Human demography and reserve size predict wildlife extinction in West Africa.

Species-area models have become the primary tool used to predict baseline extinction rates for species in isolated habitats, and have influenced conservation and land-use planning worldwide. In particular, these models have been used to predict extinction rates following the loss or fragmentation of natural habitats in the absence of direct human influence on species persistence. Thus, where direct human influences, such as hunting, put added pressure on species in remnant habitat patches, we should expect to observe extinction rates higher than those predicted by simple species-area models. Here, we show that extinction rates for 41 species of large mammals in six nature reserves in West Africa are 14-307 times higher than those predicted by models based on reserve size alone. Human population and reserve size accounted for 98% of the observed variation in extinction rates between reserves. Extinction occurred at higher rates than predicted by species-area models for carnivores, primates and ungulates, and at the highest rates overall near reserve borders. Our results indicate that, where the harvest of wildlife is common, conservation plans should focus on increasing the size of reserves and reducing the rate of hunting.     

A stochastic SIS epidemic with demography: initial stages and time to extinction

We study an open population stochastic epidemic model from the time of introduction of the disease, through a possible outbreak and to extinction. The model describes an SIS (susceptible–infective–susceptible) epidemic where all individuals, including infectious ones, reproduce at a given rate. An approximate expression for the outbreak probability is derived using a coupling argument. Further, we analyse the behaviour of the model close to quasi-stationarity, and the time to disease extinction, with the aid of a diffusion approximation. In this situation the number of susceptibles and infectives behaves as an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process, centred around the stationary point, for an exponentially distributed time before going extinct.     

Mass extinction events and the plant fossil record

Five mass extinction events have punctuated the geological record of marine invertebrate life. They are characterized by faunal extinction rates and magnitudes that far exceed those observed elsewhere in the geological record. Despite compelling evidence that these extinction events were probably driven by dramatic global environmental change, they were originally thought to have little macroecological or evolutionary consequence for terrestrial plants. New high-resolution regional palaeoecological studies are beginning to challenge this orthodoxy, providing evidence for extensive ecological upheaval, high species-level turnover and recovery intervals lasting millions of years. The challenge ahead is to establish the geographical extent of the ecological upheaval, because reconstructing the vegetation dynamics associated with these events will elucidate the role of floral change in faunal mass extinction and provide a better understanding of how plants have historically responded to global environmental change similar to that anticipated for our future.     

Almost 20 years of Neanderthal palaeogenetics: adaptation,admixture, diversity,demography and extinction

Nearly two decades since the first retrieval of Neanderthal DNA, recent advances in next-generation sequencing technologies have allowed the generation of high-coverage genomes from two archaic hominins, a Neanderthal and a Denisovan, as well as a complete mitochondrial genome from remains which probably represent early members of the Neanderthal lineage. This genomic information, coupled with diversity exome data from several Neanderthal specimens is shedding new light on evolutionary processes such as the genetic basis of Neanderthal and modern human-specific adaptations—including morphological and behavioural traits—as well as the extent and nature of the admixture events between them. An emerging picture is that Neanderthals had a long-term small population size, lived in small and isolated groups and probably practised inbreeding at times. Deleterious genetic effects associated with these demographic factors could have played a role in their extinction. The analysis of DNA from further remains making use of new large-scale hybridization-capture-based methods as well as of new approaches to discriminate contaminant DNA sequences will provide genetic information in spatial and temporal scales that could help clarify the Neanderthal''s—and our very own—evolutionary history.     

Impact of fixation time on GeLC-MS/MS proteomic profiling of formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tissues

Formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tissue banks represent an invaluable resource for biomarker discovery. Recently, the combination of full-length protein extraction, GeLC-MS/MS analysis, and spectral counting quantification has been successfully applied to mine proteomic information from these tissues. However, several sources of variability affect these samples; among these, the duration of the fixation process is one of the most important and most easily controllable ones. To assess its influence on quality of GeLC-MS/MS data, the impact of fixation time on efficiency of full-length protein extraction efficiency and on quality of label-free quantitative data was evaluated. As a result, although proteins were successfully extracted from FFPE liver samples fixed for up to eight days, fixation time appeared to negatively influence both protein extraction yield and GeLC-MS/MS quantitative proteomic data. Particularly, MS identification efficiency decreased with increasing fixation times. Moreover, amino acid modifications putatively induced by formaldehyde were detected and characterized. These results demonstrate that proteomic information can be achieved also from tissue samples fixed for relatively long times, but suggest that variations in fixation time need to be carefully taken into account when performing proteomic biomarker discovery studies on fixed tissue archives.     

