Relationship between the Bolsa Família national cash transfer programme and suicide incidence in Brazil: A quasi-experimental study

BackgroundSocioeconomic factors have been consistently associated with suicide, and economic recessions are linked to rising suicide rates. However, evidence on the impact of socioeconomic interventions to reduce suicide rates is limited. This study investigates the association of the world’s largest conditional cash transfer programme with suicide rates in a cohort of half of the Brazilian population.Methods and findingsWe used data from the 100 Million Brazilian Cohort, covering a 12-year period (2004 to 2015). It comprises socioeconomic and demographic information on 114,008,317 individuals, linked to the “Bolsa Família” programme (BFP) payroll database, and nationwide death registration data. BFP was implemented by the Brazilian government in 2004. We estimated the association of BFP using inverse probability of treatment weighting, estimating the weights for BFP beneficiaries (weight = 1) and nonbeneficiaries by the inverse probability of receiving treatment (weight = E(ps)/(1-E(ps))). We used an average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) estimator and fitted Poisson models to estimate the incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for suicide associated with BFP experience. At the cohort baseline, BFP beneficiaries were younger (median age 27.4 versus 35.4), had higher unemployment rates (56% versus 32%), a lower level of education, resided in rural areas, and experienced worse household conditions. There were 36,742 suicide cases among the 76,532,158 individuals aged 10 years, or older, followed for 489,500,000 person-years at risk. Suicide rates among beneficiaries and nonbeneficiaries were 5.4 (95% CI = 5.32, 5.47, p < 0.001) and 10.7 (95% CI = 10.51, 10.87, p < 0.001) per 100,000 individuals, respectively. BFP beneficiaries had a lower suicide rate than nonbeneficiaries (IRR = 0.44, 95% CI = 0.42, 0.45, p < 0.001). This association was stronger among women (IRR = 0.36, 95% CI = 0.33, 0.38, p < 0.001), and individuals aged between 25 and 59 (IRR = 0.41, 95% CI = 0.40, 0.43, p < 0.001). Study limitations include a lack of control for previous mental disorders and access to means of suicide, and the possible under-registration of suicide cases due to stigma.ConclusionsWe observed that BFP was associated with lower suicide rates, with similar results in all sensitivity analyses. These findings should help to inform policymakers and health authorities to better design suicide prevention strategies. Targeting social determinants using cash transfer programmes could be important in limiting suicide, which is predicted to rise with the economic recession, consequent to the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.

In a quasi-experimental study, Daiane Borges Machado and colleagues investigate the association between rates of suicide and the Bolsa Familia cash transfer program in the 100 Million Brazilian Cohort.     

A national study of alcohol consumption patterns among population-based U.S. cancer survivors compared with cancer-free individuals

BackgroundThis study characterized alcohol consumption behaviors among adult cancer survivors and determined how these behaviors compared with cancer-free individuals using NHANES data (1999–2016).MethodsAdjusted odds ratios (aOR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated using multinomial logistic regression for the association between cancer survivors vs cancer-free individuals and odds of drinking status (former/current/never drinkers), accounting for demographic and socioeconomic factors. Among current drinkers, multivariable logistic regression was used to calculate the aORs for binge drinking and exceeding moderate drinking. Results: A total of 3113 survivors and 39,527 cancer-free individuals were included. Cancer survivors were less likely to be current drinkers (63.4% vs. 72.6% in cancer-free) and were more likely to be former drinkers (24.4% vs. 15.5% in cancer-free). Cancer survivors had significant lower odds of being current vs. never drinkers (aOR, 0.84, 95% CI: 0.71–0.99). By cancer types, cervical cancer survivors were more likely to be binge drinkers (aOR, 2.51, 95% CI: 1.27–4.92), particularly among women aged ≥ 55 years (aOR, 6.90, 95% CI: 1.28–37.3).ConclusionGiven the high odds of binge drinking among cervical cancer survivors, public health strategies are needed to reduce alcohol consumption in this group.     

