NT-proBNP independently predicts long term mortality after acute exacerbation of COPD – a prospective cohort study

Background

Cardiovascular disease is prevalent and frequently unrecognized in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). NT-proBNP is an established risk factor in patients with heart failure. NT-proBNP may also be released from the right ventricle. Thus serum NT-proBNP may be elevated during acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD). The prognostic value of NT-proBNP in patients hospitalized with AECOPD is sparsely studied. Our objective was to test the hypothesis that NT-proBNP independently predicts long term mortality following AECOPD.

Methods

A prospective cohort study of 99 patients with 217 admissions with AECOPD. Clinical, electrocardiographic, radiological and biochemical data were collected at index and repeat admissions and analyzed in an extended survival analysis with time-dependent covariables.

Results

Median follow-up time was 1.9 years, and 57 patients died during follow-up. NT-proBNP tertile limits were 264.4 and 909 pg/mL, and NT-proBNP in tertiles 1 through 3 was associated with mortality rates of 8.6, 35 and 62 per 100 patient-years, respectively (age-adjusted log-rank p<0.0001). After adjustment for age, gender, peripheral edema, cephalization and cTnT in a multivariable survival model, the corresponding hazard ratios for dying were 2.4 (0.95-6.0) and 3.2 (1.3-8.1) (with 95% confidence intervals in parentheses, p-value for trend 0.013).

Conclusions

NT-proBNP is a strong and independent determinant of mortality after AECOPD.     

Cancer mortality 1981–2016 and contribution of specific cancers to current socioeconomic inequalities in all cancer mortality: A population-based study

BackgroundIn many high-income countries cancer mortality rates have declined, however, socioeconomic inequalities in cancer mortality have widened over time with those in the most deprived areas bearing the greatest burden. Less is known about the contribution of specific cancers to inequalities in total cancer mortality.MethodsUsing high-quality routinely collected population and mortality records we examine long-term trends in cancer mortality rates in Scotland by age group, sex, and area deprivation. We use the decomposed slope and relative indices of inequality to identify the specific cancers that contribute most to absolute and relative inequalities, respectively, in total cancer mortality.ResultsCancer mortality rates fell by 24 % for males and 10 % for females over the last 35 years; declining across all age groups except females aged 75+ where rates rose by 14 %. Lung cancer remains the most common cause of cancer death. Mortality rates of lung cancer have more than halved for males since 1981, while rates among females have almost doubled over the same period.ConclusionCurrent relative inequalities in total cancer mortality are dominated by inequalities in lung cancer mortality, but with contributions from other cancer sites including liver, and head and neck (males); and breast (females), stomach and cervical (younger females). An understanding of which cancer sites contribute most to inequalities in total cancer mortality is crucial for improving cancer health and care, and for reducing preventable cancer deaths.     

Mortality in small bowel cancers and adenomas – A nationwide,population-based matched cohort study

BackgroundSmall bowel adenocarcinoma (SBA), neuroendocrine tumors (NET) and gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST) are neoplastic lesions of the small bowel while small bowel adenomas are precursors of SBA.AimTo examine mortality in patients diagnosed with SBA, small bowel adenomas, NET and GIST.MethodsWe performed a population-based matched cohort study encompassing all individuals with SBA (n = 2289), adenomas (n = 3700), NET (n = 1884) and GIST (n = 509) in the small bowel diagnosed at any of Sweden’s 28 pathology departments between 2000 and 2016 (the “ESPRESSO study”). Each case was matched by sex, age, calendar year and county of residence to up to 5 comparators from the general population. Through Cox regression we estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) for death and cause-specific death adjusting for education.ResultsDuring follow-up until December 31, 2017, 1836 (80%) deaths occurred in SBA patients, 1615 (44%) in adenoma, 866 (46%) in NET and 162 (32%) in GIST patients. This corresponded to incidence rates of 295, 74, 80 and 62/1000 person-years respectively and adjusted HRs of 7.60 (95%CI=6.95–8.31), 2.21 (2.07–2.36), 2.74 (2.50–3.01) and 2.33 (1.90–2.87). Adjustment for education had a substantial impact on the HR for death in SBA but not for other neoplasias. The predominant cause of excess death was cancer in all groups.ConclusionThis study confirms earlier findings of increased death rates in patients with SBA and NET in a modern study population. We also demonstrate a more than 2-fold increased risk of death in both GIST and the SBA precursor adenoma.     

