区域气候背景对城市热岛效应的影响规律

城市热岛效应受到区域气候背景的影响而具有显著的时空差异性,尚缺少大尺度对比研究。利用1991-2019年的月均气象数据,量化了我国69个典型城市的大气城市热岛效应强度,从热带、干带、暖温带、冷温带和极地带五个气候带,分析城市热岛效应的时空特征规律。结果表明：（1）区域差异：干带热岛效应明显高于其他气候带,极地带最弱,且表现为较强的冷岛效应,热带、暖温带、冷温带热岛效应较弱,而冷温带的京津冀地区由于城市化程度较高,表现出较强的热岛效应,温暖带中西南地区较为明显;（2）季节性差异：不同季节城市热岛效应的强弱关系在不同气候带有所不同,秋季热岛效应较为稳定,热岛和冷岛效应均主要处于弱强度范围,春、冬热岛效应较为波动,易出现强热岛、强冷岛效应的极端现象,夏季热岛效应发生率最高;（3）时间演变规律：城市热岛效应的多年演变规律在相同气候带较为一致,2010年前后是各气候带各季节城市热岛效应的变化拐点,2010年后,干带、冷温带、暖温带热岛效应均有所下降,热带、极地带有所上升。     

Diurnal temperature range and mortality in Urmia,the Northwest of Iran

Diurnal Temperature Range (DTR) is a meteorological index which represents temperature variation within a day. This study assesses the impact of high and low values of DTR on mortality. Distributed Lag Non-linear Models combined with a quasi-Poisson regression model was used to assess the impact of DTR on cause, age and gender specific mortality, controlled for potential confounders such as long-term trend of daily mortality, day of week effect, holidays, mean temperature, humidity, wind speed and air pollutants. As the effect of DTR may vary between the hot season (from May to October) and cold season (from November to April of the next year), we conducted analyses separately for these two seasons. In high DTR values (all percentiles), the Cumulative Relative Risk (CRR) of Non-Accidental Death, Respiratory Death and Cardiovascular Death increased in the full year and hot season, and especially in lag (0−6) of the hot season. In the cold season and high DTR values (all percentiles), the CRR of Non-Accidental Death and Cardiovascular Death decreased, but the CRR of Respiratory Death increased. Although there was no clear significant effect in low DTR values. High values of DTR increase the risk of mortality, especially in the heat season, in Urmia, Iran.     

Monitoring biogeographical response to climate change: The potential role of aeropalynology

To test models predicting biological reponse to future climate change, it is essential to find climatically-sensitive, easily monitored biological indicators that respond to climate change. Routine monitoring of airborne pollen, now undertaken on a near-global basis, could be adapted for this purpose. Analysis of spatial and seasonal variations in pollen levels in New Zealand suggests that the timing of onset and peak abundance of certain pollen taxa should be explored as possible bio-indicators of climate change. The onset of the airborne grass pollen season during the summer of 1988/89 varied consistently with latitude, and hence temperature, with the season in Southland commencing 8--9 days after Northland. However, these patterns were only apparent after sampling sites were separated into two groups reflecting predominantly urban or rural pollen sources. A less consistent north to south trend was apparent in the frequency of high (30 grains/m³) grass pollen levels, with high levels frequent in North Island localities in November, December and January and in southern localities during December and January. The successive onset of pollen seasons for the principal tree species during the spring-to-early summer warming interval may also be a useful bio-indicator of climate change. As well as assisting forecasts of the onset of the pollinosis season, these biogeographical patterns, reflecting climatic variation with latitude, suggest that routine aeropalynological monitoring might provide early signals of vegetation response to climate change. These conclusions are supported by recent investigations of long-term aeropalynological datasets in Europe that indicate earlier onset of pollen seasons in response to recent global warming.     

