Risk stratification for sudden cardiac death

Recent advances in pharmacological and device-based therapies have provided a range of management options for patients at risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD). Since all such interventions come with their attendant risks, however, stratification procedures aimed at identifying those who stand to benefit overall have gained a new degree of importance. This review assesses the value of risk stratification measures currently available in clinical practice, as well as of others that may soon enter the market. Parameters that may be obtained only by performing invasive cardiac catheterisation procedures are considered separately from those that may be derived using more readily available non-invasive techniques. It is concluded that effective stratification is likely to require the use of composite parameters and that invasive procedures might only be justified in specific sub-groups of patients.     

Japanese encephalitis vaccines--needs, flaws and achievements

Japanese encephalitis causes serious health problems in countries in Southeast Asia, where the causative virus is endemic. Whereas most adults living in this region have acquired immunity, children are at high risk of infection. Childhood mass immunization programs with first-generation mouse brain-derived vaccines efficiently reduced Japanese encephalitis incidence in affected countries, but immunization recommendations have mostly been abolished in Japan owing to the occurrence of severe side effects. Thus, there is a pressing need for safer vaccines to keep the disease under control. The safety profile of the current vaccines, together with the relatively low incidence, makes the risk/benefit ratio unfavorable for immunization of travelers to Southeast Asia, despite the high mortality once the clinical disease has developed. As Asian countries become increasingly popular travel destinations, the availability of well-tolerated vaccines would likely shift the ratio towards immunization. Currently, there is one second-generation inactivated cell-culture-grown vaccine in late-stage clinical development that is approaching licensing in developed countries.     

New Tools for Weight-Loss Therapy Enable a More Robust Medical Model for Obesity Treatment: Rationale for a Complications-Centric Approach

ObjectiveRecent advances in lifestyle intervention programs, pharmacotherapy, and bariatric surgery have enabled the development of medical models for the treatment of obesity. Regarding pharmacotherapy, in 2012 the U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved two new effective and safe weight-loss medications, phentermine/ topiramate extended release and lorcaserin, which has greatly augmented options for medically assisted weight loss.MethodsThe rationale for advantages of a complications-centric medical model over current body mass index (BMI)-centric indications for therapy is examined.ResultsCurrently, the baseline BMI level is the principle determinant of indications for obesity treatment using medication and surgery. However, the BMI-centric approach fails to target therapy to those obese patients who will benefit most from weight loss. In contrast, a complications-centric medical model is proposed that will earmark the modality and intensity of the therapeutic intervention based on the presence and severity of complications that can be ameliorated by weight loss.ConclusionThe complications-centric approach to “medicalizing” obesity care employs weight loss primarily as a tool to treat obesity-related complications and promotes the optimization of health outcomes, the benefit/risk ratio, and the cost-effectiveness of therapy. (Endocr Pract. 2013;19:864-874)     

Illustrations pratiques – Produits de contraste iodés (PCI)

Iodinated Contrast Agent (ICA) may be used in nuclear medicine for level 3 and 4 CT level. The use of ICA in SPECT/CT or PET/CT is driven, for each patient, by the clinical context, the benefit/risk ratio and the availability and the date of the previous injected CT. The improvement in diagnostic performance of the exam is the main goal of the ICA injection during a hybrid NM procedure.     

Estrogens, lipoproteins, and cardiovascular risk factors: an update following the randomized placebo-controlled trials of hormone-replacement therapy

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The effects of hormone-replacement therapy on cardiovascular risk factors are examined. In an attempt to explain the results of recent randomized controlled trials in which no benefit of hormone-replacement therapy for postmenopausal women has been observed, RECENT FINDINGS: Changes in lipoproteins in response to hormone-replacement therapy have now been analysed for both primary and secondary prevention studies. In none of the large randomized controlled trials was there any effect of hormone-induced changes in low-density lipoprotein, high-density lipoprotein, or triglyceride on clinical outcome. Further detailed studies of lipoprotein metabolism have not revealed any adverse effect of hormone-replacement therapy. Recent analysis of the Heart Estrogen/Progestin-Replacement Study data suggests hormone-replacement therapy reduces the risk of developing diabetes. The effect of hormone-replacement therapy on inflammatory markers and on flow-mediated dilatation is largely beneficial, although the effect on flow-mediated dilatation is modulated according to endothelial function, which is adversely affected by known risk factors, including age and presence of atherosclerosis. In this respect the work on polymorphisms of estrogen receptor-alpha may in due course help to define those women who would benefit most from use of estrogen. Crucially, oral but not transdermal hormone-replacement therapy increases activated protein C resistance independently of the presence of factor V Leiden. This effect increases the risk of venous thromboembolic events, which is reflected in the results of a hospital case control study of thromboembolism. SUMMARY: Despite the outcome of the hormone-replacement therapy trials, recent work has confirmed the putative antiatherogenic effects of hormone-replacement therapy on lipoprotein metabolism. Metabolic differences of route of administration of estrogen, particularly on haemostatic variables, may explain this clinical paradox, which continues to be an important research area.     

