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1.
The possibility that environmental effects are associated with chromosome aberrations and various congenital pathologies has been discussed previously. Recent advances in the collection and computerization of data make studying these potential associations more feasible. The aim of this study was to investigate a possible link between the number of Down syndrome (DS) cases detected prenatally or at birth yearly in Israel over a 10-year period compared with the levels of solar and cosmic ray activity 1 year before the detection or birth of each affected child. Information about 1,108,449 births was collected for the years 1990–2000, excluding 1991, when data were unavailable. A total of 1,310 cases of DS were detected prenatally or at birth—138 in the non-Jewish community and 1,172 in the Jewish population. Solar activity indices—sunspot number and solar radio flux 2,800 MHz at 10.7 cm wavelength for 1989–1999—were compared with the number of DS cases detected. Pearson correlation coefficients (r) and their probabilities (P) were established for the percentage of DS cases in the whole population. There was a significant inverse correlation between the indices of solar activity and the number of cases of DS detected—r=–0.78, P=0.008 for sunspot number and r=–0.76, P=0.01 for solar flux. The possibility that cosmophysical factors inversely related to solar activity play a role in the pathogenesis of chromosome aberrations should be considered. We have confirmed a strong trend towards an association between the cosmic ray activity level and the incidence of DS.  相似文献   

2.
Earlywood ring-width chronologies derived primarily from Douglas-fir trees were used to reconstruct winter–spring (November–May) precipitation and fall–spring (September–June) streamflow volumes for the period 1765–1993 in the forested upper Nazas watershed in Durango, Mexico. The tree-ring data were obtained from mixed conifer stands within or adjacent to the upper Nazas watershed. Precipitation data were derived from one of the longest regional records. The streamflow data were obtained from a guage located in the upper Nazas watershed. The Principal Component 1 (PC1) of nine residual earlywood chronologies accounted for 73% of the variance in November–May precipitation 1967–1993, and 64% for the total period with available data 1941–1993. The mean of three residual earlywood chronologies from Douglas-fir explained 51% of the normalized streamflow at Sardinas from 1971–1992. The 20th century was characterized by severe droughts, especially between 1950 and 1963 that also affected other regions of Mexico and the southwestern United States. Additional droughts of similar or greater magnitude occurred in the 1790s, 1810s, 1860–1870s and 1890–1910s. Similar periods of low flow occur in the September–June streamflow reconstruction between 1765 and 1993. These results indicate that tree-ring chronologies from this region document a high percentage of the precipitation and streamflow variance. Spectral analysis detected significant high periodicities in both records at peaks of 4 and 7 years that could be related to the ENSO frequency bands (approximately 4.0 and 6.25 years). Analysis of the reconstructed records show strong influence of ENSO on precipitation and streamflow amounts on an interannual basis. These results can provide significant inputs to decisions regarding management of water resources that are used to irrigate land in the Comarca Lagunera: specifically they indicate that water budgeting should be managed over longer time periods to account for this ENSO-related variability rather than on the year-to-year basis that is presently used.  相似文献   

3.
Previous studies have used tree-ring chronologies from several species to develop reconstructions of precipitation, temperature, streamflow and glacier mass balance for sites in Banff National Park, Alberta. This study examines the variability in a >300-year summer streamflow reconstruction for the Bow River at Banff in conjunction with changes in the major contributors to streamflow (glacier melt, winter and summer pecipitation). Reconstructed winter mass balance for Peyto Glacier is used as a surrogate for winter precipitation and April–August precipitation is reconstructed for Banff. Streamflow variability correlates most highly with winter precipitation and periods of high flow follow above average snowfall in the previous winter (high winter balance) and in some cases also with above normal summer precipitation. A clear response to changes in summer mass balance at Peyto Glacier (i.e. summer glacier melting) cannot be identified in this summer discharge record. Problems developing physically realistic flow reconstructions for snowmelt dominated rivers from summer sensitive tree-ring chronologies are also discussed.  相似文献   

4.
    
