Hospital admission for acute pancreatitis in an English population, 1963-98: database study of incidence and mortality

Objectives To investigate trends in the incidence of acute pancreatitis resulting in admission to hospital, and mortality after admission, from 1963 to 1998.Design Analysis of hospital inpatient statistics for acute pancreatitis, linked to data from death certificates.Setting Southern England.Subjects 5312 people admitted to hospital with acute pancreatitis.Main outcome measures Incidence rates for admission to hospital, case fatality rates at 0-29 and 30-364 days after admission, and standardised mortality ratios at monthly intervals up to one year after admission.Results The incidence of acute pancreatitis with admission to hospital increased from 1963-98: age standardised incidence rates were 4.9 per 100 000 population in 1963-74, 7.7 in 1975-86, and 9.8 in 1987-98. Age standardised case fatality rates within 30 days of admission were 14.2% in 1963-74, 7.6% in 1975-86, and 6.7% in 1987-98. From 1975-98, standardised mortality ratios at 30 days were 30 in men and 31 in women (compared with the general population of equivalent age in the same period = 1), and they remained significantly increased until month 5 for men and month 6 for women.Conclusions Incidence rates for acute pancreatitis with admission to hospital rose in both men and women from 1963 to 1998, particularly among younger age groups. This probably reflects, at least in part, an increase in alcoholic pancreatitis. Mortality after admission has not declined since the 1970s. This presumably reflects the fact that no major innovations in the treatment of acute pancreatitis have been introduced. Pancreatitis remains a disease with a poor prognosis during the acute phase.     

Accidental poisoning deaths in British children 1958-77.

In the 20 years 1958-77 598 deaths were registered as due to accidental poisoning in British children under the age of 10-343 boys and 255 girls. Drugs caused 484 deaths, non-medicinal products 111, and plants three. The annual number of deaths reached a peak in 1964 but fell steadily thereafter; 16 deaths occurred in 1977. After 1970 tricyclic antidepressants replaced salicylates as the most commonly fatal poison. The next ten drugs most often recorded in 1970-7 were, in order, opiates (including diphenoxylate/atropine (Lomotil)), barbiturates, digoxin, orphenadrine (Disipal), quinine, potassium, iron, fenfluramine (Ponderax), antihistamines, and phenothiazines. In 20 years paracetamol caused one death, and before 1976 deaths caused by aspirin had fallen to fewer than two a year. Thus the introduction in 1976 and 1977 of safety packaging of these drugs can be expected to have little impact on the mortality from them in childhood.     

Deaths in children with a diagnosis of acute appendicitis in England and Wales 1980-4.

Thirty five children died of acute appendicitis in England and Wales in 1980-4 compared with 204 in 1963-7. Thirteen of the 35 deaths in 1980-4 took place at home or on the day of admission to hospital before operation and a further 18 on the day of operation or the first day after it. Thirty one of the children had peritonitis. A third of the deaths were in children aged 0-4 years, and the hospital fatality rate in this age group was one death in 320 cases compared with one death in 4760 cases in children aged 5-14 years. The fall in the number of deaths between the 1960s and the 1980s was due to improvements in medical care, a reduction in the incidence of appendicitis, and changes in the age structure of the child population. Difficulty and delay in diagnosis and inadequate intravenous therapy are now the main factors contributing to death.     

Time trends and demography of mortality after fractured neck of femur in an English population, 1968-98: database study

Objectives To investigate time trends in mortality after admission to hospital for fractured neck of femur from 1968 to 1998, and to report on the effects of demographic factors on mortality.Design Analysis of hospital inpatient statistics for fractured neck of femur, incorporating linkage to death certificates.Setting Four counties in southern England.Subjects 32 590 people aged 65 years or over admitted to hospital with fractured neck of femur between 1968 and 1998.Main outcome measures Case fatality rates at 30, 90, and 365 days after admission, and standardised mortality ratios at monthly intervals up to one year after admission.Results Case fatality rates declined between the 1960s and the early 1980s, but there was no appreciable fall thereafter. They increased sharply with increasing age: for example, fatality rates at 30 days in 1984-98 increased from 4% in men aged 64-69 years to 31% in those aged ≥ 90. They were higher in men than women, and in social classes IV and V than in classes I and II. In the first month after fracture, standardised mortality ratios in women were 16 times higher, and those in men 12 times higher, than mortality in the same age group in the general population.Conclusions The high mortality rates, and the fact that they have not fallen over the past 20 years, reinforce the need for measures to prevent osteoporosis and falls and their consequences in elderly people. Whether post-fracture mortality has fallen to an irreducible minimum, or whether further decline is possible, is unclear.     

