Secular trends of obesity and cardiovascular risk factors in a Mediterranean population

Objective: To evaluate time trends of obesity, abdominal obesity, and cardiovascular risk factors (CRFs) according to BMI and waist circumference (WC) categories in a Mediterranean population. Research Methods and Procedures: Subjects were Spanish men (n = 2383) and women (n = 2525) 25 to 74 years old, examined in 1994 to 1995 and 1999 to 2000 in two independent population‐based cross‐sectional surveys in the northeast of Spain. Lifestyle measures, CRFs, and anthropometric variables were analyzed. Results: Over the 5 years of the study, mean age‐standardized BMI increased by 1.0 units in men and by 0.8 units in women. At the same time the prevalence of obesity increased from 15.4% to 21.9% in men and from 15.4% to 21.4% in women. An upward trend was observed for WC and abdominal obesity (WC > 102 cm in men and WC > 88 cm in women) only in men. The proportion of men and women with hypercholesterolemia, diabetes, and low high‐density lipoprotein‐cholesterol plasma concentration remained stable within BMI and WC categories. The proportion of hypertension and smoking in obese men significantly increased from 1995 to 2000. Discussion: The 5‐year increase in BMI and WC is of considerable magnitude in the present population, although several CRFs remained stable within BMI and WC categories.     

Development of Health‐Related Waist Circumference Thresholds Within BMI Categories

Objective: To develop and cross‐validate waist circumference (WC) thresholds within BMI categories. The utility of the derived values was compared with the single WC thresholds (women, 88 cm; men, 102 cm) recommended by NIH and Health Canada. Research Methods and Procedures: The sample included adults classified as normal weight (BMI = 18.5 to 24.9), overweight (BMI = 25 to 29.9), obese I (BMI = 30 to 34.9), and obese II+ (BMI ≥ 35) from the Third U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III; n = 11, 968) and the Canadian Heart Health Surveys (CHHS; n = 6286). Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to determine the optimal WC thresholds that predicted high risk of coronary events (top quintile of Framingham scores) within BMI categories using the NHANES III. The BMI‐specific WC thresholds were cross‐validated using the CHHS. Results: The optimal WC thresholds increased across BMI categories from 87 to 124 cm in men and from 79 to 115 cm in women. The validation study indicated improved sensitivity and specificity with the BMI‐specific WC thresholds compared with the single thresholds. Discussion: Compared with the recommended WC thresholds, the BMI‐specific values improved the identification of health risk. In normal weight, overweight, obese I, and obese II+ patients, WC cut‐offs of 90, 100, 110, and 125 cm in men and 80, 90, 105, and 115 cm in women, respectively, can be used to identify those at increased risk.     

Hypertriglyceridemic waist phenotype is associated with decreased insulin sensitivity and incident diabetes in elderly men

Objective: To investigate the association between hypertriglyceridemic waist (HTGW) and insulin sensitivity (assessed by euglycemic clamp method), and the development of diabetes in a longitudinal community‐based cohort of elderly men without diabetes at baseline. Design and Methods: The present cross‐sectional study comprised 1,026, 70‐year‐old men without diabetes. The gold standard euglycaemic–hyperinsulinaemic clamp technique was used. Six‐year follow‐up on diabetes status were available in n = 667. The HTGW phenotype was defined as having waist circumference ≥ 90 cm, and triglycerides ≥ 2 mmol L^?1. The men were stratified into those having normal WC and TG (n = 299), one HTGW component (n = 606), and HTGW (n = 121). Results: The association between insulin sensitivity and one HTGW component as well as HTGW was highly significant (P < 0.001) in the whole sample, as well as in individuals with high/low BMI (stratified at ≥25). In longitudinal analyses, participants with HTGW was associated with a more than fourfold increased risk for diabetes (Odds ratio 4.64, 95% CI 1.61–13.4, P = 0.004) compared to those with normal WC and TG. Conclusion: The present study both confirm and extend previous research suggesting that the HTGW‐phenotype portrays an increased glucometabolic risk, also in lean individuals.     

