High concentrations of visfatin in the peripheral blood of patients with acute basal ganglia hemorrhage are associated with poor outcome

Higher plasma visfatin concentration has been associated with clinical outcomes of traumatic brain injury. No published information exists to date about change in plasma visfatin after intracerebral hemorrhage. This study included one hundred and twenty-eight healthy controls and 128 patients with intracerebral hemorrhage. The unfavorable outcome was defined as modified Rankin Scale score >2 at 6 months. The patients had higher plasma visfatin measurements than control subjects. Plasma visfatin levels were highly correlated with National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score and plasma C-reactive protein levels in the patients. A multivariate analysis identified plasma visfatin level as an independent predictor for 6-month mortality and unfavorable outcome. According to receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the predictive value of the plasma visfatin concentration was similar to National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score. In a combined logistic-regression model, visfatin improved the predictive value of National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score for 6-month unfavorable outcome. Thus, increased plasma visfatin level is associated with 6-month clinical outcomes after intracerebral hemorrhage.     

Nitrotyrosine Level Was Associated with Mortality in Patients with Acute Kidney Injury

Background

To examine the characteristics of oxidative stress in patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) and investigate the association between plasma nitrotyrosine levels and 90-day mortality in patients with AKI.

Methodology/Principal Findings

158 patients with hospital-acquired AKI were recruited to this prospective cohort study according to RIFLE (Risk, Injury, Failure, Lost or End Stage Kidney) criteria. Twelve critically ill patients without AKI and 15 age and gender-matched healthy subjects served as control. Plasma 3-nitrotyrosine was analyzed in relation to 90-day all cause mortality of patients with AKI. The patients with AKI were followed up for 90 days and grouped according to median plasma 3-nitrotyrosine concentrations. Highest 3-NT/Tyr was detected in patients with AKI compared with healthy subjects, and critically ill patients without AKI (ANOVA p<0.001). The 90-day survival curves of patients with high 3-NT/Tyr showed significant differences compared with the curves of individuals with low 3-NT/Tyr (p = 0.001 by log rank test). Multivariate analysis (Cox regression) revealed that 3-NT/Tyr (p = 0.025) was independently associated with mortality after adjustment for age, gender, sepsis and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score.

Conclusions/Significance

There is excess plasma protein oxidation in patients with AKI, as evidenced by increased nitrotyrosine content. 3-NT/Tyr level was associated with mortality of AKI patients independent of the severity of illness.     

30-Day Mortality in Acute Pulmonary Embolism: Prognostic Value of Clinical Scores and Anamnestic Features

Purpose

Identification of high-risk patients with pulmonary embolism is vital. The aim of the present study was to examine clinical scores, their single items, and anamnestic features in their ability to predict 30-day mortality.

Materials and Methods

A retrospective, single-center study from 06/2005 to 01/2010 was performed. Inclusion criteria were presence of pulmonary embolism, availability of patient records and 30-day follow-up. The following clinical scores were calculated: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II, original and simplified pulmonary embolism severity index, Glasgow Coma Scale, and euroSCORE II.

Results

In the study group of 365 patients 39 patients (10.7%) died within 30 days due to pulmonary embolism. From all examined scores and parameters the best predictor of 30-day mortality were the Glasgow Coma scale (≤ 10) and parameters of the circulatory system including presence of mechanical ventilation, arterial pH (< 7.335), and systolic blood pressure (< 99 mm Hg).

Conclusions

Easy to ascertain circulatory parameters have the same or higher prognostic value than the clinical scores that were applied in this study. From all clinical scores studied the Glasgow Coma Scale was the most time- and cost-efficient one.     