Evidence-based management of acute myocardial infarction in the elderly--current perspectives

Cardiovascular disease accounts for significant morbidity and mortality in the elderly. Despite several, large cardiovascular clinical trials, data to guide therapy in this growing population subset are relatively limited. This review focuses on treatment approaches and recommendations for the management of elderly patients with acute myocardial infarction (MI) obtained from subgroup analyses from major clinical trials.Treatment options for acute MI in the elderly have changed dramatically since the 1990s. Reperfusion therapy by primary percutaneous coronary intervention has superseded the use of thrombolytic therapy for the treatment of acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Clinical trial data have demonstrated that even transferring patients to facilities that have primary angioplasty capabilities is better than thrombolytic therapy, if the anticipated transfer time is of acceptable duration. Additionally, adjunctive use of the intravenous glycoprotein (GP) receptor antagonist, abciximab, during primary angioplasty affords a reduction in the composite primary end point of death, reinfarction, and target vessel revascularization, with much of the benefit derived from the latter. Thrombolytic therapy, barring any contraindication, must be used when mechanical revascularization is not available; however, the risk for complications in the elderly is higher, especially for those 75 years and older. Studies investigating the use of thrombolytics plus GP receptor antagonists with and without percutaneous coronary intervention show questionable benefit in the elderly.     

Particularidades clínicas del paciente crítico con infección fúngica invasora

BackgroundInvasive fungal infection (IFI) is an entity that encompasses different types of infections caused by different types of those fungi pathogenic for humans. In the setting of critically ill patients with multiple and oftenconcurrent risk factors and comorbidities the most common are those caused by the Candida and Aspergillus species. Among the characteristics of IFI in critically ill patients, three aspects can be highlighted: those related to the host (e.g.: risk factors, clinical severity), those related with the pathogen (sensitivity, virulence), or those concerning antifungal treatment (spectrum, features PK / PD, safety, interactions). The fungus that most often causes an IFI in critically ill patients is Candida; the most common type infections are candidemia, Candida peritonitis and catheter-related infections. In recent years new antifungal treatments have expanded the therapeutic options, with echinocandins as a clear choice, often the first in the latest guidelines in critically ill patients with IFI.Case reportWe report the case of a critically ill patient having the most common risk factors, multiple organ dysfunction and development of an IFI. The complexity of establishing an antifungal treatment from the moment of its inception, its setting, and the considerations of the different therapeutic possibilities according to organ dysfunction of the patient are discussed. The antifungal treatment options mentioned in the current guidelines and recommendations are also evaluated.ConclusionsThe most common fungal infection in critically ill patients is invasive candidiasis, with candidemia or candida peritonitis being the most frequent clinical presentations. Candins have brought new possibilities for treating these complex patients due to their good safety profile and clinical efficacy.     

Tissue biomarkers for prostate cancer radiation therapy

Prostate cancer is the most common cancer and second leading cause of cancer deaths among men in the United States. Most men have localized disease diagnosed following an elevated serum prostate specific antigen test for cancer screening purposes. Standard treatment options consist of surgery or definitive radiation therapy directed by clinical factors that are organized into risk stratification groups. Current clinical risk stratification systems are still insufficient to differentiate lethal from indolent disease. Similarly, a subset of men in poor risk groups need to be identified for more aggressive treatment and enrollment into clinical trials. Furthermore, these clinical tools are very limited in revealing information about the biologic pathways driving these different disease phenotypes and do not offer insights for novel treatments which are needed in men with poor-risk disease. We believe molecular biomarkers may serve to bridge these inadequacies of traditional clinical factors opening the door for personalized treatment approaches that would allow tailoring of treatment options to maximize therapeutic outcome. We review the current state of prognostic and predictive tissue-based molecular biomarkers which can be used to direct localized prostate cancer treatment decisions, specifically those implicated with definitive and salvage radiation therapy.     

