Effective Size and F-Statistics of Subdivided Populations. II. Dioecious Species

Assuming discrete generations and autosomal inheritance involving genes that do not affect viability or reproductive ability, we have derived recurrence equations for the inbreeding coefficient and coancestry between individuals within and among subpopulations for a subdivided monoecious population with arbitrary distributions of male and female gametes per family, variable pollen and seed migration rates, and partial selfing. From the equations, formulas for effective size and expressions for F-statistics are obtained. For the special case of a single unsubdivided population, our equations reduce to the simple expressions derived by previous authors. It is shown that population structure (subdivision and migration) is important in determining the inbreeding coefficient and effective size. Failure to recognize internal structures of populations may lead to considerable bias in predicting effective size. Inbreeding coefficient, coancestry between individuals within and among subpopulations accrue at different and variable rates over initial generations before they converge to the same asymptotic rate of increase. For a given population, the smaller the pollen and seed migration rates, the more generations are required to attain the asymptotic rate and the larger the asymptotic effective size. The equations presented herein can be used for the study of evolutionary biology and conservation genetics.     

Effective size and F-statistics of subdivided populations for sex-linked loci.

For a population subdivided into an arbitrary number (s) of subpopulations, each consisting of different numbers of separate sexes, with arbitrary distributions of family size and variable migration rates by males (dm) and females (df), the recurrence equations for inbreeding coefficient and coancestry between individuals within and among subpopulations for a sex-linked locus are derived and the corresponding expressions for asymptotic effective size are obtained by solving the recurrence equations. The usual assumptions are made which are stable population size and structure, discrete generations, the island migration model, and without mutation and selection. The results show that population structure has an important effect on the inbreeding coefficients in any generation, asymptotic effective size, and F-statistics. Gene exchange among subpopulations inhibits inbreeding in initial generations but increases inbreeding in later generations. The larger the migration rate, the greater the final inbreeding coefficients and the smaller the effective size. Thus if the inbreeding coefficient is to be restricted to a specific value within a given number of generations, the appropriate population structure (the values of s, dm, and df) can be obtained by using the recurrence equations. It is shown that the greater the extent of subdivision (large s, small dm and df), the larger the effective size. For a given subdivided population, the effective size for a sex-linked locus may be larger or smaller than that for an autosomal locus, depending on the sex ratio, variance and covariance of family size, and the extend of subdivision. For the special case of a single unsubdivided population, our recurrence equations for inbreeding coefficient and coancestry and formulas for effective size reduce to the simple expressions derived by previous authors.     

INBREEDING AND VARIANCE EFFECTIVE SIZES FOR NONRANDOM MATING POPULATIONS

Following an inbreeding approach and assuming discrete generations and autosomal inheritance involving genes that do not affect viability or reproductive ability, I have derived expressions for the inbreeding effective size, N_eI, for a finite diploid population with variable census sizes for three cases: monoecious populations with partial selfing; dioecious populations of equal numbers of males and females with partial sib mating; and unequal numbers of males and females with random mating. For the first two cases, recurrence equations for the inbreeding coefficient are also obtained, which allow inbreeding coefficients to be predicted exactly in both early and late generations. Following the variance of change in gene frequency approach, a general expression for variance effective size, N_eV, is obtained for a population with unequal numbers of male and female individuals, arbitrary family size distribution, and nonrandom mating. All the parameters involved are allowed to change over generations. For some special cases, the equation reduces to the simple expressions approximately as derived by previous authors. Comparisons are made between equations derived by the present study and those obtained by previous authors. Some of the published equations for N_eI and N_eV are shown to be incomplete or incorrect. Stochastic simulations are run to check the results where disagreements with others are involved.     

