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1.
IntroductionBreast cancer is the most common malignancy in Mexican women since 2006. However, due to a lack of cancer registries, data is scarce. We sought to describe breast cancer trends in Mexico using population-based data from a national database and to analyze geographical and age-related differences in incidence and mortality rates.MethodsAll incident breast cancer cases reported to the National Epidemiological Surveillance System and all breast cancer deaths registered by the National Institute of Statistics and Geography in Mexico from 2001 to 2011 were included. Incidence and mortality rates were calculated for each age group and for 3 geographic regions of the country. Joinpoint regression analysis was performed to examine trends in BC incidence and mortality. We estimated annual percentage change (APC) using weighted least squares log-linear regression.ResultsWe found an increase in the reported national incidence, with an APC of 5.9% (95% CI 4.1–7.7, p < 0.05). Women aged 60–65 had the highest increase in incidence (APC 7.89%; 95% CI 5.5 −10.3, p < 0.05). Reported incidence rates were significantly increased in the Center and in the South of the country, while in the North they remained stable. Mortality rates also showed a significant increase, with an APC of 0.4% (95% CI 0.1–0.7, p < 0.05). Women 85 and older had the highest increase in mortality (APC 2.99%, 95% CI 1.9–4.1; p < 0.05).ConclusionsThe reporting of breast cancer cases in Mexico had a continuous increase, which could reflect population aging, increased availability of screening, an improvement in the number of clinical facilities and better reporting of cases. Although an improvement in the detection of cases is the most likely explanation for our findings, our results point towards an epidemiological transition in Mexico and should help in guiding national policy in developing countries.  相似文献   

2.
PurposeTo examine the overall and stage-specific age-adjusted incidence, 5-year survival and mortality rates of bladder cancer (BCa) in the United States, between 1973 and 2009.Materials and methodsA total of 148,315 BCa patients were identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database, between years 1973 and 2009. Incidence, mortality, and 5-year cancer-specific survival rates were calculated. Temporal trends were quantified using the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) and linear regression models. All analyses were stratified according to disease stage, and further examined according to sex, race, and age groups.ResultsIncidence rate of BCa increased from 21.0 to 25.5/100,000 person-years between 1973 and 2009. Stage-specific analyses revealed an increase incidence for localized stage: 15.4–20.2 (EAPC: +0.5%, p < 0.001) and distant stage: 0.5–0.8 (EAPC: +0.7%, p = 0.001). Stage-specific 5-year survival rates increased for all stages, except for distant disease. No significant changes in mortality were recorded among localized (EAPC: ?0.2%, p = 0.1) and regional stage (EAPC: ?0.1%, p = 0.5). An increase in mortality rates was observed among distant stage (EAPC: +1.0%, p = 0.005). Significant variations in incidence and mortality were recorded when estimates were stratified according to sex, race, and age groups.DiscussionAlbeit statistically significant, virtually all changes in incidence and mortality were minor, and hardly of any clinical importance. Little or no change in BCa cancer control outcomes has been achieved during the study period.  相似文献   

3.
IntroductionThis paper presents race-specific prostate cancer mortality rates and the corresponding disparities for the largest cities in the US over two decades.MethodsThe 50 largest cities in the US were the units of analysis. Data from two 5-year periods were analyzed: 1990–1994 and 2005–2009. Numerator data were abstracted from national death files where the cause was malignant neoplasm of prostate (prostate cancer) (ICD9 = 185 and ICD10 = C61). Population-based denominators were obtained from US Census data. To measure the racial disparity, we calculated non-Hispanic Black: non-Hispanic White rate ratios (RRs), rate differences (RDs), and corresponding confidence intervals for each 5-year period. We also calculated correlation and unadjusted regression coefficients for 11 city-level variables, such as segregation and median income, and the RDs.ResultsAt the final time point (2005–2009), the US and all 41 cities included in the analyses had a RR greater than 1 (indicating that the Black rate was higher than the White rate) (range = 1.13 in Minneapolis to 3.24 in Los Angeles), 37 of them statistically significantly so. The US and 26 of the 41 cities saw an increase in the Black:White RR between the time points. The level of disparity within a city was associated with the degree of Black segregation.ConclusionThis analysis revealed large disparities in Black:White prostate cancer mortality in the US and many of its largest cities over the past two decades. The data show considerable variation in the degree of disparity across cities, even among cities within the same state. This type of specific city-level data can be used to motivate public health professionals, government officials, cancer control agencies, and community-based organizations in cities with large or increasing disparities to demand more resources, focus research efforts, and implement effective policy and programmatic changes in order to combat this highly prevalent condition.  相似文献   

