Comment arising from a paper by Wittmer et al.: hypothesis testing for top-down and bottom-up effects in woodland caribou population dynamics

Conservation strategies for populations of woodland caribou Rangifer tarandus caribou frequently emphasize the importance of predator–prey relationships and the availability of lichen-rich late seral forests, yet the importance of summer diet and forage availability to woodland caribou survival is poorly understood. In a recent article, Wittmer et al. (Can J Zool 83:407–418, 2005b) concluded that woodland caribou in British Columbia were declining as a consequence of increased predation that was facilitated by habitat alteration. Their conclusion is consistent with the findings of other authors who have suggested that predation is the most important proximal factor limiting woodland caribou populations (Bergerud and Elliot in Can J Zool 64:1515–1529, 1986; Edmonds in Can J Zool 66:817–826, 1988; Rettie and Messier in Can J Zool 76:251–259, 1998; Hayes et al. in Wildl Monogr 152:1–35, 2003). Wittmer et al. (Can J Zool 83:407–418, 2005b) presented three alternative, contrasting hypotheses for caribou decline that differed in terms of predicted differences in instantaneous rates of increase, pregnancy rates, causes of mortality, and seasonal vulnerability to mortality (Table 1, p 258). These authors rejected the hypotheses that food or an interaction between food and predation was responsible for observed declines in caribou populations; however, the use of pregnancy rate, mortality season and cause of mortality to contrast the alternative hypotheses is problematic. We argue here that the data employed in their study were insufficient to properly evaluate a predation-sensitive foraging hypothesis for caribou decline. Empirical data on seasonal forage availability and quality and plane of nutrition of caribou would be required to test the competing hypotheses. We suggest that methodological limitations in studies of woodland caribou population dynamics prohibit proper evaluation of the mechanism of caribou population declines and fail to elucidate potential interactions between top-down and bottom-up effects on populations. An erratum to this article can be found at     

Woodland caribou calf mortality in Newfoundland: insights into the role of climate,predation and population density over three decades of study

The rates and causes of juvenile mortality are central features of the dynamics and conservation of large mammals, like woodland caribou (Rangifer tarandus caribou (Gmelin, 1788)), but intrinsic and extrinsic factors may be modified by variations in animal abundance. We tested the influences of population size, climate, calf weight and sex on survival to 6 months of age of 1241 radio-collared caribou calves over three decades, spanning periods of population growth (1979–1997) and decline (2003–2012) in Newfoundland, Canada. Daily survival rates were higher and rose more quickly with calf age during the population growth period compared to the decline. Population size (negatively) and calf weight (positively) affected survival during the decline but neither had a detectable influence during the growth phase. Sex, climate and plant productivity (the latter two derived from the North Atlantic Oscillation and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, respectively) exerted minimal influence during either phase. Predation was the dominant source of mortality. The mean percentage of calves killed by predators was 30 % higher during the decline compared to the growth phase. Black bears (Ursus americanus) and lynx (Lynx canadensis) were the major predators during the population increase but this changed during the decrease to black bears and coyotes (Canis latrans). Our findings are consistent with the hypothesis that Newfoundland caribou experienced phase-dependent survival mediated proximally by predation and competition for food.     

Spatial synchrony of recruitment in mountain-dwelling woodland caribou

Spatial synchrony in population dynamics is a ubiquitous feature across a range of taxa. Understanding factors influencing this synchrony may shed light on important drivers of population dynamics. Three mechanisms influence the degree of spatial synchrony between populations: dispersal, shared predators, and spatial environmental covariance (the Moran effect). We assessed demographic spatial synchrony in recruitment (calf:cow ratio) of 10 northern mountain caribou herds in the Yukon Territory, Canada (1982–2008). Shared predators and dispersal were ruled out as causal mechanisms of spatial recruitment synchrony in these herds and therefore any spatial synchrony should be due to the Moran effect. We also assessed the degree of spatial synchrony in April snow depth to represent environmental variability. The regional average spatial synchrony in detrended residuals of April snow depth was 0.46 (95% CI 0.37 to 0.55). Spatial synchrony in caribou recruitment was weak at 0.13 (95% CI −0.06 to 0.32). The spatial scale of synchrony in April snow depth and caribou recruitment was 330.2 km (95% CI 236.3 to 370.0 km) and 170.0 km (95% CI 69.5 to 282.8 km), respectively. We also investigated how the similarity in terrain features between herds influenced the degree of spatial synchrony using exponential decay models. Only the difference in elevation variability between herds during calving was supported by the data. Herds with more similar elevation variability may track snowmelt ablation patterns in a more similar fashion, which would subsequently result in more synchronized predation rates on calves and/or nutritional effects impacting juvenile survival. Interspecific interactions with predators and alternate prey may also influence spatial synchrony of recruitment in these herds.     