Stage IV colorectal cancer primary site and patterns of distant metastasis

BackgroundAlthough colorectal cancer (CRC) usually metastasizes to the liver and/or lungs, factors influencing the anatomic pattern of metastases remain poorly understood.MethodsWe assessed the relationship between primary CRC site and pattern of synchronous metastasis among 1202 individuals diagnosed with incident metastatic CRC between 2010 and 2014 and identified through the Seattle-Puget Sound Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry. Polytomous logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between primary tumor site and synchronous metastatic pattern.ResultsCompared to patients with proximal colon primaries, patients with rectal primaries were more likely to present with lungs-only or liver and lungs metastases versus liver-only metastases (OR_{lungs–onlyvs.liver-only}: 2.39, 95% CI: 1.35–4.24, OR_{liver+lungsvs.liver-only}: 2.20, 95% CI: 1.46–3.32).ConclusionThese findings suggest that patients with rectal primaries are more likely than patients with colon primaries to present with synchronous lung metastases.     

Socioeconomic inequalities in prevalence and development of multimorbidity across adulthood: A longitudinal analysis of the MRC 1946 National Survey of Health and Development in the UK

BackgroundWe aimed to estimate multimorbidity trajectories and quantify socioeconomic inequalities based on childhood and adulthood socioeconomic position (SEP) in the risks and rates of multimorbidity accumulation across adulthood.Methods and findingsParticipants from the UK 1946 National Survey of Health and Development (NSHD) birth cohort study who attended the age 36 years assessment in 1982 and any one of the follow-up assessments at ages 43, 53, 63, and 69 years (N = 3,723, 51% males). Information on 18 health conditions was based on a combination of self-report, biomarkers, health records, and prescribed medications. We estimated multimorbidity trajectories and delineated socioeconomic inequalities (based on childhood and adulthood social class and highest education) in multimorbidity at each age and in longitudinal trajectories.Multimorbidity increased with age (0.7 conditions at 36 years to 3.7 at 69 years). Multimorbidity accumulation was nonlinear, accelerating with age at the rate of 0.08 conditions/year (95% CI 0.07 to 0.09, p < 0.001) at 36 to 43 years to 0.19 conditions/year (95% CI 0.18 to 0.20, p < 0.001) at 63 to 69 years. At all ages, the most socioeconomically disadvantaged had 1.2 to 1.4 times greater number of conditions on average compared to the most advantaged. The most disadvantaged by each socioeconomic indicator experienced an additional 0.39 conditions (childhood social class), 0.83 (adult social class), and 1.08 conditions (adult education) at age 69 years, independent of all other socioeconomic indicators. Adverse adulthood SEP was associated with more rapid accumulation of multimorbidity, resulting in 0.49 excess conditions in partly/unskilled compared to professional/intermediate individuals between 63 and 69 years. Disadvantaged childhood social class, independently of adulthood SEP, was associated with accelerated multimorbidity trajectories from age 53 years onwards.Study limitations include that the NSHD cohort is composed of individuals of white European heritage only, and findings may not be generalizable to the non-white British population of the same generation and did not account for other important dimensions of SEP such as income and wealth.ConclusionsIn this study, we found that socioeconomically disadvantaged individuals have earlier onset and more rapid accumulation of multimorbidity resulting in widening inequalities into old age, with independent contributions from both childhood and adulthood SEP.

Amal Khanolkar and co-workers study associations between multimorbidity and socioeconomic position in the UK.     

Melioidosis–a disease of socioeconomic disadvantage

BackgroundThere is growing recognition of the contribution of the social determinants of health to the burden of many infectious diseases. However, the relationship between socioeconomic status and the incidence and outcome of melioidosis is incompletely defined.MethodsAll residents of Far North Queensland, tropical Australia with culture-proven melioidosis between January 1998 and December 2020 were eligible for the study. Their demographics, comorbidities and socioeconomic status were correlated with their clinical course. Socioeconomic status was determined using the Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage score, a measure of socioeconomic disadvantage developed by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Socioeconomic disadvantage was defined as residence in a region with a SEIFA score in the lowest decile in Australia.Results321 eligible individuals were diagnosed with melioidosis during the study period, 174 (54.2%) identified as Indigenous Australians; 223/321 (69.5%) were bacteraemic, 85/321 (26.5%) required Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission and 37/321 (11.5%) died. 156/321 (48.6%) were socioeconomically disadvantaged, compared with 56603/269002 (21.0%) of the local general population (p<0.001). Socioeconomically disadvantaged patients were younger, more likely to be female, Indigenous, diabetic or have renal disease. They were also more likely to die prior to hospital discharge (26/156 (16.7%) versus 11/165 (6.7%), p = 0.002) and to die at a younger age (median (IQR) age: 50 (38–68) versus 65 (59–81) years, p = 0.02). In multivariate analysis that included age, Indigenous status, the presence of bacteraemia, ICU admission and the year of hospitalisation, only socioeconomic disadvantage (odds ratio (OR) (95% confidence interval (CI)): 2.49 (1.16–5.35), p = 0.02) and ICU admission (OR (95% CI): 4.79 (2.33–9.86), p<0.001) were independently associated with death.ConclusionMelioidosis is disease of socioeconomic disadvantage. A more holistic approach to the delivery of healthcare which addresses the social determinants of health is necessary to reduce the burden of this life-threatening disease.     

