共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
南亚热带不同营养水平水库的蓝藻组成与动态 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
2004年调查了广东省境内的新丰江水库和契爷石水库的蓝藻分布特征.结果表明:共检测到蓝藻18属,绝大多数为丝状体和群体种类.常见属有假鱼腥藻(Pseudanabaena)、湖生蓝丝藻(Limnothrix)、微囊藻(Microcystis)和蓝纤维藻(Dactylococcopsis).新丰江水库和契爷石水库蓝藻细胞密度分别为4~249和1 911~114 228 cells·ml-1,富营养化的契爷石水库蓝藻细胞密度比贫营养型的新丰江水库高出3个数量级;2座水库最高蓝藻细胞密度均出现在夏季,温度是引起2座水库蓝藻细胞密度的季节性变化的主要因素;在新丰江水库,微囊藻是优势蓝藻种类之一,相对丰度35%~97%,夏季细胞密度高于其它季节;在契爷石水库,虽然微囊藻细胞密度比新丰江水库高出1个数量级,但其相对丰度不超过3%;假鱼腥藻和湖生蓝丝藻是契爷石水库的优势蓝藻种类,多数情况下相对丰度超过50%;水体稳定性和由透明度主导的水体光照条件的差别可能是导致两座水库蓝藻由不同生活类型的种类占优势的主要原因. 相似文献
2.
STEPHEN J. THACKERAY TIMOTHY H. SPARKS MORTEN FREDERIKSEN SARAH BURTHE PHILIP J. BACON JAMES R. BELL MARC S. BOTHAM TOM M. BRERETON PAUL W. BRIGHT LAURENCE CARVALHO TIM CLUTTON‐BROCK ALISTAIR DAWSON MARTIN EDWARDS J. MALCOLM ELLIOTT RICHARD HARRINGTON DAVID JOHNS IAN D. JONES JAMES T. JONES DAVID I. LEECH DAVID B. ROY W. ANDY SCOTT MATT SMITH RICHARD J. SMITHERS IAN J. WINFIELD SARAH WANLESS 《Global Change Biology》2010,16(12):3304-3313
Recent changes in the seasonal timing (phenology) of familiar biological events have been one of the most conspicuous signs of climate change. However, the lack of a standardized approach to analysing change has hampered assessment of consistency in such changes among different taxa and trophic levels and across freshwater, terrestrial and marine environments. We present a standardized assessment of 25 532 rates of phenological change for 726 UK terrestrial, freshwater and marine taxa. The majority of spring and summer events have advanced, and more rapidly than previously documented. Such consistency is indicative of shared large scale drivers. Furthermore, average rates of change have accelerated in a way that is consistent with observed warming trends. Less coherent patterns in some groups of organisms point to the agency of more local scale processes and multiple drivers. For the first time we show a broad scale signal of differential phenological change among trophic levels; across environments advances in timing were slowest for secondary consumers, thus heightening the potential risk of temporal mismatch in key trophic interactions. If current patterns and rates of phenological change are indicative of future trends, future climate warming may exacerbate trophic mismatching, further disrupting the functioning, persistence and resilience of many ecosystems and having a major impact on ecosystem services. 相似文献
3.
The potency of antiretroviral agents in AIDS clinical trials can be assessed on the basis of an early viral response such as viral decay rate or change in viral load (number of copies of HIV RNA) of the plasma. Linear, parametric nonlinear, and semiparametric nonlinear mixed‐effects models have been proposed to estimate viral decay rates in viral dynamic models. However, before applying these models to clinical data, a critical question that remains to be addressed is whether these models produce coherent estimates of viral decay rates, and if not, which model is appropriate and should be used in practice. In this paper, we applied these models to data from an AIDS clinical trial of potent antiviral treatments and found significant incongruity in the estimated rates of reduction in viral load. Simulation studies indicated that reliable estimates of viral decay rate were obtained by using the parametric and semiparametric nonlinear mixed‐effects models. Our analysis also indicated that the decay rates estimated by using linear mixed‐effects models should be interpreted differently from those estimated by using nonlinear mixed‐effects models. The semiparametric nonlinear mixed‐effects model is preferred to other models because arbitrary data truncation is not needed. Based on real data analysis and simulation studies, we provide guidelines for estimating viral decay rates from clinical data. (© 2004 WILEY‐VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim) 相似文献
4.