Genome-Wide Estimates of Coancestry,Inbreeding and Effective Population Size in the Spanish Holstein Population

Estimates of effective population size in the Holstein cattle breed have usually been low despite the large number of animals that constitute this breed. Effective population size is inversely related to the rates at which coancestry and inbreeding increase and these rates have been high as a consequence of intense and accurate selection. Traditionally, coancestry and inbreeding coefficients have been calculated from pedigree data. However, the development of genome-wide single nucleotide polymorphisms has increased the interest of calculating these coefficients from molecular data in order to improve their accuracy. In this study, genomic estimates of coancestry, inbreeding and effective population size were obtained in the Spanish Holstein population and then compared with pedigree-based estimates. A total of 11,135 animals genotyped with the Illumina BovineSNP50 BeadChip were available for the study. After applying filtering criteria, the final genomic dataset included 36,693 autosomal SNPs and 10,569 animals. Pedigree data from those genotyped animals included 31,203 animals. These individuals represented only the last five generations in order to homogenise the amount of pedigree information across animals. Genomic estimates of coancestry and inbreeding were obtained from identity by descent segments (coancestry) or runs of homozygosity (inbreeding). The results indicate that the percentage of variance of pedigree-based coancestry estimates explained by genomic coancestry estimates was higher than that for inbreeding. Estimates of effective population size obtained from genome-wide and pedigree information were consistent and ranged from about 66 to 79. These low values emphasize the need of controlling the rate of increase of coancestry and inbreeding in Holstein selection programmes.     

Influence of Gene Flow and Breeding Tactics on Gene Diversity within Populations

Expressions describing the accumulation of gene correlations within and among lineages and individuals of a population are derived. The model permits different migration rates by males and females and accounts for various breeding tactics within lineages. The resultant equations enable calculation of the probabilistic quantities for the fixation indices, rates of loss of genetic variation, accumulation of inbreeding, and coefficients of relationship for the population at any generation. All fixation indices were found to attain asymptotic values rapidly despite the consistent loss of genetic variation and accumulation of inbreeding within the population. The time required to attain asymptotic values, however, was prolonged when gene flow among lineages was relatively low (less than 20%). The degree of genetic differentiation among breeding groups, inbreeding coefficients, and gene correlations within lineages were found to be primarily functions of breeding tactics within groups rather than gene flow among groups. Thus, the asymptotic value of S. Wright's island model is not appropriate for describing genetic differences among groups within populations. An alternative solution is provided that under limited conditions will reduce to the original island model. The evolution of polygynous breeding tactics appears to be more favorable for promoting intragroup gene correlations than modification of migration rates. Inbreeding and variance effective sizes are derived for populations that are structured by different migration and breeding tactics. Processes that reduce the inbreeding effective population size result in a concomitant increase in variance effective population size.     

Reduction of inbreeding in commercial females by rotational mating with several sire lines

A mating system to reduce the inbreeding of commercial females in the lower level was examined theoretically, assuming a hierarchical breed structure, in which favorable genes are accumulated in the upper level by artificial selection and the achieved genetic progress is transferred to the lower level through migration of males. The mating system examined was rotational mating with several closed sire lines in the upper level. Using the group coancestry theory, we derived recurrence equations for the inbreeding coefficient of the commercial females. The asymptotic inbreeding coefficient was also derived. Numerical computations showed that the critical factor for determining the inbreeding is the number of sire lines, and that the size of each sire line has a marginal effect. If four or five sire lines were available, rotational mating was found to be quite an effective system to reduce the short- and long-term inbreeding of the commercial females, irrespective of the effective size of each sire line. Oscillation of the inbreeding coefficient under rotational mating with initially related sire lines could be minimized by avoiding the consecutive use of highly related lines. Extensions and perspectives of the system are discussed in relation to practical application.     

