Waist circumference and body mass index as predictors of health care costs

BACKGROUND: In the present study we analyze the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) and future health care costs. On the basis of the relation between these anthropometric measures and mortality, we hypothesized that for all levels of BMI increased WC implies added future health care costs (Hypothesis 1) and for given levels of WC increased BMI entails reduced future health care costs (Hypothesis 2). We furthermore assessed whether a combination of the two measures predicts health care costs better than either individual measure. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Data were obtained from the Danish prospective cohort study Diet, Cancer and Health. The population includes 15,334 men and 16,506 women 50 to 64 years old recruited in 1996 to 1997. The relationship between future health care costs and BMI and WC in combination was analyzed by use of categorized and continuous analyses. The analysis confirms Hypothesis 1, reflecting that an increased level of abdominal fat for a given BMI gives higher health care costs. Hypothesis 2, that BMI had a protective effect for a given WC, was only confirmed in the continuous analysis and for a subgroup of women (BMI<30 kg/m(2) and WC <88 cm). The relative magnitude of the estimates supports that the regressions including WC as an explanatory factor provide the best fit to the data. CONCLUSION: The study showed that WC for given levels of BMI predicts increased health costs, whereas BMI for given WC did not predict health costs except for a lower cost in non-obese women with normal WC. Combining WC and BMI does not give a better prediction of costs than WC alone.     

Waist circumference adjusted for body mass index and intra-abdominal fat mass

Background

The association between waist circumference (WC) and mortality is particularly strong and direct when adjusted for body mass index (BMI). One conceivable explanation for this association is that WC adjusted for BMI is a better predictor of the presumably most harmful intra-abdominal fat mass (IAFM) than WC alone. We studied the prediction of abdominal subcutaneous fat mass (ASFM) and IAFM by WC alone and by addition of BMI as an explanatory factor.

Methodology/Principal Findings

WC, BMI and magnetic resonance imaging data from 742 men and women who participated in clinical studies in Canada and Finland were pooled. Total adjusted squared multiple correlation coefficients (R²) of ASFM and IAFM were calculated from multiple linear regression models with WC and BMI as explanatory variables. Mean BMI and WC of the participants in the pooled sample were 30 kg/m² and 102 cm, respectively. WC explained 29% of the variance in ASFM and 51% of the variance in IAFM. Addition of BMI to WC added 28% to the variance explained in ASFM, but only 1% to the variance explained in IAFM. Results in subgroups stratified by study center, sex, age, obesity level and type 2 diabetes status were not systematically different.

Conclusion/Significance

The prediction of IAFM by WC is not improved by addition of BMI.     

Waist circumference as a predictor of disability among older adults

Objective: Few studies have addressed the association between abdominal obesity, as measured by waist circumference (WC), and disability in the elderly. Moreover, those studies were cross‐sectional and yielded inconsistent results. The objective of this study was to examine longitudinally the association between WC and self‐reported disability among older adults. Research Methods and Procedures: A prospective cohort study was conducted from 2001 to 2003 in 3235 persons (1411 men and 1824 women) representative of the non‐institutionalized Spanish population ages 60 years and older. Baseline information was collected by home‐based personal interviews and measurement of WC, weight, and height. Two years later, information on disability was obtained by telephone interview. The association of interest was summarized with odds ratios obtained by logistic regression. Results: Among persons reporting no disability at baseline, WC predicted disability 2 years later. After adjustment for age, education, tobacco use, alcohol consumption, and physical activity, men in the highest WC quintile had 2.17 (95% confidence interval, 1.15 to 4.09) times more risk of mobility disability and 4.77 (95% confidence interval, 2.50 to 9.13) times more risk of agility disability than those in the lowest quintile. Additional adjustment for BMI, chronic diseases, and cognitive function led to only a slight reduction in this association. Results were similar for women. No statistically significant association was observed between WC and restriction of daily activities, limitation in instrumental activities of daily living, and limitation in bathing or dressing, in either men or women. Discussion: WC predicts mobility and agility disability in old age. Avoidance of the highest values of WC might decrease the risk of disability in older adults.     

