Determinants of reproductive success in the Rufous Bush Robin(Cercotrichas galactotes)

Summary Over a 3-year period, we studied determinants of reproductive success in a population of the migratory Rufous Bush Robin (Cercotrichas galactotes) parasitized by the Common Cuckoo (Cuculus canorus). Seasonal reproductive success (as measured by the number of fledglings produced) depended on the number of successful broods raised. Many breeding attempts failed owing to predation, probably by cuckoos, which mainly affected first and replacement clutches. Clutch size did not follow the general trend for multi-brooded species (mid-season peak), but showed a maximum early in the season, perhaps a consequence of delayed arrivals due to the negative effects of nest predation and parasitism through cuckoos. Interannual differences in several variables of breeding success might be explained by marginally significant between year differences in the number of nests depredated and/or parasitized. Breeding success appeared to be independent of parental body size, but female condition (as measured by the number of light bands) had a powerful effect, with females in poor condition having less fledglings in the season, and lower fledging success (proportion of nestlings that fledged) and nesting success (proportion of eggs that produced fledglings), than females in prime condition. Furthermore, age influenced breeding success, with old individuals producing more and heavier fledglings in the season than did yearlings. Poor breeding success or partner condition were unlikely to initiate divorce, but rates of nest predation, which are probably linked to the male contribution in nest defence, appeared to increase the probability of divorce.

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Der Bruterfolg in einer Population des Heckensängers(Cercotrichas galactotes)

Zusammenfassung Von 1993 – 1995 wurde in einer vom Kuckuck (Cuculus canorus) parasitierten Population des Heckensängers (Cercotrichas galactotes) im südliche Spanien untersucht, welche Faktoren den Bruterfolg bestimmen. Der Gesamtreproduktionserfolg (Anzahl flügge Jungvögel) war abhängig von der Anzahl erfolgreicher Bruten. Viele Brutversuche blieben wegen Prädation, wohl durch den Kuckuck, erfolglos, was vornehmlich Erst- und Ersatzbruten betraf. Die Gelegegröße war nicht, wie bei anderen Mehrfachbrütern, zur Mitte der Brutzeit am größten, sondern zu Beginn. Ursache hierfür könnte eine verspätete Rückkehr der Vögel ins Brutgebiet sein, die ihrerseits eine Folge der frühen Nestprädation und der Parasitierung durch den Kuckuck sein könnte. Jährliche Unterschiede werden mit Unterschieden in der Prädationsrate und/oder der Parasitierungsrate erklärt. Der Bruterfolg war unabhängig von der elterlichen Körpergröße. Die Kondition der Weibchen, gemessen an den Wachstumsstreifen im Großgefieder, hatte jedoch einen starken Einfluß. Schwächere Weibchen hatten einen signifikant geringeren Schlüpf-, Ausfliege- und Gesamtbruterfolg als konditionell stärkere Weibchen. Zudem hatten ältere Vögel einen besseren Bruterfolg und kräftigere Junge als Jungvögel in ihrem ersten Brutjahr. Nestprädation, aber nicht geringer Bruterfolg oder physische Kondition der Partner, erhöhte die Scheidungsrate von Paaren.

     

Malarial parasites decrease reproductive success: an experimental study in a passerine bird

Malarial parasites are supposed to have strong negative fitness consequences for their hosts, but relatively little evidence supports this claim due to the difficulty of experimentally testing this. We experimentally reduced levels of infection with the blood parasite Haemoproteus prognei in its host the house martin Delichon urbica, by randomly treating adults with primaquine or a control treatment. Treated birds had significantly fewer parasites than controls. The primaquine treatment increased clutch size by 18%; hatching was 39% higher and fledging 42% higher. There were no effects of treatment on quality of offspring, measured in terms of tarsus length, body mass, haematocrit or T-cell-mediated immune response. These findings demonstrate that malarial parasites can have dramatic effects on clutch size and other demographic variables, potentially influencing the evolution of clutch size, but also the population dynamics of heavily infected populations of birds.     

