Prevalence of Pulmonary Tuberculosis among Adults in a North Indian District

BackgroundRecent population prevalence estimates of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) are not available for several areas in India. We conducted a field-based population survey at a north Indian district to estimate point prevalence of bacteriologically positive PTB.MethodsA stratified cluster sampling design was used to conduct the survey in both urban and rural areas within the district. All adults aged more than 15 years, in 18 rural and 12 urban clusters of 3000 subjects each, were interviewed using a symptom card. Two sputum samples were collected from all persons having symptoms suggestive of PTB, or history of antitubercular treatment, for smear microscopy for acid-fast bacilli and mycobacterial culture. Those having at least one sputum specimen positive on microscopy and/or culture were categorized as having PTB. Prevalence was estimated after adjusting for cluster sampling and incomplete data (through individual level analysis with robust standard error).ResultsOf 91,030 eligible adult participants (47,714 men and 43,316 women), 85,770 (94.2%) completed the symptom cards. Of them, 2,898 persons were considered eligible for sputum examination and 2,839 (98.0%) provided at least one sample. Overall, 21 persons had bacteriologically positive PTB, and cluster level prevalence was estimated at 24.5 per 100,000 population (95% CI 12.8–36.2). Individual level analysis with robust standard error yielded a prevalence estimate of 24.1 per 100,000 populations (95% CI 12.8–35.4).ConclusionThe observed prevalence of bacteriologically positive PTB in this district is lower than empiric national estimates, probably as a result of successful implementation of tuberculosis control measures in the area.     

DISEASES OF THE HEART IN A WORKING POPULATION—A Study of Morbidity and Mortality in Relation to Cardiac Status and Nature of Job

A sample consisting of 2,252 persons among 20,199 Los Angeles civil service employees was observed for the occurrence of heart disease. The first examination measured the prevalence. Based upon the diagnosis of 165 cases of heart disease, the prevalence was 73 per 1,000 persons examined.Two reexaminations, at intervals of 12 to 18 months, of persons with normal heart on the first examination were carried out and 52 additional cases were diagnosed. There were also 13 deaths of heart disease in persons first diagnosed as having normal heart, making a total of 65 “new” cases (36.6 per 1,000) during the 30-month period of observation. An annual estimated heart disease incidence of 15 per 1,000 appears reasonable.Based on 89 deaths, the cardiovascular disease death rate was 11 per 1,000 among persons entering the study with normal heart, and 133 per 1,000 persons diagnosed as having heart disease at entry. The ratio of newly diagnosed cases to deaths of heart disease was 4 to 1.Among men diagnosed as having normal heart there was little difference in death rates whether their jobs were physically strenuous or sedentary. Among the men with heart disease, however, the highest death rates are observed among those employed at sedentary jobs and at light exertion. This may, of course, be an indication of the employee''s selection of the job rather than the effect of inactivity. The relative usefulness of minifilm x-ray, electrocardiograms and questioning as to history were considered.     

Prevalence of Pulmonary Tuberculosis among Adults in a Rural Sub-District of South India

Background

We conducted a survey to estimate point prevalence of bacteriologically positive pulmonary TB (PTB) in a rural area in South India, implementing TB program DOTS strategy since 2002.

Methods

Survey was conducted among persons ≥15 years of age in fifteen clusters selected by simple random sampling; each consisting of 5–12 villages. Persons having symptoms suggestive of PTB or history of anti-TB treatment (ATT) were eligible for sputum examination by smear microscopy for Acid Fast Bacilli and culture for Mycobacterium tuberculosis; two sputum samples were collected from each eligible person.Persons with one or both sputum specimen positive on microscopy and/or culture were labeled suffering from PTB. Prevalence was estimated after imputing missing values to correct for bias introduced by incompleteness of data.In six clusters, registered persons were also screened by X-ray chest. Persons with any abnormal shadow on X-ray were eligible for sputum examination in addition to those with symptoms and ATT. Multiplication factor calculated as ratio of prevalence while using both screening tools to prevalence using symptoms screening alone was applied to entire study population to estimate prevalence corrected for non-screening by X-ray.

