Trends in breast cancer survival in Germany from 1976 to 2008--a period analysis by age and stage

Background: Implementation of mammography screening and advances in breast cancer treatment are considered as main reasons for the decline in breast cancer mortality observed in many industrialized countries during the past two decades. The purpose of this study was to provide a comprehensive assessment of trends in breast cancer incidence, mortality and survival by age and stage in Germany. Methods: Data from the population based Saarland Cancer Registry including patients diagnosed with breast cancer from 1972 to 2007 were used. Period analysis methods were employed to calculate 5-year relative survival and its trends. Results: Mortality started to decline during the 1990s, and a previous increase in incidence levelled off in the early 21st century. Overall age-standardized 5-year relative survival of invasive breast cancer steadily increased during the past three decades to 83% in 2004–2008. This increase was mostly due to an increase in survival for patients with localized cancers and locally or regionally spread tumours (increase of age-standardized 5-year relative survival from 92% to 98% and from 65% to 80%, respectively, between 1992 and 2008), whereas age-standardized 5-year relative survival essentially remained unchanged at levels close to 21% in patients with metastasized cancer. For women aged 70 years or older 5-year relative survival and its increase over time were inferior compared to younger patients. Conclusions: The observed trends in population based survival suggest that advances in treatment of early breast cancer have substantially contributed to the gain in prognosis. The poor prognosis of metastasized breast cancer patients and the increasing age gradient in 5-year relative survival call for enhanced efforts for early detection and more rigorous treatment of elderly patients.     

Time since childbirth and prognosis in primary breast cancer: population based study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether time since birth of last child was of prognostic importance in women with primary breast cancer. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study based on a population based database of breast cancer diagnoses with detailed information on tumour characteristics, treatment regimens, reproductive factors, and vital status. SETTING: Denmark. SUBJECTS: 5652 women with primary breast cancer aged 45 years or less at the time of diagnosis. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: 5 and 10 year survival; relative risk of dying. RESULTS: Women diagnosed in the first 2 years after last childbirth had a crude 5 year survival of 58.7% and 10 year survival of 46.1% compared with 78.4% and 66.0% for women whose last childbirth was more than 2 years before their diagnosis. After adjustment for age, reproductive factors, and stage of disease (tumour size, axillary nodal status, and histological grading), a diagnosis sooner than 2 years since last childbirth was significantly associated with a poor survival (relative risk 1.58, 95% confidence interval 1.24 to 2.02) compared with women who gave birth more than 5 years previously. Further analyses showed that the effect was not modified by age at diagnosis, tumour size, and nodal status. CONCLUSIONS: A diagnosis of breast cancer less than 2 years after having given birth is associated with a particularly poor survival irrespective of the stage of disease at debut. Therefore, a recent pregnancy should be regarded as a negative prognostic factor and should be considered in counselling these patients and in the decisions regarding adjuvant treatment.     

Melanoma in people aged 65 and over in Scotland, 1979-89.

OBJECTIVE--Detailed analysis of primary cutaneous melanoma first diagnosed in Scotland in patients aged 65 and over. DESIGN--Comparison of changing incidence, sex distribution, site, histogenetic type, tumour thickness, and prognosis of all primary cutaneous melanomas in patients aged 65 and over diagnosed in Scotland in the 11 years 1979-89 with similar data for patients aged under 65. SETTING--Data were obtained from the Scottish Melanoma Group''s database, established in 1979, which aims to record detailed clinical, pathological, and surgical follow up details of all primary cutaneous melanomas registered in Scotland. PATIENTS--1430 patients (954 women, 476 men) aged 65 and over; comprising over a third of the 3903 patients with primary melanoma recorded for all age groups in Scotland during this period. RESULTS--The overall incidence of melanoma in patients aged 65 and over increased from 12.2/100,000 in 1979 to 20.7/100,000 in 1989, with the greatest increase seen in older men, from 7.8/100,000 in 1979 to 18.0/100,000 in 1989. The site most commonly affected was the face in both men and women (33% of all tumours). The most common histogenetic type was superficial spreading melanoma. 526 patients (37%) had melanomas with a tumour thickness of 3.5 mm or greater in the older age group, compared with 453 patients (18%) in those aged under 65. The highest proportion of thick tumours was seen in older men. Five year survival figures for 616 patients diagnosed between 1979 and 1984 were 88%, 66%, and 47% for thin, intermediate, and thick tumours respectively. Overall five year survival for the older age group was 64% compared with 78% for the younger age group. CONCLUSION--The increase in melanoma in the elderly and the high proportion of thick tumours, especially in men, require a specific educational programme for both primary and secondary prevention directed towards the older population.     