Rural patients are at risk for increased stage at presentation and diminished overall survival in osteosarcoma

BackgroundThere is an undefined relationship between access to regional referral centers and whether the eventual oncologic outcomes are influenced by distance, travel time, or residence in a rural community.MethodsWe used the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) Program Database to capture all cases of high-grade osteosarcoma from 1990 to 2014 in Iowa, Utah, and New Mexico. Using univariate, Kaplan Meier survival analysis, and multivariate Cox proportional hazards modeling we analyzed patient and tumor characteristics.ResultsA total of 476 patients met the study criteria. There was an increased incidence of metastases for patients residing in a county with a greater than 2 -h drive to the nearest comprehensive cancer center (p = 0.021). Individuals residing in “rural” counties and “very rural” counties showed decreased 5-year survival (p = 0.007 and 0.003, respectively) when compared to those living in areas of higher population density. A multivariate regression analysis showed that the presence of metastasis (HR = 2.78 [95% CI: 1.88–4.10], p < 0.0001) and rural status (HR = 1.58 [95% CI: 1.03–2.43], p = 0.037) were risk factors for mortality when controlling for size of the tumor.ConclusionThe travel time to the nearest comprehensive center was associated with an increased incidence of metastasis on presentation in patients with osteosarcoma. Metastasis and rural status were independent risk factors for mortality. This investigation suggests that individuals living in rural counties may experience barriers to presentation, treatment, or surveillance that are not present in areas with a higher population density.     

Incidence patterns of childhood non-Wilms renal tumors: Comparing data of the Nationwide Registry of Childhood Hematological Malignancies and Solid Tumors (NARECHEM-ST), Greece,and the Surveillance,Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER), USA

BackgroundWe used, for the first time, data registered in the Nationwide Registry for Childhood Hematological Malignancies and Solid Tumors (NARECHEM-ST)-Greece to estimate incidence/time trends of the rare childhood (0–14 years) non-Wilms tumors (non-WT), and compared the results of malignant non-WT to those from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER)-USA.MethodsFifty-five cases (n = 33 malignant-only) were extracted from NARECHEM-ST (2001–2020) and 332 malignant cases from SEER (1990–2017). To allow between-country comparisons, age-standardized incidence rates (AIR) of malignant-only non-WT were calculated, and temporal trends were evaluated using Poisson and joinpoint regressions.ResultsIn NARECHEM-ST, malignant and non-malignant non-WT accounted for 22.6% of all renal tumors. Among malignant tumors, the AIR was 1.0/10⁶ children in Greece, similar to that calculated for SEER, USA (AIR=0.9/10⁶). The proportion of infant malignant and non-malignant non-WT was 27% (20% before 6 months) in NARECHEM-ST. Most common non-WT in Greece were congenital mesoblastic nephromas (CMN) diagnosed mainly in infancy (CIR=7.2/10⁶). The proportion of infant malignant non-WT was 20% in SEER (AIR_infancy=2.5/10⁶), mainly attributed to rhabdoid tumors (CIR=1.6/10⁶). The male-to-female (M:F) ratio of malignant non-WT was 0.9 in NARECHEM-ST vs. 1.2 in SEER, whereas boys outnumbered girls with clear cell sarcoma in NARECHEM-ST (M:F=4.0). Lastly, significantly increasing trends in incidence rates were noted in NARECHEM-ST [+ 6.8%, 95% confidence intervals (CI): 0.5, 13.3] and in SEER (+7.3%, 95%CI: 5.6, 9.0).ConclusionsObserved incidence, time trends and sociodemographic variations of non-WT may reflect differential registration practices and healthcare delivery patterns including differences regarding surveillance, coding and treatment practices.     