Measures of early postoperative mortality: beyond hospital fatality rates.

OBJECTIVE--To quantify the short term risk of postoperative mortality in ways which take account of deaths after discharge and the background risks of death in patients who come to operation. DESIGN--Analysis of linked abstracts of hospital admission records and death certificates for common operations. SETTING--Six health districts in the Oxford region. SUBJECTS--Records of 223,529 operations performed in 1980-6. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--In hospital fatality rates, case fatality rates, and standardised mortality ratios at selected time periods during the year after operation and the ratio of early (< 30 days) to late (90-364 days after operation) fatality rates. RESULTS--Fatality rates throughout the year after operations performed after emergency admissions were generally higher than those for similar operations performed after elective admissions and higher than expected from population rates. Examples were prostatectomy, hip arthroplasty, inguinal herniorrhaphy, and cholecystectomy. Common elective operations such as inguinal herniorrhaphy and cataract operations showed no early peak in mortality, but others did. These included transurethral prostatectomy (ratio of early to late mortality 2.0; 95% confidence interval 1.3 to 2.6), hysterectomy (3.2; 1.5 to 6.6), hip arthroplasty (3.8; 2.5 to 5.4), and cholecystectomy (6.9; 4.3 to 11.1). CONCLUSIONS--Temporal profiles of death rates in the year after operation show which operations have early peaks in mortality and which do not. Emergency and elective operations have very different profiles and should be analysed separately. For elective operations for conditions which pose no immediate threat to life the ratio of early to later fatality rates provides a measure of increase in mortality after operation while allowing for the background risk of death in the patient groups.     

Acute cholecystitis and thiazides.

Drugs purchased by a random sample (17 000) of the population of Jämtland county, Sweden, are continuously monitored. Patients who had been admitted to the county''s only hospital with acute cholecystitis and who were part of this sample were studied, and controls matched for age and sex were drawn from the sample. The purchase of thiazides and other drugs prescribed to the patients with acute cholecystitis was compared with that of the controls. The estimated relative risk of developing acute cholecystitis in patients who had purchased thiazides in the year before admission to hospital, as compared with those who had not, was 2.1 (95% confidence limit 1.1-3.9). As it has been reliably reported that the use of thiazides is not itself associated with cholelithiasis, the association found between thiazides and cholecystitis suggests that thiazides may increase the risk of acute cholecystitis developing in a patient with gall stones.     

Phenothiazine Poisoning A Review of 48 Cases

Of 48 cases of phenothiazine poisoning that were analyzed, 34 were attributed to suicide attempts, nine to accidental ingestion, and five to drug reactions.As outpatient treatment of schizophrenia increases, cases of over-dose with phenothiazine drugs may be expected to increase also.The prescribing of multiple phenothiazines and antidepressants is probably contributory to the occurrence of mixed drug ingestions.The symptoms and signs of phenothiazine poisoning are largely predictable if the atropine-like, alpha-blocking, quinidine-like, and extrapyramidal actions of phenothiazines are appreciated. Unexplainable tachypnea and paradoxical miosis were noted in severe cases.In one case in the study phenothiazine intoxication was present in the newborn infant of a schizophrenic mother.     