To study climate variability/change, the tree-ring width index chronologies of two species (Cedrus deodara and Pinus roxburghii) of the western Himalaya was determined. The first principal component (PC1) prepared using the three-site tree-ring width chronologies of the western Himalaya was found to be negatively correlated with the heat index and positively with the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) and moisture index from February to May as representative of the regional climate. The correlation coefficient of PC1 with the heat index, PDSI, and moisture index for the period 1901–1988 was estimated to be −0.60, 0.37, and 0.59, respectively, which were highly significant at 0.1% level. The result shows that increasing the heat index may enhance transpiration and evaporation over the western Himalaya, which may cause insufficient moisture at the root zone of the trees. Based on the tree-ring data, the heat index of spring season (February–May) was reconstructed back to AD 1839. The reconstructed heat index showed the longest warm periods during 1952–1963 and 1966–1976 in the 20th century.  相似文献   

5.
    
In spite of enormous diversity in tree species, dendrochronological records in the tropical Andes are very scarce. Therefore, it is necessary to increase the search for new tree species with high dendrochronological characteristics in the tropical Andes, including the humid Puna of Peru. We present the first tree-ring chronology from Polylepis rodolfo-vasquezii, a recently described tree species in the Central Andes of Peru between 4000 and 4400 m elevation. Fifty trees were sampled in the district of Comas, Peru. After establishing the anatomical characteristics that delimit the annual growth rings, we developed a ring-width chronology by applying conventional dendrochronological techniques. The chronology covers the period 1869–2015 (157 years) and is well replicated from 1920 to present (> 20 samples). The statistics used to evaluate the quality of the chronology indicate that the P. rodolfo-vasquezii has similar values of MS, RBAR and EPS to those shown by other Polylepis spp chronologies. To determine the main climatic factors controlling the growth of P. rodolfo-vasquezii, we compared our chronology with local and regional temperature and precipitation records. Growth season temperature (November to May) seems to be the main climatic factor modulating inter-annual variations in the growth of this species. The sensitivity to inter-annual temperature variations highlights the potential of P. rodolfo-vasquezii to provide climatically sensitive dendrochronological records in the Central Andes. To our knowledge, this is the first tree-ring record in South America displaying significant relationships with temperature over the tropical Atlantic Ocean.  相似文献   

6.
    
Tree rings are a natural archive containing valuable information about environmental changes. Among the most sensitive ecosystems to such changes are high-mountain forests. Tree-ring series from such locations are exceptionally valuable both for climate reconstructions and for studying the effects of climate changes on forest ecosystems.The objective of our study is to present new long tree-ring width chronologies of Pinus peuce Griseb. from several locations at Pirin Mountains in southwestern Bulgaria, to explore their correlation with monthly temperatures and precipitation in the research area and to assess their potential for climate reconstruction.We built three long-term index chronologies for the radial increment of P. peuce from treeline locations in the study region. The longest chronology spans 675 years. We studied the impact of monthly air temperature and precipitation on its growth for the past 86 years using multiple regression analysis. Our analysis shows that P. peuce growth is positively influenced by high temperatures at the end of the previous growing season, especially at the two sites in Banderitsa valley until the middle of the 1970s, and negatively affected by cold winters. In some of the sample plots its growth was also positively correlated with high summer temperatures. However, even at these high altitudes in some of the locations on steep slopes P. peuce showed signs of negative impact of drought during the hottest summer months (especially in August).Our chronologies contribute to the paleoclimatic record for southwestern Bulgaria, which could provide baseline information about past climate variability and improve our understanding of current and future environmental changes.  相似文献   

7.
    
Riparian forests in natural desert oases are extremely vulnerable to water shortages; of late these shortages have been associated with climate change and with increased human-led water allocation. This study covers a hundred-year history (1876–2017) of riparian forest growth at the Ejina Oasis, which is located in the lower reaches of the Heihe River basin of northwestern China. We collected tree cores from Populus euphratica, which is the major tree species found in the Ejina riparian forests. These samples allowed us to chart variations in riparian forest growth and to examine correlations between tree growth and local precipitation, temperature, drought indices, groundwater depth, and runoff volume from the middle reaches of the river. We found that groundwater depth (groundwater being mainly recharged by runoff) is the major factor limiting tree-stem radial growth. We compared runoff reconstruction series from upper reaches and P. euphratica radial growth in the lower reaches. We found a period of greatly decreased growth (1942–1951); which seems to have been due to human water diversion. We note that mountain runoff increased after 2000, but that riparian forest growth didn’t increase in tandem; the water that would otherwise have supported the forests had been diverted. Our study provides a warning for future water resource planning and suggests the desirability of policies that will balance the needs of natural ecosystems (riparian forests) with the requirements of artificial ecosystems (croplands).  相似文献   