Effective Sizes for Subdivided Populations

Many derivations of effective population sizes have been suggested in the literature; however, few account for the breeding structure and none can readily be expanded to subdivided populations. Breeding structures influence gene correlations through their effects on the number of breeding individuals of each sex, the mean number of progeny per female, and the variance in the number of progeny produced by males and females. Additionally, hierarchical structuring in a population is determined by the number of breeding groups and the migration rates of males and females among such groups. This study derives analytical solutions for effective sizes that can be applied to subdivided populations. Parameters that encapsulate breeding structure and subdivision are utilized to derive the traditional inbreeding and variance effective sizes. Also, it is shown that effective sizes can be determined for any hierarchical level of population structure for which gene correlations can accrue. Derivations of effective sizes for the accumulation of gene correlations within breeding groups (coancestral effective size) and among breeding groups (intergroup effective size) are given. The results converge to traditional, single population measures when similar assumptions are applied. In particular, inbreeding and intergroup effective sizes are shown to be special cases of the coancestral effective size, and intergroup and variance effective sizes will be equal if the population census remains constant. Instantaneous solutions for effective sizes, at any time after gene correlation begins to accrue, are given in terms of traditional F statistics or transition equations. All effective sizes are shown to converge upon a common asymptotic value when breeding tactics and migration rates are constant. The asymptotic effective size can be expressed in terms of the fixation indices and the number of breeding groups; however, the rate of approach to the asymptote is dependent upon dispersal rates. For accurate assessment of effective sizes, initial, instantaneous or asymptotic, the expressions must be applied at the lowest levels at which migration among breeding groups is nonrandom. Thus, the expressions may be applicable to lineages within socially structured populations, fragmented populations (if random exchange of genes prevails within each population), or combinations of intra- and interpopulation discontinuities of gene flow. Failure to recognize internal structures of populations may lead to considerable overestimates of inbreeding effective size, while usually underestimating variance effective size.     

An experimental evaluation with Drosophila melanogaster of a novel dynamic system for the management of subdivided populations in conservation programs

A dynamic method (DM) recently proposed for the management of captive subdivided populations was evaluated using the pilot species Drosophila melanogaster. By accounting for the particular genetic population structure, the DM determines the optimal mating pairs, their contributions to progeny and the migration pattern that minimize the overall coancestry in the population with a control of inbreeding levels. After a pre-management period such that one of the four subpopulations had higher inbreeding and differentiation than the others, three management methods were compared for 10 generations over three replicates: (1) isolated subpopulations (IS), (2) one-migrant-per-generation rule (OMPG), (3) DM aimed to produce the same or lower inbreeding coefficient than OMPG. The DM produced the lowest coancestry and equal or lower inbreeding than the OMPG method throughout the experiment. The initially lower fitness and lower variation for nine microsatellite loci of the highly inbred subpopulation were restored more quickly with the DM than with the OMPG method. We provide, therefore, an empirical illustration of the usefulness of the DM as a conservation protocol for captive subdivided populations when pedigree information is available (or can be deduced) and manipulation of breeding pairs is possible.     

Genome-Wide Estimates of Coancestry and Inbreeding in a Closed Herd of Ancient Iberian Pigs

Maintaining genetic variation and controlling the increase in inbreeding are crucial requirements in animal conservation programs. The most widely accepted strategy for achieving these objectives is to maximize the effective population size by minimizing the global coancestry obtained from a particular pedigree. However, for most natural or captive populations genealogical information is absent. In this situation, microsatellites have been traditionally the markers of choice to characterize genetic variation, and several estimators of genealogical coefficients have been developed using marker data, with unsatisfactory results. The development of high-throughput genotyping techniques states the necessity of reviewing the paradigm that genealogical coancestry is the best parameter for measuring genetic diversity. In this study, the Illumina PorcineSNP60 BeadChip was used to obtain genome-wide estimates of rates of coancestry and inbreeding and effective population size for an ancient strain of Iberian pigs that is now in serious danger of extinction and for which very accurate genealogical information is available (the Guadyerbas strain). Genome-wide estimates were compared with those obtained from microsatellite and from pedigree data. Estimates of coancestry and inbreeding computed from the SNP chip were strongly correlated with genealogical estimates and these correlations were substantially higher than those between microsatellite and genealogical coefficients. Also, molecular coancestry computed from SNP information was a better predictor of genealogical coancestry than coancestry computed from microsatellites. Rates of change in coancestry and inbreeding and effective population size estimated from molecular data were very similar to those estimated from genealogical data. However, estimates of effective population size obtained from changes in coancestry or inbreeding differed. Our results indicate that genome-wide information represents a useful alternative to genealogical information for measuring and maintaining genetic diversity.     