Sex differences in case fatality before and after admission to hospital after acute cardiac events: analysis of community based coronary heart disease register.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the reported higher case fatality in hospital after an acute cardiac event in women can be explained by sex differences in mortality before admission and in baseline risk factors. DESIGN: Analyses of data from a community based coronary heart disease register. SETTING: Auckland region, New Zealand. SUBJECTS: 5106 patients aged 25-64 years with an acute cardiac event leading to coronary death or definite myocardial infarction within 28 days of onset, occurring between 1986 and 1992. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Case fatality before admission, 28 day case fatality for patients in hospital, and total case fatality after an acute cardiac event. RESULTS: Despite a more unfavourable risk profile women tended to have lower case fatality before admission than men (crude odds ratio 0.88; 95% confidence interval 0.77 to 1.02). Adjustment for age, living arrangements, smoking, medical history, and treatment increased the effect of sex (0.72; 0.60 to 0.86). After admission to hospital, women had a higher case fatality than men (1.76; 1.43 to 2.17), but after adjustment for confounders this was reduced to 1.18 (0.89 to 1.58). Total case fatality 28 days after an acute cardiac event showed no significant difference between men and women (0.85; 0.70 to 1.02) CONCLUSIONS: The higher case fatality after an acute cardiac event in women admitted to hospital is largely explained by differences in living status, history, and medical treatment and is balanced by a lower case fatality before admission.     

Comparison of case fatality in south Asian and white patients after acute myocardial infarction: observational study.

OBJECTIVE--To compare mortality in south Asian (Indian, Pakistani, and Bangladeshi) and white patients in the six months after hospital admission for acute myocardial infarction. DESIGN--Observational study. SETTING--District general hospital in east London. PATIENTS--149 south Asian and 313 white patients aged < 65 years admitted to the coronary care unit with acute myocardial infarction from 1 December 1988 to 31 December 1992. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE--All cause mortality in the first six months after myocardial infarction. RESULTS--The admission rate in the south Asians was estimated to be 2.04 times that in the white patients. Most aspects of treatment were similar in the two groups, except that a higher proportion of the south Asians received thrombolytic drugs (81.2% v 73.8%). After adjustment for age, sex, previous myocardial infarction, and treatment with thrombolysis or aspirin, or both, the south Asians had a poorer survival over the six months from myocardial infarction (hazard ratio 2.02 (95% confidence interval 1.14 to 3.56), P = 0.018), but a substantially higher proportion were diabetic (38% v 11%, P < 0.001), and additional adjustment for diabetes removed much of their excess risk (adjusted hazard ratio 1.26 (0.68 to 2.33), P = 0.47). CONCLUSION--South Asian patients had a higher risk of admission with myocardial infarction and a higher risk of death over the ensuing six months than the white patients. The higher case fatality among the south Asians, largely attributable to diabetes, may contribute to the increased risk of death from coronary heart disease in south Asians living in Britain.     

Fatal opioid overdoses during and shortly after hospital admissions in England: A case-crossover study

BackgroundHospital patients who use illicit opioids such as heroin may use drugs during an admission or leave the hospital in order to use drugs. There have been reports of patients found dead from drug poisoning on the hospital premises or shortly after leaving the hospital. This study examines whether hospital admission and discharge are associated with increased risk of opioid-related death.Methods and findingsWe conducted a case-crossover study of opioid-related deaths in England. Our study included 13,609 deaths between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2019 among individuals aged 18 to 64. For each death, we sampled 5 control days from the period 730 to 28 days before death. We used data from the national Hospital Episode Statistics database to determine the time proximity of deaths and control days to hospital admissions. We estimated the association between hospital admission and opioid-related death using conditional logistic regression, with a reference category of time neither admitted to the hospital nor within 14 days of discharge. A total of 236/13,609 deaths (1.7%) occurred following drug use while admitted to the hospital. The risk during hospital admissions was similar or lower than periods neither admitted to the hospital nor recently discharged, with odds ratios 1.03 (95% CI 0.87 to 1.21; p = 0.75) for the first 14 days of an admission and 0.41 (95% CI 0.30 to 0.56; p < 0.001) for days 15 onwards. 1,088/13,609 deaths (8.0%) occurred in the 14 days after discharge. The risk of opioid-related death increased in this period, with odds ratios of 4.39 (95% CI 3.75 to 5.14; p < 0.001) on days 1 to 2 after discharge and 2.09 (95% CI 1.92 to 2.28; p < 0.001) on days 3 to 14. 11,629/13,609 deaths (85.5%) did not occur close to a hospital admission, and the remaining 656/13,609 deaths (4.8%) occurred in hospital following admission due to drug poisoning. Risk was greater for patients discharged from psychiatric admissions, those who left the hospital against medical advice, and those leaving the hospital after admissions of 7 days or more. The main limitation of the method is that it does not control for time-varying health or drug use within individuals; therefore, hospital admissions coinciding with high-risk periods may in part explain the results.ConclusionsDischarge from the hospital is associated with an acute increase in the risk of opioid-related death, and 1 in 14 opioid-related deaths in England happens in the 2 weeks after the hospital discharge. This supports interventions that prevent early discharge and improve linkage with community drug treatment and harm reduction services.

