全球气候变化背景下华北平原气候资源变化趋势

在全球气候变化的大背景下,过去几十年,华北平原气候资源也发生了相应的变化,这一变化对该区域的粮食生产将产生深刻的影响。利用华北平原1961-2007年逐日气候资料,探讨了不同年代际间该区域气候资源的空间分布特征。研究结果表明:气候变暖使华北平原热量资源更加丰富,全区≥0℃和≥10℃积温呈整体增加趋势,空间分布呈北移东扩的变化特征;且气候带移动特征明显,向北移动了3个纬度,约300多km。过去47a,华北区域年降水量呈下降趋势,平均下降速率为18mm/10a。夏、秋两季降水量呈减少趋势,速率在25-40mm/10a之间;春、冬两季降水量呈微弱增加趋势,但增加幅度小于夏、秋两季的减少幅度。年平均参考作物蒸散量呈整体下降趋势,减幅小于降水量的变化趋势。全区日照时数显著减少,纬向分布特征明显,以大中城市附近减少最为突出。     

长白山阔叶红松林近22年的气候动态

长白山阔叶红松林作为典型的温带森林生态系统。其长期的气候动态状况对研究全球变化具有重要的意义。本文采用中国科学院长白山森林生态系统定位站气象观测场1982～2003年的地面常规气象观测资料,对长白山阔叶红松林的光能因子（包括年日照时数、年日照百分率）、热量因子（包括年平均气温、1月、7月月平均气温、年极端最高、最低气温、年积温）、水分因子（包括年总降水量、年最大雪深、相对湿度、年总蒸发量）、以及年平均风速与风向等气候因子进行了分析,从而得出这些因子22年的平均值及其动态变化趋势,进而为相关领域的研究提供基础资料。     

北方农牧交错区农业生态系统生产力对气候波动的响应——以准格尔旗为例

气候变化对区域生态系统结构和功能有重大影响。以中国北方农牧交错区的准格尔旗为例,利用气象和《统计年鉴》数据,采用数理统计方法分析准格尔旗1961—2009年降水量、平均气温的波动特征,计算出该地区1961—2009年农业生态系统NPP值和主要农作物的气候产量,论述了准格尔旗农业生态系统生产力对气候波动的响应。结果表明:(1)降水量和平均气温的年际、年内波动均显著。(2)准格尔旗农业生态系统生产力呈现阶段性地波动上升趋势。排除社会、科技等影响,气候生产力对气候波动表现出较强的敏感性,是作物气候生态适应的结果。(3)中国北方雨养旱作区,粮食气候产量受降水量年际波动(特别是7、8月)显著影响;谷子、糜黍、玉米、薯类、大豆和油料等农作物的气候产量与降水量年际波动呈显著正相关;谷子、糜黍的气候产量与生长季降水量年内波动呈显著负相关。集水型生态农业是北方农牧交错区生态环境友好的农业发展模式。(4)谷子、糜黍、薯类、大豆和油料等农作物的气候产量与6、7、8月平均气温年际波动呈显著负相关;生长季平均气温年内波动对谷子、糜黍、大豆和油料等农作物的气候产量有显著负面影响。因此,需要综合采取工程、生物和农业措施,将气候变化对主要农作物气候产量的不利影响降到最低。     

Climatic niche divergence explains angiosperm diversification across clades in China

Diversification rates are critically important for understanding patterns of species richness among clades. However, the effects of climatic niche width on plant diversification rates remain to be elucidated. Based on the phylogenetic, climatic, and distributional information of angiosperms in China, a total of 26 906 species from 182 families were included in this study. We aimed to test relationships between diversification rate and climatic niche width and climatic niche width related variables (including climatic niche divergence, climatic niche position, geographic extent, and climatic niche evolutionary rate) using phylogenetic methods. We found that climatic niche divergence had the largest unique contribution to the diversification rate, while the unique effects of climatic niche width, climatic niche position, geographic extent, and climatic niche evolutionary rate on the diversification rate were negligible. We also observed that the relationship between diversification rate and climatic niche divergence was significantly stronger than the null assumption (artefactual relationship between diversification and clade-level climatic niche width by sampling more species). Our study supports the hypothesis that wider family climatic niche widths explain faster diversification rates through a higher climatic niche divergence rather than through higher geographic extent, higher climatic niche evolutionary rate, or separated climatic niche position. Hence, the results provide a potential explanation for large-scale diversity patterns within families of plants.     

甘肃地产党参区域性品质差异及气候响应特征分析

基于甘肃产区党参(Codonopsis pilosula(Franch.)Nannf.)中4种代表性组分(党参炔苷、苍术内酯Ⅲ、多糖和醇溶性浸出物)的含量变化与相应地域气候因子的分析, 探明甘肃境内区域条件、气候因子对党参化学成分的影响及关联性.运用高效液相色谱法测定党参中这4种化学成分含量, 分析区域性、年-季-月不...     