Stability and resilience of the intestinal microbiota in children in daycare – a 12 month cohort study

Background

We performed a 12-month cohort study of the stability and resilience of the intestinal microbiota of healthy children in daycare in Denmark in relation to diarrheal events and exposure to known risk factors for gastrointestinal health such as travelling and antibiotic use. In addition, we analyzed how gut microbiota recover from such exposures.

Results

We monitored 32 children in daycare aged 1–6?years. Fecal samples were submitted every second month during a one-year observational period. Information regarding exposures and diarrheal episodes was obtained through questionnaires. Bacterial communities were identified using 16S rRNA gene sequencing. The core microbiota (mean abundance >?95%) dominated the intestinal microbiota, and none of the tested exposures (diarrheal events, travel, antibiotic use) were associated with decreases in the relative abundance of the core microbiota. Samples exhibited lower intra-individual variation than inter-individual variation. Half of all the variation between samples was explained by which child a sample originated from. Age explained 7.6–9.6% of the variation, while traveling, diarrheal events, and antibiotic use explained minor parts of the beta diversity. We found an age-dependent increase of alpha diversity in children aged 1–3?years, and while diarrheal events caused a decrease in alpha diversity, a recovery time of 40–45?days was observed.Among children having had a diarrheal event, we observed a 10x higher relative abundance of Prevotella. After travelling, a higher abundance of two Bacteroides species and 40% less Lachnospiraceae were seen. Antibiotic use did not correlate with changes in the abundance of any bacteria.

Conclusion

We present data showing that Danish children in daycare have stable intestinal microbiota, resilient to the exposures investigated. An early age-dependent increase in the diversity was demonstrated. Diarrheal episodes decreased alpha diversity with an estimated recovery time of 40–45?days.

     

Low use of surveillance and early diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma in Norway—A population-based cohort study

Background and aimsCurative treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is dependent on early diagnosis. Surveillance of patients at high risk for HCC is a key determinant to achieve this goal, but may be an underutilized tool. The aim of this study was to determine the rate of pre-diagnosis surveillance in patients with HCC in a large population-based cohort and to assess to what extent cirrhosis was known prior to the diagnosis of HCC.MethodsAll patients diagnosed with HCC during 2000–2009 in The South-Eastern Regional Health Authority, representing 56% of the Norwegian population, were identified from The National Cancer Registry and the medical records were reviewed.ResultsFifteen out of 486 patients (3%) were diagnosed by surveillance. Potential curative treatment was offered to 58% of the patients who underwent surveillance as opposed to 15% in the non-surveillance group. Only age ≤65 years was an independent predictor of screening in a multivariate model. Almost two thirds of the patients with cirrhosis were unrecognized prior to the HCC diagnosis. Two hundred and fourteen patients (44%) were non-cirrhotics.ConclusionRegular HCC surveillance in at-risk populations is virtually not applied in Norway and this may contribute to inferior overall survival. Failure to recognize cirrhosis and a high rate of HCC in non-cirrhotic patients will be limiting factors for the overall effectiveness of a potential surveillance program.     

LTBP-2 acts as a novel marker in human heart failure – a preliminary study

Background: We have observed increased expression of latent TGF-β binding protein (LTBP)-2 mRNA in human failing hearts. This study was aimed to further confirm LTBP-2 act as a novel marker in human acute heart failure.

Methods and results: We demonstrated that median level of LTBP-2 in myocardial samples from heart failure patients was significantly elevated, and TGF-β1 significantly promoted LTBP-2 expression in neonatal rat cardiomyocytes. To investigate the potential of LTBP-2 as a biomarker to diagnose heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFREF), another cohort of 133 consecutive patients with dyspnea were enrolled. In receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses to detect HFREF, LTBP-2 achieved an area under curve (AUC) of 0.67 (95% confidence intervals (CI) 0.58–0.75), comparable to the diagnostic ability of NT-proBNP 0.68 (95% CI 0.59–0.77).

Conclusion: The serum LTBP-2 levels might act as a promising biomarker in HFREF.     

