Body mass index and all-cause mortality in a large Chinese cohort

Background

Obesity is known to be associated with an increased risk of death, but current definitions of obesity are based on data from white populations. We examined the association between body mass index (BMI) and the risk of death in a large population of adult Chinese people.

Methods

We examined the association between body mass index (BMI) and all-cause mortality prospectively among 58 738 men and 65 718 women aged 20 years and older enrolled in 1998–1999 from four national health screening centres in Taiwan. We used Cox proportional hazards regression analyses to estimate the relative risks of all-cause mortality for different BMI categories during a maximum follow-up of 10 years.

Results

A total of 3947 participants died during the follow-up period. The lowest risk of death was observed among men and women who had a BMI of 24.0–25.9 (mean 24.9). After adjustment for age, smoking status, alcohol intake, betel-nut chewing, level of physical activity, income level and education level, we observed a U-shaped association between BMI and all-cause mortality. Similar U-shaped associations were observed when we analyzed data by age (20–64 or ≥ 65 years), smoking (never, < 10 pack-years or ≥ 10 pack-years) and presence of a pre-existing chronic disease, and after we excluded deaths that occurred in the first three years of follow-up.

Interpretation

BMI and all-cause mortality had a U-shaped association among adult Chinese people in our study. The lowest risk of death was among adults who had a BMI of 24.0–25.9 (mean 24.9). Our findings do not support the use of a lower cutoff value for overweight and obesity in the adult Chinese population.The prevalence of obesity has dramatically increased in past decades in both developed and developing countries. The World Health Organization (WHO) reported that 1.6 billion adults are overweight and at least 400 million are obese.¹ The WHO further predicted that by the year 2015, about 2.3 billion adults will be overweight and more than 700 million will be obese.¹ In Taiwan, according to a national survey performed between 1993–1996 and 2005–2008, the prevalence of overweight and obesity (defined as body mass index [BMI] ≥ 24 kg/m²) had increased dramatically, from 33.4% to 50.8% among men and from 31.7% to 36.9% among women.²Overweight and obesity have been recognized as important and independent risk factors for many chronic diseases such as diabetes mellitus, hypertension, stroke, cardiovascular diseases and malignant diseases.^3–7 Substantial epidemiologic evidence shows that obesity is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular-related and all-cause mortality.^8,9 Therefore, obesity has become a major public health problem around the world.Current definitions of obesity and overweight in adults are based on data from white populations. The WHO has proposed another definition for Asian people, but most of the data it used were from cross-sectional studies.¹⁰ One study showed that, for a given BMI, Asian people had higher body fat than white people.¹¹ Furthermore, the association between BMI and all-cause mortality has been reported to be J-shaped or U-shaped. Most of the studies involved white people, with only a few involving Asian populations. Gu and colleagues reported a U-shaped association between BMI and all-cause mortality among Chinese people.¹² However, they included only middle-aged adults over 40 years old and not all adults over 20 years.We designed a large prospective cohort study to assess the association between BMI and all-cause mortality in a nationwide representative sample of Chinese adults over 20 years old in Taiwan. We also intended to find the optimal BMI cutoff values for overweight and obesity among Chinese adults.     

Associations between copper and zinc intakes from diet and mortality from cardiovascular disease in a large population-based prospective cohort study

Several studies have related cardiovascular disease (CVD) to serum concentrations of copper and zinc but not to their dietary intakes. We thought to examine the association between dietary intakes of copper and zinc with risk of mortality from CVD in a prospective study encompassing 58,646 healthy Japanese men and women aged 40-79 years. The intakes of copper and zinc were determined by a validated self-administered food frequency questionnaire, and their associations with risk of mortality from CVD were evaluated by Cox proportional hazard modelling. During 965, 970 person-years of follow-up between 1989-2009, we documented 3,388 CVD deaths [1,514 from stroke, 702 from coronary heart disease (CHD) and 1,172 from other CVD]. Copper intake was not associated with CHD mortality; however, the multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for mortality from stroke, other CVD and total CVD in the highest versus the lowest quintiles of copper intake among men were 1.78 (1.16-2.77; P-trend=0.007), 1.61 (1.01-2.81; P-trend =0.03) and 1.63 (1.21-2.33; P-trend=0.001), respectively, and those among women were 1.49 (1.00-2.19; P-trend=0.04), 1.59 (1.09-2.55; P-trend =0.02) and 1.36 (1.06-1.69; P-trend=0.01), respectively. Higher intakes of zinc was inversely associated with mortality from CHD in men; 0.68 (0.58-1.03; P-trend=0.05) but not women; 1.13 (0.71- 1.49; P-trend=0.61). No associations were observed with other mortality endpoints. In conclusion, dietary copper intake was positively associated with mortality from CVD in both genders; whereas, higher dietary zinc intake was inversely associated with mortality from CHD in men but not women.     

