National and regional breast cancer incidence and mortality trends in Mexico 2001–2011: Analysis of a population-based database

IntroductionBreast cancer is the most common malignancy in Mexican women since 2006. However, due to a lack of cancer registries, data is scarce. We sought to describe breast cancer trends in Mexico using population-based data from a national database and to analyze geographical and age-related differences in incidence and mortality rates.MethodsAll incident breast cancer cases reported to the National Epidemiological Surveillance System and all breast cancer deaths registered by the National Institute of Statistics and Geography in Mexico from 2001 to 2011 were included. Incidence and mortality rates were calculated for each age group and for 3 geographic regions of the country. Joinpoint regression analysis was performed to examine trends in BC incidence and mortality. We estimated annual percentage change (APC) using weighted least squares log-linear regression.ResultsWe found an increase in the reported national incidence, with an APC of 5.9% (95% CI 4.1–7.7, p < 0.05). Women aged 60–65 had the highest increase in incidence (APC 7.89%; 95% CI 5.5 −10.3, p < 0.05). Reported incidence rates were significantly increased in the Center and in the South of the country, while in the North they remained stable. Mortality rates also showed a significant increase, with an APC of 0.4% (95% CI 0.1–0.7, p < 0.05). Women 85 and older had the highest increase in mortality (APC 2.99%, 95% CI 1.9–4.1; p < 0.05).ConclusionsThe reporting of breast cancer cases in Mexico had a continuous increase, which could reflect population aging, increased availability of screening, an improvement in the number of clinical facilities and better reporting of cases. Although an improvement in the detection of cases is the most likely explanation for our findings, our results point towards an epidemiological transition in Mexico and should help in guiding national policy in developing countries.     

Bayesian area–age–period–cohort model with carcinogenesis age effects in estimating cancer mortality

Objective: Area–age–period–cohort (AAPC) model has been widely used in studying the spatial and temporal pattern of disease incidence and mortality rates. However, lack of biological plausibility and ease of interpretability on temporal components especially for age effects are generally the weakness of AAPC models. We develop a Bayesian AAPC model where carcinogenesis age effect is incorporated to explain age effects from the underlying disease process. An autoregressive prior structure and an arbitrary linear constraint are used to solve the nonidentifiability issues. Methods: Two multistage carcinogenesis models are employed to derive the hazard functions to substitute the age effects in the AAPC models. The Iowa county-wide lung cancer mortality data are used for the model fitting and Deviance Information Criteria (DIC) is used for model comparison. Results: Our study shows that conventional AAPC model (DIC = 19,231.30), AAPC model with Armitage–Doll age effect (DIC = 19,233.00) and with two-stage clonal expansion (TSCE) age effect (DIC = 19,234.70) achieved the similar DIC values which indicated consistent model fitting among three models. The spatial pattern shows that the high spatial effects are clustered in the south of Iowa and also in largely populated areas. The lung cancer mortality rate is continuously declining by birth cohorts while increasing by the calendar period until 2000–2004. The age effects show an increasing pattern over time which can be easily explained by Armitage–Doll carcinogenesis model since we assume a log-linear relationship between age and hazard function. Conclusions: Our finding suggests that the proposed Bayesian AAPC model can be used to replace the conventional AAPC model without affecting model performance while providing a more biological sound approach from the underlining disease process.     

Recent changes in endometrial cancer trends among menopausal-age US women

BackgroundChanges in endometrial cancer incidence rates after the precipitous decline in menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) use in 2002 have not been evaluated.MethodsUsing data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program from 1992 to 2009 (SEER 13), we identified 63 428 incident endometrial cancer cases among women ages 20–74. We compared annual percent change (APC) in endometrial cancer incidence rates from 1992 to 2002 to rates from 2003 to 2009.ResultsIn contrast to the constant endometrial cancer rate pattern observed from 1992 to 2002 (APC 0.0%), rates increased after 2002 in women 50–74 years old (2.5%; P_{APC comparison} < 0.01). Endometrial cancer incidence increased over the entire time period among women ages 20–49 (1992–2002: 1.1%; 2003–2009: 2.1%; P_{APC comparison} = 0.21). Post-2002 increases in incidence among women ages 50–74 were specific to Type I endometrial tumors (1992–2002: ?0.6%; 2003–2009: 1.6%; P_{APC comparison} < 0.01).DiscussionThe increase in endometrial cancer incidence rates after 2002 may be related to the widespread decrease in estrogen plus progestin MHT use, which has been reported to lower endometrial cancer risk in overweight and obese women.     

