Survival of bacteria in carcasses.

Bacteria injected into the bloodstream of guinea pigs shortly before death decreased in number in carcass tissues for about 1 h after death. If initial bacterial numbers were sufficiently low, all bacteria were eliminated, and carcass tissues were sterile 24 h after death. Carcass tissue sterility was maintained with an initial density of Clostridium perfringens or Salmonella typhimurium of 20 cells per g or with an initial density of the other species examined of several hundred cells per gram. With larger numbers of strict and facultative anaerobes, growth commenced after 3 h in carcasses incubated at 30 degrees C. Spores of C. perfringens were killed over the same period as vegetative cells, but growth did not commence until 8 h after death. Bactericidal activity in carcass tissues must therefore be taken into account in evaluating the significance of reports of deep-tissue contamination of carcasses from meat animals.     

Effect of delayed evisceration on the microbial quality of meat.

The postomortem invasion of muscle and other tissues by bacteria from the intestinal tract was studied with the use of radioactive tracers. The injection of 14C-labeled bacteria or spores into the intestines of guinea pig carcasses within 24 h of death resulted in the rapid spread of 14C throughout carcasses. When live bacteria were injected along with the labeled cells, it was not possible to isolate viable organisms from the body tissues if the living animal had been exposed to the bacteria. It appears that animals are immune to their normal intestinal flora and that this immunity persists after death; thus passage of these bacteria into the lymphatic system does not necessarily result in the presence of live bacteria in carcass tissues. It therefore seems that a delay of up to 24 h before evisceration would not lead to deep tissue contamination of the carcass by organisms usually present in the intestines. Further evidence for this hypothesis was obtained by showing that muscle and lymph nodes from uneviscerated lamb carcasses hung for 24 h at 20 C remained sterile.     

Effect of delayed evisceration on the microbial quality of meat.

The postomortem invasion of muscle and other tissues by bacteria from the intestinal tract was studied with the use of radioactive tracers. The injection of 14C-labeled bacteria or spores into the intestines of guinea pig carcasses within 24 h of death resulted in the rapid spread of 14C throughout carcasses. When live bacteria were injected along with the labeled cells, it was not possible to isolate viable organisms from the body tissues if the living animal had been exposed to the bacteria. It appears that animals are immune to their normal intestinal flora and that this immunity persists after death; thus passage of these bacteria into the lymphatic system does not necessarily result in the presence of live bacteria in carcass tissues. It therefore seems that a delay of up to 24 h before evisceration would not lead to deep tissue contamination of the carcass by organisms usually present in the intestines. Further evidence for this hypothesis was obtained by showing that muscle and lymph nodes from uneviscerated lamb carcasses hung for 24 h at 20 C remained sterile.     

Tissue sterility in uneviscerated carcasses.

Sheep muscle tissue removed aseptically from control carcasses, from uneviscerated carcasses held at 20 degrees C for 24 h, and from carcasses of sheep subjected to stress before slaughter was examined for the presence of bacteria. All samples from a total of 68 carcasses were sterile. Whole-body autoradiography of mouse carcasses showed that 14C-labeled fixed bacteria injected after death remained in the lumen of the intestine. Live bacteria did not penetrate the mucosal surface until the tissue structure had been disrupted by proteolytic enzymes. Bacteria were unable to penetrate sections of intestine longitudinally until considerable structural breakdown had occurred, indicating that blood and lymph vessels do not normally offer a pathway for microbial invasion from the intestine. Clostridia, which have been reported to be responsible for deep spoilage of meat, reached maximum numbers 24 to 28 h after death in the intestines of guinea pig carcasses stored at 20 degrees C, but did not invade carcass tissues until the stomach ruptured as a result of proteolysis between 2 and 3 days after death.     

Tissue sterility in uneviscerated carcasses.

Sheep muscle tissue removed aseptically from control carcasses, from uneviscerated carcasses held at 20 degrees C for 24 h, and from carcasses of sheep subjected to stress before slaughter was examined for the presence of bacteria. All samples from a total of 68 carcasses were sterile. Whole-body autoradiography of mouse carcasses showed that 14C-labeled fixed bacteria injected after death remained in the lumen of the intestine. Live bacteria did not penetrate the mucosal surface until the tissue structure had been disrupted by proteolytic enzymes. Bacteria were unable to penetrate sections of intestine longitudinally until considerable structural breakdown had occurred, indicating that blood and lymph vessels do not normally offer a pathway for microbial invasion from the intestine. Clostridia, which have been reported to be responsible for deep spoilage of meat, reached maximum numbers 24 to 28 h after death in the intestines of guinea pig carcasses stored at 20 degrees C, but did not invade carcass tissues until the stomach ruptured as a result of proteolysis between 2 and 3 days after death.     