4.
BackgroundChanges in the burden of cancer mortality are expected to be observed among Spanish women. We predict those changes, in Spain, for breast cancer (BC), colorectal cancer (CRC), lung cancer (LC) and pancreatic cancer (PC) from 2013 to 2022.MethodsBayesian age–period–cohort modeling was used to perform projections of the cancer burden in 2013–2022, extrapolating the trend of cancer mortality data from 1998 to 2012. We assessed the time trends of the crude rates (CRs) during 1998–2012, and compared the number of cancer deaths between the periods 2008–2012 and 2018–2022 to assess the contribution of demographic changes and changes in the risk factors for cancer.ResultsDuring 1998–2012, CRs of cancer decreased for BC (0.3% per year) and increased for LC (4.7%), PC (2%) and CRC (0.7%). During 2013–2022, CRs might level off for CRC, whereas the time trends for the remaining cancers might continue at a similar pace. During 2018–2022, BC could be surpassed by CRC as the most frequent cause of cancer mortality among Spanish women, whereas LC could be the most common cause of cancer mortality among women aged 50–69 years (N/year = 1960 for BC versus N/year = 1981 for LC). Comparing 2018–2022 and 1998–2012, changes in the risk factors for cancer could contribute 37.93% and 18.36% to the burden of LC and PC, respectively, and demographic shifts – mainly due to ageing (19.27%) – will drive the burden of CRC.ConclusionsDuring 2018–2022, demographic changes (ageing) and changes in risk factors could have a different impact on the lifetime risk of cancer among Spanish women.  相似文献   

5.
PurposeTranslesion DNA synthesis (TLS) plays an important role in promoting replication through DNA lesions. Genetic polymorphisms in TLS genes may have potential roles in lung cancer development in humans.MethodsWe evaluated the association between genetic variants in six TLS genes and the risk and survival of lung cancer in a case–control study in China. Included in the study are 224 lung cancer patients and 448 healthy controls.ResultsCarriers of the G allele of POLκ rs5744724 had significantly reduced risk of lung cancer (odds ratio (OR) = 0.62, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.44–0.89), comparing with those carrying the C allele, and the AA genotype of PCNA rs25406 was also associated with significantly decreased cancer risk compared with the major homozygote alleles (OR = 0.47, 95% CI: 0.25–0.86). Haplotype analysis showed that subjects with the POLκ C-G (rs5744533–rs5744724) haplotype had decreased risk of lung cancer (OR = 0.69, 95% CI: 0.49–0.98), comparing with those carrying the C-C haplotype. Besides, the heterozygote of REV1 rs3087386 and rs3792136 were independent prognostic factors for lung cancer survival with hazard radio (HR) 1.54 (95% CI: 1.12–2.12) and 1.44 (95% CI: 1.06–1.97) respectively.ConclusionsOur findings suggested that genetic variants in POLκ and PCNA genes may play roles in the susceptibility of lung cancer, and REV1 gene may have roles in lung cancer survival in Chinese men.  相似文献   