Obesity and its socioeconomic determinants in Iran

ObjectiveTo investigate the socioeconomic inequality of obesity and its determinants in Iran.MethodsData was from Iran's surveillance system for risk factors of non-communicable diseases which was conducted on 89,400 individuals aged 15–64 years in 2005. Principal component analysis was used to create a new variable for defining socioeconomic status of participants. We assessed inequality by calculating a slop index of inequality and concentration index for obesity. Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition analysis was used to determine the determinants of inequality.ResultsThe slop index of inequality and concentration index for obesity was −13.1 (95% Confidence Intervals [CI]: −16.3 to −9.8) percentage points and −0.123, respectively. The level of inequality varied widely between different provinces in Iran and was more severe in women and urban population. Obesity persisted in 20.2% (95% CI: 19.4–20.9) of the low-socioeconomic group and 11.0% (95% CI: 10.5–11.6) of the high-socioeconomic group. More than 90% of this gap was due to differences of independent variables (mainly age, gender and marital status) in two socioeconomic status groups.ConclusionsA pro-rich inequality existed in the obesity in Iran. Older age, female gender and rural residency contributed most to the economic inequality of obesity.     

All-cause and cause-specific mortality during and following incarceration in Brazil: A retrospective cohort study

BackgroundMortality during and after incarceration is poorly understood in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). The need to address this knowledge gap is especially urgent in South America, which has the fastest growing prison population in the world. In Brazil, insufficient data have precluded our understanding of all-cause and cause-specific mortality during and after incarceration.Methods and findingsWe linked incarceration and mortality databases for the Brazilian state of Mato Grosso do Sul to obtain a retrospective cohort of 114,751 individuals with recent incarceration. Between January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2018, we identified 3,127 deaths of individuals with recent incarceration (705 in detention and 2,422 following release). We analyzed age-standardized, all-cause, and cause-specific mortality rates among individuals detained in different facility types and following release, compared to non-incarcerated residents. We additionally modeled mortality rates over time during and after incarceration for all causes of death, violence, or suicide. Deaths in custody were 2.2 times the number reported by the national prison administration (n = 317). Incarcerated men and boys experienced elevated mortality, compared with the non-incarcerated population, due to increased risk of death from violence, suicide, and communicable diseases, with the highest standardized incidence rate ratio (IRR) in semi-open prisons (2.4; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.0 to 2.8), police stations (3.1; 95% CI: 2.5 to 3.9), and youth detention (8.1; 95% CI: 5.9 to 10.8). Incarcerated women experienced increased mortality from suicide (IRR = 6.0, 95% CI: 1.2 to 17.7) and communicable diseases (IRR = 2.5, 95% CI: 1.1 to 5.0). Following release from prison, mortality was markedly elevated for men (IRR = 3.0; 95% CI: 2.8 to 3.1) and women (IRR = 2.4; 95% CI: 2.1 to 2.9). The risk of violent death and suicide was highest immediately post-release and declined over time; however, all-cause mortality remained elevated 8 years post-release. The limitations of this study include inability to establish causality, uncertain reliability of data during incarceration, and underestimation of mortality rates due to imperfect database linkage.ConclusionsIncarcerated individuals in Brazil experienced increased mortality from violence, suicide, and communicable diseases. Mortality was heightened following release for all leading causes of death, with particularly high risk of early violent death and elevated all-cause mortality up to 8 years post-release. These disparities may have been underrecognized in Brazil due to underreporting and insufficient data.

In a retrospective cohort study, Yiran E Liu and colleagues investigate all-cause and cause-specific mortality during and following incarceration in Brazil.     

Survival disparities for childhood cancers exist when defined by race/ethnicity and sex