Five-year survival of women with breast cancer in northern Alberta.

Five-year survival rates for all 519 women with breast carcinoma in northern Alberta in 1971 and 1972 were analysed with the use of data from the computerized northern Alberta breast registry and the Alberta cancer registry. The relative 5-year survival was 73%, which is higher than most rates reported from other centres. Lymph node involvement was significant as a prognostic factor, with the relative 5-year survival falling from 92% in the group without lymph node involvement to 58% in the group with three or more involved nodes. The prognosis was also significantly affected by the stage of the disease according to the 1973 TNM classification: the 5-year survival rates ranged from 88% for patients with stage 1 disease to 17% for those with stage IV disease. Women 40 to 59 years of age had a higher survival rate (79%) than those under 40 years (65%) or over 60 years (66%) of age. Analyses by 5-year age groups showed that women 35 to 39 years old had a particularly poor survival rate (59%). Postmenopausal women less than 55 years old had a higher survival rate than did perimenopausal or premenopausal women in the same age group. Further follow-up is indicated to correlate possible high-risk factors with survival.     

Pregnancy-Associated Breast Cancer in Taiwanese Women: Potential Treatment Delay and Impact on Survival

This study investigated the clinicopathologic characteristics and survival of women diagnosed with pregnancy-associated breast cancer (PABC) in Taiwan. PABC is defined as breast cancer diagnosed during pregnancy or within 1 year after obstetric delivery. Our sample of PABC patients (N = 26) included all patients diagnosed at a major medical center in northern Taiwan from 1984 through 2009. Among these patients, 15 were diagnosed during pregnancy and 11 were diagnosed within 1 year after delivery. The comparison group included 104 patients within the same age range as the PABC patients and diagnosed with breast cancer not associated with pregnancy from 2004 through 2009 at the same hospital. Patients'' initiating treatment delayed, 5-year and 10-year overall survival were delineated by stratified Kaplan-Meier estimates. Patients'' characteristics were associated with initiating treatment delayed was evaluated with multivariate proportional hazards modeling. Antepartum PABC patients were younger and had longer time between diagnosis and treatment initiation than postpartum PABC patients. The predictor of treatment delayed was including birth parity, cancer stage, and pregnancy. The PABC group had larger tumors, more advanced cancer stage, and tumors with less progesterone receptor than the comparison group. The antepartum PABC patients had higher mortality than postpartum PABC and comparison groups within 5 years after diagnosis. Based on these results, we confirmed that pregnant women with breast cancer were more likely to delay treatment. Therefore, we recommend that breast cancer screening should be integrated into the prenatal and postnatal routine visits for early detection of the women''s breast problems.     

Recent trends in breast cancer incidence rates in the Loire-Atlantique,France: A decline since 2003

Background: A recent decline in breast cancer incidence rates has been reported in the United States and in Europe. This decrease has been partly attributed to the reduced use of hormone replacement therapy (HRT). No study in Europe has detailed recent breast cancer incidence trends both by hormonal receptor status and mode of detection at an individual level. Methods: We examined trends in breast cancer incidence rates in the French administrative area of Loire-Atlantique between 1991 and 2007, by age, mode of detection, histological subtype, estrogen/progesterone receptor (ER/PR) status and grade. Annual age-standardized breast cancer incidence rates were estimated using the Loire-Atlantique and Vendée Cancer Registry data. Annual percentage changes (APCs) were estimated using an age-adjusted Poisson regression model. Results: Incidence rates of breast cancer increased 3.5% per year in 1991–2003, dropped ?4.3% per year in 2003–2006 and increased in 2007 (9.1%). Stratified analyses by age groups showed that the decrease concerned predominantly women aged 50–64 years, whereas an increasing proportion of cancers detected by organized screening was observed in this age group. Among these women, the decline of incidence particularly concerned positive estrogen and progesterone receptor tumors, lobular subtype tumors, and low-grade tumors. Conclusion: The drop in breast cancer incidence rates observed between 2003 and 2006 in women 50–64 years old was greater for ER+PR+ tumors. During the same period, the incidence of breast cancers diagnosed by organized screening increased. These patterns appear consistent with an impact of the reduced use of HRT.     

