桑瘿蚊幼虫的空间分布参数特征及其应用

利用桑瘿蚊的空间分布参数m^#．k．α.β.b值．确定桑瘿蚊幼虫属聚集分布,其原因主要是由于本身的聚集习性引起的,同时根据Iwao模型进行了资料代换。采用Iwao法．Taylor幂法则及Southwood。公共值Kc的理论抽样模式得出在不同密度(x)和不同精度(D)要求下的理论抽样数。应用Kuno模型探讨了序贯抽样方法。     

菱角萤叶甲种群抽样技术研究

在研究菱角萤叶甲各虫态空间分布型的基础上,利用负二项公共Kc值;Iwao回归式中的α,β;Teylor幂法则中的a,b以及Morisita的I_δ求得理论抽样模型,从而导出在不同置信度t,不同的平均虫口密度(?)和不同允许误差D下的理论抽样数．同时利用Kuno(1969),Iwao(1975)和Willson(1983)提出的序贯抽样法,得到菱角萤叶甲各虫态的序贯抽样模型,并对这些模型进行比较．最后,结合Kuno和Iwao模型获得了菱角萤叶甲各虫态的Kuno-Iwao复合序贯抽样法,从而大大减少了在某种情况下的抽样数．     

三叶斑潜蝇幼虫种群空间格局及抽样技术研究

三叶斑潜蝇Liriomyza trifolii是我国重要的园艺及蔬菜害虫,研究三叶斑潜蝇种群的空间格局和抽样技术,可为该虫的危害调查与防治提供理论依据。应用Iwao m*-m回归分析法、Taylor的幂法则及6个聚集指标,对三叶斑潜蝇幼虫在番茄和豇豆上的空间分布型和抽样技术进行了研究,并做了影响因素分析。结果表明:三叶斑潜蝇幼虫在番茄和豇豆上均呈聚集分布,分布的基本成分是以个体群形式存在,通过分布型参数,采用Kc法、Iwao法及Taylor幂法计算出了在不同精度下三叶斑潜蝇田间的理论抽样数。     

花生蚜种群分布型及抽样技术的研究

采用两级随机抽样法 (two stagerandomsampling) ,通过 2年的系统调查 ,取得 1 9个样本资料 ,运用 3种聚集度指标、Taylor的幂法则以及M -m的回归关系综合分析 ,花生蚜的混合种群为核心分布型 ,其中 ,有翅蚜呈随机分布、无翅蚜呈核心分布。在此基础上提出了最佳理论抽样数和序贯抽样模型。     

柠条重要害虫四线奇尺蛾天津亚种幼虫的空间分布研究

四线奇尺蛾天津亚种是近几年新发现的危害柠条的重要害虫,研究四线奇尺蛾种群的空间格局和抽样技术,可为该害虫的危害调查与防治提供理论依据。本文应用6个聚集指标和Taylor幂法则及Iwao的m~*-m回归分析法,对四线奇尺蛾天津亚种幼虫的空间分布型和抽样技术进行了研究,并做了影响因素分析。结果表明:四线奇尺蛾天津亚种幼虫在6个样地均呈聚集分布,分布的基本成分是个体群,通过分布型参数,采用Iwao法计算出了在不同精度下幼虫抽样数公式和序贯抽样模型,该模型可为四线奇尺蛾天津亚种的预测预报及防治提供理论依据。     

杨树上云斑天牛种群的空间格局及抽样技术

云斑天牛Batocera horsfieldi是我国南方杨树的重要蛀干害虫, 研究云斑天牛种群的空间格局和抽样技术, 可为该虫的危害调查与防治提供理论依据。应用Taylor的幂法则、Iwao m*-m回归分析法及6个聚集指标, 对云斑天牛种群的卵、幼虫、蛹或成虫的空间分布型和抽样技术进行了研究, 并做了影响因素分析。结果表明: 云斑天牛的卵、幼虫、蛹或成虫在杨树上均呈聚集分布, 分布的基本成分是个体群, 其聚集性随密度的增加而增大。运用Iwao m*-m回归中的两个参数α和β值, 计算出了在不同精度下以刻槽、排粪孔和羽化孔为防治指标时的理论抽样数据表及序贯抽样数据表,生产中可查阅使用。     

