Growth responses to climate in a tree-ring network of European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) from the eastern limit of its natural distribution area

The first dendrochronological network of European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) from eastern limit of its distribution was established covering the species’ altitudinal range (210–1160 m a.s.l.) and three eco-regions. Statistical analysis revealed spatial trends among the 14 chronologies, with increasing tree-ring variability and synchronicity towards the east, particularly expressed by rBAR (mean interseries correlation). By means of HCA (Hierarchical Cluster Analysis) and PCA (Principal Component Analysis), the chronologies were divided into three main groups: a Mountain, Plateau and Eastern class. These correspond to the Alpine South, Continental and Pannonian bioclimatological zones. Dendroclimatological analysis revealed a general climate response pattern, with summer temperatures, April–May precipitation and April–June drought being the main limiting factors in the study area. The intensity of the correlations increases towards the eastern distribution limits and decreases towards the upper treeline of European beech. Similarly, the length of the climate-sensitive period changes, with the precipitation window increasing from April in the Mountains region to March–May in the East region and the scPDSI (self-calibrated Palmer drought severity index) window increasing from April–June in the Mountains to the previous July to the current September in the East. The western and uppermost site shows signs of being limited by low July temperatures. This chronology network represents a sensitive monitoring instrument to quantify the impact and adaptability of European beech to actual and future climatic change.     

中国东南高海拔黄山松生长对气候的响应——以浙江省九龙山和安徽省牯牛降为例

利用中国浙江省西南部九龙山自然保护区和安徽省南部牯牛降的高海拔黄山松树轮径向宽度资料,分别建立了2个树轮宽度差值年表(RES).由子样本信号强度(SSS)>0.8判定,九龙山年表(JLS01)的可靠时段为1884—2010年,牯牛降年表(GNJ01)的可靠时段为1837—2008年.将采样点周围气象站气象数据做算术平均代表区域气候状况,利用相关函数检验了两年表与区域气象数据的月降水量、月平均温度、月平均相对湿度、月总云量和月日照时数的关系.结果表明： 2个高海拔点树木径向生长主要受夏季(上年6、7月,当年6月)水热条件的影响.九龙山年表与上年6、7月温度呈显著正相关,与上年6、7月和当年6月降水及相对湿度呈显著负相关,与上年7月总云量呈显著负相关,与上年6、7月日照时数呈显著正相关;牯牛降年表与上年7月温度呈显著正相关,与上年7月和当年6月降水及相对湿度呈显著负相关,与上年6月总云量呈显著负相关,与上年7月、当年6月日照时数呈显著正相关.由于高海拔地区温度较低,夏季温度的升高有利于该地区树木生长,同时较多降水对应的高相对湿度、高云量和低日照时数,限制了光合作用产物的合成,导致树木的径向生长受到抑制.
     

千山油松年轮宽度年表的建立及其与气候的关系

以千山油松为样本,建立了年轮宽度标准化年表、差值年表和自回归年表.结果表明,油松年轮宽度与5—7和9—11月温度指标的相关性较高,且与低温呈正相关,其中与7月的极端最低温、9月的平均最低温显著相关.3种年表与上年12月和当年1月的极端最低温、1月的平均最低温呈显著相关,且其与全年、上年12月、当年5月的降水量显著相关,与4月的降水量极显著相关.油松与水汽压、相对湿度的月和年指标均有较强的相关性.蒸发的年指标和绝大部分月指标对油松生长具有负效应,其中4—7月最明显.油松年表的窄化突变佐证了1800年以来的30次主要的旱灾年历史记录.千山油松的生长受全球或半球尺度气候变化的影响.年表与太阳活动存在显著的11、23和50年左右的公共周期,与地磁指标在10、20和45年左右存在共同的周期变化.     