Risk of cancer of the breast after legal abortion during first trimester: a Swedish register study.

An increase in induced abortions in Sweden has been accompanied by an increase in the incidence of breast cancer of about 40% in women aged 20-44. To assess whether the apparent risk is real the risk of breast cancer was investigated in practically all Swedish women with a history of a legal abortion in the first trimester before the age of 30 during 1966-74 (n = 49,000). The cohort was followed up in the Swedish cancer register to identify cases of breast cancer diagnosed more than five years after the abortion until the end of 1984. The number of observed cases of breast cancer was 65 compared with an expected number of 84.5, estimated from the contemporary Swedish population with due consideration to age, giving a relative risk of 0.8 (95% confidence interval 0.58 to 0.99). Contrary to most earlier reports, this study did not indicate any overall increased risk of breast cancer after an induced abortion in the first trimester in young women.     

Sex Differences in Colorectal Cancer Survival: Population-Based Analysis of 164,996 Colorectal Cancer Patients in Germany

Risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) is considerably higher in men compared to women; however, there is inconclusive evidence of sex differences in CRC prognosis. We aimed to assess and explain sex differences in 5-year relative survival using standard and model-based period analysis among 164,996 patients diagnosed with CRC from 1997 to 2006 and reported to 11 German cancer registries covering a population of 33 million inhabitants. Age-adjusted 5-year relative survival was higher in women (64.5% vs. 61.9%, P<0.0001). A substantial survival advantage of women was confirmed in multivariate analysis after adjusting for CRC stage and subsite in subjects under 65 years of age (relative excess risk, RER 0.86, 95% CI 0.82–0.90), but not in older subjects (RER 1.01, 95% CI 0.98–1.04); this pattern was similar in the 1st and in the 2nd to 5th year after diagnosis. The survival advantage of women varied by CRC stage and age and was most pronounced for localized disease (RERs 0.59–0.88 in various age subgroups) and in patients under 45 years of age (RERs 0.59, 0.72 and 0.76 in patients with localized, regional or advanced disease, respectively). On the contrary, sex differences in survival did not vary by location of CRC. In conclusion, our large population-based study confirmed a survival advantage of female compared to male CRC patients, most notably in young and middle aged patients and patients with localized disease. The effect of sex hormones, either endogenous or through hormonal replacement therapy, might be the most plausible explanation for the observed patterns.     

Subsite- and stage-specific colorectal cancer trends in Estonia prior to implementation of screening

BackgroundThe occurrence of colorectal cancer (CRC) in Estonia has been characterised by increasing incidence, low survival and no screening. The study aimed to examine long-term incidence and survival trends of CRC in Estonia with specific focus on subsite and stage.MethodsWe analysed CRC incidence and relative survival using Estonian Cancer Registry data on all cases of colorectal cancer (ICD-10 C18–21) diagnosed in 1995–2014. TNM classification was used to categorise stage.ResultsAge-standardized incidence of colon cancer increased both in men and women at a rate of approximately 1% per year. Significant increase was seen for right-sided tumours, but not for left-sided tumours. Rectal cancer incidence increased significantly only in men and anal cancer incidence only in women. Age-standardized five-year relative survival for colon cancer increased from 50% in 1995–1999 to 59% in 2010–2014; for rectal cancer, from 38% to 56%. Colon cancer survival improved significantly for left-sided tumours (from 51% to 62%) and stage IV disease (from 6% to 15%). For rectal cancer, significant survival gain was seen for stage II (from 58% to 75%), stage III (from 34% to 70%) and stage IV (from 1% to 12%).ConclusionIn the pre-screening era in Estonia, increase in colon cancer incidence was limited to right-sided tumours. Large stage-specific survival gain, particularly for rectal cancer, was probably due to better staging and advances in multimodality treatment. Nonetheless, more than one quarter of new CRC cases are diagnosed at stage IV, emphasising the need for an efficient screening program.     