6.
Objective: Area–age–period–cohort (AAPC) model has been widely used in studying the spatial and temporal pattern of disease incidence and mortality rates. However, lack of biological plausibility and ease of interpretability on temporal components especially for age effects are generally the weakness of AAPC models. We develop a Bayesian AAPC model where carcinogenesis age effect is incorporated to explain age effects from the underlying disease process. An autoregressive prior structure and an arbitrary linear constraint are used to solve the nonidentifiability issues. Methods: Two multistage carcinogenesis models are employed to derive the hazard functions to substitute the age effects in the AAPC models. The Iowa county-wide lung cancer mortality data are used for the model fitting and Deviance Information Criteria (DIC) is used for model comparison. Results: Our study shows that conventional AAPC model (DIC = 19,231.30), AAPC model with Armitage–Doll age effect (DIC = 19,233.00) and with two-stage clonal expansion (TSCE) age effect (DIC = 19,234.70) achieved the similar DIC values which indicated consistent model fitting among three models. The spatial pattern shows that the high spatial effects are clustered in the south of Iowa and also in largely populated areas. The lung cancer mortality rate is continuously declining by birth cohorts while increasing by the calendar period until 2000–2004. The age effects show an increasing pattern over time which can be easily explained by Armitage–Doll carcinogenesis model since we assume a log-linear relationship between age and hazard function. Conclusions: Our finding suggests that the proposed Bayesian AAPC model can be used to replace the conventional AAPC model without affecting model performance while providing a more biological sound approach from the underlining disease process.  相似文献   

7.
《Cancer epidemiology》2014,38(6):715-721
BackgroundPrevious studies suggest that elevated resting heart rate (RHR) is related to an increased risk of cancer mortality. The aim of this study was to evaluate the relation between RHR and cancer incidence and mortality in patients with vascular disease.MethodsPatients with manifest vascular disease (n = 6007) were prospectively followed-up for cancer incidence and mortality. At baseline, RHR was obtained from an electrocardiogram. The relation between RHR and cancer incidence, cancer mortality and total mortality was assessed using competing risks models.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 6.0 years (interquartile range: 3.1–9.3) 491 patients (8%) were diagnosed with cancer and 907 (15%) patients died, 248 (27%) died from cancer. After adjustment for potential confounders, the hazard ratio (HR) for incident cancer per 10 beats/min increase in RHR was 1.00 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.93–1.07). There was a trend toward an increased risk of colorectal cancer in patients with higher RHR (HR 1.15, 95% CI 0.97–1.36). The risk of all-cause mortality was increased in patients in the highest quartile of RHR compared to the lowest quartile (HR 1.86, 95% CI 1.53–2.27), but no effect of RHR on cancer mortality was observed (HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.70–1.46).ConclusionsIn patients with manifest vascular disease, elevated RHR was related to a higher risk of premature all-cause mortality, but this was not due to increased cancer mortality. RHR was not related to risk of overall cancer incidence, although a relation between elevated RHR and incident colorectal cancer risk could not be ruled out.  相似文献   

8.
《Cytokine》2015,72(2):255-260
IntroductionCritically ill patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) present high mortality rates. The magnitude of inflammatory response could determine the prognosis of such patients. Continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) may play an important role in removing inflammatory mediators in patients with AKI.AimTo investigate whether the magnitude of inflammatory mediator’s removal is associated with mortality among critically ill patients on CVVHDF, a CRRT modality.MethodsThis study consisted of 64 critically ill patients requiring CVVHDF. Plasma levels of C3a, TNF-α, IL-10, IL-6, IL-1β, sTNFRI and sTNFRII were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) at the beginning of CVVHDF and after 24 h (outlet). Clearance of cytokines during the first 24 h of CVVHDF was calculated. Clinical and laboratory data were acquired from patient’s records data.ResultsMean age of patients requiring CVVHDF was 63 years, 67.2% were men and 87.3% were Caucasian. Thirty-five (35) patients (54.7%) died. Comparing non-survivors with the group of survivors we observed higher incidence of sepsis (68.6 versus 37.9%, p < 0.05), higher APACHE II score (34.8 ± 7.6 versus 29.2 ± 7.1, p < 0.05) and higher lactate levels (23.2 ± 17.6 versus 16.4 ± 6.6, p < 0.05). According to the inter-tertile range of TNF-α clearance (ITR1 (<0.54); ITR2 (0.54–2.93); ITR3 (>2.93)) we found that those patients with higher TNF-α removal by RRT (ITR3) had a better survival. Multivariable analysis showed that lower clearance of TNF-α remained independently associated with high mortality after adjustment for sex, age, use of vasoactive drugs, APACHE II score sepsis, creatinine and lactate before CVVHDF (HR: 0.179, 95% IC: 0.049–0.661, p < 0.01).ConclusionThe attenuation of inflammatory response may be related to the lower mortality observed on those patients with higher TNF-α removal by CVVHDF.  相似文献   