沈阳市区古油松年轮宽度年表的建立

以沈阳城区昭陵古油松为样本,建立了古油松标准化年表、差值年表和自回归年表. 结果表明,年表与沈阳1月和4月的极端最低气温显著相关;与2月的降水量、年均水汽压分别为显著和极显著相关,年表对4、5、9和10月的水汽压响应较强,且均与自回归年表显著相关.年表与相对湿度的年指标,4、5、6、9、10和11月月指标的相关性较高,其中与年值和5月值分别为显著相关（差值年表除外）和极显著相关.蒸发与油松的生长在全年和绝大部分月份呈负相关,其中5月最明显,而1月的蒸发量与油松年表呈正相关.年表的窄化突变佐证了1 700年以来32次历史资料记录的主要旱灾年.沈阳地区的油松生长也受全球或半球尺度温度波动的影响.3种年表对以往太阳黑子的变化和地磁的活动呈现明显负相关,其中与太阳黑子活动存在显著的11年、23年和50年左右的公共周期,与地磁指标在10.5年、20年和45年左右存在共同的周期变化.     

沈阳市区古油松年轮宽度年表的建立

以沈阳城区昭陵古油松为样本,建立了古油松标准化年表、差值年表和自回归年表．结果表明,年表与沈阳1月和4月的极端最低气温显著相关;与2月的降水量、年均水汽压分别为显著和极显著相关,年表对4、5、9和10月的水汽压响应较强,且均与自回归年表显著相关．年表与相对湿度的年指标,4、5、6、9、10和11月月指标的相关性较高,其中与年值和5月值分别为显著相关（差值年表除外）和极显著相关．蒸发与油松的生长在全年和绝大部分月份呈负相关,其中5月最明显,而1月的蒸发量与油松年表呈正相关．年表的窄化突变佐证了1700年以来32次历史资料记录的主要旱灾年．沈阳地区的油松生长也受全球或半球尺度温度波动的影响．3种年表对以往太阳黑子的变化和地磁的活动呈现明显负相关,其中与太阳黑子活动存在显著的11年、23年和50年左右的公共周期,与地磁指标在10．5年、20年和45年左右存在共同的周期变化．     

不同去趋势方法对树轮年表气候信号的影响——以卧龙地区为例

基于川西卧龙地区林线位置岷江冷杉(Abies faxoniana)的树轮宽度数据, 结合地面气象站和空间网格化气象数据, 对不同去趋势年表对气候条件的响应特征进行了比较分析。研究表明: 不同去趋势年表的气候响应特征具有很大的相似性, 具体表现为前一年9月份、当年3月份和7月份的气温, 以及前一年10-12月份的降水、当年4月份和7月份的降水对树木生长的正影响作用; 前一年11月份到当年3月份的相对湿度, 以及当年2-3月份和7-8月份的霜冻频率对树木生长的负影响作用。从不同去趋势方法对气候响应的异质性特征来看, 保守曲线、67%样芯长度步长、60年步长和90年步长的平滑样条函数去趋势年表间具有很强的相关性, 对气候响应也最明显, 特征基本一致。30年步长的平滑曲线去趋势年表与其他去趋势年表的相关性较弱, 与气候要素的相关性也明显较小。另外, 未经去趋势处理的树轮宽度年表统计参量数值要明显高于去趋势年表, 它与气候要素的相关特征也基本反映出川西卧龙地区树木生长对气候响应的基本特征。     

Abies spectabilis shows stable growth relations to temperature,but changing response to moisture conditions along an elevation gradient in the central Himalaya

