Wordbirds: Developing a Web-based Data Collection System for the Global Monitoring of Bird Distribution and Abundance

There is an urgent need to develop simple and effective methods for monitoring bird populations that are cheap to deploy in resource-poor countries. This paper describes a newly developed system, provisionally referred to as, Wordbirds, that will provide a platform for the collection, storage and retrieval of new and existing data from bird observations recorded worldwide. This Internet-based global network of databases will capture field lists and ad hoc sightings routinely gathered by individuals observing birds recreationally and professionally. Huge numbers of lists are collected annually and could provide information on population trends spanning many years. By collecting these records, a valuable resource will be secured with the potential to map and monitor bird distributions and estimate trends in species abundance. An erratum to this article is available at .     

Combining citizen science and recreational hunters to monitor exotic ungulates and native wildlife in a protected area of northeastern Argentina

Monitoring wildlife population trends is essential for resource management and invasive species control, but monitoring data are hard to acquire. Citizen science projects may monitor species occurrence patterns in time and space in a cost-effective way. A systematic management program of exotic wild boar (Sus scrofa) and axis deer (Axis axis) in a protected area of northeastern Argentina (El Palmar National Park) provided a framework for implementing a wildlife monitoring system based on park-affiliated hunters. We assessed the level of agreement between three indices of relative abundance: hunter sightings and camera trapping for wild boar, axis deer, capybaras (Hydrochoerus hydrochaeris), brown brocket deer (Mazama guazoubira), and crab-eating and pampas foxes combined (Cerdocyon thous and (Lycalopex gymnocercus), and catch per unit effort (CPUE) for both exotic ungulates only. Most (74%) hunting parties participated in the monitoring program and contributed to its sustainability. Bland-Altman plots displayed large levels of agreement between methods across species, with larger systematic differences between sighting and camera-trapping indices for native species. Restricting camera-trapping to the same time window as hunter sightings substantially increased the agreement between methods across species. Sighting and CPUE indices revealed similar temporal trends and large variations in spatial patterns between species. Comparison of the number of sighted and killed exotic ungulates indicated that, on average, 17% of wild boar and 75% of axis deer escaped hunters. The three indices were appropriate metrics for management purposes and corroborated the sustained, high-level abundance of axis deer and low numbers of wild boar in recent years.

     

Site-occupancy models may offer new opportunities for dragonfly monitoring based on daily species lists

Monitoring biodiversity is necessary but difficult to achieve in practice, in part because standardized field work is often demanding for volunteer field workers. Collecting opportunistic data on presence and absence of species is much less demanding, but such data may suffer from a number of biases, such as variation in observation effort over time. Here we explore whether site-occupancy models may be helpful to reduce such biases in opportunistic data, especially those caused by temporal variation of observation effort and by incomplete reporting of sightings. Site-occupancy models represent a generalisation of classical metapopulation models to account for imperfect detection; they estimate the probability of sites to be occupied (and of the rates of change, colonisation and extinction rates) while taking into account imperfect detection of a species. The models require so-called presence–absence data from replicated visits for a number of sites (e.g., 20–50). We tested whether these models provide reliable trend estimates if collectors of opportunistic data do not report all species detected. We applied the models to three opportunistic datasets of dragonfly species (1999–2007) in the Netherlands: (1) one-species records, (2) short daily species lists and (3) comprehensive daily species lists. Trend estimates based on a fourth dataset from a standardized monitoring scheme were used as a yardstick to judge the results.The analyses showed that occupancy trends based on comprehensive daily species lists in combination with site-occupancy models were generally similar to those based on the monitoring scheme. But trends based on one-species records and short daily lists were too imprecise to be very useful. In addition, site-occupancy models lead to more realistic occupancy estimates than those obtained from conventional logistic regression analysis. We conclude that comprehensive daily species lists can be useful surrogates for monitoring schemes to assess distributional trends.     