Results

Of 71,874 residents ≥15 years of age, 63,362 (88.2%) were screened for symptoms and ATT. Of them, 5120 (8.1%) - 4681 (7.4%) with symptoms and an additional 439 (0.7%) with ATT were eligible for sputum examination. Spot specimen were collected from 4850 (94.7%) and early morning sputum specimens from 4719 (92.2%). Using symptom screening alone, prevalence of smear, culture and bacteriologically positive PTB in persons ≥15 years of age was 83 (CI: 57–109), 152 (CI: 108–197) and 196 (CI :145–246) per 100,000 population respectively. Prevalence corrected for non-screening by X-ray was 108 (CI: 82–134), 198 (CI: 153–243) and 254 (CI: 204–301) respectively.

Conclusion

Observed prevalence suggests further strengthening of TB control program.     

Diseases of the heart in a working population; a study of morbidity and mortality in relation to cardiac status and nature of job

A sample consisting of 2,252 persons among 20,199 Los Angeles civil service employees was observed for the occurrence of heart disease. The first examination measured the prevalence. Based upon the diagnosis of 165 cases of heart disease, the prevalence was 73 per 1,000 persons examined. Two reexaminations, at intervals of 12 to 18 months, of persons with normal heart on the first examination were carried out and 52 additional cases were diagnosed. There were also 13 deaths of heart disease in persons first diagnosed as having normal heart, making a total of 65 "new" cases (36.6 per 1,000) during the 30-month period of observation. An annual estimated heart disease incidence of 15 per 1,000 appears reasonable. Based on 89 deaths, the cardiovascular disease death rate was 11 per 1,000 among persons entering the study with normal heart, and 133 per 1,000 persons diagnosed as having heart disease at entry. The ratio of newly diagnosed cases to deaths of heart disease was 4 to 1.Among men diagnosed as having normal heart there was little difference in death rates whether their jobs were physically strenuous or sedentary. Among the men with heart disease, however, the highest death rates are observed among those employed at sedentary jobs and at light exertion. This may, of course, be an indication of the employee's selection of the job rather than the effect of inactivity. The relative usefulness of minifilm x-ray, electrocardiograms and questioning as to history were considered.     

Estimates of Incidence and Prevalence of Mongolism and of Congenital Heart Disease in British Columbia

There is a need for accurate ascertainment of incidence and prevalence rates of congenital anomalies. In British Columbia the Registry for Handicapped Children and Adults used in conjunction with vital records has proved a valuable source of information. Birth notifications alone cannot be relied upon for incidence data. It was found that seven times as many cases of congenital heart disease were registered subsequently as were reported at birth. The estimated minimal incidence rates of mongolism and congenital heart disease per 1000 live births were 1.46 and 4.75, respectively. The well-known association of maternal age with mongolism was confirmed. Twice as many babies with congenital heart disease (without mongolism) were born to mothers over 39 years of age as would be expected on the basis of the maternal age distribution for all live births in the population. Prevalence estimates of these two diseases compared favourably with other published estimates.     

Ultrasonography survey and thyroid cancer in the Fukushima Prefecture

Thyroid cancer is one of the major health concerns after the accident in the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear power station (NPS). Currently, ultrasonography surveys are being performed for persons residing in the Fukushima Prefecture at the time of the accident with an age of up to 18 years. Here, the expected thyroid cancer prevalence in the Fukushima Prefecture is assessed based on an ultrasonography survey of Ukrainians, who were exposed at an age of up to 18 years to ¹³¹I released during the Chernobyl NPS accident, and on differences in equipment and study protocol in the two surveys. Radiation risk of thyroid cancer incidence among survivors of the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki and preliminary estimates of thyroid dose due to the Fukushima accident were used for the prediction of baseline and radiation-related thyroid cancer risks. We estimate a prevalence of thyroid cancer of 0.027 % (95 % CI 0.010 %; 0.050 %) for the first screening campaign in the Fukushima Prefecture. Compared with the incidence rate in Japan in 2007, the ultrasonography survey is predicted to increase baseline thyroid cancer incidence by a factor of 7.4 (95 % CI 0.95; 17.3). Under the condition of continued screening, thyroid cancer during the first fifty years after the accident is predicted to be detected for about 2 % of the screened population. The prediction of radiation-related thyroid cancer in the most exposed fraction (a few ten thousand persons) of the screened population of the Fukushima Prefecture has a large uncertainty with the best estimates of the average risk of 0.1–0.3 %, depending on average dose.     