Role of gemcitabine/cisplatin in the treatment of advanced and metastatic bladder cancer

M-VAC combination chemotherapy was considered as the "gold standard" of the treatment of advanced and metastatic bladder cancers. Arrival of gemcitabine or taxanes in the 90s attracted attention since their efficacy was combined with low toxicity profiles. Gemcitabine/cisplatin combination became the most frequently studied treatment modality in the past 3 years. Multicentric, multinational randomized phase-III study indicated that in bladder cancer the gemcitabine/cisplatin combination is equal to M-VAC while in the case of the former the risk to benefit ratio is lower. Accordingly, gemcitabine/cisplatin combination is a safer treatment option in advanced and metastatic bladder cancer and is a real alternative to M-VAC. In the case of patients where cisplatin cannot be administered due to poor renal function, the new drugs with better toxicity profiles provide further treatment options.     

Strong Association between Serological Status and Probability of Progression to Clinical Visceral Leishmaniasis in Prospective Cohort Studies in India and Nepal

Introduction

Asymptomatic persons infected with the parasites causing visceral leishmaniasis (VL) usually outnumber clinically apparent cases by a ratio of 4–10 to 1. We assessed the risk of progression from infection to disease as a function of DAT and rK39 serological titers.

Methods

We used available data on four cohorts from villages in India and Nepal that are highly endemic for Leishmania donovani. In each cohort two serosurveys had been conducted. Based on results of initial surveys, subjects were classified as seronegative, moderately seropositive or strongly seropositive using both DAT and rK39. Based on the combination of first and second survey results we identified seroconvertors for both markers. Seroconvertors were subdivided in high and low titer convertors. Subjects were followed up for at least one year following the second survey. Incident VL cases were recorded and verified.

Results

We assessed a total of 32,529 enrolled subjects, for a total follow-up time of 72,169 person years. Altogether 235 incident VL cases were documented. The probability of progression to disease was strongly associated with initial serostatus and with seroconversion; this was particularly the case for those with high titers and most prominently among seroconvertors. For high titer DAT convertors the hazard ratio reached as high as 97.4 when compared to non-convertors. The strengths of the associations varied between cohorts and between markers but similar trends were observed between the four cohorts and the two markers.

Discussion

There is a strongly increased risk of progressing to disease among DAT and/or rK39 seropositives with high titers. The options for prophylactic treatment for this group merit further investigation, as it could be of clinical benefit if it prevents progression to disease. Prophylactic treatment might also have a public health benefit if it can be corroborated that these asymptomatically infected individuals are infectious for sand flies.     

DSMB. 2. The importance of an efficient DSMB: some examples of high-risk clinical trials

The DSMB (data safety and monitoring board) takes an increasing role in the monitoring of clinical trials, especially in large multicenter trials conducted in populations at high risk of morbidity or mortality. The DSMB is a an expert committee, independent from the investigators and the sponsor of the trial, which periodically examines the safety data accumulated during progress of the trial and ensures that the benefit/risk ratio remains acceptable for participating patients. A few examples, derived for recent experience of clinical trials conducted in acutely ill patients, illustrate the importance of an efficient and reactive DSMB to monitor patients' safety, especially during large multicenter trials.     

Do We Know Whether Researchers and Reviewers are Estimating Risk and Benefit Accurately?

Accurate estimation of risk and benefit is integral to good clinical research planning, ethical review, and study implementation. Some commentators have argued that various actors in clinical research systems are prone to biased or arbitrary risk/benefit estimation. In this commentary, we suggest the evidence supporting such claims is very limited. Most prior work has imputed risk/benefit beliefs based on past behavior or goals, rather than directly measuring them. We describe an approach – forecast analysis – that would enable direct and effective measure of the quality of risk/benefit estimation. We then consider some objections and limitations to the forecasting approach.     

The number needed to treat: a clinically useful measure of treatment effect.