Trace element imbalances in patients undergoing chronic hemodialysis therapy – Report of an observational study in a cohort of Portuguese patients

IntroductionPatients with end-stage renal disease undergoing hemodialysis therapy are at risk of developing deficiencies of essential trace elements and/or overload of toxic trace elements, both of which may significantly affect their clinical status of. Those imbalances may result from the disease itself but also from the quality of the therapeutic process, namely the hemodialysis process, which has greatly evolved in the last decades. Thus, old observations that have been assumed as very well-proven have been recently questioned. In this case-control study we evaluate the current trace elements status in a group of Portuguese patients under hemodialysis therapy.Material and methodsSerum samples from patients (n = 93), collected for the routine periodic control of Al levels, were analyzed for a wide panel of trace elements (Li, Al, Mn, Co, Ni, Cu, Zn, Se, Rb, Sr, Mo, Cd, Ba, Pb) using inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry technique (hemodialysis patients’ group). For comparison purposes, samples of individuals with no evidence of renal disease according to standard laboratory analytical criteria (n = 50) were also analyzed (control group).ResultsThe results showed significant differences between the two groups, with higher values in hemodialysis patients group for Al (14.6 vs. 9.5 μg/L), Co, Ni, Sr, Mo (4.5 vs. 1.4 μg/L), Cd (0.058 vs. 0.025 μg/L) and Pb (0.55 vs. 0.30 μg/L); and lower values in hemodialysis patients group for Li (4.0 vs. 75.8 μg/L), Mn, Cu (943.5 vs. 1038.5 μg/L), Zn (943.5 vs. 1038.5 μg/L), Se (71.5 vs. 103.8 μg/L), Rb (202.4 vs. 300.3 μg/L) and Ba (0.65 vs. 8.7 μg/L).ConclusionThis study confirms that hemodialysis patients tend to present significant trace elements imbalances, which may be related to the higher morbidity and mortality observed in this specific patients’ group.     

Does an increase in body mass index over 10 years affect knee structure in a population-based cohort study of adult women?

Introduction  

Although obesity is a modifiable risk factor for knee osteoarthritis (OA), the effect of weight gain on knee structure in young and healthy adults has not been examined. The aim of this study was to examine the relationship between body mass index (BMI), and change in BMI over the preceding 10-year period, and knee structure (cartilage defects, cartilage volume and bone marrow lesions (BMLs)) in a population-based sample of young to middle-aged females.     

Survival of breast cancer patients in German-Danish border regions – A registry-based cohort study

Background and AimDenmark reports slightly lower breast cancer survival before 2010 than its neighbouring country Germany. Previous research is limited by lacking stage and treatment information. This study aims to investigate differences in breast cancer survival between the bordering regions Schleswig-Holstein (Germany), Southern Denmark and Zealand (Denmark) using registry data including stage and treatment information.MethodInvasive female breast cancer cases diagnosed during 2004−2013 with follow up through 31st December 2014 were extracted from cancer registries. Cases notified by death certificates only and those aged 90+ years were excluded. Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests were computed. Cox regression analysis was conducted with adjustment for year of diagnosis, age, stage, and treatment.ResultsThe analytical sample included 42,966 cases. Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests show significant survival differences between the regions. The Cox regression model adjusted for year of diagnosis and age shows significantly worse overall survival of breast cancer patients in both Danish regions compared to Schleswig-Holstein with hazard ratios (HR) of 1.09 (95 % CI: 1.04; 1.15) for patients from Southern Denmark (SD) and 1.25 (95 % CI: 1.18; 1.32) for residents of Zealand (ZL). This effect diminished after adjustment for stage and treatment (HR: 1.05 (SD), 1.09 (ZL) 95 % CI: 0.99; 1.10 (SD), 1.03; 1.15 (ZL)).ConclusionSurvival differences can be explained by differing stage distribution and treatment administration, which formerly were more favourable in Schleswig-Holstein. The survival gap will probably close due to Denmark’s national screening program and increased use of adjuvant cancer therapy.     