BackgroundThere are documented racial/ethnic and sex differences in pediatric cancer survival; however, it is unknown whether pediatric cancer survival disparities exist when race/ethnicity and sex are considered jointly.MethodsUsing SEER data (2000–2017), we estimated survival differences by race/ethnicity within sexes and by sex within race/ethnicity (White, Black, Hispanic, and Asian/Pacific Islander [API]) for 17 cancers in children aged (0–19 years). Kaplan-Meier curves (Log-Rank p-values) were assessed. Cox regression was used to estimate hazards ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (95 % CIs) between race/ethnicity/sex and cancer.ResultsWe included 51,759 cases (53.6 % male, 51.9 % White). There were statistically significant differences in 18-year survival by race/ethnicity-sex for 12/17 cancers. Within sexes, minorities had an increased risk of death compared to Whites for various cancers including acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) (females: HispanicHR: 1.78, 95 % CI: 1.52, 2.10; BlackHR: 1.70, 95 % CI: 1.29, 2.24; APIHR: 1.42, 95 % CI: 1.07–1.89; males ALL: HispanicHR: 1.58, 95 % CI: 1.39,1.79; BlackHR: 1.57, 95 % CI: 1.26,1,95; API-HR: 1.39, 95 % CI: 1.11, 1.75) and astrocytoma (females: HispanicHR: 1.49, 95 % CI: 1.19, 1.85; BlackHR: 1.67, 95 % CI: 1.29, 2.17; API-HR: 1.51, 95 % CI: 1.05, 2.15; males: HispanicHR:1.27, 95 % CI: 1.04, 1.56; BlackHR: 1.69, 95 % CI: 1.32, 2.17; API-HR: 1.92, 95 % CI: 1.43, 2.58). Sex differences in survival within racial/ethnic groups were observed for White (ALL, osteosarcoma), Hispanic (medulloblastoma), and API (Primitive Neuro-Ectodermal Tumor [PNET]) children.ConclusionsThere are disparities in survival by both race/ethnicity and sex highlighting the societal and biologic influences these features have on survival in children with cancer.     

Reconsidering the relation between serum homocysteine and red blood cell distribution width: a cross-sectional study of a large cohort

Purpose: In a recent small sample study, red blood cell distribution width (RDW) was suggested as a predictor of homocysteine levels. The current study was aimed to reexamine this association in a large scale sample.

Methods: A retrospective cross-sectional study of healthy adults, conducted at Rabin Medical Center, during 2000–2014. Data were retrieved from the medical charts and a logistic regression controlling for interfering factors was carried out. Sensitivity analysis was implemented by exclusion of individuals with anaemia.

Results: Five thousand, five hundred fifty-four healthy individuals were included. Mean serum homocysteine level was 10.10 (SD 2.72) μmol/L. 34.4% of the study population had a homocysteine level higher than the upper limit of normal (10.8?μmol/L). Homocysteine showed no association with RDW (OR 1.00; 95% CI 0.97–1.03), but increased with age (OR 1.05; 95% CI 1.04–1.06) and decreased with a rise in haemoglobin (OR 0.77; 95% CI 0.71–0.83), and in the mean corpuscular volume (OR 0.86; 95% CI 0.85–0.88). Exclusion of individuals with anaemia did not reveal an association between homocysteine and RDW but found a somewhat smaller association between haemoglobin and RDW [OR 0.82; 95% CI 0.73–0.91].

Conclusions: In our large scale sample we did not find an association between RDW and serum homocysteine.     

Social determinants of the changing tuberculosis prevalence in Việt Nam: Analysis of population-level cross-sectional studies

BackgroundAn ecological relationship between economic development and reduction in tuberculosis prevalence has been observed. Between 2007 and 2017, Việt Nam experienced rapid economic development with equitable distribution of resources and a 37% reduction in tuberculosis prevalence. Analysing consecutive prevalence surveys, we examined how the reduction in tuberculosis (and subclinical tuberculosis) prevalence was concentrated between socioeconomic groups.Methods and findingsWe combined data from 2 nationally representative Việt Nam tuberculosis prevalence surveys with provincial-level measures of poverty. Data from 94,156 (2007) and 61,763 (2017) individuals were included. Of people with microbiologically confirmed tuberculosis, 21.6% (47/218) in 2007 and 29.0% (36/124) in 2017 had subclinical disease. We constructed an asset index using principal component analysis of consumption data. An illness concentration index was estimated to measure socioeconomic position inequality in tuberculosis prevalence. The illness concentration index changed from −0.10 (95% CI −0.08, −0.16; p = 0.003) in 2007 to 0.07 (95% CI 0.06, 0.18; p = 0.158) in 2017, indicating that tuberculosis was concentrated among the poorest households in 2007, with a shift towards more equal distribution between rich and poor households in 2017. This finding was similar for subclinical tuberculosis. We fitted multilevel models to investigate relationships between change in tuberculosis prevalence, individual risks, household socioeconomic position, and neighbourhood poverty. Controlling for provincial poverty level reduced the difference in prevalence, suggesting that changes in neighbourhood poverty contribute to the explanation of change in tuberculosis prevalence. A limitation of our study is that while tuberculosis prevalence surveys are valuable for understanding socioeconomic differences in tuberculosis prevalence in countries, given that tuberculosis is a relatively rare disease in the population studied, there is limited power to explore socioeconomic drivers. However, combining repeated cross-sectional surveys with provincial deprivation estimates during a period of remarkable economic growth provides valuable insights into the dynamics of the relationship between tuberculosis and economic development in Việt Nam.ConclusionsWe found that with equitable economic growth and a reduction in tuberculosis burden, tuberculosis became less concentrated among the poor in Việt Nam.