Human small breast epithelial mucin: the promise of a new breast tumor biomarker

Breast cancer remains one of the most frequently diagnosed cancers today. In developed countries, one in eight women is expected to present with breast cancer within her lifetime and an estimated 1,000,000 cases are detected each year worldwide (Canadian Cancer Statistics, http://www.cancer.ca/vgn/images/ portal/cit_86751114/14/33/1959864 11niw_stats2004_en.pdf). For women with recurrent disease, the median time of survival is about 2 years. Despite optimal surgery, adjuvant irradiation, hormonal treatment, and chemotherapy, approximately 30% of patients with localized breast cancer finally develop distant metastases. Early detection, which enables intervention at a localized and potentially curable stage, remains a central goal in breast cancer treatment. Indeed, the 5-year survival rate for women with breast cancer has been shown to increase dramatically when the disease is diagnosed at an early stage: from less than 25% in women with disseminated cancer to about 75% in patients with regional disease and over 95% in women with a localized tumor (Breast Cancer Facts and Figures, 2001-2002, http://www.cancer.org/downloads/STT/BrCaFF 2001.pdf). Unfortunately, only 60% of all breast cancers are diagnosed at a local stage. Any improvement in early detection through identification of tumor biomarkers would have a significant impact on reducing overall breast cancer mortality.     

Management of women at increased risk for breast cancer: preliminary results from a new program

OBJECTIVE: To examine the characteristics of malignant tumours that develop in women undergoing surveillance for increased risk for breast cancer and to identify presentation patterns in order to determine the respective roles of mammography, clinical breast examination (CBE) and breast self-examination (BSE). SETTING: Breast Diagnostic Clinic and Familial Breast Cancer Clinic at Toronto-Sunnybrook Regional Cancer Centre. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 1044 women evaluated for breast cancer risk from Oct. 1, 1990, to Dec. 31, 1996, of whom 381 were categorized as being at high risk, 204 as being at moderate risk, 401 as being at slightly increased risk and 58 as being at no appreciably increased risk. PROGRAM COMPONENTS: Comprehensive review and discussion of risk factors, clinical assessment, surveillance recommendations that include mammography, CBE and BSE, genetics consultation (Familial Breast Cancer Clinic) and psychosocial support. Data are captured prospectively, updated at each visit and audited every 3 to 6 months. PROGRAM OUTCOMES: During the study period breast cancer was diagnosed in 24 patients, 12 in the high-risk group, 4 in the moderate-risk group and 8 in the group at slightly increased risk. The mean age at diagnosis was 47 (range 32 to 82) years. Ten cases of cancer were diagnosed during surveillance (incident cancer), 5 in women under age 50. The mean length of time from initial assessment to diagnosis was 28.6 (range 12 to 51) months. Of the 24 women, 17 reported a family history of breast cancer. The mean age at diagnosis in this cohort was 45.5 years, and the diagnosis was made under age 50 in 10 patients (59%). The mean earliest age at which breast cancer was diagnosed in a family member was 42.5 years. CONCLUSIONS: These preliminary results suggest that surveillance of women at increased risk for breast cancer may be useful in detecting disease at an early stage. The regular performance of mammography, CBE and BSE appears necessary to achieve these results.     

Comparison of breast carcinomas diagnosed in the 1980s with those diagnosed in the 1940s to 1960s.