麦长管蚜空间分布型及抽样技术的研究

本文运用4年调查资料,通过丛生指标、聚块性指标的测定,阐明了麦长管蚜空间分布为聚集分布。并进一步用Taylor的幂法则,-M回归分析法,-M模型的改进型测定分布格局的内在结构。得出当t=1、D=0.2时的理论抽样数为:n=130.9325/m+7.075。如果防治指标为10头/株,得出复合序贯抽样的累积虫量界限为:T_0(N)=10N±8.9818 N~(1/N),T(N)=exp(6.7024—0.3506lnN)。它比单纯的序贯抽样提高了工作效率。     

稻水象甲卵的空间分布型及抽样技术研究

本文利用Taylor幂法则和Iwao回归法对稻水象甲LissorhoptrusoryzophilusKuschel卵的空间分布型进行了测定 ,结果表明稻水象甲卵在田间呈聚集分布 ,且符合负二项分布 ,k值为 0 4 796。其种群聚集主要是由环境因子引起的。应用Iwao的抽样模型建立了稻水象甲卵的田间理论抽样数公式 :N =1D2 1 784 6M + 0 2 4 2 5 。并根据Gerrard的零频率模型建立了估计该种群平均密度的零频率模型 :X =1 5 787( -lnP0 ) 1 0 62 5。     

柳厚壁叶蜂幼虫空间格局及抽样技术

应用Taylor的幂法则、Iwao m^*-m回归分析法及6个聚集指标,对柳厚壁叶蜂幼虫空间分布型进行了研究,并进行了影响因素分析.结果表明,该幼虫在柳树的枝条和叶片两个空间阶元都属于聚集分布,分布的基本成分是个体群,其聚集性随密度的增大而增加.在枝条上,聚集的原因是由柳厚壁叶蜂成虫集中产卵的习性与枝条上叶片空间位点共同影响所致;在叶片上,当m＜2.37时,其聚集原因与春季柳树新叶空间位置有关,当m＞2.37时,虫瘿聚集除与春季新叶空间位置有关外,还与柳厚壁叶蜂成虫羽化和在叶片上集中产卵的习性有关.运用Iwao m^*-m回归中的两个参数α和β值,确定了在不同精度下的理论抽样数及序贯抽样数.     

稻茎毛眼水蝇幼虫田间分布型及抽样技术

根据14丘稻田稻茎毛眼水蝇幼虫调查资料．对其幼虫分布型进行了分析。结果表明;用I、CAm／m、Iσ四种聚集指标法测定,64．3％的田块呈随机分布．28．4%为均匀分布．7．3%为聚集分布。用Iwao平均拥挤度和Taylor幂法则测定．其田间分布型符合随机分布。用频次拟合法测验,50%的田块同时符合渡松、奈曼和负二项分布三种分布型;35．7%的田块同时符合2种分布型。根据该虫田间分布型的特点．制定了相应的序贯抽样技术。     

Spatial pattern and sequential sampling of squash bug (Heteroptera: Coreidae) adults in watermelon

Spatial distribution patterns of adult squash bugs were determined in watermelon, Citrullus lanatus (Thunberg) Matsumura and Nakai, during 2001 and 2002. Results of analysis using Taylor's power law regression model indicated that squash bugs were aggregated in watermelon. Taylor's power law provided a good fit with r2 = 0.94. A fixed precision sequential sampling plan was developed for estimating adult squash bug density at fixed precision levels in watermelon. The plan was tested using a resampling simulation method on nine and 13 independent data sets ranging in density from 0.15 to 2.52 adult squash bugs per plant. Average estimated means obtained in 100 repeated simulation runs were within the 95% CI of the true means for all the data. Average estimated levels of precision were similar to the desired level of precision, particularly when the sampling plan was tested on data having an average mean density of 1.19 adult squash bugs per plant. Also, a sequential sampling for classifying adult squash bug density as below or above economic threshold was developed to assist in the decision-making process. The classification sampling plan is advantageous in that it requires smaller sample sizes to estimate the population status when the population density differs greatly from the action threshold. However, the plan may require excessively large sample sizes when the density is close to the threshold. Therefore, an integrated sequential sampling plan was developed using a combination of a fixed precision and classification sequential sampling plans. The integration of sampling plans can help reduce sampling requirements.     