Relationship of sporulation, enterotoxin formation, and spoilage during growth of Clostridium perfringens type A in cooked chicken.

Sporulation and enterotoxin formation were determined for 17 strains of Clostridium perfringens type A in autoclaved chicken dark meat and in Duncan-Strong sporulation medium. The mean numbers of heat-resistant spores detected after 24 h at 37 degrees C were log10 1.13 to log10 7.64/ml in Duncan-Strong medium and log10 4.93 to log10 6.59/g in chicken. Of 17 strains, 7 formed enterotoxin in Duncan-Strong culture supernatant (1.0 to 60 microgram/ml) and 8 produced enterotoxin in chicken (0.21 to 24 microgram/g). Additional studies with chicken were conducted with C. perfringens NCTC 8239. With an inoculum of 10(6) cells per g, greater than log10 7.99 vegetative cells per g were detected by 4 h in chicken at 37 degrees C. Heat-resistant spores occurred by 4 and 6 h and enterotoxin occurred by 8 and 6 h in autoclaved chicken dark meat and barbecued chicken drumsticks, respectively. Enterotoxin was detected in autoclaved dark meat after incubation at 45 degrees C for 1.5 h followed by 37 degrees C for 4.5 h, but not after incubation at 45 degrees C for 1.5 to 8 h. With an inoculum of 10(2) cells per g in oven-cooked or autoclaved chicken, greater than log10 8.00 vegetative cells per g were detected by 6 to 8 h at 37 degrees C, heat-resistant spores were detected by 8 h, and enterotoxin was detected by 12 h. A statistical analysis of odor determinants of chicken after growth of C. perfringens indicated that, at the 95% confidence level, the product was considered spoiled (off or unwholesome odor) by the time spores or enterotoxin were formed.     

Relationship of sporulation, enterotoxin formation, and spoilage during growth of Clostridium perfringens type A in cooked chicken

Sporulation and enterotoxin formation were determined for 17 strains of Clostridium perfringens type A in autoclaved chicken dark meat and in Duncan-Strong sporulation medium. The mean numbers of heat-resistant spores detected after 24 h at 37 degrees C were log10 1.13 to log10 7.64/ml in Duncan-Strong medium and log10 4.93 to log10 6.59/g in chicken. Of 17 strains, 7 formed enterotoxin in Duncan-Strong culture supernatant (1.0 to 60 microgram/ml) and 8 produced enterotoxin in chicken (0.21 to 24 microgram/g). Additional studies with chicken were conducted with C. perfringens NCTC 8239. With an inoculum of 10(6) cells per g, greater than log10 7.99 vegetative cells per g were detected by 4 h in chicken at 37 degrees C. Heat-resistant spores occurred by 4 and 6 h and enterotoxin occurred by 8 and 6 h in autoclaved chicken dark meat and barbecued chicken drumsticks, respectively. Enterotoxin was detected in autoclaved dark meat after incubation at 45 degrees C for 1.5 h followed by 37 degrees C for 4.5 h, but not after incubation at 45 degrees C for 1.5 to 8 h. With an inoculum of 10(2) cells per g in oven-cooked or autoclaved chicken, greater than log10 8.00 vegetative cells per g were detected by 6 to 8 h at 37 degrees C, heat-resistant spores were detected by 8 h, and enterotoxin was detected by 12 h. A statistical analysis of odor determinants of chicken after growth of C. perfringens indicated that, at the 95% confidence level, the product was considered spoiled (off or unwholesome odor) by the time spores or enterotoxin were formed.     