Change in plasma visfatin level after severe traumatic brain injury

Higher plasma visfatin concentration has been associated with ischemic stroke. Thus, we sought to investigate change in plasma visfatin level after traumatic brain injury and to evaluate its relation with disease outcome. Seventy-six healthy controls and 98 patients with acute severe traumatic brain injury were recruited. Twenty-seven patients (27.6%) died and 48 patients (49.0%) suffered from unfavorable outcome (Glasgow outcome scale score of 1–3) in 6 months. On admission, plasma visfatin level was increased in patients than in healthy controls and was highly correlated with Glasgow Coma Scale score. A multivariate analysis identified plasma visfatin level as an independent predictor for 6-month mortality and unfavorable outcome. According to receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the predictive value of the plasma visfatin concentration was similar to Glasgow Coma Scale score's. In a combined logistic-regression model, visfatin did not improve the predictive value of Glasgow Coma Scale score. Thus, increased plasma visfatin level is associated with 6-month clinical outcomes after severe traumatic brain injury.     

Clinical Profiles and Factors Associated with Death in Adults with Dengue Admitted to Intensive Care Units,Minas Gerais,Brazil

The purpose of our study was to describe the clinical profile of dengue-infected patients admitted to Brazilian intensive care units (ICU) and evaluate factors associated with death. A longitudinal, multicenter case series study was conducted with laboratory-confirmed dengue patients admitted to nine Brazilian ICUs situated in Minas Gerais state, southeastern Brazil from January 1, 2008, to December 31, 2013. Demographic, clinical and laboratory data; disease severity scores; and mortality were evaluated. A total of 97 patients were studied. The in-ICU and in-hospital mortality rates were 18.6% and 19.6%, respectively. Patients classified as having severe dengue according to current World Health Organization classifications showed an increased risk of death in a univariate analysis. Nonsurvivors were older, exhibited lower serum albumin concentrations and higher total leukocyte counts and serum creatinine levels. Other risk factors (vomiting, lethargy/restlessness, dyspnea/respiratory distress) were also associated with death in a univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis indicated that in-hospital mortality was significantly associated with Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score. The ICU and in-hospital mortality observed in this study were higher than values reported in similar studies. An increased frequency of ICU admission due to severe organ dysfunction, higher severity indices and scarcity of ICU beds may partially explain the higher mortality.     

Performance of Three Prognostic Models in Patients with Cancer in Need of Intensive Care in a Medical Center in China

Objective

The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II), Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 (SAPS 3), and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation IV (APACHE IV) in patients with cancer admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) in a single medical center in China.

Materials and Methods

This is a retrospective observational cohort study including nine hundred and eighty one consecutive patients over a 2-year period.

Results

The hospital mortality rate was 4.5%. When all 981 patients were evaluated, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC, 95% Confidential Intervals) of the three models in predicting hospital mortality were 0.948 (0.914–0.982), 0.863 (0.804–0.923), and 0.873 (0.813–0.934) for SAPS 3, APACHE II and APACHE IV respectively. The p values of Hosmer-Lemeshow statistics for the models were 0.759, 0.900 and 0.878 for SAPS 3, APACHE II and APACHE IV respectively. However, SAPS 3 and APACHE IV underestimated the in-hospital mortality with standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of 1.5 and 1.17 respectively, while APACHE II overestimated the in-hospital mortality with SMR of 0.72. Further analysis showed that discrimination power was better with SAPS 3 than with APACHE II and APACHE IV whether for emergency surgical and medical patients (AUROC of 0.912 vs 0.866 and 0.857) or for scheduled surgical patients (AUROC of 0.945 vs 0.834 and 0.851). Calibration was good for all models (all p > 0.05) whether for scheduled surgical patients or emergency surgical and medical patients. However, in terms of SMR, SAPS 3 was both accurate in predicting the in-hospital mortality for emergency surgical and medical patients and for scheduled surgical patients, while APACHE IV and APACHE II were not.

Conclusion

In this cohort, we found that APACHE II, APACHE IV and SAPS 3 models had good discrimination and calibration ability in predicting in-hospital mortality of critically ill patients with cancer in need of intensive care. Of these three severity scores, SAPS 3 was superior to APACHE II and APACHE IV, whether in terms of discrimination and calibration power, or standardized mortality ratios.     