Association between TNF-α-308 G/A gene polymorphism and gastric cancer risk: A systematic review and meta-analysis

ObjectiveTumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α) has been found to be associated with gastric carcinogenesis, but individually published results have been inconclusive. The aim of this study was to explore the relationship between the TNF-α-308 G/A polymorphism and gastric cancer risk.MethodsMEDLINE, EMBASE and the COCHRANE library databases were searched for relevant articles to identify all available data. The odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) from each study were used to assess the association between the TNF-α-308 G/A polymorphism and gastric cancer risk.ResultsThis meta-analysis included 30 studies (32 datasets) involving 7009 gastric cancer cases and 12,119 control subjects. Overall, a significant association was found between the TNF-α-308 G/A polymorphism and gastric cancer in AA + GA vs. GG (dominant contrast model) (OR = 1.20, 95% CI = 1.07–1.34, p = 0.001). With stratification based on ethnicity, the TNF-α-308 G/A polymorphism was correlated with gastric cancer risk in Caucasians, using the dominant contrast model (OR = 0.74, 95% CI = 0.57–0.96, p = 0.02), but not in East Asians and other ethnic groups. In the comprehensive subgroup analysis, a significant association was also found in recent articles (published after 2005), population-based high-quality studies, hospital-based high-quality studies, studies using the TaqMan method and non-cardia subgroups. However, the TNF-α-308 G/A polymorphism was not associated with specific histological types of gastric cancer risk.ConclusionsThe TNF-α-308 G/A polymorphism may contribute to susceptibility to gastric cancer in Caucasians, especially for non-cardia gastric cancer, as most strongly demonstrated in high-quality studies and in studies using the TaqMan genotyping method. Furthermore, we recommend the TaqMan method as the preferred genotyping method in DNA polymorphism studies.     

Incidence,survival and mortality rates of stage-specific bladder cancer in United States: A trend analysis

PurposeTo examine the overall and stage-specific age-adjusted incidence, 5-year survival and mortality rates of bladder cancer (BCa) in the United States, between 1973 and 2009.Materials and methodsA total of 148,315 BCa patients were identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database, between years 1973 and 2009. Incidence, mortality, and 5-year cancer-specific survival rates were calculated. Temporal trends were quantified using the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) and linear regression models. All analyses were stratified according to disease stage, and further examined according to sex, race, and age groups.ResultsIncidence rate of BCa increased from 21.0 to 25.5/100,000 person-years between 1973 and 2009. Stage-specific analyses revealed an increase incidence for localized stage: 15.4–20.2 (EAPC: +0.5%, p < 0.001) and distant stage: 0.5–0.8 (EAPC: +0.7%, p = 0.001). Stage-specific 5-year survival rates increased for all stages, except for distant disease. No significant changes in mortality were recorded among localized (EAPC: ?0.2%, p = 0.1) and regional stage (EAPC: ?0.1%, p = 0.5). An increase in mortality rates was observed among distant stage (EAPC: +1.0%, p = 0.005). Significant variations in incidence and mortality were recorded when estimates were stratified according to sex, race, and age groups.DiscussionAlbeit statistically significant, virtually all changes in incidence and mortality were minor, and hardly of any clinical importance. Little or no change in BCa cancer control outcomes has been achieved during the study period.     

Voluntary breath-hold reduces dose to organs at risk in radiotherapy of left-sided breast cancer

AimTo compare the dose to organs at risk with free breathing (FB) or voluntary breath-hold (VBH) during radiotherapy of patients with left sided breast cancer.BackgroundRadiotherapy reduces the risk of breast-cancer-specific mortality but the effects on other organs increase non-cancer-specific mortality. Radiation exposure to the heart, in particular in patients with left sided breast cancer, can be reduced by breath hold methods that increase the distance between the heart and the radiation field.Materials and MethodsThree-dimensional conformal radiotherapy (3D-CRT) dose plans for the left breast and organs at risk including the heart, left anterior descending coronary artery (LAD) and ipsilateral lung were compared with FB and VBH in ten patients with left sided breast cancer.ResultsThe mean doses to the heart and LAD were reduced by 50.4 % (p < 0.001) and 58.8 % (p = 0.006), respectively, in VBH relative to FB. The mean dose to the ipsilateral lung was reduced by 13.8 % (p = 0.11) in VBH relative to FB. The planning target volume (PTV) coverage was at least 95 % in both FB and VBH (p = 0.78).ConclusionThe VBH technique significantly reduces the dose to organs at risk in 3D-CRT treatment plans of left sided breast cancer.     

