Increased Selection Response in Larger Populations. I. Selection for Wing-Tip Height in Drosophila Melanogaster at Three Population Sizes

The effect of population size on selection response was investigated with replicated selection lines of 40, 200 and 1000 selected parents, using Drosophila melanogaster homozygous for the mutant raised. Selection for increased wing-tip height was carried out for 55 generations, with an average selection intensity of 0.6 standard deviation. The rank order of responses in the seven individual lines was significantly in order of population size, and the variance of response among lines showed a significant effect of population size. The final mean responses (selected - controls, +/- standard errors) in the three treatments, in order of increasing population size, were 8.6 +/- 1.8 mils (three small lines), 15.1 +/- 1.3 mils (two medium lines), and 19.8 +/- 1.5 mils (two large lines). The differences between treatments seem to have emerged too rapidly to be the result of mutations, and are probably due mainly to the utilization of existing variation with greater efficiency by selection in larger populations.     

The Response to Artificial Selection from New Mutations in Drosophila Melanogaster

Twenty generations of divergent selection for abdominal bristle number were carried out starting from a completely homozygous population of Drosophila melanogaster. All lines were selected with the same proportion (20%) but at two different numbers of selected parents of each sex (5 or 25). A significant response to selection was detected in eight lines (out of 40) and, in most cases, it could be wholly attributed to a single mutation of relatively large effect (0.5-2 phenotypic standard deviations). The ratio of new mutational variance to environmental variance was estimated to be (0.33 +/- 0.11) X 10(-3). The distribution of mutant effects was asymmetrical, both with respect to bristle number (85% of it was negative) and to fitness (most detected bristle mutations were lethal or semilethal). Moreover, this distribution was leptokurtic, due to the presence of major genes. Gene action on bristles ranged from additive to completely recessive, no epistatic interactions being found. In agreement with theory, larger responses in each direction were achieved by those lines selected at greater effective population sizes. Furthermore, the observed divergence between lines selected in opposite directions was proportional to their effective size, as predicted for mutations of large effect.     

Selection for Blood Pressure Levels in Mice

Response to two-way selection for systolic blood pressure was immediate and continuous for about eight generations. In the twelfth generation, the High males differed from the Low males by 38 mmHG; the females differed by 39 mmHg. There was little overlap between the two lines and they were statistically significant from each other and from the Random control line. There appeared to be no more additive genetic variance in the eleventh and twelfth generations. Causes for the cessation of response are explored. This is probably due to a combination of natural selection acting to reduce litter sizes in the Low line, a higher incidence of sudden deaths in the High line, and loss of favorable alleles as both selection lines went through a population bottleneck in the ninth generation.-In the eleventh generation, the selected lines were used to produce F(1), F(2), and backcross generations. A genetic analysis yielded significant additive and dominance components in the inheritance of systolic blood pressure.     

Genetic Divergence under Uniform Selection. II. Different Responses to Selection for Knockdown Resistance to Ethanol among DROSOPHILA MELANOGASTER Populations and Their Replicate Lines

We have tested the hypothesis that genetic differences among conspecific populations may result in diverse responses to selection, using natural populations of Drosophila melanogaster. Selection for ethanol tolerance in a tube measuring knockdown resistance was imposed on five West Coast populations. In 24 generations the selected lines increased their mean knockdown times, on average, by a factor of 2.7. An initially weak latitudinal cline was steepened by selection. The two southernmost populations showed the same increases in the selected character, but differed consistently in their correlated responses in characters related to ethanol tolerance. This result indicates that the populations responded to selection by different genetic changes. Selection decreased female body weight and increased resistance to acetone, suggesting components of the response unrelated to ethanol metabolism. The Adhs allele was favored by selection in all populations at the onset, but increased in frequency only in the selected lines of the southernmost population. There was a correlation between latitude and Adh frequency changes, suggesting that fitnesses of the Adh alleles were dependent on the genetic background. Genetic background also had a large effect on the loss of fitness due to selection. Genetic drift between replicate lines caused more variation in selection response than initial genetic differences between populations. This result demonstrates the importance of genetic drift in divergence among natural populations undergoing uniform selection, since the effective population sizes approached those of small natural populations. Drift caused greater divergence between selected replicates than control replicates. Implications of this result for the genetic model of selection response are discussed.     