Living alone and alcohol-related mortality: a population-based cohort study from Finland

Background

Social isolation and living alone are increasingly common in industrialised countries. However, few studies have investigated the potential public health implications of this trend. We estimated the relative risk of death from alcohol-related causes among individuals living alone and determined whether this risk changed after a large reduction in alcohol prices.

Methods and Findings

We conducted a population-based natural experimental study of a change in the price of alcohol that occurred because of new laws enacted in Finland in January and March of 2004, utilising national registers. The data are based on an 11% sample of the Finnish population aged 15–79 y supplemented with an oversample of deaths. The oversample covered 80% of all deaths during the periods January 1, 2000–December 31, 2003 (the four years immediately before the price reduction of alcohol), and January 1, 2004–December 31, 2007 (the four years immediately after the price reduction). Alcohol-related mortality was defined using both underlying and contributory causes of death. During the 8-y follow-up about 18,200 persons died due to alcohol-related causes. Among married or cohabiting people the increase in alcohol-related mortality was small or non-existing between the periods 2000–2003 and 2004–2007, whereas for those living alone, this increase was substantial, especially in men and women aged 50–69 y. For liver disease in men, the most common fatal alcohol-related disease, the age-adjusted risk ratio associated with living alone was 3.7 (95% confidence interval 3.3, 4.1) before and 4.9 (95% CI 4.4, 5.4) after the price reduction (p<0.001 for difference in risk ratios). In women, the corresponding risk ratios were 1.7 (95% CI 1.4, 2.1) and 2.4 (95% CI 2.0, 2.9), respectively (p ≤ 0.01). Living alone was also associated with other mortality from alcohol-related diseases (range of risk ratios 2.3 to 8.0) as well as deaths from accidents and violence with alcohol as a contributing cause (risk ratios between 2.1 and 4.7), both before and after the price reduction.

Conclusions

Living alone is associated with a substantially increased risk of alcohol-related mortality, irrespective of gender, socioeconomic status, or the specific cause of death. The greater availability of alcohol in Finland after legislation-instituted price reductions in the first three months of 2004 increased in particular the relative excess in fatal liver disease among individuals living alone. Please see later in the article for the Editors'' Summary     

Hirschsprung disease in a large birth cohort

The incidence of Hirschsprung disease was studied in a series of almost 700,000 consecutive livebirths in British Columbia from 1964-1982, by means of the records of a health surveillance registry that uses multiple sources of ascertainment. The estimated liveborn incidence rate for Hirschsprung disease was 1 in 4,417 livebirths (156 cases out of 689,118 livebirths). Data pertaining to sex ratio, additional anomalies, recurrence, and mortality were also analyzed over the caseload period 1952 to 1983. A total of 29.8% of cases had some additional anomaly--the majority being nonregional anomalies in other systems or more distantly in the gastrointestinal tract. Cardiovascular and gastrointestinal anomalies not a direct consequence of Hirschsprung disease were the most frequent additional anomalies found, occurring in 10 and 12 of 178 cases, respectively. Sensorineural anomalies were also frequent, occurring in 12 of 178 cases. Clinical implications arising from the study regarding the neonatal assessment of infants with these anomalies are discussed.     