Genotypes with the apolipoprotein ε4 allele are predictors of coronary heart disease mortality in a longitudinal study of elderly Finnish men

Earlier we reported that allelic variation in the gene coding for apolipoprotein (apoE) is a significant predictor of variation in the risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) death in a longitudinal study of elderly Finnish men. Here we address the question: which of the apoE genotypes confers the risk information in these men, and whether such information persists after other CHD risk factors are considered? We followed two cohorts of elderly Finnish men aged 65 to 84 years, one in Eastern (n = 281) and the other in the Southwestern (n = 344) Finland for 5 years during which 26 (9.3%) of the men from the Eastern cohort and 40 (11.6%) of the men in the Southwestern cohort died from CHD. Baseline high density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol and (HDL cholesterol)² in the Eastern cohort and age, and total and HDL cholesterol and smoking status in the Southwestern cohort were significant predictors of CHD death (P < 0.05). The apoE genotypes were significant predictors in the Southwestern cohort atP = 0.02 and in the Eastern cohort atP = 0.18. In multivariable models, information about apoE genotypes improved the prediction atP = 0.10 level of statistical significance in both cohorts. When genotypes were considered separately, the ε2/4 combined with the ε4/4 in the Eastern cohort (odds ratio = 7.69, 95% CI = 1.67-35.52) and the ε3/4 in the Southwestern cohort (odds ratio = 2.44, 95% CI = 1.16–5.10) had sigificanctly greater odds of CHD death compared to the common ε3/3 genotype. We conclude that apoE genotypes confer risk information about CHD death in two cohorts of elderly Finnish men in a longitudinal study, and this information persists after adjustment for other CHD risk factors. Because different genotypes were predictors in these two cohorts, we further conclude that the utility of a particular genotype as a predictor of CHD death in other populations may depend on the distribution of risk factor profiles at baseline, geographically defined environmental exposures, the CHD mortality history, and the evolutionary history of background genotypes in the population considered.     

History of gonorrhea and prostate cancer in a population-based case–control study in Mexico

We evaluated the association between a history of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) and the risk for prostate cancer (PC) among Mexican males.MethodsPC incident cases (n = 402) that were identified at six public hospitals in Mexico City were matched by age (±5 years) with 805 population controls with no history of PC. By face-to-face interview, we obtained information about sexual history, previous STDs, sociodemographic characteristics, and familial history of PC. An unconditional logistic regression model was used to estimate the risk for PC.ResultsA total of 16.6% of men reported having had at least one previous STD, and the most frequently reported STD was gonorrhea (10.5%). After adjusting by PC familial history, the history of STD was associated with a two-fold greater risk of PC: odds ratio (OR) = 2.67; 95% confidence interval (95% CI = 1.91–3.73). When each STD was evaluated separately, only gonorrhea was associated with a significant increase in PC risk (OR = 3.04; 95% CI = 1.99–4.64). These associations were similar when we stratified by low-risk PC (Gleason <7) and high-risk PC (Gleason ≥7).ConclusionThese results confirm that STDs, and particularly gonorrhea, may play an etiological role in PC among Mexican males, which is consistent with a previous report from a multiethnic cohort.     

Does the number of sons born affect long-term mortality of parents? A cohort study in rural Bangladesh

It has been suggested that bearing sons increases long-term mortality in women, because sons may be more physiologically demanding to produce than daughters. In this historical cohort study in rural Bangladesh, no association between the number of sons born and mortality was seen in women in the unadjusted analyses. However, a significant reduction in mortality with the number of surviving sons was seen. In addition, after adjusting for the number of surviving sons, there was evidence of increasing mortality with the number of sons born, in women. In men, mortality also depended strongly on the number of surviving sons, but not on the number born. These data provide support for negative long-term costs of bearing sons in mothers in rural Bangladesh, and suggest that there are context-specific factors that mask the true effects of sons in some populations.     

Cancer incidence in the AGRICAN cohort study (2005–2011)