8.
Panspermia, an ancient idea, posits that microbial life is ubiquitous in the Universe. After several decades of almost irrational rejection, panspermia is at last coming to be regarded as a serious contender for the beginnings of life on our planet. Astronomical data is shown to be consistent with the widespread distribution of complex organic molecules and dust particles that may have a biological provenance. A minuscule (10(-21)) survival rate of freeze-dried bacteria in space is all that is needed to ensure the continual re-cycling of cosmic microbial life in the galaxy. Evidence that terrestrial life may have come from elsewhere in the solar system has accumulated over the past decade. Mars is seen by some as a possible source of terrestrial life, but some hundreds of billions of comets that enveloped the entire solar system, are a far more likely primordial reservoir of life. Comets would then have seeded Earth, Mars, and indeed all other habitable planetary bodies in the inner regions of the solar system. The implications of this point of view, which was developed in conjunction with the late Sir Fred Hoyle since the 1970s, are now becoming amenable to direct empirical test by studies of pristine organic material in the stratosphere. The ancient theory of panspermia may be on the verge of vindication, in which case the entire universe would be a grand crucible of cryomicrobiology.  相似文献   

9.
The anatomical traits of xylem are the characteristics of tree rings at the cellular and subcellular scales, and are often reflection of environmental signals. Studying the relationships between anatomical traits of xylem and environmental change not only provide physiological explanations to the statistics in dendroclimatology, but can also provide a new vision for studying the adaptation process and response strategies of tree growth to climate change. In this paper, with the relationships between the anatomical characteristics of xylem in tree-rings (cell chronology) and climate change as a main thread, we first outline the basic principles and mechanisms of wood anatomical features to record environmental signals, and expounded the basic methods involved in the process of xylem anatomy. Secondly, we discuss the relationship between the anatomical features of xylem and climate factors. We then propose the following as possible directions of future research based on the existing knowledge gap in the topical area: (1) to explore the temporal and spatial variations in the anatomical characteristics of xylem in tree-rings along radial and tangential directions and the relationships with environmental changes; (2) to explore the threshold of tree growth response to environmental plasticity and adaptation processes; (3) to assess the synergistic and antagonistic effects as well as the formation mechanisms of climate response among different tree-ring proxies, and to determine the specific roles and contributions of major climatic factors during different periods of tree-ring formation.  相似文献   

10.
Variations in mountain snowpack in the western Canadian Cordillera have widespread and important impacts on ecosystems, environmental processes and socio-economic activities (e.g. water availability downstream). Historical records of snowpack generally span only the latter half of the 20th century offering a limited perspective on the causes and uniqueness of recently observed changes across the region. This paper explores the potential utility of a network of low elevation Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) and ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) tree ring-width chronologies to reconstruct past snowpack variations. Correlation coefficients between the tree-ring chronologies and a set of snow water equivalent (SWE) records are calculated and mapped. Separate analyses were carried out for total ring- width (TRW) and partial-ring measurements (earlywood and latewood; EW and LW). A set of Adjusted LW chronologies was also developed; in these, the relationship between LW and the preceding EW width has been removed. The ring-width chronologies exhibit moderately strong relationships with SWE records from the western Canadian Cordillera and these relationships vary in sign across the region. Distinctive regional groups are identified where chronologies exhibit same-sign correlations with SWE, in possible accordance with the elevation and characteristics of the tree-ring chronology sample sites. The EW chronologies correlate more strongly and consistently with SWE records in regions where the growth relationship with SWE is negative. The LW chronologies, and particularly the Adjusted LW chronologies, exhibit a greater number of positive correlations with the set of SWE records. Collectively these results offer valuable insights for developing a targeted sampling and/or reconstruction strategy that can exploit these different relationships with SWE to generate more robust estimates of pre-instrumental snowpack for the region.  相似文献   