Designing a winter bird atlas field methodology: issues of time and space in sampling and interactions with habitat

Faunal and floral atlases can provide invaluable information on species distributions and relative abundance, and have played a key role in detecting and diagnosing population changes. Most atlases rely on simple but effective field methods that can be employed by large numbers of volunteer surveyors so as to make the best use of their finite effort. For ornithological atlases, such methods have been modified to better quantify relative abundance in the breeding season. Here, we evaluate how effort should be invested in space (number of samples) and time (time per sample) in order to optimise species lists and relative abundance estimation for birds in Britain and Ireland in winter. Species accumulation curves show only slight differences in the ability to derive complete species lists whether effort is invested in time or in space. However, relative abundance precision is markedly improved if effort is invested in space at the expense of time. These results give clear guidance on the general way in which methods should be devised (i.e. more samples, each for less time), but analyses relating the shape of species accumulation curves to habitat diversity suggest the precise trade-off between surveying in space and time varies between landscapes. Designers of atlases must therefore optimise their study design for the landscape of the particular region in question.     

Temporal variation in the annual survival rates of six granivorous birds with contrasting population trends

To identify the environmental changes responsible for the declines in abundance shown by many granivorous bird species, the demographic mechanism through which the changes have acted must be determined. Ring-recovery data were used to estimate the annual survival rates (since 1962) of six seed-eating bird species with contrasting population trends to identify whether variations in survival could have been the mechanism behind population change. The survival rates of Bullfinch Pyrrhula pyrrhula , Chaffinch Fringilla coelebs , Goldfinch Carduelis carduelis , Greenfinch C. choris , Linnet C. cannabina and House Sparrow Passer domesticus were estimated using models allowing age- and time-specificity in survival (reporting rates could be assumed to be constant). Three tests of the importance of variations in survival in determining population trend were conducted: (1) simple population models with constant productivity showed whether temporal changes in survival were sufficient alone to explain observed trends in abundance, (2) survival models incorporating changes in abundance as a covariate identified whether annual survival rates were associated with population changes, and (3) mean survival rates found in objectively identified periods of increase, decline and stability in each species' population trend were compared. These analyses suggested that environmental change has led to the observed population trends for Goldfinch and House Sparrow largely through effects on survival. Weaker relationships between variations in survival and population trend were found for Bullfinch, Chaffinch and Linnet, but other factors such as breeding success are likely to have been at least as important for these species, and also for Greenfinch. Checking analyses incorporating density-dependence did not alter these conclusions.     

Monitoring butterfly abundance: beyond pollard walks

Most butterfly monitoring protocols rely on counts along transects (Pollard walks) to generate species abundance indices and track population trends. It is still too often ignored that a population count results from two processes: the biological process (true abundance) and the statistical process (our ability to properly quantify abundance). Because individual detectability tends to vary in space (e.g., among sites) and time (e.g., among years), it remains unclear whether index counts truly reflect population sizes and trends. This study compares capture-mark-recapture (absolute abundance) and count-index (relative abundance) monitoring methods in three species (Maculinea nausithous and Iolana iolas: Lycaenidae; Minois dryas: Satyridae) in contrasted habitat types. We demonstrate that intraspecific variability in individual detectability under standard monitoring conditions is probably the rule rather than the exception, which questions the reliability of count-based indices to estimate and compare specific population abundance. Our results suggest that the accuracy of count-based methods depends heavily on the ecology and behavior of the target species, as well as on the type of habitat in which surveys take place. Monitoring programs designed to assess the abundance and trends in butterfly populations should incorporate a measure of detectability. We discuss the relative advantages and inconveniences of current monitoring methods and analytical approaches with respect to the characteristics of the species under scrutiny and resources availability.     