Colour differences among carcasses graded with similar score for conformation and fatness

In a population of 268 yearling bulls, those carcasses graded as U-, U0 or U+ for beef carcass conformation (n = 240) and those graded as 2-, 20 or 2+ for beef carcass fatness (n = 213) were selected to study the efficiency of carcass weight, carcass dimensions and instrumental colour of latissimus dorsi, rectus abdominis and subcutaneous fat, to discriminate among these carcass grades, in a population of high-muscled and very lean carcasses from young bulls. The increase in conformation grade meant an increase in carcass weight and perimeter of the leg. Classifiers use attributes characterizing muscular development and carcass profiles from a general impression of the whole carcass. There were no significant differences for carcass weight or carcass dimensions, among the carcasses classified according to the three fat classes. The a* and b* coordinate values for the latissimus dorsi muscle were observed to decrease significantly as the carcass conformation score increased (P < 0.05). However, muscle and subcutaneous fat of fatter carcasses showed higher a*, b* colour coordinates and chroma (C*) values than leaner carcasses. The CIE (Commission International de l'éclairage) L*, a* and b* colour coordinate measurements taken on the carcasses 45 min post mortem varied significantly from the readings taken after hanging for 24 h (P < 0,001). The higher a* and b* values on the carcasses chilled for 24 h could be caused by oxygenation of both subcutaneous fat, and latissimus dorsi and rectus abdominis muscles in the time elapsing after slaughter and after carcass exposition to circulating air in the cooler for 24 h. Lightness of the latissimus dorsi muscle underwent a decrease, compared with an increase in the rectus abdominis muscle. Hardening of the subcutaneous fat during cold storage may exert an influence on the decrease in lightness observed. These differences in carcass colour during chilling storage would suggest that the relationship between carcass colour and conformation grades was higher shortly after slaughter. Both L* colour coordinate of fat colour (P < 0.01) and a*, b* and C* colour coordinates of latissimus dorsi muscle (P < 0.05) were related to conformation classification. Colour was more efficient to differentiate conformation than fat cover classes. Sixty-two percent of carcasses were correctly classified for conformation by colour differences but only 37% of carcasses were correctly classified for fatness by colour.     

The effect of scavenger mutilation on insect succession at impala carcasses in southern Africa

Two impala ( Aepyceros melampus ) carcasses were subjected to varying degrees of mutilation by large mammalian scavengers.
Daily observations of carcass surface condition revealed that the timing and frequency of scavenger feeding visits had a profound effect upon carcass decomposition: a single feeding visit 10 days after death at the first carcass produced an extended sequence of decay. At the second carcass, repeated visits two, three and five days after death, resulted in a faster rate of decay.
The colonization of the carcasses by necrophagous insects was characterized by a distinct sequence of arrival. The abundance of Calliphoridae, Histeridae and Dermestidae was correlated with surface condition at both carcasses. Thus, these insects provided an indication of the state of carcass decay. However, as the rate of decomposition was different at each carcass, the temporal abundance of necrophagous insects was not the same at both carcasses.
The results suggest that the temporal abundance of key insect families provide an inaccurate indication of the time of death in circumstances when carcasses have subsequently been mutilated.     

Prairie vegetation and soil nutrient responses to ungulate carcasses

The impact of large ungulate carcasses on grassland dynamics was investigated by monitoring vegetation and soil nutrients in 50-cm circular zones around the center of bison (Bos bison), cattle (B. taurus), and deer (Odocoileus virginianus) carcasses. An ungulate carcass creates an intense localized disturbance that varies with animal size and the season of death. Unlike other natural disturbances, carcasses deposit a concentrated pulse of nutrients into the soil. One year after death, inorganic nitrogen concentrations were significantly higher in the inner 50 cm at both adult and juvenile carcass sites than in surrounding prairie. Areas around a carcass became zones of fertility that favored different components of the vegetation and stimulated biomass production. Species richness and diversity at the center of carcass sites were lowest 1 year after death, but increased significantly in subsequent years. However, warm-season perennial grasses declined near the center of carcass sites and did not recover. Five years after death, ungulate carcass sites remained disturbed patches that harbored vegetation characteristically different in composition and stature from surrounding prairie. By providing a niche for species not normally found in undisturbed prairie, carcasses increased community heterogeneity and may play an important role in adding spatial complexity to grassland ecosytems. Received: 12 April 1999 / Accepted: 7 September 1999     

Enumeration of thermotolerant Campylobacter spp. from poultry carcasses at the end of the slaughter-line

