Phenotypic plasticity of invasive Alternanthera philoxeroides in relation to different water availability, compared to its native congener

Phenotypic plasticity and genetic differentiation are two possible mechanisms that plants use to cope with varying environments. Although alligator weed (Alternanthera philoxeroides) possesses very low genetic diversity, this alien weed has successfully invaded diverse habitats with considerably varying water availability (from swamps to dry lands) in China. In contrast, its native congener (Alternanthera sessilis) has a much narrower ecological breadth, and is usually found in moist habitats. To understand the mechanisms underlying the contrasting pattern, we performed a greenhouse experiment to compare the reaction norms of alligator weed with those of its native congener, in which water availability was manipulated. Our results revealed that the two congeners had similar direction of phenotypic plasticity. However, A. philoxeroides showed greater plasticity in amount than did A. sessilis in many traits examined during the switch from wet to drought treatment. Nearly all of the phenotypic variance in A. philoxeroides could be ascribed to plasticity, while A. sessilis had a much higher fraction of phenotypic variance that could be explained by genotypic variation. These interspecific differences in plastic responses to variable water availability partially explained the difference in spatial distribution of the two congeners.     

Genetic diversity of alligator weed ecotypes is not the reason for their different responses to biological control

Biological control of alligator weed Alternanthera philoxeroides (Mart.) Griseb. using Agasicles hygrophila, a Chrysomelid beetle, has been successful in limiting growth in water, but not on land. In order to understand a possible genetic basis of this difference, technique using inter-simple sequence repeats (ISSR) markers was applied to analyse genetic diversity of this invasive weed. No genetic variation was detected not only within or between populations growing in the same habitats, but also between land- and water-grown populations. Thus we consider that the genetic variation is not the baseline factor resulting in the biological control difference in China. The differential success of pupation by the beetle may be related to the phenotypic plasticity of the plant stem diameter, rather than to genotypic factors.     

Genetic diversity of alligator weed in China by RAPD analysis

Random amplified polymorphic DNA (RAPD) was applied to analyze geneticdiversity of an invasive weedy species, alligator weed (Alternantheraphiloxeroides (Martius) Grisebach), collected from eight differentsites in southern China. Amplified by 108 RAPD primers, 391 bands wereidentified from samples collected from three of the eight sites withconsiderably large spatial intervals, but no genetic variation was detectedamong the samples. A total number of 196 RAPD fragments were amplified from allsamples collected in the eight sites by 31 primers that produced the mostconsistent results, but no genetic variation was detected within or betweenpopulations. The molecular data indicated extremely low genetic diversity in thealligator weed. Given the fact that the alligator weed is a serious invasiveweed, and widely found in China, we consider that the low genetic diversity ofthe alligator weed does not affect the success of its expansion in China, andlow genetic diversity does not necessarily lead to endangered status of a plantspecies. In addition, molecular evidence from this study suggests that thealligator weed in southern China might originate from a very few clones or evenonly from a single clone. Therefore, the rapid range expansion of the alligatorweed is most likely the result of a massive vegetative propagation since it wasintroduced in China.     

Rethinking the common garden in invasion research

In common garden experiments, a number of genotypes are raised in a common environment in order to quantify the genetic component of phenotypic variation. Common gardens are thus ideally suited for disentangling how genetic and environmental factors contribute to the success of invasive species in their new non-native range. Although common garden experiments are increasingly employed in the study of invasive species, there has been little discussion about how these experiments should be designed for greatest utility. We argue that this has delayed progress in developing a general theory of invasion biology. We suggest a minimum optimal design (MOD) for common garden studies that target the ecological and evolutionary processes leading to phenotypic differentiation between native and invasive ranges. This involves four elements: (A) multiple, strategically sited garden locations, involving at the very least four gardens (2 in the native range and 2 in the invaded range); (B) careful consideration of the genetic design of the experiment; (C) standardization of experimental protocols across all gardens; and (D) care to ensure the biosafety of the experiment. Our understanding of the evolutionary ecology of biological invasions will be greatly enhanced by common garden studies, if and only if they are designed in a more systematic fashion, incorporating at the very least the MOD suggested here.     