Most prior work on the role of top-down and bottom-up effects in aquatic communities has ignored the significant detrital
component that occurs in natural systems. We investigated the effects of specific nutrients (carbon, phosphorus, and nitrogen),
as well as a top predator (the mosquito Wyeomyia smithii), on the structure of the detritivore community found in the water-filled leaves of the pitcher plant Sarracenia purpurea. The concentrations of three nutrients and the presence of the predators were manipulated in a factorial design, while the
response of the remaining community was quantified. Bacterial growth was found to be strongly carbon-limited and somewhat
less limited by phosphorus and there was an interaction between the effects of the two nutrients. Neither carbon or phosphorus
addition affected protozoan or rotifer abundance, and nitrogen had only a minor effect. The presence of the predator, however,
significantly reduced the abundance of the four numerically dominant bacteriovores. There were no interactions between top-down
and bottom-up effects; the strong direct reciprocal effects between adjacent trophic levels seem to be greatly attenuated
as they are propagated farther up or down the food chain. 相似文献
5.
Albert PS 《Biometrics》2008,64(2):527-537
Summary . Assays to measure biomarkers are commonly subject to large amounts of measurement error and known detection limits. Studies with longitudinal biomarker measurements may use multiple assays in assessing outcome. I propose an approach for jointly modeling repeated measures of multiple assays when these assays are subject to measurement error and known lower detection limits. A commonly used approach is to perform an initial assay with a larger lower detection limit on all repeated samples, followed by only performing a second more expensive assay with a lower minimum level of detection when the initial assay value is below its lower limit of detection. I show how simply replacing the initial assay measurement with the second assay measurement may be a biased approach and investigate the performance of the proposed joint model in this situation. Additionally, I compare the performance of the joint model with an approach that only uses the initial assay measurements in analysis. Further, I consider alternative designs to only performing the second assay when the initial assay measurement is below its lower detection limit. Specifically, I show that one only needs to perform the second assay on a fraction of assays that are above the lower detection limit on the first assay to substantially increase the efficiency. Further, I show the efficiency advantages of performing the second assay at random without regard to the initial assay measurement over a design in which the second assay is only performed when the initial assay is below its lower limit of detection. The methodology is illustrated with a recent study examining the use of a vaccine in treating macaques with simian immunodeficiency virus. 相似文献
6.
Behavioural research often produces data that have a complicated structure. For instance, data can represent repeated observations of the same individual and suffer from heteroscedasticity as well as other technical snags. The regression analysis of such data is often complicated by the fact that the observations (response variables) are mutually correlated. The correlation structure can be quite complex and might or might not be of direct interest to the user. In any case, one needs to take correlations into account (e.g. by means of random‐effect specification) in order to arrive at correct statistical inference (e.g. for construction of the appropriate test or confidence intervals). Over the last decade, such data have been more and more frequently analysed using repeated‐measures ANOVA and mixed‐effects models. Some researchers invoke the heavy machinery of mixed‐effects modelling to obtain the desired population‐level (marginal) inference, which can be achieved by using simpler tools – namely marginal models. This paper highlights marginal modelling (using generalized least squares [GLS] regression) as an alternative method. In various concrete situations, such marginal models can be based on fewer assumptions and directly generate estimates (population‐level parameters) which are of immediate interest to the behavioural researcher (such as population mean). Sometimes, they might be not only easier to interpret but also easier to specify than their competitors (e.g. mixed‐effects models). Using five examples from behavioural research, we demonstrate the use, advantages, limits and pitfalls of marginal and mixed‐effects models implemented within the functions of the ‘nlme’ package in R. 相似文献
7.