AIM: To enumerate Campylobacter on poultry carcasses at the end of the slaughter-line, and investigate the extent to which Campylobacter from a positive flock were transmitted to other flocks during slaughter. METHODS AND RESULTS: The presence (in caeca) and the level (from carcasses) of Campylobacter were determined. The isolates were fingerprinted by amplified fragment length polymorphism (AFLP). A total of three of 13 broiler flocks and three of four-layer flocks harboured caecal Campylobacter. Carcasses from the caeca-positive broiler flocks were Campylobacter positive with numbers ranging from 2.6 x 10(4) to 2.6 x 10(6) CFU per carcass. Two caeca-negative broiler flocks, slaughtered directly after the positive broiler flocks, had the first carcasses contaminated with Campylobacter, with numbers below 2 x 10(4) CFU per carcass of the same AFLP haplotypes as the preceding flock. Campylobacter was detected on carcasses from only one of the caeca-positive layer flocks in numbers below 2 x 10(4) CFU per carcass. No Campylobacter was detected on carcasses from a flock succeeding the positive-layer flocks. CONCLUSION: Carcasses from Campylobacter-positive broiler flocks were heavily contaminated with Campylobacter, and transmitted low levels of Campylobacter to carcasses from negative flocks, slaughtered directly after. Campylobacter-positive layer flocks had low numbers of Campylobacter on the carcasses. SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY: The results indicate limited cross-contamination of Campylobacter between flocks at the slaughterhouse, reducing the advantage of logistic slaughter.     

Electroporation-mediated transformation of lysostaphin-treated Clostridium perfringens

A reliable and efficient method has been developed for the electroporation-mediated transformation of Clostridium perfringens with plasmid DNA. Transformation of vegetative cells of C. perfringens strain 13 with the 7.9-kb Escherichia coli-C. perfringens shuttle plasmid pHR 106 required pretreatment with lysostaphin (2 to 20 micrograms/ml) for 1 h at 37 degrees C. Cells harvested early in the logarithmic stage of growth were transformed more efficiently than cells at other growth phases. The transformation frequency increased with the DNA concentration, to a saturating level at 5 to 10 micrograms DNA/ml. The transformation frequency was proportional to the field strength and time constant of the electroporation pulse; however, the field strength was a far more important parameter. A cell density between 1 x 10(8) and 5 x 10(8) cells/ml proved to be optimal for transformation. The procedure was capable of generating up to 3.0 x 10(5) transformants per micrograms DNA. The potential value of the method for the cloning of C. perfringens genes was demonstrated by the cloning of the clostridial tetracycline-resistance determinant, tetP, from the E. coli recombinant plasmid pJIR71, into C. perfringens strain 13.     

Growth of Clostridium perfringens in cooked chili during cooling

U.S. Department of Agriculture regulations require that brick chili be cooled from 48.9 degrees C to 4.4 degrees C within 2 h of cooking, but processors may not always be able to comply. Studies were conducted to evaluate the extent of bacterial multiplication resulting from outgrowth of germinated Clostridium perfringens spores experimentally inoculated into chili and incubated at various temperatures. Inoculated samples were heated (75 degrees C for 20 min) to activate spores, quickly equilibrated, and held at one of five desired temperatures for 6 h. No growth was observed for C. perfringens in samples held at 26.7 degrees C and below for 6 h, but growth was observed by 6 h in samples held at 32.2 degrees C and after 2 h in samples held at temperatures between 37.8 degrees C and 48.9 degrees C. Using isothermal growth data, we developed a simple model for predicting the growth of bacteria with time under exponential cooling conditions. The model predicts both the lag phase and the numbers of bacteria at specific times during the growth phase. It was developed by using isothermal growth data and tested by using temperature-varying growth data from experiments with spores of C. perfringens in chili. Actual data agreed closely with predicted results. The results should be useful for evaluating the hazard potential for growth of C. perfringens in chili.     

Growth of Clostridium perfringens in cooked chili during cooling.

U.S. Department of Agriculture regulations require that brick chili be cooled from 48.9 degrees C to 4.4 degrees C within 2 h of cooking, but processors may not always be able to comply. Studies were conducted to evaluate the extent of bacterial multiplication resulting from outgrowth of germinated Clostridium perfringens spores experimentally inoculated into chili and incubated at various temperatures. Inoculated samples were heated (75 degrees C for 20 min) to activate spores, quickly equilibrated, and held at one of five desired temperatures for 6 h. No growth was observed for C. perfringens in samples held at 26.7 degrees C and below for 6 h, but growth was observed by 6 h in samples held at 32.2 degrees C and after 2 h in samples held at temperatures between 37.8 degrees C and 48.9 degrees C. Using isothermal growth data, we developed a simple model for predicting the growth of bacteria with time under exponential cooling conditions. The model predicts both the lag phase and the numbers of bacteria at specific times during the growth phase. It was developed by using isothermal growth data and tested by using temperature-varying growth data from experiments with spores of C. perfringens in chili. Actual data agreed closely with predicted results. The results should be useful for evaluating the hazard potential for growth of C. perfringens in chili.     