Changes in landscape composition influence the decline of a threatened woodland caribou population

1. Large-scale habitat loss is frequently identified with loss of biodiversity, but examples of the direct effect of habitat alterations on changes in vital rates remain rare. Quantifying and understanding the relationship between habitat composition and changes in vital rates, however, is essential for the development of effective conservation strategies. 2. It has been suggested that the decline of woodland caribou Rangifer tarandus caribou populations in North America is precipitated by timber harvesting that creates landscapes of early seral forests. Such habitat changes have altered the predator-prey system resulting in asymmetric predation, where predators are maintained by alternative prey (i.e. apparent competition). However, a direct link between habitat condition and caribou population declines has not been documented. 3. We estimated survival probabilities for the threatened arboreal lichen-feeding ecotype of woodland caribou in British Columbia, Canada, at two different spatial scales. At the broader scale, observed variation in adult female survival rates among 10 distinct populations (range = 0.67-0.93) was best explained by variation in the amount of early seral stands within population ranges and population density. At the finer scale, home ranges of caribou killed by predators had lower proportions of old forest and more mid-aged forest as compared with multi-annual home ranges where caribou were alive. 4. These results are consistent with predictions from the apparent competition hypothesis and quantify direct fitness consequences for caribou following habitat alterations. We conclude that apparent competition can cause rapid population declines and even extinction where changes in species composition occur following large scale habitat change.     

Predicting extinctions: interspecific competition,predation and population variability in experimental Daphnia populations

We examine how interspecific competition and two types of size-selective predation affect population density, variability and persistence in laboratory cultures of two species of Daphnia, D. magna and D. longispina. When both species were analysed together, and for D. longispina alone, there were weak negative relationships between mean population density and population variability. Interspecific competition resulted in lower population densities and higher population variability. Extinct populations had lower densities and were also more variable than persisting ones. There was still an effect of population variability on extinction probability after the effect of density on population variability had been accounted for. Hence, the effects of population density and variability on population persistence were partly independent of each other. The effects of size-selective predation on population persistence were more species-specific and not directly related to density or variability. Since the effects of species interactions on persistence were large, we suggest that it is likely that population vulnerability analyses not incorporating effects of interspecific interactions are often misleading.     

Impacts of spruce budworm defoliation on the habitat of woodland caribou,moose, and their main predators

Forest logging has contributed to the decline of several woodland caribou populations by causing the fragmentation of mature coniferous stands. Such habitat alterations could be worsened by spruce budworm (SBW) outbreaks. Using 6201 vegetation plots from provincial inventories conducted after the last SBW outbreak (1968–1992) in boreal forests of Québec (Canada), we investigated the influence of SBW‐caused tree defoliation and mortality on understory vegetation layers relevant to woodland caribou and its main predators. We found a positive association between severe outbreaks and the cover of most groups of understory plant species, especially in stands that were dominated by balsam fir before the outbreak, where a high canopy openness particularly benefited relatively fast‐growing deciduous plants. Such increases in early successional vegetation could provide high‐quality forage for moose, which is likely to promote higher wolf densities and increase predation pressure on caribou. SBW outbreaks may thus negatively affect woodland caribou by increasing predation risk, the main factor limiting caribou populations in managed forests. For the near future, we recommend updating the criteria used to define critical caribou habitat to consider the potential impacts of spruce budworm defoliation.     

Fish predation and offspring survival in the prosobranch snail Viviparus ater

In this study we identified some of the predators of the freshwater snail Viviparus ater and estimated offspring survival to the end of the first summer in a natural population. Newborn V. ater were eaten by the fish Barbus barbus, Rutilus rutilus, Scardinius erythrophtalmus and Tinca tinca. Out of 137 guts of Abramis brama caught in Lake Zürich 1 contained shell fragments and an operculum of a newborn V. ater. On a 40×40 m grid near Goldbach, Lake Zürich, we counted 678 adult females of V. ater in June 1988, which together gave birth to approximately 13 300 offspring throughout the summer. In October we found 1348 V. ater of age class 0 on the grid, i.e. approximately 10% of the year's young had survived to the end of their first summer. The grid had been divided into two sections, A and B. In section A, 72 carthenware tiles had been placed as shelters for V. ater. Offspring survival was slightly but significantly higher here (10.9%) than in section B (9.6%). The observation that offspring survival in the natural habitat was 1 order of magnitude lower than in cages suggests that predation is an important cause of mortality of newborn V. ater. Average population density was 2 individuals m^–2 There was a migration from shallow (1–4 m) to deeper water (5–9 m) in September. The average distance between weekly recordings of tagged V. ater was 4.7 m in males and 3.0 m in females.     