Screening tests for diabetes detection; combined with a chest x-ray survey

A program was carried out to test the value and feasibility of performing blood sugar screening tests in conjunction with a community-wide chest x-ray survey. A simple, rapid and inexpensive blood sugar screening test requiring only about two drops of blood from the finger tip was used. Among 14,681 persons who stated that they did not have diabetes, 191 or 1.3 per cent had "positive" results in screening tests. The number of persons referred to their physicians for diagnostic study because of the possibility of diabetes was reduced from 191 to 127 by means of a more specific secondary screening test. Diagnostic information with regard to 102 of the 127 persons referred to their physicians was supplied by the physicians. In 58 (0.40 per cent of the 14,681 participants) the diagnosis was diabetes-newly discovered as a result of referral by the survey.Some of the persons referred to their physicians because of suspicion of diabetes, while not then diabetic, might be considered prediabetic. The appearance of diabetes in this group during the year following the survey was therefore investigated. Glucose tolerance tests were performed for 32 of the diabetes suspects whose diagnosis immediately following the survey was either "not diabetic" or unknown. In 15 cases the glucose tolerance curves were indicative of diabetes, in seven cases questionable and in ten cases normal. The 58 persons diagnosed immediately after the survey plus the 15 found to have "diabetic" glucose tolerance curves a year later made a total of 73 newly discovered diabetics. This is a discovery rate of 0.50 per cent among the 14,681 participants in the survey. The success of this combined diabetes detection and chest x-ray survey suggests that other screening procedures should be studied to determine the desirability of adding them to similar community-wide case-finding programs.     

SCREENING TESTS FOR DIABETES DETECTION—Combined with a Chest X-Ray Survey

A program was carried out to test the value and feasibility of performing blood sugar screening tests in conjunction with a community-wide chest x-ray survey. A simple, rapid and inexpensive blood sugar screening test requiring only about two drops of blood from the finger tip was used. Among 14,681 persons who stated that they did not have diabetes, 191 or 1.3 per cent had “positive” results in screening tests. The number of persons referred to their physicians for diagnostic study because of the possibility of diabetes was reduced from 191 to 127 by means of a more specific secondary screening test.Diagnostic information with regard to 102 of the 127 persons referred to their physicians was supplied by the physicians. In 58 (0.40 per cent of the 14,681 participants) the diagnosis was diabetes—newly discovered as a result of referral by the survey.Some of the persons referred to their physicians because of suspicion of diabetes, while not then diabetic, might be considered prediabetic. The appearance of diabetes in this group during the year following the survey was therefore investigated. Glucose tolerance tests were performed for 32 of the diabetes suspects whose diagnosis immediately following the survey was either “not diabetic” or unknown. In 15 cases the glucose tolerance curves were indicative of diabetes, in seven cases questionable and in ten cases normal.The 58 persons diagnosed immediately after the survey plus the 15 found to have “diabetic” glucose tolerance curves a year later made a total of 73 newly discovered diabetics. This is a discovery rate of 0.50 per cent among the 14,681 participants in the survey.The success of this combined diabetes detection and chest x-ray survey suggests that other screening procedures should be studied to determine the desirability of adding them to similar community-wide case-finding programs.     