Combined effect of bone marrow derived mesenchymal stem cells and nitric oxide inducer on injured gastric mucosa in a rat model

AimTo study the effect of intravenous injection of bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells (BMMSCs), alone and combined with NO inducer in gastric ulcer healing in a rat model.MethodsRats were divided into controls, gastric ulcer, gastric ulcer receiving mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs), gastric ulcer receiving NO inducer (l-Arginine), gastric ulcer receiving MSCs plus NO inducer (l-Arginine) groups. MSCs were given in a dose of (10⁶cells) by intravenous injection. l-Arginine was given 300 mg/kg body weight intraperitoneally. 24 h and 7 days after BMMSCs and NO inducer injection, VEGF, PGE, TNF-α were assessed by ELISA. Gene expression of HGF, caspase-3, eNOS and BAX/Bcl-2 in gastric tissues were studied by real time PCR. Histopathology staining of gastric tissues was performed.ResultsInjection of MSCs or NO inducer or both to the gastric ulcer group significantly decreased caspase-3 and BAX genes expression (apoptotic factors) and increased Bcl-2 gene expression (anti-apoptotic factor) compared to that of the gastric ulcer group after both 24 h and 7 days with more significant results in the gastric group received both MSCs and NO inducer. HGF gene expression was significantly increased in the groups injected with MSCs or NO inducer or both compared with the corresponding gastric ulcer group (p < 0.05, p < 0.05 & p < 0.001 respectively). There was a significant decrease in the mean PGE2 and TNF-α levels in the gastric ulcer group receiving MSCs, the gastric ulcer group receiving NO and the gastric ulcer group receiving both MSCs and  NO compared to the gastric ulcer group after both 24 h and 7 days. Histopathological examination of gastric tissue of groups that received stem cells or NO alone, showed mucosal regenerative changes with increased thickness together with reduced inflammatory cellular infiltrate in the submucosa and decreased congestion. There was complete restoration in gastric mucosa in the group that received both stem cells and NO.ConclusionAdministration of MSCs, NO, or MSCs plus NO may exert a therapeutic effect on the mucosal lesion in gastric ulcer through their anti-inflammatory, angiogenic and antiapoptotic actions.     

Peri-operative blood transfusion for resected colon cancer: Practice patterns and outcomes in a population-based study

Background & objectivesLiterature suggests that peri-operative blood transfusion among patients with resected colon cancer may be associated with inferior long-term survival. The study objective was to characterize this association in our population.MethodsThis is a retrospective cohort study using the population-based Ontario Cancer Registry (2002–2008). Pathology reports were obtained for a 25% random sample of all cases and constituted the study population. Log binomial regression was used to identify factors associated with transfusion. Cox proportional hazards model explored the association between transfusion and cancer specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS).ResultsThe study population included 7198 patients: 18% stage I, 36% stage II, 40% stage III, and 6% stage IV. Twenty-eight percent of patients were transfused. Factors independently associated with transfusion included advanced age (p < 0.001), female sex (p < 0.001), greater comorbidity (p < 0.001), more advanced disease (p < 0.001) and open surgical resection (p < 0.001). Transfusion was associated with inferior CSS (HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.38–1.65) and OS (HR 1.52, 95% CI 1.41–1.63), after adjusting for important confounders.ConclusionsPeri-operative transfusion rates among patients with colon cancer have decreased over time. Transfusion is associated with inferior long-term CSS and OS.     

Comparison and relationship of thyroid hormones,IL-6, IL-10 and albumin as mortality predictors in case-mix critically ill patients