BackgroundNumerous studies have been conducted among farmers, but very few of them have involved large prospective cohorts, and few have included a significant proportion of women and farm workers. Our aim was to compare cancer incidence in the cohort (overall, by sex, and by work on farm, occupational status and pesticide use) within the general population.MethodsMore than 180,000 participants in the AGRICAN cohort were matched to cancer registries to identify cancer cases diagnosed from enrolment (2005–2007) to 31st December 2011. We calculated standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs).ResultsOver the period, 11,067 incident cancer cases were identified (7304 men and 3763 women). Overall cancer incidence did not differ between the cohort and the general population. Moreover, SIRs were significantly higher for prostate cancer (SIR = 1.07, 95%CI 1.03–1.11) and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (SIR = 1.09, 95%CI 1.01–1.18) among men, skin melanoma among women (SIR = 1.23, 95%CI 1.05–1.43) and multiple myeloma (men: SIR = 1.38, 95%CI 1.18–1.62; women: SIR = 1.26, 95%CI 1.02–1.54). In contrast, SIRs were lower for upper aerodigestive tract and respiratory cancers. Increase in risk was greater in male farm workers for prostate and lip cancer, in female farm workers for skin melanoma, and in male farm owners for multiple myeloma. Moreover, incidence of multiple myeloma and skin melanoma was higher among male and female pesticide users respectively.ConclusionWe found a decreased incidence for tobacco-related cancers and an increased incidence of prostate cancers, skin melanoma and multiple myeloma. Specific subgroups had a higher cancer incidence related to occupational status and pesticide use.     

Outcome predictors of intra-articular glucocorticoid treatment for knee synovitis in patients with rheumatoid arthritis – a prospective cohort study

Introduction

Intra-articular glucocorticoid treatment (IAGC) is widely used for symptom relief in arthritis. However, knowledge of factors predicting treatment outcome is limited. The aim of the present study was to identify response predictors of IAGC for knee synovitis in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA).

Methods

In this study 121 RA patients with synovitis of the knee were treated with intra-articular injections of 20 mg triamcinolone hexacetonide. They were followed for six months and the rate of clinical relapse was studied. Non-responders (relapse within 6 months) and responders were compared regarding patient characteristics and knee joint damage as determined by the Larsen-Dale index. In addition, matched samples of serum and synovial fluid were analysed for factors reflecting the inflammatory process (C-reactive protein, interleukin 6, tumour necrosis factor alpha, vascular endothelial growth factor), joint tissue turnover (cartilage oligomeric matrix protein, metalloproteinase 3), and autoimmunity (antinuclear antibodies, antibodies against citrullinated peptides, rheumatoid factor).

Results

During the observation period, 48 knees relapsed (40%). Non-responders had more radiographic joint damage than responders (P = 0.002) and the pre-treatment vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) level in synovial fluid was significantly higher in non-responders (P = 0.002).

Conclusions

Joint destruction is associated with poor outcome of IAGC for knee synovitis in RA. In addition, higher levels of VEGF in synovial fluid are found in non-responders, suggesting that locally produced VEGF is a biomarker for recurrence of synovial hyperplasia and the risk for arthritis relapse.     

The burden of malaria in Sudan: incidence, mortality and disability – adjusted life – years

Background

The goal of Roll Back Malaria (RBM) is to reduce malaria morbidity and mortality by 50% by the year 2010, and still further thereafter until the disease becomes no more a threat to public health. To contribute to the monitoring and evaluation process of this goal, two surveys were carried out in 2000 and 2003 in households and health facilities in the Kassena-Nankana district, northern Ghana using the RBM-WHO/AFRO monitoring and evaluation tools for malaria control activities.

Methods

Data were collected from mothers/caretakers on signs/symptoms of the most recent malaria attack for their under five year old children; the management actions that they took and their perception of health services provided at the health facilities, bednet use, antenatal attendance and place of delivery for the most recent pregnancy, malaria prophylaxis during their last pregnancy. Community health workers and herbalist/traditional healers were also interviewed about the types of health services they provide to community members.

Results

The results revealed a significant improvement in knowledge among mothers/caretakers over the three-year period; this affected caretakers' initial management of illnesses of their young children. The management in terms of the type and dosage of drugs used also improved significantly (p < 0.0001) over the period. Reported insecticide-treated bed net use among children under-five years and pregnant women significantly increased between 2000 and 2003 (p < 0.0001). Health professionals had improved on adoption of their quality of care roles. The intensification of malaria control activities and awareness creation in this district over a three year period had started demonstrating positive results towards reducing malaria disease burden.

Conclusion

Periodic performance assessments through surveys as described and prompt feedback of results to stakeholders in the locality serves as a catalyst to improving malaria control in malaria-endemic countries.     

