Variation in moisture duration as a driver of coexistence by the storage effect in desert annual plants

Temporal environmental variation is a leading hypothesis for the coexistence of desert annual plants. Environmental variation is hypothesized to cause species-specific patterns of variation in germination, which then generates the storage effect coexistence mechanism. However, it has never been shown how sufficient species differences in germination patterns for multispecies coexistence can arise from a shared fluctuating environment. Here we show that nonlinear germination responses to a single fluctuating physical environmental factor can lead to sufficient differences between species in germination pattern for the storage effect to yield coexistence of multiple species. We derive these nonlinear germination responses from experimental data on the effects of varying soil moisture duration. Although these nonlinearities lead to strong species asymmetries in germination patterns, the relative nonlinearity coexistence mechanism is minor compared with the storage effect. However, these asymmetries mean that the storage effect can be negative for some species, which then only persist in the face of interspecific competition through average fitness advantages. This work shows how a low dimensional physical environment can nevertheless stabilize multispecies coexistence when the species have different nonlinear responses to common conditions, as supported by our experimental data.     

The relationship between species richness and ecosystem variability is shaped by the mechanism of coexistence

Theory relating species richness to ecosystem variability typically ignores the potential for environmental variability to promote species coexistence. Failure to account for fluctuation‐dependent coexistence may explain deviations from the expected negative diversity–ecosystem variability relationship, and limits our ability to predict the consequences of increases in environmental variability. We use a consumer‐resource model to explore how coexistence via the temporal storage effect and relative nonlinearity affects ecosystem variability. We show that a positive, rather than negative, diversity–ecosystem variability relationship is possible when ecosystem function is sampled across a natural gradient in environmental variability and diversity. We also show how fluctuation‐dependent coexistence can buffer ecosystem functioning against increasing environmental variability by promoting species richness and portfolio effects. Our work provides a general explanation for variation in observed diversity–ecosystem variability relationships and highlights the importance of conserving regional species pools to help buffer ecosystems against predicted increases in environmental variability.     

Variability in resource consumption rates and the coexistence of competing species

A model which incorporates random temporal variation in resource consumption rates is used to investigate the effects that such variation has on the coexistence of competitors. The analysis of the model and several extensions of it suggests that such variation in consumption rates will often allow two or more competitors to coexist while limited by the same resource. For variability to promote coexistence, it is necessary that the time scale of resource population dynamics be fast relative to the time scale of environmental change. Variability is especially likely to promote coexistence if there is a large variance in consumption rates, negative correlation between the consumption rates of different species, and a linear or concave relationship between resource consumption and per capita population growth. Many previous studies which have found coexistence of two or more species on one resource can be interpreted as examples of coexistence due to varying resource consumption rates.     

Diversity and Coexistence of Sonoran Desert Winter Annuals

Abstract Annual plants make up ca. 50% of local floras in the Sonoran Desert. As with most plant communities, there is no shortage of potential coexistence generating mechanisms, and several mechanisms are likely contributors to coexistence at different spatial scales in the Sonoran Desert, e.g. spatial heterogeneity and the behaviors of predators and grazers. We explore one mechanism of likely importance for desert annuals: temporal environmental variation. It is widely recognized that coexistence is promoted by temporal variation if species such as desert annuals have "temporal niches" in the sense that each has years in which it out-performs the others. It is usually suggested that some resistent life-history stage, such as a seed bank, is also necessary to buffer each species from the negative population dynamic impact of unfavorable years. Using ten years of demographic data, we document the large year-to-year variation in population dynamics of desert annuals and show that ten species respond differently to temporal variation. Competition experiments document reversals in competitive superiority. Also, all species have a between-year seed bank, such that only a proportion of the seed bank germinates in any given year. Thus this system meets our intuitive requirements for variance-based coexistence. Dynamic models of this system demonstrate that subtle aspects of the species biology determine whether coexistence criteria are actually met. Specifically, variable germination fractions are required and coexistence is most readily favored with "predictive" germination. Germination fractions in this system do vary among years in a species specific fashion. Also, for the three years of available data, germination was predictive, in that each species had greater germination fractions in year of greater demographic success. Thus all of the population dynamic elements necessary for temporal variance mediated coexistence seem to be present in this system.     

