Testing for homogeneity of gametic disequilibrium across strata

Background

Variance component (VC) models are commonly used for Quantitative Trait Loci (QTL) mapping in outbred populations. Here, the QTL effect is given as a random effect and a critical part of the model is the relationship between the phenotypic values and the random effect. In the traditional VC model, each individual has a unique QTL effect and the relationship between these random effects is given as a covariance structure (known as the identity-by-descent (IBD) matrix).

Results

We present an alternative notation of the variance component model, where the elements of the random effect are independent base generation allele effects and sampling term effects. The relationship between the phenotypic vales and the random effect is given by an incidence matrix, which results in a novel, but statistically equivalent, version of the traditional VC model. A general algorithm to estimate this incidence matrix is presented. Since the model is given in terms of base generation allele effects and sampling term effects, these effects can be estimated separately using best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP). From simulated data, we showed that biallelic QTL effects could be accurately clustered using the BLUP obtained from our model notation when markers are fully informative, and that the accuracy increased with the size of the QTL effect. We also developed a measure indicating whether a base generation marker homozygote is a QTL heterozygote or not, by comparing the variances of the sampling term BLUP and the base generation allele BLUP. A ratio greater than one gives strong support for a QTL heterozygote.

Conclusion

We developed a simple presentation of the VC QTL model for identification of base generation allele effects in QTL linkage analysis. The base generation allele effects and sampling term effects were separated in our model notation. This clarifies the assumptions of the model and should also enhance the development of genome scan methods.     

Factor analysis models for structuring covariance matrices of additive genetic effects: a Bayesian implementation

Multivariate linear models are increasingly important in quantitative genetics. In high dimensional specifications, factor analysis (FA) may provide an avenue for structuring (co)variance matrices, thus reducing the number of parameters needed for describing (co)dispersion. We describe how FA can be used to model genetic effects in the context of a multivariate linear mixed model. An orthogonal common factor structure is used to model genetic effects under Gaussian assumption, so that the marginal likelihood is multivariate normal with a structured genetic (co)variance matrix. Under standard prior assumptions, all fully conditional distributions have closed form, and samples from the joint posterior distribution can be obtained via Gibbs sampling. The model and the algorithm developed for its Bayesian implementation were used to describe five repeated records of milk yield in dairy cattle, and a one common FA model was compared with a standard multiple trait model. The Bayesian Information Criterion favored the FA model.     

A note on conditional AIC for linear mixed-effects models

The conventional model selection criterion, the Akaike informationcriterion, AIC, has been applied to choose candidate modelsin mixed-effects models by the consideration of marginal likelihood.Vaida & Blanchard (2005) demonstrated that such a marginalAIC and its small sample correction are inappropriate when theresearch focus is on clusters. Correspondingly, these authorssuggested the use of conditional AIC. Their conditional AICis derived under the assumption that the variance-covariancematrix or scaled variance-covariance matrix of random effectsis known. This note provides a general conditional AIC but withoutthese strong assumptions. Simulation studies show that the proposedmethod is promising.     

THE MIXED-MODEL ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE APPLIED TO QUANTITATIVE GENETICS: BIOLOGICAL MEANING OF THE PARAMETERS

The mixed-model factorial analysis of variance has been used in many recent studies in evolutionary quantitative genetics. Two competing formulations of the mixed-model ANOVA are commonly used, the “Scheffe” model and the “SAS” model; these models differ in both their assumptions and in the way in which variance components due to the main effect of random factors are defined. The biological meanings of the two variance component definitions have often been unappreciated, however. A full understanding of these meanings leads to the conclusion that the mixed-model ANOVA could have been used to much greater effect by many recent authors. The variance component due to the random main effect under the two-way SAS model is the covariance in true means associated with a level of the random factor (e.g., families) across levels of the fixed factor (e.g., environments). Therefore the SAS model has a natural application for estimating the genetic correlation between a character expressed in different environments and testing whether it differs from zero. The variance component due to the random main effect under the two-way Scheffe model is the variance in marginal means (i.e., means over levels of the fixed factor) among levels of the random factor. Therefore the Scheffe model has a natural application for estimating genetic variances and heritabilities in populations using a defined mixture of environments. Procedures and assumptions necessary for these applications of the models are discussed. While exact significance tests under the SAS model require balanced data and the assumptions that family effects are normally distributed with equal variances in the different environments, the model can be useful even when these conditions are not met (e.g., for providing an unbiased estimate of the across-environment genetic covariance). Contrary to statements in a recent paper, exact significance tests regarding the variance in marginal means as well as unbiased estimates can be readily obtained from unbalanced designs with no restrictive assumptions about the distributions or variance-covariance structure of family effects.     