Waist circumference values are increasing beyond those expected from BMI increases

Objective: The objective of this investigation was to examine the relationship between BMI and waist circumference (WC) by gender and race subgroups from U.S. population‐based data from 1959 to 2004 and to investigate the trend in WC over calendar time. Research Methods and Procedures: Demographic and anthropometric cross‐sectional data on 30,730 participants 18 to 79 years old across five national surveys were included. We regressed WC on BMI while controlling for age in each time period for blacks and whites by gender. Results: The relationship between BMI and WC as characterized by the slope of the linear regression of WC on BMI does not seem to be changing significantly over time. A small (range, 0.08 to 0.27 cm/yr) increase in WC over time was observed. Discussion: The implications of these findings for public health and for understanding any extant changes in the BMI‐mortality rate relationship remain to be elucidated.     

Obesity in 70‐Year‐Old Subjects as a Risk Factor for 15‐Year Coronary Heart Disease Incidence

Objective: To investigate the role of obesity in general and waist circumference (WC) and BMI in particular as risk factors for 15‐year incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD) in the elderly. Research Methods and Procedures: This prospective study was based on 1597 (737 males and 860 females) 70‐year‐olds free from CHD and participants of three birth cohorts examined in 1971 to 1972 (Cohort I), 1976 to 1977 (Cohort II), and 1981 to 1982 (Cohort III) at Göteborg, Sweden. Fifteen‐year incidence of CHD (fatal and nonfatal) was ascertained from follow‐up examinations and registers. Relative risk (RR) for first ever CHD in reference to the lowest quartiles of WC and BMI was calculated from Cox regression. Results: In males, RRs for CHD in the highest WC and BMI quartiles were 1.36 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00 to 1.85] and 1.42 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.92), respectively, after adjustment for cohorts, smoking habits, diabetes, systolic blood pressure, and total cholesterol. In men, the risk associated with WC was independent of BMI. Neither WC nor BMI was related to CHD risk in females. After exclusion of first 5‐year all‐cause deaths, the adjusted RRs in the highest WC and BMI quartiles in males were 1.47 (95% CI 1.06 to 2.04) and 1.42 (1.04 to 1.92), respectively. In females, a significantly higher RR of 1.41 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.94) was observed in the second BMI quartile only after such exclusions. Discussion: WC, an indicator of both central and general obesity, appears to be a stronger predictor of CHD than BMI in elderly males, but in females, obesity was not a risk factor for CHD.     

Increasing trends in waist circumference and abdominal obesity among US adults

Objective: Some studies have shown that abdominal obesity may be a better predictor than overall obesity for disease risks and all‐cause mortality. This study sought to examine the recent trends in waist circumference (WC) among adults in the United States. Research Methods and Procedures: Data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey during 1988–1994, 1999–2000, 2001–2002, and 2003–2004 were analyzed to estimate the trends in the mean WC and the prevalence of abdominal obesity. Pooled t tests were used to test the differences in estimates between two time periods. Results: Between the periods of 1988–1994 and 2003–2004, the age‐adjusted mean WC increased from 96.0 cm to 100.4 cm among men (p < 0.001) and from 89.0 cm to 94.0 cm among women (p < 0.001); the age‐adjusted prevalence of abdominal obesity increased from 29.5% to 42.4% among men (p < 0.001) and from 47.0% to 61.3% among women (p < 0.001). Between the periods of 1999–2000 and 2003–2004, a significant increase occurred in mean WC only among men (from 99.0 cm to 100.4 cm; p = 0.03) and in the prevalence of abdominal obesity among both men (from 37.0% to 42.2%; p = 0.03) and women (from 55.3% to 61.3%; p = 0.04). People with a BMI of 25 to 29 kg/m² had a greater relative increase in abdominal obesity. Discussion: The mean WC and the prevalence of abdominal obesity among U.S. adults have increased continuously during the past 15 years. Over one‐half of U.S. adults had abdominal obesity in the period of 2003–2004.     