In a case-crossover study, Dan Lewer and coauthors investigate factors associated with fatal opioid overdoses during and shortly after hospital admissions in England.     

Epidemiology and Course of Gastrointestinal Haemorrhage in North-east Scotland

A prospective study was made of 817 consecutive episodes of major gastrointestinal haemorrhage in patients admitted to hospital during 1967-8 from the defined population of North-East Scotland. The yearly admission rate was 116 per 100,000 population. Comparison of the data for city and country residents showed no appreciable differences. In the duodenal ulcer group there was an undue incidence of bleeding among foremen and skilled workers and among those who were unmarried or widowed.Both the clinical history and the results of any previous barium meal examinations were unreliable guides to the source of the current haemorrhage. Prognosis was worse for patients who did not have a dyspeptic history and was better for those who had bled on a previous occasion. The simultaneous ingestion of alcohol and aspirin had an adverse effect on the occurrence of bleeding. Forty-seven per cent. of the patients had another major coincidental disease.Mortality was 13·7% in the whole series and 8·6% in those with peptic ulcer (duodenal ulcer 7·1%, gastric ulcer 16·9%). In 28% of the patients further haemorrhage occurred after admission to hospital and caused a 28·8% mortality. Seventy-four patients were already in hospital when they first bled and 44% of them died.     

儿童意外吸入磷化铝中毒55例临床分析及文献

目的:分析儿童意外吸入磷化铝中毒的临床特点、治疗方法及死亡原因。方法:对本院儿科2014年5月～2018年8月收治的55例意外吸入磷化铝中毒患者进行回顾性分析,根据病情严重程度将其分为轻度(31例)和重度(14例),统计患儿的年龄、性别、发病季节、中毒吸入时间、中毒就诊时间、临床症状、实验室及心电图检查。结果:55例吸入磷化铝中毒患儿中,死亡10例,存活45例,死亡患者均为重度中毒者,死亡原因为循环衰竭。轻度中毒毒素吸入时间平均为25.1 h,中毒后平均就诊时间14.6 h;重度中毒毒素吸入时间平均为185.4 h,中毒后平均就诊时间38.5 h;临床表现为恶心呕吐55例(100%),头晕、面色苍白14例(25%),心悸16例(29%),呼吸衰竭14例(25%),严重的心律失常8例(14.5%),低血压、心源性休克10例(18%);心电图检查:室上性心动过速1例,室性心动过速4例,II度II型房室传导阻滞1例,窦性心律不齐5例,窦性心动过速26例;实验室检查中心肌酶升高19例(34.5%);肝功能异常12例(21.8%);肾功能异常6例(10.9%);代谢性酸中毒14例(25%)。治疗上主要为对症支持治疗。结论:儿童意外吸入磷化铝中毒以重度中毒病例死亡率高,多为循环衰竭所致,目前无特效解毒药物,早期诊断和早期综合性治疗尤为重要。     