非线性再生散度随机效应模型的极大似然估计及随机逼近算法

非线性再生散度随机效应模型包括了非线性随机效应模型和指数族非线性随机效应模型等．通过视模型中的随机效应为假想的缺失数据和应用Metropolis-Hastings(简称MH) 算法,提出了模型参数极大似然估计的随机逼近算法．模拟研究和实例分析表明了该算法的可行性．     

Parametric survival models for interval-censored data with time-dependent covariates

We present a parametric family of regression models for interval-censored event-time (survival) data that accomodates both fixed (e.g. baseline) and time-dependent covariates. The model employs a three-parameter family of survival distributions that includes the Weibull, negative binomial, and log-logistic distributions as special cases, and can be applied to data with left, right, interval, or non-censored event times. Standard methods, such as Newton-Raphson, can be employed to estimate the model and the resulting estimates have an asymptotically normal distribution about the true values with a covariance matrix that is consistently estimated by the information function. The deviance function is described to assess model fit and a robust sandwich estimate of the covariance may also be employed to provide asymptotically robust inferences when the model assumptions do not apply. Spline functions may also be employed to allow for non-linear covariates. The model is applied to data from a long-term study of type 1 diabetes to describe the effects of longitudinal measures of glycemia (HbA1c) over time (the time-dependent covariate) on the risk of progression of diabetic retinopathy (eye disease), an interval-censored event-time outcome.     

Defining the assumptions underlying modeling of epistatic QTL using variance component methods

Variance component models are commonly used to detect quantitative trait loci (QTL) in general pedigrees. The variance-covariance structure of the random QTL effect is given by the identity by descent (IBD) between genotypes. Epistatic effects have previously been modeled, both for unlinked and linked loci, as a random effect with a variance-covariance structure given by the Hadamard product between the IBD matrices of the direct QTL effects. In the original papers, the model was given but not derived. Here, we identify the underlying assumptions of this previously proposed model. It assumes that either an unlinked QTL or a fully informative marker (i.e., all marker alleles are unique in the base generation) is located between the loci. We discuss the need of developing a general algorithm to estimate the variance-covariance structure of the random epistatic effect for linked loci.     

A semi-parametric shared parameter model to handle nonmonotone nonignorable missingness

Summary .  Longitudinal studies often generate incomplete response patterns according to a missing not at random mechanism. Shared parameter models provide an appealing framework for the joint modelling of the measurement and missingness processes, especially in the nonmonotone missingness case, and assume a set of random effects to induce the interdependence. Parametric assumptions are typically made for the random effects distribution, violation of which leads to model misspecification with a potential effect on the parameter estimates and standard errors. In this article we avoid any parametric assumption for the random effects distribution and leave it completely unspecified. The estimation of the model is then made using a semi-parametric maximum likelihood method. Our proposal is illustrated on a randomized longitudinal study on patients with rheumatoid arthritis exhibiting nonmonotone missingness.     

Conditional estimation for generalized linear models when covariates are subject-specific parameters in a mixed model for longitudinal measurements

The relationship between a primary endpoint and features of longitudinal profiles of a continuous response is often of interest, and a relevant framework is that of a generalized linear model with covariates that are subject-specific random effects in a linear mixed model for the longitudinal measurements. Naive implementation by imputing subject-specific effects from individual regression fits yields biased inference, and several methods for reducing this bias have been proposed. These require a parametric (normality) assumption on the random effects, which may be unrealistic. Adapting a strategy of Stefanski and Carroll (1987, Biometrika74, 703-716), we propose estimators for the generalized linear model parameters that require no assumptions on the random effects and yield consistent inference regardless of the true distribution. The methods are illustrated via simulation and by application to a study of bone mineral density in women transitioning to menopause.     

