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1.
  总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Chen SX  Cowling A 《Biometrics》2001,57(3):732-742
When using bivariate line transect methods to estimate the biomass density of a tightly clustered biological population, it is generally assumed that both the perpendicular distance from the trackline to the cluster and the cluster size, or biomass, are measured without error. This is unlikely to be the case in practice. In this article, assuming additive mean zero errors in distance and multiplicative errors in size, we develop an estimator of density that corrects for these errors. We use the method of moments for the case of gamma cluster size, randomly placed transect lines, and the generalized exponential detection function. We derive results that show that it may not be necessary to correct for errors in distance or size when the distance and size estimates are not biased. When the size estimates are biased, the biomass density estimate has approximately the same bias as the size estimates. The work is illustrated in the context of annual aerial surveys for juvenile southern bluefin tuna in the Great Australian Bight.  相似文献   

2.
    
In conventional line transect theory, it is assumed that all animals on the line are detected. This article introduces an extended and generalized hazard probability model without the need for such an assumption. The proposed method needs a survey design with independent observers having the same visual region and assumes an explicit distinction of simultaneous and delayed duplicates. It can take account of random heterogeneity caused by surfacing behavior as well as systematic heterogeneity by covariate effects. Furthermore, it can be easily extended to cases in which data from incompletely independent observers are available. The abundance estimate is based on the Horvitz-Thompson estimator in unequal detectability sampling scheme. Simulation studies suggest that the proposed method has good performance. The method is applied to a real data set on Antarctic minke whales in the illustration.  相似文献   

3.
Estimating coverage and particle density using the line intercept method   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
LUCAS  H. A.; SEBER  G. A. F. 《Biometrika》1977,64(3):618-622
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4.
    
Marques TA 《Biometrics》2004,60(3):757-763
Line transect sampling is one of the most widely used methods for animal abundance assessment. Standard estimation methods assume certain detection on the transect, no animal movement, and no measurement errors. Failure of the assumptions can cause substantial bias. In this work, the effect of error measurement on line transect estimators is investigated. Based on considerations of the process generating the errors, a multiplicative error model is presented and a simple way of correcting estimates based on knowledge of the error distribution is proposed. Using beta models for the error distribution, the effect of errors and of the proposed correction is assessed by simulation. Adequate confidence intervals for the corrected estimates are obtained using a bootstrap variance estimate for the correction and the delta method. As noted by Chen (1998, Biometrics 54, 899-908), even unbiased estimators of the distances might lead to biased density estimators, depending on the actual error distribution. In contrast with the findings of Chen, who used an additive model, unbiased estimation of distances, given a multiplicative model, lead to overestimation of density. Some error distributions result in observed distance distributions that make efficient estimation impossible, by removing the shoulder present in the original detection function. This indicates the need to improve field methods to reduce measurement error. An application of the new methods to a real data set is presented.  相似文献   

5.
    
1. Roe deer Capreolus capreolus were surveyed at night along tracks and roads in plantation forests in North Yorkshire, UK. Distance sampling was used to estimate their density. This method has been proposed for monitoring deer populations in state‐owned forests throughout the UK. 2. Most deer were stationary on detection and the vast majority did not change their behaviour during observation. Few deer were observed on the transects, suggesting that they were avoiding tracks and roads at night as opposed to moving in response to the observer. 3. This has implications for data analysis and hence the results of surveys. Left‐truncation or grouping of data close to the transect line to cope with road avoidance decreased the precision of the population estimate and may have impacted upon its accuracy. 4. Use of roads and tracks in forests is the only realistic option for transect surveys of deer at night but the influence of these features on deer distribution and hence density estimates must be taken into consideration when conducting such surveys.  相似文献   

6.
7.
    