Waist circumference values are increasing beyond those expected from BMI increases

Objective: The objective of this investigation was to examine the relationship between BMI and waist circumference (WC) by gender and race subgroups from U.S. population‐based data from 1959 to 2004 and to investigate the trend in WC over calendar time. Research Methods and Procedures: Demographic and anthropometric cross‐sectional data on 30,730 participants 18 to 79 years old across five national surveys were included. We regressed WC on BMI while controlling for age in each time period for blacks and whites by gender. Results: The relationship between BMI and WC as characterized by the slope of the linear regression of WC on BMI does not seem to be changing significantly over time. A small (range, 0.08 to 0.27 cm/yr) increase in WC over time was observed. Discussion: The implications of these findings for public health and for understanding any extant changes in the BMI‐mortality rate relationship remain to be elucidated.     

Waist circumference correlates with metabolic syndrome indicators better than percentage fat

Objective : Percent fat is often considered the reference for establishing the magnitude of adipose tissue accumulation and the risk of excess adiposity. However, the increasing recognition of a strong link between central adiposity and metabolic disturbances led us to test whether waist circumference (WC) is more highly correlated with metabolic syndrome components than percent fat and other related anthropometric measures such as BMI. Research Methods and Procedures : BMI, WC, and percent fat, measured by DXA, were evaluated in 1010 healthy white and African‐American men and women [age, 48.3 ± 17.2 (standard deviation) years; BMI, 27.0 ± 5.3 kg/m²]. The associations of BMI, WC, and percent fat with age and laboratory‐adjusted health risk indicators (i.e., serum glucose, insulin, triglycerides, high‐density lipoprotein cholesterol, blood pressure) in each sex and ethnicity group were examined. Results : For 18 of 24 comparisons, the age‐ and laboratory‐adjusted correlations were lowest for percent fat and in 16 of 24 comparisons were highest for WC. Fifteen of the between‐method differences reached statistical significance. With health risk indicator as the dependent variable and anthropometric measures as the independent variable, the contribution of percent fat to the WC regression model was not statistically significant; in contrast, adding WC to the percent fat regression model did make a significant independent contribution for most health risk indicators. Discussion : WC had the strongest associations with health risk indicators, followed by BMI. Although percent fat is a useful measure of overall adiposity, health risks are best represented by the simply measured WC.     

Waist circumference cutoff points in school-aged Chinese Han and Uygur children

Objective: To examine the distribution of age‐ and gender‐specific waist circumference (WC) and to identify optimal cutoffs for predicting cardiovascular (CV) risk factors in Chinese Han and Uygur children. Methods and Procedures: In total 4,224 Han and Uygur children aged 7–18 were randomly selected from schools in Urumqi city, China. WC, height, and weight were accurately measured in all subjects. Blood pressure, fasting lipids, glucose, and insulin were determined in 258 overweight/obese children and 370 age‐, gender‐, and ethnicity‐matched normal‐weight controls selected from the same study sample. LMS (lambda‐mu‐sigma) method was used to construct WC centile curves. Optimal WC cutoffs were determined by comparing the performance of five sets of WC cutoffs in predicting CV risk factors. Results: Han boys and girls had higher WC at all percentiles and ages except for girls over the age of 16. Uygur girls also showed a greater increase in WC corresponding with age (2.1 cm/year vs. 1.6 cm/year for the median) than Han girls. Compared with the other four sets of cutoffs, the 85th WC percentile showed the best combination of sensitivity (81.0%) and specificity (71.4%). The two sets of WC cutoffs constructed by allowing centile curves passing through the adult cutoffs for central adiposity using the fitted LMS curves provided poor sensitivities in predicting the presence of cluster of CV risk factors. Discussion: The growth pattern of WC varies with gender and ethnicity. The 85th percentile of WC is an appropriate cutoff for Chinese Han and Uygur children in the prediction of CV risks.     

Waist circumference percentiles in children and adolescents between 6 and 14 years from Santiago,Chile

ObjectiveTo describe the percentile distribution of waist circumference (WC) by sex and age in a representative sample of children and adolescents of lower-middle and low socioeconomic status in Santiago, Chile.MethodsA cross-section of 3022 primary-school students between the ages of 6 and 14 from middle-low and low-class schools of Santiago. Ten schools from the Primary Education Society (SIP) in Santiago, Chile, were selected at random. WC was measured under standardized procedures as instructed by the WHO (midpoint between lower costal margin and iliac crest). The population was categorized between percentiles 10 and 90 and divided by sex and age.ResultsWC tends to increase with age in both males and females, but no significant differences were found in the percentiles by age for boys and girls at any age range (p > 0.05). In our sample, comparing Chilean children with other populations (British, Australian, European-American, African-American, Mexican – American and Colombian), Chilean children have shown a significantly greater WC (p < 0.05).ConclusionsWe present new WC reference values for Chilean children according to sex and age from a representative sample of Chilean population. These can be considered as a new anthropometric assessment tool for estimating cardiometabolic risk in Chilean children.     