Nonlinear effects of climate on boreal rodent dynamics: mild winters do not negate high‐amplitude cycles

Small rodents are key species in many ecosystems. In boreal and subarctic environments, their importance is heightened by pronounced multiannual population cycles. Alarmingly, the previously regular rodent cycles appear to be collapsing simultaneously in many areas. Climate change, particularly decreasing snow quality or quantity in winter, is hypothesized as a causal factor, but the evidence is contradictory. Reliable analysis of population dynamics and the influence of climate thereon necessitate spatially and temporally extensive data. We combined data on vole abundances and climate, collected at 33 locations throughout Finland from 1970 to 2011, to test the hypothesis that warming winters are causing a disappearance of multiannual vole cycles. We predicted that vole population dynamics exhibit geographic and temporal variation associated with variation in climate; reduced cyclicity should be observed when and where winter weather has become milder. We found that the temporal patterns in cyclicity varied between climatically different regions: a transient reduction in cycle amplitude in the coldest region, low‐amplitude cycles or irregular dynamics in the climatically intermediate regions, and strengthening cyclicity in the warmest region. Our results did not support the hypothesis that mild winters are uniformly leading to irregular dynamics in boreal vole populations. Long and cold winters were neither a prerequisite for high‐amplitude multiannual cycles, nor were mild winters with reduced snow cover associated with reduced winter growth rates. Population dynamics correlated more strongly with growing season than with winter conditions. Cyclicity was weakened by increasing growing season temperatures in the cold, but strengthened in the warm regions. High‐amplitude multiannual vole cycles emerge in two climatic regimes: a winter‐driven cycle in cold, and a summer‐driven cycle in warm climates. Finally, we show that geographic climatic gradients alone may not reliably predict biological responses to climate change.     

Demographic responses of eastern bluebirds to climatic variability in northeastern Arkansas

As climate change continues to alter temperature and precipitation patterns, numerous species have declined. However, populations of some species that show responses to climate change, such as eastern bluebirds (Sialia sialis), have increased or remained stable nationwide. To understand how species are adapting to climate change, we estimated demographic parameters and their responses to climatic variability, using nesting and banding-recapture data between 2003 and 2018 in a northeastern Arkansas eastern bluebird population. Increasing variability in precipitation in the nonbreeding season negatively affected hatchability. Hatching success was negatively affected by increasing variability in maximum temperatures and the number of hot days during the breeding season, but positively affected by increasing winter snow depth. Adult survival was positively affected by increasing snow depth and variability in the number of hot days during the breeding season, but negatively affected by increasing variability in nonbreeding season temperatures. Our results demonstrate that for this study population, annual breeding parameters, though canalized against interannual environmental variation, were affected by seasonal climatic variability. Although climate change may benefit bluebird survival due to increasing variability in winter temperatures and the number of hot days, climatic variability negatively affected breeding parameters and is expected to increase. Because breeding parameters are typically the drivers of population growth rate in short-lived species, these results raise concern for the future of this population of eastern bluebirds.     

Seasonality in adult flight activity of two neuroptera assemblages of southern Mali

The seasonality of insect assemblages in Africa is poorly investigated. To provide information on the relationships between climate and insect assemblages in the Sudanian region, strongly affected by climate change, we studied Myrmeleontidae and Ascalaphidae assemblages (Insecta: Neuroptera) for 7 and 5 consecutive years respectively in southern Mali. To make the species inventory as exhaustive as possible, we performed weekly sampling by netting and light trapping. For both assemblages, results showed very similar patterns of variation in species diversity throughout the year. Adults of Myrmeleontidae and Ascalaphidae were active all year, and the species succession was influenced by a strong temporal segregation. Species diversity peaked at the end of the rainy season and surprisingly during the dry season. Principal component analysis of the climatic factors followed by co‐inertia analysis applied to two data sets, one comprising climatic factors and the other reporting presence/absence of species, showed a good association between the annual trend of climatic factors and the species diversity. But no well defined species grouping was clearly linked to a particular period of the year. This tight association between climate and species composition suggests that even small climate changes could modify significantly species assemblage characteristics.     

Comparing early embryo mortality in dairy cows during hot and cool seasons of the year