Do population indicators work? Investigating correlated responses of bird populations in relation to predator management

Using population indicators to evaluate conservation achievements is widely practised, yet seldom empirically tested. If populations are consistently correlated in response to a shared ecological driver, the indicator species approach can be used as a cost-effective, ecologically-based shortcut to measuring the effects of conservation management. Long-term monitoring of forest bird populations associated with mammalian pest control programmes in New Zealand provides a useful framework for testing the population indicator species concept. We evaluated population trends in 21 bird species vulnerable to predation by introduced mammals (primarily mustelids and rodents) at managed and unmanaged beech (Nothofagus) forest sites. Correlated population trends between species pairs were detected at individual sites. However, neither positive nor negative correlations in species trends could be predicted by life history traits and predator management did not produce consistent, correlated population trends among sites. Our results do not support the use of a population indicator approach to management and reporting for forest birds in New Zealand. Relationships between purported indicator taxa and other species need to be understood for various management scenarios before population indicators can be confidently applied to measuring conservation achievement.     

Apparent breeding success drives long-term population dynamics of a migratory swan

The ability of a species to adapt to environmental change is ultimately reflected in its vital rates – i.e. survival and reproductive success of individuals. Together, vital rates determine trends in numbers, commonly monitored using counts of species abundance. Rapid changes in abundance can give rise to concern, leading to calls for research into the biological mechanisms underlying variations in demography. For the northwest European population of Bewick's swan Cygnus columbianus bewickii, there have been major changes in the population trends recorded during nearly five decades of monitoring (1970–2016). The total number of birds increased to a maximum of ca 30 000 in 1995 and subsequently decreased to about 18 000 individuals in 2010. Such large fluctuation in population numbers is rare in long-lived species and understanding the drivers of this population change is crucial for species management and conservation. Using the integrated population model (IPM) framework, we analysed three demographic datasets in combination: population counts, capture–mark–resightings (CMR) and the proportion of juveniles in winter over a period of ~50 years. We found higher apparent breeding success in the years when the population had a positive growth rate compared to years with a negative growth rate. Moreover, no consistent trend in adult and yearling survival, and an increasing trend in juvenile survival was found. A transient life-table response experiment showed that apparent breeding success and adult survival contributed most to the variation in population trend. We explored possible explanatory variables for the different demographic rates and found a significant association between juvenile survival both with the water level in lakes during autumn migration, which affects food accessibility for the swans, and with summer temperatures. Such associations are important for understanding the dynamics of species with fluctuating population sizes, and thus for informing management and conservation decisions.     

Declining population trends of European mountain birds

Mountain areas often hold special species communities, and they are high on the list of conservation concern. Global warming and changes in human land use, such as grazing pressure and afforestation, have been suggested to be major threats for biodiversity in the mountain areas, affecting species abundance and causing distribution shifts towards mountaintops. Population shifts towards poles and mountaintops have been documented in several areas, indicating that climate change is one of the key drivers of species’ distribution changes. Despite the high conservation concern, relatively little is known about the population trends of species in mountain areas due to low accessibility and difficult working conditions. Thanks to the recent improvement of bird monitoring schemes around Europe, we can here report a first account of population trends of 44 bird species from four major European mountain regions: Fennoscandia, UK upland, south‐western (Iberia) and south‐central mountains (Alps), covering 12 countries. Overall, the mountain bird species declined significantly (?7%) during 2002–2014, which is similar to the declining rate in common birds in Europe during the same period. Mountain specialists showed a significant ?10% decline in population numbers. The slope for mountain generalists was also negative, but not significantly so. The slopes of specialists and generalists did not differ from each other. Fennoscandian and Iberian populations were on average declining, while in United Kingdom and Alps, trends were nonsignificant. Temperature change or migratory behaviour was not significantly associated with regional population trends of species. Alpine habitats are highly vulnerable to climate change, and this is certainly one of the main drivers of mountain bird population trends. However, observed declines can also be partly linked with local land use practices. More efforts should be undertaken to identify the causes of decline and to increase conservation efforts for these populations.     