The relative benefit of an active treatment over a control is usually expressed as the relative risk, the relative risk reduction, or the odds ratio. These measures are used extensively in both clinical and epidemiological investigations. For clinical decision making, however, it is more meaningful to use the measure "number needed to treat." This measure is calculated on the inverse of the absolute risk reduction. It has the advantage that it conveys both statistical and clinical significance to the doctor. Furthermore, it can be used to extrapolate published findings to a patient at an arbitrary specified baseline risk when the relative risk reduction associated with treatment is constant for all levels of risk.     

The assessment and management of insomnia: an update

Insomnia poses significant challenges to public health. It is a common condition associated with marked impairment in function and quality of life, psychiatric and physical morbidity, and accidents. As such, it is important that effective treatment is provided in clinical practice. To this end, this paper reviews critical aspects of the assessment of insomnia and the available treatment options. These options include both non‐medication treatments, most notably cognitive behavioral therapy for insomnia, and a variety of pharmacologic therapies such as benzodiazepines, “z‐drugs”, melatonin receptor agonists, selective histamine H1 antagonists, orexin antagonists, antidepressants, antipsychotics, anticonvulsants, and non‐selective antihistamines. A review of the available research indicates that rigorous double‐blind, randomized, controlled trials are lacking for some of the most commonly administered insomnia therapies. However, there are an array of interventions which have been demonstrated to have therapeutic effects in insomnia in trials with the above features, and whose risk/benefit profiles have been well characterized. These interventions can form the basis for systematic, evidence‐based treatment of insomnia in clinical practice. We review this evidence base and highlight areas where more studies are needed, with the aim of providing a resource for improving the clinical management of the many patients with insomnia.     

Prevention of congenital rubella.

The vaccine of choice for rubella vaccination is considered to be RA 27/3, based on frequency of side effects, duration of immunity, antigenic potential and rate of reinfection by wild virus. The most appropriate individuals to be vaccinated are prepubertal schoolgirls and susceptible members of other high-risk groups, and a nationwide immunization program is suggested. Premarital determination of rubella-immune status should be mandatory for all women of childbearing age. A favourable cost/benefit ratio for rubella vaccination seems highly probable. The use of a rubella "fact sheet" to provide education and information for those at risk is strongly recommended.     

Essential fatty acid supplementation of DHA and ARA and effects on neurodevelopment across animal species: a review of the literature

Docosahexanoic acid (DHA) and arachidonic acid (ARA) are long chain essential fatty acids used as supplements in commercial infant formula. DHA/ARA deficient states are associated with adverse neurological outcomes in animals and humans. Preterm infants are at risk for DHA/ARA deficiency. A few clinical reports on the effects of fatty acid supplementation have shown benefit in preterm, low birth weight, and normal infants in the first year of life, whereas others did not. Studies in animals have reported shortened gestation, fetal growth retardation, reduced infant body mass, and increased fetal mortality with consumption of fatty acids during pregnancy. To understand the data that support fatty acid supplementation in infant formula, a review of the animal model literature was undertaken, to examine the effects of DHA/ARA on neurodevelopment, including the effects on visual acuity. Several points emerged from this review. (1) Animal studies indicate that requirements for DHA/ARA vary depending on developmental age. Alterations of the ratio of DHA/ARA can impact developmental outcome. (2) The available studies suggest that while supplementation of DHA/ARA in an appropriate ratio can increase tissue levels of these fatty acids in the brain and retina, tissues sensitive to depletion of fatty acids, the benefit of routine supplementation remains unclear. Few studies measure functional outcome relative to changes in physiologic pools of DHA/ARA after supplementation. (3) Animal literature does not support a clear long-term benefit of replenishing DHA/ARA tissue levels and administration of these fatty acids at concentrations above those in human milk suggests adverse effects on growth, survival, and neurodevelopment.     

Net efficacy adjusted for risk (NEAR): a simple procedure for measuring risk:benefit balance

Background

Although several mathematical models have been proposed to assess the risk:benefit of drugs in one measure, their use in practice has been rather limited. Our objective was to design a simple, easily applicable model. In this respect, measuring the proportion of patients who respond favorably to treatment without being affected by adverse drug reactions (ADR) could be a suitable endpoint. However, remarkably few published clinical trials report the data required to calculate this proportion. As an approach to the problem, we calculated the expected proportion of this type of patients.