Hormone levels predict individual differences in reproductive success in a passerine bird

Hormones mediate major physiological and behavioural components of the reproductive phenotype of individuals. To understand basic evolutionary processes in the hormonal regulation of reproductive traits, we need to know whether, and during which reproductive phases, individual variation in hormone concentrations relates to fitness in natural populations. We related circulating concentrations of prolactin and corticosterone to parental behaviour and reproductive success during both the pre-breeding and the chick-rearing stages in both individuals of pairs of free-living house sparrows, Passer domesticus. Prolactin and baseline corticosterone concentrations in pre-breeding females, and prolactin concentrations in pre-breeding males, predicted total number of fledglings. When the strong effect of lay date on total fledgling number was corrected for, only pre-breeding baseline corticosterone, but not prolactin, was negatively correlated with the reproductive success of females. During the breeding season, nestling provisioning rates of both sexes were negatively correlated with stress-induced corticosterone levels. Lastly, individuals of both sexes with low baseline corticosterone before and high baseline corticosterone during breeding raised the most offspring, suggesting that either the plasticity of this trait contributes to reproductive success or that high parental effort leads to increased hormone concentrations. Thus hormone concentrations both before and during breeding, as well as their seasonal dynamics, predict reproductive success, suggesting that individual variation in absolute concentrations and in plasticity is functionally significant, and, if heritable, may be a target of selection.     

Female survival,lifetime reproductive success and mating status in a passerine bird

In facultatively polygynous birds, secondary females of polygynously mated males typically have reduced annual reproductive success, because polygynous males provide less paternal care than monogamous males. Life history theory predicts that, as a result of increased reproductive investment, secondary females should suffer from reduced survival and lifetime reproductive success, but previous studies provided only weak support for this hypothesis. We used 7 years of data to study the fitness of female collared flycatchers Ficedula albicollis in relation to mating status by estimating survival and lifetime reproductive success. Taking differences in recapture probability into account, a mark-recapture analysis revealed that females observed at least once to breed as secondary female had higher survival than other females. This relationship was not confounded by laying date, because when we assessed the impact of laying date on survival, we found similar survival patterns. Females of polygynous males had reduced breeding success in terms of number of young fledged during the current reproductive event. However, during their lifetime females found at least once in primary or secondary mating status produced significantly more eggs, and at least the same number of fledglings and recruits as monogamous females. Thus, in the collared flycatcher, females of polygynously mated males seem to suffer from mating status during the most recent reproductive event, but considering survival and lifetime reproductive success, the apparently disadvantageous mating event is not necessarily associated with reduced residual reproductive value.     

Determinants of reproductive success in dominant female meerkats

1. In cooperative societies with high reproductive skew, selection on females is likely to operate principally through variation in the probability of acquiring dominant status and variation in reproductive success while dominant. Despite this, few studies of cooperative societies have investigated the factors that influence which females become dominant, and/or their reproductive output while in the dominant position. 2. Here we use long-term data from a wild meerkats population to describe variation in the breeding success of dominant female meerkats Suricata suricatta and investigate its causes. 3. Female meerkats compete intensely for breeding positions, and the probability of acquiring the breeding role depends upon a female's age in relation to competitors and her weight, both at the time of dominance acquisition and early in life. 4. Once dominant, individual differences in breeding success depend principally on the duration of dominance tenure. Females remain for longer in the dominant position if they are heavier than their competitors at the start of dominance, and if the number of adult female competitors at the start is low. 5. Female breeding success is also affected by variation in fecundity and pup survival, both of which increase with group size. After controlling for these effects, female body weight has a positive influence on breeding rate and litter size, while the number of adult female competitors reduces litter survival. 6. These findings suggest that selection for body weight and competitive ability will be high in female meerkats, which may moderate their investment in cooperative activities. We suggest that similar consequences of competition may occur among females in other cooperative societies where the benefits of attaining dominance status are high.     