气候变化对冬季东海外海中下层游泳动物群落结构及重要经济种类的影响

以全球气候变暖为主要特征的全球气候变化对海洋生物和海洋生态系统造成的影响已引起国际学者的高度关注。根据中国14家国营渔业公司底拖网渔业生产和渔业资源大面定点调查获得的17种中下层渔业数据,结合1960—2011年东海北部水域海表温度的变化情况,利用Fox模型移除捕捞效应产生的趋势变化后,分析了气候变化对中、下层游泳动物群落结构及几种重要经济种类的影响。通过气候跃变检验分析发现,海表温度在整体变暖的趋势上叠加有年代际波动,研究水域分别在1982/1983年发生了从寒冷期(1960—1982年)向升温期(1983—1998)、经由1998/1999年再到温暖期(1999—2011年)的跃变。群落结构变化特征显示:相比于寒冷期,温暖期间底层类和大型捕食类资源指数降低,中层类和无脊椎类升高;暖水种资源指数升高,暖温种降低;生物多样性指数略有增加。移除捕捞效应后,对不同生态属性种类CPUE与海表温度距平进行相关分析显示:底层类、中层类和无脊椎类残差与海表温度距平均呈正相关关系,其中中层类与海表温度距平显著正相关,而大型捕食类则呈负相关关系;暖水种残差与海表温度距平呈正相关,而暖温种则呈负相关关系。中层类中的黄鲫(Setipinna taty)、银鲳(Pampus argenteus)的CPUE残差均与海表温度距平呈显著正相关关系,近底层类中的带鱼(Trichiurus japonicus)和头足类(Squid)的CPUE残差均与海表温度距平呈正相关关系,而底层类小黄鱼(Larimichthys polyactis)和对虾(Shrimp)则呈负相关关系。在气候变化的大背景下,需加强其对海洋生态系统结构和功能影响的研究,查明渔业资源对气候变化的响应机制和机理,制定科学有效的渔业管理制度,实现渔业资源的可持续发展。     

Comparing population trend estimates of migratory birds from breeding censuses and capture data at a spring migration bottleneck

Europe has a well‐established network of breeding bird monitoring that is used to produce supranational indices of population trends for many species. However, a comparison of breeding bird censuses with other methods may be beneficial to confirm the validity of such indices. The aim of this study was to assess the value of standardized capture data of migratory birds at migration bottlenecks as an indicator of the effective breeding populations. One limitation to this method is that several populations are co‐occurring at these bottlenecks and their catchment areas need to be clearly identified to allow extrapolation of population indices. Here, we used standardized trends in capture numbers of 30 species on the island of Ponza, a migration bottleneck in the central Mediterranean, and compared them to population trends estimated in the putative catchment breeding areas between 2005 and 2016. The catchment areas were identified through the analysis of ring recoveries during the breeding season of birds passing through Ponza. Our results show an agreement between the population trends observed on Ponza and those in the breeding areas in 15 out of 30 species. The correlations were strongest in species with a more robust definition of the catchment areas, that is, species with more than 10 recoveries, and for which the recoveries were most likely of breeding birds. The main reason for disagreement between the two indices in the remaining species might be related to different intensity of sampling in different areas. This issue can be solved by further developing monitoring projects in underrepresented countries, as well as by intensifying monitoring through ringing, both in the breeding grounds and at migration bottlenecks. These results show that spring migration monitoring at bottlenecks has the potential to provide a valuable complement and an independent control of breeding bird surveys, allowing raising early warnings of population declines and contributing to their conservation.     

贵州大沙河国家级自然保护区鸟兽多样性的红外相机监测初探

2016年12月至2019年8月,利用红外相机技术在贵州大沙河国家级自然保护区内对陆生大中型兽类和鸟类进行调查.本次调查设置85个1 km×1 km的公里网格和114个相机位点,共计19950个相机工作日和10767张独立有效照片.鉴定出鸟兽12目35科86种,其中兽类有5目14科25种和鸟类有7目21科61种,有4种...     