9.
BackgroundChanges in endometrial cancer incidence rates after the precipitous decline in menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) use in 2002 have not been evaluated.MethodsUsing data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program from 1992 to 2009 (SEER 13), we identified 63 428 incident endometrial cancer cases among women ages 20–74. We compared annual percent change (APC) in endometrial cancer incidence rates from 1992 to 2002 to rates from 2003 to 2009.ResultsIn contrast to the constant endometrial cancer rate pattern observed from 1992 to 2002 (APC 0.0%), rates increased after 2002 in women 50–74 years old (2.5%; PAPC comparison < 0.01). Endometrial cancer incidence increased over the entire time period among women ages 20–49 (1992–2002: 1.1%; 2003–2009: 2.1%; PAPC comparison = 0.21). Post-2002 increases in incidence among women ages 50–74 were specific to Type I endometrial tumors (1992–2002: ?0.6%; 2003–2009: 1.6%; PAPC comparison < 0.01).DiscussionThe increase in endometrial cancer incidence rates after 2002 may be related to the widespread decrease in estrogen plus progestin MHT use, which has been reported to lower endometrial cancer risk in overweight and obese women.  相似文献   

10.
BackgroundTo investigate breast cancer prognosis (disease-free (DFS) and overall survival (OS)) among carriers of germline BRCA mutations (BRCAm) in Denmark.MethodsWe identified all women in Central and Northern Denmark diagnosed with breast cancer during 2004–2011. We retrieved information on germline BRCAm testing from Clinical Genetics departments and clinical/treatment characteristics from population-based medical registries. Follow-up for recurrence, new primary cancer, and mortality extended from 180 days after diagnosis until 31/12/2012. We estimated median DFS and OS and five-year cumulative incidence and incidence rates (IR/1000 person-years), and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI), for each outcome.ResultsAmong 9874 patients, 523 (5%) underwent BRCA testing—90 were BRCAm carriers, 433 were BRCA wildtype (BRCAwt). Compared with BRCAwt women, BRCAm carriers were younger, had lower stage, and ER- and HER2- tumors. Median time from diagnosis to BRCA testing was 0.91 years and 1.3 years in BRCAm and BRCAwt women; median follow-up to first event was 3.9 and 3.4 years, respectively. Five-year DFS and OS were higher in BRCAm than BRCAwt women: 88% (95%CI = 78.3–93.5) vs. 75.3% (95%CI = 70.2–79.6) and 97.8% (95%CI = 91.4–99.4) vs 92.2% (95%CI = 88.5–94.7), respectively. Five-year IRs of recurrence were 36.7/1000 person-years (95%CI = 15.8–72.2) in the BRCAm cohort vs. 58.4 (95%CI = 42.9–77.6) in the BRCAwt cohort.ConclusionsBRCAm carriers may have a better prognosis than BRCAwt women. However, limited testing conducted mainly during follow-up, yielded low numbers for precise estimations, and may be attributable to selection bias.  相似文献   