Relationship between Waist Circumference,Body Mass Index,and Medical Care Costs

Objective: Excessive visceral adiposity as measured by anthropomorphic measures may be more closely associated with adverse health consequences than body weight or body mass index (BMI), the more commonly obtained clinical measures. Waist circumference (WC) provides information about regional adiposity and may correlate with health care costs better than body weight or BMI. Research Methods and Procedures: A total of 424 men (37%) and women (63%) were identified as they were seen in outpatient medical clinics at Denver Health, an integrated health care system serving a largely indigent population. Height, weight, and WC were measured by one examiner. Information on outpatient, laboratory, pharmacy, inpatient, and total charges attributable to each subject for the preceding year were obtained from computerized databases. Data on health care charges were divided into quartiles based on WC and BMI. Results: Total annual health care charges were significantly greater in the highest WC quartile (WC < 83.3 cm: $6062 ± $784; 83.3 to 93.5 cm: $5968 ± $812; 93.7 to 103.5 cm: $6369 ± $1015; >103.5 cm: $8699 ± $1092; p = 0.047). Those with a WC >103.5 cm generated 85% more inpatient charges than the group with a WC <83.3 cm. Although there was a positive trend, BMI was not found to significantly correlate with total health care charges in this population sample. Discussion: These results suggest that abdominal adiposity as assessed by WC is associated with increased total health care charges and may be a better predictor of health care charges than the more widely used BMI.     

Waist circumference and BMI cut-off based on 10-year cardiovascular risk: evidence for "central pre-obesity"

Objective: The objective was to assess the waist circumference (WC) cut‐off point that best identifies a level of 10‐year cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk with optimal balance of sensitivity and specificity in Chinese subjects according to their predicted 10‐year CVD risk. Research Methods and Procedures: A community‐based cross‐sectional observational study involving 14,919 Hong Kong Chinese subjects. The 10‐year CVD risk based on various prediction models was calculated. The projected WC cut‐off points were then determined. Results: There were 4837 (32.4%) men and 10,082 (67.6%) women (mean age ± standard deviation, 47.3 ± 13.5 years; age range, 18 to 93 years; median age, 45.0 years). The mean optimal WC or BMI predicting a 15% to 30% 10‐year CVD risk were 83 to 88 cm and 25 kg/m² for men, and 76 cm and 23 kg/m² for women, respectively. With WC ≥90 cm in men and ≥80 cm in women, the likelihood ratio at various WC cut‐off points to develop a ≥20% 10‐year CVD risk is 1.5 to 2.0 in men and 3.0 in women. The likelihood ratio was 1.5 in men with WC at 84 cm and in women at 70 cm. Discussion: Our results agree with the present guidelines on the definition of general and central obesity in Asia‐Pacific regions. We propose the creation of an intermediate state of high WC, the “central pre‐obesity” for Chinese men with WC ≥84 to 90 cm (≥33 to 36 inches) and women with WC ≥74 to 80 cm (≥29 to 32 inches). People with central pre‐obesity, similar to those with overweight (BMI ≥23 to 25 kg/m²), already have an increased risk of co‐morbidities.     

Waist Circumference,BMI, and Visceral Adipose Tissue in White Women and Women of African Descent

Although waist circumference (WC) is a marker of visceral adipose tissue (VAT), WC cut‐points are based on BMI category. We compared WC‐BMI and WC‐VAT relationships in blacks and whites. Combining data from five studies, BMI and WC were measured in 1,409 premenopausal women (148 white South Africans, 607 African‐Americans, 186 black South Africans, 445 West Africans, 23 black Africans living in United States). In three of five studies, participants had VAT measured by computerized tomography (n = 456). Compared to whites, blacks had higher BMI (29.6 ± 7.6 (mean ± s.d.) vs. 27.6 ± 6.6 kg/m², P = 0.001), similar WC (92 ± 16 vs. 90 ± 15 cm, P = 0.27) and lower VAT (64 ± 42 vs. 101 ± 59 cm², P < 0.001). The WC‐BMI relationship did not differ by race (blacks: β (s.e.) WC = 0.42 (.01), whites: β (s.e.) WC = 0.40 (0.01), P = 0.73). The WC‐VAT relationship was different in blacks and whites (blacks: β (s.e.) WC = 1.38 (0.11), whites: β (s.e.) WC = 3.18 (0.21), P < 0.001). Whites had a greater increase in VAT per unit increase in WC. WC‐BMI and WC‐VAT relationships did not differ among black populations. As WC‐BMI relationship did not differ by race, the same BMI‐based WC guidelines may be appropriate for black and white women. However, if WC is defined by VAT, race‐specific WC thresholds are required.     