Determinants of reproductive success in female Columbian ground squirrels

Summary We studied the reproductive success of female Columbian ground squirrels (Spermophilus columbianus) in southwestern Alberta for nine years. We defined reproductive success as the number of offspring surviving their first hibernation, classified as yearlings. The number of weaned juveniles explained one third of the variance in number of yearlings at emergence from their first hibernation the following spring, and much of the variance in individual reproductive success originated after weaning. Weight of adult females at emergence from hibernation was correlated with annual reproductive success. The mother's survival beyond weaning and the subsequent winter's snow accumulation had positive effects on annual reproductive success, whereas population density and summer temperature had negative effects. We found no effects on annual reproductive success of date of litter emergence, weight at emergence as a yearling, presence or absence of adult kin, distance from the natal site, location within the study area, winter temperature or summer precipitation. Age of first breeding did not affect lifetime reproductive success, which ranged from 0 to 19 yearlings produced over a lifetime. The greatest source of variation in lifetime reproductive success for females surviving to breeding age was offspring survival, followed by reproductive lifespan.     

Whinchat Saxicola rubetra reproductive success according to hay cutting schedule and meadow passerine density in alluvial and upland meadows in France

In France, whinchat Saxicola rubetra populations now rarely breed at altitudes below 1,000 m except in flooded alluvial plains. Whinchat reproductive success, the timing of haymaking and meadow bird density were assessed in 2003 in six areas selected in three different flooded plains, in five areas from two massifs at altitudes ranging from 990 to 1,250 m, and in 2004 in six areas of three flooded plains, in seven areas from three massifs at altitudes ranging from 1,200 to 2,000 m. The percentage of whinchat territories in which juveniles were observed was negatively correlated with mown areas at the time when 80% of hatched broods (observation of prey carryings by adults) would theoretically be fledged. Additionally, assessed hatching success was negatively correlated with early haymaking in 2003 and with meadow passerine territory density in 2004. In upland meadows, whinchat populations exhibited either low reproductive success and low density (1,200 m) or high reproductive success and high density (1,200 m). In lowland flooded meadow however, high density could match low reproductive success and whinchat population then acts as a sink population. We conclude that adequate agri-environmental policy should not focus only on lowland meadows, even if the highest meadow bird diversity is often found there.     

Determinants of reproductive success in dominant pairs of clownfish: a boosted regression tree analysis

1. Central questions of behavioural and evolutionary ecology are what factors influence the reproductive success of dominant breeders and subordinate nonbreeders within animal societies? A complete understanding of any society requires that these questions be answered for all individuals. 2. The clown anemonefish, Amphiprion percula, forms simple societies that live in close association with sea anemones, Heteractis magnifica. Here, we use data from a well-studied population of A. percula to determine the major predictors of reproductive success of dominant pairs in this species. 3. We analyse the effect of multiple predictors on four components of reproductive success, using a relatively new technique from the field of statistical learning: boosted regression trees (BRTs). BRTs have the potential to model complex relationships in ways that give powerful insight. 4. We show that the reproductive success of dominant pairs is unrelated to the presence, number or phenotype of nonbreeders. This is consistent with the observation that nonbreeders do not help or hinder breeders in any way, confirming and extending the results of a previous study. 5. Primarily, reproductive success is negatively related to male growth and positively related to breeding experience. It is likely that these effects are interrelated because males that grow a lot have little breeding experience. These effects are indicative of a trade-off between male growth and parental investment. 6. Secondarily, reproductive success is positively related to female growth and size. In this population, female size is positively related to group size and anemone size, also. These positive correlations among traits likely are caused by variation in site quality and are suggestive of a silver-spoon effect. 7. Noteworthily, whereas reproductive success is positively related to female size, it is unrelated to male size. This observation provides support for the size advantage hypothesis for sex change: both individuals maximize their reproductive success when the larger individual adopts the female tactic. 8. This study provides the most complete picture to date of the factors that predict the reproductive success of dominant pairs of clown anemonefish and illustrates the utility of BRTs for analysis of complex behavioural and evolutionary ecology data.     