Survival of Listeria innocua on hot and cold beef carcass surfaces

AIMS: This study aimed to determine the survival and growth of Listeria innocua on hot and cold beef carcass surfaces. METHODS AND RESULTS: Four sites, the neck, outside round, brisket and foreshank/brisket, were inoculated with L. innocua (i) immediately after dressing while hot and (ii) when cold after chilling. After inoculation, all carcasses were stored at 4 degrees C for 72 h. Survival of L. innocua on cold surfaces declined during storage and was less than on hot carcasses at all times. Data on the survival of L. innocua in broth (maximum recovery diluent) indicated that counts could not be compared with those on carcasses, in particular on cold carcasses. CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate that L. innocua survives on hot carcass surfaces during chilling, but declines over time on cold surfaces. The decrease in L. innocua counts on cold surfaces may be related to a synergy between the combined stresses of low available water (a(w)) and low temperature. SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY: This study is the first to determine the effect of chilling on the survival and growth of Listeria on beef carcass surfaces. The information can potentially be used to determine the survival and growth of the pathogen, L. monocytogenes on beef surfaces.     

The anaerobic pathogen Clostridium perfringens can escape the phagosome of macrophages under aerobic conditions

Clostridium perfringens is the most common cause of gas gangrene (clostridial myonecrosis), a disease that begins when ischaemic tissues become contaminated with C . perfringens vegetative cells or spores. An aerotolerant anaerobe, C . perfringens quickly multiplies in ischaemic tissues and spreads to healthy areas, leading to a high level of morbidity and mortality. As a species, the bacterium can synthesize 13 different toxins, and these are thought to be the major virulence factors of the disease. However, we present evidence here that C . perfringens can also persist inside macrophages, under aerobic conditions, by escaping the phagosome into the cytoplasm. C . perfringens was not killed by the cells of a clone (J774-33) of the macrophage-like murine cell line J774A.1 under aerobic or anaerobic conditions, whereas the non-pathogenic bacterium Bacillus subtilis was killed by J774-33 cells under both conditions. Electron microscopy images showed that C . perfringens cells were intact and resided mostly in the cytoplasm of J774-33 cells, whereas B . subtilis was in the phagosome. Immunofluorescence microscopy showed that intracellular C . perfringens bacteria failed to co-localize with the late endosome-lysosomal marker glycoprotein LAMP-1, whereas B . subtilis did co-localize with LAMP-1. C . perfringens also appeared to escape the phagosome of both activated and unactivated mouse peritoneal macrophages, but not as efficiently as was seen with the J774-33 cell line. In addition, cytochalasin D was used to show that phagocytosis of C . perfringens was dependent on actin polymerization and that the bacteria attach to J774-33 cells at distinct areas of the cell membrane. We propose that the ability to escape the phagosome and persist inside macrophages is an important factor in the early stages of a gangrene infection, when bacterial numbers are low and phagocytic cells are present.     

The fate of cetacean carcasses in the deep sea: observations on consumption rates and succession of scavenging species in the abyssal north-east Atlantic Ocean

The fate of cetacean carcasses in the deep sea was investigated using autonomous deep-sea lander vehicles incorporating time-lapse camera systems, fish and amphipod traps. Three lander deployments placed cetacean carcasses at depths of 4000 to 4800 m in the north-east Atlantic for periods of 36 h, 152 h and 276 h before being recovered. The photographic sequences revealed that carcasses were rapidly consumed by fish and invertebrate scavengers with removal rates ranging from 0.05 to 0.4 kg h^-1. In the longest experiment the carcass was skeletonized within five days. In each deployment, approximately an hour after emplacement, the grenadier Coryphaenoides (Nematonurus) armatus and large numbers of lysianassid amphipods had arrived at the food-fall. The initially high numbers of grenadiers declined once the majority of the bait had been consumed and a variety of other fish and invertebrates were then observed, some taking up residence at the site. None of the fish species appeared to consume the carcass directly, but preyed upon amphipods instead. Funnel traps recovered with the carcass indicated a succession in the species composition of amphipods, with the specialist necrophages such as Paralicella spp. being replaced by more generalist feeders of the Orchomene species complex.     