Effects of simulated heat waves on an experimental plant–herbivore–predator food chain

Greater climatic variability and extreme climatic events are currently emerging as two of the most important facets of climate change. Predicting the effects of extreme climatic events, such as heat waves, is a major challenge because they may affect both organisms and trophic interactions, leading to complex responses at the community level. In this study, we set up a simple three‐level food chain composed of a sweet pepper plant, Capsicum annuum; an aphid, Myzus persicae; and a ladybeetle, Coleomegilla maculata, to explore the consequences of simulated heat waves on organism performance, trophic interactions, and population dynamics. We found that (1) heat waves do not affect plant biomass, significantly reduce the abundance and fecundity of aphids, and slightly affect ladybeetle developmental time and biomass, (2) heat waves decrease the impact of ladybeetles on aphid populations but do not modify the effect of aphids on plant biomass, and (3) food chains including predatory ladybeetles are more resistant to heat waves than a simple plant–aphid association, with aphid abundance being less influenced by heat waves in the presence of C. maculata. Our results suggest that more biodiverse ecosystems with predators exerting a strong biotic control are likely to be less influenced by abiotic factors and then more resistant to extreme climatic events than impoverished ecosystems lacking predators. Our study emphasizes the importance of assessing the effects of climatic change on each trophic level as well as on trophic interactions to further our understanding of the stability, resilience, and resistance of ecological communities under climatic forcing.     

川西雅江地区过去567年3—8月干旱变化的树轮重建

使用零信号去趋势法建立了四川甘孜州拉日玛采点川西云杉标准化树轮宽度年表。结果表明: 云杉树轮年表与雅江3—8月一个月时间尺度的标准化降水蒸散指数(SPEI1)间存在显著正相关。由树轮年表当年与次年序列重建了雅江地区1442—2008年3—8月SPEI1指数变化,方差解释量达42.8%。重建序列主要揭示了历史时期SPEI1的低频变化。川西雅江地区3—8月SPEI1在过去567年中存在1442—1465年、1516—1601年和1836—2008年3个偏湿阶段,位于其间的为2个偏干阶段;重建序列在1455—1762年间存在显著变干趋势,而1833—1950年具有显著变湿趋势,1959—2008年的变湿趋势最为明显;3—8月SPEI1重建值在1512、1733、1767、1831、1941、1957和1975年发生了从干旱向湿润的突变,而在1684年与1961年则相反。与周边气候重建序列的对比显示,川西雅江地区3—8月SPEI1重建序列的低频变化与青藏高原东北部年降水量和祁连山东段北坡SPEI05指数的变化具有一定相似性。该重建序列对青藏高原东部及青海南部的3—8月SPEI1变化具有较好的代表性。     

城市湿地公园的生态补水模式及其净化效果与生态效益

以常州市蔷薇湿地公园为例,提出一种“垂直流＋水平流”新型生态补水复合模式,探讨了该模式的环境效应和经济效益.结果表明：该补水模式不但能净化受污染的源水(城市河水),而且可有效提升城市湿地公园的生态景观功能.城市湿地公园内的大部分景观水体可达到全身接触性娱乐类景观功能要求,运行成本仅为常规补水工艺的5%～25%,具有较好的环境效应和经济效益.     

基于MaxEnt模型预测中国兰属植物的分布格局及主导气候因子(附表)

兰属(Cymbidium)中，除了兔耳兰C.lancifolium以外的所有种均被列为国家重点保护野生植物。为探究其在未来气候条件下的潜在分布格局，该研究基于兰属植物已知的分布点和19个气候因子，利用最大熵(MaxEnt)模型和地理信息系统(ArcGIS)模拟兰属以及其中20种兰属植物在9种不同气候情景(当代以及未来2030s、2050s、2070s和2090s 4个时间段各两种温室气体排放情景)下的潜在分布格局。结果表明：(1)最干旱季降水量(Bio17)、年降水量(Bio12)和温度季节性变化(Bio4)是影响兰属植物地理分布格局的主导气候因子。(2)不同兰属植物在未来情景下的适生区表现出不同的变化趋势，并且影响其分布的主导气候因子也有所不同。其中，冬凤兰(C.dayanum)等8个物种的适生区面积整体呈扩张趋势，而西藏虎头兰(C.tracyanum)等12个物种的适生区面积整体则呈缩减趋势。该研究结果为兰属植物就地保护与迁地保护提供了重要参考，对兰属等濒危野生植物的保护具有积极意义。     