The effective size of mixed sexually and asexually reproducing populations

Using the transition matrix of inbreeding and coancestry coefficients, the inbreeding (N(eI)), variance (N(eV)), and asymptotic (N(e lambda)) effective sizes of mixed sexual and asexual populations are formulated in terms of asexuality rate (delta), variance of asexual (C) and sexual (K) reproductive contributions of individuals, correlation between asexual and sexual contributions (rho(ck)), selfing rate (beta), and census population size (N). The trajectory of N(eI) toward N(e lambda) changes crucially depending on delta, N, and beta, whereas that of N(eV) is rather consistent. With increasing asexuality, N(e lambda) either increases or decreases depending on C, K, and rho(ck). The parameter space in which a partially asexual population has a larger N(e lambda) than a fully sexual population is delineated. This structure is destroyed when N(1 - delta) < 1 or delta > 1 - 1/N. With such a high asexuality, tremendously many generations are required for the asymptotic size N(e lambda) to be established, and N(e lambda) is extremely large with any value of C, K, and rho(ck) because the population is dominated eventually by individuals of the same genotype and the allelic diversity within the individuals decays quite slowly. In reality, the asymptotic state would occur only occasionally, and instantaneous rather than asymptotic effective sizes should be practical when predicting evolutionary dynamics of highly asexual populations.     

Impacts of seed and pollen flow on population genetic structure for plant genomes with three contrasting modes of inheritance

The classical island and one-dimensional stepping-stone models of population genetic structure developed for animal populations are extended to hermaphrodite plant populations to study the behavior of biparentally inherited nuclear genes and organelle genes with paternal and maternal inheritance. By substituting appropriate values for effective population sizes and migration rates of the genes concerned into the classical models, expressions for genetic differentiation and correlation in gene frequency between populations can be derived. For both models, differentiation for maternally inherited genes at migration-drift equilibrium is greater than that for paternally inherited genes, which in turn is greater than that for biparentally inherited nuclear genes. In the stepping-stone model, the change of genetic correlation with distance is influenced by the mode of inheritance of the gene and the relative values of long- and short-distance migration by seed and pollen. In situations where it is possible to measure simultaneously Fst for genes with all three types of inheritance, estimates of the relative rates of pollen to seed flow can be made for both the short- and long-distance components of migration in the stepping-stone model.     

Prediction of rates of inbreeding in selected populations

A method is presented for the prediction of rate of inbreeding for populations with discrete generations. The matrix of Wright's numerator relationships is partitioned into 'contribution' matrices which describe the contribution of the Mendelian sampling of genes of ancestors in a given generation to the relationship between individuals in later generations. These contributions stabilize with time and the value to which they stabilize is shown to be related to the asymptotic rate of inbreeding and therefore also the effective population size, Ne approximately 2N/(mu 2r + sigma 2r), where N is the number of individuals per generation and mu r and sigma 2r are the mean and variance of long-term relationships or long-term contributions. These stabilized values are then predicted using a recursive equation via the concept of selective advantage for populations with hierarchical mating structures undergoing mass selection. Account is taken of the change in genetic parameters as a consequence of selection and also the increasing 'competitiveness' of contemporaries as selection proceeds. Examples are given and predicted rates of inbreeding are compared to those calculated in simulations. For populations of 20 males and 20, 40, 100 or 200 females the rate of inbreeding was found to increase by as much as 75% over the rate of inbreeding in an unselected population depending on mating ratio, selection intensity and heritability of the selected trait. The prediction presented here estimated the rate of inbreeding usually within 5% of that calculated from simulation.     

