Seasonal temperature alone can synchronize life cycles

In this paper we discuss the effects of yearly temperature variation on the development and seasonal occurrence of poikiliothermic organisms with multiple life stages. The study of voltinism in the mountain pine beetle (Dendroctonus ponderosae Hopkins), an important forest insect living in extreme temperature environments and exhibiting no diapause, provides a motivational example. Using a minimal model for the rates of aging it is shown that seasonal temperature variation and minimal stage-specific differences in rates of aging are sufficient to create stable uni-and multi-voltine oviposition cycles. In fact, these cycles are attracting and therefore provide an exogenous mechanism for synchronizing whole populations of organisms. Structural stability arguments are used to extend the results to more general life systems.     

橙腹田鼠中延缓性密度依赖效应和种群波动

检验了延迟的密度依赖对橙腹田鼠 (Microtusochrogaster)一个波动种群的生存和生殖的影响 ,研究持续了 63个月 ,取样间隔为 3 5天。在研究期间 ,该种群的密度经历了 4次波动 ,每次波动的高峰都在 11月至次年 1月 ,种群数量在冬季下降。生存和生殖都有负面的密度依赖效应 ,最大效应具有 2个月的时滞。种群存活率增长对种群密度最大的正面效应具有 2个月的时滞 ,而对与增加生殖则有 3个月的时滞。内部因素和冬季都可能推延对生殖的密度依赖效应 ,但是本文未能检验这些内部因素的影响。季节性影响看来与对生存的延缓性密度依赖效应无关。负面的延缓性密度依赖效应对生存和生殖的净作用可能在于减少、而不是阻止橙腹田鼠种群波动的幅度     

Delayed mixis in rotifers: an adaptive response to the effects of density-dependent sex on population growth

In most cyclically parthenogenetic life cycles, sex is neededto produce resting stages. In several species of cyclicallyparthenogenetic rotifers, some generations of clones are notresponsive to a density-dependent signal that triggers sexualfemale production. These unresponsive rotifers hatch from restingeggs and typically pass 8–12 generations of female parthenogenesisbefore becoming receptive to the mixis signal. We addressedthe selection for mixis delay using a simulation model. A delayof sexual reproduction could increase population growth throughparthenogenesis and thus the number of resting eggs ultimatelyproduced. In a monomorphic population without mixis delay, wedetermined the optimal ratio of mictic to amictic females (mixisratio) to be 45%, and the optimal population density thresholdfor induction of mictic females (mixis threshold) to be 82 rotifersL^–1. This mixis pattern, however, was not an evolutionarilystable strategy. A mixis ratio of 14% and threshold of 70 rotifersL^–1 proved to be resistant to invasion by other mixispatterns. When we gave this phenotype a mixis delay of 8–10days, it could invade a population with the same mixis pattern,but lacking a mixis delay. The advantage of delaying mixis wasrelatively small, suggesting that a polymorphism is possible.     

Disease effects on reproduction can cause population cycles in seasonal environments

1. Recent studies of rodent populations have demonstrated that certain parasites can cause juveniles to delay maturation until the next reproductive season. Furthermore, a variety of parasites may share the same host, and evidence is beginning to accumulate showing nonindependent effects of different infections. 2. We investigated the consequences for host population dynamics of a disease-induced period of no reproduction, and a chronic reduction in fecundity following recovery from infection (such as may be induced by secondary infections) using a modified SIR (susceptible, infected, recovered) model. We also included a seasonally varying birth rate as recent studies have demonstrated that seasonally varying parameters can have important effects on long-term host-parasite dynamics. We investigated the model predictions using parameters derived from five different cyclic rodent populations. 3. Delayed and reduced fecundity following recovery from infection have no effect on the ability of the disease to regulate the host population in the model as they have no effect on the basic reproductive rate. However, these factors can influence the long-term dynamics including whether or not they exhibit multiyear cycles. 4. The model predicts disease-induced multiyear cycles for a wide range of realistic parameter values. Host populations that recover relatively slowly following a disease-induced population crash are more likely to show multiyear cycles. Diseases for which the period of infection is brief, but full recovery of reproductive function is relatively slow, could generate large amplitude multiyear cycles of several years in length. Chronically reduced fecundity following recovery can also induce multiyear cycles, in support of previous theoretical studies. 5. When parameterized for cowpox virus in the cyclic field vole populations (Microtus agrestis) of Kielder Forest (northern England), the model predicts that the disease must chronically reduce host fecundity by more than 70%, following recovery from infection, for it to induce multiyear cycles. When the model predicts quasi-periodic multiyear cycles it also predicts that seroprevalence and the effective date of onset of the reproductive season are delayed density-dependent, two phenomena that have been recorded in the field.     