Danny Rojas Maria João Ramos Pereira Carlos Fonseca Liliana M. Dávalos 《Ecology letters》2018,21(3):402-410
The role of trophic specialisation in taxonomic diversification remains unclear. Plant specialists diversify faster than omnivores and animalivores, but at shorter macroevolutionary scales this pattern sometimes reverses. Here, we estimate the effect of diet diversification on speciation rates in noctilionoid bats, controlling for tree shape, rate heterogeneity and macroevolutionary regimes. We hypothesise that niche subdivision among herbivores positively relates to speciation rates, differing between macroevolutionary regimes. We found the rate at which new herbivorous lineages originate decreases as rates of diet evolution increase. Herbivores experience higher speciation rates, but generalist herbivores and predominantly herbivorous omnivores speciate faster than specialised herbivores, omnivores and animalivores. Generalised herbivory is not a dead end. We show that analysing ecological traits and diversification requires accounting for macroevolutionary regimes and within‐ and between‐clade variation in evolutionary rates. Our approach overcomes the high false‐positive rates of other methods and illuminates the roles of herbivory and specialisation in speciation. 相似文献
8.
Reservoir is a vital tool for human utilization of water resources, and the deterioration of its water quality can seriously threaten the water cycle and sustainable urban development. However, there are relatively few studies in academia that analyse and evaluate the water quality of multiple reservoirs at the same time. To address this knowledge deficit, we collected 108 water samples from three different reservoirs in Chuzhou City for 36 months (from 2019 to 2021), explored the drivers of changes in water quality parameters over time and the extent of eutrophication. Our results indicated that the water quality of the reservoirs was deteriorating during the study period, among which Huanglishu Reservoir and Shahe Reservoir reached mild eutrophic status, and both had higher eutrophication levels than Chengxi Reservoir. Secchi depth, total nitrogen and total phosphorus were the principal factors inducing eutrophication. The biassed utilization of reservoir functions was the major contributor to the discrepancy in the degree of eutrophication. Furthermore, Pearson correlation analysis revealed that there are significant correlations between many water quality parameters. Cluster analysis grouped the 12 months of each year into three clusters (stable water level period, rainy season high flow period and winter low flow period). Based on this, analysis of variance showed that most water quality parameters varied considerably between the clusters. Collectively, this study identified the actual water quality conditions of three reservoirs in Chuzhou City and provided guidance for local water quality management and environmental protection. 相似文献
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10.
Huang X 《Biometrics》2009,65(2):361-368
Summary . Generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) are widely used in the analysis of clustered data. However, the validity of likelihood-based inference in such analyses can be greatly affected by the assumed model for the random effects. We propose a diagnostic method for random-effect model misspecification in GLMMs for clustered binary response. We provide a theoretical justification of the proposed method and investigate its finite sample performance via simulation. The proposed method is applied to data from a longitudinal respiratory infection study. 相似文献
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Summary . This article considers the modeling of single-dose pharmacokinetic data. Traditionally, so-called compartmental models have been used to analyze such data. Unfortunately, the mean function of such models are sums of exponentials for which inference and computation may not be straightforward. We present an alternative to these models based on generalized linear models, for which desirable statistical properties exist, with a logarithmic link and gamma distribution. The latter has a constant coefficient of variation, which is often appropriate for pharmacokinetic data. Inference is convenient from either a likelihood or a Bayesian perspective. We consider models for both single and multiple individuals, the latter via generalized linear mixed models. For single individuals, Bayesian computation may be carried out with recourse to simulation. We describe a rejection algorithm that, unlike Markov chain Monte Carlo, produces independent samples from the posterior and allows straightforward calculation of Bayes factors for model comparison. We also illustrate how prior distributions may be specified in terms of model-free pharmacokinetic parameters of interest. The methods are applied to data from 12 individuals following administration of the antiasthmatic agent theophylline. 相似文献
13.
Maíra Blumer Fatoretto Rafael de Andrade Moral Clarice Garcia Borges Demétrio Christopher Silva de Pádua Vinicius Menarin Víctor Manuel Arévalo Rojas 《Biocontrol Science and Technology》2018,28(11):1034-1053
ABSTRACTProportion data from dose-response experiments are often overdispersed, characterised by a larger variance than assumed by the standard binomial model. Here, we present different models proposed in the literature that incorporate overdispersion. We also discuss how to select the best model to describe the data and present, using R software, specific code used to fit and interpret binomial, quasi-binomial, beta-binomial, and binomial-normal models, as well as to assess goodness-of-fit. We illustrate applications of these generalized linear models and generalized linear mixed models with a case study from a biological control experiment, where different isolates of Isaria fumosorosea (Hypocreales: Cordycipitaceae) were used to assess which ones presented higher resistance to UV-B radiation. We show how to test for differences between isolates and also how to statistically group isolates presenting a similar behaviour. 相似文献
14.