Alcohol and mortality from all causes

A large number of prospective studies have observed an inverse relationship between a moderate intake of alcohol and coronary heart disease morbidity and mortality. Concerning death from all-causes, results are not unanimous. Alcohol intake was associated with a protection of all-cause mortality in England and USA physicians and the large study of the American Cancer Society. None of these studies separated the effects of different alcoholic beverages. In our prospective studies in France on 35 000 middle-aged men, we observed that only wine at moderate intake, was associated with a protective effect on all-cause mortality. The reason was that in addition to the known effect on cardiovascular diseases, a very moderate intake of wine, protected also from cancer and other causes as confirmed by Gronbaek in Denmark. Our recent results also indicate that the protective effect of a moderate intake of wine on all-cause mortality is observed at all levels of blood pressure and serum cholesterol.     

Mid-arm circumference at birth as predictor of low birth weight and neonatal mortality

In Bangladesh, like other developing countries, most births occur at home or in the community, so logistic problems and taboos prevent the weighing of every newborn child. This study was performed to see whether other simpler measurements could be substituted for weight to identify neonates of low birth weight. A total of 1676 live births at the Chittagong Medical College Hospital constituted the study sample, and this showed a high correlation between mid-arm circumference and birth weight (r=0.792, p<0.000). A mid-arm circumference of <9.0 cm had the best sensitivity and specificity for identifying newborns with a birth weight of less than 2500 g. These neonates were followed up to record neonatal deaths. Neonatal mortality showed an inverse relation with mid-arm circumference. A mid-arm circumference of <9.0 cm and a birth weight of <2500 g were equally useful in predicting neonatal outcome. Mid-arm circumference is a simple, quick and reliable indicator for predicting low birth weight and neonatal outcome, and can be easily measured by medical practitioners and traditional birth attendants (TBAs) in the community of developing countries like Bangladesh.     

Involvement of two specific causes of cell mortality in freeze-thaw cycles with freezing to -196 degrees C

The purpose of this study was to examine cell viability after freezing. Two distinct ranges of temperature were identified as corresponding to stages at which yeast cell mortality occurred during freezing to -196 degrees C. The upper temperature range was related to the temperature of crystallization of the medium, which was dependent on the solute concentration; in this range mortality was prevented by high solute concentrations, and the proportion of the medium in the vitreous state was greater than the proportion in the crystallized state. The lower temperature range was related to recrystallization that occurred during thawing. Mortality in this temperature range was increased by a high cooling rate and/or high solute concentration in the freezing medium and a low temperature (less than -70 degrees C). However, a high rate of thawing prevented yeast mortality in this lower temperature range. Overall, it was found that cell viability could be conserved better under freezing conditions by increasing the osmotic pressure of the medium and by using an increased warming rate.     

Waist circumference, not the metabolic syndrome, predicts glucose deterioration in type 2 diabetes

We sought to assess the relationship between the metabolic syndrome, abdominal obesity, and glucose deterioration amongst patients with type 2 diabetes. Our prospective cohort consisted of 164 adult patients with established diabetes who have a history of poor glycemic control, have just completed an intensive intervention aimed at improved control, and have demonstrated reduced HbA1c prior to enrollment. Waist circumference and presence of metabolic syndrome were assessed at baseline, and patients were followed up (median 24 months) for assessment of the study outcome, namely, time-to-hyperglycemic relapse, predefined as HbA1c >8% and >1% rise over baseline. Kaplan-Meier estimates of relapse-free glucose maintenance and multivariable Cox regression models were used for quantifying the independent effects of the metabolic syndrome and waist circumference on risk of glucose deterioration. The mean baseline waist circumference was 42.9 5.5 inches. Prevalence of the metabolic syndrome was 80%. During follow-up, 39 patients (24%) experienced hyperglycemic relapse. The metabolic syndrome was not associated with time-to-relapse (P = 0.15). The waist circumference component by itself, however, was associated with increased likelihood of hyperglycemic relapse with an unadjusted hazard ratio of 3.4 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2-9.7) and a hazard ratio of 3.2 (95% CI 1.1-9.1) after adjusting for age, gender, insulin use, weight change, and physical activity level. The National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III (NCEP ATPIII) metabolic syndrome had limited ability to predict glucose deterioration in this type 2 diabetes cohort. Waist circumference by itself, however, is a strong predictor of future glucose control, and may be a parsimonious tool for risk stratification. BMI may also be a useful predictive tool.     