Nicola Foster and colleagues examine social and economic determinants of the changing tuberculosis prevalence in Việt Nam.     

Evaluation of disparities in maintaining healthy lifestyle behaviors among female cancer survivors by race/ethnicity and US nativity

BackgroundThere are well-known racial/ethnic disparities in maintaining healthy lifestyle behaviors throughout cancer survivorship among US-born women. Less is known about these associations among women born outside the US, as these women may experience disparities in survivorship care due to the lack of access to culturally appropriate health services. We evaluated disparities in the associations between race/ethnicity and US nativity and the likelihood of meeting recommendations for maintaining a healthy lifestyle during cancer survivorship.Methods2044 female cancer survivors contributed data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) (1999–2018). Adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated with multivariable logistic regression models to measure the association between independent variables (race/ethnicity, US nativity, length of time in the US) and outcomes (obesity, meeting weekly physical activity (PA) recommendations, smoking history, alcoholic drinks/day) overall and by comorbidity.ResultsMost survivors were breast cancer survivors (27.6 %), non-Hispanic white (64.2 %), and US native (84.5 %). Compared to US native survivors, foreign-born survivors were less likely (aOR, 0.30, 95 % CI, 0.10–0.87) to not meet PA recommendations, while foreign-born survivors living in the US ≥ 15 years were 2.30 times more likely (95 % CI, 1.12–4.73) to not meet PA recommendations. Having at least one comorbidity modified (p-interaction< 0.05) the relationships between US nativity and length of time in the US.ConclusionOur findings provide new evidence for disparities in maintaining healthy lifestyle behaviors among female cancer survivors and can help inform lifestyle interventions for female cancer survivors from different racial/ethnic backgrounds.     

Impact of Income Inequality and Other Social Determinants on Suicide Rate in Brazil

Studies about suicide worldwide have mainly focused on individual-level psychiatric risk factors. In Brazil, suicide is an important public health problem. Brazil has evidenced important socioeconomic changes over the last decades, leading to decreasing income inequality. However, the impact of income inequality on suicide rate has never been studied in the country.

Purpose

To analyze whether income inequality and other social determinants are associated with suicide rate in Brazil.

Method

This study used panel data from all 5,507 Brazilian municipalities from 2000 to 2011. Suicide rates were calculated by sex and standardized by age for each municipality and year. The independent variables of the regression model included the Gini Index, per capita income, percentage of individuals with up to eight years of education, urbanization, average number of residents per household, percentage of divorced people, of Catholics, Pentecostals, and Evangelicals. A multivariable negative binomial regression for panel data with fixed-effects specification was performed.

Results

The Gini index was positively associated with suicide rates; the rate ratio (RR) was 1.055 (95% CI: 1.011–1.101). Of the other social determinants, income had a significant negative association with suicide rates (RR: 0.968, 95% CI: 0.948–0.988), whereas a low-level education had a positive association (RR: 1.015, 95% CI: 1.010–1.021).

Conclusions

Income inequality represents a community-level risk factor for suicide rates in Brazil. The decrease in income inequality, increase in income per capita, and decrease in the percentage of individuals who did not complete basic studies may have counteracted the increase in suicides in the last decade. Other changes, such as the decrease in the mean residents per household, may have contributed to their increase. Therefore, the implementation of social policies that may improve the population’s socioeconomic conditions and reduce income inequality in Brazil, and in other low and middle-income countries, can help to reduce suicide rates.     