Rubella haemagglutination inhibiting antibodies in females of child-bearing age in western Nigeria

Hitherto, epidemiological surveys of viral disease in Nigeria had been concentrated mostly on arboviral infections. This could be due to prevalence of the arthropod vectors responsible for the arboviral infections in this country. Recently, however, the Departments of Paediatrics and Ophthalmology of the University College Hospital, Ibadan, reported an alarming number of cases of congenital heart defects and cataracts in some infants in the wards. The clinical histories of these cases seemed to incriminate congenital rubella infection. A serological survey of females of child-bearing age was carried out the detection of antibodies to rubella virus using the haemagglutination-inhibition (HI) test. The results showed that over 70% of the sera tested were positive for rubella HI antibody.     

A Predictive Study of Congenital Heart Disease and Need for Care

For long-term planning in the delivery of health care, prevalence data are essential for budget estimates in terms both of distribution and training of manpower and fiscal responsibility. From incidence figures, from the knowledge of the natural history of congenital heart disease and from predicted population estimates it is possible to construct a model that reflects the prevalence of congenital heart disease. This has been done for the state of California; the methods used and the data gathered should prove useful nationally.It is estimated that there were in 1975 in California 17,531 children under 21 years of age with congenital heart disease; 24 percent of these had ventricular septal defects and 23 percent had pulmonary stenosis, 11 percent had atrial septal defects and 9 percent had aortic stenosis; the other forms of congenital heart disease constituted the remaining 33 percent. Based on these estimates it is then possible to plan the medical resources necessary for optimal care.     

四维彩超技术在筛查胎儿先天性心脏病的应用价值分析

目的:探讨四维彩超技术在筛查胎儿先天性心脏病的应用价值。方法:择取我院2012年3月至2014年3月收治的行产前筛查的300例产妇为研究对象,采用四维彩色多普勒超声择取心脏三血管、四腔观、肺动脉分叉、上下腔静脉回流、动脉导管弓、主动脉弓等常规切面,予以胎心各腔血流及胎心率等多项检测,对胎儿是否存在先心病进行综合诊断,并综合胎儿大体解剖状况,与病理诊断及二维超声检查结果进行对比。结果:四维彩超检出率为6.67%,正确率为90.00%;二维超声检出率为6.00%,正确率为83.33%,两组比较差异具有统计学意义(P0.05)。结论:四维彩超技术在筛查胎儿先天性心脏病中具有至关重要的应用价值,有助于指导胎儿先天性心脏病早期治疗,保证患儿预后,值得临床借鉴。     

Tuberculosis Infection in the United States: Prevalence Estimates from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 2011-2012

Background

Reexamining the prevalence of persons infected with tuberculosis (TB) is important to determine trends over time. In 2011–2012 a TB component was included in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) to estimate the reservoir of persons infected with TB.

Methods

Civilian, noninstitutionalized U.S. population survey participants aged 6 years and older were interviewed regarding their TB history and eligibility for the tuberculin skin test (TST) and interferon gamma release assay (IGRA) blood test. Once eligibility was confirmed, both tests were conducted. Prevalence and numbers of TST positive (10 mm or greater), IGRA positive, and both TST and IGRA positive were calculated by adjusting for the complex survey design after applying corrections for item nonresponse and digit preference in TST induration measurements. To examine TST positivity over time, data from NHANES 1999–2000 were reanalyzed using the same statistical methods. The TST was performed using Tubersol, a commercially available purified protein derivative (PPD), rather than PPD-S, which was the antigen used in NHANES 1999–2000. Prior patient history of TB vaccination was not collected in this study nor were patients examined for the presence of a Bacillus of Calmette and Guerin (BCG) vaccine scar.

Results

For NHANES 2011–2012, TST and IGRA results were available for 6,128 (78.4%) and 7,107 (90.9%) eligible participants, respectively. There was no significant difference between the percentage of the U.S. population that was TST positive in 2011–2012 (4.7% [95% CI 3.4–6.3]; 13,276,000 persons) compared with 1999–2000 (4.3%; 3.5–5.3). In 2011–2012 the percentage that was IGRA positive was 5.0% (4.2–5.8) and double TST and IGRA positivity was 2.1% (1.5–2.8). The point estimate of IGRA positivity prevalence in foreign-born persons (15.9%; 13.5–18.7) was lower than for TST (20.5%; 16.1–25.8) in 2011–2012. The point estimate of IGRA positivity prevalence in U.S.-born persons (2.8%; 2.0–3.8) was higher than for TST (1.5%; 0.9–2.6).