Sex differences in immune responses to SARS-CoV-2 in patients with COVID-19

Millions of people infected by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) have been diagnosed with coronavirus infectious disease 2019 (COVID-19). The prevalence and severity of COVID-19 differ between sexes. To explain these differences, we analyzed clinical features and laboratory values in male and female COVID-19 patients. The present study included a cohort of 111 people, i.e. 36 COVID-19 patients, 54 sex- and age-matched common viral community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) patients, and 21 healthy controls. Monocyte counts, lymphocyte subset counts, and alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels in the peripheral blood were analyzed. Higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scores, monocyte counts, and CRP and ALT levels were found in male COVID-19 patients. Decreased lymphocyte subset counts and proportions were observed in COVID-19 patients, except for the CD3⁺ and CD8⁺ T cell proportions. The lower CD4⁺ T cell proportions and higher CD8⁺ T cell proportions were observed in male and severe COVID-19 patients and the differences were independent of estrogen level. The CD4⁺ T cell proportion was negatively associated with the CD8⁺ T cell proportion in male COVID-19 patients; this correlation was non-significant in females. Our work demonstrates differences between sexes in circulating monocyte counts and CD4⁺ T cell and CD8⁺ T cell proportions in COVID-19 patients, independent of estrogen levels, are associated with the clinical manifestations in COVID-19 patients with high specificity.     

Hypernatremia and Copeptin Levels in the Elderly Hospitalized Patient

Objective: Elderly patients have a high prevalence of hypernatremia. The aim of this study was to determine demographic and clinical characteristics of the elderly hypernatremic patient hospitalized in the internal medicine ward and to enhance understanding of the role of antidiuretic hormone (ADH) secretion in the pathogenesis of hypernatremia.Methods: Case-control study performed in an internal medicine ward in a university-affiliated hospital. Thirtythree elderly hypernatremic patients (admission sodium, >150 mEq/L; age, >70 years) were compared with 34 normonatremic patients. Demographic, functional (mental status and activities of daily living), clinical data (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation [APACHE] II score), and serum copeptin levels as a marker of ADH secretion, were collected at admission. Mortality and change in the functional status were followed up to 30 days from discharge.Results: Patients with hypernatremia presented with significantly lower baseline functional and cognitive states and higher APACHE II score (21.3 ± 8.6 vs. 15.4 ± 6.7; P<.01). Mortality within 30 days after discharge was higher in the hypernatremic group (58% vs. 32%; P<.05). Higher copeptin levels were found in the hypernatremic group compared to the normonatremic group (100.2 ± 60.6 pmol/L vs. 66.5 ± 57.2 pmol/L; P<.05). High levels of copeptin were associated with higher in-hospital (P<.05) and 30-day (P<.01) mortality. Sodium levels were found correlated with copeptin levels; yet, an even stronger correlation was found between copeptin levels and APACHE II score (r = 0.52; P<.001).Conclusion: Hypernatremia in the elderly at admission is associated with a high mortality rate. Copeptin level in the elderly seems to be a good single disease severity marker. ADH is strongly secreted in elderly hypernatremic patients.Abbreviations:ADH = antidiuretic hormoneAPACHE = Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation     

急性生理功能和慢性健康状况评分在医院感染目标性监测中的意义

急性生理功能和慢性健康状况评分不仅对评估ICU患者的预后有着重要作用,而且在医院感染目标性监测中起到不可或缺的作用。综述了这方面的最新研究进展,旨在推荐在医院感染目标性监测中用急性生理功能和慢性健康状况评分评估患者病情严重程度,用其调整ICU目标性监测的医院感染发生率,为各家医院比较医院感染发生率提供客观、统一的评价标准。     

Prognosis of mechanically ventilated patients.