The use of carrion as breeding sites by the blowfly Lucilia sericata and other Calliphoridae

Abstract. To examine the species composition of flies breeding in carrion in the field, the carcasses of mice and quail were exposed on sheep farms in the South West of England. Calliphora vicina was the dominant species of Diptera; 19,294 individuals emerged from 175 of the 241 infested carcasses recovered. Lucilia sericata emerged from only 39 of the infested carcasses, at a median of 10 adults per infested carcass. Other species of Lucilia present were L.ampullacea, L.caesar and L.illustris. The highest number of L.sericata emerged from carcasses placed in open pasture, the highest number of C.vicina emerged from carcasses in hedgerow, whereas the highest numbers of L.caesar, L.ampullacea and L.illustris emerged from carcasses in woodland. The duration of exposure of carcasses in the field was negatively related to the size of the adult L.sericata which emerged and, in woodland and hedgerow habitats, to the number of L.sericata which emerged. These data indicate that the larvae of L.sericata in carcasses experience significant levels of competition and that the intensity of this competition may be sufficient to reduce the numbers of L.sericata able to emerge successfully. The size distributions of female L. sericata which emerged from carcasses or which were caught as adults in the field showed only a small degree of overlap, suggesting that only a relatively small proportion of the wild L.sericata population emerge from carcass breeding sites. The results are discussed in relation to the development of new approaches to the control of blowfly strike of sheep.     

Clostridium perfringens in the Environment

Clostridium perfringens was isolated from samples collected in Puget Sound in the state of Washington and areas considered as possible sources of these organisms to Puget Sound. The distribution of C. perfringens in the total Clostridium population was determined for fish gut contents and sediments collected in highly polluted and less polluted areas, sewage samples, freshwater sediments, and soils. The greatest numbers of C. perfringens were obtained from marine sediments collected near the sewage outfall at West Point. Fewer isolates were made from fish collected from less polluted stations, although the number of C. perfringens remained high in sediments from other Puget Sound stations. The proportion of C. perfringens in the total Clostridium populations varied between 56 and 71% for sewage samples and only 0.4 to 4.1% for freshwater sediments and soil samples. Only 25 C. perfringens isolates out of 137 from fish guts, or 18%, were identifiable serologically and these fell into 12 groups. C. perfringens were fed to fish and the fish were sacrificed after varying lengths of time. The number of C. perfringens increased slightly in the gut during the first 24 h and then the numbers decreased rapidly for the next 120 h.     

Rate of decline of the Oriental white-backed vulture population in India estimated from a survey of diclofenac residues in carcasses of ungulates

The non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug diclofenac is a major cause of the rapid declines in the Indian subcontinent of three species of vultures endemic to South Asia. The drug causes kidney failure and death in vultures. Exposure probably arises through vultures feeding on carcasses of domesticated ungulates treated with the drug. However, before the study reported here, it had not been established from field surveys of ungulate carcasses that a sufficient proportion was contaminated to cause the observed declines. We surveyed diclofenac concentrations in samples of liver from carcasses of domesticated ungulates in India in 2004-2005. We estimated the concentration of diclofenac in tissues available to vultures, relative to that in liver, and the proportion of vultures killed after feeding on a carcass with a known level of contamination. We assessed the impact of this mortality on vulture population trend with a population model. We expected levels of diclofenac found in ungulate carcasses in 2004-2005 to cause oriental white-backed vulture population declines of 80-99% per year, depending upon the assumptions used in the model. This compares with an observed rate of decline, from road transect counts, of 48% per year in 2000-2003. The precision of the estimate based upon carcass surveys is low and the two types of estimate were not significantly different. Our analyses indicate that the level of diclofenac contamination found in carcasses of domesticated ungulates in 2004-2005 was sufficient to account for the observed rapid decline of the oriental white-backed vulture in India. The methods we describe could be used again to assess changes in the effect on vulture population trend of diclofenac and similar drugs. In this way, the effectiveness of the recent ban in India on the manufacture and importation of diclofenac for veterinary use could be monitored.