Small area inequalities in breast cancer mortality and screening

Despite the unfavourable epidemiological status, the Hungarian breast cancer control is a non-appropriately developed system having considerable geographical inequalities. The study objective was to describe the small-area pattern of breast cancer mortality and of frequency of mammographical examination. The influence of socio-economical status on these patterns was also studied. The standardised mortality ratios and the standardised relative frequency of mammography was determined for settlements, zipcode areas and small regions. Their correlations were analysed with education, unemployment ratio, ratio of Gypsy and German ethnic minorities, population size, smoking, distance to the nearest hospital. The South-Transdanubian Region (STR, consisting of three counties, 22 small regions, 444 zipcode areas and 643 settlements) with 1 million inhabitants was the study area. All the studied parameters had significant spatial variability at all levels of aggregation. Beyond the relatively low average mortality risk in the STR, mortality clusters and increasing time trend were identified in certain areas. The mortality and the usage of mammography were inversely correlated with the indices of deprivation. These factors explain 64.5 and 17.5% of the whole variability of local mortality risks at the level of settlements and small regions. The explanatory role of these factors was similarly high for usage of mammography as well (40.2 and 52.6% for small regions and zipcode areas). The factors having the strongest influence were the population size (in settlement level mortality model), ratio of gypsies (in small region level mortality and mammography usage models) and ratio of Germans (in mammography usage model for zipcode areas). Inserting the counties' approaches for screening organisation into the model, it revealed that the population based screening organisation applied in Tolna county has the highest influence being 4.4 times stronger than the most important socio-economic factors.Altogether,it seems that the monitoring of spatial inequalities could improve the performance of breast cancer control identifying the populations with special needs, and there is a need to explore the pathways by which the socio-economic factors can exert their profound influence on the epidemiological status. Moreover, since the results clearly demonstrated that it is possible to achieve relatively high screening participation rates in Hungarian economical and legislative circumstances, the application of this successful method should be encouraged in other areas with low performance screening system.     

Plasma lipid profiling in a large population-based cohort

We have performed plasma lipid profiling using liquid chromatography electrospray ionization tandem mass spectrometry on a population cohort of more than 1,000 individuals. From 10 μl of plasma we were able to acquire comparative measures of 312 lipids across 23 lipid classes and subclasses including sphingolipids, phospholipids, glycerolipids, and cholesterol esters (CEs) in 20 min. Using linear and logistic regression, we identified statistically significant associations of lipid classes, subclasses, and individual lipid species with anthropometric and physiological measures. In addition to the expected associations of CEs and triacylglycerol with age, sex, and body mass index (BMI), ceramide was significantly higher in males and was independently associated with age and BMI. Associations were also observed for sphingomyelin with age but this lipid subclass was lower in males. Lysophospholipids were associated with age and higher in males, but showed a strong negative association with BMI. Many of these lipids have previously been associated with chronic diseases including cardiovascular disease and may mediate the interactions of age, sex, and obesity with disease risk.     

Exposure and mortality in a cohort of German nuclear power workers

A historical cohort study of German nuclear power workers was set up to investigate the overall and cancer mortality risk related to a long-term low-level exposure to ionising radiation. The cohort was part of an international collaborative study whose pooled analyses were carried out at the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), Lyon, and published recently. Due to delays in data collection, data from the German cohort were not included in these analyses. This cohort includes 4,844 employees who worked in any of 10 nuclear power plants, between 1 January 1991 and 31 December 1997. Sixty-eight deaths among men were observed in 31,000 person years, and none among women. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were computed for all causes of death, all cancers, cardiovascular diseases, external causes, and all other causes. Overall, a strong healthy worker effect was observed (all-cause SMR = 0.54, 95% CI 0.42–0.67), and no increase in total cancer mortality was seen (SMR = 0.66, 95% CI 0.43–0.95). These results are in line with and complement IARC results. Figures are yet too small for stable risk estimates and further work is therefore under way to include more power plants, and to extend the follow-up until the year 2005.     

Maternal smoking during pregnancy predicts adult offspring cardiovascular risk factors - evidence from a community-based large birth cohort study

Background

Maternal smoking during pregnancy is associated with offspring obesity. However, little is known about whether maternal smoking in pregnancy predicts other offspring cardiovascular risk factors including waist circumference (WC), waist-hip-ratio (WHR), pulse rate (PR), systolic (SBP), and diastolic blood pressure (DBP).

Methods

We studied a sub-sample of 2038 (50% males) young adults who were born in Brisbane, Australia to investigate the prospective association of maternal smoking during pregnancy with young adult cardiovascular risk factors. We compared offspring mean BMI, WC, WHR, SBP, DBP and PR and the risk of being overweight and obese at 21 years by three mutually exclusive categories of maternal smoking status defined as never smoked, smoked before and/or after pregnancy but not in pregnancy or smoked during pregnancy and other times.