Selection for resistance and susceptibility to hairless-black syndrome in the honeybee.

A two-way selection experiment for resistance and susceptibility to hairless-black syndrome, a probable viral disease in the honeybee, was carried out for four generations. From the parental generation of 15 colonies (reared from three basic stock colonies) tested for disease resistance, one-fifth were selected to start a resistant line and one-fifth to start a susceptible one. Thereafter these two groups were kept genetically separate and, from each tested generation, an average of about 22% of the best colonies were used as parents of the next generation.Bacteria-free inoculum, which was fed to challenge these bees, was prepared by macerating and centrifuging specific numbers of bees showing symptoms of hairless-black syndrome and collected from a number of colonies in our apiaries.Resistant and susceptible lines did not differ significantly in the first selected generation. In the second, third, and fourth generations, the two lines diverged increasingly, and in each generation, they differed statistically at the 1% level of probability.     

Mutational variance for pupa weight in Tribolium castaneum

Summary Directional selection for heavier pupa weight in Tribolium castaneum was practiced for 18 generations in two replicates of an inbred line, each separately maintained in small population cages for more than 90 generations. Mutational variance was estimated in two ways, based on Hill's (1982a) prediction equation for response to directional selection where an equilibrium state between effective population size and variation created by new mutation is assumed. Estimates of mutational variance based on response to selection in a selected population and from a sire-offspring regression analysis in an unselected control population were in strong agreement within each replicate population. Significant differences between the two replicates were observed. Estimates of the ratio of mutational variance to environmental variance ranged from 0.0002 to 0.0012, depending upon the assumptions made about effective population sizes maintained in the two replicate lines. Estimates of realized heritability from the 18 generations of selection were 0.23±0.02 and 0.12±0.02 in the two replicates. The results support the hypothesis that mutation may have played a significant role in supplying useful genetic variation for long-continuing response to selection for this trait in experiments reported earlier.     

The variance in inbreeding depression and the recovery of fitness in bottlenecked populations

Theoretical analyses of inbreeding suggest that following an increased degree of inbreeding there may be a temporary recovery of fitness, because of selection either within or among inbred lineages. This is possible because selection can act more efficiently to remove deleterious alleles given the greater homozygosity of such populations. If common, recovery of fitness following inbreeding may be important for understanding some evolutionary processes and for management strategies of remnant populations, yet empirical evidence for such recovery in animals is scant. Here we describe the effects of single-pair population bottlenecks on a measure of fitness in Drosophila melanogaster. We compared a large number of families from each of 52 inbred lines with many families from the outbred population from which the inbred lineages were derived. Measures were made at the third and the 20th generations after the bottleneck. In both generations there was, on average, substantial inbreeding depression together with a highly significant variance among the inbred lines in the amount of fitness reduction. The average fitness of inbred lines was correlated across generations. Our data provide evidence for the possibility of recovery of fitness at two levels, because (i) the average fitness reduction in the F20 generation was significantly less than in the F3 generation, which implies that selection within lines has occurred, and (ii) the large variance in inbreeding depression among inbred lines implies that selection among them is possible. The high variance in inbreeding depression among replicate lines implies that modes of evolution which require a low level of inbreeding depression can function at least in a fraction of inbred populations within a species and that results from studies with low levels of replication should be treated with caution.     

Selection for increased abdominal bristle number in Drosophila melanogaster with concurrent irradiation

Summary Replicate lines, each initially with one hundred pairs of parents selected at 50% intensity, were derived from the Canberra strain. In later generations population size was reduced and selection intensity increased. Three lines were selected without irradiation and five with 1000 r X-rays per generation for thirty generations. Selection was continued until generation 66. Long-term responses were similar in unirradiated and irradiated lines, and there was evidence that genes with large effects influenced response patterns in both groups of lines.This work was carried out while B.H. was on leave from the New South Wales Department of Agriculture, and held a Commonwealth Research Studentship. Robin Hall and Tricia Brown provided much appreciated technical assistance, and we are indebted to the Radio-Therapy Unit, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, for the use of their equipment.     