Methodology/Principal Findings

Theoretically, responders without ADR may be obtained by multiplying the total number of responders by the total number of subjects that did not suffer ADR, and dividing the product by the total number of subjects studied. When two drugs are studied, the same calculation may be repeated for the second drug. Then, by constructing a 2×2 table with the expected frequencies of responders with and without ADR, and non-responders with and without ADR, the odds ratio and relative risk with their confidence intervals may be easily calculated and graphically represented on a logarithmic scale. Such measures represent “net efficacy adjusted for risk” (NEAR).We assayed the model with results extracted from several published clinical trials or meta-analyses. On comparing our results with those originally reported by the authors, marked differences were found in some cases, with ADR arising as a relevant factor to balance the clinical benefit obtained. The particular features of the adverse reaction that must be weighed against benefit is discussed in the paper.

Conclusion

NEAR representing overall risk-benefit may contribute to improving knowledge of drug clinical usefulness. As most published clinical trials tend to overestimate benefits and underestimate toxicity, our measure represents an effort to change this trend.     

Carbohydrates: is the advice to eat less justified for diabetes and cardiovascular health?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Recent randomized controlled trials examining diets of varying carbohydrate composition recommended for people with diabetes and cardiovascular disease and those at risk are summarized. RECENT FINDINGS: Severe carbohydrate restriction results in appreciable initial weight loss and improvement in risk factors. After a year, however, the beneficial effects are equal to or less than those achieved on conventional alternatives. Some people develop elevations of LDL cholesterol. Modest carbohydrate restriction with relatively high intakes of cis-unsaturated fatty acids and protein is acceptable to many people and is more likely to produce sustained benefit in terms of weight loss and cardiovascular risk indicators. SUMMARY: Diets involving moderate carbohydrate restriction are suitable alternatives to high-carbohydrate, high-fibre diets for weight loss and reduction of cardiovascular disease and diabetes risk, as well as to treat individuals with the conditions. As such diets are generally high in protein and unsaturated fatty acids, they are not recommended for those with established or incipient nephropathy. High-carbohydrate, high-fibre diets remain appropriate for use in all those situations, provided carbohydrate is derived principally from minimally processed wholegrain breads and cereals and intact vegetables and fruit. Lower carbohydrate options may be preferable for markedly insulin-resistant individuals.     

Does clinical research provide any "direct individual benefit"?

The European Commission and Parliament have promulgated a directive on clinical research (2001/20/CE) in April 2001. Its provisions have to be incorporated in all national laws by May 2004. Accordingly, the French " loi Huriet " (a law passed in 1988 organizing clinical research in France) had to be revised. During the process, it appeared that a key issue was the suppression of a distinction made by this law between research with and without " direct individual benefit ", a French specificity, as the directive recommends rather the assessment of the risk/benefit ratio. In order to harmonize the French legislation with the other European laws, and to suppress a set of provisions which have been repeatedly attacked during the last ten years, the French members of parliament have voted on October 2003 a new law which, among other important modifications, suppress that distinction.     

Reproducibility,Performance, and Clinical Utility of a Genetic Risk Prediction Model for Prostate Cancer in Japanese

Prostate specific antigen (PSA) is widely used as a diagnostic biomarker for prostate cancer (PC). However, due to its low predictive performance, many patients without PC suffer from the harms of unnecessary prostate needle biopsies. The present study aims to evaluate the reproducibility and performance of a genetic risk prediction model in Japanese and estimate its utility as a diagnostic biomarker in a clinical scenario. We created a logistic regression model incorporating 16 SNPs that were significantly associated with PC in a genome-wide association study of Japanese population using 689 cases and 749 male controls. The model was validated by two independent sets of Japanese samples comprising 3,294 cases and 6,281 male controls. The areas under curve (AUC) of the model were 0.679, 0.655, and 0.661 for the samples used to create the model and those used for validation. The AUCs were not significantly altered in samples with PSA 1–10 ng/ml. 24.2% and 9.7% of the patients had odds ratio <0.5 (low risk) or >2 (high risk) in the model. Assuming the overall positive rate of prostate needle biopsies to be 20%, the positive biopsy rates were 10.7% and 42.4% for the low and high genetic risk groups respectively. Our genetic risk prediction model for PC was highly reproducible, and its predictive performance was not influenced by PSA. The model could have a potential to affect clinical decision when it is applied to patients with gray-zone PSA, which should be confirmed in future clinical studies.