Reducing accident death rates in children and young adults: the contribution of hospital care. Steering Committee of the Major Trauma Outcome Study Group.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the contribution of trauma care to the recent decline in accident death rates among children and young people. DESIGN: Logistic regression modelling of temporal trends in the probability of death in patients admitted to hospital for the treatment of severe injury. SETTING: Hospitals participating the United Kingdom major trauma outcome study. SUBJECTS: 3230 patients with an injury severity score of 16 or more, who were admitted for more than three days, transferred or admitted to intensive care, or died from their injuries. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Death or survival in hospital within three months of injury. RESULTS: Over the seven year period 1989-95 there was a substantial decline in the probability of death among children and young adults admitted to hospital after severe injury. The overall estimate of the reduction in the odds of death was 16% per year (odds ratio for the yearly trend 0.84; 95% confidence interval 0.79 to 0.89). This decline did not differ significantly between age groups. (0-4 years 0.79; 5-14 years 0.87; 15-24 years 0.83). CONCLUSIONS: Reductions in hospital case fatality have made an important contribution to reaching the Health of the Nation targets. The contribution of hospital care in the reduction of accident mortality should be taken into account in decisions about the allocation of resources to preventive and curative services.     

Hospital care for the elderly in the final year of life: a population based study.

OBJECTIVES--To determine whether among people aged 65 and over those who died at advanced old age spent more of their last year of life in hospital than those who died younger, and whether the increase in longevity in the elderly between 1976 and 1985 was accompanied by increased time spent in hospital in the last year of life. DESIGN--Linkage of death records to abstracts of records of hospital inpatient care in the preceding year of patients'' lives. SETTING--Six health districts in England covered by the Oxford record linkage study. RESULTS--People who died at advanced ages (85 and over) were less likely than people who died at younger ages (65-84) to have been admitted to hospital in the last year of life. Once admitted the very old tended to spend longer in hospital than others. The mean total time spent in hospital by the elderly in the year before death (based on all deaths including those among people not admitted at all) showed no appreciable change over time. The median time in hospital based on all deaths increased by about three days between 1976 and 1985. During that time there was a gain in life expectancy in the population of about one year from the age of 65. CONCLUSION--The gain in life expectancy in this population was not at the expense of any substantial increase in time spent in hospital in the final year of life.     

External validation of the Hospital-patient One-year Mortality Risk (HOMR) model for predicting death within 1 year after hospital admission

Background:

Predicting long-term survival after admission to hospital is helpful for clinical, administrative and research purposes. The Hospital-patient One-year Mortality Risk (HOMR) model was derived and internally validated to predict the risk of death within 1 year after admission. We conducted an external validation of the model in a large multicentre study.

Methods:

We used administrative data for all nonpsychiatric admissions of adult patients to hospitals in the provinces of Ontario (2003–2010) and Alberta (2011–2012), and to the Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston (2010–2012) to calculate each patient’s HOMR score at admission. The HOMR score is based on a set of parameters that captures patient demographics, health burden and severity of acute illness. We determined patient status (alive or dead) 1 year after admission using population-based registries.

Results:

The 3 validation cohorts (n = 2 862 996 in Ontario, 210 595 in Alberta and 66 683 in Boston) were distinct from each other and from the derivation cohort. The overall risk of death within 1 year after admission was 8.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 8.7% to 8.8%). The HOMR score was strongly and significantly associated with risk of death in all populations and was highly discriminative, with a C statistic ranging from 0.89 (95% CI 0.87 to 0.91) to 0.92 (95% CI 0.91 to 0.92). Observed and expected outcome risks were similar (median absolute difference in percent dying in 1 yr 0.3%, interquartile range 0.05%–2.5%).

Interpretation:

