Specific features of the HIV infection epidemic in Moscow

Retrospective analysis of the epidemic of HIV infection in Moscow allowed to mark out two periods: the first--from 1987 to 1993 and the second one--from 1994 to 2000. The characteristic feature of the first period of the epidemic was the sexual transmission of the agent mainly among homosexuals; the most affected group were persons aged 20-39 years and the number of AIDS patient decreased with a simultaneous growth in lethality. During the second stage of the HIV infection epidemic changes in the prevailing transmission routes of the agent occurred: injection drug addicts took the leading role. Changes in the ratio of HIV-infected men and women took place along with active involvement of persons aged 13-18 years into the epidemic process. The established changes in the epidemiological situation require corrections in the strategy and tactics of epidemic control and prophylactic measures.     

The manifestations of an epidemic process of typhoid infection in Moscow

The work deals with the results of typhoid morbidity in Moscow for the period of 1980-1988. The morbidity rate varied from 0.98 to 0.17 cases per 100,000 of population with a tendency towards decrease. In the structure of morbidity local cases accounted for 46.8% and cases of infection contacted outside Moscow accounted for 53.2%. The morbidity level was low throughout the whole territory, only in two districts morbidity rate was significantly higher (P = 95%) than the average morbidity rate in the whole of the city. In the group of local cases morbidity had no pronounced seasonal character, in contrast to cases due to infection contacted outside the city which were mostly registered in summer and autumn. Persons aged 21-30 years were found to be the most affected age group. The general factors, and not the contact route, are supposed to play the main role in the realization of the mechanism of infection transfer. Under modern conditions, some manifestations of the epidemic process of typhoid infection can be detected only at the level of the whole city, or even the whole country.     

Evolution of scaling emergence in large-scale spatial epidemic spreading

Background

Zipf''s law and Heaps'' law are two representatives of the scaling concepts, which play a significant role in the study of complexity science. The coexistence of the Zipf''s law and the Heaps'' law motivates different understandings on the dependence between these two scalings, which has still hardly been clarified.

Methodology/Principal Findings

In this article, we observe an evolution process of the scalings: the Zipf''s law and the Heaps'' law are naturally shaped to coexist at the initial time, while the crossover comes with the emergence of their inconsistency at the larger time before reaching a stable state, where the Heaps'' law still exists with the disappearance of strict Zipf''s law. Such findings are illustrated with a scenario of large-scale spatial epidemic spreading, and the empirical results of pandemic disease support a universal analysis of the relation between the two laws regardless of the biological details of disease. Employing the United States domestic air transportation and demographic data to construct a metapopulation model for simulating the pandemic spread at the U.S. country level, we uncover that the broad heterogeneity of the infrastructure plays a key role in the evolution of scaling emergence.

Conclusions/Significance

The analyses of large-scale spatial epidemic spreading help understand the temporal evolution of scalings, indicating the coexistence of the Zipf''s law and the Heaps'' law depends on the collective dynamics of epidemic processes, and the heterogeneity of epidemic spread indicates the significance of performing targeted containment strategies at the early time of a pandemic disease.     

Explaining large-scale patterns of vertebrate diversity

The major clades of vertebrates differ dramatically in their current species richness, from 2 to more than 32 000 species each, but the causes of this variation remain poorly understood. For example, a previous study noted that vertebrate clades differ in their diversification rates, but did not explain why they differ. Using a time-calibrated phylogeny and phylogenetic comparative methods, I show that most variation in diversification rates among 12 major vertebrate clades has a simple ecological explanation: predominantly terrestrial clades (i.e. birds, mammals, and lizards and snakes) have higher net diversification rates than predominantly aquatic clades (i.e. amphibians, crocodilians, turtles and all fish clades). These differences in diversification rates are then strongly related to patterns of species richness. Habitat may be more important than other potential explanations for richness patterns in vertebrates (such as climate and metabolic rates) and may also help explain patterns of species richness in many other groups of organisms.     

Methylmercury and brain development: A review of recent literature

Methylmercury (MeHg) is a potent environmental pollutant, which elicits significant toxicity in humans. The central nervous system (CNS) is the primary target of toxicity, and is particularly vulnerable during development. Maternal exposure to MeHg via consumption of fish and seafood can have irreversible effects on the neurobehavioral development of children, even in the absence of symptoms in the mother. It is well documented that developmental MeHg exposure may lead to neurological alterations, including cognitive and motor dysfunction. The neurotoxic effects of MeHg on the developing brain have been extensively studied. The mechanism of toxicity, however, is not fully understood. No single process can explain the multitude of effects observed in MeHg-induced neurotoxicity. This review summarizes the most current knowledge on the effects of MeHg during nervous system development considering both, in vitro and in vivo experimental models. Considerable attention was directed towards the role of glutamate and calcium dyshomeostasis, mitochondrial dysfunction, as well as the effects of MeHg on cytoskeletal components/regulators.     

Interrelationship between toxigenic and non-toxigenic diphtheria microbes in the epidemic process]

A study of the circulation of toxigenic and nontoxigenic diphtheria bacilli was carried out in several carrier state foci under conditions of a natural course of the epidemic process. There were 2623 persons under observation. A total of 32158 analyses were carried out, and 2271 strains were isolated and studied. No formation of the toxigenic variants of diphtheria bacillus as a result of phage conversion was revealed in the foci of carrier state despite the wide spread in them of nontoxigenic lysosensitive cultures capable of acquiring the toxigenic properties under experimental conditions, and of the cultures which had converting corinephages. Thus, autonomy of the circulation of the toxigenic and nontoxigenic diphtheria bacilli occurred in the carrier state foci; the leading role in the change of the diphtheria bacillus type belonged to reinfection.     

The AIDS epidemic: profiles of development

As all HIV-infected subjects become virus carriers, the epidemic will not attain a "steady state" until the number of deletions (from death and other factors) equals or outnumbers that of new cases, i.e. each HIV-infected subject transmits the infection to only one subject in the course of his lifespan. A full stop of all spreading of HIV will most likely require worldwide vaccination. By simple mathematical models it is shown that calculation of the number of HIV infected individuals based on the number of AIDS cases is very uncertain. The ratio of HIV infected subjects to AIDS cases is greatly influenced by the length of the incubation period and the case doubling time. Since the growth of the epidemic is exponential, all efforts to control the epidemic should be continuously intensified as single measures will only retard the rate of spread. The effect of saturation/deletion on the number of susceptible individuals is insignificant in this phase of the epidemic, except in small groups at special risk.     

Cytokinin conjugation: recent advances and patterns in plant evolution

Cytokinin (CK) conjugates are important in plant development because they regulate active CK concentrations, CK transport, storage, and irreversible inactivation. While numerous CK conjugates have been identified in higher plants, the biological functions of these compounds, their location within cells and tissues, and the enzymes and genes involved in their regulation are not clearly understood. In this paper, recent advances are reported which have occurred through the study of transgenic plants containing the ipt or rolC genes, the identification of new regulatory enzymes affecting CKs, and the characterization of new CK conjugates. In addition, a survey of the literature is presented which examines the pattern of CK conjugates found in different plant taxa. Based on current knowledge, it appears that green algae, mosses, and ferns contain relatively few CK conjugates of isopentenyl adenine (iP) and zeatin (Z). In contrast, higher land plants, such as gymnosperms and angiosperms, contain a more complex set of CKs, primarily conjugates of Z and dihydrozeatin (DHZ). This suggests that the pattern of CK conjugation has become more complex in parallel with the increasing complexity of higher plants.