A better understanding of growth-climate responses of high-elevation tree species across their distribution range is essential to devise an appropriate forest management and conservation strategies against adverse impacts of climate change. The present study evaluates how radial growth of Himalayan fir (Abies spectabilis D. Don) and its relation to climate varies with elevation in the Manaslu Mountain range in the central Himalaya. We developed tree-ring width chronologies of Himalayan fir from three elevational belts at the species’upper distribution limit (3750−3900 m), in the middle range (3500−3600 m), and at the lower distribution limit (3200−3300 m), and analyzed their associations with climatic factors. Tree growth of Himalayan fir varied synchronously across elevational belts, with recent growth increases observed at all elevations. Across the elevation gradient, radial growth correlated positively (negatively) with temperature (precipitation and standardized precipitation-evapotranspiration index, SPEI-03) during the summer (July to September) season. However, the importance of summer (July to September) temperatures on radial growth decreased with elevation, whereas correlations with winter (previous November to current January) temperatures increased. Correlations with spring precipitation and SPEI-03 changed from positive to negative from low to high elevations. Moving correlation analysis revealed a persistent response of tree growth to May and August temperatures. However, growth response to spring moisture availability has strongly increased in recent decades, indicating that intensified spring drought may reduce growth rates of Himalayan fir at lower elevations. Under sufficient moisture conditions, increasing summer temperature might be beneficial for fir trees growing at all elevations, while trees growing at the upper treeline will take additional benefit from winter warming.     

坡向对海拔梯度上祁连圆柏树木生长的影响

选择青海省同德县南部河北林场的一个连续坡面,根据不同海拔和坡向设置4个采样点,采集祁连圆柏(Sabina przewalskii)树轮数据,分析不同海拔和坡向对树木生长的影响。结果表明:坡面上部3个采样点的树轮年表特征值均呈一定的变化规律——平均敏感值(MS)和标准差(SD)随海拔升高而增大,一阶自相关(AC)随海拔升高而递减,下限年表特征值均表现出与其他3点的不同,都是最值(MS和SD均最大,AC最小);年表间相关和主成分分析结果都显示出海拔梯度上的变化规律,但下限差异显著;树轮指数与当年6–8月平均气温的相关系数呈增强趋势,森林上限受当年7、8月平均气温影响较大,下限树轮指数不仅与当年6月和前一年11月的气温显著负相关,而且受前一年8月和当年5月的月降水量影响显著。与通常情况"下限树木生长受降水制约"比较,这里的温度作用增强而降水限制减弱。显然,坡向扭转是海拔梯度上影响祁连圆柏生长变化的重要因子。     

芦芽山阳坡不同海拔华北落叶松径向生长对气候变化的响应

为研究树木生长对气候变化的响应状况,选取芦芽山阳坡的3个海拔高度建立了华北落叶松(Larix principis-rupprechtii)的树轮宽度年表。年表的统计参数表明,3条年表均为研究气候信息的可靠资料。结果表明,芦芽山阳坡华北落叶松的径向生长和生长与气候的关系均具有海拔差异,中海拔(2440 m)和高海拔(2540 m)的华北落叶松具有相似年际生长变化,而二者均与低海拔(2330 m)华北落叶松的年际生长不同。低海拔华北落叶松的生长与4月平均气温和上一年11月降水量显著负相关,而中海拔和高海拔的生长均与上一年10月平均气温和6月降水量显著负相关。通过年表与气候因子之间的滑动相关分析发现,3个海拔高度华北落叶松生长与气候因子的关系均不稳定,生长与气温条件之间的显著相关关系是随着气温升高而出现的。气温的升高引起了华北落叶松生长与气温因子关系的海拔差异,以及径向生长的海拔差异。这一结果对于气候变化对植被垂直梯度影响的研究具有一定参考价值。     