Conclusions

No statistically significant decline in the overall estimated prevalence of TST positivity was detected from 1999–2000 to 2011–2012. The prevalence of TB infection, whether measured by TST or IGRA, remains lower among persons born in the United States compared with foreign-born persons.     

Comparison of Newborn Hearing Screening in Well-Baby Nursery and NICU: A Study Applied to Reduce Referral Rate in NICU

Objectives

To determine whether newborn hearing screening in a well-baby nursery (WBN) and neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) nursery: 1) meet three targeted, screening, referral, and diagnostic follow-up rates; 2) compare the average age of diagnosis for infants admitted to the WIN and NICU; and 3) determine prevalence of hearing loss in neonatal population; and 4) try to find a practical newborn hearing screening time algorithm to reduce refer rate in NICU

Materials and Methods

It examined 15,624 newborns in the WBN (13,676) and NICU (1948) screened for congenital HL using AABR. The variables analyzed in it were the screening rate, referral rate, follow-up rate, diagnostic rate and diagnostic age, prevalence rate, degrees of congenital bilateral HL. The study was approved by the hospital’s institutional review board (13MMHISO23).

Results

The screening rates were 99.8% and 99.6% in the WBN and NICU groups, respectively, without significant difference. The referral rates were 0.7% and 2.8% in the WBN and NICU groups, with significant difference. Furthermore, the diagnostic follow-up rates were 76.7% and 89.1% in the WBN and NICU groups, without significant difference. The average initial diagnostic ages were 1.9 months and 3.8 months in the WBN and NICU groups, with significant difference. The prevalence of congenital bilateral hearing loss were 0.27% and 1.6% in the WBN and NICU groups, with significant difference.

Conclusion

The screening, referral and follow-up rate in the WBN and NICU groups were equivalent to the quality indicators. For NICU group, screening and diagnostic follow up were performed later than those in WBN group; however the lower referral rate in our NICU group was successfully achieved in this study and can be applied clinically. The prevalence of congenital bilateral hearing loss was higher in the NICU group than in the WBN group.     

Birth prevalence of primary congenital hypothyroidism by sex and ethnicity.

Over 5 million infants have been screened for primary congenital hypothyroidism in California since 1980. This large number along with the multi-ethnic nature of California's population allows for a detailed analysis of the effects of ethnic origin, sex, and their interaction on birth prevalence. Sex is the most important factor, with at least a 2:1 (female:male) ratio across all major ethnic groups except blacks. The sex ratio among Hispanics is more striking; female cases outnumber male cases by a ratio of 3:1, and the birth prevalence for Hispanic females is 1 in 1886 births. Previously published rates for Asians and blacks are suspect because of small sample sizes, and Hispanic rates also may be misleading if sex is not taken into account. These factors are important when screening tests, such as the serum T4 test, are used as a statistical prescreening before thyroid stimulation hormone levels can be determined and before the influence of ethnic group and sex can be taken into account, because other factors may prevent high-risk groups (such as Hispanic females) from being declared positive.     