Community robustness and limiting similarity in periodic environments

Temporal environmental variation has long been considered as one of the potential factors that could promote species coexistence. A question of particular interest is how the ecology of fluctuating environments relates to that of equilibrium systems. Equilibrium theory says that the more similar two species are in their modes of regulation, the less robust their coexistence will be; that is, the volume of external parameters for which all populations persist shrinks with increasing similarity. In this study, we will attempt to generalize these results to temporally varying situations and establish the precise mathematical relationship between the two. Our treatment considers unstructured populations in continuous time with periodic attractors of fixed period length, where the periodic behavior is due to external forcing. Within these conditions, our treatment is general. We provide a coherent theoretical framework for defining measures of species similarity and niche. Our main conclusion is that all factors that function to regulate population growth may be considered as separate regulating factors for each moment of time. In particular, a single resource becomes a resource continuum, along which species may segregate in the same manner as along classical resource continua. Therefore, we provide a mathematical underpinning for considering fluctuation-mediated coexistence as temporal niche segregation.     

Exotic species display greater germination plasticity and higher germination rates than native species across multiple cues

Rapid germination or flexible germination cues may be key traits that facilitate the invasion of exotic plant species in new environments. We investigated whether robustness or plasticity in response to environmental cues were more commonly exhibited by exotic than native species during germination, evidenced by (1) exhibiting consistently greater germination rate under a variety of conditions (robustness), or (2) increasing germination rate more strongly than native species in response to favorable conditions (plasticity). We conducted growth chamber germination trials of 12 native and 12 exotic species common to coastal sage scrub, a shrub-dominated Mediterranean-type ecosystem in California. Time to germination and percentage germination were recorded in response to variation in three environmental cues: temperature, day length, and soil moisture. Exotic species, especially annuals, displayed consistently higher germination percentages and more rapid germination than native species. Exotic germination percentages also responded more strongly when conditions were favorable (warm temperatures and high soil moisture), and germinated earlier than natives when conditions were indicative of typical growing season conditions in Mediterranean ecosystems (short day length and cool temperatures). Exotic species had more rapid and prolific germination across a variety of environmental cues and in response to increased resource availability compared with native species, indicating both germination plasticity and robustness. These traits may enable colonization of novel environments, particularly if they allow exotic species to establish earlier in the growing season than native species, setting the stage for seasonal priority effects.     

The effect of intraspecific variation and heritability on community pattern and robustness

Intraspecific trait variation is widespread in nature, yet its effects on community dynamics are not well understood. Here we explore the consequences of intraspecific trait variation for coexistence in two‐ and multispecies competitive communities. For two species, the likelihood of coexistence is in general reduced by intraspecific variation, except when the species have almost equal trait means but different trait variances, such that one is a generalist and the other a specialist consumer. In multispecies communities, the only strong effect of non‐heritable intraspecific variation is to reduce expected species richness. However, when intraspecific variation is heritable, allowing for the possibility of trait evolution, communities are much more resilient against environmental disturbance and exhibit far more predictable trait patterns. Our results are robust to varying model parameters and relaxing model assumptions.     

Individual phenotypic variation reduces interaction strengths in a consumer–resource system

Natural populations often show variation in traits that can affect the strength of interspecific interactions. Interaction strengths in turn influence the fate of pairwise interacting populations and the stability of food webs. Understanding the mechanisms relating individual phenotypic variation to interaction strengths is thus central to assess how trait variation affects population and community dynamics. We incorporated nonheritable variation in attack rates and handling times into a classical consumer–resource model to investigate how variation may alter interaction strengths, population dynamics, species persistence, and invasiveness. We found that individual variation influences species persistence through its effect on interaction strengths. In many scenarios, interaction strengths decrease with variation, which in turn affects species coexistence and stability. Because environmental change alters the direction and strength of selection acting upon phenotypic traits, our results have implications for species coexistence in a context of habitat fragmentation, climate change, and the arrival of exotic species to native ecosystems.     

When does environmental variation most influence species coexistence?

The ability of environmental variation to affect species coexistence is much studied, yet environmental variation is not always important. I present an approximate calculation for the long-run growth rate of a species in the presence of spatially and temporally correlated environmental variation. I then perform a factorial numerical experiment, varying the mean seed dispersal distances, competition radii, and overwinter seed survival probabilities for two competing species for an array of variational regimes, noting the effects on their long-run growth rates. I find, first, that purely spatial variation has a greater capacity for influence than variation with a temporal component. Second, spatiotemporal variation can promote coexistence as strongly as purely temporal variation or more so, given the right species traits. Third, if the environmental variation has a spatial component, traits which enable species to become spatially segregated promote coexistence most strongly. That is, it is the possibility of spatial segregation which gives spatial variation its large potential to promote coexistence.