Mixed effects logistic regression models for longitudinal ordinal functional response data with multiple-cause drop-out from the longitudinal study of aging

In the context of analyzing ordinal functional limitation responses from the Longitudinal Study of Aging, we investigate the association between current functional limitation and previous year's limitation and its modification by physical activity and multiple causes of drop-out. We accommodate the longitudinal nature of the multiple causes of informative drop-out (death and unknown loss-to-follow-up) with a mixed effects logistic model. Under the proposed model with a random intercept and slope, the ordinal functional outcome and multiple discrete time survival profiles share a common random effect structure. This shared parameter selection model assumes that the multiple causes of drop-out are conditionally independent of the functional limitation outcome given the underlying random effect representing an individual's trajectory of general health status across time. Although it is not possible to fully assess the adequacy of this assumption, we assess the robustness of the approach by varying the assumptions underlying the proposed model, such as the random effects distribution and the drop-out component. It appears that between-subject differences in initial functional limitation are strongly associated with future functional limitation and that this association is stronger for those who do not have physical activity regardless of the random effects and informative drop-out specifications. In contrast, the association between current functional limitation and previous trajectory of functional status within an individual is weaker and more sensitive to changes in the random effects and drop-out assumptions.     

Linear and nonlinear mixed-effects models for censored HIV viral loads using normal/independent distributions

HIV RNA viral load measures are often subjected to some upper and lower detection limits depending on the quantification assays. Hence, the responses are either left or right censored. Linear (and nonlinear) mixed-effects models (with modifications to accommodate censoring) are routinely used to analyze this type of data and are based on normality assumptions for the random terms. However, those analyses might not provide robust inference when the normality assumptions are questionable. In this article, we develop a Bayesian framework for censored linear (and nonlinear) models replacing the Gaussian assumptions for the random terms with normal/independent (NI) distributions. The NI is an attractive class of symmetric heavy-tailed densities that includes the normal, Student's-t, slash, and the contaminated normal distributions as special cases. The marginal likelihood is tractable (using approximations for nonlinear models) and can be used to develop Bayesian case-deletion influence diagnostics based on the Kullback-Leibler divergence. The newly developed procedures are illustrated with two HIV AIDS studies on viral loads that were initially analyzed using normal (censored) mixed-effects models, as well as simulations.     

A multi-locus continuous-time selection model

Summary A continuous time selection model is formulated for a diploid monoecious population with multiple alleles at each of an arbitrary number of loci, incorporating differential fertility and mortality as well as arbitrary mating and age structure. The model is simplified in the case of age-independence and for the case of a stable age distribution. The age-independent model is examined in detail for the special case of multiple alleles at each of two loci. This model is analyzed under the assumptions of random mating and additive fertilities, with close attention given to the behavior of the system with respect to Hardy-Weinberg proportions and linkage equilibrium.M. M. was supported by a U.S. Public Health Service training grant (Grant No. GM780).     

Estimating genetic covariance functions assuming a parametric correlation structure for environmental effects

A random regression model for the analysis of "repeated" records in animal breeding is described which combines a random regression approach for additive genetic and other random effects with the assumption of a parametric correlation structure for within animal covariances. Both stationary and non-stationary correlation models involving a small number of parameters are considered. Heterogeneity in within animal variances is modelled through polynomial variance functions. Estimation of parameters describing the dispersion structure of such model by restricted maximum likelihood via an "average information" algorithm is outlined. An application to mature weight records of beef cow is given, and results are contrasted to those from analyses fitting sets of random regression coefficients for permanent environmental effects.     

Mixed effects logistic regression models for multiple longitudinal binary functional limitation responses with informative drop-out and confounding by baseline outcomes

In the context of analyzing multiple functional limitation responses collected longitudinally from the Longitudinal Study of Aging (LSOA), we investigate the heterogeneity of these outcomes with respect to their associations with previous functional status and other risk factors in the presence of informative drop-out and confounding by baseline outcomes. We accommodate the longitudinal nature of the multiple outcomes with a unique extension of the nested random effects logistic model with an autoregressive structure to include drop-out and baseline outcome components with shared random effects. Estimation of fixed effects and variance components is by maximum likelihood with numerical integration. This shared parameter selection model assumes that drop-out is conditionally independent of the multiple functional limitation outcomes given the underlying random effect representing an individual's trajectory of functional status across time. Whereas it is not possible to fully assess the adequacy of this assumption, we assess the robustness of this approach by varying the assumptions underlying the proposed model such as the random effects structure, the drop-out component, and omission of baseline functional outcomes as dependent variables in the model. Heterogeneity among the associations between each functional limitation outcome and a set of risk factors for functional limitation, such as previous functional limitation and physical activity, exists for the LSOA data of interest. Less heterogeneity is observed among the estimates of time-level random effects variance components that are allowed to vary across functional outcomes and time. We also note that. under an autoregressive structure, bias results from omitting the baseline outcome component linked to the follow-up outcome component by subject-level random effects.     