11.
《Cancer epidemiology》2014,38(5):550-555
BackgroundOur recent study showed that a low lipoproteinemia(a) [Lp(a)] level was a risk factor for cancer and all-cause deaths. The purpose of this study was to verify the role of the Lp(a) level on cancer among consecutive autopsy cases.MethodsThe subjects consisted of 1354 cases (775 men and 579 women). The average age at death was 79.9 years. Hypolipoproteinemia(a) was defined as an Lp(a) level of below 80 mg/L. Overall, 62.3% of the subjects had suffered from at least one to a maximum of five malignancies throughout their lives. The most frequent type of malignancy was gastric cancer, followed by leukemia, lung cancer, and colon cancer.ResultsThe cancer-bearing status decreased linearly according to the Lp(a) level in both men and women (P = 0.01 and P < 0.001, respectively). The median Lp(a) level was significantly lower among the cases with hepato-biliary–pancreatic cancers or hematopoietic malignancy, but was higher among cases with lung cancer, especially lung adenocarcinoma. Hypolipoproteinemia(a) was a significant risk factor for any origins of cancer, with an odds ratio of 1.94 (95% CI, 1.45–2.60; P < 0.001). It was also a risk factor for hepato-biliary cancers and leukemia, but it was a protective factor for lung cancer.ConclusionsOur findings suggested hypolipoproteinemia(a) would be a significant risk factor for cancer except lung cancer. This study complements our previous study showing that hypolipoproteinemia(a) would increase the lifetime risk of cancer other than lung cancer.  相似文献   

12.
AimsIn this study, the effects of four single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), ? 3860G > A, ? 2467delT, ? 739T > G and ? 163C > A, of CYP1A2 gene on lung cancer were evaluated in Tunisian population.Main methodsFour polymorphisms of CYP1A2 gene were analysed in 109 healthy smokers and in 101 lung cancer cases, including 63 with squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and 41 with adenocarcinoma (AD). The genotyping for the SNPs ? 3860 G > A, ? 2467delT, ? 739T > G and ? 163C > A was performed by polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-restriction fragment length polymorphism analysis.Key findingsThe results showed that smokers with CYP1A2 gene polymorphisms were associated with an increased risk for the development of lung AD. There was however no significant increased risk of developing lung SCC in smokers having CYP1A2 gene polymorphisms. An increased risk of developing AD was observed in smokers who are carriers of at least one copy of ? 3680A or ? 739G giving a significant odds ratio (OR) of 6.02 (CI = 2.91–12.9) and 3.01 (CI = 1.54–5.98), respectively.SignificanceThese genotyping data are consistent with the hypothesis that tobacco-specific-N-nitrosamines (TSN) such as 4-(methylnitrosamino)-1-(3-pyridyl)-1-butanone (NNK) are major contributors to the development of lung AD and that CYP1A2 gene product plays an important role in the metabolic activation of NNK. This study suggests that SNPs of CYP1A2 could be considered as promising biomarkers in the aetiology of lung AD in smokers.  相似文献   

13.
AimThis study was aimed to describe the gastric cancer mortality trend, and to analyze the spatial distribution of gastric cancer mortality in Ecuador, between 2004 and 2015.MethodsData were collected from the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INEC) database. Crude gastric cancer mortality rates, standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and indirect standardized mortality rates (ISMRs) were calculated per 100,000 persons. For time trend analysis, joinpoint regression was used. The annual percentage rate change (APC) and the average annual percent change (AAPC) was computed for each province. Spatial age-adjusted analysis was used to detect high risk clusters of gastric cancer mortality, from 2010 to 2015, using Kulldorff spatial scan statistics.ResultsIn Ecuador, between 2004 and 2015, gastric cancer caused a total of 19,115 deaths: 10,679 in men and 8436 in women. When crude rates were analyzed, a significant decline was detected (AAPC: −1.8%; p < 0.001). ISMR also decreased, but this change was not statistically significant (APC: −0.53%; p = 0.36). From 2004 to 2007 and from 2008 to 2011 the province with the highest ISMR was Carchi; and, from 2012 to 2015, was Cotopaxi. The most likely high occurrence cluster included Bolívar, Los Ríos, Chimborazo, Tungurahua, and Cotopaxi provinces, with a relative risk of 1.34 (p < 0.001).ConclusionThere is a substantial geographic variation in gastric cancer mortality rates among Ecuadorian provinces. The spatial analysis indicates the presence of high occurrence clusters throughout the Andes Mountains.  相似文献   