Germination ecology of six shrubs in fire-prone Cape fynbos

To explain the recruitment and coexistence of species which establish after fire, this study predicted that each species would have different germination cues as a component of different regeneration niches. Furthermore, for species subject to natural fire frequencies of 10–20 years, fire-related cues, seed dormancy, extended longevity and fire-related germination cues might be predicted. However, results indicated broadly similar germination requirements. Seeds subjected to two heat treatments and a charcoal extract failed to show significantly enhanced germination. Instead, highest germination successes were achieved under alternating diurnal temperatures which implied an indirect fire cue, viz. the removal of insulating vegetation. Leachate solution inhibited germination in two species suggesting allelopathic effects during inter-fire periods. Only two species showed dormancy and three species did not have extended longevity but showed declining germinability after three years. Finally, in order to determine the potential germination from a soil-stored seed bank, data analysis simulated a seed bank comprising three years' accumulation of seeds. In each species the proportion of germinable seeds varied each year over the three years. Also, the germinability in response to ageing varied for each year's seed production. This would explain the variation in densities of the six species after different fire events, and hence offers a better explanation for species' coexistence.     

Effects of changes in the timing and duration of the wet season on the germination of the soil seed bank of a seeder-dominated Mediterranean shrubland

In seasonal climates, rainfall patterns are highly variable across years, and can control seed bank dependent regeneration. Here we asked how changing the timing and duration of the wet season would affect the germination of the soil seed bank of a 14-year-old seeder-dominated shrubland. Soil samples, subjected or not to a heat shock, simulating fire, were set to germinate in a chamber whose conditions (temperature and photoperiod) were successively changed to simulate autumn, winter, and spring. Irrigation was implemented to produce three wet season treatments, varying its timing and duration: long (14?weeks of irrigation, during autumn, winter, and spring), medium (8?weeks, late autumn to early spring) and short (4?weeks in winter). Wet season treatments significantly affected germination of shrubs and herbs, as well as species richness and diversity, whereby the later and shorter the season, the lower these variables. Dicots were more sensitive to the treatments than monocots. The timing of the wet season was also important, as similar significant differences were found when only the first 4 weeks of each simulated wet season treatment were considered; the later the season, the lower the germination and richness. Heating the soil generally increased germination but few significant effects were found. We document that a change in the timing and/or duration of the wet season can significantly affect soil seed bank germination. We discuss these results in a context of shifting rainfall patterns under climate change.     

Cross-fostering reveals seasonal changes in the relative fitness of two competing species of flycatchers

Spatial and temporal heterogeneity in relative fitness of competing species is a key factor affecting the structure of communities. However, it is not intuitive why species that are ecologically similar should differ in their response to environmental changes. Here we show that two sympatric flycatchers differ in reproductive strategy and in sensitivity to harsh environment. The fitness of collared flycatchers (Ficedula albicollis), which are dominant in interference competition, is more sensitive than the fitness of pied flycatchers (Ficedula hypoleuca) to the seasonal decline in environmental conditions. In order to control for the possibility that this pattern arises solely from differences in microhabitat use (i.e. a local niche differentiation), we performed a partial cross-fostering experiment of young between the two species (i.e. resulting in nests containing young of both species). Our results show that the growth of nestling pied flycatchers is less influenced by the seasonal decline in environmental conditions. We suggest that a life-history trade-off between interference competitive ability and robustness to harsh environment promotes a regional coexistence of the two species.     

The role of pollen limitation on the coexistence of two dioecious, wind-pollinated, closely related shrubs in a fluctuating environment

Elucidating the mechanisms of species coexistence is a crucial goal in ecology. Theory suggests that, when resource abundance fluctuates, coexistence can be achieved if each species in a competing pair is better at exploiting resources at opposite extremes of a fluctuating resource spectrum. Nonetheless, the proximal mechanisms allowing coexistence remain largely unexplored. In a previous paper, we showed that the coexistence of two Atriplex species was facilitated by their varying demographic response (in survival, growth and recruitment) to fluctuation in water availability. Here we explore the effect of spatial distribution, and pollen and resource limitation on the reproductive success (production of viable seeds) of the same two species. An analysis of their spatial distribution showed that Atriplex acanthocarpa had a clumped distribution, which is thought to increase the effectiveness of pollination in wind-pollinated plants, while Atriplex canescens had a random distribution, a pattern expected to restrict wind-pollination success. A pollen and resource (water and nutrients) addition experiment implemented through a repeated-measures design demonstrated that seed viability of A. canescens was both pollen and resource limited, but that these effects were negligible in A. acanthocarpa. Under natural conditions, pollen limitation restricted seed number in A. canescens to only one-third of that recorded when manual pollination was performed. By decreasing its fecundity (and consequent potential seedling recruitment), pollen limitation reverses the competitive advantage of A. canescens over A. acanthocarpa when the limiting resource (water) is abundant and seedling recruitment takes place. To our knowledge, our study of this congeneric pair in the Chihuahuan Desert is the first to document a link between pollen limitation and species coexistence.     