Bayesian covariance selection in generalized linear mixed models

The generalized linear mixed model (GLMM), which extends the generalized linear model (GLM) to incorporate random effects characterizing heterogeneity among subjects, is widely used in analyzing correlated and longitudinal data. Although there is often interest in identifying the subset of predictors that have random effects, random effects selection can be challenging, particularly when outcome distributions are nonnormal. This article proposes a fully Bayesian approach to the problem of simultaneous selection of fixed and random effects in GLMMs. Integrating out the random effects induces a covariance structure on the multivariate outcome data, and an important problem that we also consider is that of covariance selection. Our approach relies on variable selection-type mixture priors for the components in a special Cholesky decomposition of the random effects covariance. A stochastic search MCMC algorithm is developed, which relies on Gibbs sampling, with Taylor series expansions used to approximate intractable integrals. Simulated data examples are presented for different exponential family distributions, and the approach is applied to discrete survival data from a time-to-pregnancy study.     

The effect of a random initial value in neural first-passage-time models

The effect of a random initial value is examined in several stochastic integrate-and-fire neural models with a constant threshold and a constant input. The three models considered are approximations of Stein's model, namely: (1) a leaky integrator with deterministic trajectories, (2) a Wiener process with drift, and (3) an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. For model 1, different distributions for the initial value lead to commonly observed interspike interval distributions. For model 2, a discrete and a uniform distribution for the initial value are examined along with some parameter estimation procedures. For model 3, with a truncated normal distribution for the initial value, the coefficient of variation is shown to be greater than 1, and as the threshold becomes large the first-passage-time distribution approaches an exponential distribution. The relationships among the models and between them and previous models are also discussed, along with the robustness of the model assumptions and methods of their verification. The effects of a random initial value are found to be most pronounced at high firing rates.     

Robustness of the Estimator of the Index of Dispersion for DNA Sequences

If substitutions in DNA sequences follow a Poisson process, the ratio of the variance in the number of substitutions to the mean number of substitutions (the index of dispersion) should equal 1. In this paper, the robustness of the commonly applied estimator of the index of dispersion in replacement sites and silent sites to various assumptions regarding DNA evolution is explored using simulation methods. The estimate of the index of dispersion may be strongly biased if the assumptions of the model of substitution are violated. However, the results of this study support the conclusions of studies by Gillespie and Ohta that the process of substitution in replacement sites is overdispersed. This result contradicts those of a recent study and shows that the high index of dispersion for replacement sites is not an artifact caused by the method of estimation.     

An Approximate EM Algorithm for Nonlinear Mixed Effects Models

In this article, we construct an approximate EM algorithm to estimate the parameters of a nonlinear mixed effects model. The iterative procedure can be viewed as an iterative method of moments procedure for estimating the variance components and an iterative reweighted least squares estimates for estimating the fixed effects. Therefore, it is valid without the normality assumptions on the random components. A computationally simple method of moments estimates of the model parameters are used as the starting values for our iterative procedure. A simulation study was conducted to compare the performances of the proposed procedure with the procedure proposed by Lindstrom and Bates (1990) for some normal models and nonnormal models.     

A mathematical analysis of the relation between (bacterio) chlorophyll fluorescence yield and the concentration of reaction centre traps in photosynthesis

A random walk approach is used to discuss the relation between fluorescence yield and the concentration of reaction centre traps. For the matrix model as used for bacteria, non-negligible deviations are found from the Vredenberg-Duysens relation. An approximately linear re;ationship between the reciprocal of the fluorescence yield and the trap concentration remains. For the unit model as used for system 2, the deviation from Joliot's relation is small. The assumptions of the unit model are debatable. An alternative matrix model is presented.