Meta-analysis of survey data to assess trends of prairie butterflies in Minnesota, USA during 1979–2005

During 1993–1996, two teams (Schlicht, Swengels) surveyed the same Minnesota prairies, but without any coordination of sites, routes, methods, dates, and results between teams. In 27 instances, both teams surveyed the same site in the same year between 30 June and 18 July. For the 18 most frequently recorded species, abundance indices (individuals/h per site) significantly covaried between teams for 11 (61%) species, including 2/3 prairie specialists tested. No species significantly correlated negatively, 17/18 species had positive correlations, and the preponderance of positive correlations was significant. Swengel indices per hour (two surveyors; unlimited-width transect) averaged 2.42 times Schlicht indices (one surveyor; fixed-width transect). These results demonstrate that transect surveys by different teams at the same sites but not the same routes produce similar rankings of species abundance among sites. This approach to population monitoring (transect surveys during the season that covers the most specialist species at once, not necessarily with fixed routes but recording all species seen) might also be appropriate in other regions with high habitat loss and low human population density. Abundance indices from surveys by seven teams spanning 1979–2005 were calculated for evaluating population trends. For the five analyzable specialist species, 25/30 population trend tests of a species at a site had a negative direction, a highly significant skewing (P < 0.0001). By contrast, five “common” (most frequently recorded non-specialist) species had an even distribution of negative and positive trends. While adjacent sites had similarly timed decline thresholds (last year when a higher rate or any individual was recorded vs. first year when all subsequent indices were lower or zero) within species, these thresholds were not synchronized among sites in different counties. All sites analyzed in this study were preserves managed primarily with fire. While the ecosystem (or vegetative) approach to reserve selection has been validated in other studies to be effective at capturing populations of associated specialist butterflies, butterfly declines after reserve designation will likely continue unless the ecosystem approach to reserve management includes specific consideration of individual butterfly species’ required resources and management tolerances.     

Bird-habitat associations predict population trends in central European forest and farmland birds

Recent studies show differences in population trends between groups of species occupying different habitats. In Czech birds, as well as in many other European countries, populations of forest species have increased, whereas populations of farmland species have declined. The aim of our study was to test whether population trends of particular species were related to finer bird-habitat associations within farmland and forest birds. We assessed bird-habitat associations using canonical correspondence analysis based on data from a 400 km long transect across the Czech Republic. We calculated population trends of 62 bird species using log-linear models based on data from a large-scale annual monitoring scheme, which covers the time series from 1982 to 2005. Within forest birds, species with a closer association with lowland broad-leaved forest have had more positive population trends, whereas species with a closer association with montane and coniferous forest revealed more negative population trends. We attribute these opposite trends to the gradual replacement of coniferous forests by deciduous ones, which took place in the Czech Republic during recent decades. Our analyses revealed a hump-shaped relationship within farmland birds, species most closely associated with farmland habitat revealing the most negative trends, whereas species with intermediate association to farmland habitat showed the most positive population trends. Such a pattern can be explained by the abandonment of previously cultivated areas followed by the spread of unmanaged meadows and scrubland. Changes in quantity or quality of preferred habitats may thus represent major drivers of observed bird population changes.     