The objectives of this study were to identify the level and stage of embryonic mortality that occur in dairy cows during hot and cool seasons of the year. Experimental dairy cows, of varying ages, were artificially inseminated with frozen-thawed semen from proven Holstein sires. Females on each dairy unit were then randomly allocated to one of three experimental groups after partitioning by day of artificial insemination, days post partum, parity, and current milk production level. In Group I and Group II, nonsurgical embryo collection was performed on each cow using Dulbecco's phosphate-buffered saline as the flushing medium. Embryos from cows in Group I were collected on Days 6 or 7 post insemination during the hot (n=93) and cool (n=64) seasons. Embryos from cows in Group II were collected on Days 13 or 14 post insemination during the hot (n=97) and cool (n=63) seasons. In Group III, contemporary control cows were also inseminated during the hot (n=106) and cool (n=106) seasons, and fetal heart beat was evaluated via ultrasound between Days 25 and 35 following insemination. Embryo viability decreased (P<0.05) from 59% at Day 7 to 27% at Day 14 in the hot season, but was not decreased during the cool season (52 vs. 60%). Pregnancy rate at Days 25 to 35 was 21% in the hot season, which was less (P<0.05) than the 36% in the cool season. The percentage of unfertilized ova collected in both the hot and cool seasons suggests that fertilization failure was not affected by season of breeding. In summary, embryonic loss after Day 7 of pregnancy appears to be a problem in this hot, dry climate.     

Five-year population dynamics of plateau pikas (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Ochotona curzoniae</Emphasis>) on the east of Tibetan Plateau

Small mammals mediate trajectories of vegetation change where both their density and the growing season are moderated by temperature and precipitation. On the Tibetan Plateau, the cold and arid climate particularly restricts the plant growing season, but the role of mammals’ density and climate in moderating small mammal populations remains unknown. We conducted a 5-year mark-recapture study of plateau pikas (Ochotona curzoniae) to test the relative importance of density-dependent and climatic factors on survival and reproduction. Plateau pikas had seasonal fluctuations in density and survival. During the warm summer season (May–August), monthly survival was density-independent, ranging from 74.7 to 90.4%, but varied with sex and age, increased with precipitation and NDVI, and decreased with temperature. During the cold season (September–April), monthly survival was around 98%. Density and precipitation had negative effects on reproductive success for the first and second litters of the year, and temperature showed consistently positive effects on reproductive success for both litters of the year. Pika density and climate regulated together the population dynamics of plateau pikas. These data on the relationships between density and climatic factors on survival and reproduction are critical for the management and conservation of plateau pikas on the Tibetan Plateau.     

Adaptation to variation in growing season length in arctic populations of Saxifraga oppositifolia L.

Summary

At high latitudes Saxifraga oppositifolia exists with distinct ecotypes adapted to differences in growing season length. In areas with late snow-lie and cold, wet soils increased metabolic rates and rapid shoot production compensate for ultra-short growing seasons but do not conserve carbohydrate or water for adverse periods. An opposing strategy is evident in ecotypes living in sites with an earlier resumption of growth where soils are warmer and drier and the growing season longer. Here metabolic rates are lower and result in a greater ability to conserve both carbohydrate and water. The existence of opposing strategies for survival in warm and cold habitats, suggests that even in the minimal thermal conditions of the high Arctic a high degree of biodiversity gives the species as a whole a wide ecological amplitude. This degree of diversity not only increases the sites in which the species can survive but confers an ability to adapt to climate change by changing ecotype frequencies to accommodate climatic fluctuations. This facility may have contributed to the survival of populations of this and other species in the high Arctic during the Weichselian glaciation.     

The Seasonal Succession of Biotic Communities in Wetlands of the Tropical Wet-and-Dry Climatic Zone: I. Physical and Chemical Causes and Biological Effects in the Pantanal of Mato Grosso,Brazil

The tropical wet-and-dry climatic zone is characterized by aquatic environments that cover extensive areas during part of the year and shrink to small standing water bodies or rivers with minimal water levels during the dry seasons. Even in the small permanent water bodies, the conditions fluctuate radically during each annual cycle. While there are often strong currents in the water courses during the high water periods, most aquatic habitats are strictly lentic during the dry seasons. Studies conducted in the Pantanal of Mato Grosso, one of the largest wetlands of the world, revealed major features of changes in physical and chemical parameters during the annual cycle. The general features of the climate include a hot, rainy period usually lasting from late October through late April, a cool, dry period from late April through late August, and a hot, dry period from late August through late October. Considerable year to year variations are encountered in the dates of onset and end of the various seasons, however. Four annual periods are recognized according to the water level in the Pantanal. Generally, the concentrations of dissolved inorganic substances are very low and stable during the high water period and variable and usually high in the remaining standing water bodies when much of the region has dried out. The amount of mineral nutrients increases as the water level rises during the early rainy season but decreases again as the aquatic macrophyte populations develop. Some of the reasons for the many short-term changes in mineral nutrient concentrations and the roles of the various aquatic communities are discussed. The results presented will serve as a basis for subsequent studies on the seasonal succession of the flora and fauna.     