11.
Summary The study of interstellar molecules broadly includes two areas of interest. One area uses the unique ability of molecules to act as probes of the physical conditions in the cold, dense, visually opaque component of the interstellar medium. The physical properties of this and other components of the interstellar medium are summarized. The other area deals with the chemistry of interstellar molecules, recent aspects of which are emphasized in this review. Gas-phase chemistry, shock chemistry, and grain surface chemistry are discussed in the context of recent observations. No present observations suggest that surface reactions are relevant, but neither can they be ruled out. Ion-molecule reactions are clearly operative, at least for the simpler species. Chemical isotope fractionation is reviewed, andd it is concluded that the complexities of the chemistry allow no cosmological conclusions to be drawn from observations of deuterium in interstellar molecules, while the presence of13C in interstellar molecules permits an estimate of the12C/13C ratio which is consistent with the current concepts of the nucleosynthesis history of the Galaxy. Possible connections between interstellar molecules and the early molecular history of the solar system are discussed.This is the first of a series of papers which will appear in the Synthesis section of the Journal of Molecular Evolution pertaining to the topic Organic Molecules in the Solar System and Beyond.Operated by Associated Universitites, Inc., under contract with the National Science Foundation  相似文献   

12.
    
In this study we used 14 spruce tree-ring width local chronologies from sites that are located in different landscape conditions. The climatic response function for the entire period (116 years) shows that all local chronologies without exception have a positive relationship with June temperature (from 0.196 to 0.408) despite quite different local environmental conditions. This finding allowed us to combine all tree-ring width local chronologies into a composite spruce chronology covering the period of 1676–2016 CE with EPS exceeding the 0.85 threshold. The composite chronology was scaled against June air temperatures (CRU TS 4.01) in order to reconstruct it. Monthly air temperature records from the Arkhangelsk weather station were used as an additional source to validate tree-ring based June temperature reconstruction. It is quite remarkable that our reconstruction matches the Archangelsk records not only in the 20th-early 21st centuries but also in the 19th century, confirming the reliability of the reconstruction over more than two centuries. We also used daily records from the nearest Kem’-Port station to identify a more precise target-window. Current research shows that the spruce response to daily temperature is not limited by June, but also extends up to almost half of July. The warmest reconstructed year occurred in 1856 as confirmed by the data published in the local chronicle. The cooling recorded in the historical evidences (describing extremely severe ice conditions in the Arctic seas during the Great Northern Expedition (1733–1743)) was not corroborated by our reconstruction. In the study, we discuss the reasons of the discrepancies found between Solovki June temperature reconstructions and other data such as different seasonality of the compared records, real local climate warming in Solovki, the applied standardization technique, and low of chronologies’ replication. The most reliable part of the reconstruction part lasting from the early 19th to the early 21st centuries is also discussed in terms of its properties like wavelength analyses, and the assessment of influence of volcanic eruptions.  相似文献   

13.
    
The evergreen coniferous creeping shrub, Sabina vulgaris, is widely distributed in China, from high and cold mountain sites to low-elevation arid desert areas. This paper performed dendroclimatological analysis of the samples of S. vulgaris from three sampling sites (2700–2900 m a.s.l.) at sites in the northern border of the middle Qilian Mountains, Northwest China. We found that the radial growth of S. vulgaris was mainly limited by rainfall during the growing season, especially in May and June, but was also limited by low temperatures in the late growing season. It presents the regional differention of the climate response of the shrub radial growth from the other distributed areas, such as the sandland and mountains. We constructed a 274-year drought record by calibrating growth-ring data and relating this data to the regional monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI56), which represents regional moisture conditions. The PDSI56 reconstruction accounted for 35.5 % of the variation of the actual May to June PDSI56 during the period for which meteorological data was available (1950–2014). The most severe drought occurred during the 1920s, followed by the 1950s, 1740s, and the period from the 1870s to the 1880s; the wettest years were during the 1980s, followed by the 2010s, 1770s, and 1750. The changes between drought, normal, and wet periods were consistent with the reconstructed results from previous conifer ring series for Sabina przewalskii and Picea crassifolia in the study area. Our results demonstrate the value of S. vulgaris in dendrochronology.  相似文献   