OBJECTIVE--To find out if breast carcinomas diagnosed in the 1980s differ from those diagnosed a few decades ago. DESIGN--Retrospective comparative cohort study. SETTING--City of Turku, south western Finland. PATIENTS--439 patients with breast carcinoma diagnosed in 1945-65 with a median follow up of 27 years (95% of all those histologically diagnosed in Turku); and 370 patients with breast carcinoma diagnosed in 1980-4 with a median follow up of 6 years (94% of all those histologically diagnosed in Turku). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Breast cancer incidence, mortality from breast cancer, age at diagnosis, stage of cancer, seven histological factors, DNA ploidy. RESULTS--Age adjusted incidence of breast cancer increased from 30.8/100,000 person years in 1953-7 to 62.2/100,000 in 1983-7; mortality in breast cancer increased from 16.7 to 17.2/100,000 person years. Survival of patients with stages II to IV (but not with stage I) improved. The mean age at diagnosis increased from 55.5 years in 1945-55 to 62.5 years in 1980-4 (p less than 0.0001); the proportion of patients with T0-1 carcinomas increased from 13% to 41% (p less than 0.0001) and with pN0 carcinomas from 43% to 55% (p = 0.003) from 1945-65 to 1980-4. There was no change in histological type or DNA ploidy of breast cancer, but in the 1980-4 cohort carcinomas were more often well differentiated, had lower mitotic counts and less nuclear pleomorphism, more often had a well defined tumour margin, and had less tumour necrosis. There was, however, no difference between the two cohorts in these histological characteristics except for tumour necrosis when they were compared in a multivariate log linear model at a given size of primary tumour. CONCLUSION--Improved survival with breast cancer can at least partially be explained by detection of increased numbers of small carcinomas with favourable histological characteristics.     

Survival after Locoregional Recurrence or Second Primary Breast Cancer: Impact of the Disease-Free Interval

The association between the disease-free interval (DFI) and survival after a locoregional recurrence (LRR) or second primary (SP) breast cancer remains uncertain. The objective of this study is to clarify this association to obtain more information on expected prognosis. Women first diagnosed with early breast cancer between 2003–2006 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. LRRs and SP tumours within five years of first diagnosis were examined. The five-year period was subsequently divided into three equal intervals. Prognostic significance of the DFI on survival after a LRR or SP tumour was determined using Kaplan-Meier estimates and multivariable Cox regression analysis. Follow-up was complete until January 1, 2014. A total of 37,278 women was included in the analysis. LRRs or SP tumours were diagnosed in 890 (2,4%) and 897 (2,4%) respectively. Longer DFI was strongly and independently related to an improved survival after a LRR (long versus short: HR 0.65, 95% CI 0.48–0.88; medium versus short HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.65–1.01). Other factors related to improved survival after LRR were younger age (<70 years) and surgical removal of the recurrence. No significant association was found between DFI and survival after SP tumours. This is the first study to explore the association between the DFI and survival after recurrence in a nationwide population-based cancer registry. The DFI before a LRR is an independent prognostic factor for survival, with a longer DFI predicting better prognosis.     

Population based survival rates for childhood cancer in Britain, 1980-91.

OBJECTIVES--To investigate the survival of children with cancer diagnosed during 1980-91 in order to assess the impact of developments in medical care on a population basis. DESIGN--Retrospective cohort study. SETTING--Great Britain. SUBJECTS--14973 children with cancer diagnosed during 1980-91 and included in the population based National Registry of Childhood Tumours. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Actuarial survival rates. RESULTS--For all cancers combined, two year survival increased from 66% to 76% between 1980-2 and 1989-91, and five year survival increased from 57% to 65% between 1980-2 and 1986-8. Significant increases in survival rates occurred among children with acute lymphoblastic leukaemia, acute nonlymphocytic leukaemia, retinoblastoma, osteosarcoma, Ewing''s sarcoma, rhabdomyosarcoma, and malignant gonadal germ cell tumours. No trend in survival was seen for children with Hodgkin''s disease, central nervous system tumours, neuroblastoma, or Wilms''s tumour. CONCLUSIONS--Nearly two thirds of children who have cancer diagnosed can now expect to survive at least 10 years.     

Mammographic screening and mortality from breast cancer: the Malm? mammographic screening trial.