宝天曼自然保护区不同针叶树径向生长对气候的响应

树木年轮资料能够提供区域内过去长时间的环境和气候信息,成为获取过去气候变化信息的重要手段之一。利用采自宝天曼自然保护区的两种针叶树种油松和华山松树木年轮样本分别建立了油松和华山松树轮宽度标准年表PT和PA,并将油松和华山松样本合并建立了联合树种的区域年表(RC)。3种年表分别与不同气候要素(月平均气温、月平均最高气温、月平均最低气温、月降水量)及其不同月份组合进行相关分析,结果表明,油松年表PT和华山松年表PA都包含较高的气候信息,且都和生长季不同月份温度显著负相关和降水显著正相关。其中,油松和华山松都与当年4月和5月降水显著正相关,油松还与当年5月的平均最高温度和上年11月最低温显著负相关,与当年3月平均最低气温显著正相关;华山松与上年10月和当年4月的平均最高温度显著负相关,与上年12月和当年7月平均最低温度显著正相关;联合年表RC包含了单个年表PT和PA共同的气候信息,与当年4—5月降水和3月最低温显著正相关,与当年7月最低温和4、5月最高温显著负相关。不同年表与生长季(3—8月)内气候要素月份组合的相关分析也表明联合年表RC包含和单物种年表PT、PA相似的气候信息并加强了PT、PA受当年生长季气候变化影响的公共信号。可见,同一地区的多树种联合年表一定程度上能体现出区域性树木生长对气候变化响应的生态生理特征,为同地区建成多树种联合年表来探讨当地区域性气候变化提供了可行性的理论基础和一定的参考作用.     

Dendrochronological assessment of chestnut (Castanea sativa Mill.) for dating purposes in Central Italy

Chestnut is the most common species used for building construction in Central Italy, but the built chronologies are still floating. This is due to a lack of long master chronologies built for chestnut in these regions and because of the lack of agreement with the very few up to date chestnut curves published for other areas. Chestnut appears to be a suitable species for performing dendrochronological analysis because it forms annual rings, and is a ring-porous species. Nevertheless it shows a very fast growth rate, which results in the presence of only a low number of annual rings even in large beams. To further the understanding of the dendrochronological characteristics that are important for dating purposes, this paper discusses an investigation based an a dendrochronological assessment of living chestnut trees.

In total 89 trees from five stands were sampled in Central Italy. The analysis was performed by testing the quality of single master chronologies and comparing the dendrochronological behaviour of trees of the same stand, the crossdating of chestnut chronologies of different provenances, and the interspecific synchronization with oak, beech and silver fir. These trees are the most widespread species in Central Italy and for which reference chronologies have been recently developed - useful for dating purposes. Chestnut chronologies show rather mean sensitivity values. The mean values of synchronization, according to the mean Gleichläufigkeit (GLK) value, mean correlation value (RBT) and expressed population signal (EPS), among the single curves of the same site are not high. Nevertheless, the number of pointer intervals calculated in the site chronologies can be considered rather high in some periods, and the coincidence of maximum and minimum ring width allows the individual curves to be fitted into the mean site chronology. The results of intraspecific synchronization among chestnut site chronologies are not encouraging. Nevertheless, the degree of visual matching among the chronologies play an important role. The best interspecific synchronization was obtained with oak. No notable correlation was found with beech and silver fir.     

Anomalous temperature–growth response of Abies faxoniana to sustained freezing stress along elevational gradients in China’s Western Sichuan Province

A network of ten Faxon fir tree-ring width chronologies was constructed from sites ranging in elevation from 3,000 to 3,450 m in the Wolong Natural Reserve in Western Sichuan Province, China. The site chronologies display significant inter-site correlations (mean R = 0.647, p < 0.001) and the first principal component (PC1) accounts for 68.32 % of the total variation of the chronologies, implying a high degree of similarity in growth variation among the elevation gradients. Correlation analysis using monthly climate data indicates that the radial growth response of Faxon fir along the elevation gradients is markedly similar to common climatic signals, such as sunshine duration (positive) and cloud cover (negative), from January to March. Thus, it appears that winter freezing stress, which is caused by low solar radiation and high cloudiness, is the major environmental factor regulating the growth of trees across the elevational gradients. In addition, the site chronologies have no elevation-dependent growth responses to temperature or precipitation. Irrespective of the elevational differences of the sample sites, an anomalous reduction in radial growth occurred consistently since the 1960s, diverging from the instrumental temperature records since the 1990s. The cause of this divergence may be ascribed to the recent accelerated winter freezing stress and its role in controlling radial growth.     