ObjectiveTo compare the ability of thyroid hormones, IL-6, IL-10, and albumin to predict mortality, and to assess their relationship in case-mix acute critically ill patients.MethodsAPACHE II scores and serum thyroid hormones (FT3, FT4, and TSH), IL-6, IL-10, and albumin were obtained at EICU admission for 79 cases of mix acute critically ill patients without previous history of thyroid disease. Patients were followed for 28 days with patient’s death as the primary outcome. All mean values were compared, correlations assessed with Pearson’ test, and mortality prediction assessed by multivariate logistic regression and ROC.ResultsNon survivors were older, with higher APACHE II score (p = 0.000), IL-6 (p < 0.05), IL-10 (p = 0.000) levels, and lower albumin (p = 0.000) levels compared to survivors at 28 days. IL-6 and IL-10 had significant negative correlation with albumin (p = 0.001) and FT3 (p ⩽ 0.05) respectively, while low albumin had a direct correlation with FT3 (p < 0.05). In the mortality prediction assessment, IL-10, albumin and APACHE II were independent morality predictors and showed to have a good (0.70–0.79) AUC-ROC (p < 0.05). Despite that the entire cohort showed low FT3 serum levels (p = 0.000), there was not statistical difference between survivors and non-survivors; neither showed any significance as mortality predictor.ConclusionsIL-6 and IL-10 are correlated with Low FT3 and hypoalbuminemia. Thyroid hormones assessed at EICU admission did not have any predictive value in our study. And finally, high levels of IL-6 and IL-10 in conjunction with albumin could improve our ability to evaluate disease’s severity and predict mortality in the critically ill patients. When use in combination with APACHE II scores, our model showed improved mortality prediction.     

Impacto asistencial tras la introducción de la ecografía tiroidea en una unidad monográfica de atención al nódulo tiroideo

IntroductionWorldwide incidence of thyroid cancer has increased in recent decades.ObjectiveTo provide evidence of the diagnostic and care efficiency of a monographic thyroid nodule clinic integrating clinical examination, ultrasound examination, and cytology with on site evaluation.Patients and methodsPatients attending the monographic thyroid nodule clinic from January 2004 to June 2010. Two periods may be distinguished based on availability of ultrasound equipment at the time of the visit: a first period (P1: 01/2004-09/2007) where no ultrasound equipment was available at the clinic and FNA by palpation was performed, and a second period (P2: 10/2007-06/2010) where this equipment was available and ultrasound-guided FNA was performed.ResultsA total of 1036 patients [P1: 537 (52%), P2: 499 (48%)] were seen and enrolled.Diagnostic efficiency (P1 vs P2): 143 vs 181 patients were seen annually, p < 0.001; FNA number/nodule: 1.68 vs 1.17, p < 0.001; percent FNAs with inadequate material: 26% vs 5.3%, p < 0.001; mean (SD) nodule size: 23.6 (12.4) vs 21.7 (11.7) mm, p 0.040; proportion of nodules examined less than 10 mm in size: 9.9% vs 13.7%, p 0.030.Care efficiency: mean time (range) from the first visit to surgery indication: 332 (0-2177) vs 108 (0-596) days, p < 0.001; proportion of patients referred for surgery due to suspect cytology/other reasons: 1.06 vs 2.21, p < 0.001; and operated benign neoplasm/pathology: 0.47 vs 0.93, p = 0.002.ConclusionA monographic thyroid nodule clinic integrating clinical examination, ultrasound, and cytology evaluated on site increases diagnostic and care efficiency in patients with thyroid nodules.     

Copper,selenium and zinc levels after bariatric surgery in patients recommended to take multivitamin-mineral supplementation

BackgroundBariatric surgery is widely performed to improve obesity-related disorders, but can lead to nutrient deficiencies. In this study we examined serum trace element concentrations before and after bariatric surgery.MethodsWe obtained serum trace element concentrations by inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry (ICP-MS) method in 437 patients (82% women, median preoperative body-mass index 46.7 kg/m² [interquartile range 42–51]) undergoing either gastric banding (22.7%), sleeve gastrectomy (20.1%), or gastric bypass (57.3%) procedures. Trace element data were available for patients preoperatively (n = 44); and 3 (n = 208), 6 (n = 174), 12 (n = 122), 18 (n = 39), 24 (n = 44) and 36 months (n = 14) post-operatively. All patients were recommended to take a multivitamin-mineral supplement after surgery.ResultsCopper deficiency was found in 2% of patients before surgery; and after surgery deficiency rates ranged from 0 to 5% with no significant change in median concentrations during follow-up (p = 0.68). Selenium deficiency was reported in 2% of patients before surgery; and after surgery deficiency rates ranged from 11 to 15% with a near-significant change in median concentrations (p = 0.056). Zinc deficiency was reported in 7% before surgery; and after surgery deficiency rates ranged from 7 to 15% with no significant change in median concentrations (p = 0.39).ConclusionsIn bariatric surgery patients recommended to take multivitamin-mineral supplements, serum copper, zinc and selenium concentrations were mostly stable during the first years after bariatric surgery. There was a possible tendency for selenium concentrations to decline during the early postoperative period.     