Cancer survival in the northwestern of São Paulo State,Brazil: A population-based study

BackgroundPopulation-based cancer registry (PBCR) data provide crucial information for evaluating the effectiveness of cancer services and reflect prospects for cure by estimating population-based cancer survival. This study provides long-term trends in survival among patients diagnosed with cancer in the Barretos region (São Paulo State, Brazil).MethodsIn this population-based study, we estimated the one- and five-year age-standardized net survival rates of 13,246 patients diagnosed with 24 different cancer types in Barretos region between 2000 and 2018. The results were presented by sex, time since diagnosis, disease stage, and period of diagnosis.ResultsMarked differences in the one- and five-year age-standardized net survival rates were observed across the cancer sites. Pancreatic cancer had the lowest 5-year net survival (5.5 %, 95 %CI: 2.9–9.4) followed by oesophageal cancer (5.6 %, 95 %CI: 3.0–9.4), while prostate cancer ranked the best (92.1 %, 95 %CI: 87.8–94.9), followed by thyroid cancer (87.4 %, 95 %CI: 69.9–95.1) and female breast cancer (78.3 %, 95 %CI: 74.5–81.6). The survival rates differed substantially according to sex and clinical stage. Comparing the first (2000–2005) and last (2012–2018) periods, cancer survival improved, especially for thyroid, leukemia, and pharyngeal cancers, with differences of 34.4 %, 29.0 %, and 28.7 %, respectively.ConclusionTo our knowledge, this is the first study to evaluate long-term cancer survival in the Barretos region, showing an overall improvement over the last two decades. Survival varied by site, indicating the need for multiple cancer control actions in the future with a lower burden of cancer.     

The predictive value of sonographic images of follicular lesions – a comparison with nodules unequivocal in FNA – single centre prospective study

Background

To determine the diagnostic efficacy of ultrasonographic malignancy risk features (UMRFs) in follicular lesions (FL) in a population with low risk of malignancy in FL and to compare it with a similar analysis in a group of patients with unequivocal cytology (UC): benign lesion (BL) or malignant neoplasm (MN).

Methods

Presence of UMRFs (hypoechogenicity, solid echostructure, taller-than-wide shape, pathological vascularization, irregular margins, microcalcifications and macrocalcifications) and their sets were assessed in 322 FL: 202 follicular lesions of undetermined significance (FLUS) and 120 suspicious for follicular neoplasm (SFN) and 300 nodules with UC: 200 BL and 100 MN, subsequently evaluated histopathologically.

Results

Cancers were confirmed in 100% nodules in MN group (89.0% of them were papillary carcinomas - PTC), in 6.4% FLUS nodules (69.2% PTC), and in 10.8% SFN nodules (30.8% PTC). In the UC group all UMRFs occurred more frequently in cancers than in benign lesions. In the FL group only calcifications were found in cancers more frequently – macro and microcalcifications together: 34.6 vs. 11.5% (p?=?0.001) and isolated macrocalcifications: 26.0 vs. 6.8% (p?=?0.001); the presence of those features increased the basic risk of malignancy in FL more than 2 times. The presence of at least 2 of the following URMFs: hypoechogenicity, solid echostructure, any type of calcifications and suspected shape, additionally improved sensitivity.

Conclusions

Evaluation of UMRFs in FLs is less effective than in nodules with UC, and its effectiveness decreases parallel to the decrease in percentage of PTCs among malignant neoplasms and to the increase of the percentage of adenomas among benign nodules. The presence of macrocalcifications in such FLs significantly increases the basic risk of malignancy in these nodules.

     

Risk of febrile seizures after first dose of measles–mumps–rubella–varicella vaccine: a population-based cohort study

Background:

The combination measles–mumps–rubella–varicella (MMRV) vaccine currently used in Canada (Priorix-Tetra) may increase the risk of febrile seizures relative to the separate vaccines (MMR and varicella) previously administered. We determined the risk of febrile seizure after the first dose of MMRV, as well as any additional risk for children at high risk for seizures because of pre-existing medical conditions.

Methods:

In this retrospective, population-based cohort study, we compared the risk of seizures after the first dose of MMRV with the risk after same-day administration of separate MMR and varicella vaccines (MMR+V) in children 12 to 23 months of age in the province of Alberta. We deterministically linked vaccination data to health service utilization data for seizures. We used Poisson regression, with adjustment for age and calendar year, to determine the risk for the full cohort and for high-risk children.