Aldrin M  Holden M  Schweder T 《Biometrics》2003,59(1):186-188
We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a two-dimensional Neyman-Scott process, from data collected through a line transect survey. Cowling (1998, Biometrics 54, 828-839) suggested an estimation method based on a one-dimensional K-function along the transect line. However, her expression for the theoretical K-function is wrong. In this article, we correct her K-function.  相似文献   

8.
  总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
Marques FF  Buckland ST 《Biometrics》2003,59(4):924-935
An implicit assumption of standard line transect methodology is that detection probabilities depend solely on the perpendicular distance of detected objects to the transect line. Heterogeneity in detection probabilities is commonly minimized using stratification, but this may be precluded by small sample sizes. We develop a general methodology which allows the effects of multiple covariates to be directly incorporated into the estimation procedure using a conditional likelihood approach. Small sample size properties of estimators are examined via simulations. As an example the method is applied to eastern tropical Pacific dolphin sightings data.  相似文献   

9.
10.
哺乳类动物数量调查中的截线抽样法与逆向截线法   总被引:5,自引:2,他引:5  
文本介绍了可用于哺乳动物数量调查的一种新方法--截线抽样法,并在此方法的基础上,结合我国动物调查实践,提出了逆向截线法。逆向截线法在贺兰山自然保护区马鹿数量调查中,取得了较好效果。  相似文献   

11.
    
The distribution and density of the Amazon's two contrasting endemic dolphins–boto, or Amazon river dolphin, Inia geoffrensis , and tucuxi, Sotalia fluviatilis –were examined on two adjoining large rivers in western Brazil. Using a 17-m river boat as a sightings platform, strip transects were used to cover areas within 150 m of the river margin and line transects were used in all other areas. Highest densities of both dolphins occurred near the margin, and lowest in the center of rivers. Seven different habitats were identified along river margins. The boto and the tucuxi differed in some elements of habitat choice, but they shared a preference for areas with diminished current and where two channels joined. Neither species favored the two most common edge types in this region of the Amazon-mud banks and flooded forest margins. Overall, the most preferred habitat type was the least common, and known as \"meeting of the waters.\" In these areas a channel of sediment-rich white water meets one carrying acidic black water; the resultant mixing produces particularly productive, and obviously attractive, conditions for dolphins. These results demonstrate that Amazonian dolphins selectively occur in areas known to be favored for gill net deployment by local fishermen, and may explain why entanglement is apparently a common cause of mortality.  相似文献   

12.
The butterfly fauna was monitored in six semi-natural grasslands in southeastern Sweden. The aim was to evaluate monitoring criteria for wind, sunshine, temperature and time of day for butterfly species richness and abundances when using the line transect method. A total of 30,111 butterflies belonging to 46 species were recorded. Data from this study suggests somewhat stricter criteria for temperature and sunshine than stated in the widely used “Pollards walk”. A sharp decline in butterfly numbers were detected at temperatures below 19°C if the proportion of sunshine of the transect walk was below 80–85%. No effect of wind speed, up to five on the Beaufort scale, on observed numbers of species or individuals were found. Several butterfly species showed well-defined diurnal rythms of flight activity, and the results indicated that transect walks can be performed between −4.5 and +4 h from the time when the sun reached its highest point. The results of this study can be used to adjust general criteria in national monitoring and also for detailed regional and local monitoring where it may be important to adjust for diurnal rhythm and weather related bias.  相似文献   

13.
14.
We have evaluated techniques of estimating animal density through direct counts using line transects during 1988–92 in the tropical deciduous forests of Mudumalui Sanctuary in southern India for four species of large herbivorous mammals, namely, chital (Axis axis). sambar (Cervus unicolor). Asian elephant (Elephas maximus) and gaur (Bos gaurus) Density estimates derived from the Fourier Series and the Half-Normal models consistently had the lowest coefficient of variation. These two models also generated similar mean density estimates. For the Fourier Series estimator, appropriate cut-off widths for analyzing line transect data for the four species are suggested. Grouping data into various distance classes did not produce any appreciable differences in estimates of mean density or their variances, although model fit is generally better when data arc placed in fewer groups. The sampling effort needed to achieve a desired precision (coefficient of variation) in the density estimate is derived. A sampling effort of 800 km of transects returned a 10% coefficient of variation on estimate for ehital; for the other species a higher effort was needed to achieve this level of precision. There was no statistically significant relationship between detectability of a group and the size of the group for any species. Density estimates along roads were generally significantly different from those in the interior of the forest, indicating that road-side counts many not be appropriate for most species.  相似文献   