Predicting cumulated response to directional selection in finite panmictic populations

Summary Accurate prediction of the cumulated genetic gain requires predicting genetic variance over time under the joint effects of selection and limited population size. An algorithm is proposed to quantify at each generation the effects of these factors on average coefficient of inbreeding, genetic variance, and genetic mean, under a purely additive polygenic model, with no mutation, and under the assumption of absence of inbreeding depression on viability affecting selection differentials. This algorithm is relevant to populations where mating is at random and generations do not overlap. It was tested via Monte Carlo simulation on a population of 3 males and 25 females mass selected out of 50 candidates of each sex, over 30 generations. For two values of the initial heritability of the selected trait, 0.5 and 0.9 (to represent high accuracy in index selection), predicted values of the genetic variance are in agreement with observed results up to the 12th and 19th generations, respectively. Beyond these generations, the variance is overestimated, due to an underestimation of the effect of selection on the rate of inbreeding. Finally, the algorithm provides predictions of the cumulated responses close to the observed values in both selected populations. It is concluded that, as regards the hypotheses of the study, the proposed algorithm is satisfactory, and could be used to optimize selection methods with respect to the cumulated genetic gain in the mid- or long-term. Possible extensions of the algorithm to more realistic situations are discussed.     

Direct Response to Selection for Postweaning Gain in the Rat

The effectiveness of selection for 3–9-week gain was examined in a population of rats with a history of past selection for high 3–9-week gain. Lines were selected for high (U line) and low (D line) 3–9-week gain with two replicates of each line. Two randomly selected lines were also kept, one originating from the same base population as the two selected lines (R line) and the other originating from a population that had been randomly mated for the previous 27 generations (C line). Two replicates of each of these lines were kept. After seven generations of selection, a randomly selected line (relaxed line) was formed from each of the two upward- and each of the two downward-selected lines. Results have been presented for 13 generations of selection. The environmental trend for 3–9-week gain, as indicated by the randomly selected R and C lines, was consistently negative in all four lines. Realized heritabilities calculated by deviating the response to selection from the trend in the R or C lines resulted in non-significantly higher values in the D lines than the U lines. Six generations of relaxation of selection indicated no effect of natural selection in the U lines or the D lines. The relative magnitude of the drift, error and common environmental variances were estimated by the methods given by Hill (1971). The estimates of these parameters then led to calculation of the degree of bias in the sampling variances of the realized heritability estimates. As was predicted by Hill (1971), estimates of the variance of realized heritabilities obtained by using standard regression techniques were less than those obtained using Hill''s formulae. The results are discussed in relation to other similar studies with rats and mice.     

Genetic Analysis of a Strain of Mice Plateaued for Litter Size

A strain of mice (S1) was successfully selected for large litter size for 31 generations, increasing the mean by 4.2 young per litter. After generation 31, there was no further progress and it was concluded that a selection plateau had been reached. Realized heritability decreased during the course of the experiment from 0.16+/-0.06 for the first 15 generations to 0.00+/-0.03 for generations 30 through 45.--In order to explore the nature of the selection plateau, the following groups were derived from line S1 at generation 34 or 35: Upward selection with inbreeding (SF), random (relaxed) selection (SO), and downward selection (SR). Selections were carried out for 10 to 11 generations. The means of SO and SF were similar to those of S1, ruling out any major effect of natural selection or overdominance. SR decreased, the mean averaging 2.3 young per litter below that of S1 during the last three generations. The fact that SR responded to selection indicates that genetic variance was still present in the plateaued population. The SF sublines were crossed when the inbreeding was 95% and a new line, SX, was formed. SX was maintained for three generations and the difference of +0.7 young per litter above the contemporary generations of S1 was significant. The results from this experiment suggest that the selection plateau in line S1 was caused by reduction of additive genetic variance to a very low level. Some nonadditive genetic variance remained, however, and was attributed to recessive alleles at low frequency. In agreement with results reported by Falconer (1971), inbreeding with selection followed by crossing of the inbred sublines proved to be effective in overcoming a selection plateau in litter size.     