Impact of flowers on the demography of western flower thrips Frankliniella occidentalis (Thysan., Thripidae)

The impact of flowers on the population growth of Frankliniella occidentalis was characterized on waxflower plants, Impatiens walleriana . In the presence of flowers, the populations grew exponentially while in their absence, the thrips populations only maintained themselves and showed no growth The difference in number and in size of thrips reared in both conditions suggested that the flowers were essential for the success of thrips development. In the presence of flowers, the distribution of females between the leaves and the flowers varied strongly according to the availability of flowers. By contrast, the proportion of first larvae in the flowers increased up to the last day of the experiment.     

The demography of fronds of Chondrus crispus Stackhouse

A demographic analysis was done of an intertidal stand of Chondrus crispus Stackhouse at Pubnico Point, Nova Scotia. The distribution of gametophytic and tetrasporophytic fronds was assessed. Fronds were placed in one of four size-classes. Size-specific measurements for fronds are presented. Gametophytic fronds dominated the stand. Fronds in Size-Class 2 exhibited high survivorship. Survivorship fell sharply when fronds entered Size-Class 3 and Size-Class 4. Fronds became fertile and highly branched when in the third and fourth size-classes. It is suggested that these two factors contribute to the higher mortality rates of such individuals.Monthly spore release rates·m^?2 for gametophytes and tetrasporophytes were measured. The annual release rate of carpospores exceeded the annual release rate of tetraspores by a ratio of 4.7:1. Rates did not fall below 10⁶ spores released·m^?2·month^?1 for either phase.     

The effects of phenological mismatches on demography

Climate change is altering the phenology of species across the world, but what are the consequences of these phenological changes for the demography and population dynamics of species? Time-sensitive relationships, such as migration, breeding and predation, may be disrupted or altered, which may in turn alter the rates of reproduction and survival, leading some populations to decline and others to increase in abundance. However, finding evidence for disrupted relationships, or lack thereof, and their demographic effects, is difficult because the necessary detailed observational data are rare. Moreover, we do not know how sensitive species will generally be to phenological mismatches when they occur. Existing long-term studies provide preliminary data for analysing the phenology and demography of species in several locations. In many instances, though, observational protocols may need to be optimized to characterize timing-based multi-trophic interactions. As a basis for future research, we outline some of the key questions and approaches to improving our understanding of the relationships among phenology, demography and climate in a multi-trophic context. There are many challenges associated with this line of research, not the least of which is the need for detailed, long-term data on many organisms in a single system. However, we identify key questions that can be addressed with data that already exist and propose approaches that could guide future research.     

Natural extinction on islands

Almost all recent extinction of species or subspecies on islands comes from human activities. On the other hand, in local populations there is much natural extinction and immigration, i.e. turnover, on small islands. Most of this turnover occurs in locally rare species, and attests to the phenomenon of minimum viable population size. The MacArthur-Wilson theory is based on this turnover which, from an ecological point of view, is generally trivial. More useful theories of minimum viable population size are being developed. Rarity is the precursor of extinction, and species can be rare in several ways. Models of these phenomena are still primitive, particularly those that relate habitat availability to population density. Models of interactive communities show phenomena that may be relevant to the understanding of extinction in the geological record. Lotka-Volterra equations indicate considerable sensitivity to invasions, sometimes producing a cascade of extinction. Chemostat equations show that the behaviour of food chains can change dramatically with small changes in parameters, suggesting that small environmental effects can sometimes cause large ecological changes, including extinctions, in interactive biotic communities.     

Reef reconstruction after extinction events of the latest ordovician in the Yangtze platform,South China

Summary Early Silurian reef reconstruction on the Yangtze Platform, in the northern part of the South China Block, is preceded by a combination of regional and global processes. During most of Ashgill time (Late Ordovician), the area was dominated by Wufeng Formation deep water graptolitic black shales. Reefs largely disappeard in the middle of the Ashgill Stage, from the northwestern margin of Cathaysian Land (southeastern South China Block), in advance of the Late Ordovician glaciation and mass extinction, due to regional sea-level changes and regional uplift, unrelated to the mass extinction itselt. Late Ordovician microbial mudmound occurrence is also found in the western margin of the Yangtze Platform, its age corresponding to theDicellograptus complexus graptolite biozone of pre-extinction time. On the Yangtze Platform, a thin, non-reef-bearing carbonate, the Kuanyinchiao Formation (=Nancheng Formation in some sites), thickness generally no more than 1m, occurs near several landmasses as a result of Hirnantian regression. Reappearance of the earliest Silurian carbonates consisting of rare skeletal lenses in the upper part of Lungmachi Formation, are correlated to theacensus graptolite biozone, early Rhuddanian of Shiqian, northeastern Guizhou, near Qianzhong Land. Carbonate sediments gradually developed into beds rich in brachiopods and crinoids in the lower part of Xiangshuyuan Formation, middle Rhuddanian. In the middle part of Xiangshuyan Formation, biostromes, containing abundant and high diversity benthic faunas such as corals, crinoids and brachiopods, show beginnings of reconstruction of reef facies. Substantial reef recovery occurred in the upper part of Xiangshuyuan Formation, lower Aeronian, as small patch reefs and biostromes. During the late Aeronian, carbonate sediments, especially reefs and reef-related facies, expanded on the upper Yangtze Platform, and radiation of reefs occurred in Ningqiang Formation, upper Telychian. The long period of reef recovery, taking several million years, remains difficult to explain, because redistribution of any refugia faunas would be expected to take place soon after the extinction. Reefs and reef-related facies subsequently declined after Telychian time due to regional uplift of the major portion of the Yangtze Platform. Carbonate facies are therefore uncommon in South China during the rest of Silurian time.     