Breeding success and reproductive strategies of twoAcrocephalus warblers

Several hypotheses have been proposed in the literature to account for the different responses birds show to varying degrees of nest predation. These are discussed using data on Marsh and Reed Warbler (Acrocephalus palustris, A. scirpaceus) which differ greatly in nest predation even when they share the same habitat. Breeding success was distinctly higher in Marsh than in Reed Warblers per breeding attempt (averaging 68.1% and 44.9% respectively). Different levels of egg predation and Cuckoo (Cuculus canorus) parasitism were the main reasons. During an egg laying period of about 14 weeks Reed Warblers produce many replacement clutches and second broods resulting in an average annual reproductive output of 3.8 fledged young per female. The single brooded Marsh Warbler with a laying period of 7 weeks produces 3.3 fledglings. Differences in structure and seasonality of the species' respective habitats, i. e. reedbeds in Reed Warbler and herbaceous vegetation in Marsh Warbler, contribute to the differences in breeding success and the length of breeding periods open to the two species. Marsh Warblers respond to limited breeding opportunities due to their narrow breeding season with higher clutch size, and by avoiding nest losses. They conceal nests better, breed in lower densities, and efficiently reject Cuckoo eggs. Ecological constraints may restrain the Reed Warbler to its comparably unsafe nest sites. In other open-nesting and ecologically similar species pairs, a similar higher breeding success also occurs in those species that stay for a shorter period on the breeding grounds. It appears that high breeding success is an important prerequisite for species breeding in ephemeral habitats.

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Zusammenfassung Eine Analyse des Bruterfolges anhand 20 brutbiologischer Studien am Teich- und 9 Studien am Sumpfrohrsänger (Acrocephalus scirpaceus, A. palustris) zeigt große Unterschiede zwischen beiden Arten, selbst wenn sie nebeneinander im selben Habitat nisten. Der Bruterfolg pro Brutversuch (Zahl ausgeflogener Junge/Zahl gelegter Eier) war mit durchschnittlich 68,1% beim Sumpfrohrsänger deutlich höher als beim Teichrohrsänger mit nur 44,9% (Tab. 1). Die Prädation von Eiern sowie Parasitierung durch den Kuckuck (Cuculus canorus) sind beim Teichrohrsänger deutlich höher und wichtigste Erklärung für die Unterschiede im Bruterfolg (Tab. 2). Während einer Legeperiode von insgesamt ca. 14 Wochen können Teichrohrsänger jedoch Brutverluste durch zahlreiche Nachgelege kompensieren und darüberhinaus noch Zweitbruten produzieren. Deshalb beträgt ihr jährlicher Gesamtbruterfolg durchschnittlich 3,8 flügge Junge pro Weibchen. Sumpfrohrsänger dagegen ziehen obligatorisch nur 1 Brut pro Jahr auf und haben eine Legeperiode von nur 7 Wochen. Ihr Gesamtbruterfolg beträgt ca. 3,3 flügge Junge pro Weibchen und ist nicht mehr wesentlich vom entsprechenden Wert für Teichrohrsänger verschieden. Unterschiede in der Struktur des Lebensraumes, beim Teichrohrsänger Schilfröhrichte mit stabilerem (und damit länger zum Nisten zur Verfügung stehendem) Aufwuchs bzw. beim Sumpfrohrsänger eine eher instabile und saisonal nur kurzzeitig zum Nisten geeignete Krautvegetation (die im Lauf des Sommers bereits zu welken beginnt), vermögen großenteils die Unterschiede im Bruterfolg beider Rohrsänger sowie in der Länge ihrer Legeperioden erklären. Die nur kurze Legeperiode des Sumpfrohrsängers bietet auch nur begrenzte Möglichkeiten zum erfolgreichen Brüten (limited breeding opportunities-Hypothese;Martin 1992). Seine höhere durchschnittliche Gelegegröße und die stärkere Vermeidung von Brutverlusten dienen als Kompensationsmechanismen hierfür. So tarnen Sumpfrohrsänger ihre Nester besser, brüten in geringerer Dichte und entfernen Kuckuckseier effektiver als Teichrohrsänger. Ökologische Zwänge scheinen dafür verantwortlich zu sein, daß Teichrohrsänger an Röhrichte und die dort stärker gefährdeten Neststandorte gebunden bleiben. Der Vergleich weiterer freibrütender Artenpaare mit einander ähnlichen ökologischen Ansprüchen bestätigt, daß diejenige Art, die kürzer am Brutplatz verweilt, jeweils den höheren durchschnittlichen Bruterfolg aufweist (Tab. 3). Offensichtlich ist hoher Bruterfolg wichtige Voraussetzung dafür, daß einige Arten in ephemeren, nur kurzfristig zur Verfügung stehenden Habitaten (Vegetationstypen) überhaupt brüten können.