Ethnic Differences in Subcutaneous Adiposity and Waist Girth in Children and Adolescents

The purpose of this study was to examine ethnic differences in adiposity as measured by sum of skinfolds (SKF) and waist circumference (WC) in children and adolescents, after statistical adjustment for the BMI and age. A cross sectional sample of 3,218 (55% white, 49% male) children and adolescents aged 5–18 years who participated in the Bogalusa Heart Study (1992–1994) were included in these analyses. Sex‐specific ANOVAs, adjusted for BMI and age, for each 2‐year age group compared measures of adiposity (SKF and WC) between ethnic groups. No significant differences in the proportions of children and adolescents who were overweight and obese by ethnicity or sex were found. Mean SKF in normal weight (P < 0.0001) and overweight (P < 0.0001) categories was higher for white than black children of both sexes. Across most age categories, white boys and girls had significantly higher SKF than black boys and girls, respectively (P ≤ 0.05). Across most age categories, white boys had significantly higher WC than black boys (P ≤ 0.05) with no difference in the girls, when adjusted for BMI and age. Measures of adiposity in childhood and adolescence were significantly higher in white children compared to black children, when adjusted for BMI and age. Throughout childhood and adolescence, white boys and girls had higher SKF and white boys had higher WC. Differences in adiposity between ethnic groups should be considered in disease risk assessment and stratification as they are observed even for a given BMI level.     

Relationships between direct and indirect measures of central and total adiposity in children: What are we measuring?

Objective: The relationship between central and total fat measured by anthropometry, dual energy X‐ray absorptiometry, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with each other and systolic blood pressure (SBP) was examined. Design and Methods: Participants of the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children were examined at ages 9, 11, 13, and 15 years (n = 3,796‐6,567). MRI was available on a subset of children at 11 (n = 156) and 13 (n = 95). Results: Body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) were highly correlated (r = 0.84‐0.91, across ages), and total body fat mass (TBFM) and trunk fat mass (TFM) were very strongly correlated (r ≥ 0.98). Among boys, BMI vs. WC explained a similar degree of variation in TBFM and TFM (41‐71% vs. 43‐76%, across age and overweight groups); in girls, BMI accounted for 62‐73% variance and WC 47‐69%. Adiposity measures were generally similarly correlated with SBP within age groups. Further, the relationship between intra‐abdominal adipose tissue (IAAT) volume and adiposity measures did not vary greatly at 11 (0.65‐0.67) and 13 (0.64‐0.67). Conclusions: BMI and WC contain a large amount of overlapping information as evidenced by their high correlation and similarly sized associations with fat mass, SBP, and IAAT. This suggests that WC may be an inadequate marker of central adiposity during childhood.     

Familial Resemblance of 7‐Year Changes in Body Mass and Adiposity

Objective: To investigate the familial resemblance of 7‐year changes in body mass and adiposity among Canadian families. Research Methods and Procedures: The sample consisted of 655 women and 660 men from 521 families who participated in the Canada Fitness Survey in 1981 and the follow‐up Campbell's Survey in 1988. Indicators of baseline and 7‐year changes in body mass and adiposity included body mass (kilograms), body mass index (BMI; kilograms per square meter), sum of five skinfolds (SF5; millimeters), and waist circumference (WC; millimeters). The data were adjusted for the effects of age and sex, and the change scores were adjusted for baseline levels. A familial correlation model was used to determine the heritability of each phenotype using maximum likelihood techniques. Results: Significant familial resemblance was observed at baseline and for 7‐year changes in all phenotypes. At baseline, moderate heritabilities were observed [body mass: heritability coefficient (h²) = 56%; BMI, h² = 39%; SF5, h² = 41%; and WC, h² = 39%], whereas values were attenuated for each change score except for WC (Δbody mass, h² = 23%; ΔBMI, h² = 14%; ΔSF5, h² = 12%; and ΔWC, h² = 45%). Discussion: Changes in body mass and adiposity significantly aggregate within families over 7 years. However, baseline values are characterized by higher heritability levels except WC. The significant heritabilities observed for change scores suggest that lifestyle, transient environmental factors, and possibly age‐related gene effects are important determinants of changes in body mass and adiposity.     