Results:

The risk of seizures 7 to 10 days after vaccination was twice as high with MMRV as with MMR+V (relative risk [RR] 1.99, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.30–3.05). The excess absolute risk of seizures was 3.52 seizures per 10 000 doses of MMRV relative to MMR+V. In high-risk children, the risk was not differentially higher for MMRV (RR 1.30, 95% CI 0.60–2.79).

Interpretation:

Despite an increased risk of febrile seizures following MMRV (compared with MMR+V), the absolute level of risk was small. Policy-makers need to balance these findings with the potential benefits of administering the combination vaccine or determine whether the choice of vaccine rests with clinicians and/or parents.Combination measles–mumps–rubella–varicella (MMRV) vaccines were developed as an alternative to separate MMR and varicella (chickenpox) vaccines. Two such vaccines, with different formulations, are available in North America. ProQuad (Merck) is used in the United States, whereas Priorix-Tetra (GlaxoSmithKline) is the formulation currently used in Canada. Priorix-Tetra is also used in Australia, Italy and Germany, and it has market authorization in most member states of the European Union.¹ Postlicensure vaccine safety studies of ProQuad have identified an increased risk of febrile seizures in children 12–23 months old after the first dose² but not after the subsequent preschool dose.³Priorix-Tetra was approved for use in Canada in July 2007.⁴ Currently, 9 of 13 Canadian provinces and territories administer this vaccine as part of their routine childhood immunization schedule. The province of Alberta started administering the vaccine in September 2010, to replace the first dose of MMR and varicella vaccines due at 12 months of age.⁵Prelicensure clinical trials of Priorix-Tetra indicated that it had a similar safety profile to co-administration of the separate vaccines, except for a higher incidence of fever.^4,6 Determination of the less common risk of febrile seizures requires postlicensure monitoring in a large population and is an identified research priority of the Canadian National Advisory Committee on Immunization.⁴ Only 1 previous study, conducted in Germany, has assessed febrile seizure risk after Priorix-Tetra,⁷ considering only cases treated in hospital. It is also a priority to determine if the risk is amplified among children with pre-existing medical conditions that may predispose them to seizures.⁸Our objective was to determine the risk of febrile seizures after the first dose of the combination MMRV vaccine (Priorix-Tetra) administered to children in Alberta, relative to same-day administration of separate MMR and varicella (MMR+V) vaccines. A secondary objective was to determine if children considered to be at “high risk” for seizures were at increased risk for febrile seizures following administration of the combination vaccine.     

Cancer mortality in Itapúa—A rural province of Paraguay 2003–2012

BackgroundItapúa is a rural department in Paraguay with a population of about 500,000 and a high degree of agro-mechanization for the production of soybean and other crops. So far, only basic health care is provided. Here we analyzed the cancer mortality in this region as a first step towards epidemiological data for cancer prevention.MethodsWe calculated the age-adjusted mortality rates according to world standard (AMRWs) for the major cancer sites in both males and females between 2003 and 2012, and estimated the differences between the capital and more central districts of Itapúa vs. remote districts.ResultsThere were about 2000 cancer deaths in the decade studied, with AMRWs for all malignancies of 90.9/100,000 in males from central vs. 49.1/100,000 in remote districts and 69.0/100,000 vs. 45.0/100,000 in women. Cancer was mentioned in 12.4% of all death certificates and outweighed mortality from certain infectious and parasitic diseases (3.6%). Cause of death was ill-defined in 19.6% of all death certificates, especially in remote regions and among the elderly. The part of cancer located in the uterus (47.8%) or cell type of neoplasm of the lymphatic or hematopoietic system (73.1%) were often not specified. The uterus (mainly the cervix) (C53–C55) was the leading cancer site in women with AMRWs of 17.2/100,000 in central and 14.0/100,000 in remote districts, followed by the breast. Lung and prostate were the leading cancer sites among men. The lung cancer mortality rate was 19.3/100,000 in the central region but 9.5/100,000 in remote districts. Although children comprised 36% of the population, only 24 death certificates listed cancer as cause of death in this decade.ConclusionsAnalysis of cancer mortality in this rural region of Paraguay, which lacks resources for diagnostics and care, revealed an already large number of cases, with higher rates in the central region than in remote districts. Lung and uterus (primarily the cervix) are common cancer sites and indicate the potential for prevention. However, the quality of the vital statistics needs to be improved. The true cancer burden is most likely underestimated, especially in remote regions and children.