近50年山东省农业气候资源变化特征

利用山东省90个气象站1961-2010年逐日气象观测数据,比较分析了该区域冬小麦和夏玉米生长季光、热、水等农业气候资源的时空变化特征.结果表明: 研究期间,山东省冬小麦和夏玉米生长季各项气温指标均呈显著升高趋势,冬小麦生长季升高趋势更明显;日照时数显著减少;降水量和干燥度无显著变化;夏玉米生长季蒸散量显著减少.冬小麦和夏玉米生长季各农业气候资源呈大致的经向或纬向递增或递减的空间分布.不同区域各农业气候资源历年变化特征差异明显,鲁西地区各气温指标升高趋势较弱,鲁中和鲁西南地区日照时数减少趋势最显著,鲁西地区蒸散量和干燥度减少趋势最显著,鲁中和鲁东南地区冬小麦生长季降水量增加趋势较明显,鲁中和鲁南地区夏玉米生长季降水量增加趋势较明显.山东省热量资源的增加有利于冬小麦生长季各阶段的发育,但植物病虫害的防治难度及农作物遭受高温热害的风险加大,日照时数减少不利于农作物生长期的光合作用,蒸散量减少则有利于土壤水分的保存.
     

Daily and hourly movement of male desert-dwelling elephants

The daily and hourly movements of eight male desert-dwelling elephants of various ages (12–45 years old) were determined hourly by global positioning system (GPS)/telemetry collars during the wet, cold dry and hot dry seasons of 2006 in northwest Namibia. The average daily movement in the wet season was greater than that observed during either the cold dry or the hot dry seasons. A similar difference was also observed for the movement rates, with the highest average rate of hourly movement recorded during the wet season. The diurnal movements (both distance and rate) were greater than those in the nocturnal hours during the wet season, whilst during the cold dry and hot dry season the reverse was true. The daily cycle of movement also changed seasonally, with greatest movement rates observed during the wet season between 11.00–20.00 hours, during the cold dry season between 14.00–21.00 hours; and between 04.00–11.00 hours during the hot dry season. Periods of decreased movement rates were observed between 09.00–10.00 and 02.00–03.00 hours in the wet season; 03.00–06.00 and 11.00–13.00 hours in the cold dry season; and 01.00–03.00 and 12.00–14.00 hours during the hot dry season.     

Germ cell dynamics during the annual reproductive cycle of Dendropsophus minutus (Anura: Hylidae)

Thirty male specimens of Dendropsophus minutus Peters, 1972, were collected from April 2004 to March 2005 in the region de Sao José do Rio Preto/SP, to conduct a histological study during the seasonal and annual cycles. Testicular activity was inferred based on the volume occupied by each type of cellular cyst present in the seminiferous tubules, as well as the quantity of germ cells in the final development stage, the spermatozoids. All data analyzed were correlated with climatic variables (temperature, rainfall and photoperiod) registered in the region where specimens were collected. A significant variation was verified in the quantity of spermatozoids as well as in the volume occupied by spermatids and spermatozoids throughout the year and between the cold/dry and hot/ humid seasons. It has also been reported that environmental conditions are important factors closely related to species reproduction and that production of germ cells and volume occupied by germ cysts is independent of anatomical aspect of the gonads. Thus, it was possible to verify that although the species reproduces throughout the year, individuals exhibit a preferential reproduction season, resulting in a reproductive (October to the end of February) and a post-reproductive period.     