14.
树木年轮 (简称树轮 ) 气候学是监测与重建全球气候变化的重要方法之一。针叶树树轮的生长能反馈出气温的变化, 在高纬度地带尤为明显。该文分析了生长在我国最北部的兴安落叶松 (Larixgmelinii) 与樟子松 (Pinussylvestrisvar.mongolica) 的树轮密度和宽度的特性。落叶松最大密度、晚材平均密度、早晚材宽度和轮宽都远高于樟子松。樟子松的所有密度变量的样本方差都明显高于兴安落叶松, 宽度变量的样本方差却明显低于兴安落叶松。两树种密度变量的差值年表显著相关, 宽度变量之间没有显著相关关系。落叶松与樟子松的晚材密度的形成受 7、8月的最高温控制。另外, 樟子松的晚材还与生长季节的长短相关。落叶松的年轮宽度对生长季节开始前的温度敏感, 而樟子松的轮宽对气候变量没有很好的响应。结果表明, 落叶松与樟子松的树轮最大密度都与生长季后期的温度显著相关, 两树种的树轮信息对气候变化的重建有很大的潜力。  相似文献   

15.
    
The “Divergence Problem” in northern forests has been confirmed in a large number of empirical studies, especially in North America and Europe, climate warming having been identified as a cause for reduced sensitivity of recent tree-growth and increased tree mortality. However, according to other studies, tree growth patterns are keeping pace with climate warming. Covariation between rising temperatures and tree growth varies regionally. Therefore, extensive evidence is still needed across more geographic areas around the world. In the present study, we examined the sensitivity of Manchurian ash forest growth, which is one of the dominant species in the mixed coniferous and broad-leaved forests in the area around Changbai Mountain in Northeastern China. Five Manchurian ash tree-ring width chronologies were constructed from sites ranging along the elevational gradients of 750 m, 800 m, 900 m, 1000 m and 1100 m. We analyzed climate-growth relationships using Pearson correlation coefficients between ring-width indices and climate variables in two separate periods (before 1984 and after 1984), because instrumental temperature data have increased sharply after 1984. Along all of the elevational gradients, the sampled Manchurian ash forests show a higher growth rate and more sensitivity to climatic factors due to climate warming since the beginning of the 1984s. Comparatively, the forest growth at low elevation sites has increased faster than that at high elevation sites. If climate warming continues in northeastern China, further continuous and substantial increase in tree growth would substantially raise forest productivity in mixed coniferous and broad-leaved forests.  相似文献   

16.
    
The black locust (Robinia pseudoacacia Linn.) is the dominant tree species in the “grain for green” project on the Loess Plateau (LP) of China, and brings many ecological benefits to this planted region. However, there are concerns regarding its suitability as a plantation forest species in different regions of the LP. We used a dendroclimatological approach to investigate the radial growth response of black locust to varying climate in two sites on the LP with differing precipitation gradients. We took tree-ring samples from black locust in Yongshou County (in the semi-humid southern LP) and Shenmu County (in the semi-arid northern LP), and developed tree-ring width (TRW) chronologies for each. We performed moving correlation analyses between TRW chronologies and aggregated thermal (maximum temperature (TMX), minimum temperature (TMN), mean temperature (TMP)) and hydroclimatic factors (precipitation, self-calibrated Drought Severity Index (scPDSI), and humidity). The results demonstrated the increased influence of thermal factors during autumn, and the generally decreased influence of hydroclimatic factors on black locust radial growth in Yongshou, compared with the decreasing influence of thermal factors (during all seasons) and increasing influence of hydroclimatic factors (precipitation during summer, scPDSI and humidity during autumn) on black locust radial growth in Shenmu. The results indicated that black locust radial growth might benefit from the current climatic conditions in the southern LP. However, black locust radial growth stressed by water availability in the northern LP, which may reduce its vitality and productivity as climate warms in the future. These results have implications for regional forestry planning and ecological restoration strategies on the LP.  相似文献   

17.
    