阿尼玛卿山地不同海拔青海云杉(Picea crassifolia)树轮生长特性及其对气候的响应

利用位于同一坡面的青海云杉树芯样本,建立了4个海拔高度的树轮宽度指数年表。分析结果表明年表序列特征值大都因海拔而不同,各年表序列对气候因子的相关性在不同高度也表现出一定的差异:树木生长都与前一年10月份月均温显著正相关,与前一年8月份和当年5、6月份月均温显著负相关;与前一年9、10月份和当年5月份的降水量都呈显著正相关,但都随海拔升高呈波状变化。树轮宽度指数与不同时段的温度和温暖指数都呈负相关,表明5～9月是该地区青海云杉生长较为活跃的季节。响应函数分析结果表明该地区低海拔生长的青海云杉受温度和降水的影响都比高海拔生长的更显著,显然不同于以前研究的森林上下限树木的生长模式。4a表主成分中的第一主分量贡献率为81.071%,表明同一坡面影响树木生长的大环境因子是一致的。第一主分量与气候因子的相关分析同样显示出前一年生长季末和当年生长季初的水热组合是树木生长的主要限制因子,区域模拟也进一步证明了这一点。并认清了同一坡面青海云杉树轮记录的共性和差异,为今后树轮采样和研究提供一定的理论依据。     

Climate–growth analysis of Qilian juniper across an altitudinal gradient in the central Qilian Mountains, northwest China

In the context of global warming, it is of high importance to assess the influence of climatic change and geographic factors on the radial growth of high-elevation trees. Using tree-ring data collected from four stands of Qilian juniper (Juniperus przewalskii Kom.) across an altitudinal gradient in the central Qilian Mountains, northwest China, we compared the radial growth characteristics and climate–growth relationships at different elevations. Results indicated that there was little difference in the tree-ring parameters of the four chronologies. Correlation analyses both for unfiltered and 10-year high-passed data of monthly climatic variables and chronologies were presented to investigate the climatic forcing on tree growth, and results revealed that the correlation patterns were consistent among the four sites, especially for high-passed data. We employed the principal components analysis method to obtain the first principal component (PC1) of the four chronologies and computed the correlations between PC1 and climate factors. The PC1 correlated significantly with winter (November–January) temperature, prior August and current May temperature, and precipitation in the previous September and current January and April, indicating that tree growth in this region was mainly limited by cold winter temperature and drought in early growing season and prior growing season (prior August and September). However, the climate–growth relationships were unstable; with an increase in temperature, the sensitivity of tree growth to temperature had decreased over the past few decades. Considering the instability of the climate–growth relationships, climate reconstructions based on tree rings in the study area should be approached with more caution.     

Climate response of cork growth in the Mediterranean oak (Quercus suber L.) woodlands of southwestern Portugal

In the Mediterranean climate regions, drought events are expected to affect the growth of forests ecosystems by changing trees growth rates and eventually inducing shifts in their growth patterns. Cork oak (Quercus suber L.) is a strictly western Mediterranean tree species periodically harvested for its bark, the cork. So far, cork oak has received limited attention for dendroclimatological studies due to its typical faint and erratic tree wood rings. Moreover, its distinct cork rings chronologies have been completely neglected. In this study we introduce an approach using cork ring chronologies dated back 9–10 years for climate response. Despite enhancing interannual variability and increasing statistical response to short-term climatic variability, still poorly understood, this study will possibly allow infer long-term climate response. We analyzed the cork ring chronologies of 55 cork samples collected in mature (under exploitation) trees in three distinct locations in southwestern Portugal. Cork growth recorded a high climate signal, with highly significant and coherent responses to the yearly climate-related sources of variation. We successfully assessed trends of cork growth via correlation analysis including selected climate variables among mean monthly temperature, monthly precipitation and, on an annual basis, eight precipitation indices. The high mean sensitivities and inter-series correlations found for cork ring chronologies combined with the significant variance explained by climate variables suggest that climate is likely one dominant signal that affects cork growth, but local environmental stresses can decisively affect this (climate) signal. Assuming cork growth as a proxy for cork oak growth, it seems conceivable that despite the trees being highly resistant to drought stress, cork oak woodlands in southwestern Portugal would have to face lesser growth in a global warming scenario.     

