Geometric criteria for the non-existence of cycles in predator-prey systems with group defense

In this paper, we study the existence of cycles in a predator-prey system in which the prey species is equipped with the group defense capability. Some geometric criteria are developed, relating the location of the two positive equilibria on the prey isocline and the non-existence of cycles. We show that under a general geometric condition, if both positive equilibria lie on a downslope or both lie on an upslope of the prey isocline, cycles do not exist.     

An impulsively controlled pest management model with n predator species and a common prey

This paper investigates the dynamics of a competitive single-prey n-predators model of integrated pest management, which is subject to periodic and impulsive controls, from the viewpoint of finding sufficient conditions for the extinction of prey and for prey and predator permanence. The per capita death rates of prey due to predation are given in abstract, unspecified forms, which encompass large classes of death rates arising from usual predator functional responses, both prey-dependent and predator-dependent. The stability and permanence conditions are then expressed as balance conditions between the cumulative death rate of prey in a period, due to predation from all predator species and to the use of control, and to the cumulative birth rate of prey in the same amount of time. These results are then specialized for the case of prey-dependent functional responses, their biological significance being also discussed.     

Plasmid-bearing,plasmid-free organisms competing for two complementary nutrients in a chemostat

A model of competition for two complementary nutrients between plasmid-bearing and plasmid-free organisms in a chemostat is proposed. A rigorous mathematical analysis of the global asymptotic behavior of the model is presented. The work extends the model of competition for a single-limited nutrient studied by Stephanopoulos and Lapidus [Chem. Engng. Sci. 443 (1988) 49] and Hsu, Waltman and Wolkowicz [J. Math. Biol. 32 (1994) 731].     

Impulsive control strategies in biological control of pesticide

By presenting and analyzing the pest-predator model under insecticides used impulsively, two impulsive strategies in biological control are put forward. The first strategy: the pulse period is fixed, but the proportional constant E(1) changes, which represents the fraction of pests killed by applying insecticide. For this scheme, two thresholds, E(1)(**) and E(1)(*) for E(1) are obtained. If E(1)>or=E(1)(*), both the pest and predator (natural enemies) populations go to extinction. If E(1)(**)相似文献   

Competition between plasmid-bearing and plasmid-free organisms in a chemostat with nutrient recycling and an inhibitor

The asymptotic behavior of solutions of a model for competition between plasmid-bearing and plasmid-free organisms in the chemostat with two distributed delays and an external inhibitor is considered. The model presents a refinement of the one considered by Lu and Hadeler [Z. Lu, K.P. Hadeler, Model of plasmid-bearing plasmid-free competition in the chemostat with nutrient recycling and an inhibitor, Math. Biosci. 167 (2000) p. 177]. The delays model the fact that the nutrient is partially recycled after the death of the biomass by bacterial decomposition. Furthermore, it is assumed that there is inter-specific competition between the plasmid-bearing and plasmid-free organisms as well as intra-specific competition within each population. Conditions for boundedness of solutions and existence of non-negative equilibrium are given. Analysis of the extinction of the organisms, including plasmid-bearing and plasmid-free organisms, and the uniform persistence of the system are also carried out. By constructing appropriate Liapunov-like functionals, some sufficient conditions of global attractivity to the extinction equilibria are obtained and the combined effects of the delays and the inhibitor are studied.     

Dynamic multipopulation and density dependent evolutionary games related to replicator dynamics. A metasimplex concept

This paper contains the basic extensions of classical evolutionary games (multipopulation and density dependent models). It is shown that classical bimatrix approach is inconsistent with other approaches because it does not depend on proportion between populations. The main conclusion is that interspecific proportion parameter is important and must be considered in multipopulation models. The paper provides a synthesis of both extensions (a metasimplex concept) which solves the problem intrinsic in the bimatrix model. It allows us to model interactions among any number of subpopulations including density dependence effects. We prove that all modern approaches to evolutionary games are closely related. All evolutionary models (except classical bimatrix approaches) can be reduced to a single population general model by a simple change of variables. Differences between classic bimatrix evolutionary games and a new model which is dependent on interspecific proportion are shown by examples.     