BMI,Waist Circumference,and Mortality According to Health Status in the Older Adult Population of Spain

Among the explanations proposed for the weak and inconsistent association between BMI and mortality in the elderly are the lack of adjustment for waist circumference (WC) and that the association varies with health status. This work examines the independent association of BMI and WC with mortality in older adults, and the influence of health status on this association. A cohort of 3,536 persons representative of the Spanish population aged ≥60 years was selected in 2000 and 2001, and followed prospectively until 2007. The analyses were performed with Cox models and adjusted for the main confounders. During follow‐up, 659 persons died (18.6% of the cohort). Before adjusting for WC, mortality in the upper quartile of BMI was 15% lower than in the lower quartile (hazard ratio (HR): 0.85; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.66–1.08; P for linear trend = 0.076). After adjusting for WC, the association was even stronger, so that mortality in the upper quartile of BMI was 37% lower than in the lower quartile (HR: 0.63; 95% CI: 0.45–0.88; P for linear trend < 0.003). Before adjusting for BMI, no association was observed between WC and mortality. After adjusting for BMI, WC was positively associated with mortality (HR for upper vs. lower quartile of WC: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.07–2.05; P for linear trend = 0.008). These associations were mainly observed in those with limitations in mobility and agility. BMI has an inverse, and WC has a direct, independent association with mortality in older adults, particularly in those with worse health status.     

The use of BMI and waist circumference as surrogates of body fat differs by ethnicity

Objective: To compare the prediction of percentage body fat using BMI and visceral adipose tissue (VAT) using waist circumference (WC) in individuals of Chinese, European, and South Asian origin. Research Methods and Procedures: Healthy men and women of Chinese, European, and South Asian origin (n = 627) between the ages of 30 and 65 years were recruited to ensure equal distribution of gender and representation across BMI ranges (18.5 to 24.9, 25 to 29.9, and ≥30 kg/m²). Participants were assessed for demographics, anthropometry, lifestyle, and regional adiposity. Percentage body fat and VAT were measured by DXA and computer tomography scan, respectively. Results: BMI and WC were highly correlated with total and regional measures of adiposity in each ethnic group. At any BMI, the percentage body fat of Chinese participants was similar to that of Europeans, but that of South Asians was greater by 3.9% (p < 0.001). Above a WC of 71.0 cm, the Chinese participants had an increasingly greater amount of VAT than the Europeans (p = 0.017 for interaction). South Asians had significantly more VAT than the Europeans at all but the most extreme WC (above 105 cm) (p < 0.05). Discussion: Compared with Europeans, percentage body fat was higher for a given BMI in South Asians, whereas VAT was higher for a given WC in both Chinese and South Asian men and women. These findings support the use of ethnic‐specific anthropometric targets.     