STUDY OBJECTIVE--To determine whether mortality from breast cancer could be reduced by repeated mammographic screening. DESIGN--Birth year cohorts of city population separately randomised into study and control groups. SETTING--Screening clinic outside main hospital. PATIENTS--Women aged over 45; 21,088 invited for screening and 21,195 in control group. INTERVENTIONS--Women in the study group were invited to attend for mammographic screening at intervals of 18-24 months. Five rounds of screening were completed. Breast cancer was treated according to stage at diagnosis. END POINT--Mortality from breast cancer. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS--All women were followed up and classed at end point as alive without breast cancer, alive with breast cancer, dead from breast cancer, or dead from other causes. Cause of death was taken from national mortality registry and for patients with breast cancer was validated independently. Mean follow up was 8.8 years. Altogether 588 cases of breast cancer were diagnosed in the study group and 447 in the control group; 99 v 94 women died of all causes and 63 v 66 women died of breast cancer (no significant difference; relative risk 0.96 (95% confidence interval 0.68 to 1.35)). In the study group 29% more women aged less than 55 died of breast cancer (28 v 22; relative risk 1.29 (0.74 to 2.25)). More women in the study group died from breast cancer in the first seven years; after that the trend reversed, especially in women aged greater than or equal to 55 at entry. Overall, women in the study group aged greater than or equal to 55 had a 20% reduction in mortality from breast cancer (35 v 44; relative risk 0.79 (0.51 to 1.24)). OTHER FINDINGS--In the study group 100 (17%) cancers appeared in intervals between screenings and 107 (18%) in non-attenders; 51 of these women died from breast cancer. Cancers classed as stages II-IV comprised 33% (190/579) of cancers in the study group and 52% (231/443) in the control group. CONCLUSIONS--Invitation to mammographic screening may lead to reduced mortality from breast cancer, at least in women aged 55 or over.     

Under-use of adjuvant chemotherapy in women aged ≥70 years diagnosed with breast cancer in a university hospital

Introduction

Patient age often limits the therapeutic efforts of the oncologist. The aim of this study was to determine whether chemotherapy is used less frequently in elderly women aged 65-69 years diagnosed with breast cancer, compared to younger women.

Methods

A retrospective study was performed including women greater than 65 years old who had localised breast cancer and were treated at a University Hospital. Patients were classified into two groups, 65-69 years old and ≥ 70 years old. The differences in patient characteristics, tumour characteristics, chemotherapy treatment and chemotherapy-associated toxicity were analysed in both groups.

Results

A total of 164 women, with an average age of 73.7 years, were included in this study. There were no significant differences in the characteristics of the patients or their tumours. However, 75% of women <70 years old were treated with chemotherapy compared to just 34% of the older women (P<.001). The resulting levels of toxicity were similar between age groups.

Conclusions

Women ≥ 70 years old were treated with chemotherapy less frequently, even though the features and tumour characteristics of the women, as well as the toxicity of the treatment, were similar to that in younger women.     

Socioeconomic inequalities in breast cancer survival in Reunion Island: The contribution of stage at diagnosis as a mediator

IntroductionAlthough breast cancer survival has improved in France, it appears that women living in deprived areas are more likely to die from breast cancer. However, no study has yet examined socioeconomic inequalities in breast cancer survival in La Réunion. Our objective was to examine whether socioeconomic inequalities in breast cancer survival exist in Reunion Island and whether stage at diagnosis could partly explain these differences.MethodsA population-based cohort study of all women on Reunion Island with primary breast cancer diagnosed between 2008 and 2016 was conducted. Each woman was assigned a deprivation index based on her area of residence at diagnosis. Net survival by deprivation group and stage at diagnosis was estimated by the non parametric Pohar Perme method. The role of stage (indirect effect) was assessed using a mediation analysis extended to the relative survival framework.ResultsAt five years, net survival was significantly lower in women living in the most deprived areas than in women living in the least deprived areas (81 % (95 % CI 77–86) and 91 % (95 % CI 89–94), respectively, p < 0.0001), and mediation analysis showed that the contribution of stage at diagnosis to these survival differences was 43 %.DiscussionOur result shows that although measures to promote earlier diagnosis are important, they would only reduce socioeconomic inequalities in breast cancer survival by 43 %. To further investigate these inequalities, future research should explore the role of unmeasured mediators, such as comorbidities and treatment received, as well as the impact of specific interventions that might address the differences in mediator distribution.     