Comparison of quadrant-specific breast cancer incidence trends in the United States and England between 1975 and 2013

BackgroundUK breast cancer incidence rates suggest that upper outer quadrant (UOQ) cancers have risen disproportionately compared with other areas over time. We aimed to provide a comparison of the trend in quadrant-specific breast cancer incidence between the United States (US) and England, and determine whether a disproportionate UOQ increase is present.MethodsSurveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) cancer registry data were obtained on 630,007 female breast cancers from 1975 to 2013. English cancer registry data were obtained on 1,121,134 female breast cancers from 1979 to 2013. Temporal incidence changes were analysed using negative binomial regression. Interaction terms determined whether incidence changes were similar between sites.ResultsEnglish breast cancer incidence in the UOQ rose significantly from 13% to 28% from 1979 to 2013 whereas no significant increase was observed among SEER data. The significant interaction between quadrant and year of diagnosis (p < 0.001) in both SEER and English data indicates that breast cancer incidence in each quadrant changed at a different rate. Incidence in the UOQ rose disproportionately compared to the nipple (SEER IRR = 0.81, p < 0.001; England IRR = 0.78, p < 0.001) and axillary tail (SEER IRR = 0.87, p = 0.018; England IRR = 0.69, p < 0.001) in both SEER and England. In addition, incidence rose disproportionately in the UOQ compared to non-site-specific tumours in England (Overlapping lesions IRR = 0.81, p = 0.002; NOS IRR = 0.78, p < 0.001). The proportion of non-site-specific tumours was substantially higher in England than SEER throughout the study period (62% in England; 39% in SEER).ConclusionsBreast cancer incidence in the UOQ increased disproportionately compared to non-site-specific tumours in England but not in SEER, likely due to the decrease in non-site-specific tumours observed in England over time. There may be real differences in incidence between the two countries, possibly due to differences in aetiology, but is much more likely to be an artefact of changing data collection methods and improvements in site coding in either country.     

Statin use after esophageal cancer diagnosis and survival: A population based cohort study

BackgroundA recent epidemiological study of esophageal cancer patients concluded statin use post-diagnosis was associated with large (38%) and significant reductions in cancer-specific mortality. We investigated statin use and cancer-specific mortality in a large population-based cohort of esophageal cancer patients.MethodsNewly diagnosed [2009–2012] esophageal cancer patients were identified from the Scottish Cancer Registry and linked with the Prescribing Information System and Scotland Death Records (to January 2015). Time-dependent Cox regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) for cancer-specific mortality and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by post-diagnostic statin use (using a 6 month lag to reduce reverse causation) and to adjust these HRs for potential confounders.Results1921 esophageal cancer patients were included in the main analysis, of whom 651 (34%) used statins after diagnosis. There was little evidence of a reduction in esophageal cancer-specific mortality in statin users compared with non-users after diagnosis (adjusted HR = 0.93, 95% CI, 0.81, 1.07) and no dose response associations were seen. However, statin users compared with non-users in the year before diagnosis had a weak reduction in esophageal cancer-specific mortality (adjusted HR = 0.88, 95% CI, 0.79, 0.99).ConclusionsIn this large population-based esophageal cancer cohort, there was little evidence of a reduction in esophageal cancer-specific mortality with statin use after diagnosis.     

TNF-α depuration is a predictor of mortality in critically ill patients under continuous veno-venous hemodiafiltration treatment

IntroductionCritically ill patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) present high mortality rates. The magnitude of inflammatory response could determine the prognosis of such patients. Continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) may play an important role in removing inflammatory mediators in patients with AKI.AimTo investigate whether the magnitude of inflammatory mediator’s removal is associated with mortality among critically ill patients on CVVHDF, a CRRT modality.MethodsThis study consisted of 64 critically ill patients requiring CVVHDF. Plasma levels of C3a, TNF-α, IL-10, IL-6, IL-1β, sTNFRI and sTNFRII were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) at the beginning of CVVHDF and after 24 h (outlet). Clearance of cytokines during the first 24 h of CVVHDF was calculated. Clinical and laboratory data were acquired from patient’s records data.ResultsMean age of patients requiring CVVHDF was 63 years, 67.2% were men and 87.3% were Caucasian. Thirty-five (35) patients (54.7%) died. Comparing non-survivors with the group of survivors we observed higher incidence of sepsis (68.6 versus 37.9%, p < 0.05), higher APACHE II score (34.8 ± 7.6 versus 29.2 ± 7.1, p < 0.05) and higher lactate levels (23.2 ± 17.6 versus 16.4 ± 6.6, p < 0.05). According to the inter-tertile range of TNF-α clearance (ITR1 (<0.54); ITR2 (0.54–2.93); ITR3 (>2.93)) we found that those patients with higher TNF-α removal by RRT (ITR3) had a better survival. Multivariable analysis showed that lower clearance of TNF-α remained independently associated with high mortality after adjustment for sex, age, use of vasoactive drugs, APACHE II score sepsis, creatinine and lactate before CVVHDF (HR: 0.179, 95% IC: 0.049–0.661, p < 0.01).ConclusionThe attenuation of inflammatory response may be related to the lower mortality observed on those patients with higher TNF-α removal by CVVHDF.     