Economic injury level and sequential sampling plan for Bemisia tabaci in outdoor tomato

Abstract:  This work aimed to determine the economic injury levels and to establish sequential sampling plans for nymphs and adults of the whitefly Bemisia tabaci Genn. (Sternorrhyncha: Aleyrodidae) in tomato fields. Densities of nymphs and adults, as well as crop yield were evaluated in 13 commercial tomato fields to determine the economic injury levels. The whitefly nymphs were sampled by direct counting in a leaf from the lower part of the canopy and the adults were sampled by beating an apical leaf against a white plastic tray. The sequential sampling plan was based on data collected in eight commercial tomato fields. The validation of the sequential sampling plan was carried out based on the curves of operational characteristics and average sample numbers. The decisions reached with the conventional and the sequential sampling plans in 21 commercial fields were compared for the intended validation of the sequential plan. The economic injury levels were four nymphs per leaf and one adult per tray. The decisions taken based on the sequential sampling plan were similar to those obtained through the conventional sampling plan. Most of the decisions taken with the sequential sampling plan were obtained through the minimum number of seven samples per field for nymphs and 11 samples per field for adults, with reductions of 84.44% and 54.17% in the number of samples required to reach a decision with the sequential sampling plan compared with the conventional sampling plan.     

Sequential sampling plans for western flower thrips (Thysanoptera: Thripidae) on greenhouse cucumbers

The development of cost-effective and reliable sampling programs for the management of western flower thrips, Frankliniella occidentalis (Pergande), on greenhouse cucumbers is important for getting growers to adopt economic injury levels and economic thresholds. The objectives of this study were to develop two sequential sampling plans. A fixed-precision sequential sampling plan was designed for estimating F. occidentalis adult density at a fixed-precision level on cucumber flowers. Also, a sequential sampling plan for classifying thrips population levels as below or above economic thresholds was developed to assist in decision making for the timing of pesticide applications. Both sequential sampling plans were validated using a resampling simulation technique on nine independent data sets ranging in density from 1.25 to 12.95 adults per flower. With the fixed-precision sampling plan, average means obtained in 100 repeated simulation runs were within the 95% CI of the estimated mean for all data sets. Appropriate levels of precision for the different population densities were recommended based on the simulation results. With sequential sampling for classifying the population levels of thrips in terms of an economic threshold, it has the advantage of requiring smaller sample sizes to determine the population status when the population densities differ greatly from the critical density (i.e., economic threshold). However, this plan needs a great number of samples when population density is close to the critical density. In this case, use of a combination of both sampling plans is recommended.     

Estimation of the density of nymphs of the bush tick, Haemaphysalis longicornis (Acari: Ixodidae), by the catch effort method

The density of nymphs of the bush tick, Haemaphysalis longicornis, was investigated by the catch effort method with flagging. The spatial distribution of H. longicornis nymphs fit the model of contagiously distributed colonies by Iwao's m*-m analysis (Iwao 1968). A sequential sampling method was used to predict the theoretical point at which to stop sampling. Our analysis showed that five quadrats (4 m x 4 m) were sufficient to estimate the density of H. longicornis nymphs with a mean density of 5.39 per quadrat. We estimated the tick density by two methods with respect to the sampling interval. The estimated density of ticks based on ticks collected during short sampling intervals (within a half hour) was 511.34 in the 18 quadrats with the extrapolation of the linear regression equation. On the other hand, for the long interval sampling, the total number of ticks estimated by the linear regression equation was 635.47 in six quadrats in which ticks had been collected by long interval sampling. There was a significant difference between the slopes of the two linear regression equations, suggesting that the rate of reduction in the number of H. longicornis nymphs in the study area by the catch effort method differed between the two sampling methods.     

Economic injury levels and sequential sampling plans for Mexican bean beetle (Coleoptera: Coccinellidae) on dry beans