Preferred habitat and effective population size drive landscape genetic patterns in an endangered species

Landscape genetics provides a framework for pinpointing environmental features that determine the important exchange of migrants among populations. These studies usually test the significance of environmental variables on gene flow, yet ignore one fundamental driver of genetic variation in small populations, effective population size, N_e. We combined both approaches in evaluating genetic connectivity of a threatened ungulate, woodland caribou. We used least-cost paths to calculate matrices of resistance distance for landscape variables (preferred habitat, anthropogenic features and predation risk) and population-pairwise harmonic means of N_e, and correlated them with genetic distances, F_ST and D_c. Results showed that spatial configuration of preferred habitat and N_e were the two best predictors of genetic relationships. Additionally, controlling for the effect of N_e increased the strength of correlations of environmental variables with genetic distance, highlighting the significant underlying effect of N_e in modulating genetic drift and perceived spatial connectivity. We therefore have provided empirical support to emphasize preventing increased habitat loss and promoting population growth to ensure metapopulation viability.     

Mesocosm experiment on the impact of invertebrate predation on zooplankton of a tropical lake

Invertebrate predation on zooplankton was investigated in mesocosms in the shallow tropical Lake Monte Alegre, São Paulo State, Brazil, in the summer of 1999. Two treatments were applied: one with natural densities of prey and the predators Chaoborus brasiliensis and the water mite Krendowskia sp. (Pr+), and another without predators (Pr-). Three enclosures (volume: 6.6 m³ of water per enclosure) per treatment were installed in the sediment of the deepest area of the lake (5.0 m). At the beginning, Chaoborus larvae were present in Pr- enclosures, because of technical difficulties in preventing their entrance, but they virtually disappeared in the course of the experiment. Water mites were almost absent in Pr- enclosures. Chaoborus predation negatively influenced the Daphnia gessneri population, but not the populations of the copepods Tropocyclops prasinus and Thermocyclops decipiens and the rotifers Keratella spp. Death rates of Daphnia were generally significantly higher in the Pr+ treatment; Daphnia densities increased after the disappearance of Chaoborus in Pr-. Copepod losses to predation in the experiment may be compensated by higher fecundity, shorter egg development time, and lower pressure on egg-bearing females, resulting in a lower susceptibility to Chaoborus predation. The predation impact of water mite on microcrustaceans and rotifers in the experiment was negligible.     

Floral density,pollen limitation,and reproductive success in<Emphasis Type="Italic"> Trillium grandiflorum</Emphasis>

Decreases in floral density can disrupt mutualistic interactions between plants and their pollinators, and decrease reproductive success. I addressed the relationship between floral density and plant reproductive success using two experimental approaches: a pollen supplementation experiment in 12 populations of Trillium grandiflorum that naturally varied in floral density, and a transplant experiment in which floral density was manipulated in plots at four experimental sites. In the pollen supplementation experiments, the degree of pollen limitation, in terms of fruit set and seed set, decreased with floral density. Further, in the experimental sites, plant reproductive success increased asymptotically with floral density. These results demonstrate the value of simultaneously conducting experiments in both experimental sites and natural populations to understand how population density influences plant reproductive success. Factors that reduce the density of this perennial herb, such as habitat fragmentation and herbivory by white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus), should be expected to limit its reproduction.Due to an error in the citation line, this revised PDF (published in December 2003) deviates from the printed version, and is the correct and authoritative version of the paper.     

Spatial variation in the magnitude and functional form of density‐dependent processes on the large skipper butterfly Ochlodes sylvanus

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Effects of natural winter pasture and commercial pellet on the ultrastructure of small intestinal epithelium in reindeer

Segments of small intestine (duodenum, jejunum and ileum) from slaughtered reindeer (Rangifer tarandus tarandus) grazing natural winter pastures (n=3) and reindeer fed commercially available pellets (RF-80) in winter (n=5) were collected and immediately fixed in McDowells fixative. Transmission electron microscopy was employed to investigate the ultrastructural features of the epithelium and lamina propria along the small intestine and to relate these to the different diets. Major differences in ultrastructural features were observed between the small intestinal enterocytes of reindeer fed the two diets. Enterocytes in reindeer fed the natural diet displayed a normal appearance with a dense cytoplasm and distinct microvilli. In contrast, reindeer fed the commercial diet showed damaged enterocytes amongst the normal cells. Abnormal changes included disintegration and loss of microvilli, cytoplasmic swelling, loss of membrane integrity and increases in the width of intercellular spaces, especially in the jejunum. The transport and holding of animals was supported by a grant from the Reindeer Husbandry Research Fund.     