Effects of simulated herbivory and resource availability on the invasive plant, Alternanthera philoxeroides in different habitats

In biological control programs, the insect natural enemy’s ability to suppress the plant invader may be affected by abiotic factors, such as resource availability, that can influence plant growth and reproduction. Understanding plant tolerance to herbivory under different environmental conditions will help to improve biocontrol efficacy. The invasive alligator weed (Alternanthera philoxeroides) has been successfully controlled by natural enemies in many aquatic habitats but not in terrestrial environments worldwide. This study examined the effects of different levels of simulated leaf herbivory on the growth of alligator weed at two levels of fertilization and three levels of soil moisture (aquatic, semi-aquatic, and terrestrial habitats). Increasing levels of simulated (manual) defoliation generally caused decreases in total biomass in all habitats. However, the plant appeared to respond differently to high levels of herbivory in the three habitats. Terrestrial plants showed the highest below–above ground mass ratio (R/S), indicating the plant is more tolerant to herbivory in terrestrial habitats than in aquatic habitats. The unfertilized treatment exhibited greater tolerance than the fertilized treatment in the terrestrial habitat at the first stage of this experiment (day 15), but fertilizer appears not to have influenced tolerance at the middle and last stages of the experiment. No such difference was found in semi-aquatic and aquatic habitats. These findings suggest that plant tolerance is affected by habitats and soil nutrients and this relationship could influence the biological control outcome. Plant compensatory response to herbivory under different environmental conditions should, therefore, be carefully considered when planning to use biological control in management programs against invasive plants.     

Flooding effects on rapid responses of the invasive plant Alternanthera philoxeroides to defoliation

In experiments under controlled growth conditions it was examined how flooding affected the responses of the invasive plant Alternanthera philoxeroides to defoliation. In drained and flooded conditions, plants were subjected to five defoliation levels: 0, 10, 50, 90% removal of leaf tissue and apex removal (90% leaf tissue plus apical bud removal). Plants were harvested weekly for five weeks. In drained conditions, plant biomasses including total biomass, shoot biomass and root biomass after 50% defoliation rapidly recovered to the control plant level. They were significantly lower for the 90% defoliation and apex removal treatments compared to control plants throughout the experiment. In flooded conditions, total biomass and shoot biomass after 50% defoliation, 90% defoliation, and apex removal treatments could return to control plant levels before the end of the experiment. In 90% defoliation and apex removal treatments root to shoot biomass ratios of both drained and flooded plants were initially much higher than in control plants, but the difference disappeared rapidly. The final biomasses decreased with increased defoliation intensity in drained conditions, but no significant difference was generally found in any of the defoliation treatments in flooded conditions. The rapid re-growth of A. philoxeroides plants after defoliation may partly be responsible for its invasion success. However, defoliation capable of removing 90% of the leaf tissue may be desirable in restricting the growth of this invasive species in drained conditions.     

Agroecotypes or phenotypic plasticity? comparison of agrestal and ruderal populations of the weed Solanum ptycanthum

To test if the high nutrient inputs of agroeosystems select for specialized agroecotypes or for phenotypic plasticity, Ontario populations of the northwardly migrating annual weed Solanum ptycanthum from ruderal (beach) and agricultural habitats were compared over a nutrient gradient. Temporal variation of total available nitrogen was determined in both types of habitats. As gene flow via seed contamination of tomato transplants from S. United States was detected, variation in response to nutrient (N) levels was also compared between agrestal populations from the northern (Ontario) and southern (Georgia) ends of the species range. Five families from six populations (two northern agrestal, two northern ruderal and two southern agrestal) were grown in the greenhouse at low, medium and high nutrient levels, and plant growth and traits associated with reproductive success measured. All populations displayed significant levels of plasticity in the majority of vegetative and reproductive traits. There were no detectable differences over the levels of nutrients tested between individuals sampled from northern agrestal and ruderal populations, even though variation in available nitrogen is greater in agroecosystems. Southern agrestal populations were genetically differentiated from the northern populations, and exhibited almost twice the overall plasticity of northern populations, measured by the Mahalanobis distance. Canonical discriminant analysis showed complete overlap in the northern populations over all nutrient levels, suggesting that colonization of new habitats is via a general-purpose genotype, rather than by selection for specialized agroeotypes.     