Impact of prenatal diagnosis on livebirth prevalence of children with congenital anomalies

The objectives of this study were to describe the impact of prenatal diagnosis on the birth prevalence of congenital anomalies over 21 years (1979-1999) in a well defined population in northeastern France (13,500 births per year). The material for this study came from the analysis of data from multiple sources on births and terminations of pregnancy after prenatal diagnosis of congenital anomalies in 279,642 consecutive pregnancies of known outcome. The study period was divided into three subgroups 1979-1988, 1989-1993 and 1994-1999. Between 1979-1988, 1989-1993 and 1994-1999, prenatal detection of congenital anomalies increased, respectively, from 12.0% to 25.5% and to 31.7%. Termination of pregnancy (TOP) increased in the same proportions during the three time periods. However, the increase of TOP was much higher for chromosomal anomalies than for nonchromosomal congenital anomalies. The birth prevalence of Down's syndrome fell by 80% from 1979-1988 to 1994-1999. Sensitivity of prenatal detection of congenital anomalies and TOPs were lower for isolated cases (only one malformation present in the fetus) than for multiple malformations in the same fetus. Sensitivity varied with the type of malformations: it was high for neural tube defect (79.7%) and urinary anomalies (50.7%) and low for congenital heart defects (16.4%). In conclusion, the introduction of routine prenatal diagnosis has resulted in a significant fall in the birth prevalence of children with congenital anomalies. However, this fall varied with the types of congenital anomalies.     

Sex differences in the prevalence of congenital anomalies: a population-based study

BACKGROUND: Limited data is available concerning the sex distribution of various congenital anomaly subtypes. This study investigated sex differences in the prevalence of congenital anomalies, overall and by subtype, using high quality population‐based data from the North of England. METHODS: Information on congenital anomalies occurring among singleton pregnancies during 1985–2003 were extracted from the Northern Congenital Abnormality Survey (NorCAS). Anomalies were categorized by groups, subtypes, and syndromes according to the European Surveillance of Congenital Anomalies guidelines. Relative risks (RRs) comparing the prevalences in males to that in females were calculated for a range of congenital anomaly subtypes. RESULTS: A total of 12,795 eligible cases of congenital anomaly were identified during the study period, including 7019 (54.9%) males and 5776 (45.1%) females. Overall, male fetuses were significantly more prevalent in pregnancies affected by a congenital anomaly than female fetuses (RR, male vs. female = 1.15; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.11–1.19), but there was significant heterogeneity between subtypes (p < 0.001). Forty‐four of 110 (40%) unique subtypes were at least 40% more prevalent in males than females, with affected subtypes occurring across all major anomaly groups. Thirteen of 110 (12%) unique subtypes were at least 40% more prevalent in females than males, but the female‐biased RR of a neural tube defect was less pronounced than previously reported (RR = 0.84; 95% CI, 0.73–0.95). CONCLUSION:This study adds to the growing evidence of sex‐specific differences in the prevalence of a wide range of congenital anomaly subtypes. Birth Defects Research (Part A), 2011. © 2011 Wiley‐Liss, Inc.     

Cervical smear abnormalities in the United Arab Emirates: a pilot study in the Arabian Gulf

OBJECTIVE: To gather epidemiologic data on cervical abnormalities and make recommendations pertaining to a national cervical screening policy in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). STUDY DESIGN: A cross-sectional survey of patients and physicians in the UAE with regard to cervical cytology was carried out. Knowledge, attitudes and practices (KAP) of a group of female primary care physicians on cervical cytology were assessed by a self-administered questionnaire. Pap smears and Chlamydia testing were offered to women attending selected primary care centers and secondary health care facilities. RESULTS: Results of Chlamydia prevalence and KAP were published elsewhere; this report addresses the cytologic aspects of this study. There were 2,013 smears collected from primary health centers and 2,042 from secondary care. The overall rate of cervical screening among women in this survey was 85.5% in primary care and 77% in secondary care. The proportion of unsatisfactory smears was < 5%. The prevalence of cervical abnormalities according to the Bethesda System 2001 was 3.6%. There were 9 (primary care) and 21 (secondary care) cases of low grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSILs), for a prevalence of 0.77%. There were 4 primary care and 17 secondary care cases of high grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL), for a prevalence of 0.54%. The combined prevalence for LSIL and HSIL is 1.32%. There were 3 cases of glandular abnormalities. The atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance/SIL ratio was 1.71. No cases of squamous cell carcinoma were detected. No tissue follow-up information is available. The prevalence of cervical abnormalities is low in the UAE. We first recommend the institution of a more organized approach to opportunistic screening in the UAE with appropriate clinical follow-up rather than the immediate launch of a cervical mass screening program.     