Results

Offspring of mothers who smoked during pregnancy had greater mean BMI, WC, WHR and PR and they were at greater risk of being obese at 21 years compared to offspring of those mothers who never smoked. The mean of these risk factors among those adult offspring whose mothers stopped smoking during pregnancy, but who then smoked at other times in the child''s life, were similar to those mothers who never smoked. These results were independent of a range of potential confounding factors.

Conclusion

The findings of this study suggest a prospective association of maternal smoking during pregnancy and offspring obesity as well as PR in adulthood, and reinforce the need to persuade pregnant women not to smoke.     

Cognitive impairment and mortality in a cohort of elderly people.

OBJECTIVES--To investigate the relation between cognitive function and cause specific mortality in people aged 65 and over. DESIGN-A 20 year follow up study of a cohort of randomly selected elderly people living in the community who in 1973-4 had taken part in a nutritional survey funded by the Department of Health and Social Security. SETTING--Eight areas in Britain (five in England, two in Scotland, and one in Wales). SUBJECTS--921 men and women whose cognitive function was assessed by a geriatrician in 1973-4 and for whom data on health, socioeconomic circumstances, and diet had been recorded. RESULTS--Cognitive impairment was associated with increased mortality, in particular death from ischaemic stroke. Those who scored 7 or less on the Hodkinson mental test had a relative risk of dying from stroke of 2.8 (95% confidence interval 1.4 to 5.5), compared with those who gained the maximum score (10), after adjustment for age, sex, blood pressure, serum cholesterol concentration, and vitamin C intake. These associations were independent of illness or social class. At the time of the nutritional survey, cognitive function was poorest in those with the lowest vitamin C status, whether measured by dietary intake or plasma ascorbic acid concentration. The relation between vitamin C status and cognitive function was independent of age, illness, social class, or other dietary variables. CONCLUSION--The relation between cognitive function and risk of death from stroke suggests that cerebrovascular disease is an important cause of declining cognitive function. Vitamin C status may be a determinant of cognitive function in elderly people through its effect on atherogenesis. A high vitamin C intake may protect against both cognitive impairment and cerebrovascular disease.     

Richter syndrome epidemiology in a large population based chronic lymphocytic leukemia cohort from Norway

BackgroundTransformation to aggressive lymphoma (Richter syndrome, RS) occurs in a substantial subset of patients who must discontinue targeted therapy for chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). RS has an extremely poor prognosis.MethodsUsing the nation-wide database of The Cancer Registry of Norway of 7664 CLL patients registered between 1953–2012, we identified 107 patients experiencing RS.ResultsSeventy seven (72%) of RS patients were identified among 2631 CLL patients diagnosed between 2003–2012; diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) was identified in 65 (84%), Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) in 12 (16%) patients and the diagnosis was confirmed in 50 (65%) available biopsy specimens. The incidence rate in this period was 4.7/1000 person-years (95% CI: 3.8–5.9). The median survival from CLL diagnosis was 1.7 years (95% CI: 0.34–2.3) for RS patients while it was 10.3 years (95% CI: 9.5–10.9) for the remaining CLL patients. Male gender predominated among RS patients (69%) compared to CLL population (58%) and RS patients were diagnosed with CLL at a significantly younger age than the remaining patients (65 vs. 72 years). Median time from diagnosis of CLL to RS was 2 years (Range, 0–13 years). No CLL treatment was administered in 25 (33%) patients prior RS diagnosis; a median of 1 treatment line was administered to pretreated patients. The median duration of survival after RS diagnosis was 27 months (95% CI; 9–88).ConclusionsCollectively, RS was a rare complication of CLL in the chemoimmunotherapy era, occurred early in the CLL course in younger, and both treatment naïve and pretreated patients, and shortened survival substantially.     

Immunoglobulin G galactosylation and sialylation are associated with pregnancy-induced improvement of rheumatoid arthritis and the postpartum flare: results from a large prospective cohort study

Introduction  

Improvement of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) during pregnancy has been causatively associated with increased galactosylation of immunoglobulin G (IgG) N-glycans. Since previous studies were small, did not include the postpartum flare and did not study sialylation, these issues were addressed in the present study.     