Impact response and simulation of damaged ulna with internal fixation

The objectives of this work were to explore a methodology that combines static and dynamic finite element (FE) analysis, linear elastic fracture mechanics (LEFM) and experimental methods to investigate a worst-case scenario in which a previously damaged bone plate system is subjected to an impact load. Cadaver ulnas with and without midshaft dynamic compression plates are subjected to a static three-point bend test and loaded such that subcritical crack growth occurs as predicted by a hybrid method that couples LEFM and static FE. The plated and unplated bones are then unloaded and subsequently subjected to a midshaft transverse impact test. A dynamic strain-based FE model is also developed to model the midshaft transverse impact test. The average value of the impact energy required for failure was observed to be 10.53% greater for the plated set. There appears to be a trade-off between impact damage and impact resistance when ulnas are supported by fixation devices. Predictions from the dynamic FE model are shown to corroborate inferences from the experimental approach.     

The influence of immigration on demography of sympatric voles

We studied the influence of immigration on the dynamics ofMicrotus ochrogaster Wagner, 1842 andM. pennsylvanicus Ord, 1815 populations in alfalfa, bluegrass, and tallgrass prairie in east-central Illinois for 25 years. The numbers of immigrants in a site were positively correlated with overall population densities of the species in the vicinity of the study sites and within the study site. Population density of the other species was not correlated with immigration of either species. Immigrants did not differ significantly from residents with respect to sex-ratio and reproductive condition. Persistence of immigrantM. pennsylvanicus was lower than that of resident adults in all three habitats, while that of immigrantM. ochrogaster was lower than that of resident adults in alfalfa, where the species was most abundant. Neither the absolute number of immigrants nor the proportion of the population composed of immigrants indicated an effect of immigrants on among- and within-habitat differences in demography and population fluctuations of either species. Immigrants may have been an important factor in maintenance ofM. pennsylvanicus in alfalfa, a low-quality habitat, but the influence of immigration on the dynamics of populations inhabiting other habitats was insubstantial.     

Impact of temperature and atmospheric pressure on the incidence of major acute cardiovascular events

Background

The impact of meteorological conditions on the occurrence of various cardiovascular events has been reported internationally. Data about the Dutch situation are limited.

Objectives

We sought to find out a correlation between weather conditions and the incidence of major acute cardiovascular events such as type A acute aortic dissection (AAD), acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and acutely presented abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAA).

Methods

Between January 1998 and February 2010, patients who were admitted to our hospital (Catharina Hospital, Eindhoven, the Netherlands) because of AAD (n = 212), AMI (n = 11389) or AAAA (n = 1594) were registered. These data were correlated with the meteorological data provided by the Royal Dutch Meteorological Institute (KNMI) over the same period.

Results

During the study period, a total number of 11,412 patients were admitted with AMI, 212 patients with AAD and 1593 patients with AAAA. A significant correlation was found between the daily temperature and the number of hospital admissions for AAD. The lower the daily temperature, the higher the incidence of AAD (p = 0.002). Lower temperature was also a predictor of a higher incidence of AMI (p = 0.02). No significant correlation was found between daily temperature and onset of AAAA.

Conclusions

Cold weather is correlated with a higher incidence of AAD and AMI.     

Calculating extinction coefficients for enzymatically produced o-quinones

Molar extinction coefficients of o-quinones produced from o-diphenols by the action of o-diphenol: O₂ oxidoreductase were calculated by least-squares linear regression at several wavelengths in the pH range 5.8–7.8. The accuracy of each extinction coefficient is verified by the standard errors of the regression coefficient and the estimate, and by 95% confidence limits. The seven o-diphenols used in the present study were pyrocatechol, 4-methylcatechol, 4-tertiarybutylcatechol, 3,4-l-dihydroxyphenylalanine, 3,4-dihydroxyphenylethylamine, 3,4-dihydroxyphenylacetic acid, and 3,4-dihydroxyhydrocinnamic acid.