14.
《Cancer epidemiology》2014,38(1):22-27
AimTo investigate cancer incidence patterns among ethnic German migrants (Aussiedler) from the Former Soviet Union, a large migrant group in Germany, in comparison to autochthonous Saarland population over a 20 year observation period.MethodsData were obtained from a cohort of Aussiedler residing in the federal state of Saarland (n = 18,619). Cancer incidence and vital status were ascertained through record linkage with the Saarland Cancer Registry and local population registries.ResultsDuring the follow up period from 1990 to 2009 we observed 638 incident diagnoses of malignant neoplasms (except non-melanoma skin cancer). The overall standardized incidence ratio (SIR) was 0.98 (95% confidence interval 0.92, 1.04). However, site-specific SIRs revealed great variation. Stomach cancer incidence was significantly higher among Aussiedler. Lung cancer was elevated for males, but lower among females. Additionally, diagnoses for colorectal cancer among males were significantly lower. Age-standardized rates (ASRs) over time show not all cancer rates of Aussiedler attenuate as expected to Saarland rates. For example, lung and prostate cancer incidence rates show increasing disparity from Saarland rates and female breast cancer incidence develops in parallel. Furthermore, ASR for overall cancer incidence of Aussiedler shows a yearly decrease (p = 0.06) whereas Saarland rates remain stable.DiscussionAussiedler incidence rates reflect incidence pattern observed in their countries of origin.  相似文献   

15.
《Cancer epidemiology》2014,38(4):419-426
BackgroundInconsistent associations of smoking and breast cancer-specific mortality might be explained by subgroups of patients with different susceptibility to harmful effects of smoking.MethodsWe used a prospective cohort of 3340 postmenopausal breast cancer patients aged 50–74 and diagnosed with invasive tumours 2001–2005 in Germany, with a median follow-up time of 6 years. The effect of pre-diagnostic smoking behaviour on mortality outcomes and risk of recurrence was investigated using delayed entry Cox regression analysis. Differential effects according to N-acetyltransferase (NAT2) status, BMI, alcohol consumption, and tumour subtypes were assessed.ResultsOverall, smoking at time of breast cancer diagnosis versus never/former smoking was non-significantly associated with increased breast cancer-specific mortality and risk of recurrence (HR 1.23, 95% CI 0.93–1.64, and HR 1.29, 95% CI 0.95–1.75, respectively). Associations were consistently stronger in NAT2 slow than in fast acetylators for all mortality outcomes. Breast cancer-specific mortality was significantly increased in smokers with NAT2 slow acetylating status (HR 1.77, 95% CI 1.13–2.79) but not in those with fast acetylating status (HR 1.09, 95% CI 0.60–1.98; Pheterogeneity = 0.19). Smoking was associated with significantly poorer outcomes for triple negative and luminal A-like tumours (e.g. all-cause mortality: HR 1.93, 95% CI 1.02–3.65, and HR 2.08, 95% CI 1.40–3.10, respectively). Risk of recurrence was significantly increased for women with HER2 positive tumours (HR 3.64, 95% CI 1.22–10.8). There was significant heterogeneity by BMI for non-breast cancer-specific mortality (<25 kg/m2: HR 2.52, 95% CI 1.52–4.15 vs. ≥25 kg/m2: HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.38–2.36; Pheterogeneity = 0.04).ConclusionThe harmful effects of smoking may be particularly relevant for certain subgroups of breast cancer patients. This may include patients with NAT2 slow acetylation status or with tumour subtypes other than luminal B, such as luminal A tumours who usually have a rather good prognosis. Emphasis on smoking cessation programmes for all cancer patients should be strengthened.  相似文献   