Community-acquired infections and their association with myeloid malignancies

Introduction: Antigenic stimulation is a proposed aetiologic mechanism for many haematological malignancies. Limited evidence suggests that community-acquired infections may increase the risk of acute myeloid leukaemia (AML) and myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). However, associations with other myeloid malignancies including chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML) and myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) are unknown. Materials and methods: Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Result (SEER)-Medicare database, fourteen community-acquired infections were compared between myeloid malignancy patients [AML (n = 8489), CML (n = 3626) diagnosed 1992–2005; MDS (n = 3072) and MPNs (n = 2001) diagnosed 2001–2005; and controls (200,000 for AML/CML and 97,681 for MDS/MPN]. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals were adjusted for gender, age and year of selection excluding infections diagnosed in the 13-month period prior to selection to reduce reverse causality. Results: Risk of AML and MDS respectively, were significantly associated with respiratory tract infections, bronchitis (ORs 1.20 [95% CI: 1.14–1.26], 1.25 [95% CI: 1.16–1.36]), influenza (ORs 1.16 [95% CI: 1.07–1.25], 1.29 [95% CI: 1.16–1.44]), pharyngitis (ORs 1.13 [95% CI: 1.06–1.21], 1.22 [95% CI: 1.11–1.35]), pneumonia (ORs 1.28 [95% CI: 1.21–1.36], 1.52 [95% CI: 1.40–1.66]), sinusitis (ORs 1.23 [95% CI: 1.16–1.30], 1.25 [95% CI: 1.15–1.36]) as was cystitis (ORs 1.13 [95% CI: 1.07–1.18], 1.26 [95% CI: 1.17–1.36]). Cellulitis (OR 1.51 [95% CI: 1.39–1.64]), herpes zoster (OR 1.31 [95% CI: 1.14–1.50]) and gastroenteritis (OR 1.38 [95% CI: 1.17–1.64]) were more common in MDS patients than controls. For CML, associations were limited to bronchitis (OR 1.21 [95% CI: 1.12–1.31]), pneumonia (OR 1.49 [95% CI: 1.37–1.62]), sinusitis (OR 1.19 [95% CI: 1.09–1.29]) and cellulitis (OR 1.43 [95% CI: 1.32–1.55]) following Bonferroni correction. Only cellulitis (OR 1.34 [95% CI: 1.21–1.49]) remained significant in MPN patients. Many infections remained elevated when more than 6 years of preceding claims data were excluded. Discussion: Common community-acquired infections may be important in the malignant transformation of the myeloid lineage. Differences in the aetiology of classic MPNs and other myeloid malignancies require further exploration.     

All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality after Long-Term Sickness Absence for Psychiatric Disorders: A Prospective Cohort Study

Objective

The aim was to examine if long-term psychiatric sickness absence was associated with all-cause and diagnosis-specific (cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer and suicide) mortality for the period 1990–2007. An additional aim was to examine these associations for psychiatric sickness absence in 1990 and 2000, with follow-up on mortality during 1991–1997 and 2001–2007, separately.

Methods

Employees within municipalities and county councils, 244,990 individuals in 1990 and 764,137 individuals in 2000, were followed up to 2007 through register linkages. Analyses were conducted with flexible parametric survival models comparing sickness absentees due to psychiatric diagnoses (>90 days) with those not receiving sick leave benefit.

Results

Long-term sickness absence for psychiatric disorders was associated with an increased risk of mortality due to all causes; CVD; cancer (smoking and non-smoking related); and suicide during the period 1990–2007. After full adjustment for socio-demographic covariates and previous inpatient care due to somatic and psychiatric diagnoses, these associations remained significant for all-cause mortality (Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI)): HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.3–1.8; CVD: HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.0–1.9, and suicide: HR 3.84, 95% CI 2.4–6.1. For both cohorts 1990 and 2000 estimates point in the same direction. For the time-period 2000–2007, we found increased risks of mortality in the fully adjusted model due to all causes: HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.2–1.7; CVD: HR 1.83, 95% CI 1.2–2.7; overall cancer: HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.0–1.7; and suicide: HR 2.15, 95% CI 1.3–3.7.

Conclusion

Long-term sickness absence for psychiatric disorders predicted premature mortality from all-causes, cardiovascular disease, cancer, and suicide.     