Fixed contributions designs vs. minimization of global coancestry to control inbreeding in small populations

Populations with small census sizes are at risk because of the loss of genetic variability and the increase of inbreeding and its harmful consequences. For situations with different numbers of males and females, several hierarchical designs have been proposed to control inbreeding through the fixation of individuals' contributions. An alternative method, based on the minimization of global coancestry, has been proposed to determine contributions as to yield of the lowest levels of inbreeding in the population. We use computer simulations to assess the relative efficiency of the different methods. The results show that minimizing the global coancestry leads to equal or lower levels of inbreeding in the short and medium term, although one of the hierarchical designs provides lower asymptotic inbreeding rates and, thus, less net inbreeding in the long term. We also investigate the performance of the alternative methods against departures from the ideal conditions, such as inbred or differentially related base individuals and random failures in the expected contributions. The method of minimization of global coancestry turns out to be more flexible and robust under these realistic situations.     

Management of subdivided populations in conservation programs: development of a novel dynamic system

Within the context of a conservation program the management of subdivided populations implies a compromise between the control of the global genetic diversity, the avoidance of high inbreeding levels, and, sometimes, the maintenance of a certain degree of differentiation between subpopulations. We present a dynamic and flexible methodology, based on genealogical information, for the maximization of the genetic diversity (measured through the global population coancestry) in captive subdivided populations while controlling/restricting the levels of inbreeding. The method is able to implement specific restrictions on the desired relative levels of coancestry between and within subpopulations. By accounting for the particular genetic population structure, the method determines the optimal contributions (i.e., number of offspring) of each individual, the number of migrants, and the particular subpopulations involved in the exchange of individuals. Computer simulations are used to illustrate the procedure and its performance in a range of reasonable scenarios. The method performs well in most situations and is shown to be more efficient than the commonly accepted one-migrant-per-generation strategy.     

A model for genetic relationship in areally continous plant populations.

Representations are based on plant populations, continuously distributed over their habitats according to specified density patterns. Migration of genetic material takes place via pollen and seed dispersal. Monoecious plants with arbitrary rates of self-fertilization and dioecious plants are considered. The model was constructed with the intention of determining coefficients of inbreeding and kinship for all locations within the seed population after its dispersal over the habitat, assuming the respective genetic relationships of the parental generation to be known. To display the consequences of single components hidden in the general result, the following specifications have been treated: finite population size combined with random dispersal of seed, equilibrium states for hypothetically infinite population size with “limited” dispersal of pollen and seed, random dispersal of pollen, and random dispersal of seed.     

Minimization of rate of inbreeding for small populations with overlapping generations

We propose a method that minimizes the rate of inbreeding (delta F) for small unselected populations with overlapping generations and several reproductive age classes. It minimizes the increase in coancestry of parents and optimizes the contribution of each selection candidate. The carrying capacity of the population is limited to a fixed number of animals per year. When survival rate equalled 100%, only animals from the oldest age class were selected, which maximized the number of parents per generation, slowed down the turnover of generations and minimized the increase of coancestry across sublines. However, the population became split into sublines separated by age classes, which substantially increased inbreeding within sublines. Sublines were prevented by a restriction of selecting at least one sire and one dam from the second-oldest age class, which resulted in an L times lower delta F, where L equals the average generation interval of sires and dams. Minimum coancestry mating resulted in lower levels of inbreeding than random mating, but delta F was approximately the same. For schemes where the oldest animals were selected, delta F increased by 18-52% compared with the proposed method.     