Habitat requirements of boreal forest caribou during the travel seasons

Understanding space-use patterns of highly mobile animals, such as woodland caribou, is required for ecosystem conservation. We tested for seasonal differences in migration habitat used by woodland caribou while travelling from winter to summer and summer to winter range in northwest Ontario, using radio-telemetry locations of 33 caribou collected from 1995 to 2000. Forest management guidelines in Ontario presume that woodland caribou select specific habitats during the migrating seasons including conifer dominated forests and waterways (rivers and lakes). Results showed few differences between real travel routes and straight-line routes during both high movement periods (post-calving to late winter and late winter to calving). Caribou selected less deciduous forest than available during early winter and spring but contrary to expectations they did not use more open areas and waterways than available. Possible migration corridors, or habitat used during early winter and spring, were not distinguished by one particular habitat type, although caribou were more likely to avoid water and open areas, while using more conifer forests. They did not avoid disturbed habitat such as recently burnt or cut areas. There were some sex-specific differences with males using deciduous forest more than females. Caribou did not choose more than expected of waterways such as chains of lakes or large rivers which, to some extent, run counter to management recommendations. Our findings should be considered when developing local forest management plans and designing harvest patterns with the intent to mitigate negative impacts on woodland caribou habitat.

Zusammenfassung

Das Verständnis der Raumnutzungsmuster von sehr mobilen Tieren, wie den Waldkaribus, ist für den Ökosystemschutz notwendig. Wir untersuchten die saisonalen Unterschiede in der Habitatnutzung von Waldkaribus während der Wanderung (frühe Winter- und Frühjahrsrouten) im nordwestlichen Ontario, indem wir von 1995–2000 die Standorte von 33 Karibus per Radiotelemetrie bestimmten. Richtlinien für Waldmanagement in Ontario setzen vorraus, dass Waldkaribus während der Wanderungszeit spezifische Habitate wählen, die nadelbaumdominierte Wälder und Wasserwege (Flüsse und Seen) einschließen. Die Ergebnisse zeigten einige Unterschiede zwischen den realen Wanderrouten und geradlinigen Routen während der beiden Wanderperioden (nach dem Kalben bis zum späten Winter und später Winter bis nach dem Kalben). Die Karibus wählten weniger als den verfügbaren Laubwald im frühen Winter und Frühjahr, aber sie nutzten entgegen den Erwartungen offenere Areale und Wasserwege nicht mehr als verfügbar. Mögliche Wanderkorridore oder Habitate, die während des frühen Winters und Frühjahrs genutzt wurden, unterschieden sich nicht durch einen bestimmten Habitattyp, auch wenn die Karibus mit größerer Wahrscheinlichkeit Wasser und offene Areale mieden, während sie Nadelwälder nutzten. Sie mieden gestörte Areale nicht, wie kürzlich abgebrannte oder abgeholzte. Es gab einige geschlechtsspezifische Unterschiede, da die Männchen Laubwälder mehr als Weibchen nutzten. Die Karibus wählten Wasserwege, wie Ketten von Seen oder große Flüsse, nicht mehr als erwartet, was in gewissem Ausmaß den Managementempfehlungen zuwiderläuft. Unsere Ergebnisse sollten berücksichtigt werden, wenn örtliche Waldmanagementpläne entwickelt und die Einschlagsmuster entworfen werden, mit der Absicht die negativen Auswirkungen auf das Habitat der Waldkaribus zu mildern.     

Gradual increase in the number ofAsphondylia aucubae (Diptera,Cecidomyiidae) due to inversely density-dependent mortality processes

The population dynamics of the aucuba fruit midge,Asphondylia aucubae (Japanese name: Aokimitamabae), were studied for 3 yr mainly at a broad-leaved evergreen forest on Mt. Shiroyama in Kagoshima City. This species is univoltine and adults emerge in May. Eggs were laid randomly inside the immature fruit of the host plant,Aucuba japonica (Japanese name: Aoki). Healthy fruit fell by the following March, whereas galled fruit remained on the trees even after the emergence of adult midges. The survival rate from the egg to adult stage was estimated to be 24.2%, and the number of midges on five census trees increased gradually during the census period. Two important mortality factors were recognized, i.e., fall of incompletely galled fruit and damage of the galled fruit by feeding of caterpillars of a moth. Some unknown factors were also found to be important, operating in an inversely density-dependent manner. The gradual increase ofA. aucubae is considered to be caused by such inversely density-dependent mortality processes.