Increased coupling between subpopulations in a spatially structured environment can lead to population outbreaks

Destruction and fragmentation of habitats is widely considered as a major threat to biological diversity. A theoretical framework aimed at understanding and predicting species responses to these destructive processes is still lacking, however. In this paper, the species dynamics in a spatially structured, two-habitat, patchy environment is considered subject to changes in individual migration intensity, i.e. coupling between the habitats. The subpopulation dynamics inside each habitat is assumed to be bistable but with different parameter values. By using space-discrete/continuous metapopulation dynamic models and computer simulations, we show that there can be two principally different regimes of metapopulation dynamics. With increasing intensity in the interplay between subpopulations, the total abundance can either gradually decrease or experience a sudden burst-like increase. This result is shown to be robust to the choice of mathematical models (discrete or continuous). Particularly, both the "self-excitation" and "self-inhibition" regimes of the metapopulation system are robust to variation in habitat size; however, when one of the habitats is much smaller than the other, the "self-excitation" regime can give way to the "self-inhibition" regime and vice versa.     

Enrichment can damp population cycles: a balance of inflexible and flexible interactions

Destabilization of one predator–one prey systems with an increase in nutrient input has been viewed as a paradox. We report that enrichment can damp population cycles by a food‐web structure that balances inflexible and flexible interaction links (i.e. specialist and generalist predators). We modeled six predator–prey systems involving three or four species in which the predators practice optimal foraging based on prey profitability determined by handling time. In all models, the balance of interaction links simultaneously decreased the amplitude of population oscillations and increased the minimum density with increasing enrichment, leading to a potential theoretical resolution of the paradox of enrichment in non‐equilibrium dynamics. The stabilization mechanism was common to all of the models. Important previous studies on the stability of food webs have also demonstrated that a balance of interaction strengths stabilizes systems, suggesting a general rule of ecosystem stability.     

Density-dependent foraging behaviors in a parasitoid lead to density-dependent parasitism of its host

Empirical studies of spatial heterogeneity in parasitism by insect parasitoids have focused largely on patterns, while the many possible underlying mechanisms have been little studied in the field. We conducted experimental and observational studies on Tachinomyia similis (Diptera: Tachinidae) attacking western tussock moths (Orgyia vetusta; Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) on lupine bushes at Bodega Bay, Calif., USA. We examined several foraging behaviors that have been hypothesized to create density-dependent variation in parasitism rates, including spatial aggregation of parasitoids to high host density, mutual interference among searching parasitoids and decelerating functional responses of the parasitoid. At the spatial scale of individual bushes, we detected both aggregation to a high density and a decelerating functional response. The resulting spatial pattern of parasitism was best fit by two models; one included an effect of parasitoid aggregation and the other included an effect of aggregation and a decelerating functional response. Most of the variation in parasitism was not correlated with density of O. vetusta.     

Substrate-dependent control of ERK phosphorylation can lead to oscillations

The extracellular signal-regulated kinase (ERK) controls cellular processes by phosphorylating multiple substrates. The ERK protein can use the same domains to interact with phosphatases, which dephosphorylate and deactivate ERK, and with substrates, which connect ERK to its downstream effects. As a consequence, substrates can compete with phosphatases and control the level of ERK phosphorylation. We propose that this effect can qualitatively change the dynamics of a network that controls ERK activation. On its own, this network can be bistable, but in a larger system, where ERK accelerates the degradation of a substrate competing with a phosphatase, this network can oscillate. Previous studies proposed that oscillatory ERK signaling requires a negative feedback in which active ERK reduces the rate at which it is phosphorylated by upstream kinase. We argue that oscillations can also emerge even when this rate is constant, due to substrate-dependent control of ERK phosphorylation.     