BMI vs. waist circumference for identifying vascular risk

Objective: Current guidelines recommend measurement of both BMI and waist circumference (WC) in individuals with BMI between 25.0 and 34.9 kg/m². We investigated the relative contributions of BMI and WC toward identifying risk of adverse vascular events in a community‐based sample. Methods and Procedures: We evaluated Framingham Study participants (n = 4,195 person‐examinations, 53% women) using pooled logistic regression to assess the incremental prognostic utility of WC in predicting risk of a first cardiovascular disease (CVD) event in the three BMI categories (normal, <25 kg/m²; overweight, 25 to <30 kg/m²; obese, ≥ 30 kg/m²) and to assess the incremental prognostic utility of BMI and WC separately for predicting risk of a first cardiovascular event. Results: On follow‐up (16 years), 430 participants (158 women) had experienced a first CVD event. In overweight women, but not in overweight men, larger WC was found to be an independent predictor of CVD incidence, longitudinally (in women, multivariable‐adjusted odds ratio (OR) per s.d. increment in WC 1.86, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.03–3.36, P = 0.04; in men adjusted OR per s.d. increment in WC 0.91, 95% CI 0.60–1.38, P = 0.66). In obese individuals and in those with normal BMI, WC was not associated independently with incident CVD. When BMI and WC were analyzed separately for predicting risk of a first cardiovascular event, the c statistics associated with the multivariable CVD models incorporating BMI vs. WC were nearly identical in men and women. Discussion: Knowledge of WC aids identification of vascular risk among overweight women. Among normal weight or obese women and men (regardless of BMI category) WC did not appear to substantially add to prediction of risk of vascular events.     

Elderly People With Low Body Weight May Have Subtle Low‐grade Inflammation

Low‐grade inflammation, which plays important roles in the development of fatal diseases, is commonly observed in obese people. However, this has not been evaluated in lean people, who have relatively increased mortality risk compared with people of normal weight. Here, we elucidate the association between systemic low‐grade inflammation and low body weight, with particular emphasis on aging. We examined the relationship between circulating C‐reactive protein (CRP) and BMI in a cross‐sectional study of 2,675 apparently healthy adults who had undergone a medical check‐up. Overall, subjects with low BMI (<21.0 kg/m², n = 585) showed a favorable cardiovascular profile without being undernourished. In the elderly (≥55 years old), logarithmic CRP (LogCRP) showed a sigmoid curve against BMI with a base at BMI 21.0–22.9 kg/m², but not against waist circumference (WC), even in nonsmokers. In contrast, in middle‐aged people, LogCRP showed an almost linear relationship with both BMI and WC. LogCRP levels in elderly nonsmokers with low BMI, but not normal or high BMI, were significantly higher than those in middle‐aged with corresponding BMI (P < 0.05). After adjustment for age, sex, smoking status, and weight change over the past 2 years, the adjusted means of LogCRP still had a similar sigmoid curve against BMI in the elderly. These results suggest that elderly people with low body weight may have subtle low‐grade inflammation irrespective of a favorable cardiovascular risk, which remains to be confirmed in further studies.     

Anthropometric Cutoff Points for Predicting Chronic Diseases in the Mexican National Health Survey 2000

Objective: To determine optimum anthropometric cutoffs for predicting the likelihood ratios of type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) and hypertension (HT) in Mexicans. Research Methods and Procedures: Data from a randomly selected, nationally representative health survey (2000) with 11, 730 men [37.4 (± 12.9) years] and 26, 647 women [37.3(± 12.9) years] were assessed for values of body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) for predicting DM or HT by receiver operating characteristic curve analyses. Likelihood ratios for DM and HT were calculated, and BMIs or WCs for public‐health screening were developed. Subanalyses included regional data. Results: Likelihood ratios of DM and HT increased from BMI values of 22 to 24 kg/m² in both sexes and with WC values of 75 to 80 cm in men and 70 to 80 cm in women. The best BMI cutoffs for predicting DM were 26.3 to 27.4 kg/m² in men and 27.7 to 28.9 kg/m² in women, with similar values for HT, i.e., 26.2 to 27.0 kg/m² and 27.7 to 28.5 kg/m², for men and women, respectively; WC cutoffs for DM were 93 to 98 cm in men and 94 to 99 cm in women, and cutoffs for HT were 92 to 96 cm and 93 to 96 cm for men and women, respectively. The WC cutoffs had higher sensitivity and specificity than those of BMI. Discussion: The risk for DM and HT starts at lower levels of BMI and WC than those suggested by WHO. WC is a better discriminator than BMI measures for use in public health.     