橘全爪螨春季高峰发生程度与气象因素的关系

本文探讨了橘全爪螨高峰发生程度与气象因素及天气过程的关系。结果表明：春季高峰由２次连续的高峰组成,且第二次高峰大于第一次高峰;第一次高峰发生在４月下旬到５月中旬,其发生程度主要受 ３月 ２０日～ ４月 ３０日气象因子和天气过程的影响,即日均温度≥ １２℃,降雨≤ ２ｍｍ、相对湿度（ＲＨ）≤８５％,持续时间越长发生程度越重;第二高峰发生在５月下旬至６月中旬,主要受５月１１日～６月 １０日气象因子和天气过程的影响,即日均温度 ２０～ ３０℃、降雨≤ １０ｍｍ的持续时间越长该螨的发生程度越严重。说明重庆地区橘全爪螨春季高峰严重发生的主要因素是在相应的时间内降雨少、气温变幅低,积温多和特定气象因子组合的天气持续过程。     

Correspondence analysis of shell morphology in the African freshwater snail Biomphalaria pfeifferi (Kraus 1848) (Pulmonata: Gastropoda)

A correspondence analysis of shell measurements taken from 521 widely dispersed specimens of the African aquatic pulmonate snail Biomphalaria pfeifferi suggests the existence of eight morphological groups. These groups appear to relate to either ecophysiological factors or to factors associated with the stability of the freshwater system rather than to aspects of geographic distribution and genetic isolation.     

未来气候变化对中国天然橡胶种植气候适宜区的影响

全球气候变暖将严重影响中国天然橡胶种植的气候适宜区分布.根据影响中国橡胶种植的5个主导气候因子,即最冷月平均温度、极端最低温度平均值、月平均温度≥18 ℃月份、年平均气温和年平均降水量,基于最大熵MaxEnt模型,利用1981—2010年全国气候数据和RCP4.5情景的气候预估,分析了1981—2010、2041—2060、2061—2080年中国天然橡胶种植的气候适宜区变化.结果表明： 随着未来气候变化,2041—2060和2061—2080年中国天然橡胶的种植气候适宜区范围总体呈北扩趋势,对橡胶树北移有利. 2041—2060、2061—2080年中国天然橡胶气候适宜区总面积较1981—2010年呈增长趋势,高适宜区和中适宜区的面积均有增加趋势,而低适宜区面积呈减少趋势.局部区域气候适宜性发生明显变化：云南的橡胶主产区的适宜区总面积减少,其中,云南省的景洪、勐腊等地将由现在的高适宜区转变为中适宜区,海南岛及广东雷州半岛的橡胶种植高适宜区面积明显增加,在台湾岛出现了新的橡胶种植低适宜区等.     

物种丰富度对集群生物量的影响及抽样、互补效应的检验

通过8种甲藻构建不同物种丰富度梯度的集群进行室内一次性培养实验,探讨了集群生物量随物种丰富度的增长模式,运用多因素方差分析检验集群内是否存在抽样效应. 运用超产分析、相对产量之和分析和子集分析方法,检验了集群内的生态位互补效应,并运用分离加性方程法定量分离了抽样与互补效应.结果表明: 集群生物量随物种丰富度呈饱和型上升趋势;集群内存在较强的互补效应;在指数生长期,某些特定物种对集群生物量有显著影响,但在生长稳定期,集群生物量不受个别物种出现与否的影响;在生长稳定期,抽样效应总体上为负,而互补效应与净生物多样性效应则总体为正.     

Variation in Cepaea populations over 42 years: climate fluctuations destroy a topographical relationship of morph‐frequencies

Cepaea hortensis (Gastropoda: Pulmonata) populations in Hertfordshire, England, originally sampled in 1964–66, and sampled again in 1990, were sampled in 2007. Although the general pattern of shell colour and banding polymorphism remained stable, a significant trend for a reduction in the frequency of yellow shells in sites from valley bottoms, as observed in 1990, continued through to 2007. In both 1964–66 and 1990, populations in valley bottoms had higher frequencies of yellow shells than those on the sides, but this topographical relationship had effectively disappeared by 2007. The relationship had been explained in terms of low temperature extremes in valley bottoms in cold, anticyclonic conditions. Its decay is associated with much warmer winter conditions prevailing in the 3 years previous to both resurveys, compared with those before the original survey. The frequency of unbanded shells also increased over the period, but this change showed no topographical variation, and thus it is not possible to assign it to a particular cause. The low levels of variation between samples from the same habitat and the absence of present topographical relationships conceal the occurrence of powerful climatic selection, which is revealed only by repeated surveys. The conditions in which such changes might be detected are discussed. © 2008 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2008, 95 , 53–61.     