Genetic Adaptation to Captivity and Inbreeding Depression in Small Laboratory Populations of Drosophila Melanogaster

The rate of adaptation to a competitive laboratory environment and the associated inbreeding depression in measures of reproductive fitness have been observed in populations of Drosophila melanogaster with mean effective breeding size of the order of 50 individuals. Two large wild-derived populations and a long-established laboratory cage population were used as base stocks, from which subpopulations were extracted and slowly inbred under crowded conditions over a period of 210 generations. Comparisons have been made of the competitive ability and reproductive fitness of these subpopulations, the panmictic populations produced from them by hybridization and random mating and the wild- or cage-base populations from which they were derived. After an average of ~180 generations in the laboratory, the wild-derived panmictic populations exceeded the resampled natural populations by 75% in fitness under competitive conditions. The cage-derived panmictic population, after a total of 17 years in the laboratory, showed a 90% superiority in competitive ability over the corresponding wild population. In the inbred lines derived from the wild-base stocks, the average rate of adaptation was estimated to be 0.33 +/- 0.06% per generation. However, the gain in competitive ability was more than offset by inbreeding depression at an initial rate of ~2% per generation. The effects of both adaptation and inbreeding on reproductive ability in a noncompetitive environment were found to be minor by comparison. The maintenance of captive populations under noncompetitive conditions can therefore be expected to minimize adaptive changes due to natural selection in the changed environment.     

Population structure of the Trakehner Horse breed

The objective of this study was to examine the population structure of the Trakehner Horse breed. A total of 13 793 pedigree records were used for analysing the active breeding population and their ancestors dating back to 1950. Ancestors that were born before 1950 were called as base animals. The average generation interval was calculated as 10.2 years. The effective population size (Ne) was estimated by the increase in average year-wise inbreeding coefficient and average coancestry, respectively. Two methods were applied to estimate the effective population size: 1. Numerator-relationship-matrix (NRM), which did not consider missing ancestries. 2. Uncertain-parentage-matrix (UPM), which considered a probabilistic correction for unknown ancestors. There were no major differences between these two methods with respect to the rate of increase in inbreeding although the global levels using the UPM method were observed to be higher. Estimates for the inbreeding coefficients and the average coancestries varied little between both methods. The estimates of the effective population size per generation based on the rate of inbreeding ranged from 169 (NRM) to 150 (UPM) and 158 (NRM) to 144 (UPM) calculated by the average coancestry. From the early 1990s onwards, a strong increase in the rate of inbreeding was observed. This may be due to an increasing variance of the family size of sires and may be interpreted as a consequence of the growing use of artificial insemination. Analysing coancestries within and between the centrally managed regional breeding societies in Germany further revealed the Trakehner horse breed to be a genetically fragmented population with a main partition corresponding to formerly divided East and West Germany. The average rate of gene contributions (Thoroughbred (xx), Arab Horse breed (ox)) to the defined actual breeding population was calculated to be 22.3% xx-genes and 11.7% ox-genes.     

Recovery process of genetic diversity through seed and pollen immigration at the northernmost leading-edge population of Fagus crenata

The range expansion of a plant species begins with colonization of ecological empty patches from posterior source populations. This process involves stochastic loss of genetic diversity. However, the founder population could restore genetic diversity by gene flow from posterior populations via seeds and pollen and its recovery affects evolutionary potential for species expansion. To clarify the recovery process of genetic diversity during species range expansion, gene flow via seeds and pollen was investigated at the expansion front of Fagus crenata. Based on eight nuclear microsatellite genotypes of a total of 150 individuals and 225 seeds at the northernmost leading-edge population, genetic diversity, fine-scale spatial genetic structure (FSGS), and genetic differentiation from other five northern populations were investigated. Moreover, both seed and pollen immigration and their effects on genetic diversity at different successional stages were analyzed. The leading-edge population showed lower genetic diversity and substantial genetic differentiation, reflecting its strong genetic drift. Non-significant FSGS and a negative inbreeding coefficient for mature trees may indicate that the earliest generation consisted of founders from foreign seed sources. The significant proportion of seed and pollen immigration increased the number of different alleles for later successional stages. The effective number of pollen parents from foreign sources (20.8) was markedly higher than that from the local source (2.1). These results indicated that pollen immigration incorporated new and rare alleles and increased the genetic diversity of the population. However, the proportion of foreign gene flow decreased during succession, probably due to the increased reproductive success of local individuals as they reached maturity and grew in size.