Rules of the seed size game: contests between large‐seeded and small‐seeded species

The coexistence of multiple seed size strategies within plant communities have been considered puzzling, based on a theoretical expectation of the existence of an optimal seed size under each set of specific environmental conditions. A model aimed at explaining the coexistence of different seed sizes has been suggested, where a seed size – seed number tradeoff is connected to a tradeoff between competition and colonization, leading to a competitive advantage in larger‐seeded species and a colonization advantage in smaller‐seeded species. Recently an alternative model has been suggested, based on a tradeoff between stress tolerance and fecundity, associated with the variation from large to small seeds. Here, we examine the role of seed size for recruitment in two‐species contests subjected to various treatments. In a garden experiment seeds of 14 plant species were combined pair‐wise into seven pairs, each with one larger‐seeded species and one smaller‐seeded species. Each species‐pair was sown with sparse and dense seed densities and subjected to different treatments of shading and litter. Recruitment was recorded during two years. Our results showed a general advantage of larger‐seeded species over smaller‐seeded species. This seed size advantage increased in treatments with litter, whereas there were minor effects of shade, and no effect of seed density was found. We thus found little support for a density dependent seed size game as assumed in models of a competition‐colonization tradeoff, whereas our results fit well with a model based on a tradeoff between stress tolerance and fecundity. Our experiment provides novel empirical data to theoretical models on co‐existence between multiple seed size strategies.     

Correlates of inter-specific variation in germination response to water stress in a semi-arid savannah

Within arid plant communities species vary considerably in the ability to germinate under water stress. Attempts to correlate this variation with environmental gradients have remained largely inconclusive. Germinating only at high water potentials can be seen as a form of predictive germination. Predictive germination provides a fitness variance reducing mechanism and is therefore expected to show negative correlations with other variance reducing life-history attributes such as large seed size or dormancy. We predicted that differences in life-history attributes rather than edaphic gradients could explain the variation in germination responses to water stress found in arid plant communities. To test our hypothesis we determined the germination response of 28 species from the arid Kalahari savannah to a gradient of osmotic stress, expressed as the water potential needed to reduce germination by 50%. In addition, we determined the life-history variables seed mass and germination fraction and the habitat variables soil texture preference and association with acacias. The data were analysed using phylogenetically independent contrasts in a multiple regression model.Contrary to our hypothesis we found no increase in the capacity to germinate under osmotic stress with increasing seed mass and an increase with increasing germination fraction. However, we also found no significant effect of the habitat variables. This result may be explained by variation in seedling drought tolerance. Drought tolerance will also have a variance-reducing effect and can be expected to trade-off with fractional germination. Our results suggest that in arid plant communities most variation in the capacity to germinate under water stress expresses different ways to make a living under similar conditions rather than adaptations to environmental gradients.     

Environmental and genetic influences on the germination of Arabidopsis thaliana in the field

Seasonal germination timing strongly influences lifetime fitness and can affect the ability of plant populations to colonize and persist in new environments. To quantify the influence of seasonal environmental factors on germination and to test whether pleiotropy or close linkage are significant constraints on the evolution of germination in different seasonal conditions, we dispersed novel recombinant genotypes of Arabidopsis thaliana into two geographic locations. To decouple the photoperiod during seed maturation from the postdispersal season that maternal photoperiod predicts, replicates of recombinant inbred lines were grown under short days and long days under controlled conditions, and their seeds were dispersed during June in Kentucky (KY) and during June and November in Rhode Island (RI). We found that postdispersal seasonal conditions influenced germination more strongly than did the photoperiod during seed maturation. Genetic variation was detected for germination responses to all environmental factors. Transgressive segregation created novel germination phenotypes, revealing a potential contribution of hybridization of ecotypes to the evolution of germination. A genetic trade-off in germination percentage across sites indicated that determinants of fitness at or before the germination stage may constrain the geographic range that a given genotype can inhabit. However, germination timing exhibited only weak pleiotropy across treatments, suggesting that different sets of genes contribute to variation in germination behavior in different seasonal conditions and geographic locations. Thus, the genetic potential exists for rapid evolution of appropriate germination responses in novel environments, facilitating colonization across a broad geographic range.     