In this Department of Veterans Affairs cooperative study, we examined predictors of in-hospital and 1-year mortality of 612 mechanically ventilated patients from 6 medical intensive care units in a retrospective cohort design. The outcome variable was vital status at hospital discharge and after 1 year. The results showed that 97% of patients were men, the mean age was 63 +/- 11 years (SD), and hospital mortality was 64% (95% confidence interval, 60% to 68%). Within the next year, an additional 38% of hospital survivors died, for a total 1-year mortality of 77% (95% confidence interval, 73% to 80%). Hospital and 1-year mortality, respectively, for patients older than 70 years was 76% and 94%, for those with serum albumin levels below 20 grams per liter it was 92% and 96%, for those with an Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score greater than 35 it was 91% and 98%, and for patients who were being mechanically ventilated after cardiopulmonary resuscitation it was 86% and 90%. The mortality ratio (actual mortality versus APACHE II-predicted mortality) was 1.15. Conclusions are that patient age, APACHE II score, serum albumin levels, or the use of cardiopulmonary resuscitation may identify a subset of mechanically ventilated veterans for whom mechanical ventilation provides little or no benefit.     

IL-23/IL-17轴在脓毒症中的表达及意义

目的:探讨IL-23/IL-17轴在脓毒症患者中的表达及意义.方法:符合诊断标准的脓毒症患者40例,以28天预后为终点,将患者分为存活组(n=21)和病死组(n=19),分析各组病人的急性生理和慢性健康评分(APACHE)Ⅱ和序贯器官衰竭估计(SOFA)评分,同时在入ICU第1天采取外周静脉血做IL-23和IL-17检测,并对病死率和IL-23、IL-17、APACHEⅡ、SOFA做相关性分析.结果:与存活组比较,病死组患者拥有较高的APACHEⅡ和SOFA评分(P<0.01),且外周血的IL-23和IL-17蛋白含量均明显升高(P<0.05).APACHEⅡ和SOFA评分、IL-17和IL-23含量与28天预后有明显的相关性(P<0.05).结论:脓毒症Th17细胞分泌的IL-23/IL-17增加,加重患者病情,在脓毒症发病机制中可能扮演重要角色.     

Prognostic significance of plasma visfatin levels in patients with ischemic stroke

Plasma visfatin concentration has been enhanced in ischemic stroke. The aim of the current investigation was to test whether determination of visfatin in plasma is associated with 6-month clinical outcomes including mortality and unfavorable outcome (modified Rankin Scale score > 2) in the patients with ischemic stroke. Between July 2009 and January 2012, plasma visfatin concentrations of 186 patients and 100 healthy individuals were quantified by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Plasma visfatin concentrations were higher in patients than in healthy individuals (108.5 ± 41.1 ng/mL vs. 13.8 ± 3.9 ng/mL, P < 0.001). A logistic regression analysis selected plasma visfatin concentration as an independent predictor for 6-month clinical outcomes (both P < 0.01). Using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, plasma visfatin concentration was found to predict 6-month clinical outcomes with the high predictive performance. The predictive value of visfatin was in the range of National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (both P > 0.05). Combined use of visfatin and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score did not improve the predictive significance (both P > 0.05). Thus, visfatin may help in the prediction of long-term clinical outcomes in patients with ischemic stroke.     

Pancreatic Duct Patterns in Acute Pancreatitis: A MRI Study

Objectives

To study the MRI findings of the pancreatic duct in patients with acute pancreatitis.

Materials and Methods

A total of 239 patients with acute pancreatitis and 125 controls were analyzed in this study. The severity of acute pancreatitis was graded using the MR severity index (MRSI) and the Acute Physiology And Chronic Healthy Evaluation II(APACHE II) scoring systems. The number of main pancreatic duct (MPD) segments visualized, and both MPD diameter and pancreatic duct disruption were noted and compared with the severity of acute pancreatitis.

Results

The frequency of MPD segment visualization in the control group was higher than that in the acute pancreatitis group (p<0.05). The number of MPD segments visualized was negatively correlated with the MRSI score (p<0.05) and the APACHE II score (p<0.05). There was no difference in the MPD diameter between the acute pancreatitis and control groups or among the patients with different severities of acute pancreatitis (p>0.05). The prevalence of pancreatic duct disruption was 7.9% in the acute pancreatitis group. The prevalences of pancreatic duct disruption were 4.8% and 15.3% in the mild and severe acute pancreatitis groups based on the APACHE II score, respectively, and were 0%, 5.7% and 43.5% in the mild, moderate and severe acute pancreatitis groups according the MRSI score, respectively. The prevalence of pancreatic duct disruption was correlated with the severity of acute pancreatitis based on the APACHE II score (p<0.05) and MRSI score (p<0.05).