Geographic variation in growth response of Douglas‐fir to interannual climate variability and projected climate change

We used 179 tree ring chronologies of Douglas‐fir [Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco] from the International Tree‐Ring Data Bank to study radial growth response to historical climate variability. For the coastal variety of Douglas‐fir, we found positive correlations of ring width with summer precipitation and temperature of the preceding winter, indicating that growth of coastal populations was limited by summer dryness and that photosynthesis in winter contributed to growth. For the interior variety, low precipitation and high growing season temperatures limited growth. Based on these relationships, we chose a simple heat moisture index (growing season temperature divided by precipitation of the preceding winter and current growing season) to predict growth response for the interior variety. For 105 tree ring chronologies or 81% of the interior samples, we found significant linear correlations with this heat moisture index, and moving correlation functions showed that the response was stable over time (1901–1980). We proceeded to use those relationships to predict regional growth response under 18 climate change scenarios for the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s with unexpected results: for comparable changes in heat moisture index, the most southern and outlying populations of Douglas‐fir in Mexico showed the least reduction in productivity. Moderate growth reductions were found in the southern United States, and strongly negative response in the central Rocky Mountains. Growth reductions were further more pronounced for high than for low elevation populations. Based on regional differences in the slope of the growth–climate relationship, we propose that southern populations are better adapted to drought conditions and could therefore contain valuable genotypes for reforestation under climate change. The results support the view that climate change may impact species not just at the trailing edges but throughout their range due to genetic adaptation of populations to local environments.     

川西亚高山不同年龄紫果云杉径向生长对气候因子的响应

运用树木年轮气候学的基本方法,建立王朗自然保护区紫果云杉在集中分布上限区域的年轮宽度年表,选取差值年表分析不同年龄云杉的径向生长同逐月气候因子的相关及响应关系,结果显示:幼龄组云杉年表的敏感度高于中龄组和老龄组云杉,幼龄组云杉对生长季前及生长季的气温状况显著正相关;中龄组云杉年表仅与当年4月份和7月份的月平均最低气温显著正相关;老龄组云杉的年轮宽度指数同上年生长季(上年8月份)的月平均气温和月平均最低温显著负相关,上年生长季高温的"滞后效应"在老龄组云杉体现的更为突出;幼龄组与中龄组云杉对当年6月份降水持续增加显示出明显的负相关关系,上年12月份的降水会对幼龄组和老龄组云杉径向生长不利。研究表明幼龄组云杉包含的气候信息要优于中龄组和老龄组云杉,在该区域进行相关研究时应根据研究需要选取不同年龄跨度的云杉年表。     