Selection on Wing Allometry in Drosophila Melanogaster

Five bivariate distributions of wing dimensions of Drosophila melanogaster were measured, in flies 1) subjected to four defined environmental regimes during development, 2) taken directly from nature in seven U.S. states, 3) selected in ten populations for change in wing form, and 4) sampled from 21 long inbred wild-type lines. Environmental stresses during development altered both wing size and the ratios of wing dimensions, but regardless of treatment all wing dimensions fell near a common allometric baseline in each bivariate distribution. The wings of wild-caught flies from seven widely separated localities, and of their laboratory-reared offspring, also fell along the same baselines. However, when flies were selected divergently for lateral offset from these developmental baselines, response to selection was rapid in every case. The mean divergence in offset between oppositely selected lines was 14.68 SD of the base population offset, after only 15 generations of selection at 20%. Measurements of 21 isofemale lines, founded from wild-caught flies and maintained in small populations for at least 22 years, showed large reductions in phenotypic variance of offsets within lines, but a large increase in the variance among lines. The variance of means of isofemale lines within collection localities was ten times the variance of means among localities of newly established wild lines. These observations show that much additive genetic variance exists for individual dimensions within the wing, such that bivariate developmental patterns can be changed in any direction by selection or by drift. The relative invariance of the allometric baselines of wing morphology in nature is most easily explained as the result of continuous natural selection around a local optimum of functional design.     

Estimation of additive genetic variance in commercial layer poultry and simulated populations under selection

Changes in genetic parameters over generations for a selected commercial population and simulated populations of poultry with different sizes were studied. The traits analyzed from the commercial population were rate of lay, age at first egg, egg weight, deformation, and body weight. In the simulated population, a trait measured on both sexes and a sex-limited trait, measured only on one sex, each with a heritability of 0.1 and 0.5, were analyzed. In the commercial and simulated populations, males and females were selected on the basis of family selection indexes and data was available only after many generations of selection. Parameters for each generation were estimated by fitting an animal model using derivative free maximum likelihood (DFREML) with different data structures. In structure 1, data included the given (base) generation for which the parameters were to be estimated, and all subsequent generations. In structure 2, only data on birds in the given generation and their progeny were included. In both structures, parents of base-generation birds were assumed unrelated and pedigrees traced back to these parents. With commercial data using structure 1, estimates of _a ² and h² decreased by 14 to 37% across five generations. With structure 2, no trends were observed, though estimates were lower than for structure 1. For simulated data, with a heritability of 0.1, both structures yielded apparently unbiased estimates of the observed additive genetic variances in the (selected) base generation, no matter how many generations of data were utilized, for both sex-limited and normal traits. However, with a heritability of 0.5 the estimated additive genetic variance for both types of trait decreased with a decrease in the number of generations used in the estimation. Estimates based on the first two generations underestimated, while estimates based on five generations of data overestimated, the observed genetic variances in the defined base. The combinations of conditions that lead to varying degrees of bias remain undefined.     

Transposable Element-Induced Response to Artificial Selection in DROSOPHILA MELANOGASTER

The P family of transposable elements in Drosophila melanogaster transpose with exceptionally high frequency when males from P strains carrying multiple copies of these elements are crossed to females from M strains that lack P elements, but with substantially lower frequency in the reciprocal cross. Transposition is associated with enhanced mutation rates, caused by insertion and deletion of P elements, and chromosome rearrangements. If P element mutagenesis creates additional variation for quantitative traits, accelerated response to artificial selection of progeny of M female female X P male male strain crosses is expected, compared with that from progeny of P female female X M male male strain crosses.--Divergent artificial selection for number of bristles on the last abdominal tergite was carried out for 16 generations among the progeny of P-strain males (Harwich) and M-strain females (Canton-S) and also of M-strain males (Canton-S) and P-strain females (Harwich). Each cross was replicated four times. Average realized heritability of abdominal bristle score for the crosses in which P transposition was expected was 0.244 +/- 0.017, 1.5 times greater than average heritability estimated from crosses in which transposition was expected to be rare (0.163 +/- 0.010). Phenotypic variance of abdominal bristle score increased by a factor of four in lines selected from M female female X P male male crosses when compared with those selected from P female female X M male male hybrids. Not all quantitative genetic variation induced by P elements is additive. A substantial fraction of nonadditive genetic variation is implicated by chromosomal analysis, which demonstrates deleterious fitness effects of the mutations when homozygous.--Several putative "quantitative" mutations were identified from chromosomes extracted from the selected lines; these will form the basis for further investigation at the molecular level of the genes controlling quantitative inheritance.     