Influence of season and reproductive status on peripheral plasma progesterone levels in the lactating bovine

Data collected monthly for one calendar year from Holstein cows lactating under Louisiana ambient climatic conditions comprised a total of 264 cowmonths. The year was divided into seasons of cool, intermediate, and hot temperatures. A highly significant (P<0.01) relationship between plasma progesterone and animal age (r=–0.57) was observed. Plasma progesterone concentrations in the hot season (4.6 ng/ ml) were significantly (P<0.01) higher than concentrations in the cool and intermediate seasons (3.4 and 3.8 ng/ ml, respectively). Plasma cortisol concentrations were lower (P<0.01) in the hot season than in the cool and intermediate seasons and suggested the adrenal cortex did not contribute to the increase in progesterone concentrations which occured in the hot season. A significant (P<0.01) positive correlation (r=0.45) between cortisol and progesterone was observed. Reproductive status did not have a statistically significant effect on progesterone levels and the affect of season on progesterone concentrations was consistant across all reproductive status. Plasma progesterone levels in the anestrus animals (3.9 ng/ ml) suggested progesterone secretion was responsible for their failure to cycle. Similar progesterone levels were observed in normal (3.5 ng/ ml) and repeat breeders (3.6 ng/ ml).Presented at the Seventh International Biometeorological Congress, 17–23 August 1976, College Park, Maryland, USA.     

Quantifying Geographic Variation in the Climatic Drivers of Midcontinent Wetlands with a Spatially Varying Coefficient Model

The wetlands in the Prairie Pothole Region and in the Great Plains are notorious for their sensitivity to weather variability. These wetlands have been the focus of considerable attention because of their ecological importance and because of the expected impact of climate change. Few models in the literature, however, take into account spatial variation in the importance of wetland drivers. This is surprising given the importance spatial heterogeneity in geomorphology and climatic conditions have in the region. In this paper, I use spatially-varying coefficients to assess the variation in ecological drivers in a number of ponds observed over a 50-year period (1961-2012). I included the number of ponds observed the year before on a log scale, the log of total precipitation, and mean maximum temperature during the four previous seasons as explanatory variables. I also included a temporal component to capture change in the number of ponds due to anthropogenic disturbance. Overall, fall and spring precipitation were most important in pond abundance in the west, whereas winter and summer precipitation were the most important drivers in the east. The ponds in the east of the survey area were also more dependent on pond abundance during the previous year than those in the west. Spring temperature during the previous season influenced pond abundance; while the temperature during the other seasons had a limited effect. The ponds in the southwestern part of the survey area have been increasing independently of climatic conditions, whereas the ponds in the northeast have been steadily declining. My results underline the importance of accounting the spatial heterogeneity in environmental drivers, when working at large spatial scales. In light of my results, I also argue that assessing the impacts of climate change on wetland abundance in the spring, without more accurate climatic forecasting, will be difficult.     

大针茅草原地上生物量形成的规律与特点

大针茅草原能进行光合作用的时间为160—170天。地上生物量的季节生长曲线呈单峰型,适宜的收获期在8月份。地上生物量的增长与群落的高度增长呈明显相关(R=0.959)。立枯量于6月份开始出现,其增长规律与绿色量呈相反的趋势。刈割后的再生草量以春季(5月份)刈割后的产量最高。仲夏(7月份)刈割对草场生产力的威胁最大。群落产量结构的研究表明：5己于人cm以上可供牲畜采食的部分约占总产量的70—80％。     

Climate change impact on neotropical social wasps

Establishing a direct link between climate change and fluctuations in animal populations through long-term monitoring is difficult given the paucity of baseline data. We hypothesized that social wasps are sensitive to climatic variations, and thus studied the impact of ENSO events on social wasp populations in French Guiana. We noted that during the 2000 La Niña year there was a 77.1% decrease in their nest abundance along ca. 5 km of forest edges, and that 70.5% of the species were no longer present. Two simultaneous 13-year surveys (1997–2009) confirmed the decrease in social wasps during La Niña years (2000 and 2006), while an increase occurred during the 2009 El Niño year. A 30-year weather survey showed that these phenomena corresponded to particularly high levels of rainfall, and that temperature, humidity and global solar radiation were correlated with rainfall. Using the Self-Organizing Map algorithm, we show that heavy rainfall during an entire rainy season has a negative impact on social wasps. Strong contrasts in rainfall between the dry season and the short rainy season exacerbate this effect. Social wasp populations never recovered to their pre-2000 levels. This is probably because these conditions occurred over four years; heavy rainfall during the major rainy seasons during four other years also had a detrimental effect. On the contrary, low levels of rainfall during the major rainy season in 2009 spurred an increase in social wasp populations. We conclude that recent climatic changes have likely resulted in fewer social wasp colonies because they have lowered the wasps'' resistance to parasitoids and pathogens. These results imply that Neotropical social wasps can be regarded as bio-indicators because they highlight the impact of climatic changes not yet perceptible in plants and other animals.     