Field studies were conducted during the growing seasons of 1995 and 1996, in Scotts-bluff, Nebraska, to determine yield-loss relationships for Mexican bean beetle (Epilachna varivestis Mulsant) on dry bean (Phaseolus vulgaris L.). Results of those experiments were combined with data from other studies previously conducted to develop economic injury levels (EILs), economic thresholds (ETs), and a sequential sampling program for Mexican bean beetle. Yield loss was regressed against larvae/row-m, and the slope of the linear regression (113 kg/ha per larvae/row-m) was used as the DI (yield loss/insect density) variable in EIL calculations. The EILs calculated in larvae/row-m were converted to egg masses/row-m and adjusted to reflect average survivorship to the adult stage. An example EIL for esfenvalerate at 0.509 (formulation) liter/ha (0.0453 gal/a) and crop value of 0.44 dollars/kg (20 dollars/100 lbs) was 17.78 larvae/row-m. The corresponding ET is 1.04 egg masses/row-m, which reflects an average of 54.6 eggs/egg mass and 33% survival rate from egg to injurious stages. Sequential sampling plans were calculated based on a negative binomial distribution using parameter k estimated from previous research. Because sampling is based on egg masses, growers can make management decisions and take management actions before significant injury occurs. Also, ETs can be adjusted to include the occurrence of natural mortality in the egg and early instars. Analyses demonstrated that relatively minor variation in ETs has substantial impact on sequential sampling plans, including parameters such as average sample number. An interactive spreadsheet was developed that allows users to input economic and other data specific to their situation to calculate Mexican bean beetle EILs, ETs, and sequential sampling plans.     

A new method of sequential sampling to obtain the population estimates with a fixed level of precision

A simple method of sequential sampling is developed which would make it automatically possible to secure, without excess sampling, a predetermined level of precision for a series of population estimates being required. It appears to have wide application to sampling field populations under various situations since it is simply based upon the relationship of variance to mean for which a comprehensive formula deduced for biological populations from the linearity in the regression of mean crowding on mean density could be adopted. Some problems that may arise in practical application of the method are also discussed.     

沿黄稻区灰飞虱越冬种群的时空分布及抽样技术研究

2009—2010年间系统调查了河南省境内沿黄稻区灰飞虱Laodelphax striatellus Fallén越冬种群的时空动态变化,并在田间调查的基础上,运用聚集度指标法和改进的Iwao回归分析法对沿黄稻区灰飞虱越冬种群的空间分布格局、理论抽样数及序贯抽样技术进行了研究。结果表明,灰飞虱在沿黄流域主要以少量3、4龄若虫进行越冬,11月下旬进入越冬期,翌年4月上中旬为越冬代种群发生高峰期,成、若虫虫量分别为22头/m2、43头/m2;灰飞虱成虫在5月中旬开始向水稻田迁飞,迁入高峰时虫量在450头/m2以上;灰飞虱越冬代成虫在麦田中空间分布型的聚集性指标大于1,空间分布型为聚集分布型,在此基础上得出灰飞虱田间调查的理论抽样数公式:N=t2/D2(0.324/m+0.086),并且描述了灰飞虱种群序贯抽样的Iwao模型:Tn=25n±15.4n~(1/2)。研究结果为田间灰飞虱的准确抽样调查和有效防治提供了科学依据。     

黑角直缘跳甲幼虫空间分布型及抽样技术的研究

通过运用二种回归方法和六种聚集度指标对黑角直缘跳甲幼虫的空间格局和抽样技术进行了研究。所有的指标表明黑角直缘跳甲幼虫在林间呈聚集分布,分布的基本成分是个体群,且个体间相互吸引。在空间分布型研究的基础上提出了理论抽样数和序贯抽样方案。通过不同抽样方式的精确度比较,表明对角线抽样方式最佳。     

基于高分一号 WFV 卫星影像的黄河口湿地草本植被生物量估算模型研究

基于高分一号 WFV 卫星数据,通过计算 NDVI、SRI、SAVI、MSAVI、GBNDVI 和 DVI 6种植被指数,结合黄河口湿地现场草本植被地上干生物量样本,进行一元线性、指数、对数和幂4种模型的回归分析,从中选出生物量最佳估算模型。结果表明：（1）指数模型是 NDVI 和 GBNDVI 的最佳生物量回归模型,幂模型是其它植被指数的最佳回归模型（P ＜0．001）;（2）6种植被指数干生物量最佳回归模型的决定系数（R2）都大于0．7,最大为0．77,由大到小排序为 MSAVI ＞SAVI ＞NDVI ＞DVI ＞SRI ＞GBNDVI;（3）各最佳回归模型的平均相对误差（MRE）都小于54％,最小为23．9％,由小到大排序为 NDVI ＜GBNDVI ＜SRI ＜DVI ＝SAVI ＜MSAVI。