Untangling the mechanisms of cryptic species coexistence in a nematode community through individual-based modelling

Cryptic species are morphologically identical but genetically distinct, and are prominent across numerous phyla. The coexistence of such closely related species on local scales would seem to run counter to traditional coexistence and competition theory; it has been hypothesized as a consequence of differences in their resource use or tolerances to environmental conditions. We developed an individual-based model of a community of three cryptic Litoditis marina (nematode) species, to understand how individual-level interspecific and intraspecific interactions might explain the coexistence of these closely related species. The model incorporates individuals' reproduction, competition, dispersal and resource use. Data characterizing the cryptic species (growth rates, dispersal ability, competitive interactions and responses to changing environmental conditions) were obtained from laboratory experiments involving both mono- and multispecific nematode cultures, and are used to parameterize the model. Simulation studies are used to investigate which individual-level mechanisms of dispersal and interaction lead to the characteristic population-level patterns observed experimentally. Our results highlight the key role of intraspecific competition in mediating dispersal and therefore co-occurrence of the cryptic species. The differences in dispersal also influence the response of the cryptic species to competition, a combination of factors that provides an explanation for their co-occurrence. These results provide insights into how changes in individual-level processes can be amplified to affect population-level co-occurrence.     

Quantifying the relative importance of variation in predation and the environment for species coexistence

Coexistence and food web theory are two cornerstones of the long‐standing effort to understand how species coexist. Although competition and predation are known to act simultaneously in communities, theory and empirical study of these processes continue to be developed largely independently. Here, we integrate modern coexistence theory and food web theory to simultaneously quantify the relative importance of predation and environmental fluctuations for species coexistence. We first examine coexistence in a theoretical, multitrophic model, adding complexity to the food web using machine learning approaches. We then apply our framework to a stochastic model of the rocky intertidal food web, partitioning empirical coexistence dynamics. We find the main effects of both environmental fluctuations and variation in predator abundances contribute substantially to species coexistence. Unexpectedly, their interaction tends to destabilise coexistence, leading to new insights about the role of bottom‐up vs. top‐down forces in both theory and the rocky intertidal ecosystem.     

Coexistence introducing regulation of environmental conditions

Interactions between environmental conditions and environment-affecting species have not been investigated extensively. In this study, the population dynamics of species yielding regulative feedback between temperature (a representative of environmental condition) and species with a temperature-altering trait was examined. We considered a simple closed model that described the population of two species (at least one of them had a temperature-altering trait) competing for one resource. The long-term outcomes of the competition and changes of temperature were explored against increasing background temperature. As a result of simulations, the regulation of temperature was accompanied by the coexistence of two species, which was contrary to the 'Gause's exclusion principle'. The steady-state analysis showed that (i) the temperature-altering trait allowed species to coexist and (ii) the coexistence of species with the trait could introduce the regulation of temperature. A 'trade-off' in their ability to utilize a resource plays a key role in this coexistence and homeostasis of temperature. This may imply that actual environmental conditions can be automatically stabilized by resource competition among species in natural ecosystems.     

Climate warming could shift the timing of seed germination in alpine plants

Background and Aims

Despite the considerable number of studies on the impacts of climate change on alpine plants, there have been few attempts to investigate its effect on regeneration. Recruitment from seeds is a key event in the life-history of plants, affecting their spread and evolution and seasonal changes in climate will inevitably affect recruitment success. Here, an investigation was made of how climate change will affect the timing and the level of germination in eight alpine species of the glacier foreland.

Methods

Using a novel approach which considered the altitudinal variation of temperature as a surrogate for future climate scenarios, seeds were exposed to 12 different cycles of simulated seasonal temperatures in the laboratory, derived from measurements at the soil surface at the study site.

Key Results

Under present climatic conditions, germination occurred in spring, in all but one species, after seeds had experienced autumn and winter seasons. However, autumn warming resulted in a significant increase in germination in all but two species. In contrast, seed germination was less sensitive to changes in spring and/or winter temperatures, which affected only three species.

Conclusions

Climate warming will lead to a shift from spring to autumn emergence but the extent of this change across species will be driven by seed dormancy status. Ungerminated seeds at the end of autumn will be exposed to shorter winter seasons and lower spring temperatures in a future, warmer climate, but these changes will only have a minor impact on germination. The extent to which climate change will be detrimental to regeneration from seed is less likely to be due to a significant negative effect on germination per se, but rather to seedling emergence in seasons that the species are not adapted to experience. Emergence in autumn could have major implications for species currently adapted to emerge in spring.