Summary Joint models are used to rigorously explore the relationship between the dynamics of biomarkers and clinical events. In the context of HIV infection, where the multivariate dynamics of HIV‐RNA and CD4 are complex, a mechanistic approach based on a system of nonlinear differential equations naturally takes into account the correlation between the biomarkers. Using data from a randomized clinical trial comparing dual antiretroviral therapy to a single drug regimen, a full maximum likelihood approach is proposed to explore the relationship between the evolution of the biomarkers and the time to a clinical event. The role of each marker as an independent predictor of disease progression is assessed. We show that the joint dynamics of HIV‐RNA and CD4 captures the effect of antiretroviral treatment; the CD4 dynamics alone is found to capture most but not all of the treatment effect. 相似文献
15.
Summary We used a complete block design to experimentally study direct and indirect interactions in a three trophic-level freshwater system consisting of a top predator, the green sunfish, Lepomis cyanellus, an intermediate predator, small-mouthed salamander larvae, Ambystoma barbouri, and prey, hatchling isopods, Lirceus fontinalis. This system occurs naturally in small stream pools in central Kentucky; experiments were done in laboratory pools. Salamander larvae ate isopods and thus had a direct, negative effect on isopod survival. Accordingly, isopods responded to the presence of salamander larvae by increasing their tendency to bury themselves in the sand substrate. Fish ate salamanders and thus had a direct, negative effect on salamander survival. Salamanders responded to fish presence by increasing their time spent under plexiglass plates that simulate refuge rocks. The overall effect of fish on isopods depended on the presence of salamanders. In the absence of salamanders, fish predation on isopods had a direct, negative effect on isopod survival; isopods thus responded to the presence of fish by burying themselves in the sand. With salamanders present, fish had a positive overall effect on isopod survival; i.e., direct, negative effects of fish on isopods were outweighed by indirect, positive effects. Indirect positive effects of fish on isopods came through a reduction in salamander predation rates on isopods in the presence of fish. The mechanism involved both a decrease in the number of salamanders (a trophic-linkage indirect effect; cf. Miller and Kerfoot 1987) and a reduction in the feeding rate of individual salamanders on isopods (a behavioral indirect effect). The decrease in individual salamander feeding rates on isopods was due to reductions in both salamander activity and in spatial overlap between salamanders and isopods in the presence of fish. The latter effect reflected the fact that salamanders and isopods used different refuges from fish; salamanders went under refuge plates, whereas isopods primarily buried themselves in sand. Estimates of the relative importance of various direct and indirect effects of sunfish on isopods suggested that positive, behavioral indirect effects were of roughly the same magnitude as direct, negative effects, both of which were more important than were trophic-linkage indirect effects. Contrary to expectations, the presence of isopods did not affect the refuge use or survival of salamanders in the presence of fish. 相似文献
16.
Sixty three percent of the nitrogen (total transported 2041 × 103 kg y–1) and 17% of the phosphorus (total 159 × 103 kg y–1) supplied from terrestrial sources to Vejle Fjord during the period September 1988 to October 1989 is exported to the Kattegat. The sediment nutrient concentrations in the estuary are mainly governed by hydrography and resuspension. The general wind-induced circulation consists of outgoing currents along the southern side and ingoing currents along the northern side of the estuary. The sediments in shallow water on the southern side had higher concentrations of nutrients.Resuspension resulted in large differences between gross sedimentation and net sedimentation, especially in shallow water. Gross sedimentation of total-N in shallow water was 819 × 103 kg y–1 compared to a net sedimentation of 19 × 103 kg y–1. The shallow water areas in the estuary (10% of the area), had a net sedimentation of total-N which was less than 1% of the supply.Wave-induced resuspension only occurs in exposed parts of the deep water area, when wind velocities exceed 10 m s–1. The concentration of nutrients in the sediments was found to increase with distance from the river (the source) and with increasing depth, as a result of resuspension near the river mouth in the inner part of the estuary. In sheltered parts of the estuary there was no wave-induced resuspension and the net sedimentation equals gross sedimentation. The rate of sedimentation in deep water areas was 12.2 g m–2y–1 for total-N and 2.1 gm–2y–1 for total-P. 相似文献
17.
