. These results add further support to trends based on the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys and imply that the stagnation in height found in those data sets is most probably not biased by the omitted variables pertaining to own ethnicity or second-generation effects of parents' ethnicity or foreign birth. 相似文献
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Widespread screening of American men for elevated PSA has changed the characteristics of prostate cancer cases in the U.S. The influence of the changed nature of prostate cancer cases in the PSA era and the need for careful consideration of who is a "case" and who is a "control" on the ability to detect associations of risk factors with prostate cancer in etiologic epidemiologic studies merits discussion. Issue 1: prostate cancer cases diagnosed in the PSA era are enriched with a pool of early lesions, which may differ in etiology, and are deficient in advanced lesions, which are the most likely to be the product of promotion and progression events. By admixing the two types of cases (i.e., imperfect specificity), the associations previously detected using epidemiologic designs when the majority of cases were clinically detected may no longer be apparent in the PSA era when the majority of cases are now detected in the pre-clinical phase. Researchers must now tailor hypotheses such that they are testable using early stage cases or specifically augment the number of advanced cases when testing hypotheses related to extraprostatic growth and progression. Issue 2: even when controls are screened for elevated PSA to rule out the presence of prostate cancer, some proportion of those controls currently will have one or more foci of prostate cancer. The imperfect sensitivity of the PSA test coupled with diagnostic work-up may in part result from (a) lack of PSA elevation in some men with prostate cancer or (b) failure of biopsy to sample the tumor focus in men with elevated PSA. Misclassification of men with undetected prostate cancer as controls usually produces a bias that tends to deflate associations. Given this type of disease misclassification, whether an association still can be statistically detected depends on the extent of misclassification, the magnitude of the true association, the prevalence of the exposure in the true controls, and the sample size, although in general moderate nondifferential misclassification does not lead to profound attenuation. However, under the same scenario attenuation does not occur in cohort or case-cohort studies in which the rate or risk ratio (RR) is calculated. That prostate cancer cases diagnosed in the PSA era are enriched with early stage, minimally invasive disease in our opinion is likely to pose a far more serious obstacle to epidemiologic research on the etiology of clinically important prostate cancer than the issue of inclusion as controls some men who have undiagnosed prostate cancer because of imperfect sensitivity of PSA screening and biopsy sampling error. 相似文献