Conclusion

The pancreatic duct in acute pancreatitis patients was of normal diameter. The number of MPD segments visualized and visible pancreatic duct disruption on MRI may be supplementary indicators for determining the severity of acute pancreatitis.     

Acute kidney injury biomarkers for patients in a coronary care unit: a prospective cohort study

Background

Renal dysfunction is an established predictor of all-cause mortality in intensive care units. This study analyzed the outcomes of coronary care unit (CCU) patients and evaluated several biomarkers of acute kidney injury (AKI), including neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), interleukin-18 (IL-18) and cystatin C (CysC) on the first day of CCU admission.

Methodology/Principal Findings

Serum and urinary samples collected from 150 patients in the coronary care unit of a tertiary care university hospital between September 2009 and August 2010 were tested for NGAL, IL-18 and CysC. Prospective demographic, clinical and laboratory data were evaluated as predictors of survival in this patient group. The most common cause of CCU admission was acute myocardial infarction (80%). According to Acute Kidney Injury Network criteria, 28.7% (43/150) of CCU patients had AKI of varying severity. Cumulative survival rates at 6-month follow-up following hospital discharge differed significantly (p<0.05) between patients with AKI versus those without AKI. For predicting AKI, serum CysC displayed an excellent areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) (0.895±0.031, p<0.001). The overall 180-day survival rate was 88.7% (133/150). Multiple Cox logistic regression hazard analysis revealed that urinary NGAL, serum IL-18, Acute Physiology, Age and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) and sodium on CCU admission day one were independent risk factors for 6-month mortality. In terms of 6-month mortality, urinary NGAL had the best discriminatory power, the best Youden index, and the highest overall correctness of prediction.

Conclusions

Our data showed that serum CysC has the best discriminative power for predicting AKI in CCU patients. However, urinary NGAL and serum IL-18 are associated with short-term mortality in these critically ill patients.     

Pneumonia in patients with cirrhosis: risk factors associated with mortality and predictive value of prognostic models

Background

Cirrhosis always goes with profound immunity compromise, and makes those patients easily be the target of pneumonia. Cirrhotic patients with pneumonia have a dramatically increased mortality. To recognize the risk factors of mortality and to optimize stratification are critical for improving survival rate.

Methods

Two hundred and three cirrhotic patients with pneumonia at a tertiary care hospital were included in this retrospective study. Demographical, clinical and laboratory parameters, severity models and prognosis were recorded. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of 30-day and 90-day mortality. Area under receiver operating characteristics curves (AUROC) was used to compare the predictive value of different prognostic scoring systems.

Results

Patients with nosocomial acquired or community acquired pneumonia indicated similar prognosis after 30- and 90-day follow-up. However, patients triggered acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) highly increased mortality (46.4% vs 4.5% for 30-day, 69.6% vs 11.2% for 90-day). Age, inappropriate empirical antibiotic therapy (HR: 2.326 p?=?0.018 for 30-day and HR: 3.126 p?<?0.001 for 90-day), bacteremia (HR: 3.037 p?=?0.002 for 30-day and HR: 2.651 p?=?0.001 for 90-day), white blood cell count (WBC) (HR: 1.452 p?<?0.001 for 30-day and HR: 1.551 p?<?0.001 for 90-day) and total bilirubin (HR: 1.059 p?=?0.002 for 90-day) were independent factors for mortality in current study. Chronic liver failure–sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA) displayed highest AUROC (0.89 and 0.90, 95% CI: 0.83–0.95 and 0.85–0.95 for 30-day and 90-day respectively) in current study.

Conclusions

This study found age, bacteremia, WBC, total bilirubin and inappropriate empirical antibiotic therapy were independently associated with increased mortality. Pneumonia triggered ACLF remarkably increased mortality. CLIF-SOFA was more accurate in predicting mortality than other five prognostic models (model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-Na, quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA), pneumonia severity index (PSI), Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score).