15.
In this paper, we build bounded error observers for a common class of partially known bioreactor models. The main idea is to construct hybrid bounded observers “between” high gain observer, which has an adjustable convergence rate but requires perfect knowledge of the model, and asymptotic observer which is very robust towards uncertainty but has a fixed convergence rate. An hybrid bounded error observer which reconstructs the two state variables is constructed considering two steps: first step is similar to a high gain observer meaning that fast convergence rate but error depending on the knowledge of the model are obtained; second step is a switch to an observer similar to the asymptotic one meaning that fixed convergence rate towards an error as small as desired is obtained. Thus, a better convergence rate of estimated variables than the classical asymptotic observer is obtained.  相似文献   

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17.
截线抽样法广泛应用于鲸豚类动物的考察。通过文献调查并结合我们自己的研究工作,本文从考察设计、
野外考察和数据分析三个方面分析了截线抽样法在我国水域应用时可能出现的问题。针对考察设计,提出了截
线设计的建议。针对野外考察,主要从观察平台、人员配置、观察方法和记录方法几个方面提出建议。针对分
析过程,介绍了使用R 编程平台和Distance 软件进行数据预处理和数据分析的简要过程。笔者期望本文的相关
建议有助于促进我国鲸豚类考察方法的规范化。  相似文献   

18.
    
A population census of white-headed langurs (Trachypithecus leucocephalus) was conducted using sleeping-site counts and the line-transect method from July to August 2002 at the Longrui Karst Hills, Guangxi, China. This area had been the largest habitat of the langurs across their range before the 1990s. While our survey revealed 146 old sleeping-sites, no white-headed langurs or fresh sleeping-sites were found in this area. Our study indicated that there had previously been a large population of langurs at Longrui Karst Hills, but now the langurs are possibly locally extinct in this area. If langurs still exist within the area, the population density must be very low. Interviews with local people confirmed that the number of white-headed langurs has been decreasing since the 1980s. Poaching was very common in the past and continues to be a problem at present, and it is likely that this has caused the decrease in the white-headed langur population at Longrui Karst Hills.  相似文献   

19.
ABSTRACT Clark's Nutcrackers (Nucifraga columbiana) disperse seeds of whitebark pines (Pinus albicaulis) in western North America by their scatter‐hoarding behavior. Because of declines in whitebark pine, resource managers are seeking an effective means of monitoring nutcracker population trends and the probability of seed dispersal by nutcrackers. We tested the reliability of four survey techniques (standard point counts, playback point counts, line transects, and Breeding Bird Survey routes) for estimating population size by conducting surveys at sites where a portion of the nutcracker population was marked with radio transmitters. The efficacy of distance sampling, based on detection rates from our unadjusted surveys, was also assessed. We conducted counts of whitebark pine cones within stands and related the probability of seed dispersal within stands to cone production and nutcracker abundance. We conducted 70 h of surveys for Clark's Nutcrackers at eight sites from July through November in 2007 and 2009 and estimated cone densities at six of these sites. Detection rates for all survey techniques were low and variable and we detected an average of 5.6 nutcrackers per 30 min of survey time. We also found no difference in detection rates among survey types, although significantly more nutcrackers were detected during surveys conducted during the peak of whitebark pine cone harvest (P < 0.0001). Nutcracker abundance was not correlated with cone density (P= 0.29) and we observed nutcrackers pouching seeds at all sites. Thus, cone density did not provide reliable information on whether seed dispersal was likely to occur. We suggest that alternate methods be considered for monitoring populations and assessing seed dispersal probability because we did not reliably detect nutcrackers using conventional survey techniques and because nutcracker abundance was not correlated with cone density.  相似文献   

20.
The introduction of alien species is one of the main threats to the conservation of native species, especially in island ecosystems. Here, we report on the population growth of 15 species of mammals introduced in 1983 on the island of Anchieta, an 828 ha land-bridge island in southeastern Brazil. We estimated the density of mammals through 296 km of line transect census. Five species introduced became extinct (coypu, brocket deer, six-banded armadillo, nine-banded armadillo, maned three-toed sloth); six became over-abundant (marmoset, coati, agouti, seven-banded armadillo, and capybara); one has a stable population (capuchin monkey). Anchieta Island has the highest density of mammals in the entire Atlantic forest (486.77 ind/km2), especially nest predators (232.83 ind/km2) and herbivores (253.58 ind/km2). Agoutis (Dasyprocta spp.) and marmosets (Callithrix penicillata) were, by far, the species with the highest population growth. The high density of mammals in this island may have strong consequences for plant recruitment and bird diversity.  相似文献   

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