Incorporating harvest rates into the sex-age-kill model for white-tailed deer

Although monitoring population trends is an essential component of game species management, wildlife managers rarely have complete counts of abundance. Often, they rely on population models to monitor population trends. As imperfect representations of real-world populations, models must be rigorously evaluated to be applied appropriately. Previous research has evaluated population models for white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus); however, the precision and reliability of these models when tested against empirical measures of variability and bias largely is untested. We were able to statistically evaluate the Pennsylvania sex-age-kill (PASAK) population model using realistic error measured using data from 1,131 radiocollared white-tailed deer in Pennsylvania from 2002 to 2008. We used these data and harvest data (number killed, age-sex structure, etc.) to estimate precision of abundance estimates, identify the most efficient harvest data collection with respect to precision of parameter estimates, and evaluate PASAK model robustness to violation of assumptions. Median coefficient of variation (CV) estimates by Wildlife Management Unit, 13.2% in the most recent year, were slightly above benchmarks recommended for managing game species populations. Doubling reporting rates by hunters or doubling the number of deer checked by personnel in the field reduced median CVs to recommended levels. The PASAK model was robust to errors in estimates for adult male harvest rates but was sensitive to errors in subadult male harvest rates, especially in populations with lower harvest rates. In particular, an error in subadult (1.5-yr-old) male harvest rates resulted in the opposite error in subadult male, adult female, and juvenile population estimates. Also, evidence of a greater harvest probability for subadult female deer when compared with adult (≥2.5-yr-old) female deer resulted in a 9.5% underestimate of the population using the PASAK model. Because obtaining appropriate sample sizes, by management unit, to estimate harvest rate parameters each year may be too expensive, assumptions of constant annual harvest rates may be necessary. However, if changes in harvest regulations or hunter behavior influence subadult male harvest rates, the PASAK model could provide an unreliable index to population changes. © 2012 The Wildlife Society.     

The effect of land type diversity and spatial heterogeneity on farmland birds in Norway

The decline in farmland birds observed throughout Europe during recent decades has attracted much attention. Agricultural intensification or land abandonment are commonly forwarded as key drivers. Several countries have established agri-environmental schemes (AES) to counter these negative trends among farmland birds. This paper reports a study of the relationship between land use and bird species in the agricultural landscape of Norway. The main objective was to investigate the effect of spatial heterogeneity and diversity of land use on total richness and abundance of farmland birds at a national level.Monitoring the distribution and abundance of birds is part of the Norwegian monitoring programme for agricultural landscapes. The monitoring programme is based on mapping of 1 × 1 km squares distributed across the entire agricultural landscape. Within these squares permanent observation points are established for bird monitoring. Detailed interpretation of aerial photographs provides the land classification. We tested the relationship between landscape metrics at different levels of land type detail and species richness and abundance of farmland and non-farmland birds.There was a positive relationship between species richness and abundance of farmland birds and agricultural area. For non-farmland birds the relationship was negative. Spatial heterogeneity of land use was a significant positive factor for both farmland and non-farmland species. High land type diversity was positive for farmland bird richness, but negative for abundance. Non-farmland bird richness was not affected by land type diversity, but abundance had a negative response.The results presented in this paper highlight the importance of a spatial heterogeneous landscape. However, we also found that land type diversity could negatively affect the abundance of both farmland and non-farmland birds. Our findings suggest a need for different management approaches depending on whether the aim is increased species richness or abundance. Achieving both aims with the same means might be difficult. We thus suggest a need for land use analyses before proper management strategies can be implemented.     

云南哀牢山国家级自然保护区野生鸟兽的红外相机初步监测

红外相机技术目前已成为调查监测大中型兽类和地面活动鸟类的一种常规手段,在自然保护区物种资源编目中具有重要的应用价值。在2014年10月至12月期间,我们采用红外相机技术在云南哀牢山国家级自然保护区北部布设了40个相机位点,布设密度为1台/2 hm2,对中山湿性常绿阔叶林野生鸟兽进行了一次初步调查。相机累计工作1961个有效工作日,共获得野生动物独立有效照片566张,鉴定出隶属4目9科的10种兽类和2目4科的10种鸟类。相对丰富度指数较高的前2种兽类和3种鸟类分别为红颊长吻松鼠（Dremomys rufigenis）、野猪（Sus scrofa）和白鹇（Lophura nycthemera）、长尾地鸫（Zoothera dixoni）及斑背燕尾（Enicurus maculatus）。属于国家II级重点保护野生动物的有4种,被IUCN红色名录评估为“易危 VU”级别的物种有2种,列入CITES附录II和III的物种分别有2种和3种。本次调查仍有多种重要大中型兽类和鸟类未被记录,但是为保护区后续的野生动物红外相机常规监测和保护管理提供了基础信息。     

Rapid warming is associated with population decline among terrestrial birds and mammals globally