Acclimation and Selection for Increased Resistance to Thermal Stress in Drosophila Buzzatii

Direct selection for increased resistance to a heat shock (41.9° for 90 min) was carried out using two replicate lines of Drosophila buzzatii that were derived from a large base population. Selected individuals were first acclimated to high temperature before selection, while control individuals were acclimated but not selected, and selection was performed every second generation. Resistance to heat shock with acclimation increased in selected lines. Without acclimation, a correlated smaller increase in heat-shock resistance was suggested. Survival of males was higher than that of females in all lines when tested with acclimation, but with direct exposure to high temperatures, survival of females was greater than that of males both in selection and control lines but not in the base population. From analysis of reciprocal cross progeny between lines, one selection line was found to possess a dominant autosomal factor that significantly increased resistance of males much more than resistance of females. Also suggestive was recessive traits on the X chromosome in both selection lines that increased thermotolerance. No cytoplasmic effects were found. After accounting for other effects, survival of F(1) flies was intermediate, suggesting that additive variation is present for one or more of the autosomes.     

Effect of mass selection on the within-family genetic variance in finite populations

Summary The adequacy of an expression for the withinfamily genetic variance under pure random drift in an additive infinitesimal model was tested via simulation in populations undergoing mass selection. Two hundred or one thousand unlinked loci with two alleles at initial frequencies of 1/2 were considered. The size of the population was 100 (50 males and 50 females). Full-sib matings were carried out for 15 generations with only one male and one female chosen as parents each generation, either randomly or on an individual phenotypic value. In the unselected population, results obtained from 200 replicates were in agreement with predictions. With mass selection, within-family genetic variance was overpredicted by theory from the 12th and 4th generations for the 1,000 and 200 loci cases, respectively. Taking into account the observed change in gene frequencies in the algorithm led to a much better agreement with observed values. Results for the distribution of gene frequencies and the withinlocus genetic covariance are presented. It is concluded that the expression for the within-family genetic variance derived for pure random drift holds well for mass selection within the limits of an additive infinitesimal model.     

Indirect selection for increased susceptibility to permethrin in diamondback moth (Lepidoptera: Plutellidae)

We have been exploring the behavioral response ot insect pests to heterogeneous distribution of toxins (low dose with refugia), and its genetic correlation with physiological tolerance to these toxins. A field-collected population of diamondback moth, Plutella xylostellu (L.) (Lepidoptera Plutellidae), from Celeryville, OH, was selected with permethrin to determine whether low heterogeneous doses could lead to increased susceptibility to permethrin by selecting indirectly on behavior. Two replicates of each of three selection regimes: uniform high concentration hypothesized to result in increased physiological tolerance, heterogeneous low concentration hypothesized to result in increased susceptibility through indirect selection on behavior, and a control with no exposure to permethrin, were maintained in 1-in3 cages in a greenhouse, for 33 generations. All life stages of the diamondback moth were exposed to the selection regimes, and new generations were started with a random selection of pupae from the previous generation. Lines selected with uniform high concentrations developed 76-fold levels of resistance to permethrin by the 17th generation, with little changes thereafter. For generations 1-20, lines selected with heterogeneous low concentrations remained slightly lower in LC50 but not significantly different from the unselected control lines. Based on confidence intervals from probit analyses, the LC50 of the lines selected with heterogeneous low concentration, however, were significantly lower than those of the control lines in generations 21-33. Our results demonstrate that selection on behavioral responses can result in greater susceptibility than no selection at all, despite exposure to the toxin and ample genetic variation and potential for increased physiological tolerance. The implications of our findings, which are based on selection scenarios that could take place in field situations, are that behavioral responses can prevent and even decrease the levels of resistance in insect populations, an important result with respect to resistance and resistance management.     