     

脓毒性脑病的预警因素分析

目的：研究脓毒性脑病（SE）和无脑病者（NE）的预警因素。方法：分析我院ICU2004．1-2006、9收治的117例脓毒症病人的临床资料及相关检查结果,对比分析两组病人的住院时间、病死率、血培养、血压、白细胞计数（WBC）、血小板计数（PLT）、K＋、Ca2＋、游离钙（iCa2＋）、谷丙转氨酶（ALT）、谷草转氨酶（AST）、白蛋白、球蛋白、总胆红素（TBIL）、直接胆红素（DBIL）、肌酐（SCr）、尿素氮（BUN）、C反应蛋白（CRP）、血糖（BS）、胆固醇、甘油三脂（TG）、PaCO2、CT／MRI、APACHEII评分的差别。结果：52例SE患者的APACHEII评分、病死率、血培养阳性率、ALT、AST、SCr、BUN、PaCO2与65例NE比较差异有统计学意义（P〈0．05）;鲍曼不动杆菌和金黄色葡萄球菌为脓毒症病人感染率最高的革兰阳性菌和阴性菌,分别为18．49％和13．70％,两组感染病原菌和感染率均不一样;10例sE患者头部CT／MRI有微小脓肿和组织水肿等阳性表现,而NE组均无阳性表现;APACHEII评分与脓毒症的病死率相关,相关系数为r=0．541,而且两组病人APACHEII评分不同,病死率也不一样,21-25分段SE组病死率要高于NE组（P=0,001）。结论：APACHEII评分、血培养、ALT、AST、SCr、BUN、PaCO2对诊断和鉴别诊断SE具有重要意义,调整BS、SCr、ALT、BUN、iCa2＋、白蛋白水平对预防脓毒症发生SE有益。     

对早期多器官功能障碍综合征合并急性肾损伤患者行高容量血液滤过的 疗效

目的:探讨合并有急性肾损伤(AKI)的多器官功能障碍综合征(MODS)患者早期行高容量血液滤过(HVHF)治疗后对器官保护作用.方法:选择重症监护室于2008年6-2012年1月收治的MODS合并AKI并接受HVHF治疗的患者86例作为研究对象.根据RIFLE分级分为Risk组10例,Injury组17例,Failure组59例.记录患者HVHF治疗前后血肌酐(SCr)、氧合指数(PaO2/FiO2)、血管外肺水指数(EVLWI)、动脉血乳酸(Lac)、凝血酶原时间(PT)、天冬氨酸转氨酶(AST)、急性生理学与慢性健康状况评分系统Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ)评分以及28天存活率.结果:HVHF治疗后,Failure组SCr、EVLWI、Lac、PT、AST、APACHEⅡ评分均显著高于Risk组和Injury组,PaO2/FiO2显著低于Risk组和Injury组,差异有统计学意义(P＜0.05).Risk组和Injury组在HVHF治疗后各指标差异均无统计学意义(P＞0.05).Risk组28天存活率为60.0％,Injury组64.71％,Failure组存活率为66.10％,3组间差异均无统计学意义(P＞0.05).结论:早期HVHF治疗对MODS合并AKI患者的器官具有保护作用,值得临床进一步研究.     