The HOMR score, calculated using routinely collected administrative data, accurately predicted the risk of death among adult patients within 1 year after admission to hospital for nonpsychiatric indications. Similar performance was seen when the score was used in geographically and temporally diverse populations. The HOMR model can be used for risk adjustment in analyses of health administrative data to predict long-term survival among hospital patients.The life expectancy of individual patients can be important for both medical decision-making and research. Patients with a short life expectancy may choose to defer preventive treatments, screening interventions or interventional procedures for conditions that are currently asymptomatic. An accurate assessment of risk of death, particularly if that risk is high, could motivate and inform discussions between patients and physicians regarding goals of care. In addition, accurate prognostications are essential for adjusting statistical models that have death as an outcome (or as a competing risk for other outcomes) in both research and administration.We recently derived and internally validated a model that predicts the risk of death from any cause at 1 year after admission to hospital.¹ The Hospital-patient One-year Mortality Risk (HOMR) model consists of covariates whose values are determined at admission using routinely collected health administrative data (Figure 1). These covariates include patient demographics (age, sex and living status); health burden (measured using the Charlson Comorbidity Index score, home oxygen status and the number of visits to emergency departments and admissions to hospital by ambulance in the previous year); and acuity of illness (admission urgency and hospital service, direct admission to an intensive care unit and whether the admission was an urgent readmission to hospital). The latter category was also gauged using the Diagnostic Risk Score, which quantifies risk of death for particular diagnoses beyond that explained by the other covariates (Appendix 1, available at www.cmaj.ca/lookup/suppl/doi:10.1503/cmaj.150209/-/DC1).Open in a separate windowFigure 1:Covariates used to calculate a patient’s Hospital-patient One-year Mortality Risk (HOMR) score at the time of admission to hospital. The Diagnostic Risk Score (Appendix 1) quantifies risk of death for diagnostic groups beyond that explained by the other covariates. Points for the interacting covariates of age and Charlson Comorbidity Index score include the risk of patient age, comorbidity score and their interaction. In contrast, points for living status and admission urgency include the risk of these covariates and their interaction with admissions by ambulance in the previous year; points for the latter covariate are considered separately. See www.cmaj.ca/lookup/suppl/doi:10.1503/cmaj.150209/-/DC1)Discrete values for each covariate are given specific points, which are summed to create the HOMR score (Figure 1). In an internal validation population, the HOMR score accurately predicted the risk of death from any cause within 1 year after admission, with a C statistic of 0.92 and excellent calibration among adult residents of Ontario admitted to hospital for nonpsychiatric indications in 2011.¹Although these statistics are impressive, external validation is required to determine the true usefulness of any statistical model. External validation is necessary to prove that the model’s performance is not idiosyncratic to the patients, physicians, institutions or data systems used to derive and internally test it.^2,3 A prognostic model should remain accurate when retested with different patients (reproducibility), during different periods (historical transportability) and in different locations (geographic transportability).⁴ We conducted an external validation of the HOMR model in a multicentre study that included Canadian and American hospitals.     

Comparative study of cases of poisoning by organophosphorous insecticides in various regions of Costa Rica

336 cases of organophosphorous poisoning from case records of hospitals in Costa Rica between 1972 and 1978 were classified in four categories according to signs and symptoms: 8% latent; 25.9% mild; 43.8% moderate and 22.3% severe. Eighteen of the total patients died during hospitalization. Suicidal ingestion was the principal cause of severe and latent poisoning, especially in urban areas, followed by occupational poisoning in agricultural workers in mild and moderate cases. Occupational poisoning was common in men; in women it was attempted suicide and in children accidental poisoning. Under 40 years of age, the main cause was suicidal ingestion among both men and women, and occupational poisoning after 40 years of age. After discharge from the hospital, 19.6% of the total poisoned patients were referred to psychiatric treatment; 22.7% and 18.2% had had mental and alcoholic problems, respectively, prior to poisoning. Attempted suicide was the principal cause of poisoning in 86.4% of these patients, indicating emotional instability. In this study, the incidence in psychiatric consultation after discharge from the hospital is not indicative of a relationship between mental disorders and acute insecticide poisoning. In 42.6% and in 22% of the deceased patients pralidoxime (PAM) and atropine respectively, were not administered as antidotes in the emergency room. Aminophylline and skeletal muscle relaxants among other contraindicated drugs were administered as part of the treatment in these deceased patients. The consequences of this misguided treatment are questioned.     