Compensatory frugivory in migratory Sylvia warblers: geographical responses to season length

Seasonal shifts in the diets of Garden Warblers Sylvia borin , Blackcaps S. atricapilla and Lesser Whitethroats S. curruca at a North German site were studied from samples obtained by flushing the digestive tract of the birds. The significance of seven species of berries and pulpy fruits in the diet of these species while feeding in riparian vegetation during the premigratory and migratory seasons was assessed and compared with the pattern of frugivory shown by the same species in southern Germany. Because of the short time span between hatching and onset of migration, first-year long- and medium-distance migratory Sylvia warblers from northern Europe are forced to accelerate their juvenile development. Presumably to meet the higher nutritional demands of an accelerated development, juvenile Garden Warblers and Blackcaps in northern Germany ate relatively more fruit during premigration than Blackcaps in southern Germany. Fruit occurred in about 90% of their diet samples during both premigration and migration. However, this might not hold true for experienced adult birds. Garden Warblers accelerated the rate of fattening and reduced the time needed to prepare for migration when feeding on a mixed fruit diet. There were indications that Blackcaps directly influenced the fruit choice of Garden Warblers when fruits preferred by both species were scarce. Blackcaps and Garden Warblers showed subtle differences in their seasonal preferences for black elder Sambucus nigra and woody nightshade Solanum dulcamara .     

Competition can lead to unexpected patterns in tropical ant communities

Ecological communities are structured by competitive, predatory, mutualistic and parasitic interactions combined with chance events. Separating deterministic from stochastic processes is possible, but finding statistical evidence for specific biological interactions is challenging. We attempt to solve this problem for ant communities nesting in epiphytic bird’s nest ferns (Asplenium nidus) in Borneo’s lowland rainforest. By recording the frequencies with which each and every single ant species occurred together, we were able to test statistically for patterns associated with interspecific competition. We found evidence for competition, but the resulting co-occurrence pattern was the opposite of what we expected. Rather than detecting species segregation—the classical hallmark of competition—we found species aggregation. Moreover, our approach of testing individual pairwise interactions mostly revealed spatially positive rather than negative associations. Significant negative interactions were only detected among large ants, and among species of the subfamily Ponerinae. Remarkably, the results from this study, and from a corroborating analysis of ant communities known to be structured by competition, suggest that competition within the ants leads to species aggregation rather than segregation. We believe this unexpected result is linked with the displacement of species following asymmetric competition. We conclude that analysing co-occurrence frequencies across complete species assemblages, separately for each species, and for each unique pairwise combination of species, represents a subtle yet powerful way of detecting structure and compartmentalisation in ecological communities.     

Preemption of space can lead to intransitive coexistence of competitors

Intransitive competition has the potential to be a powerful contributor to species coexistence, but there are few proposed biological mechanisms that could create intransitivities in natural communities. Using a three‐species model of competition for space, we demonstrate a mechanism for coexistence that combines a colonization–competition tradeoff between two species with the ability of a third species to preempt space from the other competitors. The combination of differential abilities to colonize, preempt, and overtake space creates a community where no single species can exclude both of its competitors. The dynamics of this kind of community are analogous to rock‐paper‐scissors competition, and the three‐species community can persist even though not all pairs of species can coexist in isolation. In distinction to prior results, this is a mechanism of intransitivity that does not require nonhierarchical local interference competition. We present parameter estimates from a subtidal marine community illustrating how documented competitive traits can lead to preemption‐based intransitivities in natural communities, and we describe methods for an empirical test of the occurrence of this mechanism.     

Self-interested partner selection can lead to the emergence of fairness

The theory of biological markets and competitive altruism contends that competitive partner selection is favorable to the selection of prosocial behaviors in social evolution. The current study provides an empirical assessment of this theory based on a laboratory experiment with human subjects using the Ultimatum game. The experimental results show that more generous proposers and more tolerant responders are preferred as partners. This indicates that subjects tend to choose partners in a manner that coincides with their own interests. In competitive partner selection, partner preferences driven by self-interest nevertheless generate an assortative pairing structure that prompts players to behave fairly in the game. The study shows that a free market of partner selection, plus the type of partner preferences driven by self-interests, can facilitate the emergence of fairness in social exchange.