降钙素原与APACHEⅡ评分对急性胰腺炎病情严重程度及预后的评估价值

目的:探讨血清降钙素原(PCT)与急性生理学与慢性健康状况评分(APACHE Ⅱ)对急性胰腺炎(AP)患者病情严重程度及预后的评估价值。方法:选取本院2012年5月-2015年5月收治的急性胰腺炎患者280例为研究对象。根据急性胰腺炎患者病情严重程度将其分为低危组(83例)、中危组(102例)和高危组(95例);按患者临床结局将其分为存活组(248例)及死亡组(32例),采用酶联免疫吸附法(ELISA)检测各组血清PCT水平同时记录APACHE Ⅱ评分情况,分别比较PCT水平的差异以及与APACHE Ⅱ评分的相关性,评价血清PCT及APACHEⅡ评分对急性胰腺炎患者病情严重程度及预后的评估价值。结果:低危组、中危组及高危组间血清PCT水平和APACHE Ⅱ评分的差异具有统计学意义(P0.05)。其中,高危组血清PCT水平和APACHE Ⅱ评分最高,中危组次之,低危组最低(P0.05);死亡组PCT水平及APACHE Ⅱ评分显著高于存活组(P0.05)。相关性分析显示血清PCT水平与APACHE Ⅱ评分呈正相关(r=0.64,P0.01)。以PCT2.13 ng/m L为评估急性胰腺炎患者预后不佳界限时,其敏感性和特异性分别79.2%和91.3%;以APACHE Ⅱ评分18.1分为评估急性胰腺炎患者预后不佳界限时,其敏感性和特异性分别为82.7%和90.1%;两者指标串联评估敏感性及特异性分别为86.1%和92.9%,ROC曲线下面积为0.921(95%CI 0.824~0.938)。结论:急性胰腺炎患者血清PCT水平和APACHE Ⅱ评分具有较好的相关性,血清PCT水平越高,APACHEⅡ评分越高,患者病情越严重及预后也越差,二者联合可作为预测急性胰腺炎患者病情严重程度及预后的敏感指标,具有较好的临床应用价值。     

APACHEIV和APACHEII预测危重症患者预后的比较性研究

目的：比较不同版本的急性生理和慢性健康评分（Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation,APACHE）（APACHEⅣ和APACHEⅡ）对于成人危重症患者预后评估的应用价值。方法：收集2011年1月至10月入住我院重症监护病房患者的临床资料,分别计算其入ICU24小时内的APACHEⅣ和APACHEII评分,并计算其各自预测病死率,通过标准化死亡率（Standardized Mortality Ratios,SMR）来比较这两个评分系统对危重症患者预后评估的准确性。结果：本研究共纳入184例患者,死亡率为41．8％。APACHEII得分为25±8分,预测死亡率为53．31％;APACHEⅣ得分为93±24分,预测死亡率为30．76％。APACHEII预测死亡率比实际死亡率高（SMR为0．78,95％CI0．614-0．972）;APACHEIV预测死亡率比实际死亡率低（SMR=1.35,95％CI1．066-1．688）。但二者对于危重症患者死亡率的预测没有统计学差异（P〉0．05）。结论：APACHEII和APACHEIV对于危重症患者死亡率预测准确性高;与APACHEII相比,APACHEIV无表现出更为优越的性能,二者之间的差异不存在统计学意义。     

Predictors of mortality in patients successfully weaned from extracorporeal membrane oxygenation

Purpose

Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) has been utilized for critically ill patients, such as those with life-threatening respiratory failure or post-cardiotomy cardiogenic shock. This study compares the predictive value of Acute Physiology, Age, and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), and Organ System Failure (OSF) obtained on the first day of ECMO removal, and the Acute Kidney Injury Network (AKIN) stages obtained at 48 hours post-ECMO removal (AKIN_48-hour) in terms of hospital mortality for critically ill patients.

Methods

This study reviewed the medical records of 119 critically ill patients successfully weaned from ECMO at the specialized intensive care unit of a tertiary-care university hospital between July 2006 and October 2010. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were collected retrospectively as survival predictors.

Results

Overall mortality rate was 26%. The most common condition requiring ECMO support was cardiogenic shock. By using the areas under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve, the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score displayed good discriminative power (AUROC 0.805±0.055, p<0.001). Furthermore, multiple logistic regression analysis indicated that daily urine output on the second day of ECMO removal (UO_{24–48 hour}), mean arterial pressure (MAP), and SOFA score on the day of ECMO removal were independent predictors of hospital mortality. Finally, cumulative survival rates at 6-month follow-up differed significantly (p<0.001) for a SOFA score≤13 relative to those for a SOFA score>13.

Conclusions

Following successful ECMO weaning, the SOFA score proved a reproducible evaluation tool with good prognostic abilities.