     

Determinants of fecundity and reproductive success in captive vervet monkeys

Between 1975 and 1983, adult female vervet monkeys (Cercopithecus aethiops sabaeus) over 3.5 years of age, living in two undisturbed social groups in a captive colony in Sepulveda, California, have averaged 1.0 births per female year with a mean interbirth interval of 10.7 months. Increased fecundity did not result in decreased survival rates of offspring in this population. Fecundity was influenced by the mother's age and dominance rank. The primary factor in the age-fecundity relationship was the age at first birth, which varied from three to five years. High-ranking females contributed the most to the high rate of fecundity, with significantly shorter interbirth intervals, more births per female year, and more surviving infants compared to low-ranking females.     

Determinants of reproductive success in female adders,Vipera berus

Summary Female lifetime reproductive success in a small population of individually-marked adders in southern Sweden was studied over a period of seven years. Reproductive characteristics varied little from year to year and were consistent through time in individual females. Most females mature at four years of age and reproduce every two years. The total number of offspring produced by a female depends on her adult body size (and thus, litter size) and longevity (and thus, number of litters per lifetime). Adult body size in females is influenced mainly by subadult growth rates. Offspring size depends on maternal body size and a tradeoff between offspring size and offspring number. Maternal age does not affect litter sizes and offspring sizes except through ontogenetic changes in maternal body size.Survival of females after parturition is low because of the high energy costs of reproduction, compounded by low feeding rates of gravid females because of their sedentary behaviour at this time. About one-half of females produce only a single litter during their lifetimes, although some females live to produce four or five litters. On a proximate basis, rates of energy accumulation for growth (in subadults) and reproduction (in adults) may be the most important determinants of fitness in female adders.     

Determinants of reproductive success across sequential episodes of sexual selection in a firefly

Because females often mate with multiple males, it is critical to expand our view of sexual selection to encompass pre-, peri- and post-copulatory episodes to understand how selection drives trait evolution. In Photinus fireflies, females preferentially respond to males based on their bioluminescent courtship signals, but previous work has shown that male paternity success is negatively correlated with flash attractiveness. Here, we experimentally manipulated both the attractiveness of the courtship signal visible to female Photinus greeni fireflies before mating and male nuptial gift size to determine how these traits might each influence mate acceptance and paternity share. We also measured pericopulatory behaviours to examine their influence on male reproductive success. Firefly males with larger spermatophores experienced dual benefits in terms of both higher mate acceptance and increased paternity share. We found no effect of courtship signal attractiveness or pericopulatory behaviour on male reproductive success. Taken together with previous results, this suggests a possible trade-off for males between producing an attractive courtship signal and investing in nuptial gifts. By integrating multiple episodes of sexual selection, this study extends our understanding of sexual selection in Photinus fireflies and provides insight into the evolution of male traits in other polyandrous species.     