Racial and ethnic differences in secular trends for childhood BMI, weight, and height

Objectives: The prevalence of childhood overweight in the United States has markedly increased over the last 30 years. We examined differences in the secular trends for BMI, weight, and height among white, black, and Mexican‐American children. Research Methods and Procedures: Analyses were based on nationally representative data collected from 2 to 17 year olds in four examinations (1971–1974 through 1999–2002). Results: Overall, black children experienced much larger secular increases in BMI, weight, and height than did white children. For example, over the 30‐year period, the prevalence of overweight increased ～3‐fold (4% to 13%) among 6‐ to 11‐year‐old white children but 5‐fold (4% to 20%) among black children. In most sex‐age groups, Mexican‐American children experienced increases in BMI and overweight that were between those experienced by blacks and whites. Race/ethnicity differences were less marked among 2 to 5 year olds, and in this age group, white children experienced the largest increase in overweight (from 4% to 9%). In 1999–2002, the prevalence of extreme BMI levels (≥99th percentile) reached 6% to 7% among black girls and Mexican‐American boys. Discussion: Because of the strong tracking of childhood BMI levels into adulthood, it is likely that the secular increases in childhood overweight will greatly increase the burden of adult disease. The further development of obesity interventions in different racial/ethnic groups should be emphasized.     

Comparing Trends in BMI and Waist Circumference

The nature of excess body weight may be changing over time to one of greater central adiposity. The aim of this study is to determine whether BMI and waist circumference (WC) are increasing proportionately among population subgroups and the range of bodyweight, and to examine the public health implications of the findings. Our data are from two cross‐sectional surveys (the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Studies (NHANES) in 1988–1994 (NHANES III) and 2005–2006), from which we have used samples of 15,349 and 4,176 participants aged ≥20 years. Between 1988–1994 and 2005–2006 BMI increased by an average of 1.8 kg/m² and WC by 4.7 cm (adjusted for sex, age, race‐ethnicity, and education). The increase in WC was more than could be attributed simply to increases in BMI. This independent increase in WC (of on average, 0.9 cm) was consistent across the different BMI categories, sexes, education levels, and race‐ethnicity groups. It occurred in younger but not older age groups. Overall in each BMI category, the prevalence of low‐risk WC decreased and the prevalence of increased‐risk or substantially increased‐risk WC increased. These results suggest that the adverse health consequences associated with obesity may be increasingly underestimated by trends in BMI alone. Since WC is closely linked to adverse cardiovascular outcomes, it is important to know the prevailing trends in both of these parameters.     

Obesity in the Elderly and Its Relationship with Cardiovascular Risk Factors in Taiwan**

Objectives: The obese elderly are at increased risk of mortality, morbidity, and functional disability. In this study, we examined the prevalence of obesity and relationship between various anthropometric indices (AI) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors in the elderly. Research Methods and Procedures: A stratified multistage clustered sampling scheme was used in the Elderly Nutrition and Health Survey in Taiwan during 1999 to 2000. 2432 non‐institutionalized subjects (age, 72.8 ± 9.4 years; BMI, 23.6 ± 6.4 kg/m²) were recruited. The receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to compare predictive validity of CVD risk factors among various AI, including BMI, waist circumference (WC), and waist‐to‐hip ratio (WHR). Results: The prevalence of obesity was 29.0% in men and 36.8% in women by obesity criteria for Asians (BMI ≥ 25 kg/m²) and 13.3% in men and 21.0% in women by the Taiwanese definition (BMI ≥ 27 kg/m²). Odds ratios of acquiring various CVD risk factors increased significantly with increment of WC, WHR, and BMI. The areas under the curve predicting metabolic syndrome were all <0.8. The cut‐off values of WC corresponding to the highest sensitivity and the highest specificity in predicting various CVD risk factors were 86.2–88.0 cm in men and 82.0–84.0 cm in women, respectively. Discussion: Obesity was prevalent in the Taiwanese elderly. WC was related to CVD risk factors to a greater extent than BMI and WHR. However, none of them alone was a good screening tool for CVD risk factors. Therefore, how to apply AI prudently to screen elderly for CVD risk factors needs further research.