Evolution of an invasive phenotype: shift to belowground dominance and enhanced competitive ability in the introduced range

In response to novel selection pressures in an introduced range, non-native species may evolve more competitive phenotypes unique from those of their native range. We examined the existence of an invasive phenotype in the herbaceous perennial Artemisia vulgaris, a frequent invader of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic US. Populations from both the native (European) and the introduced (North American) ranges were grown in intra-specific competition (same population), inter-specific competition with the native perennial herb Solidago canadensis, and alone in a common garden to quantify shifts in resource allocation and neighbor effects on performance and competitive ability. Without competition, introduced A. vulgaris populations were much shorter than native populations, but germinated earlier, produced more ramets, more belowground and total biomass, and maintained higher root-to-shoot ratios. Under inter- and intra-specific competitions, introduced A. vulgaris populations were shorter, but produced more ramets, belowground, and total biomass than native populations. S. canadensis belowground and total biomass were more highly suppressed by introduced than native A. vulgaris. Our data suggest that since the introduction to North America, A. vulgaris has evolved a more competitive invasive phenotype characterized by many short ramets with more extensive root/rhizome networks. This rapid evolutionary shift likely benefits A. vulgaris in its introduced range by allowing establishment and subsequent dominance in dense stands of existing vegetation.     

Phenotypic plasticity for skeletal growth,density and calcification of <Emphasis Type="Italic">Porites lobata</Emphasis> in response to habitat type

A reciprocal transplant experiment (RTE) of the reef-building coral Porites lobata between shallow (1.5 m at low tide) back reef and forereef habitats on Ofu and Olosega Islands, American Samoa, resulted in phenotypic plasticity for skeletal characteristics. Transplants from each source population (back reef and forereef) had higher skeletal growth rates, lower bulk densities, and higher calcification rates on the back reef than on the forereef. Mean annual skeletal extension rates, mean bulk densities, and mean annual calcification rates of RTE groups were 2.6–9.8 mm year⁻¹, 1.41–1.44 g cm⁻³, and 0.37–1.39 g cm⁻² year⁻¹ on the back reef, and 1.2–4.2 mm year⁻¹, 1.49–1.53 g cm⁻³, and 0.19–0.63 g cm⁻² year⁻¹ on the forereef, respectively. Bulk densities were especially responsive to habitat type, with densities of transplants increasing on the high energy forereef, and decreasing on the low energy back reef. Skeletal growth and calcification rates were also influenced by source population, even though zooxanthella genotype of source colonies did not vary between sites, and there was a transplant site x source population interaction for upward linear extension. Genetic differentiation may explain the source population effects, or the experiment may have been too brief for phenotypic plasticity of all skeletal characteristics to be fully expressed. Phenotypic plasticity for skeletal characteristics likely enables P. lobata colonies to assume the most suitable shape and density for a wide range of coral reef habitats.     

三峡库区不同生境下中华蚊母树叶片表型可塑性及其与土壤环境因子的关系

探究中华蚊母树在不同生境水文节律下的生态适应性——表型可塑性,以及它的土壤环境影响因子,对其在异质生境下的生存适应策略具有重要的生态学意义。调查中华蚊母树在自然消落带、反季节消落带及无消涨节律生长区等3种异质生境下36个不同种群叶片主要结构性状叶长(LL)、叶宽(LW)、叶面积(LA)、叶干物重(LDW)以及比叶面积(SLA)的可塑性及其土壤环境影响因子。对各异质生境下中华蚊母树叶片性状的差异显著性进行分析,将LL、LW、LA、LDW之间的异速生长关系用经典异速方程来描述。运用典范对应分析(CCA)研究中华蚊母树叶片性状与土壤环境因子之间的关系。结果显示,中华蚊母树种群的LL、LW、LA、LDW及SLA等5个叶片功能性状在异质生境之间均有显著性差异(P0.05),变异系数平均值在4.80%—26.12%之间,其中LA和SLA在各生境中变异系数最大。各异质生境下中华蚊母树LW与LL、LDW与LL、LW及LA均呈显著的幂函数异速生长关系。其异速系数lgβ均表现极显著差异(P0.01),但其异速指数ɑ却表现相同的规律:LW与LLɑ1,LDW与LL、LWɑ1,LDW与LAɑ≈1,即在不同生境下叶片各性状的生长速率均表现为:LA≈LDWLLLW。各异质生境中叶片较大的表型可塑性和一致的异速生长规律表明了中华蚊母树面对不同的水文节律具有较宽的生态幅,且表现出生长的一致性。CCA排序结果显示,全磷(TP)、水解氮(AN)、速效钾(AK)及土壤含水量(SWC)是中华蚊母树叶片表型可塑性的主要影响因素,中华蚊母树主要通过这些土壤环境因子的驱动改变叶片结构性状使其能在不同水文节律的异质生境中表现出最佳的适合度。     

Phenotypic variation in invasive and biocontrol populations of the harlequin ladybird, Harmonia axyridis