An epidemiological study of oral contraceptives and breast cancer

During 1968-77, 707 women aged 16-50 years with newly diagnosed breast cancer and 707 matched controls were interviewed at eight teaching hospitals in London and Oxford about their use of oral contraceptives. Eighty-six of the patients with breast cancer were matched with controls with gall-bladder disease; these subjects were omitted from the main analyses, which thus related to 621 case-control pairs.The results were reassuring. A few statistically significant differences in oral contraceptive use were found between the breast cancer and control groups, but the data were subdivided in many ways, so that some “significant” differences would have been expected to occur by chance. The only subgroup in which the evidence for a positive association between pill use and breast cancer was at all convincing comprised women aged 46-50 years, but trends in those aged 41-45 were by and large in the opposite direction and results of combined analysis gave no cause for concern.Information on clinical stage was available for 487 patients with breast cancer treated before the end of 1975. Those who had never used oral contraceptives had appreciably more advanced tumours at presentation than those who had been using the pill during the year before detection of the lump, while past users of the pill occupied an intermediate position. This difference in staging was reflected in the pattern of survival. Oral contraceptives may have had a beneficial effect on tumour growth and spread, though diagnostic bias could not be definitely excluded.     

Survival outcome of care by specialist surgeons in breast cancer: a study of 3786 patients in the west of Scotland.

OBJECTIVE--To compare survival outcome for patients with breast cancer cared for by specialist and non-specialist surgeons in a geographically defined area. DESIGN--Retrospective study of all female patients aged under 75 years in the area treated between 1980 and June 1988 (before breast screening began). Patients were identified from the cancer registry and from pathology records of all hospitals in the area. Specialist surgeons were identified by one author. All other surgeons caring for patients from the area were considered non-specialists. SETTING--A geographically defined population in urban west of Scotland. SUBJECTS--3786 patients with histologically verified breast cancer operated on between 1 January 1980 and 30 June 1988 and followed to 31 December 1993. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Five and 10 year survival rates for specialists and non-specialists; relative hazard ratios derived from Cox''s proportional hazards model adjusted for prognostic factors--age, socioeconomic status, tumour size, and nodal involvement. RESULTS--The five year survival rate was 9% higher and the 10 year survival 8% higher for patients cared for by specialist surgeons. A reduction in risk of dying of 16% (95% confidence interval 6% to 25%) was found after adjustment for age, tumour size, socioeconomic status, and nodal involvement. The benefit of specialist care was apparent for all age groups, for small and large tumours, and for tumours that did and did not affect the nodes and was consistent across all socioeconomic categories. CONCLUSIONS--Survival differences of the magnitude demonstrated have implications for the provision of services for the treatment of women with breast cancer. There is a need to improve equity in the treatment of breast cancer.     

Trends in disability-adjusted life years of lung cancer among women from 2004 to 2030 in Guangzhou,China: A population-based study

BackgroundForecast of disease burden in lung cancer is an important health agenda. One of the main challenges is to predict the evolution of trends in disability-adjusted life year (DALY) of lung cancer so as to anticipate the future burden and to coordinate the supply of sufficient health services and care.MethodsUsing 2004–2013 cancer registry data in Guangzhou, we fitted Bayesian age-period-cohort models with age, period, and cohort effects to analyze trends of lung cancer among women, and then made forecast for DALY of lung cancer until 2030.ResultsDuring 2004–2013, there was an annual average of 10,582 DALYs for lung cancer (15.84% of total DALY). In 2014–2030, DALY is expected to reach 234,752 person-years for lung cancer (12.25% of total DALY), with an annual mean of 13,809 DALYs. Lung cancer crude DALY rate is projected to rise steadily from 257.56 (95% uncertainty interval: 165.97–361.22) in 2014 to 316.99 (219.96–419.41) per 100,000 women in 2030, and the rise is mainly seen in 45–64 years age group. Lung cancer DALY rate remains the highest in the 65–89 years age group.ConclusionsWomen at 65–89 years carry the highest lung cancer burden among other age groups in Guangzhou. The DALY rate of lung cancer is projected to increase most precipitously for the 45–64 years age group. This indicates that concerted efforts are needed to develop adequate cancer services, and to reassess health resources for control and care of lung cancer in these populations.