Surgery versus radiotherapy: Long term outcomes of T1 glottic cancer

AimThe aim of this study was to compare the outcomes, patterns of failure and laryngeal preservation rates in patients with T1N0 glottic cancer treated with surgery or radiotherapy.Materials/methodsRetrospective study of T1N0 glottic cancer patients treated in our institution between January 2007 and December 2017. Histologically proven squamous cell carcinoma patients, treated with upfront cordectomy/partial laryngectomy (S group) or radiotherapy (RT group) were included. Elective treatment of the neck was not permitted. Local failure (LF), disease-free survival (DFS), ultimate disease-free survival (UDFS), laryngectomy-free survival (LFS), disease-specific mortality (DSM) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated.ResultsTwo hundred and one patients were eligible (172 S group, 29 RT group), with a median follow-up of 38.8 months. Overall, 33 (16%) patients had a recurrence, 30 (17%) in the S group and 3 (10%) in the RT group. Local failure was the predominant site of failure (28 S, 2 RT). Overall, of all those that were salvaged, 17 (8%) underwent total laryngectomy (15 S, 2 RT). There was no significant difference in the 5-year cumulative incidence of LF (20.8% S, 8.1% RT, p = 0.138), 5-y LFS (85.0% vs. 91.7%, p = 0.809), 5-y DFS (67.5% vs. 82.1%, p = 0.343), 5-y UDFS (82.5% vs. 90.3%, p = 0.647) and 5-y OS (84.5% vs. 90.3%, p = 0.892). Multivariate analysis showed no correlation between initial treatment and the analyzed outcomes.ConclusionPrimary surgery or radiotherapy were similar first line options, since they do not differ in all outcomes. Patients’ and physician's preferences must be considered when choosing first treatment.     

Luminal (Her2 negative) prognostic index and survival of breast cancer patients

PurposeThe group of luminal (Her2 negative) is distinguished from other subtypes of breast cancer. We aimed to produce a prognostic index specific for luminal (Her2 negative) subtype breast cancer that could assist clinical treatment.MethodsThe test set comprised 406 consecutive luminal (Her2 negative) breast cancer patients. The relationship of 11 clinicopathologic factors including survivin with the 5-year disease-free survival was analyzed.ResultsIn univariate analysis, TNM stage, surgery, tumor size, lymph node involvement, and survivin expression were prognostic factors. In multivariate analysis, tumor size [HR (95% CI): 1.98 (1.12–3.49), p = 0.019], the number of lymph node metastasis [HR (95% CI): 1.75 (1.33–2.29), p < 0.0001] and the expression of progesterone receptor [HR (95% CI): 0.58 (0.36–0.95), p = 0.029] can independently predict prognosis. Prognostic index (PI) was calculated as 0.68 × tumor size + 0.56 × the number of lymph node metastasis − 0.54 × PR. According to the PI, patients were categorized into three groups: low, middle, and high risk group with the 5-year disease-free survival rates of 91.91%, 84.97% and 70.47%, respectively (P < 0.001). In the validation set, the luminal prognostic index (LPI) remained significant.ConclusionThe LPI may be a useful tool for evaluating the outcome of patients with luminal (Her-2 negative) breast cancer.     