Insect herbivores as potential causes of mortality and adaptation in gallforming insects

Summary Recent studies have suggested that plant galls benefit only the insects living in them and not the host plants, and that galls are induced by insects primarily to improve the plant as a microenvironment or a food source. The potential advantage to insects of protection from their predators and parasitoids has been considered unclear and perhaps minor in importance. However, the potential threat to gallforming insects from other insect herbivores has usually been relatively neglected. This paper notes literature and observations which suggest that herbivores may either consume or be deterred by galls. Even soft leaf galls produced by Hormaphis and Phylloxera aphids appeared to deter some herbivores in the field. The threat of herbivory to galls might help explain general patterns of gall ecology and morphology, and deserves closer attention.     

BMI and waist circumference in predicting cardiovascular risk factor clustering in Chinese adolescents

Objective: To derive the optimal BMI and waist circumference (WC) cut‐off values to predict clustering of cardiovascular risk factors in Hong Kong Chinese adolescents. Research Methods and Procedures: A total of 2102 Hong Kong Chinese 12 to 19 years of age were recruited. Participants were considered to have clustering of risk factors if at least three of the following risk factors were present: 1) high‐density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL‐C) ≤1.03 mM, 2) low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL‐C) ≥2.6 mM, 3) triglyceride (TG) ≥1.24 mM, 4) fasting plasma glucose (FPG) ≥6.1 mM, and 5) age‐, sex‐, and height‐adjusted systolic or diastolic blood pressure (BP) ≥ 90th percentile. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves were generated to identify the optimal age‐adjusted BMI and WC cut‐off values to predict clustering of risk factors in boys and girls separately. These age‐adjusted BMI and WC cut‐offs were transformed to percentile values. Cole's lambda‐mu‐sigma (LMS) method was used to obtain smoothed age‐specific BMI and WC at these percentile values. Results: The areas under ROC curves for BMI in girls and boys were 0.85 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.77 to 0.92] and 0.76 (95% CI, 0.66 to 0.85), respectively. The respective areas under ROC curves for WC in girls and boys were 0.82 (95% CI, 0.74 to 0.91) and 0.78 (95% CI, 0.68 to 0.87). The optimal BMI thresholds were at the 78th percentile for girls and the 72nd percentile for boys. The respective values for WC were at the 77th percentile for girls and the 76th percentile for boys. The sensitivities and specificities of these cut‐off values ranged from 72% to 80%. Discussion: Age‐ and sex‐specific BMI and WC cut‐off values can be used to identify adolescents with clustering of cardiovascular risk factors.     

Body mass index,waist circumference and employment: Evidence from older Irish adults

Data from the first wave of the Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing are used to examine the relationship between fatness and obesity and employment status among older Irish adults. Employment status is regressed on one of the following measures of fatness: BMI and waist circumference entered linearly as continuous variables and obesity as a categorical variable defined using both BMI and waist circumference. Controls for demographic and socioeconomic characteristics, socioeconomic characteristics in childhood and physical, mental and behavioural health are also included. The regression results for women indicate that all measures of fatness are negatively associated with the probability of being employed and that the employment elasticity associated with waist circumference is larger than the elasticity associated with BMI. The results for men indicate that employment is not significantly associated with BMI and waist circumference when these are entered linearly in the regression, but it is significantly and negatively associated with obesity defined either using BMI or waist circumference as categorical variables. The results also indicate that the negative association between obesity and employment status is larger among women. For example, the probability of being employed for the obese category defined using BMI is around 8 percentage points lower for women and 5 percentage points lower for men.