阿尔泰山萨彦岭4种优势树种径向生长对气候因子的响应

气候变化深刻地影响森林树木的生长,而树种对气候变化敏感度的差异可能影响了气候变化下的森林生态系统响应。因此,研究优势树种间生长对气候变化的敏感度差异,对正确认识气候变化下林分生长动态及分布格局十分重要。基于树木年代学的方法,研究了阿尔泰山萨彦岭西伯利亚落叶松（Larix sibirica）、西伯利亚红松（Pinus sibirica）、西伯利亚冷杉（Abies sibirica）以及西伯利亚云杉（Picea obovata）4种优势树种的径向生长-气候关系。结果显示：（1）西伯利亚冷杉径向生长与上一年10-11月、当年1-9月的干旱指数、2-4月的降水显著正相关,与1月的平均温和最高温呈显著负相关关系,与当年4、6月份的水汽压正相关;（2）西伯利亚落叶松径向生长与上一年8月和当年8月的平均温、最高温以及当年8月的最低温显著负相关,而与当年6月的最低温则正相关,与8月份的水汽压显著负相关;（3）西伯利亚红松径向生长与3月降水、7月最低温、上一年10月的水汽压显著正相关;（4）西伯利亚云杉径向生长与6月平均温、最高温、水汽压正相关,与上一年10-11月、当年2-4月和9月的干旱指数正相关,同时与3、4月的降水量显著正相关。西伯利亚冷杉和西伯利亚云杉、西伯利亚云杉和西伯利亚落叶松、西伯利亚云杉和西伯利亚红松对于特定气候因子表现出相似的响应结果,与年表间相关性的结果一致。但差异也是明显的,西伯利亚冷杉和西伯利亚云杉对区域水分变化敏感,而西伯利亚落叶松和西伯利亚红松主要对区域温度变化敏感。综上所述,气候变化下,该区域优势树种对气候变化响应的差异可能导致区域林分动态和格局的改变,因此,多树种径向生长-气候关系研究有助于正确反映森林动态。研究结果可以为区域森林管理与生态保护工作提供理论依据。     

丽江老君山海拔上限长苞冷杉(Abies georgei)和云南铁杉(Tsuga dumosa)径向生长对气候变化的响应

基于树木年轮学方法,利用丽江老君山海拔上限长苞冷杉（Abies georgei）和云南铁杉（Tsuga dumosa）树轮宽度资料,构建差值年表,运用响应函数和滑动响应分析研究树木径向生长与气温和降水的相关关系及其稳定性,进而阐明影响该区域2个针叶树种径向生长的主要气候要素。结果表明：2个树种对降水累积效应的响应较为一致,对逐月气候因子的响应存在差异,相关关系较为稳定,具体表现为（1）上年11月平均温升高和当年生长季盛期（7-8月）降水增加有利于老君山海拔上限长苞冷杉生长;（2）云南铁杉径向生长与当年3月、树木休眠期（1-3月）、生长季盛期（7-8月）的降水表现为显著正相关关系,与上年7月与当年5月的气温及当年生长季末期（9-10月）降水呈显著负相关;（3）上述相关关系的稳定性较强,在全部或大部分分析时段（1951-2017）内达到显著相关,云南铁杉的稳定性更强。研究结果可为气候变化背景下滇西北高原树木生长的管理及森林生态系统的保护提供理论依据。     

中国东南部不同海拔亚热带森林中马尾松径向生长对气候的响应

为了解我国东南部亚热带森林不同海拔树木生长对气候响应的差异,建立了福建省武夷山脉东麓2个样点的4个马尾松(Pinus massoniana)轮宽年表,对树木径向生长与气候因子进行了bootstrapped相关分析和线性混合模型(LME)拟合。结果表明,在高海拔地区马尾松径向生长对气候因子年际波动敏感性较强,主要表现为与生长季前冬季光温条件以及生长季内7月降水的正相关,生长-气候关系在不同样点间表现出较强的一致性。线性混合模型可以较好地拟合高海拔树木生长变化,当使用前1年12月平均日最高温、当年1月日照时长和当年7月降雨量3个气候变量进行拟合时,模型解释量达到0.5,其中前1年12月最高温和当年1月日照时数在模型中起到主导作用,累积相对贡献率约占80%,说明生长季前冬季的光热条件是限制高海拔马尾松径向生长最主要的气候因子。因此,我国亚热带地区高海拔的树木径向生长可能对未来气候变化有更强的敏感性,相关森林管理政策的制定需要将此纳入考虑;同时我国亚热带地区高海拔森林中的树木有被用于树轮气候重建的潜力。