Linked selected and neutral loci in heterogeneous environments

We analyze a system of ordinary differential equations modeling haplotype frequencies at a physically linked pair of loci, one selected and one neutral, in a population consisting of two demes with divergent selection regimes. The system is singularly perturbed, with the migration rate m between the demes serving as a small parameter. We use geometric singular perturbation theory to show that when m is sufficiently small, each solution not initially fixed for the same selected allele in both demes approaches one of a 1-dimensional continuum of equilibria. We then obtain asymptotic expansions of the solutions and show their validity on arbitrarily long finite time intervals. From these expansions we obtain formulas for the transient dynamics of F _ST (a measure of population structure) at both loci, as well as for the rate of genotyping error if the allelic state at the selected locus is inferred from that at the neutral (marker) locus. We examine two cases in detail, one modeling two populations in secondary contact after a period of evolution in allopatry, and the other modeling the origination and spread of a resistance allele.Electronic supplementary material Supplementary material is available in the online version of this article at http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-006-0038-6 and is accessible for authorized users.     

Mathematical modeling and qualitative analysis of insulin therapies

Several insulin therapies are widely in clinical use with the basic strategy that mimics insulin secretion in a normal glucose-insulin endocrine metabolic regulatory system. In this paper, we model the insulin therapies using a delay differential equation model. We study the dynamics of the model both qualitatively and quantitatively. The analytical results show the existence and uniqueness of a stable periodic solution that corresponds to ultradian insulin secretion oscillations. Numerically we simulate the insulin administration based on our model. The numerical simulation results are in agreement with findings of clinical studies.     

A discrete, size-structured model of microbial growth and competition in the chemostat

A nonlinear matrix model of a size-structured microbial population growing on a scarce nutrient in a chemostat, derived by Gage et al. [6], is modified to include two competing populations. It is shown that competitive exclusion results. The winner is the population able to grow at the lower nutrient concentration.Research partially supported by NSF Grant DMS 9300974     

Reduction of slow-fast discrete models coupling migration and demography

This work deals with a general class of two-time scales discrete nonlinear dynamical systems which are susceptible of being studied by means of a reduced system that is obtained using the so-called aggregation of variables method. This reduction process is applied to several models of population dynamics driven by demographic and migratory processes which take place at two different time scales: slow and fast. An analysis of these models exchanging the role of the slow and fast dynamics is provided: when a Leslie type demography is faster than migrations, a multi-attractor scenario appears for the reduced dynamics; on the other hand, when the migratory process is faster than demography, the reduction process gives rise to new interpretations of well known discrete models, including some Allee effect scenarios.     

Discrete-time host–parasitoid models with pest control

We propose a simple discrete-time host–parasitoid model to investigate the impact of external input of parasitoids upon the host–parasitoid interactions. It is proved that the input of the external parasitoids can eventually eliminate the host population if it is above a threshold and it also decreases the host population level in the unique interior equilibrium. It can simplify the host–parasitoid dynamics when the host population practices contest competition. We then consider a corresponding optimal control problem over a finite time period. We also derive an optimal control model using a chemical as a control for the hosts. Applying the forward–backward sweep method, we solve the optimal control problems numerically and compare the optimal host populations with the host populations when no control is applied. Our study concludes that applying a chemical to eliminate the hosts directly may be a more effective control strategy than using the parasitoids to indirectly suppress the hosts.     

Cluster formation for multi-strain infections with cross-immunity

Many infectious diseases exist in several pathogenic variants, or strains, which interact via cross-immunity. It is observed that strains tend to self-organise into groups, or clusters. The aim of this paper is to investigate cluster formation. Computations demonstrate that clustering is independent of the model used, and is an intrinsic feature of the strain system itself. We observe that an ordered strain system, if it is sufficiently complex, admits several cluster structures of different types. Appearance of a particular cluster structure depends on levels of cross-immunity and, in some cases, on initial conditions. Clusters, once formed, are stable, and behave remarkably regularly (in contrast to the generally chaotic behaviour of the strains themselves). In general, clustering is a type of self-organisation having many features in common with pattern formation.     

Predator-prey models with delay and prey harvesting

It is known that predator-prey systems with constant rate harvesting exhibit very rich dynamics. On the other hand, incorporating time delays into predator-prey models could induce instability and bifurcation. In this paper we are interested in studying the combined effects of the harvesting rate and the time delay on the dynamics of the generalized Gause-type predator-prey models and the Wangersky-Cunningham model. It is shown that in these models the time delay can cause a stable equilibrium to become unstable and even a switching of stabilities, while the harvesting rate has a stabilizing effect on the equilibrium if it is under the critical harvesting level. In particular, one of these models loses stability when the delay varies and then regains its stability when the harvesting rate is increased. Computer simulations are carried to explain the mathematical conclusions. Received: 1 March 2000 / Revised version: 7 September 2000 /?Published online: 21 August 2001     