16.
AimTo compare the dose to organs at risk with free breathing (FB) or voluntary breath-hold (VBH) during radiotherapy of patients with left sided breast cancer.BackgroundRadiotherapy reduces the risk of breast-cancer-specific mortality but the effects on other organs increase non-cancer-specific mortality. Radiation exposure to the heart, in particular in patients with left sided breast cancer, can be reduced by breath hold methods that increase the distance between the heart and the radiation field.Materials and MethodsThree-dimensional conformal radiotherapy (3D-CRT) dose plans for the left breast and organs at risk including the heart, left anterior descending coronary artery (LAD) and ipsilateral lung were compared with FB and VBH in ten patients with left sided breast cancer.ResultsThe mean doses to the heart and LAD were reduced by 50.4 % (p < 0.001) and 58.8 % (p = 0.006), respectively, in VBH relative to FB. The mean dose to the ipsilateral lung was reduced by 13.8 % (p = 0.11) in VBH relative to FB. The planning target volume (PTV) coverage was at least 95 % in both FB and VBH (p = 0.78).ConclusionThe VBH technique significantly reduces the dose to organs at risk in 3D-CRT treatment plans of left sided breast cancer.  相似文献   

17.
Introduction: Cancers of the breast, uterus and ovary are responsible for 30% of the cancer deaths in Spanish women. In recent decades, Spain has experienced important socioeconomic transformations, which may have affected mortality trends. We present the current situation of mortality in Spain due to cancers of the breast, uterus and ovary, as well as trends over 1980–2006. Methods: Data on population and deaths due to cancers of the breast, uterus and ovary were obtained from records of the National Statistics Institute. Overall and age-specific changes in mortality of these tumors were studied using change-point Poisson regression models. Results: Breast cancer was responsible for more than 140,000 deaths of females in 1980–2006. Trend analysis of breast cancer mortality of women of all ages showed that rates increased 2.9% annually until 1992 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.5, 3.3). After 1992, mortality declined steadily at a rate of ?2.1% per year (95% CI = ?2.4, ?1.8). The number of deaths due to cancers of the uterus was 49,287 between the years 1980 and 2006. Uterine cancer mortality registered a steady decrease of ?1.9% every year since 1980 (95% CI = ?2.1, ?1.8). Ovarian cancer caused 36,157 deaths during the same period, with rates in women older than 50 years more than ten-fold those of younger women. Trend analysis showed a sharp increase of mortality up to 1998 (4.4% annually; 95% CI = 3.9, 4.8) followed by a stabilization. Conclusion: The downturn observed in mortality for these tumors mainly reflects improved survival as a result of earlier diagnosis and better cancer treatments. Cancer management is moving in the right direction in Spain.  相似文献   

18.
Background: Transforming growth factor-β1 (TGF-β1) plays a critical role in human cancer development. Present study aimed to explore the clinical significance of serum TGF-β1 levels in patients with lung cancer and analyze the relationship between TGF-β1 and existing tumor markers for lung cancer. Methods: Serum was collected from 118 patients with lung cancer and 40 healthy volunteers. Serum TGF-β1 levels were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), and the association with various clinical characteristics was analyzed. The diagnostic value of TGF-β1 was assessed alone and in combination with existing tumor markers for lung cancer. Results: Serum TGF-β1 levels were significantly higher in patients with lung cancer compared to healthy volunteers [0.6 × 105 (0.4 × 105, 0.9 × 105) pg/ml vs 0.5 × 105 (0.3 × 105, 0.7 × 105) pg/ml, P = 0.040]. Although there was a positive correlation between serum TGF-β1 levels and advanced stages, the significant difference was not found between early stages and advanced stages (P = 0.116). The ability of serum TGF-β1 to discriminate lung cancer at a cutoff value of 79,168 pg/ml exhibited sensitivity of 30.6% and specificity of 97.5%. Serum TGF-β1 levels were correlated to cytokeratin fragment 21-1 (CYFRA21-1; R = 0.308, P = 0.020) and neuron-specific enolase (NSE; R = 0.558, P = 0.003). The diagnostic accuracy rates for the existing lung-tumor markers, as SCC, CYFRA21-1, and NSE, were increased from 20.0%, 34.6%, and 45.9% to 48.9%, 51.7%, and 54.5%, respectively by the inclusion of serum TGF-β1 levels. Conclusion: Quantification of serum TGF-β1 levels by ELISA may provide a novel complementary tool for the clinical diagnosis of lung cancer.  相似文献   