Despite numerous releases for biological control purposes during more than 20 years in Europe, Harmonia axyridis failed to become established until the beginning of the 21st century. Its status as invasive alien species is now widely recognised. Theory suggests that invasive populations should evolve toward greater phenotypic plasticity because they encounter differing environments during the invasion process. On the contrary, populations used for biological control have been maintained under artificial rearing conditions for many generations; they are hence expected to become specialised on a narrow range of environments and show lower phenotypic plasticity. Here we compared phenotypic traits and the extent of adaptive phenotypic plasticity in two invasive populations and two populations commercialized for biological control by (i) measuring six phenotypic traits related to fitness (eggs hatching rate, larval survival rate, development time, sex ratio, fecundity over 6 weeks and survival time of starving adults) at three temperatures (18, 24 and 30°C), (ii) recording the survival rate and quiescence aggregation behaviour when exposed to low temperatures (5, 10 and 15°C), and (iii) studying the cannibalistic behaviour of populations in the absence of food. Invasive and biocontrol populations displayed significantly different responses to temperature variation for a composite fitness index computed from the traits measured at 18, 24 and 30°C, but not for any of those traits considered independently. The plasticity measured on the same fitness index was higher in the two invasive populations, but this difference was not statistically significant. On the other hand, invasive populations displayed significantly higher survival and higher phenotypic plasticity when entering into quiescence at low temperatures. In addition, one invasive population displayed a singular cannibalistic behaviour. Our results hence only partly support the expectation of increased adaptive phenotypic plasticity of European invasive populations of H. axyridis, and stress the importance of the choice of the environmental parameters to be manipulated for assessing phenotypic plasticity variation among populations.     

Plant community changes after the reduction of an invasive rangeland weed, diffuse knapweed, Centaurea diffusa

The expected outcome of weed control in natural systems is that the decline of a dominant weed will result in an increase in diversity of the plant community but this has seldom been tested. Here we evaluate the response of the plant community following the decline of diffuse knapweed (Centaurea diffusa) in six different pastures at White Lake, BC, Canada over five years. This period followed the establishment, spread and high levels of attack by the introduced European weevil, Larinus minutus, as part of a biological control program. Knapweed declined immediately before and during the study period, but, contrary to expectations, the species richness and diversity of the rangeland plant community did not increase. The absolute cover of native and introduced forbs and grasses increased following knapweed decline, but only the introduced grasses showed a consistent increase in cover relative to the other life-forms. However, unlike in other studies, the native plants dominated the study site. We conclude that the changes in plant communities following successful biological control are variable among programs and that the impact of replacement species must be evaluated in assessing the success of ecological restoration programs that use biological control to manage an undesirable weed.     

A strategy to develop molecular markers applicable to a wide range of crosses for marker assisted selection in plant breeding: a case study on anthracnose disease resistance in lupin (Lupinus angustifolius L.)

A key challenge in marker-assisted selection (MAS) for molecular plant breeding is to develop markers linked to genes of interest which are applicable to multiple breeding populations. In this study representative F₂ plants from a cross Mandalup (resistant to anthracnose disease) × Quilinock (susceptible) of Lupinus angustifolius were used in DNA fingerprinting by Microsatellite-anchored Fragment Length Polymorphism (MFLP). Nine candidate MFLP markers linked to anthracnose resistance were identified, then ‘validated’ on 17 commercial cultivars. The number of “false positives” (showing resistant-allele band but lack of the R gene) for each of the nine candidate MFLP markers on the 17 cultivars ranged from 1 to 9. The candidate marker with least number of false positive was selected, sequenced, and was converted into a co-dominant, sequence-specific, simple PCR based marker suitable for routine implementation. Testing on 180 F₂ plants confirmed that the converted marker was linked to the R gene at 5.1 centiMorgan. The banding pattern of the converted marker was consistent with the disease phenotype on 23 out of the 24 cultivars. This marker, designated “AnManM1”, is now being used for MAS in the Australian lupin breeding program. We conclude that generation of multiple candidate markers, followed by a validation step to select the best marker before conversion to an implementable form is an efficient strategy to ensure wide applicability for MAS.     