Analysis of a competitive prey–predator system with a prey refuge

Gauss's competitive exclusive principle states that two competing species having analogous environment cannot usually occupy the same space at a time but in order to exploit their common environment in a different manner, they can co-exist only when they are active in different times. On the other hand, several studies on predators in various natural and laboratory situations have shown that competitive coexistence can result from predation in a way by resisting any one prey species from becoming sufficiently abundant to outcompete other species such that the predator makes the coexistence possible. It has also been shown that the use of refuges by a fraction of the prey population exerts a stabilizing effect in the interacting population dynamics. Further, the field surveys in the Sundarban mangrove ecosystem reveal that two detritivorous fishes, viz. Liza parsia and Liza tade (prey population) coexist in nature with the presence of the predator fish population, viz. Lates calcarifer by using refuges.     

Type II functional response for continuous, physiologically structured models

The goal of this work is to formulate a general Holling-type functional, or behavioral, response for continuous physiologically structured populations, where both the predator and the prey have physiological densities and certain rules apply to their interactions. The physiological variable can be, for example, a development stage, weight, age, or a characteristic length. The model leads to a Fredholm integral equation for the functional response, and, when inserted into population balance laws, it produces a coupled system of partial differential-integral equations for the two species, with a nonlocal integral term that arises from rules of interaction in the functional response. The general model is, typically, analytically intractable, but specialization to a structured prey-unstructured predator model leads to some analytic results that reveal interesting and unexpected dynamics caused by the presence of size-dependent handling times in the functional response. In this case, steady-states are shown to exist over long times, similar to the stable age-structure solutions for the McKendick-von Foerster model with exponential growth rates determined by the Euler-Lotka equation. But, for type II responses, there are early transient oscillations in the number of births that bifurcate in a few generations into either the decaying or growing steady-state. The bifurcation parameter is the initial level of prey. This special case is applied to a problem of the biological control of a structured pest population (e.g., aphids) by a predator (e.g., lady beetles).     

Mathematical analysis of the global dynamics of a model for HTLV-I infection and ATL progression

Mathematical analysis is carried out that completely determines the global dynamics of a mathematical model for the transmission of human T-cell lymphotropic virus I (HTLV-I) infection and the development of adult T-cell leukemia (ATL). HTLV-I infection of healthy CD4(+) T cells takes place through cell-to-cell contact with infected T cells. The infected T cells can remain latent and harbor virus for several years before virus production occurs. Actively infected T cells can infect other T cells and can convert to ATL cells, whose growth is assumed to follow a classical logistic growth function. Our analysis establishes that the global dynamics of T cells are completely determined by a basic reproduction number R(0). If R(0)< or =1, infected T cells always die out. If R(0)>1, HTLV-I infection becomes chronic, and a unique endemic equilibrium is globally stable in the interior of the feasible region. We also show that the equilibrium level of ATL-cell proliferation is higher when the HTLV-I infection of T cells is chronic than when it is acute.     

Multiple limit cycles in predator-prey models

A series of one-predator one-prey models are studied using two parameter Hopf bifurcation techniques which allow the determination of two periodic orbits. The biological implications of the results, in terms of domains of attraction and multiple stable states, are discussed.     

Optimal harvesting and optimal vaccination

Two optimization problems are considered: Harvesting from a structured population with maximal gain subject to the condition of non-extinction, and vaccinating a population with prescribed reduction of the reproduction number of the disease at minimal costs. It is shown that these problems have a similar structure and can be treated by the same mathematical approach. The optimal solutions have a 'two-window' structure: Optimal harvesting and vaccination strategies or policies are concentrated on one or two preferred age classes. The results are first shown for a linear age structure problem and for an epidemic situation at the uninfected state (minimize costs for a given reduction of the reproduction number) and then extended to populations structured by size, to harvesting at Gurtin-MacCamy equilibria and to vaccination at infected equilibria.     

Stability analysis for HIV infection delay model with protease inhibitor

In this article, we considered a model of HIV-1 infection with a protease inhibitor therapy and three delays. The frequency of the bifurcating periodic solution as well as the threshold value is approximated numerically using realistic parameter. The estimated threshold value is realistic and the frequency of the oscillations is consistent with that of the observed viral blips.     

Estimation of effective vaccination rate: pertussis in New Zealand as a case study

In some cases vaccination is unreliable. For example vaccination against pertussis has comparatively high level of primary and secondary failures. To evaluate efficiency of vaccination we introduce the idea of effective vaccination rate and suggest an approach to estimate it. We consider pertussis in New Zealand as a case study. The results indicate that the level of immunity failure for pertussis is considerably higher than was anticipated.