太行山草地建群种远东羊茅地上生物量动态的研究

 远东羊茅地上生物量在10.80—979.30gFW／m2或5.00—351.33gDW／m2之间变动,峰期值在902.87—1092.15gFW／m2或331.45—370.53gDW／m2之间变动。地上生物量的季节生长曲线呈单峰型,峰值期出现在7月份。地上生物量的增长与生长高度的增长和投影盖度的扩大呈正直线相关(R=0.8929和R=0.9066)。地上生物量和生长高度的最高生长速率出现于同期,而两者的相对生长速率最高值则出现在生物量峰值期之前。在生长季节期间,降雨量的多少是影响地上生物量变化的主要生态因子,两者的直线回归方程为y=6.2596+1.4089x(R=0.9250)。     

基于扩展的Budyko模型定量评估平江流域森林恢复和气候变异对季节性径流的影响

流域季节性径流变化反映了年内水资源的动态特征。在以森林为主的流域中,森林变化和气候变异被普遍认为是影响流域水文过程的两大驱动因素。因此在全球气候变化背景下,研究流域森林恢复和气候变异对流域季节性径流的影响,可为协调区域碳-水关系和制订可持续的森林经营管理策略提供参考。选择鄱阳湖流域上游的平江流域为研究对象,根据流域历史森林覆盖率变化情况,将研究期划分为参考期（1961-1985）和森林恢复期（1986-2006）,采用Mann-Kendall趋势分析研究流域长时期水文气象数据是否存在显著变化趋势。同时引入月干旱指数（潜在蒸散发和有效降雨的比率）,将一年定义为能量限制季（1-6月）和水分限制季（7-12月）,结合扩展的Budyko模型定量分析平江流域森林恢复和气候变异对季节性径流的相对贡献。在本研究流域整个研究期内（1961-2006）,通过Mann-Kendall趋势分析发现,研究流域水分限制季径流呈现显著增加趋势,而能量限制季水文和气候变量变化趋势均不显著。其次,相较于参考期,流域森林恢复使能量限制季径流降低了11.71 mm/a （24.40%）,使水分限制季径流增加了12.27 mm/a （17.23%）。同时,气候变异导致能量限制季径流减少了36.28 mm/a （75.60%）,而使水分限制季径流增加了58.94 mm/a （82.77%）。上述研究结果表明,森林恢复对径流影响具有累积效应。森林恢复对季节性径流具有积极的调节作用,同时季节性径流对森林恢复的响应存在时间差,而且森林恢复对径流的影响在能量限制季和水分限制季具有相互抵消的作用,气候变异与森林恢复的影响效应类似。此外,本研究也证实,平江流域季节性径流变化主要是受气候变化主导,但森林恢复对季节性径流的贡献也不容忽视。     

Influence and predictive capacity of climate anomalies on daily to decadal extremes in canopy photosynthesis

Significant advances have been made over the past decades in capabilities to simulate diurnal and seasonal variation of leaf-level and canopy-scale photosynthesis in temperate and boreal forests. However, long-term prediction of future forest productivity in a changing climate may be more dependent on how climate and biological anomalies influence extremes in interannual to decadal variability of canopy ecosystem carbon exchanges. These exchanges can differ markedly from leaf level responses, especially owing to the prevalence of long lags in nutrient and water cycling. Until recently, multiple long-term (10+ year) high temporal frequency (daily) observations of canopy exchange were not available to reliably assess this claim. An analysis of one of the longest running North American eddy covariance flux towers reveals that single climate variables do not adequately explain carbon exchange anomalies beyond the seasonal timescale. Daily to weekly lagged anomalies of photosynthesis positively autocorrelate with daily photosynthesis. This effect suggests a negative feedback in photosynthetic response to climate extremes, such as anomalies in evapotranspiration and maximum temperature. Moisture stress in the prior season did inhibit photosynthesis, but mechanisms are difficult to assess. A complex interplay of integrated and lagged productivity and moisture-limiting factors indicate a critical role of seasonal thresholds that limit growing season length and peak productivity. These results lead toward a new conceptual framework for improving earth system models with long-term flux tower observations.