Geographic variation of body size and reproductive patterns in Continental versus Mediterranean asp vipers, Vipera aspis

The occurrence of variation in body size and reproductive traits of Vipera aspis was assessed by analysing 74 reproductive females of different populations, collected throughout a large part of the distribution range of the taxon, from central‐western France to central Italy. Six populations were analysed, two of plain habitats, in France and Italy, characterized by a Continental climate, whereas the other four derived from two coastal and two inland, hilly Italian habitats, respectively, showing a Mediterranean climate. Females of the French area showed the smallest mean body size, whereas the pre‐ and post‐partum body masses of females from the coolest, central Italic area were significantly higher. Litter size varied among habitats and was significantly correlated with maternal body size. If the snout–vent length feature varied largely among offspring of different habitats (with the longest size occurring in representatives of the coastal, central Italian area), the average of both body mass and total mass of offsprings did not exhibit any clear pattern among populations colonizing different habitats. Nevertheless, relative litter mass was higher in the French continental populations, and lower in the coolest, Mediterranean, Italian ones. It is worth emphasizing the positive correlation between the snout–vent length feature of females and the total litter mass to environmental factors, such as hottest month temperature and total rainfall. The available literature records that female body size affects offspring size and fecundity. If the present study bolsters this correlation, it also rules out any other effect of female body size on the offspring characteristics analysed. Finally, evidence is provided for the role of climatic factors on life‐history traits (e.g. pre‐partum body mass) of asp vipers, although confounding effects pursued, for example, by food availability may occur. © 2009 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2009, 96 , 383–391.     

北极巴罗地区300年以来的孢粉记录及其气候变化

根据北极巴罗地区Elson泻湖300年以来的孢粉记录,揭示出小冰期以来的该地区植被的生态变化和气候变化,相对温暖期分别出现在公元1720年、1800年、1922年、1953年和1992年以后,结果和其他研究成果是比较一致的。孢粉总浓度的变化和生态变化相对应,孢粉总浓度可以作为北极巴罗地区温度变化替代性指标。温度升降是北极地区植被覆盖率变化的主要原因。20世纪人类已经对北极地区植被产生重要影响。     

Genomic evidence for role of inversion 3RP of Drosophila melanogaster in facilitating climate change adaptation

Chromosomal inversion polymorphisms are common in animals and plants, and recent models suggest that alternative arrangements spread by capturing different combinations of alleles acting additively or epistatically to favour local adaptation. It is also thought that inversions typically maintain favoured combinations for a long time by suppressing recombination between alternative chromosomal arrangements. Here, we consider patterns of linkage disequilibrium and genetic divergence in an old inversion polymorphism in Drosophila melanogaster (In(3R)Payne) known to be associated with climate change adaptation and a recent invasion event into Australia. We extracted, karyotyped and sequenced whole chromosomes from two Australian populations, so that changes in the arrangement of the alleles between geographically separated tropical and temperate areas could be compared. Chromosome‐wide linkage disequilibrium (LD) analysis revealed strong LD within the region spanned by In(3R)Payne. This genomic region also showed strong differentiation between the tropical and the temperate populations, but no differentiation between different karyotypes from the same population, after controlling for chromosomal arrangement. Patterns of differentiation across the chromosome arm and in gene ontologies were enhanced by the presence of the inversion. These data support the notion that inversions are strongly selected by bringing together combinations of genes, but it is still not clear if such combinations act additively or epistatically. Our data suggest that climatic adaptation through inversions can be dynamic, reflecting changes in the relative abundance of different forms of an inversion and ongoing evolution of allelic content within an inversion.     

我国春玉米潜在种植分布区的气候适宜性

根据中国气象局216个春玉米农业气象观测站资料与1971—2000年10 km×10 km空间分辨率的气候资料,基于全国区域和年尺度筛选出了影响我国玉米种植分布的潜在气候指标,利用最大熵(Maximum Entropy,MaxEnt)模型和ArcGIS空间分析技术,构建了春玉米潜在种植分布与气候因子关系模型,研究了影响我国春玉米潜在种植分布区的主导气候因子及其气候适宜性。结果表明,影响我国春玉米潜在种植分布的主导气候因子有:≥10℃积温、≥10℃的天数、最热月平均温度、年平均温度、年降水、湿润指数和气温年较差;结合春玉米存在概率,将我国春玉米潜在种植分布区划分成4个等级:气候不适宜区、次适宜区、适宜区和最适宜区,给出了各气候适宜区的气候特征。选取作物在待预测地区的存在概率这一综合反映各主导气候因子影响的指标来划分作物潜在种植分布区,有助于更加准确地进行气候区划,从而可为制定玉米应对气候变化措施提供科学依据。