Efficiently Tracking Selection in a Multiparental Population: The Case of Earliness in Wheat

Multiparental populations are innovative tools for fine mapping large numbers of loci. Here we explored the application of a wheat Multiparent Advanced Generation Inter-Cross (MAGIC) population for QTL mapping. This population was created by 12 generations of free recombination among 60 founder lines, following modification of the mating system from strict selfing to strict outcrossing using the ms1b nuclear male sterility gene. Available parents and a subset of 380 SSD lines of the resulting MAGIC population were phenotyped for earliness and genotyped with the 9K i-Select SNP array and additional markers in candidate genes controlling heading date. We demonstrated that 12 generations of strict outcrossing rapidly and drastically reduced linkage disequilibrium to very low levels even at short map distances and also greatly reduced the population structure exhibited among the parents. We developed a Bayesian method, based on allelic frequency, to estimate the contribution of each parent in the evolved population. To detect loci under selection and estimate selective pressure, we also developed a new method comparing shifts in allelic frequency between the initial and the evolved populations due to both selection and genetic drift with expectations under drift only. This evolutionary approach allowed us to identify 26 genomic areas under selection. Using association tests between flowering time and polymorphisms, 6 of these genomic areas appeared to carry flowering time QTL, 1 of which corresponds to Ppd-D1, a major gene involved in the photoperiod sensitivity. Frequency shifts at 4 of 6 areas were consistent with earlier flowering of the evolved population relative to the initial population. The use of this new outcrossing wheat population, mixing numerous initial parental lines through multiple generations of panmixia, is discussed in terms of power to detect genes under selection and association mapping. Furthermore we provide new statistical methods for use in future analyses of multiparental populations.     

Joint effect of selection, linkage and partial inbreeding on additive genetic variance in an infinite population

Under the inifinitesimal model of gene effects, selection reduces the additive genetic variance by inducing negative linkage disequilibrium among selected genes. If the selected genes are linked, the decay of linkage disequilibrium is delayed, and the reduction of additive genetic variance is enhanced. Inbreeding in an infinite population also alters the additive genetic variance through the generation of positive association among genes within a locus. In the present study, the joint effect of selection, linkage and partial inbreeding (partial selfing or partial full-sib mating) on the additive genetic variance was modeled. The recurrence relations of the additive genetic variance between successive generations and the prediction equation of the asymptotic additive genetic variance were derived. Numerical computation showed that although partially inbred populations initially maintain larger genetic variances, the accumulated effect of selection overrides the effect of inbreeding. Stochastic simulation was carried out to check the precision of prediction, showing that the obtained equations give a satisfactory prediction during initial generations. However, the predicted values always overestimate the simulated values, especially in later generations. Based on these results, possible extensions and perspectives of the assumed model were discussed.     

Evolution of a small-muscle polymorphism in lines of house mice selected for high activity levels

To study the correlated evolution of locomotor behavior and exercise physiology, we conducted an artificial selection experiment. From the outbred Hsd:ICR strain of Mus domesticus, we began eight separate lines, each consisting of 10 breeding pairs. In four of the lines, we used within-family selection to increase voluntary wheel running. The remaining four lines were random-bred (within lines) to serve as controls. Various traits have been monitored to test for correlated responses. Here, we report on organ masses, with emphasis on the triceps surae muscle complex, an important extensor of the ankle. Mice from the selected lines exhibit reduced total body mass, increased relative (mass-corrected) kidney mass, and reduced relative triceps surae mass. In addition, a discrete muscle-mass polymorphism was observed: some individuals had triceps surae that were almost 50% lighter than normal for their body mass. This small-muscle phenotype was observed in only three of the eight lines: in one control line, it has fluctuated in frequency between zero and 10%, whereas in two of the selected lines it has increased in frequency to approximately 50% by generation 22. Data from a set of parents and offspring (generations 23 and 24) are consistent with inheritance as a single autosomal recessive allele. Evidence for the adaptive significance of the small-muscle allele was obtained by fitting multiple-generation data to hierarchical models that include effects of genetic drift and/or selection. The small-muscle allele is estimated to have been present at low frequency (approximately 7%) in the base population, and analysis indicates that strong selection favors the allele in the selected but not control lines. We hypothesize that the small muscles possess functional characteristics and/or that the underlying allele causes pleiotropic effects (e.g., reduced total body mass; increased relative heart, liver, and kidney mass) that facilitate high levels of wheel running. Nevertheless, at generation 22, wheel running of affected individuals did not differ significantly from those with normal-sized muscles, and the magnitude of response to selection has been similar in all four selected lines, indicating that multiple genetic "solutions" are possible in response to selection for high activity levels.