Resolving the genetic basis of invasiveness and predicting invasions

Considerable effort has been invested in determining traits underlying invasiveness. Yet, identifying a set of traits that commonly confers invasiveness in a range of species has proven elusive, and almost nothing is known about genetic loci affecting invasive success. Incorporating genetic model organisms into ecologically relevant studies is one promising avenue to begin dissecting the genetic underpinnings of invasiveness. Molecular biologists are rapidly characterizing genes mediating developmental responses to diverse environmental cues, i.e., genes for plasticity, as well as to environmental factors likely to impose strong selection on invading species, e.g., resistance to herbivores and competitors, coordination of life-history events with seasonal changes, and physiological tolerance of heat, drought, or cold. Here, we give an overview of molecular genetic tools increasingly used to characterize the genetic basis of adaptation and that may be used to begin identifying genetic mechanisms of invasiveness. Given the divergent traits that affect invasiveness, “invasiveness genes” common to many clades are unlikely, but the combination of developmental genetic advances with further evolutionary studies and modeling may provide a framework for identifying genes that account for invasiveness in related species.     

Prey-induced changes to a predator's behaviour and morphology: Implications for shell-claw covariance in the northwest Atlantic

Whereas many plasticity studies demonstrate the importance of inducible defences among prey, far fewer investigate the potential role of inducible offences among predators. Here we ask if natural differences in a snail's shell hardness can induce developmental changes to a predatory crab's claw size. To do this, we fed Littorina obtusata snails from either thick- or thin-shelled populations to captive European green crabs Carcinus maenas. The crabs' shell-breaking behaviour dominated among those fed thin-shelled snails, whereas crabs fed thick-shelled snails mostly winkled flesh through the shell opening without damaging the shell itself (a.k.a. aperture-probing behaviour). Significantly, the size of crab crusher claws grew in proportion to the frequency of shell-crushing behaviour and, for a same shell-crushing frequency, crabs fed thick-shelled snails grew larger crusher claws than those fed thin-shelled snails after two experimental moults. Diet and behaviour had no effect on the growth of the smaller cutter claws of same individuals, providing good evidence that allometric changes to crusher claws were indeed a result of differential use while feeding. Findings indicate that both predation habits and claw sizes are affected by green crabs' diet, supporting the hypothesis that prey-induced phenotypic plasticity contributes to earlier accounts of shell-claw covariance between this predator and its Littorina prey in the wild.     

Influence of litter removal and mineral soil disturbance on the spread of an invasive grass in a Central Hardwood forest

Soil and litter disturbances within Central Hardwood forests may facilitate exotic plant species invasion of interior forest areas. Microstegium vimineum is an annual exotic grass that has become common throughout the Southeastern United States. Three replicates of three different mineral soil and litter disturbance treatments, plus a control with no disturbance, were established on the leading edge of M. vimineum patches prior to seed fall. All patches were located in areas with similar forest canopy structure and slope in three Central Hardwood forest stands prior to seed fall. At the beginning of the following growing season, each individual M. vimineum seedling was mapped within the treatment plots. The mean number of M. vimineum individuals that established within each treatment did not differ significantly from the control. The distance at which 90% of the individuals had spread, and the overall mean distance spread were significantly farther for the litter removal treatment than the control. The farthest individual seedling from the boundary of existing patches in both the litter removal and the mineral soil disturbance and litter removal treatments were significantly farther than the control. The individuals that spread the farthest are of most concern due to the large number of viable seed that a single M. vimineum plant can produce. These results suggest that disturbance of the litter layer may increase the spread rate of M. vimineum and facilitate its invasion of new habitats, and that leaving litter layers intact may slow the spread of M. vimineum.     

Predicting the Effectiveness of <Emphasis Type="Italic">Phragmites</Emphasis> Control Measures using a Rhizome Growth Potential Bioassay

In the last century, Phragmites australis (common reed) has expanded from a minor component of the mid-Atlantic tidal wetlands to a dominant species in many locations. Expansion of Phragmites results in decreased plant diversity and alterations to the tidal characteristics of the marsh, resulting in decreased wetland value. Management efforts have used a variety of strategies in an attempt to control its expansion. We tested a greenhouse bioassay that provided insight into the rhizome vitality of six herbicide-treated sites in the Alloway Creek Watershed, NJ well in advance of the growing season. At three sites, rhizomes were exhumed and classified by depth (0–25 cm and 25–75 cm) and appearance (color and firmness). Concurrently, the same protocol was followed, but conducted on an areal basis at three additional sites. Material was grown in sand under greenhouse conditions void of nutrient supplements for 70 days, after which shoots were removed and the rhizomes replanted for 30 days. Effectiveness of control strategies was quantified by examining rhizome color, vitality, and shoot densities in the field. Color was indicative of quality of rhizome reserves. Less than 0.2% of the firm, brown rhizomes produced shoots upon initial planting and none produced shoots upon replanting, whereas 50.9% of white rhizomes produced shoots on initial planting. Rhizome vitality was quantified by examining shoot emergence and the morphology of the shoots. Coupling rhizome vitality with observed field densities resulted in a predictive capability, and shoot density and biomass predictions were compared to field measurements in July 2001. We tested and accurately predicted the relative shoot densities and shoot biomass of the three sites for which we collected rhizome material on an areal basis. The result is a rapid, valuable, and cost-effective monitoring tool that can quickly quantify the effects of past control methods and predict future growth potential.     