A simple population viability analysis of Tancho (Grus japonensis) in southeastern Hokkaido, Japan

We employed population viability analysis to estimate future population trends and extinction risk of Tancho, the Japanese or red-crowned crane (Grus japonensis). The stage matrix was based on 15 years of data collected by counting the number of wintering cranes and following the survivorship of banded cranes. The accidental death rate was estimated from the number of dead or seriously injured cranes collected in the Kushiro municipal zoo. Consequently, the accidental death rate was found to increase each year at 0.072% per year during the recent 14 years and 0.132% per year during final 6 years. The carrying capacity (K) was estimated from the mean mire area within the territory of a breeding pair and the geographic information system data in southeastern Hokkaido. Accordingly, K was estimated to be 1,659 in this area. Using the stage matrix, accidental death rates and K (and 20%-lower K), the simulation was conducted under three conditions: (1) the increase of accidental death, (2) the limitation of carrying capacity, and (3) the concurrent occurrence of carrying capacity limitation and accidental death increase. As a result, the extinction probability during 100 years was zero, although the accidental death rate increased at the current rate of 0.132% per year. Therefore, by artificial feeding in winter, the Japanese population of Tancho reached the adequate level, which seems sustainable unless some catastrophic factors seriously damage the population. To raise the tolerance to catastrophic factors, we discuss the probability of their distributional expansion to western or northern Hokkaido and even to Honshu.     

Trends in deliberate self poisoning and self injury in Oxford, 1976-90.

OBJECTIVE--To review trends in deliberate self poisoning and self injury (attempted suicide) over 15 years (1976-90) on the basis of general hospital referrals. DESIGN--Prospective data collection by computerised monitoring system. SETTING--Teaching general hospital. SUBJECTS--All patients aged 15 and over (n = 9605) referred to the hospital after episodes (n = 13,340) of deliberate self poisoning or self injury. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Rates based on population of Oxford city; changes in substances used for self poisoning; history and repetition of attempts; and rates of admission to the hospital and of referral to the psychiatric service. RESULTS--Attempted suicide rates for women declined during the late 1970s and early 1980s but increased again during the late 1980s. Those for men remained relatively steady throughout the period. Highest mean annual rates occurred in women aged 15-19 (711/100,000) and in 20-34 year old men (334/100,000). The proportion of overdoses with paracetamol increased from 14.3% (125/873) in 1976 to 42% (365/869) in 1990 (chi 2 for trend = 481, p less than 0.01). Throughout the period the proportions of referred patients admitted to hospital and of those attempting suicide for the first time (over two thirds) did not decrease. Annual rates of repetition of attempts by women declined from 15.1% (257/1700) in 1976-8 to 11.9% (161/1356) in 1987-9 (chi 2 for trend = 7.8, p less than 0.01). Lower repetition rates occurred in women admitted to hospital and referred to the psychiatric service (431/4585, 9.4%) than in those not referred (42/235, 17.9%; chi 2 = 17.2, p less than 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS--Rates of attempted suicide declined in the 1970s and early 1980s, in women, but there are probably at least 100,000 hospital referrals a year in England and Wales because of this problem. Prevention of paracetamol self poisoning requires urgent attention, and psychosocial assessment should be conducted with as many of those who attempt suicide as possible.     

Drowning Mortality and Morbidity Rates in Children and Adolescents 0-19yrs: A Population-Based Study in Queensland,Australia

ObjectiveTo redress the lack of Queensland population incidence mortality and morbidity data associated with drowning in those aged 0-19yrs, and to understand survival and patient care.ResultsDrowning death to survival ratio was 1:10, and two out of three of those who survived were admitted to hospital. Incidence rates for fatal and non-fatal drowning increased over time, primarily due to an increase in non-fatal drowning. There were non-significant reductions in fatal and admission rates. Rates for non-fatal drowning that did not result in hospitalisation more than doubled over the seven years. Children aged 5-9yrs and 10-14yrs incurred the lowest incidence rates 6.38 and 4.62 (expressed as per 100,000), and the highest rates were among children aged 0-4yrs (all drowning events 43.90; fatal 4.04; non-fatal 39.85–comprising admission 26.69 and non-admission 13.16). Males were over-represented in all age groups except 10-14yrs. Total male drowning events increased 44% over the seven years (P<0.001).ConclusionThis state-wide data collection has revealed previously unknown incidence and survival ratios. Increased trends in drowning survival rates may be viewed as both positive and challenging for drowning prevention and the health system. Males are over-represented, and although infants and toddlers did not have increased fatality rates, they had the greatest drowning burden demonstrating the need for continued drowning prevention efforts.