The prognostic value of circulating tumor DNA in patients with melanoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BackgroundCirculating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has been investigated as a potential prognostic biomarker to evaluate the therapeutic efficacy and disease progression in melanoma patients, yet results remain inconclusive. The purpose of this study was to illustrate the prognostic value of ctDNA in melanoma.ObjectivesTo describe the clinical prognostic value of ctDNA for melanoma patients.MethodsSearched for eligible articles from Pubmed, Web of Science and Embase. Pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated to evaluate the association between ctDNA at baseline or during treatment and overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).ResultsA total of 9 articles were obtained, involving 617 melanoma patients. The pooled HRs revealed that compared with baseline undetectable ctDNA patients, detectable ctDNA was highly correlated with poor OS (HR 2.91, 95% CI: 2.22–3.82; p < 0.001) and PFS (HR 2.75, 95% CI: 1.98–3.83; p < 0.001). A meta-analysis of these adjusted HRs was performed and confirmed that ctDNA collected at baseline was associated with poorer OS/PFS (OS: HR 3.00, 95% CI 2.19–4.11, p < 0.001/PFS: HR 2.68, 95% CI 1.77–4.06, p < 0.001). During treatment, a significant association was shown between ctDNA and poorer OS/PFS (OS: HR 6.26, 95% CI 2.48–15.80, p < 0.001; PFS: HR 4.93, 95% CI 2.36–10.33, p < 0.001).ConclusionInvestigation and application of ctDNA will improve "liquid biopsy" and play a role in early prediction, monitoring disease progression and precise adjusting treatment strategies in melanoma patients.     

Socioeconomic measures influence survival in osteosarcoma: an analysis of the National Cancer Data Base

BackgroundWhile previous studies have identified low socioeconomic status as a risk factor for metastatic disease in patients with high-grade osteosarcoma, the influence of socioeconomic status on overall survival remains unclear. The present study aims to investigate the relationship between survival and socioeconomic status in patients with high-grade conventional osteosarcoma.MethodsThe National Cancer Data Base (NCDB) was queried from 1998-2012 to identify all patients <40 years of age with a diagnosis of high-grade conventional osteosarcoma. A total of 3,503 patients were identified that met inclusion and exclusion criteria. Univariate relationships were investigated using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and associated log-rank tests in order to determine patient, socioeconomic, tumor, and treatment variables associated with overall survival. Multivariate analysis was performed to determine independent predictors of survival.ResultsIn order of decreasing magnitude, metastatic disease (Hazard Ratio [HR] 3.28, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 2.82-3.82), primary site in the pelvis or spine (HR 2.15, 95% CI 1.79-2.59), positive surgical margins (HR 1.82, 95% CI 1.46-2.27), tumor size >8 cm (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.24-1.74), age ≥18 years (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.14-1.48), lowest quartile of composite socioeconomic status (HR 1.23, 95% CI 1.02-1.51), and Medicaid insurance (HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.02-1.38) were predictors of decreased survival at 5 years.ConclusionTreating providers should be aware that some of their patients may have challenges unrelated to their diagnosis that make timely presentation, adherence to treatment, and continued close surveillance difficult. This investigation suggests that socioeconomic variables influence overall survival for osteosarcoma in the United States, although not as dramatically as established tumor- and treatment-related risk factors.     

Distribution of cancer mortality rates by province in South Africa

IntroductionCancer mortality rates are expected to increase in developing countries. Cancer mortality rates by province remain largely unreported in South Africa. This study described the 2014 age standardised cancer mortality rates by province in South Africa, to provide insight for strategic interventions and advocacy.Methods2014 deaths data were retrieved from Statistics South Africa. Deaths from cancer were extracted using 10th International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes for cancer (C00-C97). Adjusted 2013 mid-year population estimates were used as a standard population. All rates were calculated per 100 000 individuals.ResultsNearly 38 000 (8%) of the total deaths in South Africa in 2014 were attributed to cancer. Western Cape Province had the highest age standardised cancer mortality rate in South Africa (118, 95% CI: 115–121 deaths per 100 000 individuals), followed by the Northern Cape (113, 95% CI: 107–119 per 100 000 individuals), with the lowest rate in Limpopo Province (47, 95% CI: 45–49 per 100 000). The age standardised cancer mortality rate for men (71, 95% CI: 70–72 per 100 000 individuals) was similar to women (69, 95% CI: 68–70 per 100 000). Lung cancer was a major driver of cancer death in men (13, 95% CI: 12.6–13.4 per 100 000). In women, cervical cancer was the leading cause of cancer death (13, 95% CI: 12.6–13.4 per 100 000 individuals).ConclusionThere is a need to further investigate the factors related to the differences in cancer mortality by province in South Africa. Raising awareness of risk factors and screening for cancer in the population along with improved access and quality of health care are also important.