Ongoing climate change has induced modification in the frequency and intensity of extreme climatic events, with consequent impact on tree and forest growth resilience. Araucaria araucana is an endangered Patagonian conifer, which provides several ecosystem services to local human societies and plays fundamental ecological roles in natural communities. These woodlands have historically suffered different types of anthropogenic disturbance, such as fire, logging and grazing, nevertheless the species resilience to extreme drought events remains still poorly understood. To fill this gap of knowledge, we applied dendrochronological methods to several A. araucana stands distributed along a steep bioclimatic gradient in order to reconstruct resilience capacity, in term of stem growth resistance and recovery, to three successive extreme spring-early summer droughts which occurred during the 20th century. Results showed an increase in the species recovery along the considered dry spells, whereas no clear trend emerged for resistance, suggesting no cumulative effect of drought upon resilience. Both resistance and recovery presented different values depending on bioclimatic settings, being xeric stands more sensitive to extreme episodes with respect to mesic woodlands, particularly during the more recent drought event when trees growing in drier environments were not able to reach pre-drought stem growth rates. Tree-level characteristics, such as age and growth trends prior to drought, modulated the species resilience, suggesting that future dry spells would possibly induce shifts in population dynamics, and furthermore be detrimental for fast-growing trees. Our analysis highlighted the response of a key Patagonian tree species to extreme drought events, providing bioclimatic-specific useful information for conservation plans of this natural resource.  相似文献   

18.
    
Rising temperature and altered precipitation regimes will lead to severe droughts and concomitant extreme events in the future. Forest ecosystems have shown to be especially prone to climate change. In assessing climate change impacts, many studies focus on high altitude or ecological edge populations where a climate signal is supposedly most pronounced. While these studies represent only a fraction of the forest ecosystems throughout Europe, findings on climate sensitivity of lowland core populations remain comparatively underrepresented.By using tree-ring widths of a large region-wide network of European beech and Scots pine populations along a precipitation gradient in northeastern Germany, we identify main climatic drivers and spatio-temporal patterns in climate sensitivity. Further, we analyze the resistance of tree growth towards drought. Detailed data on soil characteristics was used to interpret climate-growth relationships.Beech was found to be most sensitive to summer drought during early summer at dry sites, whereas pine displayed highest sensitivity for winter temperature at wet sites. The resistance to extreme drought was lower for beech. By splitting the observation period (1964–2017) into an early and late period, we found non-stationary climate-growth relationships for both study species with beech showing an increase in drought sensitivity and pine in winter temperature sensitivity.Overall, beech populations seem to be especially endangered by prospective climate changes, whereas climate-growth relationships of pine seem more ambiguous with a possible trade-off between enhanced photosynthetic activity caused by early photosynthesis in late winter and reduced activity due to summer drought.  相似文献   

19.
Variations in tree-ring structure from pith to bark of mature Norway spruce (Picea abies Karst. (L)) grown under contrasting climate conditions (warm-dry vs. cool-humid) in south-western Germany were investigated. Sample trees were from even-aged stands where no intensive silvicultural treatments had taken place. The cell number (CN), diameter (CD), lumen diameter (CL) and wall thickness (CW) were measured from stem cross-sections taken at breast height. A raw data chronology of each cell parameter was established for the whole annual ring (AR), earlywood (EW), latewood (LW), and transition wood (TW). The long-term trends of the cell parameters were generally non-linear, parameter-specific in AR and EW and similar over sites. Those in LW were site-specific and similar over cell parameters. The variation of the same parameter, expressed by the coefficient of variance (CV), tended to increase from EW towards LW and was clearly higher for CN than for other cell parameters of all tree-ring zones. Trees from the warm-dry site had more LW cells and substantially thicker CW, whereas those from the cool-humid site had larger EW cells. These observed differences are likely due to the hydraulic adaptation mechanisms of trees to different site conditions.  相似文献   

20.
    
In this study, we present the boundaries of five dendrochronologically homogeneous regions of pedunculate oak (Quercus robur L.) and the master chronologies for them for the period 1703–2018 based on 27 tree-ring chronologies from different locations around Belarus. The average length of the master chronologies ranges from 70 to 310 years. Our research shows that the radial increment of a pedunculate oak in Belarus is primarily limited by the previous year’s August-September temperature, by the current year’s May temperature and by June precipitation. Oak growth in northern Belarus is mostly limited by air temperature, whereas precipitation plays more significant role in central and southern parts of the country. The most unfavorable years for oak growth in Belarus were 1940 and 1952, both of which were years when a very frosty winter was followed by a droughty summer. The results provide an important achievement in Belarusian dendrochronology, since they represent a significant breakthrough for Eastern Europe, where there is a considerable lack of dendroclimatic researches of broadleaved species.  相似文献   

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