Animal populations have undergone substantial declines in recent decades. These declines have occurred alongside rapid, human‐driven environmental change, including climate warming. An association between population declines and environmental change is well established, yet there has been relatively little analysis of the importance of the rates of climate warming and its interaction with conversion to anthropogenic land use in causing population declines. Here we present a global assessment of the impact of rapid climate warming and anthropogenic land use conversion on 987 populations of 481 species of terrestrial birds and mammals since 1950. We collated spatially referenced population trends of at least 5 years’ duration from the Living Planet database and used mixed effects models to assess the association of these trends with observed rates of climate warming, rates of conversion to anthropogenic land use, body mass, and protected area coverage. We found that declines in population abundance for both birds and mammals are greater in areas where mean temperature has increased more rapidly, and that this effect is more pronounced for birds. However, we do not find a strong effect of conversion to anthropogenic land use, body mass, or protected area coverage. Our results identify a link between rapid warming and population declines, thus supporting the notion that rapid climate warming is a global threat to biodiversity.     

Coping with wild boar in a conservation area: impacts of a 10-year management control program in north-eastern Argentina

Wild boar (Sus scrofa) are of serious concern in numerous conservation areas such as El Palmar National Park, Argentina, where their increasing abundance affected the iconic palm tree Butia yatay. We assessed the effectiveness of an innovative management control program on wild boar population dynamics and ground rooting area over 10 years. Park personnel recruited and supervised local recreational hunters who regularly conducted controlled still shooting from widely distributed watchtowers and used trained dogs mainly during the first 2 years post-intervention (YPI). We used the detailed records of harvest and hunting effort to estimate time- and stage-specific catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) indices and stochastic population growth rates (μ). Catch was linearly related to hunting effort except at large effort levels. CPUE indices declined exponentially at 5–7 % month^?1 over 0–1 YPI and thereafter stabilized with μ indistinguishable from 0. Relative to baseline levels, culling reduced annual pregnancy rates, the fraction of juveniles and older adults, and ground rooting area below target values (<1.3 %). Incipient population recovery followed one of two periods of marginal hunting effort. The program generated few undesirable collateral effects mainly related to dog-hunting. Mesopredator abundance (foxes) steadily increased following a large outbreak of canine distemper at baseline. The combined use of standardized CPUE indices, body-length data and simple population viability analysis models provided reliable metrics for wild boar trend analysis and management. Unlike a preceding plan, a highly structured multi-stakeholder program proved to be sustainable and brought wild boar abundance to a low-density, unstable equilibrium causing minimal damage.     

Power to detect trends in abundance of secretive marsh birds: Effects of species traits and sampling effort

Standardized protocols for surveying secretive marsh birds have been implemented across North America, but the efficacy of surveys to detect population trends has not been evaluated. We used survey data collected from populations of marsh birds across North America and simulations to explore how characteristics of bird populations (proportion of survey stations occupied, abundance at occupied stations, and detection probability) and aspects of sampling effort (numbers of survey routes, stations/route, and surveys/station/year) affect statistical power to detect trends in abundance of marsh bird populations. In general, the proportion of survey stations along a route occupied by a species had a greater relative effect on power to detect trends than did the number of birds detected per survey at occupied stations. Uncertainty introduced by imperfect detection during surveys reduced power to detect trends considerably, but across the range of detection probabilities for most species of marsh birds, variation in detection probability had only a minor influence on power. For species that occupy a relatively high proportion of survey stations (0.20), have relatively high abundances at occupied stations (2.0 birds/station), and have high detection probability (0.50), ≥40 routes with 10 survey stations per route surveyed 3 times per year would provide an 80% chance of detecting a 3% annual decrease in abundance after 20 years of surveys. Under the same assumptions but for species that are less common, ≥100 routes would be needed to achieve the same power. Our results can help inform the design of programs to monitor trends in abundance of marsh bird populations, especially with regards to the amount of sampling effort necessary to meet programmatic goals. © 2013 The Wildlife Society