A stable isotopic investigation into the causes of decline in a sub-Antarctic predator, the rockhopper penguin Eudyptes chrysocome

The rockhopper penguin (Eudyptes chrysocome) is a conspicuous apex marine predator that has experienced marked population declines throughout most of its circumpolar breeding distribution. The cause(s) for the declines remain elusive, but the relatively large spatio‐temporal scale over which population decreases have occurred implies that ecosystem‐scale, at‐sea factors are likely to be involved. We employ stable isotope analyses of carbon (¹³C/¹²C, expressed as δ¹³C) and nitrogen (¹⁵N/¹⁴N, δ¹⁵N) in time‐series of rockhopper penguin feather samples, dating back to 1861, in order to reconstruct the species' ecological history. Specifically, we examine whether rockhopper penguin population decline has been associated with a shift towards lower primary productivity in the ecosystem in which they feed, or with a shift to a diet of lower trophic status and lower quality, and we use long‐term temperature records to evaluate whether shifts in isotope ratios are associated with annual variations in sea surface temperature. Having controlled temporally for the Suess Effect and for increases in CO₂ concentrations in seawater, we found that overall, δ¹³C signatures decreased significantly over time in rockhopper penguins from seven breeding sites, supporting the hypothesis that decreases in primary productivity, and hence, carrying capacity, for which δ¹³C signature is a proxy, have been associated with the decline of penguin populations. There was some evidence of a long‐term decline in δ¹⁵N at some sites, and strong evidence that δ¹⁵N signatures were negatively related to sea surface temperatures across sites, indicative of a shift in diet to prey of lower trophic status over time and in warm years. However, a site‐by‐site analysis revealed divergent isotopic trends among sites: five of seven sites exhibited significant temporal or temperature‐related trends in isotope signatures. This study highlights the utility of stable isotope analyses when applied over relatively long timescales to apex predators.     

Twentieth century changes of tree-ring δ13C at the southern range-edge of Fagus sylvatica: increasing water-use efficiency does not avoid the growth decline induced by warming at low altitudes

We aimed to gain knowledge on the changes in intrinsic water use efficiency (iWUE) in response to increasing atmospheric CO₂ concentrations and climate change over the last century. We investigated the variation in the iWUE of mature Fagus sylvatica trees located in the higher, central and lower altitudinal forest limits (HFL, CFA and LFL) of one of the southernmost sites of beech distribution in Europe, the Montseny Mountains in Catalonia (northeast Spain), during the last century by analysing the δ¹³C of their tree rings. Pre‐ and post‐maturation phases of the trees presented different trends in δ¹³C, Δ¹³C, Ci (internal CO₂ concentration), iWUE and basal area increment (BAI). Moreover, these variables showed different trends and absolute values in the LFL than in the other altitudinal sites, CFA and HFL. Our results show the existence of an age effect on δ¹³C in the CFA and HFL (values increased by ca. 1.25‰ coinciding with the BAI suppression and release phases, previous to maturation). These age‐related changes were not found in the LFL, whose beech trees arrived to maturation earlier and experienced drier conditions during the suppression phase. In the last 26 years of comparable mature trees, the increase of iWUE deduced from the Δ¹³C analyses was ca. 10% in LFL, ca. 6% in CFA and not significant in HFL. These results show that climate change towards more arid conditions accounted for these higher Δ¹³C‐values and increases in the LFL more than the continuous increase in atmospheric CO₂ concentrations. This increased iWUE in the LFL did not avoid a decline in growth in these lowest altitudes of this beech southern range‐edge as a result of warming. Furthermore, since there was no apparent change in iWUE and growth in the beech forests growing in the more standard‐adequate environments of higher altitudes in the last 26 years, the rate of sequestration of C into temperate ecosystems may not increase with increasing atmospheric CO₂ concentrations as predicted by most models based on short‐term small scale experiments.     

Long tree‐ring chronologies reveal 20th century increases in water‐use efficiency but no enhancement of tree growth at five Iberian pine forests

We investigated the tree growth and physiological response of five pine forest stands in relation to changes in atmospheric CO₂ concentration (c_a) and climate in the Iberian Peninsula using annually resolved width and δ¹³C tree‐ring chronologies since ad 1600. ¹³C discrimination (Δ≈c_i/c_a), leaf intercellular CO₂ concentration (c_i) and intrinsic water‐use efficiency (iWUE) were inferred from δ¹³C values. The most pronounced changes were observed during the second half of the 20th century, and differed between stands. Three sites kept a constant c_i/c_a ratio, leading to significant c_i and iWUE increases (active response to c_a); whereas a significant increase in c_i/c_a resulted in the lowest iWUE increase of all stands at a relict Pinus uncinata forest site (passive response to c_a). A significant decrease in c_i/c_a led to the greatest iWUE improvement at the northwestern site. We tested the climatic signal strength registered in the δ¹³C series after removing the low‐frequency trends due to the physiological responses to increasing c_a. We found stronger correlations with temperature during the growing season, demonstrating that the physiological response to c_a changes modulated δ¹³C and masked the climate signal. Since 1970 higher δ¹³C values revealed iWUE improvements at all the sites exceeding values expected by an active response to the c_a increase alone. These patterns were related to upward trends in temperatures, indicating that other factors are reinforcing stomatal closure in these forests. Narrower rings during the second half of the 20th century than in previous centuries were observed at four sites and after 1970 at all sites, providing no evidence for a possible CO₂‘fertilization’ effect on growth. The iWUE improvements found for all the forests, reflecting both a c_a rise and warmer conditions, seem to be insufficient to compensate for the negative effects of the increasing water limitation on growth.