Prevalence of minor musculoskeletal anomalies in children with congenital hypothyroidism

In the last decade a high frequency of extrathyroidal congenital anomalies has been reported in infants with congenital hypothyroidism (CH) detected by neonatal screening. In the present study the occurrence of additional congenital malformations (CM) in a cohort of children with confirmed primary CH due to thyroid dysgenesis was investigated. A high prevalence of extrathyroidal major congenital anomalies (15.9%), more than 5-fold higher than that reported in the Egyptian population (2.7%), was found. The cardiac and musculoskeletal systems were the most commonly involved, comprising 9.09 and 47.72% of all anomalies, respectively. The high prevalence of musculoskeletal anomalies in this study was mostly due to minor anomalies as brachydactyly and digitalization of thumbs. The type of dysgenesis (i.e. aplastic, ectopic or hypoplastic) as well as the severity of hypothyroidism, as assessed by TSH and T(4) levels at diagnosis, had no relation with the occurrence of extrathyroidal abnormalities.     

Modeling the impact of tuberculosis control strategies in highly endemic overcrowded prisons

Background

Tuberculosis (TB) in prisons is a major health problem in countries of high and intermediate TB endemicity such as Brazil. For operational reasons, TB control strategies in prisons cannot be compared through population based intervention studies.

Methodology/Principal Findings

A mathematical model is proposed to simulate the TB dynamics in prison and evaluate the potential impact on active TB prevalence of several intervention strategies. The TB dynamics with the ongoing program was simulated over a 10 year period in a Rio de Janeiro prison (TB prevalence 4.6 %). Then, a simulation of the DOTS strategy reaching the objective of 70 % of bacteriologically-positive cases detected and 85 % of detected cases cured was performed; this strategy reduced only to 2.8% the average predicted TB prevalence after 5 years. Adding TB detection at entry point to DOTS strategy had no major effect on the predicted active TB prevalence. But, adding further a yearly X-ray mass screening of inmates reduced the predicted active TB prevalence below 1%. Furthermore, according to this model, after applying this strategy during 2 years (three annual screenings), the TB burden would be reduced and the active TB prevalence could be kept at a low level by associating X-ray screening at entry point and DOTS.

Conclusions/Significance

We have shown that X-ray mass screenings should be considered to control TB in highly endemic prison. Prisons with different levels of TB prevalence could be examined thanks to this model which provides a rational tool for public health deciders.     

Evaluation of the General Practice Research Database congenital heart defects prevalence: comparison to United Kingdom national systems

BACKGROUND: As part of an effort to validate the General Practice Research Database (GPRD) for future studies of medication use in pregnancy, this study examined whether the rates of all, and specific types of, congenital heart defects obtained from the GPRD are similar to those obtained from UK national systems. METHODS: The prevalence rates of heart defects for 2001-2003 were determined from the GPRD and compared with both the National Congenital Anomaly System (NCAS) and the European Concerted Action of Congenital Anomalies and Twins (EUROCAT). Rate ratios (RRs) and 95% CIs were calculated comparing the prevalence of all congenital heart defects as well as specific types of heart defects in the three data sources. In addition, the effect of the child's age on the frequency of heart defects in the GPRD was determined. RESULTS: The prevalence of heart defects in the GPRD was more than twice as high as in the NCAS and slightly higher than in the EUROCAT. All differences were statistically significant. The prevalence of specific heart defects varied across the GPRD, NCAS, and EUROCAT. The measured prevalence of congenital heart defects in the GPRD was higher if calculated including children up to age 6. CONCLUSIONS: The comparisons of the GPRD prevalence rates to national prevalence estimates demonstrate that the GPRD can serve as a more complete source of background prevalence for the most commonly occurring congenital heart defects, which is essential to properly assess possible associations between maternal exposures and congenital heart defects.