Phytotoxic activity of caulerpenyne from the Mediterranean invasive variety of Caulerpa racemosa: a potential allelochemical

Allelopathy has been postulated as a factor in the colonisation success of Caulerpa racemosa var. cylindracea, an introduced chlorophyte alga which has become invasive in the Mediterranean Sea. In order to reveal their possible phytotoxic activity, secondary metabolites were isolated from a population growing in the Gulf of Naples (Italy) and tested on leaf tissue of the native seagrass Cymodocea nodosa, which often co-occurs with Caulerpa in nature. The seaweed metabolites were identified by ¹H and ¹³C NMR analysis and leaf portions of C. nodosa were exposed to crude diethyl ether extract and purified compounds in the laboratory, under controlled conditions of irradiance and temperature for a period of 144 h. Eventual changes in the photosynthetic performance of the seagrass tissue following the treatment were tested by monitoring its optimal quantum yield with a pulse amplitude modulated (PAM) fluorometer. One of the identified compounds, caulerpenyne, showed a phytotoxic effect, while the other purified metabolites did not reveal any effect at the assayed concentrations. Thus, our results seem to suggest a possible allelopathic activity of caulerpenyne, which may play a role in the successful competition of the invasive C. racemosa var. cylindracea with native macrophytes, such as seagrasses.     

The distribution and expansion of the invasive seagrass Halophila stipulacea in Dominica, West Indies, with a preliminary report from St. Lucia

The seagrass Halophila stipulacea Forsskål, native to the Red Sea, is an invasive species in the Mediterranean that was recently observed offshore Grenada, in the Caribbean. Here, we document the presence of this seagrass in Dominica and St. Lucia, demonstrating it has spread across part of the eastern Caribbean. H. stipulacea in Dominica was present in seven locations along the west coast covering more than 22.9 ha of the benthos, at depths from 2 to 18 m. Populations were concentrated in or adjacent to bays frequented by recreational or commercial boats, likely vectors for the introduction. Morphological features varied from bed to bed, with depth being the predominant driving factor. H. stipulacea had a rapid mean lateral bed expansion rate of 0.5 cm d⁻¹, with a maximum rate of >6 cm d⁻¹. H. stipulacea patches often occurred exclusive of the otherwise dominant seagrasses of the Caribbean. The potential for the expansion of H. stipulacea, combined with its tolerance for a wide spectrum of environmental conditions, positions it as a potential threat to local and regional biodiversity.     

Evaluating the impact of a biological control parasitoid on invasive Vespula wasps in a natural forest ecosystem

The overall impact of the parasitoid Sphecophaga vesparum vesparum on invasive Vespula wasps in New Zealand native beech forest was evaluated by assessing the levels of parasitism achieved and the parasitoid’s effect at nest level and population level. The maximum proportion of nests parasitised was 17%, but there was no significant increase with time (r² = 0.139; p = 0.115). However, there was an exponential reduction in the number of parasitoids produced per parasitised nest from a peak of 570 (SE = 143) parasitoids per nest in 1990, declining to only 15 (SE = 6) parasitoids per nest in 2004. Even when parasitoid density was high, the parasitoid had no detectable impact on the number of small cells or the total host nest size, but it halved the number of large (reproductive) cells produced. This may have resulted in fewer queens produced per parasitised nest. Wasp nest density was highly variable from year to year, but there was no evidence that the wasp population density at the parasitised site (Pelorus Bridge) had declined relative to the five sites where the parasitoid had not established. We conclude that the parasitoid is unlikely to have had any significant effect on wasp populations hitherto, nor is it likely to impact host populations in the future. We recommend other biological control programs adopt pre-release assessment of per capita impact as a way of identifying agents that are more likely to be successful and hence minimising economic and potential ecological costs of biocontrol.