Ethnic inequalities in mortality: the case of Arab-Americans

Background

Although nearly 112 million residents of the United States belong to a non-white ethnic group, the literature about differences in health indicators across ethnic groups is limited almost exclusively to Hispanics. Features of the social experience of many ethnic groups including immigration, discrimination, and acculturation may plausibly influence mortality risk. We explored life expectancy and age-adjusted mortality risk of Arab-Americans (AAs), relative to non-Arab and non-Hispanic Whites in Michigan, the state with the largest per capita population of AAs in the US.

Methodology/Principal Findings

Data were collected about all deaths to AAs and non-Arab and non-Hispanic Whites in Michigan between 1990 and 2007, and year 2000 census data were collected for population denominators. We calculated life expectancy, age-adjusted all-cause, cause-specific, and age-specific mortality rates stratified by ethnicity and gender among AAs and non-Arab and non-Hispanic Whites. Among AAs, life expectancies among men and women were 2.0 and 1.4 years lower than among non-Arab and non-Hispanic White men and women, respectively. AA men had higher mortality than non-Arab and non-Hispanic White men due to infectious diseases, chronic diseases, and homicide. AA women had higher mortality than non-Arab and non-Hispanic White women due to chronic diseases.

Conclusions/Significance

Despite better education and higher income, AAs have higher age-adjusted mortality risk than non-Arab and non-Hispanic Whites, particularly due to chronic diseases. Features specific to AA culture may explain some of these findings.     

Flavonoid intake and coronary mortality in Finland: a cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To study the association between dietary intake of flavonoids and subsequent coronary mortality. DESIGN: A cohort study based on data collected at the Finnish mobile clinic health examination survey from 1967-72 and followed up until 1992. SETTINGS: 30 communities from different parts of Finland. SUBJECTS: 5133 Finnish men and women aged 30-69 years and free from heart disease at baseline. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Dietary intake of flavonoids, total mortality, and coronary mortality. RESULTS: In women a significant inverse gradient was observed between dietary intake of flavonoids and total and coronary mortality. The relative risks between highest and lowest quarters of flavonoid intake adjusted for age, smoking, serum cholesterol concentration, blood pressure, and body mass index were 0.69 (95% confidence interval 0.53 to 0.90) and 0.54 (0.33 to 0.87) for total and coronary mortality, respectively. The corresponding values for men were 0.76 (0.63 to 0.93) and 0.78 (0.56 to 1.08), respectively. Adjustment for intake of antioxidant vitamins and fatty acids weakened the associations for women; the relative risks for coronary heart disease were 0.73 (0.41 to 1.32) and 0.67 (0.44 to 1.00) in women and men, respectively. Intakes of onions and apples, the main dietary sources of flavonoids, presented similar associations. The relative risks for coronary mortality between highest and lowest quarters of apple intake were 0.57 (0.36 to 0.91) and 0.81 (0.61 to 1.09) for women and men, respectively. The corresponding values for onions were 0.50 (0.30 to 0.82) and 0.74 (0.53 to 1.02), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that people with very low intakes of flavonoids have higher risks of coronary disease.     

Long-term mortality in a cohort of severely obese persons in Italy

Few large studies on Northern European or US populations reported on mortality of severely obese individuals (BMI > or = 40 kg/m(2)). We studied a historical cohort in Italy to compare its mortality with previous findings, to investigate its relationship with BMI in the >40 range, and to provide evidence useful for clinical decision-making on treatment. The cohort comprised 4,837 persons with a BMI > or =40 kg/m(2) and aged > or =18 at first consultation, referred to six centers for obesity treatment between 1975 and 1996. After exclusion of persons with missing personal identification data or those untraceable, 4,498 (972 men, 3,526 women) remained for analyses. We calculated standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and carried out Cox proportional hazards modeling. General mortality (484 deaths: 153 men, 331 women) was in excess, with SMRs (95% confidence intervals) of 2.78 (2.36-3.26) for men and 2.10 (1.88-2.34) for women. Excess mortality (i) was observed in all BMI categories, except among women weighing 40-42.4 kg/m(2); (ii) increased with increasing BMI; (iii) increased less among persons recruited in recent calendar periods; (iv) was inversely related to age attained at follow-up; and (v) was due to cardiovascular and respiratory diseases and violent deaths but not malignant neoplasms. Excess mortality was similar to that observed in Northern European and US cohorts. Its steady increase with BMI levels > or =40 suggests that benefits proportional to weight reduction are expected and that even limited control may be beneficial. The smaller excess among persons recruited most recently might reflect better treatment.