19.
《Cancer epidemiology》2014,38(3):286-290
PurposeThe group of luminal (Her2 negative) is distinguished from other subtypes of breast cancer. We aimed to produce a prognostic index specific for luminal (Her2 negative) subtype breast cancer that could assist clinical treatment.MethodsThe test set comprised 406 consecutive luminal (Her2 negative) breast cancer patients. The relationship of 11 clinicopathologic factors including survivin with the 5-year disease-free survival was analyzed.ResultsIn univariate analysis, TNM stage, surgery, tumor size, lymph node involvement, and survivin expression were prognostic factors. In multivariate analysis, tumor size [HR (95% CI): 1.98 (1.12–3.49), p = 0.019], the number of lymph node metastasis [HR (95% CI): 1.75 (1.33–2.29), p < 0.0001] and the expression of progesterone receptor [HR (95% CI): 0.58 (0.36–0.95), p = 0.029] can independently predict prognosis. Prognostic index (PI) was calculated as 0.68 × tumor size + 0.56 × the number of lymph node metastasis  0.54 × PR. According to the PI, patients were categorized into three groups: low, middle, and high risk group with the 5-year disease-free survival rates of 91.91%, 84.97% and 70.47%, respectively (P < 0.001). In the validation set, the luminal prognostic index (LPI) remained significant.ConclusionThe LPI may be a useful tool for evaluating the outcome of patients with luminal (Her-2 negative) breast cancer.  相似文献   

20.
BackgroundChamorro Pacific Islanders in the Mariana Islands have breast cancer incidence rates similar to, but mortality rates higher than, those of U.S. women. As breast cancer risk factors of women of the Mariana Islands may be unique because of ethnic and cultural differences, we studied established and suspected risk factors for breast cancer in this unstudied population.MethodsFrom 2010–2013, we conducted retrospective case-control study of female breast cancer (104 cases and 185 controls) among women in the Mariana Islands. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for each of various lifestyle-related factors from logistic regression of breast cancer, in all women and in pre- and postmenopausal women separately. Tests for interaction of risk factors with ethnicity were based on the Wald statistics for cross-product terms.ResultsOf the medical and reproductive factors considered — age at menarche, breastfeeding, number of live births, age at first live birth, hormone use, and menopause — only age at first live birth was confirmed. Age at first live birth, among parous women, was higher among cases (mean 24.9 years) than controls (mean 23.2 years); with increased breast cancer risk (OR = 2.53; 95% CI, 1.04–6.19 for age  30y compared to <20y, P for trend = 0.01). Of the lifestyle factors —body mass index, waist circumference, physical activity, alcohol and betel-nut intake, and education — only waist circumference (OR = 1.65; 95% CI 0.87–3.14 for the highest tertile group compared to the lowest, P for trend = 0.04) was significantly associated with breast cancer risk and only in Filipino women. The association with many other established risk factors, such as BMI, hormone use and physical activity, were in the expected direction but were not significant. Associations for family history of breast cancer and alcohol intake were not evidentConclusionsThe results provide a basis for cancer prevention guidance for women in the Mariana Islands.  相似文献   

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