Inter-locality variation in reproductive success of the citril finch Serinus citrinella

Habitat quality is generally thought to affect breeding success. We tested this effect comparing differences in clutch size and reproductive success between citril finch Serinus citrinella sub-populations closely located (<5 km) but differing in habitat quality, within the Port del Comte mountain, in the Catalonian Pre-Pyrenees. We found that birds in the low quality area (Bofia) showed significantly lower hatching, breeding and nesting success than finches in the high quality area (Vansa). These differences in reproductive success fit well with recently found differences in citril finch body mass, fat score, diet, survival rate and speed of moult between these two localities.     

Determinants of reproductive success and offspring sex in a turtle with environmental sex determination

Despite the importance of maternal effects in evolution, and knowledge of links among nest site choice, timing of nesting, offspring sex, and reproductive success in animals with environmental sex determination, these attributes have not been rigorously studied in a combined and natural context. To address this need we studied the relationships between three maternal traits (nest site choice, lay date, and nest depth) and two fitness‐related attributes of offspring (hatchling sex and embryonic survival) in the riverine turtle Carettochelys insculpta, a species with temperature‐dependent sex determination, for four years. Predation and flooding were the major sources of embryonic mortality in 191 nests. Embryonic survival was influenced by both lay date and nest site choice: in one year when nesting began later than average, nests laid later and at lower elevations were destroyed by early wet season river rises. In other years early nesting precluded flood mortality. However, turtles did not nest at the highest available elevations, and a field experiment confirmed that turtles were constrained to nest at lower elevations where they could construct a nest chamber. The principal determinant of hatchling sex in 140 nests was lay date, which in turn was apparently related to the magnitude of the previous wet season(s). Clutches laid earlier in the season (a female's first clutch) produced mainly males, while later clutches (her second clutch) yielded mostly females, due to seasonal increases in air temperatures. Accordingly, later nesting produced female‐biased hatchling sex ratios in 1996, while earlier nesting resulted in sex ratios near unity in the other years. However, all‐female nests were more likely to be flooded than mixed‐sex or all‐male nests in years when nesting was late. In conclusion, we found evidence that the position of two maternal trait distributions (elevation of the nest site and lay date), associated with the reproductive strategy of C. insculpta, reflect a combination of natural selection, physical constraints, and phenotypic plasticity. © 2004 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2004, 81 , 1–16.     

Male reproductive success in plateau pikas (Ochotona curzoniae): A microsatellite analysis

In many social species, competition and cooperation between group members may lead to a large variance in reproductive success among individuals, especially for adult male. From April to August 2002, we studied the adult male reproductive success of plateau pikas in Haibei Alpine Meadow Ecosystem Research Station, Chinese Academy of Science, using microsatellite analysis of paternity, mark-recapture and behavioral observations. Our result indicated that the reproductive success of adult males had a large variance. Its average was 6 individuals and range was from 0 to 13 individuals. One-third of males sired 63.22% offspring. There was a hierarchy system in polygynandrous families. Although the reproductive success of dominant males was higher than that of subordinate males, subordinate males still play an important role in the reproductive success of the population.     

The breeding biology of the WheatearOenanthe oenanthe in South Sweden during three contrasting years

Summary The breeding phenology, territory size, egg dimensions, clutch size, nestling growth and reproductive success of a dense population of WheatearsOenanthe oenanthe was studied on the island of Öland, S. Sweden during the years 1985–1987. The 1987 season was exceptionally cold and rainy, 1986 had the warmest and driest conditions, while 1985 was intermediate with respect to weather. Cold, windy and rainy weather was associated to prolonged incubation, greater intervals between first and replacement clutches, prolonged nestling growth, lower fledging condition, increased starvation and increased predation. Large clutches were laid earlier in the season and contained relatively larger eggs than small clutches. Incubation periods decreased with clutch size. Female size was positively correlated with egg size and with clutch size. The last egg laid in a clutch had a tendency to be heavier than eggs laid previously, especially in large clutches. Nestling starvation increased with brood size in 2 years.