Meta-analysis of the clinicopathological characteristics and peri-operative outcomes of colorectal cancer in obese patients

BackgroundThe effect of obesity on the clinicopathological characteristics of colorectal cancer (CRC) has not been clearly characterized. This meta-analysis assesses the pathological and perioperative outcomes of obese patients undergoing surgical resection for CRC.MethodsMeta-analysis was performed using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. Databases were searched for studies reporting outcomes for obese and non-obese patients undergoing primary CRC resection, based on body-mass index measurement. Results were reported as mean differences or pooled odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI).ResultsA total of 2183 citations were reviewed; 29 studies comprising 56,293 patients were ultimately included in the analysis, with an obesity rate of 19.3%. Obese patients with colorectal cancer were more often female (OR 1.2, 95% CI 1.1–1.2, p < 0.001) but there was no difference in the proportion of rectal cancers, T4 tumours, tumour differentiation or margin positivity. Obese patients were significantly more likely to have lymph node metastases (OR 1.2, 95% CI 1.1–1.2, p < 0.001), have a lower nodal yield, were associated with a longer duration of surgery, more blood loss and conversions to open surgery (OR 2.6, 95% CI 1.6–4.0, p < 0.001) but with no difference in length of stay or post-operative mortality.ConclusionThis meta-analysis demonstrates that obese patients undergoing resection for CRC are more likely to have node positive disease, longer surgery and higher failure rates of minimally invasive approaches. The challenges of colorectal cancer resection in obese patients are emphasized.     

Statin use and survival in colorectal cancer: Results from a population-based cohort study and an updated systematic review and meta-analysis

BackgroundThe aim of this study was to investigate the association between statin use and survival in a population-based colorectal cancer (CRC) cohort and perform an updated meta-analysis to quantify the magnitude of any association.MethodsA cohort of 8391 patients with newly diagnosed Dukes’ A-C CRC (2009–2012) was identified from the Scottish Cancer Registry. This cohort was linked to the Prescribing Information System and the National Records of Scotland Death Records (until January 2015) to identify 1064 colorectal cancer-specific deaths. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for cancer-specific mortality by statin use were calculated using time dependent Cox regression models. The systematic review included relevant studies published before January 2016. Meta-analysis techniques were used to derive combined HRs for associations between statin use and cancer-specific and overall mortality.ResultsIn the Scottish cohort, statin use before diagnosis (HR = 0.84, 95% CI 0.75–0.94), but not after (HR = 0.90, 95% CI 0.77–1.05), was associated with significantly improved cancer-specific mortality. The systematic review identified 15 relevant studies. In the meta-analysis, there was consistent (I² = 0%,heterogeneity P = 0.57) evidence of a reduction in cancer-specific mortality with statin use before diagnosis in 6 studies (n = 86,622, pooled HR = 0.82, 95% CI 0.79–0.86) but this association was less apparent and more heterogeneous (I² = 67%,heterogeneity P = 0.03) with statin use after diagnosis in 4 studies (n = 19,152, pooled HR = 0.84, 95% CI 0.68–1.04).ConclusionIn a Scottish CRC cohort and updated meta-analysis there was some evidence that statin use was associated with improved survival. However, these associations were weak in magnitude and, particularly for post-diagnosis use, varied markedly between studies.     

Incidence and mortality of pancreatic cancer on a rapid rise in Taiwan, 1999–2012

BackgroundAccumulating data has revealed a rapidly rising incidence of pancreatic cancer in Western countries, but convincing evidence from the East remains sparse. We aimed to quantify how the incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic malignancy changed over time in Taiwan, and to develop future projection for the next decade.MethodsThis nationwide population-based study analyzed the Taiwan National Cancer Registry and the National Cause of Death Registry to calculate the annual incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic malignancy from 1999 to 2012 in this country. The secular trend of the incidence was also examined by data from the National Health Insurance Research Database.ResultsA total of 21,986 incident cases of pancreatic cancer and 20,720 related deaths occurred during the study period. The age-standardized incidence rate increased from 3.7 per 100,000 in 1999 to 5.0 per 100,000 in 2012, with a significant rising trend (P < 0.01). The increase was nationwide, consistently across subgroups stratified by age, gender, geographic region, and urbanization. Data from the National Health Insurance Research Database corroborated the rise of incident pancreatic cancer. Mortality also increased with time, with the age-standardized rate rising from 3.5 per 100,000 in 1999 to 4.1 per 100,000 in 2012 (P < 0.01). In accordance with the incidence, the mortality trend was consistent in all subgroups. Both the incidence and mortality were projected to further increase by approximately 20% from 2012 to 2027.ConclusionThe incidence and mortality of pancreatic cancer have been rapidly rising and presumably will continue to rise in Taiwan.