于2000年调查了广东省18座大中型供水水库的水质现状并探讨了浮游生物对营养水平的响应。总氮、总磷、透明度和叶绿素a分别为0.15~7.15mg/L、0.003~0.387mg/L、0.4~6.3m和0.6~32.3ug/L。总氮、总磷、透明度均与叶绿素a呈较高的相关性。根据这4个因子的综合加权营养状态指数为23.7~55.1,季节差异不大,大多数水库处于中营养状态。金藻在中-富及富营养型水库中没有分布,而蓝藻、绿藻、硅藻和甲藻在调查水库中均有比较广的营养生态位,但它们的密度及相对优势度在各营养型水库中有一定的差异。高营养水平水库有较高的细胞密度和叶绿素a含量。营养水平较低的水库浮游植物以硅藻-甲藻、硅藻-绿藻或金藻-硅藻为主;营养水平较高的水库以蓝藻-硅藻或蓝藻-绿藻为主,并有较高的裸藻密度。浮游动物基本上以桡足类为优势种群,但在中-富营养和富营养型水库中,哲水蚤种类比低营养型水库中少。枝角类优势种类在各营养型水库差别不大。轮虫对水体营养水平的响应相对比较显著。低营养水平水库的轮虫以广营养型、中营养型或寡中营养型种类为主,种类数目比较少;富营养和中-富营养型水库的轮虫以喜在中营养到富营养条件下生长的种类为主,且轮虫种类数目比较多。 相似文献
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1. Rainbow (Oncorhynchus mykiss) and brown trout (Salmo trutta) are widespread and invasive salmonids with important lethal effects as predators, although indirect effects are also possible. We used stable isotope analyses (δ15N, δ13C) to explore how the density of invasive trout in 25 Patagonian lakes alters the trophic niche (TN) of a widespread native fish, Galaxias platei (Galaxiidae). We also explored how the density of the galaxiid influences the TN of invasive trout. 2. We quantified two aspects of the TN: (i) the proportion of littoral carbon (PL) and (ii) trophic height (TH) (i.e. the ‘height’ at which the fish feeds in the food web). We related these measures of TN in a given species to the density of other species (as estimated by catch‐per‐unit‐effort). 3. As G. platei body size increased, their PL increased (increasing littoral feeding) in several lakes. However, none of the fish species investigated showed changes in PL with increasing density of the other fish species. TH increased with body size in all three species. In addition, the TH of large G. platei declined with increasing trout density and, reciprocally, the TH of large S. trutta decreased with decreasing G. platei density. 4. The reciprocal effects of native and the invasive fish on TH were as large as a shift of one trophic level. This pattern is consistent with an exhaustion of galaxiid prey for both piscivorous G. platei and S. trutta in lakes with high trout density. 5. These finding support the suggested management strategy of culling trout from overpopulated lakes, which should simultaneously protect native fish and enhance a lucrative sport fishery for large trout. 相似文献
20.
Summary HIV dynamics studies, based on differential equations, have significantly improved the knowledge on HIV infection. While first studies used simplified short‐term dynamic models, recent works considered more complex long‐term models combined with a global analysis of whole patient data based on nonlinear mixed models, increasing the accuracy of the HIV dynamic analysis. However statistical issues remain, given the complexity of the problem. We proposed to use the SAEM (stochastic approximation expectation‐maximization) algorithm, a powerful maximum likelihood estimation algorithm, to analyze simultaneously the HIV viral load decrease and the CD4 increase in patients using a long‐term HIV dynamic system. We applied the proposed methodology to the prospective COPHAR2–ANRS 111 trial. Very satisfactory results were obtained with a model with latent CD4 cells defined with five differential equations. One parameter was fixed, the 10 remaining parameters (eight with between‐patient variability) of this model were well estimated. We showed that the efficacy of nelfinavir was reduced compared to indinavir and lopinavir. 相似文献