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Zusammenfassung 1985–1987 wurden Phänologie, Siedlungsdichte, Eimaße, Gelegegröße, Jungenwachstum und Bruterfolg einer Population des Steinschmätzers auf der südschwedischen Insel Öland untersucht. 1987 waren die Lufttemperaturen besonders niedrig und die Niederschläge sehr hoch. Der Sommer 1986 wies dagegen die höchsten Temperaturen und niedrigsten Niederschläge der 3 Jahre auf. Kaltes, windiges und regnerisches Wetter war mit längerer Brütezeit, längeren Intervallen zwischen Erst- und Ersatzbruten, langsamerem Jungenwachstum, schlechterer Kondition der ausfliegenden Jungen und höheren Verlusten durch Verhungern und Beutefeinde korreliert. Die Gelegegröße nahm mit dem Legedatum ab; die größten Gelege hatten im Mittel größere Eier. Die Bebrütungszeit nahm mit der Gelegegröße ab. Größere Weibchen legten größere Eier und zeigten Tendenz, größere Gelege zu produzieren. Die zuletzt gelegten Eier waren meist die schwersten, besonders in großen Gelegen. Ausfälle durch Verhungern stiegen in 2 Jahren mit der Brutgröße.

     

Temporal variation in the female components of reproductive success over the extended flowering season of a Mediterranean perennial herb

We examined the reproductive success of the perennial herb Lobularia maritima during its extended flowering and fruiting season. The within- and between-year variability of the female components of reproductive success (from flower, fruit and seed production to seed survival, seed germination and seedling establishment) were analysed during four flowering seasons. All the components of reproductive success studied showed a significant within- and between-year variation. September was the period of the year with the maximum values of flower and fruit production, and the highest germination and establishment rates. Nevertheless, seed losses due to both predispersal and postdispersal seed predation during this period were also the highest, seriously reducing seed output in this period. On the other hand, in those periods in which seed production was low, i.e. January and May, the percentage of seeds lost to seed predators was the lowest. Reproductive success in each period of the flowering season was estimated using a simple demographic model, in which the information concerning all the components already calculated was integrated. The two variables used to estimate reproductive success in each period, i.e. the number of new individuals produced per plant and the probability of a seed becoming an adult plant, showed relatively small differences over the year. These results suggest a counter-balance of the different components of reproductive success in this species, with favourable and unfavourable periods for the different components being compensated during its extended flowering season.     

Identifying predators clarifies predictors of nest success in a temperate passerine

1.  Nest predation negatively affects most avian populations. Studies of nest predation usually group all nest failures when attempting to determine temporal and parental activities, habitat or landscape predictors of success. Often these studies find few significant predictors and interpret patterns as essentially random.
2.  Relatively little is known about the importance of individual predator species or groups on observed patterns of nest success, and how the ecology of these predators may influence patterns of success and failure.
3.  In 2006 and 2007, time-lapse, infrared video systems were deployed at nests of Swainson's warblers ( Limnothlypis swainsonii Audubon) in east-central Arkansas to identify dominant nest predators and determine whether factors predicting predation differed among these predators.
4.  Analysis of pooled data yielded few predictors of predation risk, whereas separate analyses for the three major predator groups revealed clear, but often conflicting, patterns.
5.  Predation by ratsnakes ( Elaphe obsoleta ) and raptors was more common during the nestling period, whereas predation by brown-headed cowbirds ( Molothrus ater ) occurred more during incubation. Additionally, the risk of predation by raptors and cowbirds decreased throughout the breeding season, whereas ratsnake predation risk increased.
6.  Contrary to expectations, predation by ratsnakes and cowbirds was more common far from edges, whereas raptor predation was more common close to agricultural edges.
7.  Collectively, our results suggest that associating specific predators with the nests they prey on is necessary to understand underlying mechanisms.